Enmanuel Valdez — OGILVIE

Enmanuel Valdez1B Indianapolis Indians

Age 27 L/R 5'8" / 202 lbs AAA Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION280 act + 186 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL -3156vR 89

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .282 / .387

PA186

HR6

K%21

BB%6

BABIP255

ISO164

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT50

Whiff%

689.1%

xwOBA

520.311

POWER50

Barrel%

589.4

Avg EV

4788.9

Bat Spd

4170.4

EYE55

Chase%

5530.6%

SPEED40

Sprint

2226.1

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 314 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

278

—

wRC+

-30

▶▶R

wOBA

146

306

▶▶R

ISO

031

172

▶▶R

BABIP

125

268

▶▶R

22.2%

21.2%

▶R

BB%

8.3%

8.6%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	231	203	37	12	2	4	16	50	5	5	1	182	259	320	579	138	212	22	7	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	231	192	47	16	3	5	27	35	5	5	1	245	353	438	790	193	264	15	12	343	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	GCL Astros	—	184	166	25	7	2	3	14	52	2	4	2	151	225	271	496	120	195	28	8	223	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	GCL Astros	—	184	157	34	10	3	4	23	36	2	4	2	217	324	395	719	178	252	20	12	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	2 teams	—	386	358	63	14	1	7	20	118	5	8	5	176	230	279	509	103	238	31	5	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	2 teams	—	386	348	82	22	1	8	30	82	5	8	5	236	305	374	679	138	285	21	8	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	416	380	71	15	1	17	25	123	4	5	2	187	244	366	610	179	219	30	6	263	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	2 teams	—	416	365	93	22	1	26	38	89	4	5	2	255	330	534	864	279	261	21	9	368	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	3 teams	—	648	593	143	29	2	29	45	179	4	8	3	241	299	444	743	202	292	28	7	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	3 teams	—	648	567	160	38	3	29	69	142	4	8	3	282	363	513	876	231	326	22	11	380	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	3 teams	—	429	381	87	13	3	16	41	104	6	10	4	228	313	404	717	176	271	24	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	3 teams	—	429	364	89	16	2	16	56	94	6	10	4	245	353	431	784	187	286	22	13	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	3 teams	—	566	512	101	23	0	20	43	147	3	5	1	197	263	359	623	162	231	26	8	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	3 teams	—	566	497	106	22	1	19	58	123	3	5	1	213	299	376	676	163	241	22	10	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	—	128	114	25	5	3	3	14	20	0	0	0	219	305	395	699	175	242	16	11	294	83	-2	+0	+1	-2	+4	-0.0
2025	26	MLB	2 teams	—	128	114	22	4	2	3	13	25	0	0	0	193	273	342	616	149	221	20	10	277	70	-4	+0	+1	-2	+4	-0.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	PIT	—	280	260	58	12	2	10	12	55	6	0	2	223	273	400	673	177	244	20	4	292	82	-6	-1	+0	+1	+8	0.2
YTD	27	AAA	PIT	—	280	253	67	15	2	12	19	46	6	0	2	265	331	482	813	217	279	16	7	355	130	+10	-1	+0	+1	+8	1.8
ROS	27	AAA	PIT	10%	186	170	38	8	1	6	12	40	2	1	1	223	282	387	668	164	252	21	6	301	89	-2	-0	-2	+1	+5	0.1
ROS	27	MLB	PIT	10%	19	18	4	1	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	222	263	444	708	222	251	21	5	290	80	-0	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	27	AAA	PIT	—	299	278	62	13	2	11	13	59	6	0	2	223	273	403	676	180	243	20	4	292	82	-6	-1	-0	+1	+8	0.2
TOT	27	AAA	PIT	—	466	430	96	20	3	16	24	95	8	1	3	223	277	395	671	172	248	20	5	296	84	-8	-1	-2	+2	+13	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	PIT	38%	345	315	70	14	2	12	23	74	4	2	1	222	284	394	677	171	252	21	7	300	88	-5	+0	-5	+1	+10	0.1
