Nelson VelázquezRF Memphis Redbirds
Age 27 R/R 5'11" / 190 lbs MLB HR -14%BB -5% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION268 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only
showingROS
wRC+†vL 8986vR 75
AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125
PA9
HR0
K%33
BB%11
BABIP259
ISO187
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)
BAT so far: -2.6 runs (105 MLB PA)BAT projected ROS: -0.2 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)-3BATRUN so far: +0.0 runs (105 MLB PA)RUN projected ROS: +0.0 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)+0RUNFLD so far: +0.0 runs (105 MLB PA)FLD projected ROS: -0.0 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)-0FLDPOS so far: -1.1 runs (105 MLB PA)POS projected ROS: -0.1 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)-1POSREP so far: +2.3 runs (105 MLB PA)REP projected ROS: +0.2 runs (9 MLB PA, park-applied)+2REP2026 MLB WAR (so far + projected ROS): -0.16so far: -0.1 WAR-0.2WAR
0.00.51.00.00.026272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control-$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2026
CONTACT40
Whiff%
3812.3%
xAVG
250.230
POWER50
Barrel%
8914.1
Avg EV
7090.5
Bat Spd
6973.4
EYE55
Chase%
8724.5%
SPEED50
Sprint
5227.6
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%36%▼▼48% over 40 PA (60d) · proj 28%
BB%7%5% over 40 PA (60d) · proj 8%
ISO.173.108 over 37 AB (60d) · proj .187xISO .239 vs .247 prior — approach flat: likely noise/luck
BABIP.267·.167 over 18 BIP (60d) · proj .270xBABIP .307 vs .280 prior
SLASH.195/.260/.368▼▼proj .221/.290/.409
Platoon Splits2024 · 230 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
70
160
wRC+
105
66
◀◀L
wOBA
324
266
◀◀L
ISO
133
179
▶▶R
BABIP
342
194
◀◀L
K%
27.1%
26.2%
R
BB%
11.4%
6.9%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-2$0.1M
2027Arb-3$0.7M
Totals $0.0M $-1.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201718 ROKAZL Cubs 125109 26528 15391 52 239336541877 303290 3112 380 143 +6 +0 +3 1.0
201819 ASouth Bend Cubs 120112 21100 7431 30 188242196438 9304 366 208 27 -10 +1 +3 -0.7
201920 ASouth Bend Cubs 285262 751644 21770 53 286339424763 137390 277 337 114 +5 -0 +6 1.1
201920 ROKAZL Cubs 2 2119 6102 250 00 3163816841.065 368333 2410 455 194 +2 +0 +0 0.3
201920 INTLCriollos de Caguas 1514 1000 180 00 7113371205 167 537 107 -42 -3 +0 +0 -0.2
202122 AATennessee Smokies 137124 361018 10353 50 290358581938 290346 267 406 161 +10 +1 +3 1.4
202122 A+South Bend Cubs 288261 6813112 20974 122 261323456779 195364 347 341 117 +6 +2 +6 1.4
202122 INTLPuerto Rico 201175 549111 24562 42 309398560958 251398 2812 419 169 +17 +0 +4 2.1
202223 MLBChicago Cubs 206185 38736 19652 52 205286373659 168281 329 296 86 -3 +0 -3 +2 +4 -0.0
202223 AAAIowa Cubs 138123 26706 13501 72 211292415707 203294 369 312 97 -0 +1 +3 0.3
202223 AATennessee Smokies 9480 23419 14330 52 2873947001.094 412368 3515 462 199 +11 +0 +2 1.4
202324 MLBKansas City Royals 179162 386017 14512 00 235303586890 352221 288 379 143 +9 +0 -3 -7 +4 0.3
202324 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 353314 7515016 331034 93 239319439759 201299 299 335 113 +5 +1 +8 1.4
202324 INTLPuerto Rico 111101 30614 10180 61 297360495855 198329 169 377 141 +5 +1 +2 0.9
202425 MLBKansas City Royals 230205 41818 19613 20 200278366643 166237 278 286 80 -6 +0 -2 -6 +5 -0.8
202425 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers 225188 451017 34471 63 239359415774 176279 2115 346 120 +5 +0 +5 1.1
202425 INTLCriollos de Caguas 8165 16503 14141 32 246388462849 215265 1717 375 140 +4 -0 +2 0.6
202526 AAAIndianapolis Indians 210188 445111 21490 51 234311447758 213256 2310 333 112 +3 +1 +5 0.8
202526 INTLPuerto Rico 207183 511204 23390 41 279359410769 131336 1911 345 120 +5 +0 +4 1.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 615552 11721431 521777 72 212288433721 221247 298 316 100 +0 +1 -8 -11 +13 -0.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201718 ROK MLEAZL Cubs 125115 16315 9561 52 139208313521 174210 457 233 44 -8 +0 +3 -0.6
201819 A MLESouth Bend Cubs 120114 17100 5581 30 149192158350 9288 484 154 -10 -16 +1 +3 -1.3
201920 A MLESouth Bend Cubs 285268 571133 151080 53 213254310564 97331 385 242 50 -17 -0 +6 -1.1
201920 ROK MLEAZL Cubs 2 2120 4101 170 00 200238400638 200256 335 305 93 -0 +0 +0 0.0
202122 AA MLETennessee Smokies 137128 30816 6433 50 234285453738 219296 314 304 92 -1 +1 +3 0.3
202122 A+ MLESouth Bend Cubs 288270 52919 111294 122 193235333568 141307 454 247 53 -16 +2 +6 -0.8
202223 MLB MLEChicago Cubs 206185 38736 19652 52 205286373659 168281 329 291 83 -4 +0 -3 +2 +4 -0.1
202223 AAA MLEIowa Cubs 138127 22604 9611 72 173234315549 142266 447 231 42 -9 +1 +3 -0.6
202223 AA MLETennessee Smokies 9484 18316 10420 52 214298488786 274332 4511 339 116 +2 +0 +2 0.4
202324 MLB MLEKansas City Royals 179162 396018 14512 00 241309611920 370221 288 393 152 +11 +0 -3 -7 +4 0.5
202324 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers 353325 6212011 221244 93 191251329580 138263 356 256 59 -17 +1 +8 -0.9
202425 MLB MLEKansas City Royals 230205 42819 19613 20 205282385667 180237 278 290 82 -5 +0 -2 -6 +5 -0.8
202425 AAA MLEOmaha Storm Chasers 225200 40915 22581 63 200283330613 130246 2610 267 67 -9 +0 +5 -0.4
202526 AAA MLEIndianapolis Indians 210196 36418 13610 51 184234337571 153216 296 248 54 -11 +1 +5 -0.6
201718 ROK MLEAZL Cubs 125115 16315 9561 52 139208313521 174204 457 233 44
201718 ROK RAWAZL Cubs 125109 26528 15391 52 239336541877 303290 3112 380 44
201819 A MLESouth Bend Cubs 120114 17100 5581 30 149192158350 9304 484 154 -10
201819 A RAWSouth Bend Cubs 120112 21100 7431 30 188242196438 9304 366 208 -10
201920 A MLE3 teams 321302 641235 171210 53 212254321575 109333 385 246 53
201920 A RAW3 teams 321295 821746 24900 53 278332424756 146380 287 334 53
202122 A+ MLE3 teams 626588 11824222 262549 214 201246361606 160306 414 265 66
202122 A+ RAW3 teams 626560 15832331 541889 214 282355516871 234370 309 380 66
202223 MLB MLE3 teams 438397 7616316 371683 176 191265368633 176280 388 283 77 -12 +1 -3 +2 +9 -0.3
202223 MLB RAW3 teams 438388 8718421 461483 176 224311454765 229300 3411 337 77 -12 +1 -3 +2 +9 -0.3
202324 AAA MLE3 teams 643591 12422036 432126 154 210270430700 220254 337 302 91
202324 AAA RAW3 teams 643577 14327137 571726 154 248322490812 243286 279 355 91
202425 MLB MLE3 teams 536477 9620216 481405 115 201281352633 151245 269 279 75 -16 +0 -2 -6 +12 -1.3
202425 MLB RAW3 teams 536458 10223218 671225 115 223328400728 177259 2312 325 75 -16 +0 -2 -6 +12 -1.3
202526 AAA MLE2 teams 417389 718116 261210 92 183234332565 149217 296 248 54
202526 AAA RAW2 teams 417371 9517115 44880 92 256335429764 173297 2111 339 54
201718 ROK MLEAZL Cubs 125114 16315 9561 52 140208316524 175210 457 233 44
201819 A MLESouth Bend Cubs 120113 17100 5581 30 150192159351 9288 484 154 -10
201920 A MLE3 teams 321301 641235 171210 53 213254322576 110326 385 246 53
202122 A+ MLE3 teams 626586 11824222 262549 214 201246362607 160303 414 265 66
202223 MLB MLE3 teams 438395 7616316 371683 176 192265370635 177287 388 283 77
202324 AAA MLE3 teams 643589 12422036 432126 154 211270431702 221249 337 302 91
202425 MLB MLE3 teams 536478 9620216 481405 115 201281351633 151242 269 279 75
202526 AAA MLE2 teams 417388 718116 261210 92 183234332566 149216 296 248 54
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
202324 AAA MLE3 teams 643589 12422036 432126 154 211270431702 221249 337 302 91
202425 MLB MLE3 teams 536478 9620216 481405 115 201281351633 151242 269 279 75
202526 AAA MLE2 teams 417388 718116 261210 92 183234332566 149216 296 248 54
YTD27 AAA MLESTL 268239 448010 23933 40 184264343607 159245 359 268 68 -10 +1 +0 -3 +6 -0.7
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR27 MLB RAWSTL 10594 18405 8351 00 191262394656 202232 338 286 68 -4 +0 +0 -3 +2 -0.5
YTD27 AAA RAWSTL 163138 32507 22482 40 232346420766 188298 2913 343 68
YTD27 MLB RAWSTL 10594 18405 8351 00 191262394656 202232 338 286 80 -3 +0 +0 -1 +2 -0.1
ROS27 AAA MLESTL 100% 98 1000 130 00 125222125347 260 3311 295 86 -0 +0 -0 -0 +0 -0.0
ROS27 MLB CTXSTL 100% 98 1000 130 00 125222125347 259 3311 282 86 -0 +0 -0 -0 +0 -0.0
FULL27 MLB A+CSTL 114102 19405 9381 00 186259373631 186230 338 285 68 -4 +0 -0 -1 +2 -0.3
TOT27 AAA MLESTL 277247 458010 24963 40 182263336599 154243 359 269 68 -10 +1 -0 -3 +6 -0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202728 MLB MLESTL 65% 392352 7313116 331224 61 207283386669 179261 318 295 86 -7 +1 -1 -4 +8 -0.3
202829 MLB MLESTL 65% 390351 7212116 331223 51 205279382661 177260 318 293 84 -7 +1 -2 -4 +8 -0.4
202930 MLB MLESTL 65% 388349 7012115 331223 51 201275370645 169258 319 290 82 -8 +1 -3 -4 +8 -0.6
202728 MLB CTXSTL 65% 255229 478110 22792 41 205281380661 175260 319 282 86 -4 +0 -1 -3 +6 -0.2
202829 MLB CTXSTL 65% 254228 46819 22792 31 202278364642 162259 319 281 84 -5 +0 -1 -3 +6 -0.3
202930 MLB CTXSTL 65% 252226 45809 22792 31 199276354630 155257 319 278 82 -5 +0 -2 -3 +5 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career A+C 13851243 25645659 11941713 175 206282394676 188255 309 296 72 -14 +1 -12 -19 +30 -1.4
/ 162G A+C 650583 12121328 561966 82 208283398681 190257 309 296 72 -7 +1 -6 -9 +14 -0.7
Career MLE 44054033 79814315163 311149935 10229 198261362623 164266 347 274 72 -22 +3 -14 -24 +39 -1.9
/ 162G MLE 650595 11721224 462215 154 197260360620 163263 347 274 72 -8 +1 -5 -9 +14 -0.7