Coby Mayo — OGILVIE

Coby Mayo1B Baltimore Orioles

Age 24 R/R 6'5" / 225 lbs MLB HR +8% Svc 0.988 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION246 act + 164 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 11499vR 60

AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .282 / .388

PA164

HR7

K%30

BB%9

BABIP250

ISO184

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT35

Whiff%

788.1%

xwOBA

320.288

POWER50

Barrel%

609.7

Avg EV

5189.2

Bat Spd

7974.4

EYE50

Chase%

9018.7%

SPEED55

Sprint

6027.9

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 400 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

122

278

—

wRC+

121

◀◀L

wOBA

343

264

◀◀L

ISO

217

133

◀◀L

BABIP

288

240

◀◀L

25.4%

31.7%

◀◀L

BB%

9.0%

9.4%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 0.988 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.3M		$0.1M	+$0.2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	2 teams	—	216	193	48	10	1	7	18	53	5	11	0	249	329	420	748	171	308	25	8	323	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	2 teams	—	216	182	58	14	1	9	29	40	5	11	0	319	426	555	981	236	368	19	13	431	188	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	2 teams	—	433	395	78	16	2	13	27	150	7	5	1	197	261	347	608	149	275	35	6	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	2 teams	—	433	383	96	20	2	19	39	112	7	5	1	251	331	462	793	211	301	26	9	348	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	2 teams	—	614	529	120	34	3	21	68	191	13	5	1	227	330	422	751	195	308	31	11	323	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	2 teams	—	614	504	146	45	3	29	93	148	13	5	1	290	413	563	977	274	353	24	15	423	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	3 teams	—	452	413	100	21	3	21	32	131	5	4	4	242	304	460	764	218	300	29	7	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	3 teams	—	452	399	109	26	3	25	46	124	5	4	4	273	356	541	897	268	333	27	10	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB	2 teams	—	489	440	89	19	2	18	41	152	5	4	1	202	278	377	655	175	260	31	8	288	78	-12	+0	-4	-9	+14	-1.1
2025	23	MLB	2 teams	—	489	431	95	22	2	19	50	137	5	4	1	220	309	413	722	193	273	28	10	320	103	+2	+0	-4	-9	+14	0.3
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	MLB	BAL	—	246	223	43	9	0	12	19	80	3	1	0	193	265	395	660	202	235	33	8	289	79	-6	+0	+1	+1	+7	0.4
YTD	24	MLB	BAL	—	246	223	43	9	0	12	19	80	3	1	0	193	265	395	660	202	235	33	8	292	82	-5	+0	+1	+1	+7	0.4
ROS	24	MLB	BAL	100%	164	147	30	6	0	7	14	49	2	1	0	204	282	388	670	184	252	30	9	296	84	-3	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.1
ROS	24	MLB	BAL	100%	164	147	30	6	0	7	14	49	2	1	0	204	282	388	670	184	256	30	9	293	82	-3	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.1
FULL	24	MLB	BAL	—	410	370	73	15	0	19	33	129	5	2	0	197	272	392	664	195	241	31	8	290	80	-9	+0	+2	-2	+12	0.2
TOT	24	MLB	BAL	—	410	370	73	15	0	19	33	129	5	2	0	197	272	392	664	195	241	31	8	292	81	-9	+0	+2	-2	+12	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	BAL	65%	420	377	77	16	1	17	35	126	5	3	1	204	281	387	668	183	252	30	8	299	87	-6	+0	+1	-8	+12	-0.1
2027	25	MLB	BAL	65%	273	245	52	11	1	12	23	82	3	2	0	212	288	412	700	200	257	30	8	296	84	-5	+0	+1	-5	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	777	696	143	29	1	30	68	237	10	6	0	205	286	379	665	174	262	31	9	292	81	-16	+1	-4	-15	+22	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	119	24	1	25	57	198	8	5	0	204	284	378	662	174	260	30	9	292	81	-14	+1	-4	-12	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	2788	2494	542	122	12	104	235	852	42	33	8	217	296	401	697	184	282	31	8	304	91	-29	+3	-4	-40	+79	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	126	28	3	24	55	199	10	8	2	217	296	399	695	182	282	31	8	304	91	-7	+1	-1	-9	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	125	106	33	8	1	5	16	26	3	5	0	311	416	547	963	236	373	21	13	423	182	+12	+1	—	—	+4	1.6
2021	19	ROK	FCL Orioles Black	—	91	76	25	6	0	4	13	14	2	6	0	329	440	566	1.005	237	362	15	14	441	196	+10	+1	—	—	+3	1.4
2022	20	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	145	128	32	4	0	5	12	50	4	0	0	250	333	398	732	148	365	34	8	329	110	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2022	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	288	255	64	16	2	14	27	62	3	5	1	251	330	494	824	243	275	22	9	357	132	+10	+1	—	—	+8	1.9
2023	21	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	267	217	58	15	1	12	42	62	5	1	0	267	398	512	909	244	315	23	16	397	162	+19	+0	—	—	+8	2.7
2023	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	347	287	88	30	2	17	51	86	8	4	1	307	425	603	1.028	296	384	25	15	443	197	+38	+0	—	—	+10	4.9
2024	22	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	46	41	4	0	0	0	4	22	1	0	0	98	196	98	293		211	48	9	155	-23	-6	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.5
2024	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	390	345	99	23	3	22	40	97	3	4	4	287	366	562	928	275	338	25	10	401	165	+29	-1	—	—	+11	4.0
2024	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	16	13	6	3	0	3	2	5	1	0	0	462	562	1.385	1.947	923	600	31	12	764	443	+6	+0	—	—	+0	0.7
2025	23	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	294	263	57	12	0	11	27	84	4	3	0	217	299	388	687	171	274	29	9	309	95	-2	+1	-4	-9	+8	-0.6
2025	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	195	168	38	10	2	8	23	53	1	1	1	226	323	452	775	226	273	27	12	337	116	+4	-0	—	—	+6	0.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	340	304	61	12	0	11	31	106	5	3	0	201	285	349	634	148	267	31	9	288	79	-8	+1	-5	-7	+10	-1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	1,220	49	10	209	283	393	-22	-8	-0.3	-0.2
	/162	664	27	5	209	283	393	-11.9	-4.1	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Coby Mayo (OGILVIE)	24	35	50	55	50	197/272/392	195	241	19	2	31%	8%	81	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richie Shaffer 2016 · MLB	25	38	54→55	47→40	43	206/272/387	181	266	22	5	32%	8%	82	+0.5	185/252/318	133	280	16	5	38%	7%	56	-1.3	161/230/272	111	256	13	3	41%	7%	31	-2.2
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2023 · AAA	24	41→44	56→55	46→45	43	225/280/412	187	275	25	7	28%	7%	92	+1.2	220/285/390	170	266	21	8	25%	8%	88	+0.9	208/281/371	163	244	21	8	24%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Elehuris Montero 2023 · MLB	24	41→51	53→55	45→30	42	220/283/392	172	274	22	4	29%	6%	88	+0.9	217/276/369	152	288	19	3	30%	7%	79	+0.3	210/271/357	147	279	19	1	31%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Ryan Rua 2014 · AA	24	37→47	53→50	52→50	41	202/263/378	176	252	21	10	29%	6%	76	+0.1	232/287/373	141	299	16	8	27%	6%	84	+0.6	241/298/373	132	311	15	9	26%	6%	84	+0.4
✕Curtis Terry 2022 · MLB	25	43	55	46→30	40	231/290/421	190	279	23	4	26%	5%	98	+1.6	230/294/399	169	270	20	5	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/286/375	161	242	19	0	20%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Alex Binelas 2023 · AA	23	34→26	54→50	51→50	41	194/261/370	176	265	24	7	36%	8%	72	-0.2	200/264/348	148	298	18	12	37%	8%	68	-0.5	226/305/379	153	324	20	8	34%	9%	90	+0.6
✕Jerry Sands 2012 · MLB	24	42→46	55→60	47→45	45	224/288/408	184	273	23	7	27%	8%	94	+1.3	205/273/348	143	278	17	4	31%	8%	72	-0.2	238/300/412	174	297	20	3	26%	8%	96	+0.8
✕Carlos Rincon 2022 · AA	24	39→37	55	50→45	38	210/264/386	176	286	24	6	35%	6%	78	+0.2	214/262/361	147	314	18	7	36%	5%	70	-0.3	176/212/298	122	281	13	0	41%	4%	28	-0.8
✕Darick Hall 2019 · AA	24	40	55	48→40	37	220/277/402	182	276	24	3	30%	5%	89	+0.9	201/273/352	151	267	16	4	30%	6%	73	-0.1	216/275/395	180	259	24	2	27%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Nick Pratto 2023 · MLB	24	36→45	58→60	50	46	200/294/408	208	280	27	9	37%	10%	97	+1.5	196/269/335	139	300	16	9	37%	8%	67	-0.5	181/252/298	117	279	13	9	37%	8%	47	-1.5
✕Michael Toglia 2023 · MLB	24	36→34	53→55	48→45	41	193/261/360	167	280	21	8	38%	8%	70	-0.3	188/264/344	156	262	20	7	35%	9%	67	-0.5	189/268/367	178	253	24	7	34%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Wladimir Balentien 2009 · MLB	25	40→45	53→55	44→50	44	216/275/389	173	262	22	9	27%	7%	83	+0.6	230/288/403	173	281	20	9	25%	7%	92	+1.2	234/293/408	175	284	20	10	24%	7%	95	+0.9
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2008 · AA	24	37→47	54→55	51→50	41	205/264/381	176	254	23	10	30%	6%	77	+0.1	215/264/376	161	269	19	11	27%	5%	75	-0.0	243/295/401	158	287	19	12	22%	6%	91	+0.9
✕Sandro Fabian 2023 · AAA	25	42→47	56→60	49→45	40	228/271/417	188	255	26	4	23%	4%	89	+1.0	232/278/399	167	262	20	6	20%	5%	87	+0.8	232/278/395	164	259	19	5	19%	5%	82	+0.4
✕Ruben Cardenas 2023 · AAA	25	38→42	57→55	45→50	37	212/259/399	186	275	27	9	34%	6%	79	+0.3	223/281/395	172	280	22	11	28%	6%	88	+0.9	221/284/392	171	272	22	11	27%	6%	85	+0.5
●Spencer Steer 2022 · AA	24	40→50	52→55	48→50	45	213/285/380	166	264	21	8	28%	8%	85	+0.7	232/310/400	168	281	19	10	24%	9%	101	+1.8	238/325/410	172	280	19	15	21%	10%	107	+2.4
✕Rodolfo Castro 2023 · MLB	24	40	53→55	47→50	41	215/272/390	175	275	22	10	30%	6%	82	+0.5	211/275/356	145	278	18	9	30%	7%	75	-0.0	201/269/340	139	259	18	12	29%	7%	66	-0.5
✕Jon Griffin 2013 · AA	24	44→46	53→50	48→30	41	233/281/395	161	287	23	3	28%	6%	87	+0.8	212/258/346	134	293	18	2	33%	5%	65	-0.7	193/238/316	124	273	17	1	35%	4%	46	-1.4
✕Jhonkensy Noel 2023 · AAA	22	37→40	55	47→45	37	206/258/387	181	273	24	5	34%	5%	76	+0.1	206/262/379	173	264	24	3	31%	6%	76	+0.1	200/256/371	171	251	24	1	31%	5%	68	-0.4
✕Aaron Sabato 2023 · AA	24	33→41	53→55	47→45	44	175/277/341	167	288	22	4	44%	11%	73	-0.1	186/266/334	148	300	18	6	41%	9%	66	-0.6	198/262/360	163	284	21	5	37%	7%	68	-0.3