Arquímedes Gamboa

Arquímedes GamboaSS Memphis Redbirds

Age 28 S/R 5'11" / 190 lbs AAA HR -7%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .279 / .291

PA198

HR3

SB5

K%32

BB%10

MLB%10%

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.1peak

2026

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.2M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$-6M		$-11M	-$4M

Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	GCL Phillies	206	196	24	4	2	0	9	72	1	8	2	.122	.165	.163	.328	.041	.194	35	4	.150	-27	-30	+1	+0	+2	+6	-2.1
2017	19	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	350	320	70	10	3	6	20	68	0	8	0	.219	.265	.325	.590	.106	.255	19	6	.255	53	-18	+2	+0	+4	+10	-0.3
2018	20	A+	2 teams	569	512	91	13	3	2	46	182	4	8	4	.178	.251	.227	.477	.049	.268	32	8	.219	26	-48	+0	+0	+6	+16	-2.6
2019	21	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	421	373	57	8	5	2	42	144	1	21	8	.153	.240	.217	.458	.064	.241	34	10	.210	19	-39	+1	+0	+5	+12	-2.2
2021	23	AA	2 teams	382	342	64	12	1	7	38	119	1	10	1	.187	.270	.289	.560	.102	.263	31	10	.253	52	-21	+2	+0	+4	+11	-0.4
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	375	335	65	12	2	4	34	114	2	8	1	.194	.272	.278	.550	.084	.280	30	9	.246	46	-23	+1	+0	+4	+11	-0.7
2023	25	AA	Springfield Cardinals	545	475	95	14	5	7	62	179	5	25	4	.200	.299	.295	.594	.095	.301	33	11	.272	66	-21	+3	+0	+6	+15	0.4
2024	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	183	166	30	6	0	3	17	61	0	2	2	.181	.257	.271	.528	.090	.265	33	9	.242	43	-12	-0	+0	+2	+5	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	STL	198	175	33	6	1	3	20	64	1	5	1	.189	.276	.286	.561	.097	.278	32	10	.264	60	-9	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 20%	STL	252	223	43	8	1	4	25	79	2	6	1	.193	.280	.291	.571	.099	.279	31	10	.268	63	-10	+1	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
2028	30	MLB 33%	STL	295	261	52	9	2	5	30	92	2	6	1	.199	.287	.307	.593	.107	.279	31	10	.269	64	-12	+1	-2	+3	+8	-0.2
2029	31	MLB 43%	STL	292	259	50	9	1	5	29	91	2	5	1	.193	.279	.293	.573	.100	.278	31	10	.268	63	-12	+1	-3	+3	+8	-0.3
2030	32	MLB 52%	STL	281	249	49	9	1	5	28	88	2	3	0	.197	.283	.301	.584	.104	.277	31	10	.265	61	-12	+1	-4	+3	+8	-0.4
2031	33	MLB 64%	STL	256	227	43	8	1	4	25	82	2	2	0	.189	.276	.286	.562	.097	.275	32	10	.260	57	-12	+0	-4	+3	+7	-0.6
2032	34	MLB 73%	STL	217	193	35	6	1	3	21	72	1	1	0	.181	.265	.269	.535	.088	.273	33	10	.254	52	-12	+0	-5	+2	+6	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4822	4306	801	134	29	60	446	1507	26	118	26	.186	.266	.272	.539	.086	.268	31	9	.246	47	-290	+13	-19	+52	+137	-11.0
/ 162G	—			650	580	108	18	4	8	60	203	4	16	4	.186	.267	.272	.539	.086	.269	31	9	.246	47	-39	+2	-3	+7	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	GCL Phillies	206	190	36	7	3	0	15	50	1	8	2	.189	.252	.258	.510	.068	.257	24	7	.236	39	-14	+1	—	—	+6	-0.8
2017	19	A	Lakewood BlueClaws	350	307	80	12	3	6	33	52	0	8	0	.261	.332	.378	.710	.117	.291	15	9	.312	97	-1	+2	—	—	+10	1.0
2018	20	A+	Clearwater Threshers	497	434	93	14	4	2	53	111	4	6	4	.214	.305	.279	.584	.065	.281	22	11	.271	65	-19	-0	—	—	+14	-0.6
2018	20	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	72	59	11	2	0	0	12	19	0	2	0	.186	.324	.220	.544	.034	.268	26	17	.265	61	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2019	21	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	421	356	67	10	5	3	59	112	1	21	8	.188	.305	.270	.575	.081	.264	27	14	.269	64	-17	+1	—	—	+12	-0.4
2021	23	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	111	94	22	3	1	2	16	24	1	4	1	.234	.351	.351	.702	.117	.294	22	14	.324	106	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2021	23	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	271	230	53	12	0	8	40	69	0	6	0	.230	.344	.387	.731	.157	.292	25	15	.331	112	+4	+1	—	—	+8	1.3
2022	24	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	296	255	61	12	2	4	37	69	1	7	1	.239	.338	.349	.687	.110	.311	23	12	.312	97	-1	+1	—	—	+8	0.9
2022	24	INTL	Navegantes del Magallanes	79	69	12	2	0	2	8	16	1	1	0	.174	.269	.290	.559	.116	.196	20	10	.257	55	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2023	25	AA	Springfield Cardinals	545	448	109	18	5	9	89	136	5	25	4	.243	.375	.366	.741	.123	.327	25	16	.340	118	+11	+3	—	—	+15	3.1
2024	26	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	183	158	34	7	0	4	25	49	0	2	2	.215	.322	.335	.658	.120	.286	27	14	.304	91	-2	-0	—	—	+5	0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Arquímedes Gamboa (OGILVIE)	28	—	—	—	—	.191/.279/.291	.100	.278	3	5	32%	10%	60	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anderson Machado 2009 · AAA	28	41→43	41→40	49→45	48	.202/.273/.301	.099	.268	8	9	27%	9%	59	-1.1	.198/.272/.284	.086	.277	5	10	28%	9%	54	-1.4	.194/.272/.269	.075	.285	1	9	29%	9%	48	-0.7
✕Luis Ugueto 2007 · AAA	28	40	44→45	55	42	.199/.261/.321	.121	.273	12	16	30%	7%	59	-1.1	.205/.255/.295	.090	.283	7	14	28%	6%	50	-1.8	.191/.240/.254	.064	.266	3	15	28%	6%	29	-1.7
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA	28	39	41→40	50→55	43	.192/.252/.291	.099	.264	9	14	30%	7%	47	-1.9	.193/.261/.280	.087	.291	8	11	34%	7%	49	-1.8	.161/.236/.224	.063	.253	6	8	36%	7%	21	-1.1
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA	28	39→45	45	49→55	41	.197/.268/.316	.118	.283	13	17	34%	7%	62	-0.9	.210/.295/.327	.117	.326	12	25	36%	9%	76	+0.0	.199/.294/.308	.110	.316	12	32	37%	10%	68	-0.2
✕JJ Muno 2022 · AA	28	39	43→40	53→60	39	.192/.276/.299	.108	.280	11	20	33%	6%	62	-0.9	.204/.287/.299	.095	.295	9	27	32%	7%	66	-0.6	.192/.283/.264	.072	.280	6	39	31%	7%	53	-0.9
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA	28	35→41	45→50	49→55	40	.183/.244/.299	.117	.258	13	14	34%	7%	46	-2.0	.185/.247/.272	.087	.266	8	15	31%	7%	41	-2.3	.158/.224/.222	.065	.226	5	19	31%	6%	16	-2.0
✕Nolan Fontana 2019 · MLB	28	40→43	42→40	51→50	49	.195/.279/.303	.108	.267	9	12	29%	10%	63	-0.9	.201/.288/.323	.122	.291	12	10	32%	10%	72	-0.2	.122/.235/.206	.084	.191	10	0	38%	11%	20	-0.8
✕Koyie Hill 2007 · MLB	28	42→43	42→45	48→40	47	.206/.270/.312	.106	.265	10	8	26%	8%	60	-1.0	.221/.276/.345	.124	.276	12	5	23%	7%	72	-0.2	.225/.284/.349	.124	.285	11	2	24%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA	28	38→42	41→45	47→50	43	.193/.254/.284	.092	.249	10	12	26%	6%	46	-2.0	.221/.284/.356	.135	.267	16	14	23%	8%	78	+0.2	.228/.293/.382	.154	.263	20	15	22%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→30	47→50	50	44	.181/.258/.318	.137	.259	15	13	35%	9%	58	-1.2	.189/.267/.321	.132	.273	16	12	35%	9%	63	-0.9	.160/.249/.296	.136	.218	19	12	36%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→39	46→50	46→45	50	.191/.285/.319	.128	.261	14	9	31%	11%	70	-0.3	.189/.283/.313	.124	.261	14	10	31%	11%	68	-0.5	.168/.270/.287	.119	.228	14	8	31%	11%	54	-0.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	36	44→45	46→45	43	.181/.257/.295	.114	.275	12	9	37%	9%	52	-1.6	.181/.267/.319	.138	.277	18	6	38%	10%	63	-0.9	.145/.237/.274	.129	.209	19	3	39%	10%	37	-0.8
✕Logan Warmoth 2023 · AAA	27	42→39	43→45	51→55	41	.202/.279/.316	.113	.314	11	19	37%	8%	66	-0.6	.197/.275/.297	.100	.290	10	22	33%	8%	59	-1.1	.177/.264/.256	.079	.258	8	25	32%	9%	44	-1.3
✕Cody Bohanek 2022 · AAA	27	37→36	43→40	48→50	40	.177/.276/.289	.112	.295	10	15	40%	8%	59	-1.1	.186/.277/.284	.098	.306	8	15	38%	8%	58	-1.2	.151/.251/.216	.064	.271	3	16	40%	8%	27	-1.6
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA	28	43→46	41→45	51→50	47	.206/.279/.307	.101	.275	8	8	27%	8%	63	-0.8	.196/.273/.279	.083	.270	6	10	28%	9%	54	-1.4	.174/.259/.229	.054	.247	4	10	28%	9%	33	-1.3
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	44→45	48→30	43	.197/.260/.308	.111	.260	13	6	29%	7%	56	-1.3	.211/.260/.328	.117	.271	13	5	26%	6%	60	-1.0	.210/.254/.324	.114	.266	12	1	25%	5%	54	-0.6
✕Micah Gibbs 2015 · AA	27	39	39→30	47→45	44	.188/.264/.271	.083	.282	6	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	.210/.266/.313	.103	.290	8	8	29%	7%	59	-1.1	.195/.246/.310	.115	.264	10	0	29%	6%	50	-0.3
✕Willie Argo 2017 · AA	27	42→36	39→40	52→55	47	.200/.282/.280	.080	.283	7	19	30%	9%	58	-1.2	.197/.253/.328	.131	.305	14	15	38%	6%	58	-1.2	.160/.218/.290	.130	.244	15	17	40%	6%	33	-1.5
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2023 · AAA	28	42→46	43→45	53→60	39	.207/.274/.314	.107	.294	11	21	32%	6%	63	-0.8	.188/.283/.307	.119	.270	13	28	33%	9%	67	-0.5	.158/.273/.275	.117	.225	14	34	34%	10%	52	-1.1
✕Jake Lowery 2017 · AA	27	36	43→45	48→30	43	.183/.252/.292	.109	.264	10	5	33%	8%	48	-1.9	.194/.265/.297	.103	.312	9	6	37%	9%	55	-1.4	.125/.205/.184	.059	.260	4	0	49%	9%	0	-1.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)