Francisco Acuna
SS San Antonio Missions| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AAPIT | 39 | .290/.405/.387 | 0 | 1 | 97 | — | .273/.351/.364 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 654 | .256/.357/.379 | 12 | 26 | 82 | — | .234/.311/.339 |
| 2026 | 26 | AASD | 331 | .195/.343/.332 | 6 | 11 | 54 | — | .165/.277/.277 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBSD | 3 | .203/.291/.306 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 28 | MLBSD | 60 | .203/.291/.307 | 1 | 1 | 74 | 0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Pirates | — | 256 | 189 | 38 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 41 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 201 | 389 | 291 | 680 | 90 | 243 | 16 | 21 | 318 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 130 | 113 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 315 | 283 | 598 | 53 | 283 | 18 | 8 | 275 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | INTL | Colombia | — | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 167 | 211 | 167 | 377 | 231 | 25 | 0 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 117 | 100 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 30 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 160 | 282 | 270 | 552 | 110 | 206 | 26 | 12 | 262 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 131 | 101 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 208 | 385 | 307 | 692 | 99 | 270 | 21 | 15 | 331 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 228 | 199 | 54 | 18 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 52 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 271 | 361 | 452 | 813 | 181 | 340 | 23 | 9 | 362 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | INTL | Colombia | — | 41 | 34 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 353 | 450 | 441 | 891 | 88 | 429 | 15 | 12 | 396 | 154 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 137 | 119 | 33 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 277 | 363 | 412 | 775 | 134 | 333 | 16 | 7 | 346 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 48 | 39 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 179 | 319 | 179 | 499 | 226 | 19 | 15 | 249 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 39 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 290 | 405 | 387 | 793 | 97 | 360 | 15 | 15 | 345 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 42 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 364 | 475 | 667 | 1.142 | 303 | 345 | 10 | 10 | 468 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 477 | 407 | 102 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 54 | 106 | 10 | 23 | 7 | 251 | 352 | 356 | 708 | 106 | 318 | 22 | 11 | 323 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL | Jaguares de Nayarit | — | 135 | 114 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 246 | 338 | 377 | 716 | 132 | 283 | 16 | 9 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA | San Antonio Missions | — | 331 | 262 | 51 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 50 | 78 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 195 | 343 | 332 | 675 | 137 | 247 | 24 | 15 | 307 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates | — | 256 | 205 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 50 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 137 | 283 | 185 | 469 | 49 | 163 | 20 | 14 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 130 | 117 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 236 | 205 | 441 | 34 | 229 | 25 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 117 | 105 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 124 | 214 | 190 | 404 | 67 | 183 | 34 | 8 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 131 | 109 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 174 | 308 | 257 | 565 | 83 | 239 | 28 | 9 | 253 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 228 | 208 | 43 | 14 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 68 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 207 | 273 | 332 | 605 | 125 | 281 | 30 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 137 | 123 | 26 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 29 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 211 | 281 | 309 | 590 | 98 | 251 | 21 | 4 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 48 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 277 | 171 | 447 | 215 | 25 | 10 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 39 | 33 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 351 | 364 | 715 | 91 | 342 | 21 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 42 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 450 | 647 | 1.097 | 294 | 315 | 12 | 7 | 432 | 178 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 477 | 426 | 95 | 15 | 1 | 7 | 36 | 123 | 10 | 23 | 7 | 223 | 299 | 312 | 611 | 89 | 286 | 26 | 8 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 331 | 278 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 95 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 165 | 277 | 277 | 554 | 112 | 213 | 29 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates | — | 256 | 205 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 50 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 137 | 283 | 185 | 469 | 49 | 173 | 20 | 14 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Pirates | — | 256 | 189 | 38 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 41 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 201 | 389 | 291 | 680 | 90 | 243 | 16 | 21 | 318 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 130 | 117 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 236 | 205 | 441 | 34 | 233 | 25 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Pirates | — | 130 | 113 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 315 | 283 | 598 | 53 | 283 | 18 | 8 | 275 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | INTL MLE | Colombia | — | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 167 | 211 | 167 | 377 | 231 | 25 | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2019 | 19 | INTL RAW | Colombia | — | 20 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 167 | 211 | 167 | 377 | 231 | 25 | 0 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 248 | 213 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 77 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 146 | 263 | 221 | 484 | 75 | 215 | 31 | 9 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 248 | 201 | 37 