Ricky Cabrera
SS Dayton Dragons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | A/ROKCIN | 202 | .346/.475/.531 | 5 | 24 | 109 | — | .274/.381/.405 |
| 2024 | 19 | ACIN | 456 | .252/.333/.399 | 11 | 19 | 67 | — | .215/.285/.324 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+CIN | 89 | .187/.282/.240 | 0 | 0 | 32 | — | .182/.259/.234 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBCIN | 387 | .188/.256/.291 | 7 | 7 | 55 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ25% MLB | 23 | MLBCIN | 27 | .196/.264/.312 | 1 | 0 | 61 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ36% MLB | 24 | MLBCIN | 67 | .200/.269/.324 | 2 | 1 | 65 | -0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Reds | — | 180 | 150 | 38 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 253 | 367 | 380 | 747 | 127 | 333 | 22 | 7 | 337 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A | Daytona Tortugas | — | 27 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 316 | 519 | 316 | 834 | 429 | 19 | 19 | 412 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Reds | — | 175 | 143 | 50 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 11 | 21 | 2 | 350 | 469 | 559 | 1.028 | 210 | 437 | 20 | 12 | 453 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Daytona Tortugas | — | 456 | 404 | 102 | 22 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 101 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 252 | 333 | 399 | 732 | 146 | 308 | 22 | 7 | 329 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | — | 89 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 187 | 282 | 240 | 522 | 53 | 269 | 28 | 9 | 238 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 180 | 154 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 49 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 175 | 282 | 260 | 542 | 84 | 222 | 27 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 27 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 300 | 481 | 300 | 781 | 399 | 26 | 15 | 342 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Reds | — | 175 | 152 | 41 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 49 | 11 | 21 | 2 | 270 | 366 | 421 | 787 | 151 | 356 | 28 | 7 | 328 | 108 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 456 | 413 | 89 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 139 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 215 | 285 | 324 | 609 | 109 | 296 | 30 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 89 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 182 | 259 | 234 | 493 | 52 | 268 | 36 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 180 | 154 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 49 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 175 | 282 | 260 | 542 | 84 | 245 | 27 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Reds | — | 180 | 150 | 38 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 253 | 367 | 380 | 747 | 127 | 333 | 22 | 7 | 337 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 202 | 172 | 46 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 56 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 267 | 376 | 401 | 777 | 134 | 375 | 28 | 8 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 202 | 162 | 56 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 40 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 346 | 475 | 531 | 1.006 | 185 | 436 | 20 | 13 | 448 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 456 | 413 | 89 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 139 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 215 | 285 | 324 | 609 | 109 | 301 | 30 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | Daytona Tortugas | — | 456 | 404 | 102 | 22 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 101 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 252 | 333 | 399 | 732 | 146 | 308 | 22 | 7 | 329 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 89 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 182 | 259 | 234 | 493 | 52 | 298 | 36 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ RAW | Dayton Dragons | — | 89 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 187 | 282 | 240 | 522 | 53 | 269 | 28 | 9 | 238 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 180 | 155 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 49 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 174 | 282 | 258 | 541 | 84 | 222 | 27 | 5 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 202 | 170 | 46 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 56 | 14 | 24 | 2 | 271 | 376 | 406 | 782 | 135 | 362 | 28 | 8 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 456 | 413 | 89 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 139 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 215 | 285 | 324 | 609 | 109 | 296 | 30 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 89 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 173 | 259 | 222 | 481 | 49 | 268 | 36 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 456 | 413 | 89 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 139 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 215 | 285 | 324 | 609 | 109 | 296 | 30 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ MLE | Dayton Dragons | — | 89 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 173 | 259 | 222 | 481 | 49 | 268 | 36 | 7 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | CIN | 0% | 387 | 352 | 67 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 103 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 188 | 256 | 291 | 547 | 103 | 243 | 27 | 7 | 249 | 55 | -21 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | CIN | 25% | 107 | 97 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 194 | 262 | 306 | 568 | 112 | 247 | 26 | 7 | 258 | 61 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | CIN | 36% | 185 | 167 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 198 | 268 | 317 | 584 | 118 | 250 | 26 | 7 | 264 | 65 | -8 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | CIN | 43% | 260 | 236 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 66 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 201 | 271 | 324 | 595 | 122 | 252 | 25 | 7 | 269 | 68 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | CIN | 47% | 320 | 289 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 81 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 203 | 274 | 328 | 601 | 124 | 254 | 25 | 7 | 271 | 70 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | CIN | 48% | 353 | 319 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 90 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 205 | 275 | 329 | 604 | 125 | 255 | 25 | 7 | 273 | 71 | -12 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | CIN | 48% | 368 | 333 | 68 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 27 | 94 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 203 | 273 | 325 | 598 | 122 | 255 | 26 | 7 | 270 | 69 | -14 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | CIN | 25% | 27 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 196 | 264 | 312 | 577 | 117 | 247 | 26 | 7 | 261 | 61 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | CIN | 36% | 67 | 61 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 269 | 324 | 593 | 123 | 251 | 25 | 7 | 268 | 65 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | CIN | 43% | 111 | 100 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 203 | 273 | 331 | 604 | 128 | 253 | 25 | 7 | 272 | 68 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | CIN | 47% | 149 | 135 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 275 | 335 | 611 | 130 | 255 | 26 | 7 | 275 | 70 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | CIN | 48% | 168 | 151 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 207 | 277 | 337 | 614 | 130 | 256 | 26 | 7 | 276 | 71 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | CIN | 48% | 177 | 159 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 205 | 275 | 332 | 607 | 127 | 255 | 25 | 7 | 274 | 69 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 699 | 631 | 131 | 24 | 4 | 18 | 51 | 178 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 208 | 278 | 344 | 622 | 136 | 257 | 25 | 7 | 273 | 67 | -26 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +15 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 587 | 122 | 22 | 4 | 17 | 47 | 166 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 208 | 278 | 346 | 624 | 138 | 257 | 26 | 7 | 273 | 67 | -24 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +14 | -0.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2611 | 2340 | 484 | 86 | 18 | 50 | 173 | 707 | 74 | 77 | 27 | 207 | 283 | 323 | 606 | 116 | 271 | 27 | 7 | 268 | 67 | -65 | +1 | -4 | +18 | +36 | -1.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 119 | 21 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 176 | 18 | 19 | 7 | 204 | 280 | 316 | 595 | 111 | 268 | 27 | 7 | 268 | 67 | -25 | +1 | -2 | +7 | +14 | -0.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 A+Dayton Dragons · 89 PAwOBA .238 → .216 (−22)K% 28.1% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.09% | ÷0.999 | ×1.270 | — | — | 35.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.99% | ÷1.006 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 6.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.25% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 1.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 22.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.00% | ÷0.928 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 3.76% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×1.027 | 2.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.124 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 125, 1B 97, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .238 → .216; ISO .053 → .052; BABIP .269 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ADaytona Tortugas · 456 PAwOBA .322 → .267 (−55)K% 22.1% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.15% | ÷0.990 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.80% | ÷0.991 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.95% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 3.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.11% | ÷0.960 | ×0.920 | ×1.021 | ×1.030 | 22.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.26% | ÷1.032 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.030 | 6.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷0.918 | ×0.910 | ×1.021 | ×1.030 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.63% | ÷1.078 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.78% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 92, 2B 106, 3B 84, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .322 → .267; ISO .146 → .110; BABIP .308 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Reds · 175 PAwOBA .441 → .328 (−113)K% 20.0% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.027 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.43% | ÷1.040 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.29% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 4.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.48% | ÷1.004 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 27.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.48% | ÷1.038 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 4.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 2.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.63% | ÷1.059 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 3.44% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .441 → .328; ISO .210 → .148; BABIP .437 → .356. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ADaytona Tortugas · 27 PAwOBA .404 → .342 (−62)K% 18.5% → 25.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.52% | ÷1.006 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.52% | ÷1.006 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 13.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 11.11% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 9.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 42.86% | ÷1.032 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 39.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.100 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 106, 2B 120, 3B 117, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .404 → .342; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .429 → .399. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Reds · 180 PAwOBA .333 → .224 (−109)K% 22.2% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.989 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.22% | ÷1.045 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 4.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.78% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 5.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.64% | ÷1.019 | ×0.680 | ×1.046 | ×1.008 | 16.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷1.054 | ×0.600 | ×1.046 | ×1.008 | 3.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.087 | ×0.600 | ×1.046 | ×1.008 | 2.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.91% | ÷0.932 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.46% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 104, 2B 111, 3B 117, K 98, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .333 → .224; ISO .127 → .074; BABIP .333 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).