Cal Mitchell — OGILVIE

Cal MitchellRF Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 27 L/L 6'0" / 195 lbs AA HR -15%H -3% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 233 proj PA

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .281 / .358

PA19

HR0

K%31

BB%7

ISO139

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2023

CONTACT25

Whiff%

3712.5%

xAVG

250.231

POWER35

Barrel%

244.8

Avg EV

3588.0

EYE40

Chase%

3235.3%

SPEED45

Sprint

2226.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.0M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2017	18	ROK	GCL Pirates	—	185	159	39	11	0	2	24	35	2	2	3	245	351	352	704	107	303	19	13	324	106	+1	-1	—	—	+4	0.5
2018	19	A	West Virginia Power	—	495	443	124	29	3	10	41	109	5	4	5	280	348	427	774	147	347	22	8	342	118	+10	-1	—	—	+11	2.0
2019	20	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	493	451	113	21	2	15	32	142	5	1	1	251	307	406	713	155	328	29	6	315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+11	1.0
2021	22	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	21	20	5	1	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	250	286	300	586	50	312	19	0	269	68	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2021	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	419	382	107	19	1	12	24	71	7	6	7	280	333	429	763	149	312	17	6	336	113	+7	-2	—	—	+9	1.4
2022	23	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	232	212	48	11	0	5	18	52	0	3	1	226	287	349	636	123	276	22	8	285	79	-6	+0	-5	-5	+5	-1.1
2022	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	261	236	80	18	2	9	17	38	5	8	1	339	395	547	942	208	370	15	7	409	163	+20	+1	—	—	+6	2.7
2023	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	316	280	73	16	0	9	29	93	3	6	2	261	337	414	751	154	354	29	9	333	111	+4	+0	—	—	+7	1.2
2023	24	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	17	12	2	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	167	375	167	542		182	12	24	271	69	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	25	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	469	408	113	26	2	22	55	95	0	12	6	277	363	512	875	235	307	20	12	379	143	+24	+0	—	—	+10	3.5
2025	26	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	27	27	3	1	0	0	0	14	0	1	1	111	111	148	259	37	231	52	0	115	-36	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	156	142	24	5	0	3	14	46	0	1	4	169	244	268	511	99	226	29	9	237	46	-10	-1	—	—	+3	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	232	212	48	11	0	5	18	52	0	3	1	226	287	349	636	123	276	22	8	285	79	-6	+0	-5	-5	+5	-1.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2017	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	—	185	171	29	7	0	2	12	50	2	2	3	170	232	246	478	76	227	27	6	216	32	-15	-1	—	—	+4	-1.2
2018	19	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	495	460	104	24	2	7	24	147	5	4	5	226	272	333	605	107	306	30	5	265	65	-20	-1	—	—	+11	-1.1
2019	20	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	493	460	85	16	1	11	23	201	5	1	1	185	232	296	527	111	287	41	5	232	43	-33	-0	—	—	+11	-2.3
2021	22	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	21	20	4	1	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	200	238	250	488	50	283	24	0	224	38	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2021	22	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	—	419	391	95	17	1	10	16	87	7	6	7	243	285	368	653	125	281	21	4	284	78	-11	-2	—	—	+9	-0.3
2022	23	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	232	212	48	11	0	5	18	52	0	3	1	226	287	349	636	123	276	22	8	286	80	-6	+0	-5	-5	+5	-1.1
2022	23	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	261	243	70	16	2	6	10	46	5	8	1	288	329	444	774	156	325	18	4	337	114	+4	+1	—	—	+6	1.1
2023	24	AAA MLE	Indianapolis Indians	—	316	290	62	13	0	6	19	115	3	6	2	214	269	321	590	107	316	36	6	255	59	-16	+0	—	—	+7	-0.8
2023	24	A MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	17	13	2	0	0	0	3	3	0	0	0	154	312	154	466		176	18	18	249	55	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	25	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	469	425	89	19	2	15	38	128	0	12	6	209	274	369	644	160	251	27	8	280	76	-14	+0	—	—	+10	-0.4
2025	26	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	—	27	27	2	1	0	0	0	17	0	1	1	74	74	111	185	37	208	63	0	78	-61	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2025	26	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	156	146	20	4	0	2	10	55	0	1	4	137	192	205	398	68	198	35	6	177	6	-17	-1	—	—	+3	-1.6
2017	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	—	185	171	29	7	0	2	12	50	2	2	3	170	232	246	478	76	227	27	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	GCL Pirates	—	185	159	39	11	0	2	24	35	2	2	3	245	351	352	704	107	303	19	13	324	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	495	460	104	24	2	7	24	147	5	4	5	226	272	333	605	107	312	30	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A RAW	West Virginia Power	—	495	443	124	29	3	10	41	109	5	4	5	280	348	427	774	147	347	22	8	342	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	493	460	85	16	1	11	23	201	5	1	1	185	232	296	527	111	292	41	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ RAW	Bradenton Marauders	—	493	451	113	21	2	15	32	142	5	1	1	251	307	406	713	155	328	29	6	315	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	440	411	100	18	1	10	16	92	8	6	7	243	285	365	650	122	287	21	4	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	440	402	112	20	1	12	24	75	8	6	7	279	331	423	754	144	312	17	5	333	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	493	455	119	27	2	12	28	98	5	11	2	262	311	409	720	147	307	20	6	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	493	448	128	29	2	14	35	90	5	11	2	286	344	453	797	167	328	18	7	351	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	333	303	64	13	0	6	22	118	3	6	2	211	271	314	585	102	317	35	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	333	292	75	16	0	9	33	95	3	6	2	257	338	404	743	147	344	29	10	330	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	469	425	89	19	2	15	38	128	0	12	6	209	274	369	644	160	258	27	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	469	408	113	26	2	22	55	95	0	12	6	277	363	512	875	235	307	20	12	379	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	183	173	22	5	0	2	10	72	0	2	5	127	175	191	366	64	202	39	5	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA RAW	2 teams	—	183	169	27	6	0	3	14	60	0	2	5	160	224	249	473	89	226	33	8	219	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK MLE	GCL Pirates	—	185	169	29	7	0	2	12	50	2	2	3	172	232	249	481	77	227	27	6	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A MLE	West Virginia Power	—	495	463	104	24	2	7	24	147	5	4	5	225	272	330	602	106	306	30	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+ MLE	Bradenton Marauders	—	493	462	85	16	1	11	23	201	5	1	1	184	232	294	526	110	287	41	5	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	440	413	100	18	1	10	16	92	8	6	7	242	285	363	648	121	281	21	4	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	493	457	119	27	2	12	28	98	5	11	2	260	311	407	718	147	302	20	6	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	333	305	64	13	0	6	22	118	3	6	2	210	271	311	583	102	309	35	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	469	428	89	19	2	15	38	128	0	12	6	208	274	367	641	159	251	27	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	183	171	22	5	0	2	10	72	0	2	5	129	175	193	368	64	199	39	5	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	333	305	64	13	0	6	22	118	3	6	2	210	271	311	583	102	309	35	7	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	469	428	89	19	2	15	38	128	0	12	6	208	274	367	641	159	251	27	8	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	2 teams	—	183	171	22	5	0	2	10	72	0	2	5	129	175	193	368	64	199	39	5	162	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	27	MLB MLE	SF	2%	19	18	4	1	0	0	1	6	0	0	0	222	263	278	541	56	303	32	5	287	81	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SF	27%	315	288	63	13	1	8	23	98	1	5	3	219	279	354	633	135	303	31	7	286	80	-8	-0	-2	-3	+7	-0.6
2027	28	MLB CTX	SF	27%	85	79	16	3	0	2	6	27	0	1	1	203	259	316	575	114	296	32	7	276	80	-2	-0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	317	291	64	14	0	7	24	79	0	4	2	220	279	340	620	120	277	25	8	282	65	-8	+0	-6	-6	+7	-1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	597	131	29	0	14	49	162	0	8	4	219	279	338	617	119	277	25	8	282	65	-16	+0	-12	-13	+14	-2.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3425	3164	679	143	9	73	197	1010	29	49	34	215	267	335	602	120	287	29	6	264	65	-14	+0	-7	-9	+12	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	129	27	2	14	37	192	6	9	6	215	267	337	604	122	287	30	6	264	65	-16	+0	-8	-10	+14	-2.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	2.6	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
/162	664	24	2	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.5	321	7	4	226	283	353	-3	-4	-0.3	-0.2
/162	664	15	9	-7.1	-7.2	-0.6	pk7: -0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	2.6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	19	9	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	2.6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	21	9	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cal Mitchell (OGILVIE)	27	25	35	45	40	221/281/358	137	303	6	4	31%	7%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe McCarthy 2021 · AAA	27	38→48	46→45	49→50	44	191/275/317	127	288	13	7	36%	9%	69	-0.9	242/306/403	161	300	18	9	25%	7%	100	+1.3	253/317/428	176	300	20	6	22%	7%	107	+1.0
✕John-Ford Griffin 2007 · AAA	27	40→38	48→50	45→40	42	210/263/352	142	269	17	4	29%	6%	72	-0.7	216/274/364	148	281	16	5	28%	7%	78	-0.3	212/273/357	145	276	15	4	28%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Brian O'Grady 2019 · AAA	27	40→38	47→55	52→50	45	206/276/349	144	272	14	12	29%	8%	76	-0.4	214/274/384	170	291	20	15	32%	7%	84	+0.1	200/265/376	176	270	21	17	33%	7%	77	-0.3
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	42	44→45	45→55	45	202/289/315	113	301	12	8	34%	9%	74	-0.6	222/298/320	98	293	9	18	26%	8%	78	-0.3	223/300/309	86	285	7	25	23%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Darick Hall 2022 · AAA	27	39→38	47→55	41→40	45	201/277/338	137	259	14	4	27%	7%	75	-0.5	218/275/379	161	270	21	4	27%	6%	82	+0.0	213/268/368	155	261	21	3	27%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Jason Cooper 2008 · AAA	27	42→38	47→50	51→45	43	210/271/357	147	279	13	9	29%	7%	76	-0.4	211/281/340	129	269	10	8	24%	8%	76	-0.4	205/288/337	132	247	11	3	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Mark Contreras 2022 · AAA	27	39→38	47→50	50→55	38	197/263/340	143	289	14	15	36%	6%	70	-0.9	200/262/323	123	290	14	24	34%	6%	65	-1.2	188/254/295	106	273	12	30	34%	6%	53	-1.5
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	40	42→40	48→50	45	194/288/297	103	292	10	10	34%	9%	70	-0.8	194/284/310	116	283	12	11	33%	10%	71	-0.8	127/239/235	107	174	13	9	33%	12%	38	-1.1
✕Patrick Dorrian 2023 · AAA	27	37→38	48→50	47→45	42	191/262/331	140	285	16	6	37%	8%	68	-1.0	192/256/321	129	288	15	7	37%	7%	63	-1.4	176/241/298	122	260	15	5	37%	7%	49	-1.4
✕Slade Heathcott 2018 · MLB	27	46	45	46→50	43	227/288/350	123	310	13	10	30%	7%	80	-0.1	224/284/344	120	325	11	13	32%	7%	78	-0.3	204/259/285	81	335	4	17	38%	6%	51	-0.5
✕Matt Skole 2016 · AAA	27	39→41	46→50	44→40	47	199/273/325	125	260	14	4	28%	9%	70	-0.8	194/259/326	132	250	15	4	28%	8%	65	-1.2	179/255/300	121	244	14	1	31%	9%	57	-1.2
✕Shane Matheny 2023 · AAA	27	43→41	45	50	43	203/281/325	122	325	14	6	39%	9%	73	-0.6	201/285/324	123	309	12	11	35%	10%	74	-0.5	186/279/306	120	280	12	12	35%	11%	66	-0.7
✕Patrick Breen 2009 · AA	27	39→40	48→55	44→45	40	198/264/342	144	302	16	8	38%	8%	70	-0.8	211/298/315	104	316	10	11	33%	9%	77	-0.3	170/300/233	63	264	8	11	34%	12%	60	-0.3
✕Tristan Gray 2022 · AAA	26	41→35	46→50	42→40	42	209/270/342	132	281	14	5	30%	7%	72	-0.7	186/239/339	153	263	20	4	37%	5%	61	-1.5	198/254/329	130	265	15	3	30%	6%	62	-0.9
✕César Salazar 2023 · AAA	27	41	49→45	47→45	41	215/277/357	142	256	18	9	24%	5%	79	-0.2	207/299/322	115	248	12	7	21%	8%	80	-0.2	203/308/311	108	241	12	6	20%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Mike Costanzo 2011 · AAA	27	44→47	44→45	49→40	41	214/271/333	119	302	11	6	32%	7%	70	-0.8	211/271/338	127	298	12	4	31%	7%	72	-0.7	204/266/329	125	285	12	2	32%	8%	66	-0.8
✕Jordan Patterson 2019 · MLB	27	41→49	49→50	46→50	37	209/277/360	151	290	17	7	33%	6%	80	-0.2	204/269/348	144	305	16	7	37%	5%	74	-0.6	176/238/308	133	273	15	4	40%	4%	51	-1.5
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA	27	44→43	45	44→45	49	220/290/348	129	269	13	7	23%	8%	81	-0.1	228/294/351	123	282	11	8	22%	8%	83	+0.1	228/295/343	115	278	10	5	21%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Nick Podkul 2023 · AAA	26	40	45→50	48→50	46	199/285/316	117	280	13	9	32%	9%	73	-0.6	212/301/356	144	295	17	5	32%	9%	88	+0.4	207/301/369	163	277	20	1	31%	10%	87	+0.2
✕Nolan Fontana 2018 · MLB	27	40→43	41→40	48→50	49	196/278/297	100	272	8	12	29%	10%	65	-1.2	197/290/317	120	279	11	11	30%	11%	75	-0.5	156/272/270	114	221	9	6	31%	13%	57	-0.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps