Cobie Fletcher-Vance
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+OAK | 442 | .252/.360/.346 | 3 | 11 | 68 | — | .218/.307/.290 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAMIA | 436 | .243/.305/.324 | 4 | 2 | 47 | — | .213/.260/.277 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA/AAMIA | 222 | .245/.320/.365 | 3 | 0 | 56 | — | .209/.266/.306 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 20 | A+ | Stockton Ports | — | 101 | 96 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 229 | 267 | 240 | 507 | 10 | 275 | 16 | 3 | 236 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Athletics | — | 61 | 56 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 304 | 361 | 464 | 825 | 161 | 320 | 8 | 8 | 364 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A | Beloit Snappers | — | 345 | 293 | 68 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 59 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 232 | 334 | 304 | 638 | 72 | 279 | 17 | 11 | 293 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 442 | 373 | 94 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 74 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 252 | 360 | 346 | 706 | 94 | 303 | 17 | 12 | 323 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 436 | 395 | 96 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 67 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 243 | 305 | 324 | 629 | 81 | 279 | 15 | 6 | 284 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 66 | 56 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 333 | 321 | 655 | 107 | 268 | 21 | 14 | 306 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 156 | 144 | 37 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 314 | 382 | 696 | 125 | 330 | 23 | 6 | 313 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 20 | A+ MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 101 | 97 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 238 | 216 | 454 | 10 | 262 | 22 | 2 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Athletics | — | 61 | 58 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 262 | 328 | 590 | 103 | 262 | 11 | 5 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 345 | 304 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 79 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 191 | 272 | 247 | 519 | 56 | 236 | 23 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 442 | 386 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 100 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 218 | 307 | 290 | 597 | 73 | 276 | 23 | 9 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 436 | 404 | 86 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 85 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 213 | 260 | 277 | 538 | 64 | 252 | 19 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 66 | 59 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 288 | 305 | 593 | 102 | 257 | 24 | 9 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 156 | 147 | 31 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 256 | 306 | 563 | 95 | 291 | 28 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 162 | 155 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 213 | 247 | 258 | 505 | 45 | 256 | 18 | 3 | 228 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 162 | 152 | 39 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 257 | 302 | 322 | 625 | 66 | 292 | 13 | 5 | 284 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 345 | 304 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 79 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 191 | 272 | 247 | 519 | 56 | 247 | 23 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A RAW | Beloit Snappers | — | 345 | 293 | 68 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 59 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 232 | 334 | 304 | 638 | 72 | 279 | 17 | 11 | 293 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 442 | 386 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 100 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 218 | 307 | 290 | 597 | 73 | 282 | 23 | 9 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 442 | 373 | 94 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 74 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 252 | 360 | 346 | 706 | 94 | 303 | 17 | 12 | 323 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 436 | 404 | 86 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 85 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 213 | 260 | 277 | 538 | 64 | 258 | 19 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA RAW | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 436 | 395 | 96 | 20 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 67 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 243 | 305 | 324 | 629 | 81 | 279 | 15 | 6 | 284 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 222 | 206 | 43 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 60 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 266 | 306 | 572 | 97 | 285 | 27 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 222 | 200 | 49 | 15 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 320 | 365 | 685 | 120 | 313 | 23 | 8 | 311 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 162 | 154 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 247 | 260 | 507 | 45 | 262 | 18 | 3 | 228 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A MLE | Beloit Snappers | — | 345 | 308 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 79 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 188 | 272 | 244 | 516 | 55 | 236 | 23 | 8 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 442 | 389 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 39 | 100 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 216 | 307 | 288 | 595 | 72 | 276 | 23 | 9 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 436 | 407 | 86 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 85 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 211 | 260 | 275 | 536 | 64 | 252 | 19 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 222 | 204 | 43 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 60 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 266 | 309 | 575 | 98 | 281 | 27 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1607 | 1455 | 304 | 62 | 3 | 10 | 103 | 353 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 209 | 275 | 276 | 551 | 67 | 265 | 22 | 6 | 246 | 53 | -91 | +2 | +0 | +17 | +35 | -3.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 123 | 25 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 143 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 209 | 276 | 275 | 551 | 66 | 265 | 22 | 6 | 246 | 53 | -37 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 156 PAwOBA .305 → .248 (−57)K% 23.1% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷0.990 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.77% | ÷1.056 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 3.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.60% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.30% | ÷1.052 | ×0.920 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 18.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.947 | ×0.910 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 10.47% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.097 | ×0.880 | ×0.992 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.85% | ÷1.091 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 1.34% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 110, 2B 89, 3B 119, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.992.
Result: wOBA .305 → .248; ISO .125 → .104; BABIP .330 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 66 PAwOBA .299 → .257 (−42)K% 21.2% → 24.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.21% | ÷1.040 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.64% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 9.50% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.016 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 18.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 6.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.031 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 1.65% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 103, 2B 91, 3B 108, K 108, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .299 → .257; ISO .107 → .088; BABIP .268 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 436 PAwOBA .281 → .238 (−42)K% 15.4% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.37% | ÷0.964 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.42% | ÷1.021 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 4.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 1.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.95% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 20.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.10% | ÷1.056 | ×0.910 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 5.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.880 | ×0.987 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.22% | ÷1.048 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.93% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 130, K 93, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .281 → .238; ISO .081 → .066; BABIP .279 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 442 PAwOBA .318 → .268 (−50)K% 16.7% → 22.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.74% | ÷0.998 | ×1.350 | — | — | 22.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.938 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 8.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.49% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 1.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.74% | ÷0.961 | ×0.910 | ×1.023 | ×0.988 | 21.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.69% | ÷1.066 | ×0.830 | ×1.023 | ×0.988 | 5.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×1.023 | ×0.988 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 0.86% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 92, 2B 113, 3B 130, K 100, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .318 → .268; ISO .094 → .073; BABIP .303 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ABeloit Snappers · 345 PAwOBA .292 → .233 (−59)K% 17.1% → 22.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.10% | ÷1.019 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.30% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.74% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.94% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | — | 18.46% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.049 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | — | 5.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.014 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.34% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 104, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .292 → .233; ISO .072 → .054; BABIP .279 → .236. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Stockton Ports · 101 PAwOBA .230 → .201 (−29)K% 15.8% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.84% | ÷0.972 | ×1.340 | — | — | 21.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.97% | ÷1.035 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 2.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.98% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.25% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 25.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.25% | ÷0.926 | ×0.820 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 1.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.760 | ×0.999 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.244 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 101, K 94, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .230 → .201; ISO .010 → .009; BABIP .275 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKAZL Athletics · 61 PAwOBA .355 → .274 (−81)K% 8.2% → 11.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.20% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 11.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 5.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 19.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 2.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×0.985 | 2.92% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 1.51% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .355 → .274; ISO .161 → .120; BABIP .320 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).