Gabriel Gonzalez

Gabriel GonzalezRF St. Paul Saints

Age 22 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION341 act + 227 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .284 / .354

PA227

HR5

K%22

BB%6

BABIP275

ISO124

MLB%40%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE46

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.7M
2030	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	221	197	41	8	3	5	12	52	7	9	3	208	278	355	633	147	248	24	5	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	221	188	54	15	4	7	21	36	7	9	3	287	380	521	901	234	313	16	10	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	2 teams	—	290	259	61	8	1	6	14	61	17	9	4	236	317	344	661	108	286	21	5	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	A	2 teams	—	290	252	81	14	1	7	21	42	17	9	4	321	410	468	879	147	365	14	7	396	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	535	488	128	17	2	18	25	114	15	10	0	262	318	416	734	154	303	21	5	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	A	2 teams	—	535	477	142	23	4	18	36	89	15	10	0	298	366	476	841	178	329	17	7	369	140	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	2 teams	—	337	310	62	12	1	3	15	70	10	5	4	200	260	274	534	74	247	21	4	241	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A+	2 teams	—	337	302	77	19	2	5	23	49	10	5	4	255	328	381	709	126	288	15	7	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	4 teams	—	598	540	156	33	3	13	37	119	13	8	4	289	349	433	782	144	344	20	6	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	AA	4 teams	—	598	527	173	39	3	15	49	84	13	8	4	328	398	499	897	171	362	14	8	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	AAA	MIN	—	341	316	68	12	2	9	19	80	3	1	4	215	266	351	618	136	258	23	6	267	63	-14	-1	+0	-4	+10	-1.0
YTD	22	AAA	MIN	—	341	308	76	14	2	11	27	67	3	1	4	247	314	412	726	166	280	20	8	321	104	+1	-1	+0	-4	+10	0.6
ROS	22	AAA	MIN	40%	227	209	48	9	1	5	13	49	3	2	2	229	284	354	638	124	277	22	6	290	80	-5	-0	-1	-2	+6	-0.2
ROS	22	MLB	MIN	40%	91	85	19	4	0	2	5	20	1	1	1	224	275	341	616	118	277	22	5	282	74	-3	-0	-0	-1	+3	-0.2
FULL	22	AAA	MIN	—	432	401	87	16	2	11	24	100	4	2	5	217	268	349	617	132	260	23	6	270	65	-17	-2	-0	-5	+12	-1.2
TOT	22	AAA	MIN	—	568	525	116	21	3	14	32	129	6	3	6	221	273	352	626	131	265	23	6	276	70	-20	-2	-1	-6	+16	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	MIN	51%	570	523	125	24	3	15	35	121	7	4	4	239	296	382	678	143	279	21	6	299	87	-8	-1	-2	-6	+16	-0.1
2028	24	MLB	MIN	54%	597	547	132	25	3	17	38	125	7	4	5	241	299	391	690	150	281	21	6	305	91	-6	-1	-2	-6	+17	0.2
2029	25	MLB	MIN	55%	615	562	137	26	3	18	41	129	7	4	5	244	303	397	700	153	282	21	7	308	94	-4	-1	-2	-7	+17	0.4
2030	26	MLB	MIN	56%	627	573	138	26	3	18	42	131	7	4	5	241	301	391	692	150	282	21	7	310	95	-3	-1	-2	-7	+18	0.5
2027	23	MLB	MIN	51%	289	266	63	12	1	8	18	61	3	2	2	237	293	380	672	143	279	21	6	291	81	-6	-0	-1	-3	+8	-0.2
2028	24	MLB	MIN	54%	321	293	71	13	2	9	21	67	4	2	2	242	302	392	694	150	281	21	7	297	85	-5	-0	-1	-3	+9	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	MIN	55%	340	311	76	14	2	10	22	71	4	2	3	244	303	399	701	154	282	21	6	300	88	-5	-1	-1	-4	+10	-0.0
2030	26	MLB	MIN	56%	350	319	78	15	2	10	24	73	4	2	3	245	305	398	704	154	282	21	7	301	89	-4	-1	-1	-4	+10	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1391	1274	307	58	7	39	90	292	16	9	11	241	299	389	689	148	282	21	6	296	85	-23	-3	-4	-15	+39	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	143	27	3	18	42	136	7	4	5	240	298	387	684	146	282	21	6	296	85	-11	-1	-2	-7	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	4617	4208	1028	188	23	118	272	971	93	59	36	244	305	384	689	140	288	21	6	303	90	-53	-3	-7	-49	+131	1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	144	26	3	17	38	137	13	8	5	243	303	383	686	140	287	21	6	303	90	-8	-0	-1	-7	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	221	188	54	15	4	7	21	36	7	9	3	287	380	521	901	234	313	16	10	387	154	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.1
2022	18	A	Modesto Nuts	—	150	126	36	5	1	2	13	21	11	4	1	286	400	389	789	103	330	14	9	365	137	+6	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
2022	18	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	140	126	45	9	0	5	8	21	6	5	3	357	421	548	969	190	400	15	6	429	186	+14	-0	—	—	+4	1.8
2023	19	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	200	181	39	4	0	9	13	43	6	2	0	215	290	387	677	171	233	22	6	304	91	-2	+0	—	—	+6	0.4
2023	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	335	296	103	19	4	9	23	46	9	8	0	348	412	530	942	182	379	14	7	407	170	+26	+2	—	—	+9	3.8
2024	20	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	315	282	72	19	2	4	22	49	9	5	3	255	329	379	709	124	294	16	7	319	102	+1	-0	—	—	+9	1.0
2024	20	ROK	FCL Twins	—	22	20	5	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	250	318	400	718	150	211	0	5	324	106	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	21	AAA	St. Paul Saints	—	148	133	42	7	0	6	9	28	2	2	2	316	368	504	872	188	350	19	6	375	145	+8	-0	—	—	+4	1.2
2025	21	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	246	212	73	19	2	4	26	30	6	5	1	344	429	509	938	165	385	12	11	414	175	+21	+1	—	—	+7	2.9
2025	21	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	156	138	44	12	1	5	13	22	2	1	0	319	386	529	915	210	342	14	8	394	160	+11	+0	—	—	+4	1.5
2025	21	INTL	Caribes de Anzoategui	—	48	44	14	1	0	0	1	4	3	0	1	318	375	341	716	23	350	8	2	332	112	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#2Craig Monroelast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,898 PA	8	2,898	114	19	253	302	443	-28	-32	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	26	4	253	302	443	-6.5	-7.4	0.9	pk7: 5
#3Eric Karroslast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,197 PA	5	2,197	73	13	255	317	418	-19	-17	3.9	3.9
	/162	664	22	4	255	317	418	-5.7	-5.2	1.2	pk7: 4
#4Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	7	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
	/162	664	21	2	256	315	414	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,429	39	10	243	297	390	-15	-9	1.1	1.1
	/162	664	18	5	243	297	390	-7.1	-4.2	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Dayan Viciedolast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,798 PA	5	1,798	66	2	254	298	424	-18	-29	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	24	1	254	298	424	-6.6	-10.7	0.1	pk7: 0
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gabriel Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	22	55	45	42	46	221/273/352	131	265	14	3	23%	6%	70	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian Rey 2022 · AAA	24	48	46→50	40→45	44	238/300/363	125	275	14	7	19%	5%	87	+0.8	222/278/326	104	275	10	9	23%	5%	68	-0.5	193/242/264	71	239	6	9	21%	2%	32	-0.8
✕Willie Cabrera 2010 · AA	23	51→53	44→50	39→45	45	249/289/368	119	278	11	5	16%	5%	82	+0.5	242/285/359	117	270	9	8	14%	5%	79	+0.3	242/285/359	116	266	8	8	12%	5%	75	-0.0
●Moisés Sierra 2012 · AA	23	49→55	46→50	44→50	41	246/292/374	128	296	14	11	22%	4%	85	+0.7	241/290/379	138	311	16	11	27%	5%	86	+0.8	248/314/378	130	302	14	15	22%	7%	93	+0.9
●Daniel Robertson 2016 · AA	22	50→54	42→45	39→40	47	241/308/353	112	299	9	4	22%	7%	87	+0.8	233/313/339	106	302	9	4	24%	8%	86	+0.8	231/336/345	114	301	11	4	25%	11%	96	+0.8
✕Chris Durbin 2006 · AA	24	49→51	48→50	41→40	44	246/293/393	147	288	15	6	20%	6%	92	+1.2	226/282/344	118	280	9	6	22%	6%	74	-0.1	211/272/313	102	265	6	3	21%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Hector Leal 2009 · AAA	24	51	44→45	43→40	42	248/287/367	119	303	11	7	22%	5%	81	+0.4	238/297/376	138	278	14	8	20%	6%	89	+0.9	219/301/369	150	237	16	3	15%	6%	85	+0.2
●Ramón Urías 2016 · AAA	22	51→57	42→50	45→50	41	249/296/354	105	296	10	12	20%	4%	82	+0.5	250/316/377	127	303	13	12	21%	5%	97	+1.5	249/317/382	133	319	14	3	25%	7%	96	+1.0
●Miguel Andujar 2018 · AAA	23	51→58	47→55	45	42	255/291/393	138	294	14	6	18%	4%	90	+1.0	265/300/436	171	296	18	5	17%	4%	105	+2.1	286/325/421	136	317	14	5	14%	5%	109	+1.6
✕Dayan Viciedo 2012 · MLB	23	50→52	48→55	45→40	42	253/293/386	133	294	18	4	21%	4%	89	+1.0	250/295/409	159	290	21	2	21%	5%	97	+1.5	245/292/411	167	282	22	0	22%	5%	93	+1.1
✕Brandon Snyder 2010 · AAA	23	51→53	46→55	43→45	41	249/295/384	134	320	13	4	26%	5%	89	+1.0	221/268/339	118	295	11	4	28%	5%	66	-0.6	214/271/384	170	286	22	5	33%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Caleb Gindl 2012 · AAA	23	51→55	45→50	45→50	50	250/313/375	124	303	12	9	21%	8%	95	+1.4	228/283/359	131	288	13	5	24%	7%	78	+0.2	244/288/382	138	296	13	1	22%	6%	83	+0.3
✕Sam Travis 2017 · AAA	23	51→55	45	46→45	44	252/299/382	129	308	12	10	22%	6%	90	+1.0	237/291/336	99	308	9	7	25%	7%	75	-0.0	233/290/328	95	303	9	6	25%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Wes Bankston 2007 · AAA	23	49→53	47→50	43→40	41	246/291/380	134	309	15	6	25%	5%	87	+0.8	220/257/362	142	264	17	4	24%	4%	68	-0.5	228/294/352	124	267	14	0	20%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Yamaico Navarro 2010 · AA	22	49→55	44→50	48→50	42	238/284/359	121	297	11	8	24%	5%	78	+0.2	226/282/344	118	274	12	13	21%	7%	73	-0.1	229/296/386	157	263	20	11	21%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Edinson Rincon 2014 · AA	23	51→55	44→50	38→30	40	251/281/366	116	303	11	4	22%	4%	79	+0.3	223/270/304	81	299	6	5	26%	6%	58	-1.2	210/261/260	50	292	2	0	27%	5%	39	-1.1
✕Yusniel Díaz 2019 · AA	22	47→50	44→45	42→50	46	232/291/348	116	299	11	10	26%	8%	79	+0.3	207/265/333	126	287	13	6	31%	7%	64	-0.8	212/278/332	120	284	14	9	29%	8%	67	-0.3
●Jose Lopez 2006 · MLB	22	50→59	45→55	41→45	43	247/281/384	137	274	11	8	15%	4%	84	+0.6	265/300/389	124	288	11	5	12%	4%	92	+1.2	270/301/415	146	279	17	3	11%	4%	96	+1.5
✕Kevin Flores 2007 · AAA	22	49→53	48→45	47→45	41	245/286/394	148	305	15	7	25%	5%	89	+0.9	217/261/309	92	276	7	10	23%	5%	55	-1.4	279/316/376	98	323	11	0	17%	4%	93	+0.7
✕Dominic Smith 2018 · MLB	23	50→52	45→50	43→40	44	249/294/375	126	302	13	2	22%	6%	86	+0.8	248/300/413	165	312	18	4	25%	6%	100	+1.7	266/332/451	185	318	22	2	23%	7%	120	+1.5
●Cheslor Cuthbert 2015 · AAA	22	45→55	42→50	45	43	221/263/328	107	271	10	8	22%	5%	61	-1.0	246/289/372	126	292	13	5	20%	6%	84	+0.6	258/310/406	148	301	17	1	20%	7%	100	+0.9