Ricky CabreraSS
Dayton Dragons
Age 21
R/R
6'0" / 201 lbs
A+
HR +9%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.6 · 2031
wRC+†69
AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .282 / .316
PA185
HR4
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
45→45
PWR
45→45
SPD
45→45
FLD
45→45
EYE
40↗45
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.7peak
2031
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.4 | $13M | +$12M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.6 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.6 | $15M | +$14M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $3M | +1.5 | $15M | +$12M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.3 | $13M | +$8M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | +1.1 | $11M | +$6M |
| Totals | $16M | $82M | +$66M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Reds | 180 | 155 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 58 | 14 | 5 | 4 | .187 | .288 | .271 | .559 | .084 | .286 | 32 | 4 | .238 | 40 | -12 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.6 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | 2 teams | 202 | 173 | 44 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 55 | 14 | 24 | 2 | .254 | .361 | .364 | .726 | .110 | .351 | 27 | 7 | .314 | 99 | -0 | +4 | +0 | +2 | +6 | 1.2 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 456 | 412 | 87 | 19 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 145 | 18 | 19 | 8 | .211 | .283 | .325 | .608 | .114 | .302 | 32 | 5 | .269 | 64 | -19 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +13 | -0.0 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 89 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .182 | .259 | .234 | .493 | .052 | .298 | 36 | 7 | .213 | 21 | -8 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.5 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | CIN | 185 | 165 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 58 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .206 | .284 | .327 | .611 | .121 | .288 | 31 | 6 | .275 | 69 | -7 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB 7% | CIN | 227 | 202 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 67 | 7 | 5 | 2 | .213 | .293 | .337 | .630 | .124 | .289 | 30 | 7 | .289 | 79 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB 18% | CIN | 339 | 300 | 65 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 97 | 10 | 7 | 2 | .217 | .301 | .350 | .651 | .133 | .290 | 29 | 8 | .297 | 86 | -6 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB 26% | CIN | 416 | 368 | 81 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 116 | 12 | 8 | 3 | .220 | .305 | .361 | .666 | .141 | .290 | 28 | 8 | .303 | 90 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +12 | 1.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB 36% | CIN | 463 | 409 | 92 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 128 | 13 | 8 | 3 | .225 | .311 | .372 | .683 | .147 | .291 | 28 | 8 | .306 | 93 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +13 | 1.4 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB 44% | CIN | 490 | 432 | 96 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 136 | 14 | 9 | 3 | .222 | .310 | .363 | .673 | .141 | .292 | 28 | 8 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB 51% | CIN | 503 | 441 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 43 | 140 | 14 | 9 | 3 | .224 | .313 | .372 | .685 | .147 | .292 | 28 | 9 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +5 | +14 | 1.6 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB 55% | CIN | 506 | 444 | 99 | 19 | 2 | 14 | 43 | 141 | 14 | 8 | 2 | .223 | .311 | .369 | .681 | .146 | .291 | 28 | 8 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +14 | 1.5 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB 59% | CIN | 502 | 440 | 97 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 43 | 142 | 14 | 7 | 2 | .220 | .310 | .359 | .669 | .139 | .290 | 28 | 9 | .305 | 91 | -5 | +1 | -2 | +5 | +14 | 1.3 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB 62% | CIN | 495 | 435 | 95 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 43 | 141 | 14 | 7 | 2 | .218 | .309 | .359 | .668 | .140 | .289 | 28 | 9 | .302 | 89 | -6 | +1 | -3 | +5 | +14 | 1.1 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB 65% | CIN | 483 | 424 | 91 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 140 | 14 | 5 | 1 | .215 | .306 | .349 | .655 | .134 | .287 | 29 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -8 | +1 | -4 | +5 | +14 | 0.8 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB 75% | CIN | 466 | 410 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 11 | 40 | 138 | 13 | 4 | 1 | .212 | .302 | .341 | .644 | .129 | .286 | 30 | 9 | .293 | 83 | -9 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +13 | 0.5 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB 86% | CIN | 437 | 385 | 80 | 15 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 132 | 12 | 4 | 0 | .208 | .297 | .335 | .632 | .127 | .284 | 30 | 8 | .288 | 78 | -11 | +1 | -5 | +5 | +12 | 0.2 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB | CIN | 392 | 345 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 122 | 11 | 3 | 0 | .203 | .293 | .325 | .618 | .122 | .282 | 31 | 8 | .281 | 74 | -12 | +1 | -6 | +4 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2040 | 35 | MLB | CIN | 338 | 298 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 108 | 9 | 3 | 0 | .195 | .284 | .305 | .589 | .111 | .280 | 32 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -12 | +1 | -6 | +4 | +10 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7169 | 6315 | 1361 | 251 | 33 | 170 | 570 | 2096 | 225 | 139 | 41 | .216 | .303 | .346 | .650 | .131 | .291 | 29 | 8 | .294 | 83 | -138 | +11 | -39 | +77 | +203 | 11.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 573 | 123 | 23 | 3 | 15 | 52 | 190 | 20 | 13 | 4 | .215 | .302 | .344 | .646 | .129 | .291 | 29 | 8 | .294 | 83 | -13 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 1.1 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Reds | 180 | 150 | 38 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 14 | 5 | 4 | .253 | .367 | .380 | .747 | .127 | .333 | 22 | 7 | .337 | 116 | +3 | -1 | — | — | +5 | 0.8 |
| 2023 | 18 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 27 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | .316 | .519 | .316 | .834 | .000 | .429 | 19 | 19 | .412 | 173 | +2 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Reds | 175 | 143 | 50 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 11 | 21 | 2 | .350 | .469 | .559 | 1.028 | .210 | .437 | 20 | 12 | .453 | 205 | +21 | +3 | — | — | +5 | 3.0 |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Daytona Tortugas | 456 | 404 | 102 | 22 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 101 | 18 | 19 | 8 | .252 | .333 | .399 | .732 | .146 | .308 | 22 | 7 | .329 | 110 | +5 | +1 | — | — | +13 | 1.9 |
| 2025 | 20 | A+ | Dayton Dragons | 89 | 75 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 2 | .187 | .282 | .240 | .522 | .053 | .269 | 28 | 9 | .238 | 40 | -6 | -1 | — | — | +3 | -0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Ricky Cabrera (OGILVIE) | 21 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | .203/.282/.316 | .112 | .288 | 4 | 4 | 31% | 7% | 69 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A |
21 | 43→45 | 45→55 | 50 | 43 | .213/.273/.339 | .126 | .289 | 12 | 10 | 30% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .229/.292/.389 | .160 | .276 | 19 | 13 | 24% | 8% | 90 | +1.0 | .230/.293/.405 | .176 | .264 | 22 | 16 | 22% | 7% | 92 | +1.1 |
|
✕Hao-Yu Lee 2023 · A |
20 | 48→44 | 45→50 | 48→55 | 46 | .232/.304/.355 | .124 | .309 | 12 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.8 | .239/.303/.370 | .131 | .306 | 13 | 16 | 25% | 7% | 89 | +1.0 | .238/.303/.382 | .143 | .296 | 14 | 19 | 24% | 7% | 90 | +0.7 |
|
✕Blaze Alexander 2021 · A |
22 | 45→48 | 42→50 | 51→50 | 43 | .218/.284/.328 | .110 | .300 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.275/.332 | .128 | .317 | 14 | 12 | 38% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .220/.308/.345 | .126 | .328 | 13 | 10 | 34% | 8% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A |
20 | 43→53 | 45→50 | 49→50 | 40 | .213/.264/.339 | .126 | .281 | 12 | 11 | 28% | 6% | 65 | -0.7 | .248/.297/.383 | .135 | .313 | 14 | 13 | 24% | 6% | 90 | +1.0 | .257/.307/.397 | .140 | .313 | 15 | 13 | 22% | 6% | 94 | +1.2 |
|
✕Deibinson Romero 2008 · A |
21 | 47→46 | 44→50 | 48→40 | 44 | .232/.290/.351 | .119 | .295 | 12 | 8 | 25% | 6% | 79 | +0.3 | .211/.272/.308 | .097 | .289 | 8 | 5 | 28% | 7% | 61 | -1.0 | .226/.295/.367 | .141 | .272 | 17 | 2 | 23% | 8% | 84 | +0.5 |
|
✕Yu Chang 2017 · A |
21 | 41→44 | 45→50 | 49→45 | 39 | .206/.256/.333 | .127 | .283 | 12 | 8 | 31% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .202/.261/.347 | .145 | .281 | 16 | 8 | 33% | 6% | 66 | -0.6 | .213/.268/.374 | .161 | .271 | 20 | 6 | 29% | 6% | 75 | -0.0 |
|
✕Shed Long Jr. 2017 · A |
21 | 46→48 | 44→50 | 50 | 43 | .226/.283/.344 | .118 | .302 | 11 | 11 | 28% | 7% | 74 | -0.1 | .233/.292/.373 | .140 | .317 | 15 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .230/.292/.378 | .148 | .312 | 16 | 11 | 30% | 7% | 83 | +0.4 |
|
✕Ricardo Olivar 2023 · A |
21 | 47→51 | 42→45 | 48→50 | 42 | .220/.290/.336 | .116 | .325 | 8 | 9 | 33% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 | .228/.308/.351 | .123 | .315 | 11 | 9 | 29% | 9% | 88 | +0.9 | .221/.304/.343 | .122 | .294 | 13 | 10 | 27% | 9% | 80 | +0.3 |
|
●Alonzo Harris 2009 · A |
20 | 44→50 | 45→55 | 50→60 | 40 | .221/.276/.342 | .121 | .296 | 13 | 11 | 29% | 6% | 71 | -0.3 | .205/.243/.307 | .102 | .275 | 11 | 12 | 29% | 4% | 46 | -2.0 | .240/.296/.401 | .161 | .286 | 19 | 35 | 22% | 7% | 92 | +0.9 |
|
✕Yusniel Díaz 2018 · AA |
21 | 46→52 | 43→45 | 40→50 | 41 | .227/.274/.335 | .108 | .302 | 11 | 8 | 28% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .232/.293/.362 | .130 | .301 | 13 | 8 | 26% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .205/.272/.325 | .121 | .274 | 14 | 9 | 29% | 8% | 63 | -0.4 |
|
✕Geoandry Montilla 2017 · A |
21 | 44 | 41→45 | 45→50 | 45 | .212/.277/.309 | .097 | .287 | 8 | 8 | 28% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .197/.264/.297 | .100 | .310 | 8 | 8 | 36% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .131/.203/.233 | .101 | .238 | 8 | 7 | 45% | 7% | 11 | -1.2 |
|
✕Alexander Campos 2022 · A |
22 | 43 | 42→40 | 46→45 | 48 | .209/.289/.317 | .108 | .281 | 9 | 6 | 28% | 9% | 70 | -0.3 | .221/.304/.311 | .090 | .312 | 8 | 6 | 29% | 9% | 75 | -0.0 | .236/.329/.308 | .072 | .330 | 7 | 6 | 28% | 11% | 83 | +0.2 |
|
●Tyler Nevin 2018 · A |
21 | 46→54 | 41→50 | 45 | 43 | .225/.276/.329 | .104 | .286 | 8 | 9 | 24% | 6% | 67 | -0.5 | .231/.283/.339 | .108 | .294 | 10 | 6 | 24% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .240/.318/.386 | .146 | .290 | 17 | 4 | 22% | 8% | 98 | +1.1 |
|
●Connor Norby 2022 · A |
22 | 48→49 | 43→55 | 49→50 | 45 | .228/.300/.340 | .113 | .324 | 10 | 11 | 31% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .238/.298/.405 | .167 | .308 | 20 | 11 | 28% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 | .239/.300/.413 | .174 | .310 | 21 | 11 | 29% | 7% | 97 | +1.5 |
|
✕Tyler Marlette 2014 · A |
21 | 48→43 | 42→50 | 47→45 | 39 | .232/.269/.335 | .103 | .306 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 4% | 65 | -0.7 | .234/.275/.371 | .137 | .302 | 15 | 8 | 27% | 5% | 78 | +0.2 | .226/.267/.373 | .148 | .287 | 18 | 6 | 28% | 5% | 71 | -0.2 |
|
✕Eguy Rosario 2021 · A |
21 | 43→49 | 42→55 | 48→55 | 39 | .213/.259/.322 | .109 | .292 | 9 | 12 | 30% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .227/.286/.366 | .139 | .304 | 14 | 20 | 28% | 7% | 82 | +0.5 | .223/.285/.369 | .146 | .292 | 15 | 21 | 28% | 7% | 80 | +0.2 |
|
✕Jack Brannigan 2023 · A |
22 | 43 | 43→50 | 48→50 | 43 | .207/.283/.317 | .110 | .309 | 11 | 13 | 34% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .202/.282/.359 | .157 | .299 | 19 | 17 | 37% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .185/.268/.344 | .160 | .263 | 20 | 18 | 36% | 8% | 67 | -0.3 |
|
✕Wilver Perez 2006 · A |
22 | 49→48 | 43→45 | 45 | 43 | .233/.292/.350 | .116 | .319 | 9 | 8 | 29% | 7% | 79 | +0.3 | .228/.286/.326 | .098 | .317 | 8 | 11 | 28% | 7% | 70 | -0.3 | .219/.277/.310 | .091 | .308 | 7 | 14 | 29% | 6% | 60 | -0.4 |
|
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A |
20 | 42→46 | 40→50 | 46→45 | 45 | .200/.274/.295 | .095 | .288 | 7 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .227/.293/.378 | .151 | .302 | 17 | 5 | 29% | 7% | 89 | +0.9 | .224/.290/.376 | .152 | .290 | 17 | 4 | 28% | 6% | 83 | +0.5 |
|
✕Jonathan Galvez 2011 · A |
20 | 44→48 | 43→45 | 49→55 | 46 | .210/.289/.319 | .109 | .300 | 10 | 12 | 32% | 9% | 71 | -0.3 | .227/.281/.348 | .121 | .324 | 11 | 19 | 31% | 6% | 74 | -0.1 | .232/.281/.348 | .116 | .327 | 10 | 23 | 31% | 5% | 71 | -0.2 |