Alfredo Rodriguez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 25 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 600 | .273/.320/.327 | 1 | 17 | 52 | — | .225/.262/.272 |
| 2021 | 27 | AAACIN | 453 | .283/.337/.354 | 3 | 2 | 73 | — | .265/.303/.325 |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA/AAWSH | 157 | .200/.231/.267 | 1 | 1 | 12 | — | .179/.205/.239 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | ROK | DSL Reds | — | 93 | 77 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 234 | 344 | 299 | 643 | 65 | 281 | 17 | 10 | 295 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | — | 516 | 483 | 122 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 79 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 253 | 295 | 294 | 589 | 41 | 297 | 15 | 5 | 268 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 29 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 192 | 276 | 192 | 468 | 263 | 24 | 7 | 229 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ | Daytona Tortugas | — | 122 | 111 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 207 | 273 | 324 | 597 | 117 | 239 | 18 | 7 | 269 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | ROK | AZL Reds | — | 21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 286 | 400 | 686 | 150 | 294 | 14 | 5 | 303 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | INTL | Scottsdale Scorpions | — | 72 | 67 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 236 | 224 | 460 | 45 | 231 | 21 | 7 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 88 | 77 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 169 | 264 | 221 | 485 | 52 | 200 | 15 | 8 | 231 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 436 | 409 | 117 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 62 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 286 | 326 | 347 | 673 | 61 | 334 | 14 | 5 | 303 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 76 | 68 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 309 | 356 | 324 | 680 | 15 | 382 | 18 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 453 | 410 | 116 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 78 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 283 | 337 | 354 | 691 | 71 | 336 | 17 | 6 | 309 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Rochester Red Wings | — | 33 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 250 | 323 | 573 | 97 | 304 | 24 | 3 | 248 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 124 | 119 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 193 | 226 | 252 | 478 | 59 | 275 | 31 | 2 | 218 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2016 | 22 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 93 | 81 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 148 | 233 | 185 | 419 | 37 | 170 | 22 | 5 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 516 | 488 | 113 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 112 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 232 | 268 | 270 | 538 | 39 | 292 | 22 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | AA MLE | Pensacola Blue Wahoos | — | 29 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 207 | 148 | 355 | 239 | 28 | 3 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 122 | 113 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 177 | 231 | 283 | 515 | 106 | 222 | 25 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | ROK MLE | AZL Reds | — | 21 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 190 | 250 | 440 | 100 | 213 | 19 | 5 | 197 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 88 | 80 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 150 | 218 | 188 | 406 | 38 | 180 | 18 | 5 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | Chattanooga Lookouts | — | 436 | 416 | 100 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 78 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 240 | 270 | 288 | 559 | 48 | 291 | 18 | 3 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 453 | 422 | 112 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 99 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 265 | 303 | 325 | 628 | 59 | 325 | 22 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA MLE | Rochester Red Wings | — | 33 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 250 | 323 | 573 | 97 | 274 | 27 | 3 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 124 | 120 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 46 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 167 | 194 | 217 | 410 | 50 | 264 | 37 | 2 | 179 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 93 | 81 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 148 | 233 | 185 | 419 | 37 | 188 | 22 | 5 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | ROK RAW | DSL Reds | — | 93 | 77 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 234 | 344 | 299 | 643 | 65 | 281 | 17 | 10 | 295 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 516 | 488 | 113 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 112 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 232 | 268 | 270 | 538 | 39 | 295 | 22 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ RAW | Daytona Tortugas | — | 516 | 483 | 122 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 79 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 253 | 295 | 294 | 589 | 41 | 297 | 15 | 5 | 268 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 244 | 229 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 61 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 170 | 218 | 245 | 463 | 74 | 222 | 25 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ RAW | 4 teams | — | 244 | 224 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 47 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 201 | 263 | 286 | 549 | 85 | 244 | 19 | 7 | 251 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 600 | 566 | 129 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 108 | 5 | 17 | 10 | 228 | 263 | 274 | 537 | 46 | 278 | 18 | 4 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 600 | 554 | 151 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 89 | 5 | 17 | 10 | 273 | 320 | 327 | 647 | 54 | 321 | 15 | 6 | 292 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 453 | 422 | 112 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 99 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 265 | 303 | 325 | 628 | 59 | 335 | 22 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA RAW | Louisville Bats | — | 453 | 410 | 116 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 78 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 283 | 337 | 354 | 691 | 71 | 336 | 17 | 6 | 309 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 157 | 151 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 205 | 238 | 444 | 60 | 277 | 36 | 2 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 157 | 150 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 46 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 200 | 231 | 267 | 497 | 67 | 282 | 29 | 3 | 224 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 22 | ROK MLE | DSL Reds | — | 93 | 84 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 143 | 233 | 179 | 412 | 36 | 170 | 22 | 5 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 23 | A+ MLE | Daytona Tortugas | — | 516 | 487 | 113 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 112 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 232 | 268 | 271 | 539 | 39 | 292 | 22 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 24 | A+ MLE | 4 teams | — | 244 | 228 | 39 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 61 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 171 | 218 | 246 | 464 | 75 | 224 | 25 | 5 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 600 | 568 | 129 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 108 | 5 | 17 | 10 | 227 | 263 | 273 | 536 | 46 | 272 | 18 | 4 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 27 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 453 | 427 | 112 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 99 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 262 | 303 | 321 | 624 | 59 | 325 | 22 | 4 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 157 | 151 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 56 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 205 | 238 | 444 | 60 | 266 | 36 | 2 | 186 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2063 | 1937 | 432 | 65 | 5 | 8 | 77 | 456 | 25 | 45 | 24 | 223 | 262 | 274 | 536 | 51 | 285 | 22 | 4 | 237 | 47 | -131 | -1 | +0 | +22 | +45 | -6.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 610 | 137 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 144 | 8 | 14 | 8 | 225 | 263 | 279 | 542 | 54 | 286 | 22 | 4 | 237 | 47 | -41 | -0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2022 AAHarrisburg Senators · 124 PAwOBA .212 → .179 (−33)K% 30.6% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.65% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.42% | ÷0.980 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 1.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.61% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | ×1.047 | ×0.968 | 21.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.94% | ÷0.936 | ×0.860 | ×1.047 | ×0.968 | 4.60% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.047 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.23% | ÷0.979 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 0.95% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 103, 2B 87, 3B 130, K 99, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.047.
Result: wOBA .212 → .179; ISO .059 → .046; BABIP .275 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAARochester Red Wings · 33 PAwOBA .241 → .213 (−27)K% 24.2% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.24% | ÷1.049 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.03% | ÷0.973 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 2.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.39% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 15.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.04% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 11.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.913 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.084 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 102, 2B 86, 3B 83, K 110, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .241 → .213; ISO .097 → .086; BABIP .304 → .274. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAALouisville Bats · 453 PAwOBA .305 → .276 (−28)K% 17.2% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.22% | ÷0.949 | ×1.200 | — | — | 21.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.74% | ÷1.099 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 3.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.55% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.61% | ÷0.994 | ×0.930 | ×1.040 | ×1.003 | 27.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.82% | ÷0.945 | ×0.830 | ×1.040 | ×1.003 | 4.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.60% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.040 | ×1.003 | 0.64% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.90% | ÷1.088 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 0.58% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 90, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .305 → .276; ISO .071 → .060; BABIP .336 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAChattanooga Lookouts · 436 PAwOBA .295 → .246 (−49)K% 14.2% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.22% | ÷0.967 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.82% | ÷0.949 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 3.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.46% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.67% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 24.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.19% | ÷1.160 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 3.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.58% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.29% | ÷0.979 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.23% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 95, 2B 132, 3B 80, K 93, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .295 → .246; ISO .061 → .047; BABIP .334 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAALouisville Bats · 88 PAwOBA .229 → .191 (−38)K% 14.8% → 18.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.77% | ÷0.960 | ×1.200 | — | — | 18.46% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.95% | ÷1.151 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 3.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.06% | ÷1.018 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 13.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.082 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 4.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 104, 2B 116, 3B 130, K 92, BB 130 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .229 → .191; ISO .052 → .042; BABIP .200 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Daytona Tortugas · 122 PAwOBA .264 → .223 (−42)K% 18.0% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.03% | ÷1.035 | ×1.420 | — | — | 24.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.56% | ÷0.994 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 4.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.85% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 15.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.62% | ÷1.088 | ×0.960 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 5.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷1.047 | ×0.810 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 0.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.25% | ÷1.058 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 1.85% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 101, 2B 118, 3B 109, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .264 → .223; ISO .117 → .095; BABIP .239 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAPensacola Blue Wahoos · 29 PAwOBA .224 → .189 (−35)K% 24.1% → 28.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.14% | ÷1.030 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷0.967 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 4.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.45% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 2.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.32% | ÷1.023 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 23.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.909 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 105, 2B 108, 3B 101, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .224 → .189; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .263 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKAZL Reds · 21 PAwOBA .295 → .197 (−97)K% 14.3% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 20.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.955 | 2.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.955 | 9.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 12.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.955 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 19.5 → −4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .295 → .197; ISO .150 → .098; BABIP .294 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .