Cal Mitchell — OGILVIE

Cal MitchellLF Richmond Flying Squirrels

Age 27 L/L 6'0" / 195 lbs AA HR -8%H -3% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 233 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .276 / .349

PA233

HR6

K%32

BB%7

ISO135

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2023

CONTACT25

Whiff%

3712.5%

xwOBA

340.290

POWER35

Barrel%

244.8

Avg EV

3588.0

EYE40

Chase%

3235.3%

SPEED45

Sprint

2226.1

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	GCL Pirates	—	185	171	29	7	0	2	12	50	2	2	3	170	232	246	478	76	227	27	6	216	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	18	ROK	GCL Pirates	—	185	159	39	11	0	2	24	35	2	2	3	245	351	352	704	107	303	19	13	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	West Virginia Power	—	495	461	104	25	2	6	23	148	5	4	5	226	270	328	597	102	314	30	5	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	19	A	West Virginia Power	—	495	443	124	29	3	10	41	109	5	4	5	280	348	427	774	147	347	22	8	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	493	460	85	16	2	10	23	200	5	1	1	185	232	293	525	109	294	41	5	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	493	451	113	21	2	15	32	142	5	1	1	251	307	406	713	155	328	29	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	2 teams	—	440	411	99	19	1	12	16	98	8	6	7	241	283	380	662	139	284	22	4	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA	2 teams	—	440	402	112	20	1	12	24	75	8	6	7	279	331	423	754	144	312	17	5	333	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	2 teams	—	493	455	116	28	2	12	28	99	5	11	2	255	305	404	710	149	299	20	6	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	2 teams	—	493	448	128	29	2	14	35	90	5	11	2	286	344	453	797	167	328	18	7	351	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	333	304	62	12	0	6	21	122	3	6	2	204	262	303	565	99	311	37	6	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	333	292	75	16	0	9	33	95	3	6	2	257	338	404	743	147	344	29	10	330	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	469	426	85	18	2	14	37	133	0	12	6	200	263	350	613	150	250	28	8	266	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	469	408	113	26	2	22	55	95	0	12	6	277	363	512	875	235	307	20	12	379	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	183	173	22	5	0	2	10	74	0	2	5	127	175	191	366	64	206	40	5	161	-19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	183	169	27	6	0	3	14	60	0	2	5	160	224	249	473	89	226	33	8	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	27	MLB	SF	—	233	213	47	10	1	6	17	75	1	4	3	221	281	362	643	141	301	32	7	282	74	-7	-0	-1	-2	+7	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	SF	27%	315	288	63	13	1	8	23	101	1	5	3	219	279	354	633	135	301	32	7	280	73	-10	-0	-2	-3	+9	-0.6
2027	28	MLB	SF	27%	85	79	16	3	0	2	6	27	0	1	1	203	259	316	575	114	295	32	7	272	66	-3	-0	-0	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	317	291	64	14	0	7	24	79	0	4	2	220	279	340	620	120	277	25	8	281	73	-10	+0	-6	-6	+9	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	597	131	29	0	14	49	162	0	8	4	219	279	338	617	119	277	25	8	281	73	-19	+0	-12	-13	+18	-2.6
Career	—			—	3639	3362	712	153	11	78	210	1100	30	53	37	212	264	333	598	122	286	30	6	262	59	-169	-4	-8	-39	+103	-11.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	601	127	27	2	14	38	196	5	9	7	211	264	333	597	121	285	30	6	262	59	-30	-1	-1	-7	+18	-2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	18	ROK	GCL Pirates	—	185	159	39	11	0	2	24	35	2	2	3	245	351	352	704	107	303	19	13	324	106	+1	-1	—	—	+5	0.6
2018	19	A	West Virginia Power	—	495	443	124	29	3	10	41	109	5	4	5	280	348	427	774	147	347	22	8	342	120	+11	-1	—	—	+14	2.5
2019	20	A+	Bradenton Marauders	—	493	451	113	21	2	15	32	142	5	1	1	251	307	406	713	155	328	29	6	315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+14	1.4
2021	22	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	21	20	5	1	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	250	286	300	586	50	312	19	0	269	64	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2021	22	AA	Altoona Curve	—	419	382	107	19	1	12	24	71	7	6	7	280	333	429	763	149	312	17	6	336	115	+7	-2	—	—	+12	1.8
2022	23	MLB	Pittsburgh Pirates	—	232	212	48	11	0	5	18	52	0	3	1	226	287	349	636	123	276	22	8	285	76	-6	+0	-5	-5	+7	-1.0
2022	23	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	261	236	80	18	2	9	17	38	5	8	1	339	395	547	942	208	370	15	7	409	171	+21	+1	—	—	+7	3.0
2023	24	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	—	316	280	73	16	0	9	29	93	3	6	2	261	337	414	751	154	354	29	9	333	113	+5	+0	—	—	+9	1.4
2023	24	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	17	12	2	0	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	167	375	167	542		182	12	24	271	65	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.0
2024	25	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	469	408	113	26	2	22	55	95	0	12	6	277	363	512	875	235	307	20	12	379	148	+26	+0	—	—	+13	4.0
2025	26	AAA	Charlotte Knights	—	27	27	3	1	0	0	0	14	0	1	1	111	111	148	259	37	231	52	0	115	-54	-5	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	26	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	156	142	24	5	0	3	14	46	0	1	4	169	244	268	511	99	226	29	9	237	39	-11	-1	—	—	+4	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	232	212	48	11	0	5	18	52	0	3	1	226	287	349	636	123	276	22	8	285	76	-6	+0	-5	-5	+7	-1.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#2Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#3Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#4Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	321	7	4	225	282	351	-3	-4	-0.3	-0.3
	/162	664	15	9	225	282	351	-7.1	-7.2	-0.7	pk7: -0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	19	9	250	303	400	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cal Mitchell (OGILVIE)	27	25	35	45	40	216/276/349	134	301	6	4	32%	7%	74	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shayne Fontana 2023 · AAA	26	41	43→45	45→55	45	199/286/310	111	301	11	8	35%	9%	68	-0.5	224/301/327	103	295	10	18	26%	8%	78	+0.2	228/306/322	93	290	9	25	23%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Mark Contreras 2022 · AAA	27	38→37	48→50	50→55	37	196/260/344	148	289	16	15	36%	6%	66	-0.6	202/262/337	135	291	16	24	35%	6%	65	-0.7	191/254/310	119	273	15	30	34%	6%	50	-1.2
✕Slade Heathcott 2018 · MLB	27	46→43	48→45	46→50	42	227/288/367	140	312	16	10	31%	7%	82	+0.5	226/285/356	130	327	13	13	33%	7%	79	+0.3	217/273/305	88	346	4	17	36%	6%	55	-0.3
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	39	43→45	48→50	44	192/283/299	108	293	11	10	36%	9%	65	-0.7	194/282/315	121	288	13	11	34%	9%	68	-0.5	127/238/245	118	175	14	9	35%	11%	31	-1.0
✕Matt Skole 2016 · AAA	27	38→40	47→50	44→40	46	199/272/331	132	262	16	4	30%	9%	67	-0.5	194/257/338	144	249	18	4	29%	7%	63	-0.9	175/249/299	124	238	15	1	32%	8%	48	-1.3
✕Shane Matheny 2023 · AAA	27	42→41	48→45	50	41	202/278/336	133	333	16	6	41%	9%	71	-0.3	205/289/338	133	315	14	11	36%	10%	76	+0.1	191/285/323	132	285	14	12	35%	11%	68	-0.3
✕Jason Cooper 2008 · AAA	27	42→38	49→55	51→45	43	213/273/372	159	280	16	9	29%	7%	78	+0.2	213/281/351	138	268	12	8	24%	7%	76	+0.0	209/292/352	144	249	13	3	21%	8%	79	+0.2
✕Ryan Aguilar 2022 · AA	27	36→40	43→45	51→50	40	173/258/271	97	302	12	13	43%	9%	46	-2.0	207/298/337	130	337	14	13	39%	10%	80	+0.4	218/319/374	157	335	17	13	36%	11%	93	+0.8
✕Jose Manuel Orozco 2019 · AAA	28	44	46→50	47→45	39	221/268/347	126	302	14	10	31%	6%	69	-0.4	233/281/382	149	336	17	10	34%	5%	83	+0.6	233/280/392	159	341	19	6	36%	5%	84	+0.3
✕Patrick Breen 2009 · AA	27	39→40	49→55	44→45	39	197/263/344	147	307	17	8	40%	8%	66	-0.6	210/297/317	107	321	10	11	34%	9%	75	-0.0	166/296/234	68	265	9	11	35%	12%	54	-0.3
✕Connor Hoover 2023 · AA	27	34→29	46→50	50	43	180/253/311	131	257	14	12	35%	8%	54	-1.4	199/273/346	147	278	18	12	33%	8%	72	-0.2	173/257/338	165	221	24	12	34%	9%	60	-0.5
✕Jordan Patterson 2019 · MLB	27	39→49	47→50	46→50	36	198/265/334	136	284	15	7	34%	5%	66	-0.6	202/266/349	147	306	17	7	38%	5%	69	-0.4	178/241/326	148	279	18	4	41%	4%	50	-1.1
✕Nolan Fontana 2018 · MLB	27	41→43	41→40	48→50	49	197/278/296	99	272	8	12	29%	10%	60	-1.0	196/286/316	120	275	11	11	30%	11%	69	-0.4	153/267/269	116	216	9	6	31%	12%	49	-0.5
✕Adam Calderone 2011 · AAA	27	39→40	48→50	45	38	203/247/351	148	261	15	9	29%	4%	61	-1.0	202/247/329	127	268	12	12	29%	5%	55	-1.4	158/191/253	95	204	5	16	25%	4%	7	-1.1
✕Daniel Amaral 2023 · AA	26	41	47→40	48→55	41	209/268/345	136	287	15	14	32%	7%	69	-0.4	232/305/339	107	304	9	27	25%	8%	82	+0.5	243/325/332	89	317	5	48	23%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Joe McCarthy 2021 · AAA	27	38→48	46→50	49→50	43	190/272/319	129	288	14	7	37%	9%	64	-0.8	247/309/426	179	300	21	9	24%	7%	107	+2.2	262/327/469	207	303	25	6	22%	7%	123	+1.7
✕Nathan Panther 2008 · AA	27	44→43	45	44→45	49	219/289/348	129	269	13	7	23%	8%	78	+0.2	228/294/355	127	284	12	8	23%	8%	82	+0.5	228/294/350	122	280	11	5	22%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Jameson Fisher 2021 · AA	27	39→36	40→45	44→45	42	186/257/276	90	290	8	6	36%	8%	46	-2.0	215/267/333	118	308	11	6	32%	6%	65	-0.7	227/273/366	140	303	15	2	29%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Caleb Hamilton 2022 · AAA	27	35	44→45	47→45	44	179/260/291	112	277	12	9	38%	10%	52	-1.6	180/266/322	142	275	19	6	39%	10%	63	-0.8	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Jeremy Farrell 2014 · AAA	27	40→36	41→45	42→45	39	193/263/288	95	280	8	4	32%	6%	53	-1.5	204/257/298	94	313	6	5	35%	5%	52	-1.6	202/249/291	88	321	4	3	36%	4%	43	-0.9