Juan Guerrero — OGILVIE

Juan GuerreroSS Hartford Yard Goats

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 160 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%18

BB%4

BABIP289

ISO37

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Arb-1	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.8M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	221	191	61	9	1	2	21	26	2	17	4	319	393	408	801	89	355	12	10	352	124	+6	+2	—	—	+5	1.3
2021	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	171	148	47	13	1	4	16	29	4	9	5	318	399	500	899	182	368	17	9	392	151	+10	-0	—	—	+4	1.4
2022	20	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	506	453	124	24	4	14	39	85	6	18	8	274	339	437	776	163	305	17	8	340	117	+10	+0	—	—	+11	2.2
2023	21	A+	Spokane Indians	—	488	441	113	22	6	6	32	70	8	14	7	256	318	374	692	118	288	14	7	308	94	-3	+0	—	—	+11	0.7
2024	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	124	115	36	2	0	2	7	15	0	4	3	313	352	383	735	70	343	12	6	327	108	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	385	358	108	21	1	4	19	54	4	23	2	302	344	399	743	98	343	14	5	331	110	+5	+4	—	—	+8	1.7
2024	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	119	105	20	8	0	4	6	25	1	4	1	190	241	381	622	190	203	21	5	258	61	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.3
2025	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	413	370	96	17	0	2	32	63	1	13	6	259	320	322	642	62	300	15	8	287	81	-9	+0	—	—	+9	-0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	221	199	48	6	1	2	13	37	2	17	4	241	294	312	606	70	271	17	6	260	62	-10	+2	—	—	+5	-0.3
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	171	155	35	9	1	3	9	42	4	9	5	226	286	355	641	129	271	25	5	271	70	-6	-0	—	—	+4	-0.3
2022	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	506	465	108	19	3	13	27	118	6	18	8	232	283	370	653	138	273	23	5	284	78	-13	+0	—	—	+11	-0.2
2023	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	488	454	92	16	5	5	19	100	8	14	7	203	247	293	540	90	237	20	4	232	43	-33	+0	—	—	+11	-2.3
2024	22	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	124	117	33	2	0	2	5	19	0	4	3	282	311	350	662	68	310	15	4	280	76	-4	-0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2024	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	385	366	88	14	1	3	11	76	4	23	2	240	270	309	579	68	287	20	3	251	56	-20	+4	—	—	+8	-0.8
2025	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	413	379	92	17	0	1	23	75	1	13	6	243	288	296	583	53	281	18	6	259	61	-19	+0	—	—	+9	-1.0
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	221	199	48	6	1	2	13	37	2	17	4	241	294	312	606	70	282	17	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	221	191	61	9	1	2	21	26	2	17	4	319	393	408	801	89	355	12	10	352	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	171	155	35	9	1	3	9	42	4	9	5	226	286	355	641	129	286	25	5	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	171	148	47	13	1	4	16	29	4	9	5	318	399	500	899	182	368	17	9	392	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	506	465	108	19	3	13	27	118	6	18	8	232	283	370	653	138	279	23	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	506	453	124	24	4	14	39	85	6	18	8	274	339	437	776	163	305	17	8	340	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	488	454	92	16	5	5	19	100	8	14	7	203	247	293	540	90	245	20	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	488	441	113	22	6	6	32	70	8	14	7	256	318	374	692	118	288	14	7	308	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	628	591	148	19	1	6	19	117	5	31	6	250	280	316	596	66	299	19	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	628	578	164	31	1	10	32	94	5	31	6	284	327	393	720	109	320	15	5	316	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	413	379	92	17	0	1	23	75	1	13	6	243	288	296	583	53	293	18	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	—	413	370	96	17	0	2	32	63	1	13	6	259	320	322	642	62	300	15	8	287	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	221	204	48	6	1	2	13	37	2	17	4	235	294	304	598	69	271	17	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	171	156	35	9	1	3	9	42	4	9	5	224	286	353	638	128	271	25	5	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	506	468	108	19	3	13	27	118	6	18	8	231	283	368	651	137	273	23	5	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	488	458	92	16	5	5	19	100	8	14	7	201	247	290	538	90	237	20	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	628	599	148	19	1	6	19	117	5	31	6	247	280	312	592	65	293	19	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	413	386	92	17	0	1	23	75	1	13	6	238	288	290	578	52	281	18	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	488	458	92	16	5	5	19	100	8	14	7	201	247	290	538	90	237	20	4	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	628	599	148	19	1	6	19	117	5	31	6	247	280	312	592	65	293	19	3	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	413	386	92	17	0	1	23	75	1	13	6	238	288	290	578	52	281	18	6	259	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	COL	2%	28	27	6	1	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	222	250	259	509	37	276	18	4	254	58	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.3
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	24	MLB CTX	COL	2%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						289	0	0	262	58	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	31%	363	340	78	13	1	4	18	68	2	5	2	229	272	309	581	79	278	19	5	267	67	-14	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	45%	402	375	88	15	1	6	21	77	3	5	2	235	281	328	609	93	279	19	5	275	72	-13	+0	+0	+4	+9	-0.0
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	49%	417	388	92	16	1	7	23	81	3	5	2	237	285	338	623	101	280	19	6	277	74	-13	+0	+0	+4	+9	0.1
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	52%	423	393	92	16	1	7	24	83	3	5	2	234	283	333	617	99	280	20	6	278	74	-13	+0	-1	+5	+9	0.0
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	52%	419	389	91	16	1	6	24	83	3	5	1	234	284	326	610	93	279	20	6	276	73	-13	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.1
2032	30	MLB MLE	COL	56%	413	383	88	15	1	6	24	83	3	4	1	230	280	321	602	91	278	20	6	273	71	-14	+0	-2	+4	+9	-0.3
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	31%	113	105	26	5	0	2	6	21	1	1	0	248	295	352	647	105	291	19	5	276	67	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	45%	179	167	41	7	1	3	9	34	1	2	1	246	288	353	641	108	293	19	5	284	72	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	49%	205	191	47	8	1	4	11	40	1	2	1	246	291	361	652	115	294	20	5	287	74	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	52%	218	202	50	9	1	4	12	43	2	2	1	248	296	361	658	114	294	20	6	287	74	-7	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.0
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	52%	216	201	50	9	1	4	12	43	1	2	1	249	294	363	658	114	293	20	6	285	73	-7	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	COL	56%	230	213	52	9	1	4	13	46	2	2	1	244	294	352	646	108	292	20	6	283	71	-8	+0	-1	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1161	1079	266	47	5	21	63	227	8	11	5	247	293	358	651	111	293	20	5	285	67	-38	+0	-2	+12	+25	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	604	149	26	3	12	35	127	4	6	3	247	292	359	651	113	293	20	5	285	67	-21	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4892	4538	1058	178	17	66	245	969	43	131	46	233	279	323	602	90	280	20	5	267	67	-83	+2	-4	+26	+53	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	141	24	2	9	33	129	6	17	6	234	281	325	606	91	280	20	5	267	67	-22	+0	-1	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Darwin Barneylast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,729 PA	4.1	2,729	29	29	246	294	339	+10	+46	6.5	6.5
/162	664	7	7	+2.5	+11.2	1.6	pk7: 7
#2Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#3Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	1.8	1,168	18	13	236	280	331	+13	+9	0.6	0.6
/162	664	10	7	+7.1	+5.1	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Guerrero (OGILVIE)	24	50	30	50	35	227/265/293	66	276	2	5	19%	4%	58	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Peeter Ramos 2006 · AA	24	49→54	35→30	52→50	45	230/278/286	55	277	3	13	18%	5%	61	-1.5	243/293/316	73	292	6	10	18%	6%	74	-0.6	248/300/319	72	296	6	9	18%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Alex D. Mejia 2015 · AA	24	48→58	36→40	44→45	40	227/257/294	67	275	3	6	19%	3%	55	-2.0	230/269/309	79	277	5	5	18%	4%	63	-1.4	249/288/331	82	300	7	4	19%	4%	73	-0.5
✕Jose Bernardo Lopez 2014 · AAA	24	55	35→30	47→50	42	257/288/311	54	310	2	10	18%	4%	70	-0.9	252/290/327	75	302	5	11	17%	5%	74	-0.5	261/296/332	70	310	3	9	16%	4%	75	-0.1
✕Samar Leyva 2019 · AAA	24	51→55	37→40	45→50	41	240/279/315	74	284	5	11	17%	3%	68	-1.0	237/277/361	124	272	10	15	17%	3%	78	-0.3	239/274/369	130	271	10	17	16%	2%	77	-0.3
✕Luis Rivera 2008 · AA	24	49	34→30	47→45	42	229/266/283	54	271	2	8	16%	4%	55	-1.9	223/256/280	57	265	3	5	16%	4%	51	-2.3	230/256/270	40	269	1	2	15%	3%	45	-0.9
✕Jose Rosario 2016 · AAA	24	48	38→40	49→50	39	229/265/310	80	285	5	11	21%	3%	61	-1.5	224/254/306	82	291	6	9	24%	3%	56	-1.9	245/262/328	82	313	6	7	24%	1%	61	-0.7
✕Blake Trahan 2018 · AA	24	47→51	36→30	48→50	46	218/269/281	63	266	3	13	19%	6%	57	-1.8	204/254/266	62	271	4	8	25%	6%	48	-2.5	195/245/247	52	264	3	5	26%	5%	37	-2.4
✕Humberto Arteaga 2018 · AA	24	47→51	34→30	45→50	39	220/245/272	52	271	2	8	20%	3%	45	-2.7	232/263/301	69	283	5	8	19%	4%	59	-1.7	218/247/280	62	273	5	7	22%	3%	45	-1.7
✕Diego Madero 2016 · AAA	24	50→51	39→40	47→50	44	238/273/323	85	272	6	12	15%	4%	68	-1.0	255/293/348	93	294	7	16	15%	4%	81	-0.1	250/293/343	93	284	9	17	15%	5%	77	-0.2
✕Adrián Sanchez 2015 · AA	24	45→47	35→45	47→50	40	215/250/271	56	263	3	12	20%	4%	47	-2.6	225/258/297	72	271	4	10	18%	4%	56	-1.9	251/288/348	97	306	6	11	20%	4%	76	-0.2
✕Matt Cline 2010 · A	24	49→57	37→30	49→50	47	230/290/304	73	269	5	11	16%	6%	70	-0.8	231/304/297	66	283	2	9	18%	7%	74	-0.5	226/301/281	55	278	1	7	17%	7%	67	-0.5
✕Darwin Barney 2010 · AAA	24	52→58	37→40	49→50	45	245/285/321	76	290	4	8	17%	5%	71	-0.8	255/291/332	77	291	4	9	13%	4%	76	-0.4	241/289/329	89	274	7	5	15%	5%	72	-0.4
✕Jonathan Roof 2013 · AAA	24	47→49	35→40	46→45	43	221/267/280	60	275	3	11	20%	5%	55	-1.9	221/274/316	95	272	7	7	20%	6%	67	-1.1	215/270/310	95	263	7	5	20%	6%	61	-0.9
✕Alejandro Rivero 2013 · AAA	24	47	36→30	49→55	43	222/266/277	55	265	4	13	18%	4%	55	-2.0	231/279/274	43	272	2	16	15%	4%	59	-1.7	222/277/256	34	256	1	19	13%	6%	51	-1.0
✕Calten Daal 2018 · AA	24	52→54	36→30	52→50	42	244/286/304	60	315	4	16	23%	5%	68	-1.0	242/275/313	71	320	4	10	24%	4%	65	-1.2	268/284/306	38	348	0	8	23%	2%	62	-0.7
✕Stephen Bruno 2015 · AA	24	51→52	38→40	49→50	41	240/298/332	91	311	4	8	23%	5%	80	-0.2	232/287/324	92	296	7	11	23%	4%	74	-0.5	219/275/300	81	269	8	11	20%	4%	63	-0.7
✕Wilberto Ortiz 2009 · AA	24	49→53	38→40	48→50	43	233/271/315	82	276	5	12	18%	4%	65	-1.2	228/276/299	71	277	4	8	18%	5%	63	-1.4	225/281/290	65	273	3	5	18%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Jose Gomez 2021 · AA	24	45→55	36→40	44→50	38	214/255/280	67	293	4	8	28%	5%	51	-2.3	210/254/296	86	299	7	10	31%	5%	55	-2.0	209/254/289	80	293	6	11	30%	5%	50	-1.5
✕Yonathan Mendoza 2018 · AA	24	52	36→30	48→45	47	247/294/308	61	294	4	7	17%	6%	72	-0.7	227/279/281	54	283	3	6	19%	7%	60	-1.6	220/275/256	36	275	2	4	19%	7%	50	-1.4
✕Christian Zazueta 2009 · AAA	24	48→55	36→45	49→60	40	228/262/298	70	275	3	12	18%	3%	57	-1.8	255/275/333	78	297	5	14	15%	2%	70	-0.9	257/275/359	102	303	9	14	18%	1%	74	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps