Blake Hunt
C El Paso Chihuahuas| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAABAL | 246 | .217/.275/.363 | 7 | 1 | 47 | — | .196/.242/.309 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAASEA | 280 | .272/.372/.452 | 8 | 1 | 78 | — | .224/.300/.352 |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA/ROKSD | 184 | .305/.406/.623 | 13 | 0 | 116 | — | .253/.333/.494 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 28 | MLBSD | 12 | .226/.296/.388 | 0 | 0 | 94 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ33% MLB | 29 | MLBSD | 51 | .225/.295/.382 | 2 | 0 | 92 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ46% MLB | 30 | MLBSD | 86 | .223/.292/.375 | 3 | 0 | 89 | 0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | — | 130 | 116 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 318 | 405 | 723 | 164 | 356 | 32 | 6 | 321 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 376 | 333 | 85 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 67 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 255 | 333 | 381 | 715 | 126 | 303 | 18 | 9 | 320 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 63 | 56 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125 | 210 | 161 | 370 | 36 | 226 | 40 | 10 | 179 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 257 | 227 | 51 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 79 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 225 | 310 | 427 | 737 | 203 | 298 | 31 | 10 | 325 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 302 | 273 | 67 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 70 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 245 | 316 | 363 | 678 | 117 | 312 | 23 | 7 | 307 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | INTL | Mesa Solar Sox | — | 55 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 345 | 388 | 733 | 122 | 353 | 25 | 11 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Durham Bulls | — | 126 | 114 | 30 | 11 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 263 | 323 | 518 | 840 | 254 | 276 | 18 | 6 | 361 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 155 | 132 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 250 | 349 | 455 | 803 | 205 | 297 | 25 | 9 | 352 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 246 | 226 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 275 | 363 | 637 | 146 | 261 | 24 | 5 | 284 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 280 | 239 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 272 | 372 | 452 | 824 | 180 | 331 | 22 | 12 | 364 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 156 | 133 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 301 | 388 | 617 | 1.005 | 316 | 326 | 23 | 10 | 422 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | ROK | ACL Padres | — | 28 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 500 | 667 | 1.167 | 333 | 333 | 14 | 21 | 500 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 2 | — | 130 | 119 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 209 | 227 | 436 | 84 | 263 | 46 | 4 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 376 | 344 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 94 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 192 | 253 | 276 | 529 | 84 | 249 | 25 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 63 | 58 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 103 | 161 | 138 | 299 | 34 | 208 | 49 | 6 | 134 | -23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | Bowling Green Hot Rods | — | 257 | 234 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 104 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 158 | 227 | 295 | 522 | 137 | 240 | 40 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 302 | 279 | 57 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 83 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 204 | 262 | 297 | 560 | 93 | 268 | 27 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | Durham Bulls | — | 126 | 116 | 25 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 216 | 266 | 397 | 663 | 181 | 231 | 21 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | Montgomery Biscuits | — | 155 | 137 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 219 | 296 | 365 | 661 | 146 | 280 | 29 | 6 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 246 | 230 | 45 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 67 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 196 | 242 | 309 | 550 | 113 | 243 | 27 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 280 | 250 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 72 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 300 | 352 | 652 | 128 | 283 | 26 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 156 | 138 | 35 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 322 | 486 | 808 | 232 | 284 | 28 | 7 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | ROK MLE | ACL Padres | — | 28 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 393 | 542 | 935 | 292 | 242 | 21 | 14 | 350 | 123 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 2 | — | 130 | 119 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 209 | 227 | 436 | 84 | 271 | 46 | 4 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | AZL Padres 2 | — | 130 | 116 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 241 | 318 | 405 | 723 | 164 | 356 | 32 | 6 | 321 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 376 | 344 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 94 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 192 | 253 | 276 | 529 | 84 | 252 | 25 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A RAW | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 376 | 333 | 85 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 67 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 255 | 333 | 381 | 715 | 126 | 303 | 18 | 9 | 320 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 320 | 292 | 43 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 135 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 147 | 215 | 264 | 478 | 116 | 237 | 42 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 320 | 283 | 58 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 104 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 290 | 375 | 665 | 170 | 285 | 32 | 10 | 296 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 357 | 332 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 98 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 202 | 256 | 295 | 551 | 93 | 270 | 27 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 357 | 322 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 27 | 84 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 248 | 320 | 366 | 687 | 118 | 318 | 24 | 8 | 311 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 281 | 253 | 55 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 73 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 217 | 283 | 379 | 662 | 162 | 266 | 26 | 5 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 281 | 246 | 63 | 20 | 0 | 12 | 22 | 61 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 256 | 337 | 484 | 821 | 228 | 287 | 22 | 8 | 356 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 246 | 230 | 45 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 67 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 196 | 242 | 309 | 550 | 113 | 250 | 27 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA RAW | Norfolk Tides | — | 246 | 226 | 49 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 275 | 363 | 637 | 146 | 261 | 24 | 5 | 284 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 280 | 250 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 72 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 300 | 352 | 652 | 128 | 290 | 26 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA RAW | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 280 | 239 | 65 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 272 | 372 | 452 | 824 | 180 | 331 | 22 | 12 | 364 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 162 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 247 | 322 | 469 | 791 | 222 | 290 | 27 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 184 | 154 | 47 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 305 | 406 | 623 | 1.029 | 318 | 327 | 22 | 12 | 434 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 2 | — | 130 | 119 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 60 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 209 | 227 | 436 | 84 | 263 | 46 | 4 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 376 | 345 | 66 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 94 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 191 | 253 | 275 | 528 | 84 | 249 | 25 | 6 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 320 | 292 | 43 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 135 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 147 | 215 | 264 | 478 | 116 | 234 | 42 | 7 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 357 | 330 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 98 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 203 | 256 | 297 | 553 | 94 | 268 | 27 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 281 | 256 | 55 | 17 | 0 | 8 | 15 | 73 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 215 | 283 | 375 | 658 | 160 | 258 | 26 | 5 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 246 | 230 | 45 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 67 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 196 | 242 | 309 | 550 | 113 | 243 | 27 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 280 | 251 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 72 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 223 | 300 | 351 | 650 | 127 | 283 | 26 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 164 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 322 | 463 | 786 | 220 | 278 | 27 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 246 | 230 | 45 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 67 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 196 | 242 | 309 | 550 | 113 | 243 | 27 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 280 | 251 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 72 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 223 | 300 | 351 | 650 | 127 | 283 | 26 | 9 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 184 | 164 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 244 | 322 | 463 | 786 | 220 | 278 | 27 | 8 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | SD | 10% | 234 | 211 | 49 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 59 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 229 | 299 | 391 | 690 | 162 | 281 | 25 | 8 | 307 | 94 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | SD | 10% | 12 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 296 | 388 | 684 | 161 | 276 | 25 | 8 | 304 | 94 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | SD | 33% | 157 | 142 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 228 | 297 | 386 | 683 | 158 | 280 | 25 | 8 | 304 | 92 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB MLE | SD | 46% | 187 | 168 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 295 | 379 | 674 | 153 | 279 | 26 | 7 | 300 | 89 | -2 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | SD | 33% | 51 | 46 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 295 | 382 | 677 | 157 | 275 | 25 | 8 | 301 | 92 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB CTX | SD | 46% | 86 | 79 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 292 | 375 | 668 | 153 | 273 | 26 | 7 | 298 | 89 | -1 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +2 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 137 | 125 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 299 | 408 | 707 | 176 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 299 | 64 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 138 | 24 | 5 | 24 | 47 | 166 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 298 | 411 | 710 | 179 | 283 | 26 | 7 | 299 | 64 | -8 | +0 | -7 | +12 | +14 | 1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2641 | 2403 | 486 | 105 | 14 | 58 | 166 | 767 | 45 | 14 | 3 | 202 | 267 | 330 | 597 | 128 | 267 | 29 | 6 | 263 | 64 | -5 | +0 | -3 | +8 | +10 | 1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 119 | 26 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 189 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 201 | 266 | 327 | 593 | 125 | 266 | 29 | 6 | 263 | 64 | -7 | +1 | -5 | +12 | +14 | 1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 156 PAwOBA .418 → .338 (−81)K% 23.1% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 1.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.996 | ×0.992 | 20.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×0.992 | 4.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.996 | ×0.992 | 1.98% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 7.87% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .418 → .338; ISO .316 → .237; BABIP .326 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL Padres · 28 PAwOBA .487 → .350 (−137)K% 14.3% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 12.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 2.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 18.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 3.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 8.63% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .487 → .350; ISO .333 → .257; BABIP .333 → .242. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAATacoma Rainiers · 280 PAwOBA .359 → .284 (−75)K% 22.1% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.14% | ÷1.035 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.50% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.60% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.967 | ×1.003 | 20.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.47% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×0.967 | ×1.003 | 6.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.13% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×0.967 | ×1.003 | 1.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.52% | ÷1.204 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.63% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 103, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .359 → .284; ISO .180 → .129; BABIP .331 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAANorfolk Tides · 246 PAwOBA .278 → .238 (−40)K% 24.4% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.39% | ÷1.070 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.28% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 3.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.03% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.28% | ÷0.962 | ×0.930 | ×0.979 | ×1.018 | 18.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.82% | ÷1.006 | ×0.830 | ×0.979 | ×1.018 | 3.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.979 | ×1.018 | 1.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.22% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 3.02% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 92, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 114, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.
Result: wOBA .278 → .238; ISO .146 → .114; BABIP .261 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 155 PAwOBA .349 → .296 (−53)K% 24.5% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.52% | ÷1.022 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.03% | ÷1.072 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 5.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.87% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 3.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.15% | ÷0.949 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×0.998 | 18.93% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.57% | ÷1.030 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | ×0.998 | 8.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×1.022 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.087 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 4.69% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 90, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 104, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .349 → .296; ISO .205 → .165; BABIP .297 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAADurham Bulls · 126 PAwOBA .356 → .276 (−79)K% 18.3% → 21.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.25% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.35% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.006 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 12.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.09% | ÷1.020 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 9.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.003 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.59% | ÷1.137 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.19% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 101, K 102, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .356 → .276; ISO .254 → .178; BABIP .276 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 302 PAwOBA .300 → .245 (−55)K% 23.2% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.18% | ÷1.032 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.95% | ÷0.984 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 4.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.32% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.66% | ÷1.001 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 20.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.39% | ÷1.090 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷0.955 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.44% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.46% | ÷0.970 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 2.06% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 100, 2B 118, 3B 91, K 106, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .300 → .245; ISO .117 → .094; BABIP .312 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Bowling Green Hot Rods · 257 PAwOBA .319 → .233 (−86)K% 30.7% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.74% | ÷1.027 | ×1.350 | — | — | 40.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.12% | ÷0.953 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.89% | ÷0.957 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 15.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.14% | ÷1.135 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 7.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.08% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 5.15% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 91, 2B 127, 3B 130, K 105, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .319 → .233; ISO .203 → .142; BABIP .298 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .