Cal Mitchell
RF Yaquis de Obregon| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AAASD | 469 | .277/.363/.512 | 22 | 12 | 84 | — | .226/.289/.391 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 183 | .160/.224/.249 | 3 | 2 | -4 | — | .128/.175/.192 |
| 2026 | 27 | INTLYaquis de Obr… | 17 | .267/.353/.533 | 1 | 0 | 148 | — | |
| 2027PROJMLE | 28 | MLBSF | 233 | .226/.288/.360 | 6 | 4 | 82 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ22% MLB | 29 | MLBSF | 41 | .220/.281/.344 | 1 | 1 | 79 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Pirates | — | 185 | 159 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 245 | 351 | 352 | 704 | 107 | 303 | 19 | 13 | 324 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A | West Virginia Power | — | 495 | 443 | 124 | 29 | 3 | 10 | 41 | 109 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 280 | 348 | 427 | 774 | 147 | 347 | 22 | 8 | 342 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ | Bradenton Marauders | — | 493 | 451 | 113 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 32 | 142 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 251 | 307 | 406 | 713 | 155 | 328 | 29 | 6 | 315 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 21 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 286 | 300 | 586 | 50 | 312 | 19 | 0 | 269 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 419 | 382 | 107 | 19 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 71 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 280 | 333 | 429 | 763 | 149 | 312 | 17 | 6 | 336 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 232 | 212 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 226 | 287 | 349 | 636 | 123 | 276 | 22 | 8 | 285 | 80 | -6 | +0 | -5 | -5 | +5 | -1.1 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 261 | 236 | 80 | 18 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 38 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 339 | 395 | 547 | 942 | 208 | 370 | 15 | 7 | 409 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 316 | 280 | 73 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 93 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 261 | 337 | 414 | 751 | 154 | 354 | 29 | 9 | 333 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 17 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 375 | 167 | 542 | 182 | 12 | 24 | 271 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 469 | 408 | 113 | 26 | 2 | 22 | 55 | 95 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 277 | 363 | 512 | 875 | 235 | 307 | 20 | 12 | 379 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 27 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 111 | 111 | 148 | 259 | 37 | 231 | 52 | 0 | 115 | -60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 156 | 142 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 46 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 169 | 244 | 268 | 511 | 99 | 226 | 29 | 9 | 237 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 17 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 353 | 533 | 886 | 267 | 273 | 18 | 12 | 386 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 232 | 212 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 226 | 287 | 349 | 636 | 123 | 276 | 22 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -6 | +0 | -5 | -5 | +5 | -1.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 185 | 170 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 50 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 171 | 238 | 247 | 485 | 76 | 232 | 27 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 495 | 459 | 109 | 25 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 147 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 237 | 284 | 351 | 635 | 113 | 320 | 30 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 493 | 459 | 88 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 201 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 240 | 305 | 545 | 113 | 299 | 41 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 21 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 286 | 300 | 586 | 50 | 297 | 24 | 0 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 419 | 391 | 99 | 18 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 87 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 253 | 295 | 381 | 676 | 128 | 293 | 21 | 4 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB MLE | Pittsburgh Pirates | — | 232 | 212 | 48 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 52 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 226 | 287 | 349 | 636 | 123 | 276 | 22 | 8 | 286 | 80 | -6 | +0 | -5 | -5 | +5 | -1.1 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 261 | 242 | 74 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 46 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 306 | 349 | 479 | 828 | 174 | 343 | 18 | 4 | 353 | 125 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 316 | 289 | 64 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 115 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 221 | 279 | 329 | 608 | 107 | 331 | 36 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 17 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 312 | 154 | 466 | 173 | 18 | 18 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 469 | 425 | 96 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 119 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 226 | 289 | 391 | 680 | 165 | 267 | 25 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 27 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 74 | 74 | 111 | 185 | 37 | 212 | 63 | 0 | 79 | -60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Richmond Flying Squirrels | — | 156 | 146 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 55 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 137 | 192 | 205 | 398 | 68 | 199 | 35 | 6 | 177 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 185 | 170 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 50 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 171 | 238 | 247 | 485 | 76 | 229 | 27 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK RAW | GCL Pirates | — | 185 | 159 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 245 | 351 | 352 | 704 | 107 | 303 | 19 | 13 | 324 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 495 | 459 | 109 | 25 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 147 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 237 | 284 | 351 | 635 | 113 | 329 | 30 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A RAW | West Virginia Power | — | 495 | 443 | 124 | 29 | 3 | 10 | 41 | 109 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 280 | 348 | 427 | 774 | 147 | 347 | 22 | 8 | 342 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 493 | 459 | 88 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 201 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 192 | 240 | 305 | 545 | 113 | 306 | 41 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 493 | 451 | 113 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 32 | 142 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 251 | 307 | 406 | 713 | 155 | 328 | 29 | 6 | 315 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 440 | 411 | 104 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 92 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 253 | 294 | 377 | 671 | 124 | 299 | 21 | 4 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 440 | 402 | 112 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 75 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 279 | 331 | 423 | 754 | 144 | 312 | 17 | 5 | 333 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 493 | 454 | 121 | 27 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 98 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 267 | 318 | 414 | 732 | 148 | 313 | 20 | 6 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 493 | 448 | 128 | 29 | 2 | 14 | 35 | 90 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 286 | 344 | 453 | 797 | 167 | 328 | 18 | 7 | 351 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 302 | 66 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 118 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 219 | 280 | 321 | 602 | 103 | 330 | 35 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 333 | 292 | 75 | 16 | 0 | 9 | 33 | 95 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 257 | 338 | 404 | 743 | 147 | 344 | 29 | 10 | 330 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 469 | 425 | 96 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 119 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 226 | 289 | 391 | 680 | 165 | 274 | 25 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA RAW | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 469 | 408 | 113 | 26 | 2 | 22 | 55 | 95 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 277 | 363 | 512 | 875 | 235 | 307 | 20 | 12 | 379 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 183 | 173 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 72 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 127 | 175 | 191 | 366 | 64 | 202 | 39 | 5 | 163 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 183 | 169 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 60 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 160 | 224 | 249 | 473 | 89 | 226 | 33 | 8 | 219 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | INTL MLE | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 17 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 353 | 533 | 886 | 267 | 273 | 18 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | INTL RAW | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 17 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 353 | 533 | 886 | 267 | 273 | 18 | 12 | 386 | 148 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Pirates | — | 185 | 168 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 50 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 173 | 238 | 250 | 488 | 77 | 232 | 27 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 19 | A MLE | West Virginia Power | — | 495 | 462 | 109 | 25 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 147 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 236 | 284 | 348 | 633 | 113 | 320 | 30 | 5 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A+ MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 493 | 461 | 88 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 201 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 191 | 240 | 304 | 543 | 113 | 299 | 41 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 440 | 413 | 104 | 19 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 92 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 252 | 294 | 375 | 670 | 123 | 293 | 21 | 4 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 493 | 456 | 121 | 27 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 98 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 265 | 318 | 412 | 730 | 147 | 311 | 20 | 6 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 304 | 66 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 118 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 217 | 280 | 319 | 600 | 102 | 323 | 35 | 7 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 469 | 428 | 96 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 119 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 224 | 289 | 388 | 677 | 164 | 267 | 25 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 183 | 171 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 72 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 129 | 175 | 193 | 368 | 64 | 201 | 39 | 5 | 163 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AAA MLE | El Paso Chihuahuas | — | 469 | 428 | 96 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 119 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 224 | 289 | 388 | 677 | 164 | 267 | 25 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 183 | 171 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 72 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 129 | 175 | 193 | 368 | 64 | 201 | 39 | 5 | 163 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | SF | 0% | 233 | 213 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 69 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 226 | 288 | 360 | 648 | 134 | 303 | 30 | 7 | 289 | 82 | -5 | +0 | -0 | -2 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | SF | 22% | 189 | 172 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 56 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 224 | 285 | 354 | 638 | 130 | 301 | 30 | 7 | 285 | 79 | -5 | -0 | -2 | -2 | +4 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | SF | 22% | 41 | 38 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 220 | 281 | 344 | 625 | 125 | 297 | 29 | 7 | 280 | 79 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 273 | 250 | 56 | 13 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 64 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 224 | 284 | 348 | 632 | 124 | 276 | 23 | 8 | 284 | 70 | -7 | +0 | -6 | -6 | +6 | -1.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 595 | 133 | 31 | 0 | 14 | 50 | 152 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 224 | 283 | 346 | 630 | 123 | 276 | 23 | 8 | 284 | 70 | -16 | +1 | -13 | -14 | +14 | -2.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3441 | 3171 | 708 | 149 | 11 | 73 | 205 | 998 | 30 | 50 | 34 | 223 | 277 | 346 | 623 | 123 | 298 | 29 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -14 | +0 | -7 | -9 | +12 | -1.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 134 | 28 | 2 | 14 | 39 | 189 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 224 | 278 | 347 | 626 | 124 | 299 | 29 | 6 | 272 | 70 | -16 | +0 | -8 | -10 | +14 | -2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 156 PAwOBA .231 → .177 (−53)K% 29.5% → 35.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.49% | ÷1.018 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.97% | ÷0.962 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.004 | ×0.970 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 15.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.21% | ÷0.992 | ×0.860 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 4.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.959 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.183 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.04% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 101, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 104, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .231 → .177; ISO .099 → .066; BABIP .226 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAACharlotte Knights · 27 PAwOBA .111 → .079 (−32)K% 51.9% → 62.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 51.85% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 62.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 14.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.980 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 6.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.961 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.320 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 92, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .111 → .079; ISO .037 → .025; BABIP .231 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 469 PAwOBA .373 → .293 (−80)K% 20.3% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.26% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.73% | ÷1.026 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.13% | ÷1.025 | ×0.930 | ×0.986 | ×1.033 | 18.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.31% | ÷1.053 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | ×1.033 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.64% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×0.986 | ×1.033 | 0.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.03% | ÷1.078 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 4.72% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 116, 1B 105, 2B 111, 3B 99, K 92, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .373 → .293; ISO .235 → .169; BABIP .307 → .267. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 316 PAwOBA .327 → .266 (−61)K% 29.4% → 36.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.43% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 36.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.18% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.67% | ÷1.004 | ×0.930 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 25.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.56% | ÷1.013 | ×0.830 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 7.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×1.010 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.81% | ÷1.095 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.22% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 93, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .327 → .266; ISO .154 → .109; BABIP .354 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ABradenton Marauders · 17 PAwOBA .282 → .238 (−45)K% 11.8% → 15.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.76% | ÷1.037 | ×1.360 | — | — | 15.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.53% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 16.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷0.958 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 18.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.971 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 92, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 107, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .282 → .238; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .182 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 261 PAwOBA .401 → .353 (−48)K% 14.6% → 17.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.56% | ÷0.982 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.80% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.13% | ÷1.058 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 4.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.92% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.76% | ÷1.087 | ×0.930 | ×1.037 | ×1.050 | 24.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×1.037 | ×1.050 | 8.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.01% | ÷0.942 | ×0.970 | ×1.037 | ×1.050 | 1.13% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.013 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.30% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 117, 2B 93, 3B 88, K 96, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.
Result: wOBA .401 → .353; ISO .208 → .174; BABIP .370 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAltoona Curve · 419 PAwOBA .330 → .295 (−35)K% 16.9% → 20.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.95% | ÷0.992 | ×1.220 | — | — | 20.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.49% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.042 | 3.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.67% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.042 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.12% | ÷1.042 | ×0.940 | ×1.001 | ×1.042 | 22.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.11% | ÷0.948 | ×0.870 | ×1.001 | ×1.042 | 5.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.32% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.001 | ×1.042 | 0.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.86% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.042 | 3.31% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 108, 2B 90, 3B 130, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.001.
Result: wOBA .330 → .295; ISO .149 → .132; BABIP .312 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 21 PAwOBA .261 → .235 (−26)K% 19.0% → 23.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.05% | ÷0.961 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.100 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.76% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 4.70% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 24.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.986 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 5.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.914 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.096 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 102, 2B 97, 3B 83, K 92, BB 120 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .261 → .235; ISO .050 → .041; BABIP .312 → .297. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .