Oscar Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Oscar GonzalezLF San Diego Padres

Age 28 R/R 6'5" / 240 lbs MLB HR -7% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 200 proj PA

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .279 / .385

PA200

HR5

K%25

BB%4

ISO144

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 43 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2025

CONTACT43

Whiff%

1215.3%

xwOBA

480.306

POWER49

Barrel%

447.4

Avg EV

4388.6

Bat Spd

6873.3

EYE20

Chase%

1049.9%

SPEED61

Sprint

6628.1

Platoon Splits2025 · 61 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

190

244

▶▶R

ISO

036

—

BABIP

250

308

▶▶R

27.6%

15.6%

▶▶R

BB%

3.5%

3.1%

◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Indians	—	282	263	37	11	1	3	12	94	3	1	3	141	187	224	411	84	200	33	4	180	-4	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK	DSL Indians	—	282	256	52	17	1	4	19	65	3	1	3	203	266	324	590	121	251	23	7	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	AZL Indians	—	155	148	27	6	1	5	5	82	1	4	0	182	214	338	552	155	355	53	3	231	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	AZL Indians	—	155	145	44	10	2	8	8	57	1	4	0	303	344	566	910	262	444	37	5	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A	Lake County Captains	—	480	465	116	18	1	8	9	149	2	5	6	249	267	344	611	95	346	31	2	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A	Lake County Captains	—	480	462	135	25	1	13	12	107	2	5	6	292	313	435	748	143	353	22	2	328	109	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	2 teams	—	502	485	122	19	2	11	11	107	2	7	5	252	271	367	638	115	300	21	2	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	2 teams	—	502	481	141	27	3	9	15	83	2	7	5	293	317	418	735	125	337	17	3	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA	3 teams	—	585	564	147	22	1	32	17	162	4	1	2	261	287	473	761	213	311	28	3	326	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA	3 teams	—	585	555	156	26	2	33	26	135	4	1	2	281	318	514	831	232	318	23	4	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	MLB	4 teams	—	608	580	165	36	2	20	21	115	4	1	2	284	314	457	771	172	324	19	3	330	111	+7	-1	-6	-7	+17	1.1
2022	24	MLB	4 teams	—	608	577	162	37	2	20	24	112	4	1	2	281	314	456	770	175	317	18	4	338	117	+11	-1	-6	-7	+17	1.5
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	542	514	126	25	7	12	18	144	3	2	0	245	275	391	666	146	312	27	3	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	542	508	133	30	6	15	24	129	3	2	0	262	299	433	732	171	318	24	4	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	3 teams	—	352	334	84	17	3	8	13	88	3	7	0	251	286	392	678	141	317	25	4	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	3 teams	—	352	328	96	24	3	10	19	70	3	7	0	293	337	476	813	183	344	20	5	356	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	—	118	114	27	3	1	4	4	32	0	1	2	237	263	386	649	149	295	27	3	272	66	-4	-1	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2025	27	MLB	2 teams	—	118	113	31	4	1	5	5	27	0	1	2	274	305	460	765	186	321	23	4	336	115	+2	-1	+0	-1	+3	0.4
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	SD	—	200	189	46	8	2	5	8	51	1	3	1	243	278	386	664	143	304	26	4	295	84	-4	+0	-2	-2	+6	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	SD	65%	286	270	65	12	2	7	12	73	2	4	1	241	278	378	656	137	303	26	4	293	82	-6	+0	-4	-3	+8	-0.4
2028	30	MLB	SD	65%	321	302	72	13	2	8	14	83	2	4	1	238	277	374	651	136	302	26	4	289	80	-7	+0	-5	-3	+9	-0.6
2027	29	MLB	SD	65%	186	175	42	8	1	5	8	48	1	2	1	240	277	383	660	143	300	26	4	283	75	-5	+0	-2	-2	+5	-0.4
2028	30	MLB	SD	65%	209	197	47	8	2	5	9	54	1	2	1	239	275	376	651	137	298	26	4	280	73	-6	+0	-3	-2	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1018	966	246	51	5	23	39	236	6	5	5	255	288	389	677	135	313	23	4	296	85	-17	-1	-19	-18	+29	-2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	617	158	33	3	15	25	151	4	3	3	256	289	392	682	136	315	23	4	296	85	-11	-1	-12	-11	+18	-1.7
Career	—			—	4431	4228	1034	190	25	123	144	1180	27	40	23	245	274	389	663	144	308	27	3	286	77	-114	-1	-23	-47	+126	-6.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	620	152	28	4	18	21	173	4	6	3	245	274	390	665	145	309	27	3	286	77	-17	+0	-3	-7	+18	-0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Indians	—	282	256	52	17	1	4	19	65	3	1	3	203	266	324	590	121	251	23	7	264	60	-13	-1	—	—	+8	-0.6
2016	18	ROK	AZL Indians	—	155	145	44	10	2	8	8	57	1	4	0	303	344	566	910	262	444	37	5	392	158	+10	+1	—	—	+4	1.6
2018	20	A	Lake County Captains	—	480	462	135	25	1	13	12	107	2	5	6	292	313	435	748	143	353	22	2	328	109	+5	-1	—	—	+14	1.8
2019	21	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	100	96	18	5	0	1	3	17	0	0	0	188	212	271	483	83	215	17	3	215	22	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2019	21	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	402	385	123	22	3	8	12	66	2	7	5	319	343	455	798	135	367	16	3	351	127	+12	-1	—	—	+11	2.3
2021	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	305	290	78	12	1	18	11	76	4	0	1	269	305	503	808	234	306	25	4	353	128	+10	-0	—	—	+9	1.8
2021	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	199	188	62	12	0	13	11	36	0	1	0	330	367	601	968	271	353	18	6	420	180	+18	+0	—	—	+6	2.4
2021	23	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	81	77	16	2	1	2	4	23	0	0	1	208	247	338	585	130	269	28	5	260	57	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2022	24	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	382	362	107	27	0	11	15	75	3	1	2	296	329	461	790	166	345	20	4	347	124	+10	-1	-6	-7	+11	0.8
2022	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	182	174	49	8	2	9	6	26	1	0	0	282	309	506	815	224	286	14	3	353	129	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2022	24	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	17	15	2	1	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	133	235	200	435	67	182	24	12	211	20	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2022	24	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	27	26	4	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	154	185	192	377	38	211	26	4	174	-9	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2023	25	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	180	173	37	7	2	2	5	46	1	0	0	214	240	312	552	98	278	26	3	245	46	-11	+0	-7	-6	+5	-1.9
2023	25	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	362	335	96	23	4	13	19	83	2	2	0	287	329	496	824	209	339	23	5	355	130	+12	+0	—	—	+10	2.3
2024	26	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	306	286	84	22	2	8	15	62	3	7	0	294	336	469	804	175	349	20	5	352	128	+10	+1	—	—	+9	2.0
2024	26	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	23	20	6	0	1	2	3	4	0	0	0	300	391	700	1.091	400	286	17	13	460	210	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2024	26	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	23	22	6	2	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	273	304	364	668	91	333	17	4	299	87	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2025	27	MLB	San Diego Padres	—	61	59	13	1	0	0	2	13	0	0	1	220	246	237	483	17	283	21	3	222	28	-5	-0	+0	-1	+2	-0.5
2025	27	AAA	El Paso Chihuahuas	—	57	54	18	3	1	5	3	14	0	1	1	333	368	704	1.072	370	371	25	5	458	209	+7	-0	—	—	+2	0.9
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	623	594	157	35	2	13	22	134	4	1	3	264	295	396	691	131	320	22	4	306	92	-6	-1	-13	-14	+18	-1.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#2John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	7	1,560	54	2	243	309	416	-15	-16	1.6	1.6
#2John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	/162	664	23	1	243	309	416	-6.5	-6.7	0.7	pk7: 2
#3Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
#4Dayan Viciedolast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,798 PA	5	1,798	66	2	254	298	424	-18	-29	0.3	0.3
	/162	664	24	1	254	298	424	-6.6	-10.7	0.1	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,218	28	8	255	286	392	-13	-27	0.1	0.2
	/162	664	15	5	255	286	392	-7.1	-14.7	0.1	pk7: 0
#5Brennan Boeschlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,713 PA	6	1,713	48	22	250	303	400	-17	-35	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	19	9	250	303	400	-6.6	-13.6	-0.4	pk7: -1
#6Domonic Brownlast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,748 PA	6	1,748	54	23	246	305	405	-19	-39	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	21	9	246	305	405	-7.1	-14.7	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Oscar Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	28	43	49	61	20	242/279/385	142	304	5	3	25%	4%	84	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Elier Hernandez 2023 · MLB	28	47→49	51→50	52→50	39	238/284/403	165	301	18	11	27%	5%	91	+1.1	234/285/370	136	311	14	9	28%	6%	82	+0.5	226/278/348	122	305	12	8	29%	6%	69	-0.4
●Matt Carson 2009 · AAA	28	46→50	49→60	53→50	40	233/278/386	153	285	17	10	25%	5%	83	+0.6	236/282/421	185	283	22	15	25%	5%	95	+1.4	246/292/430	185	300	21	14	25%	5%	98	+1.2
✕Lewis Brinson 2022 · MLB	28	44→52	48→55	49→50	39	224/271/363	139	294	16	10	29%	5%	74	-0.1	238/286/422	184	328	24	9	34%	6%	97	+1.5	230/278/435	205	328	28	8	38%	5%	92	+0.8
✕Brent Clevlen 2011 · MLB	27	47→52	46→50	53→50	38	230/278/360	131	332	14	9	34%	6%	76	+0.1	230/288/375	145	331	15	10	33%	8%	85	+0.7	221/286/374	153	312	16	8	33%	8%	80	+0.2
✕Wilkin Ramirez 2014 · MLB	28	47→49	49→55	48→55	37	240/275/391	151	305	16	12	27%	4%	83	+0.6	220/249/327	107	302	9	10	29%	3%	54	-1.4	213/236/307	95	296	6	10	30%	2%	41	-1.1
✕Ryan Rua 2018 · MLB	28	44→54	47→50	50	41	221/280/353	133	307	16	11	33%	7%	76	+0.0	219/271/370	151	303	18	13	33%	6%	76	+0.1	193/239/358	165	259	22	17	34%	4%	59	-0.4
✕Jason Coats 2019 · MLB	29	43→50	50→55	49→45	40	222/264/383	161	265	18	6	24%	4%	76	+0.1	213/251/362	149	273	18	9	29%	4%	66	-0.6	198/232/337	140	254	20	8	31%	4%	49	-1.1
✕Alex Guerrero 2015 · AAA	28	48	53→65	54→45	39	246/284/420	175	293	20	9	24%	4%	95	+1.4	230/265/400	170	271	22	8	24%	4%	82	+0.5	238/268/448	210	269	30	3	25%	3%	95	+0.5
✕Cole Garner 2012 · AAA	27	46→50	48→55	49→50	38	233/279/381	149	302	15	11	28%	4%	82	+0.5	198/243/321	123	315	14	8	40%	5%	51	-1.7	194/235/326	132	306	18	7	41%	4%	47	-0.7
✕Christian Bethancourt 2021 · AAA	29	44→52	47→55	50	38	224/261/358	134	286	16	11	28%	4%	69	-0.4	237/273/388	151	296	18	8	26%	4%	82	+0.5	235/268/390	156	288	20	5	26%	4%	78	+0.1
✕Taylor Featherston 2018 · MLB	28	39→45	46→55	51→50	39	202/256/326	125	272	14	12	31%	6%	59	-1.1	180/236/306	126	304	15	10	44%	5%	46	-2.0	152/209/273	121	273	16	8	48%	4%	23	-2.4
✕Alfredo Marte 2017 · MLB	28	45→47	43→50	51→45	41	220/271/329	109	296	10	10	29%	6%	65	-0.7	221/279/349	128	282	15	13	26%	6%	74	-0.1	200/268/321	121	245	17	14	25%	6%	61	-0.3
✕Scott Kingery 2022 · MLB	28	41→51	48→55	53→55	42	207/270/353	146	286	14	12	32%	7%	72	-0.2	199/262/324	125	297	13	22	35%	8%	60	-1.0	198/239/341	143	265	19	17	33%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Chris Nelson 2014 · MLB	28	50→52	45→50	49→50	42	245/289/372	127	308	12	8	24%	6%	83	+0.6	221/273/316	95	277	9	5	22%	6%	63	-0.9	205/258/278	72	255	6	2	21%	6%	43	-1.1
✕JaCoby Jones 2020 · MLB	28	46	50	51→50	42	228/293/393	165	308	16	14	30%	7%	92	+1.2	219/280/368	149	328	16	9	36%	6%	79	+0.3	192/246/312	120	316	14	5	42%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Barrett Barnes 2019 · AAA	28	48	43→45	50	40	229/294/348	119	329	10	10	32%	6%	80	+0.4	219/306/367	148	290	16	8	29%	9%	91	+1.1	196/297/347	151	252	18	5	28%	10%	80	+0.2
✕Jake Noll 2023 · MLB	29	47→50	47→50	52→45	41	237/277/379	142	276	14	7	20%	4%	81	+0.4	221/268/351	130	272	13	7	23%	5%	69	-0.4	191/241/303	113	236	12	0	25%	5%	43	-0.8
✕Jerad Head 2012 · MLB	29	44→46	49→55	47→50	37	225/269/376	151	280	17	6	26%	4%	77	+0.1	226/278/375	149	276	17	8	25%	5%	81	+0.4	225/282/375	150	269	18	7	23%	5%	78	+0.1
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2011 · MLB	27	44→48	49→55	52→50	40	228/274/377	150	282	18	14	26%	5%	79	+0.3	241/293/405	164	288	19	10	23%	6%	95	+1.4	238/296/408	169	280	20	7	22%	7%	93	+0.9
✕Miles Durham 2010 · AA	27	49→50	46→50	51→50	38	239/279/377	138	316	13	12	28%	4%	81	+0.4	217/267/337	120	316	11	11	33%	6%	66	-0.6	203/257/317	114	302	10	10	34%	6%	54	-0.9