2027	28	MLB	PIT	38%	130	118	26	5	1	4	9	28	2	1	1	220	287	381	668	161	251	22	7	289	80	-3	-0	-2	+0	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	623	567	129	30	3	19	46	138	3	7	3	228	288	392	680	164	265	22	7	298	86	-10	+0	-11	+2	+18	-0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	134	31	3	20	48	144	3	7	3	226	287	390	677	164	263	22	7	298	86	-10	+0	-11	+2	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	3519	3192	660	140	17	117	253	907	35	48	20	207	272	371	644	164	247	26	7	279	71	-114	+2	-16	+10	+100	-1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	122	26	3	22	47	168	6	9	4	207	272	373	645	166	246	26	7	279	71	-21	+0	-3	+2	+18	-0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2016	17	ROK	DSL Astros Blue	—	231	192	47	16	3	5	27	35	5	5	1	245	353	438	790	193	264	15	12	343	120	+5	+1	—	—	+7	1.3
2017	18	ROK	GCL Astros	—	184	157	34	10	3	4	23	36	2	4	2	217	324	395	719	178	252	20	12	320	103	+1	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2019	20	A+	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	247	228	49	11	1	5	14	61	2	6	2	215	266	338	604	123	268	25	6	269	64	-10	+0	—	—	+7	-0.3
2019	20	A	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	139	120	33	11	0	3	16	21	3	2	3	275	374	442	816	167	312	15	12	366	139	+6	-1	—	—	+4	0.9
2021	22	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	98	82	21	6	0	5	13	22	2	0	1	256	371	512	883	256	286	22	13	385	153	+6	-0	—	—	+3	0.8
2021	22	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	318	283	72	16	1	21	25	67	2	5	1	254	317	541	858	286	254	21	8	363	136	+13	+1	—	—	+9	2.3
2022	23	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	368	332	88	19	2	17	30	77	2	4	1	265	329	488	817	223	295	21	8	355	130	+12	+0	—	—	+10	2.4
2022	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	205	168	60	16	0	11	34	47	1	4	2	357	468	649	1.117	292	438	23	17	477	223	+29	+0	—	—	+6	3.5
2022	23	INTL	Toros del Este	—	75	67	12	3	1	1	5	18	1	0	0	179	243	299	542	119	224	24	7	241	43	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	24	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	149	139	37	8	0	6	8	37	1	5	1	266	309	453	762	187	323	25	5	335	114	+2	+1	-3	+2	+4	0.6
2023	24	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	232	189	48	8	2	10	41	48	1	4	3	254	390	476	866	222	288	21	18	384	152	+14	-0	—	—	+7	2.0
2023	24	INTL	Toros del Este	—	48	36	4	0	0	0	7	9	4	1	0	111	312	111	424		148	19	15	238	41	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2024	25	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	223	201	43	12	0	6	17	53	0	1	1	214	275	363	638	149	253	24	8	280	72	-7	-0	-6	+2	+6	-0.5
2024	25	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	225	193	45	8	0	11	27	53	2	3	0	233	333	446	779	212	260	24	12	342	120	+5	+1	—	—	+6	1.2
2024	25	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	118	103	18	2	1	2	14	17	1	1	0	175	280	272	552	97	190	14	12	259	57	-6	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2025	26	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	102	91	19	4	2	2	11	16	0	0	0	209	294	363	657	154	233	16	11	296	84	-2	+0	+1	-2	+3	-0.0
2025	26	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	26	23	3	0	0	1	2	9	0	0	0	130	192	261	453	130	154	35	8	203	14	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	474	431	99	24	2	14	36	106	1	6	2	230	290	392	682	162	270	22	8	300	88	-6	+0	-9	+1	+13	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	5	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	14	0	252	305	394	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2
#2John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#3John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	7	1,560	54	2	243	309	416	-15	-16	1.6	1.6
#3John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	/162	664	23	1	243	309	416	-6.5	-6.7	0.7	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	634	19	7	228	286	393	-1	-8	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	20	7	228	286	393	-0.5	-8.6	0.9	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Enmanuel Valdez (OGILVIE)	27	50	50	40	55	223/277/395	172	248	16	1	20%	5%	84	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Willie Calhoun 2022 · MLB	27	48→52	50→55	40	52	243/305/397	154	258	18	3	15%	8%	97	+1.5	229/297/365	136	251	15	3	16%	8%	85	+0.7	222/296/351	128	244	15	1	16%	9%	78	+0.1
●Gavin Sheets 2023 · MLB	27	46→52	53→55	43→40	46	239/294/407	168	275	21	3	22%	7%	95	+1.4	231/295/378	147	269	17	3	21%	8%	89	+0.9	239/316/405	166	277	19	4	21%	9%	102	+1.4
✕Chris Parmelee 2015 · MLB	27	47→51	49→55	37→45	47	239/300/387	149	285	17	3	23%	8%	93	+1.3	229/285/368	139	286	17	4	25%	7%	82	+0.5	213/273/348	134	269	16	2	27%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Jeff Clement 2011 · MLB	27	43→48	53→55	38→30	42	228/280/401	172	278	21	3	26%	6%	89	+0.9	218/263/369	151	276	16	3	27%	6%	72	-0.2	203/250/350	146	254	15	1	26%	6%	59	-0.7
✕Nicky Delmonico 2019 · MLB	27	46→47	49→55	46→45	48	231/301/383	152	282	16	5	24%	8%	92	+1.2	220/286/353	133	288	13	6	27%	8%	79	+0.3	220/281/353	134	295	12	4	28%	7%	78	+0.0
✕Jake Goebbert 2016 · MLB	28	46→53	50→55	45	51	232/312/387	155	279	17	6	23%	10%	98	+1.6	207/269/324	117	271	12	6	27%	7%	63	-0.8	167/223/257	90	222	10	0	29%	6%	24	-2.2
✕Preston Tucker 2017 · MLB	27	42→46	51→55	41→40	42	223/272/385	162	270	19	3	26%	6%	81	+0.4	218/273/372	154	258	18	3	23%	7%	78	+0.2	232/310/385	153	274	16	1	21%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Dominic Smith 2022 · MLB	27	51→52	51→50	43→40	46	259/322/423	165	310	19	4	23%	7%	111	+2.5	243/311/371	128	293	13	4	21%	8%	93	+1.3	245/313/369	124	291	13	4	20%	8%	91	+0.9
●Mike Ford 2019 · AAA	27	45→53	50→55	46→30	51	232/301/386	154	260	18	3	19%	8%	93	+1.3	220/291/406	186	245	25	3	22%	8%	95	+1.4	223/311/397	174	263	23	2	24%	10%	98	+0.8
✕Mark Payton 2020 · AAA	28	46→53	51→55	42→50	46	236/291/399	162	281	19	8	23%	7%	92	+1.2	237/292/389	152	282	16	11	21%	7%	90	+1.0	240/295/371	131	286	11	10	19%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Jeff Larish 2010 · MLB	27	45→46	52→55	40→45	48	232/308/401	169	294	20	5	28%	9%	100	+1.7	223/290/393	170	299	20	4	31%	8%	91	+1.1	208/275/379	171	281	20	2	32%	8%	79	+0.2
✕Billy McKinney 2021 · MLB	26	41→51	54→55	44→45	47	220/286/404	185	263	21	5	25%	8%	92	+1.2	213/291/377	164	278	18	6	29%	9%	87	+0.8	214/296/366	152	268	19	6	27%	9%	83	+0.3
✕Christin Stewart 2021 · MLB	27	46→50	53→60	44→45	48	236/309/408	172	287	21	3	25%	8%	103	+1.9	212/285/396	184	288	24	8	34%	8%	90	+1.0	192/271/381	190	259	27	7	36%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Scott Thorman 2008 · MLB	26	46→51	53→55	44→45	42	242/280/414	172	274	21	5	21%	5%	92	+1.2	225/261/390	165	258	21	8	22%	4%	78	+0.2	220/258/382	162	249	21	7	22%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Mike Carp 2013 · MLB	27	47→56	53→55	40	46	242/303/410	168	290	21	5	24%	7%	101	+1.8	234/307/380	146	301	15	6	26%	8%	94	+1.3	236/320/391	154	308	14	1	26%	9%	101	+0.6
✕Andy Wilkins 2015 · MLB	26	45→46	52→55	43→45	42	234/277/402	168	282	20	4	25%	6%	87	+0.8	205/255/366	161	257	20	4	28%	6%	69	-0.4	164/243/338	174	220	25	3	38%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Brock Stassi 2017 · AAA	27	49→56	47→50	42→45	51	242/303/378	136	270	14	3	17%	8%	92	+1.2	231/302/351	120	289	11	3	23%	9%	85	+0.7	216/296/313	97	283	8	0	25%	9%	70	-0.1
✕Anthony García 2019 · AAA	27	43→47	50→55	42→45	47	223/293/376	152	263	18	5	23%	7%	88	+0.9	227/296/365	138	292	16	7	26%	8%	85	+0.7	220/289/317	97	302	12	2	30%	8%	70	-0.1
●Brad Nelson 2010 · MLB	27	41→48	49→50	44→50	46	214/270/360	146	247	18	8	22%	7%	73	-0.1	215/280/364	149	256	18	4	23%	8%	79	+0.3	217/287/376	159	258	20	2	24%	9%	84	+0.5
✕Jefry Marte 2017 · MLB	26	45→47	53→55	43→50	45	234/290/403	169	267	21	8	22%	6%	93	+1.3	221/283/379	158	255	20	8	22%	7%	84	+0.6	205/271/351	147	232	19	7	21%	7%	69	-0.2