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 57 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 184 | 336 | 289 | 625 | 104 | 239 | 23 | 14 | 299 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 269 | 245 | 51 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 80 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 208 | 273 | 335 | 608 | 127 | 287 | 30 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 269 | 233 | 66 | 21 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 58 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 283 | 375 | 451 | 825 | 167 | 355 | 22 | 9 | 367 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 185 | 164 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 201 | 280 | 274 | 555 | 73 | 258 | 22 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 185 | 158 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 31 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 253 | 352 | 354 | 706 | 101 | 307 | 17 | 9 | 321 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 39 | 33 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 273 | 351 | 364 | 715 | 91 | 360 | 21 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | Altoona Curve | — | 39 | 31 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 290 | 405 | 387 | 793 | 97 | 360 | 15 | 15 | 345 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 654 | 576 | 133 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 161 | 17 | 26 | 12 | 231 | 310 | 332 | 642 | 101 | 297 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 654 | 554 | 142 | 26 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 132 | 17 | 26 | 12 | 256 | 357 | 379 | 736 | 123 | 312 | 20 | 11 | 330 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 331 | 278 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 95 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 165 | 277 | 277 | 554 | 112 | 225 | 29 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA RAW | San Antonio Missions | — | 331 | 262 | 51 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 50 | 78 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 195 | 343 | 332 | 675 | 137 | 247 | 24 | 15 | 307 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Pirates | — | 256 | 212 | 28 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 50 | 5 | 19 | 3 | 132 | 283 | 179 | 463 | 47 | 163 | 20 | 14 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 130 | 119 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 168 | 236 | 202 | 438 | 34 | 229 | 25 | 5 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 248 | 212 | 31 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 77 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 146 | 263 | 222 | 485 | 75 | 213 | 31 | 9 | 225 | 39 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 269 | 245 | 51 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 80 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 208 | 273 | 335 | 608 | 127 | 281 | 30 | 5 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 185 | 165 | 33 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 200 | 280 | 273 | 553 | 73 | 242 | 22 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 39 | 35 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 351 | 343 | 694 | 86 | 342 | 21 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 654 | 583 | 133 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 161 | 17 | 26 | 12 | 228 | 310 | 328 | 638 | 99 | 288 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 331 | 285 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 95 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 161 | 277 | 270 | 547 | 109 | 213 | 29 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 39 | 35 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 351 | 343 | 694 | 86 | 342 | 21 | 10 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 654 | 583 | 133 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 49 | 161 | 17 | 26 | 12 | 228 | 310 | 328 | 638 | 99 | 288 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | San Antonio Missions | — | 331 | 285 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 95 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 161 | 277 | 270 | 547 | 109 | 213 | 29 | 10 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | SD | 2% | 380 | 335 | 69 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 102 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 206 | 294 | 311 | 606 | 105 | 275 | 27 | 9 | 278 | 74 | -12 | +1 | +0 | +4 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | SD | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 291 | 306 | 597 | 103 | 269 | 33 | 0 | 274 | 74 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | SD | 27% | 222 | 195 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 60 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 206 | 294 | 312 | 605 | 105 | 275 | 27 | 9 | 278 | 74 | -7 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | SD | 27% | 60 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 203 | 291 | 307 | 597 | 104 | 269 | 27 | 8 | 274 | 74 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 60 | 54 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 185 | 267 | 278 | 544 | 93 | 243 | 27 | 8 | 274 | 58 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | 0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 109 | 22 | 0 | 11 | 54 | 173 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 186 | 268 | 280 | 548 | 94 | 244 | 27 | 8 | 274 | 58 | -20 | +2 | -2 | +7 | +14 | 0.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2509 | 2181 | 423 | 95 | 7 | 30 | 210 | 651 | 72 | 89 | 26 | 194 | 286 | 285 | 571 | 91 | 259 | 26 | 8 | 254 | 58 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +4 | +8 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 565 | 110 | 25 | 2 | 8 | 54 | 169 | 19 | 23 | 7 | 195 | 287 | 288 | 575 | 94 | 260 | 26 | 8 | 254 | 58 | -20 | +2 | -1 | +7 | +14 | 0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AASan Antonio Missions · 331 PAwOBA .303 → .248 (−55)K% 23.6% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.56% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 10.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.72% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 2.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.982 | ×0.988 | 13.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.982 | ×0.988 | 7.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.982 | ×0.988 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.58% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.982.
Result: wOBA .303 → .248; ISO .137 → .117; BABIP .247 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AASan Antonio Missions · 477 PAwOBA .316 → .270 (−46)K% 22.2% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.054 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.020 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.10% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.25% | ÷0.964 | ×0.920 | ×0.963 | ×0.998 | 23.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.65% | ÷0.963 | ×0.840 | ×0.963 | ×0.998 | 4.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷1.036 | ×0.940 | ×0.963 | ×0.998 | 0.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.66% | ÷0.950 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 2.23% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 93, 2B 93, 3B 107, K 111, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .316 → .270; ISO .106 → .091; BABIP .318 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 42 PAwOBA .479 → .432 (−46)K% 9.5% → 11.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.52% | ÷0.973 | ×1.200 | — | — | 11.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.52% | ÷1.054 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 6.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.14% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 6.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.14% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 23.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.042 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 5.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 3.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.981 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 5.08% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 100, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .479 → .432; ISO .303 → .257; BABIP .345 → .315. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAltoona Curve · 39 PAwOBA .337 → .311 (−26)K% 15.4% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.38% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.38% | ÷1.022 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 10.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.00% | ÷1.018 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.012 | 23.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.012 | 11.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.844 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 69, 1B 104, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 92, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .337 → .311; ISO .097 → .097; BABIP .360 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 137 PAwOBA .337 → .244 (−93)K% 16.1% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.06% | ÷1.005 | ×1.310 | — | — | 20.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.30% | ÷1.007 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 4.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.38% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 3.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.59% | ÷1.016 | ×0.870 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 16.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.40% | ÷1.154 | ×0.780 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 8.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.03% | ÷1.202 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.75% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 103, 2B 131, 3B 80, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .337 → .244; ISO .134 → .090; BABIP .333 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ABradenton Marauders · 48 PAwOBA .249 → .210 (−40)K% 18.8% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.037 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.58% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 10.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.33% | ÷0.958 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.990 | 22.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 92, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .249 → .210; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .226 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 228 PAwOBA .353 → .261 (−91)K% 22.8% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.81% | ÷0.999 | ×1.310 | — | — | 29.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.77% | ÷1.063 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 5.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.51% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 2.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.41% | ÷0.961 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 17.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.24% | ÷0.963 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 9.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.08% | ÷1.273 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.86% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 155, 1B 92, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 100, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .353 → .261; ISO .181 → .129; BABIP .340 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ABradenton Marauders · 131 PAwOBA .327 → .253 (−74)K% 20.6% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.61% | ÷0.989 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.34% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.27% | ÷1.130 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.87% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 5.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.57% | ÷0.976 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 15.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.46% | ÷0.943 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 8.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.35% | ÷1.302 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 0.84% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 160, 1B 95, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 98, BB 126 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .327 → .253; ISO .099 → .078; BABIP .270 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .