Gabriel Gonzalez
RF St. Paul Saints| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | A+/ROKMIN | 337 | .255/.328/.381 | 5 | 5 | 63 | — | .224/.287/.321 |
| 2025 | 21 | AAA/AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 598 | .328/.398/.499 | 15 | 8 | 120 | — | .300/.358/.443 |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 543 | .268/.343/.452 | 20 | 1 | 93 | — | .228/.283/.357 |
| 2027PROJ30% MLB | 23 | MLBMIN | 63 | .242/.299/.370 | 1 | 1 | 88 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ44% MLB | 24 | MLBMIN | 210 | .245/.303/.380 | 5 | 2 | 92 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ51% MLB | 25 | MLBMIN | 251 | .246/.305/.385 | 6 | 2 | 94 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 221 | 188 | 54 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 287 | 380 | 521 | 901 | 234 | 313 | 16 | 10 | 387 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 150 | 126 | 36 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 286 | 400 | 389 | 789 | 103 | 330 | 14 | 9 | 365 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | ACL Mariners | — | 140 | 126 | 45 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 357 | 421 | 548 | 969 | 190 | 400 | 15 | 6 | 429 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 200 | 181 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 215 | 290 | 387 | 677 | 171 | 233 | 22 | 6 | 304 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 335 | 296 | 103 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 348 | 412 | 530 | 942 | 182 | 379 | 14 | 7 | 407 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 315 | 282 | 72 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 49 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 255 | 329 | 379 | 709 | 124 | 294 | 16 | 7 | 319 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | FCL Twins | — | 22 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 250 | 318 | 400 | 718 | 150 | 211 | 0 | 5 | 324 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 148 | 133 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 316 | 368 | 504 | 872 | 188 | 350 | 19 | 6 | 375 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 246 | 212 | 73 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 344 | 429 | 509 | 938 | 165 | 385 | 12 | 11 | 414 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 156 | 138 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 319 | 386 | 529 | 915 | 210 | 342 | 14 | 8 | 394 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 48 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 318 | 375 | 341 | 716 | 23 | 350 | 8 | 2 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 480 | 432 | 110 | 20 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 82 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 255 | 325 | 421 | 746 | 167 | 280 | 17 | 8 | 331 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | INTL | Caribes de Anzoategui | — | 63 | 53 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 377 | 476 | 698 | 1.174 | 321 | 364 | 8 | 11 | 504 | 227 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 221 | 194 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 44 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 180 | 264 | 299 | 563 | 119 | 202 | 20 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 150 | 130 | 33 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 254 | 353 | 346 | 699 | 92 | 314 | 19 | 6 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 140 | 129 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 248 | 307 | 380 | 687 | 132 | 299 | 22 | 4 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 200 | 184 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 185 | 250 | 315 | 565 | 130 | 224 | 28 | 5 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 335 | 303 | 98 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 61 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 323 | 375 | 485 | 860 | 162 | 359 | 18 | 5 | 367 | 135 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 315 | 288 | 65 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 64 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 226 | 288 | 319 | 607 | 94 | 271 | 20 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 22 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 273 | 350 | 623 | 150 | 165 | 0 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 148 | 136 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 309 | 347 | 449 | 796 | 140 | 352 | 23 | 4 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 246 | 220 | 67 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 305 | 376 | 436 | 812 | 132 | 355 | 16 | 8 | 357 | 128 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 156 | 141 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 284 | 340 | 447 | 787 | 163 | 312 | 19 | 6 | 340 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 480 | 443 | 101 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 98 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 228 | 283 | 357 | 640 | 129 | 263 | 20 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 221 | 194 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 44 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 180 | 264 | 299 | 563 | 119 | 211 | 20 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 221 | 188 | 54 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 287 | 380 | 521 | 901 | 234 | 313 | 16 | 10 | 387 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 290 | 259 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 60 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 259 | 338 | 375 | 712 | 116 | 316 | 21 | 5 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 290 | 252 | 81 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 42 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 321 | 410 | 468 | 879 | 147 | 365 | 14 | 7 | 396 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 535 | 486 | 132 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 117 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 272 | 330 | 422 | 751 | 150 | 322 | 22 | 5 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 535 | 477 | 142 | 23 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 89 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 298 | 366 | 476 | 841 | 178 | 329 | 17 | 7 | 369 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 309 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 64 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 223 | 284 | 320 | 604 | 97 | 267 | 19 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 337 | 302 | 77 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 49 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 255 | 328 | 381 | 709 | 126 | 288 | 15 | 7 | 319 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 598 | 539 | 161 | 35 | 3 | 12 | 38 | 110 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 299 | 359 | 442 | 801 | 143 | 351 | 18 | 6 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 598 | 527 | 173 | 39 | 3 | 15 | 49 | 84 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 328 | 398 | 499 | 897 | 171 | 362 | 14 | 8 | 393 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 543 | 499 | 114 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 111 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 228 | 287 | 355 | 642 | 126 | 268 | 20 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 543 | 485 | 130 | 23 | 3 | 20 | 45 | 87 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 268 | 343 | 452 | 794 | 184 | 289 | 16 | 8 | 351 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 221 | 197 | 35 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 44 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 178 | 264 | 294 | 558 | 117 | 202 | 20 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 290 | 257 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 60 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 261 | 338 | 377 | 715 | 117 | 307 | 21 | 5 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 535 | 488 | 132 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 117 | 15 | 10 | 0 | 270 | 330 | 420 | 750 | 150 | 309 | 22 | 5 | 324 | 105 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 308 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 64 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 224 | 284 | 321 | 605 | 97 | 264 | 19 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 598 | 542 | 161 | 35 | 3 | 12 | 38 | 110 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 297 | 359 | 439 | 798 | 142 | 342 | 18 | 6 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 543 | 497 | 114 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 111 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 229 | 287 | 356 | 643 | 127 | 263 | 20 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 337 | 308 | 69 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 64 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 224 | 284 | 321 | 605 | 97 | 264 | 19 | 5 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 21 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 598 | 542 | 161 | 35 | 3 | 12 | 38 | 110 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 297 | 359 | 439 | 798 | 142 | 342 | 18 | 6 | 346 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 22 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 543 | 497 | 114 | 20 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 111 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 229 | 287 | 356 | 643 | 127 | 263 | 20 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIN | 30% | 588 | 539 | 131 | 25 | 3 | 13 | 35 | 113 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 242 | 299 | 370 | 669 | 128 | 281 | 19 | 6 | 299 | 88 | -8 | -1 | -1 | -6 | +13 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIN | 30% | 63 | 58 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 299 | 370 | 670 | 128 | 282 | 19 | 6 | 299 | 88 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIN | 44% | 477 | 438 | 107 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 91 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 245 | 303 | 380 | 683 | 135 | 283 | 19 | 6 | 304 | 92 | -4 | -0 | -1 | -5 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIN | 51% | 495 | 454 | 110 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 95 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 246 | 305 | 384 | 690 | 139 | 283 | 19 | 6 | 307 | 94 | -4 | -0 | -1 | -5 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIN | 54% | 509 | 464 | 114 | 22 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 98 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 246 | 306 | 385 | 692 | 140 | 283 | 19 | 6 | 308 | 95 | -3 | -0 | -1 | -5 | +11 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIN | 54% | 516 | 470 | 115 | 22 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 101 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 244 | 306 | 384 | 689 | 139 | 283 | 20 | 7 | 307 | 94 | -4 | -1 | -1 | -6 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIN | 54% | 515 | 469 | 114 | 22 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 103 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 243 | 304 | 380 | 684 | 137 | 282 | 20 | 7 | 305 | 93 | -5 | -1 | -2 | -6 | +11 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIN | 53% | 506 | 460 | 110 | 21 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 103 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 240 | 301 | 373 | 674 | 133 | 281 | 20 | 7 | 301 | 90 | -6 | -1 | -3 | -5 | +11 | -0.4 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIN | 52% | 495 | 452 | 106 | 20 | 2 | 11 | 33 | 102 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 236 | 297 | 365 | 662 | 128 | 279 | 21 | 7 | 296 | 86 | -8 | -1 | -3 | -5 | +11 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIN | 44% | 210 | 192 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 245 | 303 | 380 | 683 | 135 | 283 | 19 | 6 | 305 | 92 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIN | 51% | 251 | 229 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 48 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 246 | 305 | 385 | 690 | 139 | 283 | 19 | 6 | 307 | 94 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -3 | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIN | 54% | 274 | 250 | 61 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 53 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 246 | 306 | 386 | 692 | 140 | 284 | 19 | 7 | 308 | 95 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -3 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIN | 54% | 279 | 255 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 55 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 245 | 306 | 384 | 690 | 140 | 283 | 20 | 6 | 308 | 94 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -3 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIN | 54% | 279 | 254 | 62 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 56 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 243 | 304 | 381 | 685 | 138 | 283 | 20 | 7 | 305 | 93 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIN | 53% | 268 | 244 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 54 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 240 | 301 | 374 | 675 | 134 | 281 | 20 | 7 | 301 | 90 | -3 | -0 | -1 | -3 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIN | 52% | 259 | 237 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 53 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 237 | 297 | 365 | 663 | 129 | 279 | 20 | 7 | 296 | 86 | -4 | -0 | -2 | -3 | +6 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1820 | 1661 | 402 | 78 | 7 | 44 | 119 | 359 | 26 | 9 | 10 | 242 | 303 | 377 | 680 | 135 | 283 | 20 | 7 | 304 | 91 | -17 | -2 | -6 | -20 | +39 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 144 | 28 | 2 | 16 | 42 | 128 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 243 | 302 | 378 | 680 | 135 | 284 | 20 | 6 | 304 | 91 | -6 | -1 | -2 | -7 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6247 | 5686 | 1401 | 264 | 29 | 144 | 381 | 1239 | 124 | 61 | 39 | 246 | 308 | 379 | 687 | 133 | 289 | 20 | 6 | 303 | 91 | -36 | -4 | -13 | -40 | +81 | -1.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 145 | 27 | 3 | 15 | 40 | 129 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 245 | 307 | 377 | 684 | 132 | 288 | 20 | 6 | 303 | 91 | -6 | -1 | -2 | -7 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAASt. Paul Saints · 480 PAwOBA .324 → .279 (−45)K% 17.1% → 20.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.08% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.46% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.998 | ×1.050 | 20.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.998 | ×1.050 | 4.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.998 | ×1.050 | 0.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.36% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.998.
Result: wOBA .324 → .279; ISO .167 → .130; BABIP .280 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAWichita Wind Surge · 246 PAwOBA .405 → .357 (−48)K% 12.2% → 15.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.20% | ÷0.941 | ×1.220 | — | — | 15.82% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.57% | ÷0.992 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 7.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.44% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.050 | 2.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.37% | ÷1.025 | ×0.920 | ×1.010 | ×1.050 | 25.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.44% | ÷1.031 | ×0.840 | ×1.010 | ×1.050 | 9.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.10% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×1.010 | ×1.050 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.20% | ÷0.986 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.87% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 105, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 88, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .405 → .357; ISO .165 → .142; BABIP .385 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 156 PAwOBA .391 → .340 (−51)K% 14.1% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.10% | ÷0.979 | ×1.270 | — | — | 18.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷0.989 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 6.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.41% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×1.025 | ×1.027 | 21.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷1.088 | ×0.810 | ×1.025 | ×1.027 | 8.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷0.943 | ×0.850 | ×1.025 | ×1.027 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.31% | ÷0.962 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.68% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .391 → .340; ISO .210 → .175; BABIP .342 → .312. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASt. Paul Saints · 148 PAwOBA .374 → .335 (−40)K% 18.9% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.92% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.08% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.62% | ÷0.944 | ×0.930 | ×1.016 | ×1.050 | 29.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.67% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×1.016 | ×1.050 | 6.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.016 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.253 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.35% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 89, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.
Result: wOBA .374 → .335; ISO .188 → .130; BABIP .350 → .352. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 315 PAwOBA .313 → .262 (−51)K% 15.6% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.56% | ÷0.972 | ×1.270 | — | — | 20.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.98% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 4.95% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 2.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.17% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | ×1.019 | ×1.042 | 20.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.15% | ÷1.119 | ×0.810 | ×1.019 | ×1.042 | 6.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.86% | ÷1.146 | ×0.850 | ×1.019 | ×1.042 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.72% | ÷1.191 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.20% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 129, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .313 → .262; ISO .124 → .091; BABIP .294 → .271. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Twins · 22 PAwOBA .315 → .255 (−61)K% 0.0% → 0.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.974 | ×1.440 | — | — | 0.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷1.046 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 2.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 3.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.036 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.995 | 15.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷0.890 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 4.36% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 107, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 95, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .315 → .255; ISO .150 → .135; BABIP .211 → .165. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AModesto Nuts · 335 PAwOBA .405 → .367 (−38)K% 13.7% → 18.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.73% | ÷1.026 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.87% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 4.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.69% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 2.19% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.40% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×1.045 | 28.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.60% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×1.001 | ×1.045 | 6.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.60% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.001 | ×1.045 | 1.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.60% | ÷0.883 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 3.41% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .405 → .367; ISO .182 → .162; BABIP .379 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Everett AquaSox · 200 PAwOBA .296 → .252 (−44)K% 21.5% → 27.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.50% | ÷1.046 | ×1.350 | — | — | 27.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.50% | ÷0.953 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 5.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.050 | 2.55% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.84% | ÷1.018 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 18.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.90% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 2.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.52% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 5.61% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 104, 2B 108, 3B 105, K 109, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .296 → .252; ISO .171 → .138; BABIP .233 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .