Brayan BuelvasCF Las Vegas Aviators
Age 24 R/R 5'10" / 155 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 ROS PROJECTION201 act + 134 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†44
AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .248 / .293
PA134
HR2
K%35
BB%7
BABIP280
ISO106
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -17.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-17BATRUN: +1.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +1.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +9.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.00.00.0-$3M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE35
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $-4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201917 ROKAZL Athletics Green 274251 471052 17865 169 187253291544 104274 316 241 43
201917 ROKAZL Athletics Green 274238 671583 30605 169 282374450823 168364 2211 365 138
202119 A2 teams 417382 7010510 261327 187 183248314562 131248 326 241 43
202119 A2 teams 417369 8211416 391007 187 222308404712 182259 249 317 101
202220 A+3 teams 305279 461327 15888 124 165228301530 136209 295 228 33
202220 A+3 teams 305272 541528 22688 124 199278357635 158231 227 284 76
202321 A3 teams 441400 7314411 311565 314 182250320570 138262 357 247 47
202321 A3 teams 441386 8719512 451105 314 225314394708 168280 2510 314 99
202422 A+2 teams 492444 872048 401614 277 196268313582 117283 338 260 57
202422 A+2 teams 492430 1152878 541144 277 267355421775 153343 2311 345 122
202523 AA2 teams 301281 411004 141205 71 146200224424 78234 405 189 3
202523 AA2 teams 301271 551605 23905 71 203277317594 114282 308 271 65
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 AAAOAK 201188 37725 13760 10 197249335584 138299 386 267 62 -9 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.2
YTD24 AAAOAK 201182 481037 19590 10 264333467800 203353 299 352 128 +6 +0 +0 +1 +6 1.3
ROS24 AAAOAK 10% 134123 23512 9471 20 187248293541 106270 357 243 44 -9 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.4
ROS24 MLBOAK 10% 1312 1000 150 00 8315483237 268 388 236 38 -1 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL24 AAAOAK 214200 38725 14810 10 190243320563 130289 387 265 61 -9 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.3
TOT24 AAAOAK 335311 601237 221231 30 193249318567 125291 377 257 55 -17 +1 +0 +1 +9 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBOAK 35% 352323 621327 241192 61 192252310562 118276 347 256 54 -18 +1 +0 +1 +10 -0.6
202826 MLBOAK 46% 393360 721539 271303 71 200262333595 133277 337 263 59 -18 +1 +0 +1 +11 -0.5
202927 MLBOAK 50% 409374 741539 291333 72 198261326587 128278 337 266 62 -18 +1 +0 +1 +12 -0.4
203028 MLBOAK 52% 416380 761639 301353 71 200264329593 129278 327 266 62 -18 +1 -1 +1 +12 -0.4
202725 MLBOAK 35% 122112 22413 8411 20 196256330587 134273 347 249 49 -7 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.3
202826 MLBOAK 46% 182166 33714 13601 31 199261325586 127275 337 255 53 -10 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.4
202927 MLBOAK 50% 205186 38815 15672 41 204271339610 134276 337 258 55 -10 +0 +0 +1 +6 -0.3
203028 MLBOAK 52% 217197 39815 16702 41 198265325590 127276 327 258 56 -11 +0 -0 +1 +6 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 739673 13327417 532436 133 198262325588 128278 337 255 54 -39 +1 -0 +3 +21 -1.4
/ 162G 650592 11824415 472145 113 199264329594 130281 337 255 54 -34 +1 -0 +2 +18 -1.3
Career 39343597 6711413278 262130746 14037 187251309559 122265 337 248 48 -232 +13 -1 +14 +111 -9.6
/ 162G 650594 11023513 432168 236 185250306556 121263 337 248 48 -38 +2 -0 +2 +18 -1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201917 ROKAZL Athletics Green 274238 671583 30605 169 282374450823 168364 2211 365 138 +12 -0 +8 1.9
202119 AStockton Ports 392347 7611416 37957 177 219307412719 193253 249 320 103 +1 +1 +11 1.3
202119 INTLColombia 2522 6000 250 10 273333273606 333 208 273 67 -1 +0 +1 -0.0
202220 A+Lansing Lugnuts 260236 461417 17576 74 195266352618 157225 227 277 71 -9 -0 +7 -0.2
202220 ROKACL Athletics 3023 6111 462 40 261414522936 261294 2013 399 163 +2 +1 +1 0.4
202220 INTLColombia 1513 2000 150 10 154214154368 222 337 167 -14 -2 +0 +0 -0.1
202321 AAMidland RockHounds 8375 14311 5211 00 187247293540 107236 256 240 42 -5 +0 +2 -0.3
202321 A+Lansing Lugnuts 123111 15412 9382 82 135213243456 108181 317 211 19 -11 +1 +3 -0.7
202321 AStockton Ports 235200 581239 31512 232 290391515906 225348 2213 395 161 +16 +4 +7 2.7
202422 AAMidland RockHounds 131121 31811 8341 51 256308364671 107345 266 300 88 -2 +1 +4 0.3
202422 A+Lansing Lugnuts 361309 842067 46803 226 272372443815 172342 2213 361 135 +14 +2 +10 2.7
202523 AAMidland RockHounds 270242 471305 22864 61 194271310581 116276 328 265 61 -12 +1 +8 -0.3
202523 ROKACL Athletics 3129 8300 141 10 276323379702 103320 133 316 100 +0 +0 +1 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
27571714198258326+3+5-1.0-0.5
/1626641512+2.4+4.4-0.8pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Brayan Buelvas (OGILVIE) 24 25 40 50 35 193/249/318 125291 73 37% 7% 55 -0.6
Grae Kessinger
2022 · AA
24 37→28 42→45 48→50 40 187/248/281 94262 1115 32% 6% 43 -2.2 194/265/312 118265 1414 31% 8% 59 -1.1 189/267/30011124911727%9%56-0.5
Ismael Alcantara
2023 · AA
24 38→28 45 50 37 195/254/318 123282 1312 35% 6% 56 -1.3 212/270/305 93320 917 34% 6% 59 -1.1 219/278/2927333972435%6%54-0.9
Dylan Neuse
2023 · A
24 36 40 49→50 44 178/256/260 82272 814 35% 9% 42 -2.3 211/287/303 92304 712 30% 9% 66 -0.6 219/303/3139430951328%10%75-0.0
Nick Meyer
2021 · A
24 35 36→40 52→50 40 172/231/233 61252 415 32% 6% 24 -3.6 212/280/299 87278 914 25% 8% 62 -0.9 207/281/29083267101625%8%57-0.6
Jackson Cluff
2021 · A
24 39→29 42→45 51→60 39 193/259/298 104285 912 34% 6% 53 -1.5 180/251/274 94284 813 37% 7% 44 -2.1 181/273/314133265152835%10%61-0.6
Chris Roller
2022 · AA
25 38 39→50 53→55 39 187/246/274 87273 616 32% 6% 40 -2.4 190/267/311 121291 1216 36% 8% 60 -1.0 179/262/313134284161640%8%57-0.7
Willie MacIver
2022 · AA
25 35→33 44→45 51→55 37 184/244/295 111265 1216 35% 6% 46 -2.0 200/274/327 127297 1415 35% 8% 67 -0.5 225/305/348123321111831%8%83+0.3
Taylor Snyder
2019 · A
24 38→31 43→50 46→50 34 189/235/299 110285 1011 36% 5% 42 -2.3 188/238/321 133290 1512 39% 5% 50 -1.8 159/216/313154231211441%7%37-1.4
Gunnar Heidt
2017 · A
24 38→39 41→45 48→50 39 188/245/290 102278 815 34% 6% 44 -2.1 192/247/294 102293 912 36% 6% 46 -2.0 188/243/2869827810934%6%40-1.8
Connor Blair
2022 · A
24 37 39→45 48→45 45 178/255/258 80271 711 34% 9% 40 -2.4 199/285/312 113313 128 37% 9% 68 -0.5 163/272/27711425715539%11%52-0.5
Nick Quintana
2022 · A
24 33→39 43→45 47→45 45 172/254/283 111243 116 33% 9% 47 -1.9 188/273/293 105265 115 31% 9% 58 -1.2 172/265/2689524010330%10%45-1.0
Johan Lopez
2023 · AA
23 40 43→45 51→55 40 193/267/298 105296 1113 36% 7% 56 -1.3 203/272/299 96311 812 35% 8% 58 -1.2 170/253/2396927741136%9%33-0.6
Edward Salcedo
2015 · AAA
24 36→41 45→50 48→50 39 190/239/307 117257 1316 31% 6% 46 -2.0 203/253/312 109258 1111 25% 6% 53 -1.5 194/237/286922358521%5%38-1.1
Blake Hunt
2023 · AA
24 38 43→50 50→40 39 192/251/299 107277 115 34% 6% 50 -1.8 211/268/341 130275 145 28% 6% 67 -0.5 207/268/34113426314226%6%65-0.3
Mariel Bautista
2021 · A
23 40→34 42→45 49→50 38 201/251/299 98265 1015 28% 5% 49 -1.8 209/254/332 123305 1311 34% 5% 59 -1.1 181/215/331150258171137%3%42-0.5
Jayson Langfels
2014 · AA
25 41→32 43→40 46→50 37 199/262/305 106309 1111 37% 6% 56 -1.3 205/280/293 88338 715 38% 8% 60 -1.0 202/285/2757334451738%8%55-0.7
Claudio Finol
2023 · AA
23 38 37→40 50→45 40 187/240/263 77259 48 29% 5% 35 -2.8 204/263/296 92292 810 31% 7% 53 -1.5 181/246/2587726091232%7%35-0.7
Chad Stevens
2023 · A
24 34→42 42→45 47→50 34 170/231/269 99302 1112 45% 7% 33 -2.9 190/257/305 115308 1115 39% 7% 54 -1.4 210/277/334124312121534%7%66-0.4
Nick Vickerson
2014 · A
25 36 42→40 49→50 47 183/268/285 102256 1013 31% 9% 54 -1.4 203/302/300 97289 811 29% 11% 72 -0.2 190/312/2718127271129%13%66-0.4
Maverick Handley
2022 · A
24 39 41→40 53→50 40 184/267/283 99306 916 39% 8% 53 -1.5 197/288/298 101277 1012 30% 9% 66 -0.6 191/290/2819026191028%9%60-0.5