Nick Pratto

1B El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 28 L/L 6'1" / 225 lbs AAA HR +5% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

Overview

AAAArb-3FA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	25	AAAKC	490	.242/.327/.410	16	15	52	—	.190/.251/.302
2025	26	AAAKC	423	.196/.290/.331	9	8	29	—	.148/.223/.245
2026	27	AAASD	382	.261/.357/.450	12	11	76	—	.215/.286/.349
2027PROJ10% MLB	28	MLBSD	24	.205/.275/.340	1	1	75	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	29	MLBSD	74	.202/.272/.333	2	1	72	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service5.000First FA2028

2027Arb-3$0.7M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2022-2024

Barrel%60

Speed26

Avg EV22

xwOBA21

CompsMatt Skole (age 28) · Aaron Rifkin (age 28) · Brian O'Grady (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†75

AVG/OBP/SLG.205 / .275 / .340

PA24

HR1

K%29

BB%8

BABIP269

ISO182

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT30

xAVG

100.193

POWER45

Barrel%

609.6

Avg EV

2287.0

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

Sprint

2626.3

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2022

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	18	ROK	AZL Royals	—	230	198	49	15	3	4	24	58	3	10	4	247	338	414	752	167	319	25	10	330	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	Lexington Legends	—	537	485	136	33	2	14	45	150	3	22	5	280	345	443	789	163	375	28	8	348	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	472	419	80	21	1	9	49	164	2	17	7	191	279	310	589	119	286	35	10	270	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	270	224	58	15	3	21	37	77	4	5	0	259	374	634	1.008	375	282	29	14	421	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	275	221	60	13	4	15	46	80	5	7	5	271	408	570	978	299	349	29	17	420	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	182	158	29	9	1	7	19	66	1	0	0	184	275	386	661	203	250	36	10	289	86	-3	+0	-2	-10	+4	-1.1
2022	23	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	374	303	69	10	3	17	59	114	10	8	2	228	371	449	820	221	299	30	16	366	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	345	306	71	16	0	7	29	138	6	1	1	232	311	353	664	121	388	40	8	299	92	-3	-0	-7	-8	+7	-1.2
2023	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	131	111	20	4	1	4	16	37	2	0	0	180	295	342	637	162	222	28	12	287	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	490	429	104	20	2	16	53	149	1	15	1	242	327	410	737	168	328	30	11	326	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	423	372	73	19	2	9	46	125	3	8	0	196	290	331	620	134	268	30	11	283	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	382	329	86	20	3	12	47	83	2	11	1	261	357	450	807	188	311	22	12	356	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	527	464	100	25	1	14	48	204	7	1	1	216	299	364	663	149	340	39	9	296	86	-9	-0	-9	-18	+11	-2.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	230	207	35	10	2	3	15	83	3	10	4	169	236	280	516	111	237	36	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	537	500	107	23	2	10	30	201	3	22	5	214	263	328	591	114	322	37	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	472	439	61	14	1	8	29	228	2	17	7	139	196	230	426	91	254	48	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	270	234	48	13	3	15	27	94	4	5	0	205	298	479	777	274	247	35	10	330	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	275	235	53	10	3	13	32	94	5	7	5	226	331	460	790	234	298	34	12	340	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	182	158	30	9	1	8	19	66	1	0	0	190	281	411	692	222	250	36	10	296	86	-3	+0	-2	-10	+4	-1.1
2022	23	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	374	320	56	8	2	12	42	143	10	8	2	175	290	325	615	150	260	38	11	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	345	306	72	16	0	8	29	138	6	1	1	235	314	366	680	131	388	40	8	304	92	-3	-0	-7	-8	+7	-1.2
2023	24	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	131	117	17	3	1	3	10	45	2	0	0	145	225	265	490	120	197	34	8	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	490	447	85	16	2	10	35	183	1	15	1	190	251	302	553	112	286	37	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	423	384	57	15	2	6	34	149	3	8	0	148	223	245	468	96	218	35	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	382	344	74	16	3	8	32	100	2	11	1	215	286	349	635	134	269	26	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	230	207	35	10	2	3	15	83	3	10	4	169	236	280	516	111	254	36	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	AZL Royals	—	230	198	49	15	3	4	24	58	3	10	4	247	338	414	752	167	319	25	10	330	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	537	500	107	23	2	10	30	201	3	22	5	214	263	328	591	114	331	37	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A RAW	Lexington Legends	—	537	485	136	33	2	14	45	150	3	22	5	280	345	443	789	163	375	28	8	348	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	472	439	61	14	1	8	29	228	2	17	7	139	196	230	426	91	259	48	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ RAW	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	472	419	80	21	1	9	49	164	2	17	7	191	279	310	589	119	286	35	10	270	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	545	469	101	23	6	28	59	188	9	12	5	215	315	469	784	254	280	34	11	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	545	445	118	28	7	36	83	157	9	12	5	265	391	602	993	337	315	29	15	421	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	556	478	86	17	3	20	61	209	11	8	2	180	287	354	641	174	260	38	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	556	461	98	19	4	24	78	180	11	8	2	213	340	427	767	215	282	32	14	341	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	476	423	90	19	1	11	39	183	8	1	1	213	291	340	632	128	336	38	8	283	77	-13	-0	-7	-8	+10	-1.8
2023	24	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	476	417	91	20	1	11	45	175	8	1	1	218	306	350	657	132	338	37	9	296	77	-13	-0	-7	-8	+10	-1.8
2024	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	490	447	85	16	2	10	35	183	1	15	1	190	251	302	553	112	291	37	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	490	429	104	20	2	16	53	149	1	15	1	242	327	410	737	168	328	30	11	326	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	423	384	57	15	2	6	34	149	3	8	0	148	223	245	468	96	222	35	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	423	372	73	19	2	9	46	125	3	8	0	196	290	331	620	134	268	30	11	283	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	382	344	74	16	3	8	32	100	2	11	1	215	286	349	635	134	275	26	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	382	329	86	20	3	12	47	83	2	11	1	261	357	450	807	188	311	22	12	356	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	AZL Royals	—	230	210	35	10	2	3	15	83	3	10	4	167	236	276	512	110	237	36	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A MLE	Lexington Legends	—	537	499	107	23	2	10	30	201	3	22	5	214	263	329	591	114	322	37	6	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ MLE	Wilmington Blue Rocks	—	472	438	61	14	1	8	29	228	2	17	7	139	196	231	426	91	254	48	6	190	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	545	472	101	23	6	28	59	188	9	12	5	214	315	466	781	252	273	34	11	335	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	556	479	86	17	3	20	61	209	11	8	2	180	287	353	640	173	257	38	11	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	476	426	90	19	1	11	39	183	8	1	1	211	291	338	630	127	335	38	8	283	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	490	451	85	16	2	10	35	183	1	15	1	188	251	299	550	111	286	37	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	423	383	57	15	2	6	34	149	3	8	0	149	223	245	469	97	218	35	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	382	345	74	16	3	8	32	100	2	11	1	214	286	348	634	133	269	26	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	490	451	85	16	2	10	35	183	1	15	1	188	251	299	550	111	286	37	7	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	423	383	57	15	2	6	34	149	3	8	0	149	223	245	469	97	218	35	8	211	29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	382	345	74	16	3	8	32	100	2	11	1	214	286	348	634	133	269	26	8	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SD	10%	380	344	71	15	2	9	31	111	2	8	1	208	278	344	622	136	274	29	8	279	75	-11	+1	-0	-7	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	SD	10%	24	22	5	1	0	1	2	7	0	1	0	205	275	340	614	135	269	29	8	276	75	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	SD	27%	272	246	50	11	1	6	22	80	2	5	0	205	275	337	612	132	272	29	8	275	72	-9	+1	-1	-5	+6	-0.9
2028	29	MLB CTX	SD	27%	74	68	14	3	0	2	6	22	0	1	0	202	272	333	604	131	267	30	8	272	72	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	601	532	114	28	1	16	54	226	7	2	1	214	295	361	656	147	330	38	9	293	63	-11	+0	-9	-20	+13	-2.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	123	30	1	17	58	244	8	2	1	214	295	358	653	144	329	38	9	293	63	-12	+0	-10	-21	+14	-3.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4621	4152	790	173	24	116	375	1673	46	114	26	190	265	327	592	137	280	36	8	262	63	-25	+2	-10	-28	+22	-3.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	110	24	3	16	53	235	6	16	4	188	263	322	585	134	277	36	8	262	63	-16	+1	-6	-17	+14	-2.5

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 382 PAwOBA .350 → .281 (−69)K% 21.7% → 26.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.73%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	26.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.30%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.992	8.42%
HBP% /PA	0.52%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.49%
Singles /BIP	20.73%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.980	×0.992	18.75%
Doubles /BIP	8.13%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.980	×0.992	6.56%
Triples /BIP	1.22%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.980	×0.992	1.15%
Home runs /BIP	4.88%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.992	3.39%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.

Result: wOBA .350 → .281; ISO .188 → .144; BABIP .311 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 423 PAwOBA .276 → .211 (−65)K% 29.6% → 35.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.55%	÷1.007	×1.200	—	—	35.20%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.87%	÷0.935	×0.690	—	×1.003	8.05%
HBP% /PA	0.71%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.67%
Singles /BIP	17.41%	÷1.108	×0.930	×0.977	×1.003	14.31%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷1.006	×0.830	×0.977	×1.003	6.22%
Triples /BIP	0.81%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.977	×1.003	0.85%
Home runs /BIP	3.64%	÷1.003	×0.700	—	×1.003	2.55%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 122, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 101, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .276 → .211; ISO .134 → .099; BABIP .268 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 490 PAwOBA .320 → .245 (−75)K% 30.4% → 37.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.41%	÷0.976	×1.200	—	—	37.38%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.82%	÷1.049	×0.690	—	×1.018	7.24%
HBP% /PA	0.20%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	0.20%
Singles /BIP	23.57%	÷1.007	×0.930	×0.957	×1.018	21.21%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷0.958	×0.830	×0.957	×1.018	6.03%
Triples /BIP	0.71%	÷0.935	×0.970	×0.957	×1.018	0.72%
Home runs /BIP	5.71%	÷1.111	×0.700	—	×1.018	3.66%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 101, 2B 92, 3B 87, K 95, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .320 → .245; ISO .168 → .116; BABIP .328 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 131 PAwOBA .278 → .227 (−51)K% 28.2% → 34.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.24%	÷0.995	×1.200	—	—	34.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.69%	÷1.030	×0.690	—	×1.033	7.40%
HBP% /PA	1.53%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.48%
Singles /BIP	14.86%	÷0.978	×0.930	×0.950	×1.033	13.87%
Doubles /BIP	5.41%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.950	×1.033	4.40%
Triples /BIP	1.35%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.950	×1.033	1.12%
Home runs /BIP	5.41%	÷0.942	×0.700	—	×1.033	4.15%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 88, 1B 96, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .278 → .227; ISO .162 → .129; BABIP .222 → .197. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 374 PAwOBA .358 → .278 (−80)K% 30.5% → 38.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.48%	÷0.957	×1.200	—	—	38.22%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.51%	÷1.001	×0.690	—	×1.048	11.20%
HBP% /PA	2.67%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	2.63%
Singles /BIP	20.63%	÷1.016	×0.930	×0.957	×1.048	18.96%
Doubles /BIP	5.29%	÷1.041	×0.830	×0.957	×1.048	4.23%
Triples /BIP	1.59%	÷1.150	×0.970	×0.957	×1.048	1.34%
Home runs /BIP	8.99%	÷0.984	×0.700	—	×1.048	6.71%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.

Result: wOBA .358 → .278; ISO .221 → .160; BABIP .299 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AANorthwest Arkansas Naturals · 275 PAwOBA .413 → .340 (−72)K% 29.1% → 34.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	29.09%	÷1.035	×1.220	—	—	34.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.36%	÷0.988	×0.690	—	×1.027	11.73%
HBP% /PA	1.82%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	1.59%
Singles /BIP	19.86%	÷0.980	×0.940	×0.950	×1.027	18.58%
Doubles /BIP	9.22%	÷1.117	×0.870	×0.950	×1.027	7.00%
Triples /BIP	2.84%	÷1.150	×0.920	×0.950	×1.027	2.21%
Home runs /BIP	10.64%	÷0.957	×0.780	—	×1.027	8.90%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 96, 2B 123, 3B 130, K 107, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .413 → .340; ISO .299 → .249; BABIP .349 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAOmaha Storm Chasers · 270 PAwOBA .417 → .330 (−87)K% 28.5% → 34.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.52%	÷0.985	×1.200	—	—	34.76%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.70%	÷0.990	×0.690	—	×1.050	10.02%
HBP% /PA	1.48%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	1.46%
Singles /BIP	12.93%	÷1.056	×0.930	×0.994	×1.050	11.88%
Doubles /BIP	10.20%	÷0.978	×0.830	×0.994	×1.050	9.04%
Triples /BIP	2.04%	÷0.936	×0.920	×0.994	×1.050	2.09%
Home runs /BIP	14.29%	÷1.027	×0.700	—	×1.050	10.22%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 111, 2B 96, 3B 87, K 97, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.

Result: wOBA .417 → .330; ISO .375 → .284; BABIP .282 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Wilmington Blue Rocks · 472 PAwOBA .264 → .190 (−74)K% 34.7% → 48.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	34.75%	÷1.024	×1.420	—	—	48.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.38%	÷1.102	×0.630	—	×1.027	6.09%
HBP% /PA	0.42%	—	×0.860	—	×1.027	0.37%
Singles /BIP	19.22%	÷0.999	×0.940	×0.950	×1.027	17.63%
Doubles /BIP	8.24%	÷0.994	×0.830	×0.950	×1.027	6.71%
Triples /BIP	0.39%	÷0.921	×0.800	×0.950	×1.027	0.33%
Home runs /BIP	3.53%	÷0.884	×0.900	—	×1.027	3.69%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 100, 2B 99, 3B 84, K 105, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .264 → .190; ISO .119 → .094; BABIP .286 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Eric Anthony'89-'97 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,243 PA	3.4	2,243	78	24	225*	300*	410*	-22	-22	0.1	0.6
/162	664	23	7	-6.7	-6.6	0.0	pk7: 1
#2Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.9	625	16	3	213	291	359	-11	-12	-0.6	-0.5
/162	664	17	3	-11.9	-12.5	-0.7	pk7: -0
#3Seth Brownlast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,799 PA	2.7	1,799	74	24	227	293	421	-23	-34	-0.8	-0.8
/162	664	27	9	-8.6	-12.4	-0.3	pk7: -1
#4Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	2.6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	19	9	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#5Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	2.6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	21	9	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Carlos Martinez'88-'95 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,586 PA	2.4	1,586	25	10	256*	291*	383*	-18	-15	-2.5	-2.5
/162	664	10	4	-7.4	-6.2	-1.0	pk7: -2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Pratto (OGILVIE)	28	30	45	50	50	206/276/341	135	274	6	5	29%	8%	75	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matt Skole 2017 · AAA	28	38→40	49→50	46→40	46	203/270/346	144	251	18	3	27%	8%	74	-0.6	196/263/338	142	256	17	3	30%	8%	70	-0.9	181/256/315	134	241	16	1	31%	9%	60	-1.1
✕Aaron Rifkin 2007 · AAA	28	43→42	48→50	48→45	46	218/282/366	148	274	15	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0	221/272/357	136	294	14	6	29%	5%	76	-0.4	213/260/344	131	282	14	3	29%	5%	67	-0.9
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→38	48→60	52→50	45	207/276/357	150	272	15	12	29%	8%	78	-0.3	218/278/402	184	292	22	15	32%	7%	89	+0.5	204/268/394	190	271	24	17	33%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA	28	45	45	48→45	40	224/274/343	119	305	12	10	30%	6%	74	-0.6	232/282/372	140	335	15	10	34%	6%	84	+0.1	228/273/371	144	333	16	6	35%	5%	78	-0.1
✕Mark Contreras 2022 · AAA	27	39	48→50	50→55	38	199/265/343	144	291	15	15	36%	6%	72	-0.7	200/262/324	124	290	14	24	34%	6%	65	-1.2	188/253/294	106	272	12	30	34%	6%	52	-1.5
✕Matt Lloyd 2024 · AA	28	43→42	48→45	48→50	41	214/281/353	139	307	16	9	34%	7%	79	-0.2	214/281/334	120	287	12	12	28%	8%	74	-0.5	205/275/320	116	273	13	12	28%	8%	69	-0.5
✕Shane Matheny 2024 · AAA	28	42	45	51→50	47	205/290/326	122	308	13	11	36%	10%	77	-0.3	210/287/332	122	313	11	11	34%	9%	76	-0.4	178/257/297	119	272	7	4	35%	8%	55	-0.6
✕Brett Carroll 2011 · MLB	28	40→46	48→55	45→50	43	206/277/346	140	257	15	8	26%	6%	76	-0.4	210/274/349	139	266	16	11	27%	7%	76	-0.4	201/265/338	137	255	17	11	27%	7%	68	-0.7
✕CJ Alexander 2024 · AAA	28	36→46	53→55	51→50	37	202/244/368	167	261	22	13	32%	5%	69	-0.9	216/266/374	158	288	18	7	30%	6%	78	-0.3	209/262/367	158	279	18	4	31%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Luke Allen 2007 · AAA	28	44→43	48→50	49→45	45	227/276/368	140	272	16	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	243/293/360	117	284	12	7	18%	6%	84	+0.1	265/312/362	97	296	8	3	13%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Bligh Madris 2024 · MLB	28	44→48	46→50	47→50	47	219/287/351	132	287	13	10	28%	8%	80	-0.1	205/276/356	151	264	18	14	28%	9%	78	-0.3	191/266/344	153	237	19	13	28%	9%	69	-0.6
✕Grant Witherspoon 2024 · AAA	27	43→46	48→50	49→50	42	217/279/359	142	296	16	14	32%	7%	79	-0.2	201/268/320	119	300	13	11	35%	8%	66	-1.1	125/198/210	85	192	11	6	39%	8%	14	-1.3
✕Stephen Scott 2024 · AAA	27	39→44	49→50	49→50	51	206/287/354	149	248	17	8	25%	10%	82	-0.0	215/278/353	138	280	15	12	27%	7%	78	-0.3	231/283/382	151	299	15	14	27%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Jason Cooper 2008 · AAA	27	43→40	49→55	51→45	43	216/278/377	160	284	15	9	29%	7%	83	+0.1	214/283/352	138	270	12	8	24%	7%	80	-0.2	208/290/352	144	247	13	3	21%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA	28	40→42	47→55	51→55	40	207/262/334	128	287	15	17	33%	7%	68	-1.0	211/282/367	156	280	20	23	31%	9%	82	+0.0	204/282/368	164	260	22	25	30%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Simon Pond 2005 · MLB	28	45→42	48→50	49→45	51	226/303/368	142	268	15	9	22%	9%	91	+0.6	219/273/360	141	290	15	7	29%	7%	77	-0.3	211/264/346	136	280	14	5	29%	6%	69	-0.8
✕Stewart Ijames 2017 · AA	28	38	52→60	43→45	39	202/261/367	165	279	20	5	35%	7%	75	-0.5	205/266/341	136	303	15	8	35%	7%	71	-0.8	169/234/307	138	253	17	6	39%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Quincy Latimore 2017 · AA	28	40→42	46→50	45→50	42	204/258/333	129	267	14	7	29%	6%	65	-1.2	211/260/333	122	287	14	8	30%	6%	66	-1.1	209/246/322	114	273	15	6	29%	4%	55	-1.4
✕Darick Hall 2023 · MLB	28	40→39	54→55	45→40	42	215/272/392	177	261	22	5	28%	6%	85	+0.2	214/272/352	138	272	18	4	27%	7%	76	-0.4	201/264/311	109	259	15	1	28%	7%	60	-1.0
✕Kevin Padlo 2024 · MLB	28	40→42	47→55	49→50	46	204/276/339	135	275	15	12	31%	9%	74	-0.6	196/275/323	127	279	14	14	32%	9%	70	-0.8	141/233/249	109	200	13	15	35%	10%	38	-1.6

Nick Pratto

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps