Justin Williams

PosRF

B/TL/R

Born1995-08-20

Age (2027)31

No MLB projection yet. Career stats below are historical.

Overview

AAALAST SEASON 2022

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2019	23	AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs	318	.286/.363/.449	10	4	103	—	.250/.308/.409
2021	25	AAA/ROKSTL	103	.255/.291/.510	6	1	63	—	.212/.243/.393
2021	25	MLBSTL	137	.160/.270/.261	4	0	43	-1.0
2022	26	AAA/A+PHI	92	.169/.304/.208	0	3	20	—	.161/.261/.198
2023	27	No MLB games played
2024	28	No MLB games played
2025	29	No MLB games played
2026	30	No MLB games played

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.0

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Power58Speed50Eye50

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2013	17	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	213	199	72	18	0	1	9	42	5	0	1	362	404	467	871	106	455	20	4	390	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	112	102	29	6	3	2	7	23	3	0	1	284	348	461	809	176	351	21	6	358	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	Missoula Osprey	—	208	189	73	6	2	2	17	44	0	1	1	386	437	471	908	85	490	21	8	404	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	84	83	20	5	0	0	1	14	0	3	1	241	250	301	551	60	290	17	1	246	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	406	387	110	25	2	7	13	76	2	3	1	284	311	413	724	129	334	19	3	318	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	INTL	Brisbane Bandits	—	201	184	63	12	1	10	12	25	5	8	7	342	398	582	980	239	356	12	6	428	176	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	155	148	37	7	2	6	5	30	1	0	1	250	279	446	725	196	274	19	3	315	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	203	194	64	11	0	4	6	26	1	0	1	330	353	448	802	119	361	13	3	353	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	68	64	14	6	3	0	3	14	0	0	0	219	254	406	660	188	275	21	4	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	409	366	110	21	3	14	37	69	2	6	2	301	368	489	857	189	334	17	9	375	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	462	425	107	21	0	11	30	98	4	4	4	252	307	379	686	127	303	21	6	306	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	119	102	36	5	0	7	16	30	0	0	0	353	441	608	1.049	255	439	25	13	453	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	61	57	11	1	0	1	4	17	0	1	0	193	246	263	509	70	256	28	7	234	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	INTL	Aguilas de Mexicali	—	138	124	34	8	1	2	14	22	0	3	0	274	348	403	751	129	320	16	10	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	137	119	19	0	0	4	17	46	1	0	1	160	270	261	531	101	217	34	12	252	43	-9	-0	-1	-3	+3	-1.0
2021	25	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	88	84	23	4	1	6	3	23	1	1	0	274	307	560	866	286	309	26	3	374	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	ROK	FCL Cardinals	—	15	14	2	1	0	0	0	3	1	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	182	20	0	195	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	74	62	12	3	0	0	10	20	2	0	0	194	324	242	566	48	286	27	14	276	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	18	15	1	0	0	0	3	7	0	3	0	67	222	67	289		125	39	17	167	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	137	119	19	0	0	4	17	46	1	0	1	160	270	261	531	101	217	34	12	252	57	-7	-0	-1	-3	+3	-0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2013	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	213	203	57	13	0	1	5	60	5	0	1	281	315	360	674	79	388	28	2	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	A MLE	South Bend Silver Hawks	—	112	104	27	5	3	2	5	31	3	0	1	260	312	423	736	163	343	28	4	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	208	196	57	4	1	1	10	63	0	1	1	291	325	337	662	46	417	30	5	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	84	83	19	5	0	0	1	20	0	3	1	229	238	289	527	60	302	24	1	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	406	391	96	19	2	5	9	107	2	3	1	246	266	343	609	97	315	26	2	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	155	149	34	6	2	4	4	37	1	0	1	228	253	376	629	148	275	24	3	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ MLE	Charlotte Stone Crabs	—	203	196	57	8	0	3	4	38	1	0	1	291	308	378	686	87	341	19	2	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	409	380	108	21	3	12	23	85	2	6	2	284	328	450	778	166	329	21	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	462	432	97	18	0	9	23	130	4	4	4	225	270	329	599	104	298	28	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	119	107	31	4	0	6	11	39	0	0	0	290	356	495	851	206	401	33	9	367	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	61	58	10	1	0	1	3	21	0	1	0	172	213	241	454	69	239	34	5	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	137	124	19	0	0	4	12	46	1	0	1	153	234	250	484	97	217	34	9	232	43	-9	-0	-1	-3	+3	-1.0
2021	25	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	88	85	19	3	1	4	2	29	1	1	0	224	250	424	674	200	284	33	2	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	—	15	14	2	1	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	143	200	214	414	71	134	27	0	127	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	—	74	65	12	3	0	0	7	25	2	0	0	185	284	231	515	46	270	34	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	18	16	1	0	0	0	2	9	0	3	0	62	167	62	229		100	50	11	99	-47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	213	203	57	13	0	1	5	60	5	0	1	281	315	360	674	79	394	28	2	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK RAW	Missoula Osprey	—	213	199	72	18	0	1	9	42	5	0	1	362	404	467	871	106	455	20	4	390	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	320	299	84	9	4	3	16	95	3	1	2	281	324	368	692	87	399	30	5	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	320	291	102	12	5	4	24	67	3	1	2	351	406	467	873	117	441	21	8	388	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	691	667	163	34	3	7	13	179	7	14	9	244	266	336	602	91	322	26	2	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A RAW	3 teams	—	691	654	193	42	3	17	26	115	7	14	9	295	329	446	775	151	335	17	4	342	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	426	410	109	18	2	9	10	90	2	0	2	266	287	385	672	120	317	21	2	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	426	406	115	24	5	10	14	70	2	0	2	283	310	441	751	158	318	16	3	328	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	409	380	108	21	3	12	23	85	2	6	2	284	328	450	778	166	334	21	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	409	366	110	21	3	14	37	69	2	6	2	301	368	489	857	189	334	17	9	375	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	462	432	97	18	0	9	23	130	4	4	4	225	270	329	599	104	299	28	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AAA RAW	Memphis Redbirds	—	462	425	107	21	0	11	30	98	4	4	4	252	307	379	686	127	303	21	6	306	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	318	293	72	9	0	11	24	107	0	4	0	246	303	389	692	143	347	34	8	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	318	283	81	14	1	10	34	69	0	4	0	286	363	449	812	163	346	22	11	361	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	240	223	40	4	1	8	14	79	3	1	1	179	237	314	551	135	235	33	6	245	52	-14	-0	-1	-3	+5	-1.2
2021	25	MLB RAW	3 teams	—	240	217	44	5	1	10	20	72	3	1	1	203	279	373	652	171	252	30	8	293	52	-14	-0	-1	-3	+5	-1.2
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	92	82	12	3	0	0	8	34	2	3	0	146	239	183	422	37	250	37	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	92	77	13	3	0	0	13	27	2	3	0	169	304	208	512	39	260	29	14	255	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK MLE	Missoula Osprey	—	213	201	57	13	0	1	5	60	5	0	1	284	315	363	678	80	388	28	2	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	320	298	84	9	4	3	16	95	3	1	2	282	324	369	693	87	391	30	5	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	691	666	163	34	3	7	13	179	7	14	9	245	266	336	603	92	313	26	2	255	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	20	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	426	411	109	18	2	9	10	90	2	0	2	265	287	384	671	119	312	21	2	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	409	381	108	21	3	12	23	85	2	6	2	283	328	449	777	165	329	21	6	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	462	432	97	18	0	9	23	130	4	4	4	225	270	329	599	104	298	28	5	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	318	291	72	9	0	11	24	107	0	4	0	247	303	392	695	144	346	34	8	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	MLB MLE	3 teams	—	240	221	40	4	1	8	14	79	3	1	1	181	237	317	554	136	237	33	6	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	92	82	12	3	0	0	8	34	2	3	0	146	239	183	422	37	237	37	9	198	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	137	119	19	0	0	4	17	46	1	0	1	160	270	261	531	101	217	34	12	252	76	-7	-0	-1	-3	+3	-0.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	565	90	0	0	19	81	218	5	0	5	159	271	260	531	101	216	34	12	252	76	-34	-2	-3	-12	+14	-3.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3171	2989	742	129	13	60	136	859	28	33	21	248	287	360	648	112	327	27	4	281	76	-7	-0	-1	-3	+3	-0.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	613	152	26	3	12	28	176	6	7	4	248	287	359	646	111	327	27	4	281	76	-34	-2	-3	-12	+14	-3.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2022 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 74 PAwOBA .270 → .222 (−48)K% 27.0% → 33.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.03%	÷0.970	×1.200	—	—	33.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.51%	÷1.067	×0.690	—	×1.003	8.77%
HBP% /PA	2.70%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	2.55%
Singles /BIP	21.43%	÷1.007	×0.930	×1.050	×1.003	20.85%
Doubles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.018	×0.830	×1.050	×1.003	6.13%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.050	×1.003	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.039	×0.700	—	×1.003	0.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .270 → .222; ISO .048 → .040; BABIP .286 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 18 PAwOBA .164 → .099 (−65)K% 38.9% → 49.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	38.89%	÷1.022	×1.310	—	—	49.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.67%	÷1.057	×0.600	—	×0.958	9.06%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.770	—	×0.958	0.00%
Singles /BIP	12.50%	÷1.044	×0.870	—	×0.958	9.98%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷0.987	×0.780	—	×0.958	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.966	×0.850	—	×0.958	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷0.881	×0.880	—	×0.958	0.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 109, 2B 97, 3B 93, K 104, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 22.8 → −4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .164 → .099; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .125 → .100. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 88 PAwOBA .363 → .285 (−78)K% 26.1% → 32.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.14%	÷0.955	×1.200	—	—	32.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.41%	÷1.056	×0.690	—	×1.018	2.27%
HBP% /PA	1.14%	—	×0.940	—	×1.018	1.09%
Singles /BIP	19.67%	÷1.016	×0.930	×1.050	×1.018	19.25%
Doubles /BIP	6.56%	÷1.029	×0.830	×1.050	×1.018	5.65%
Triples /BIP	1.64%	÷1.150	×0.920	×1.050	×1.018	1.40%
Home runs /BIP	9.84%	÷0.949	×0.700	—	×1.018	7.39%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 103, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 91, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .363 → .285; ISO .286 → .205; BABIP .309 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Cardinals · 15 PAwOBA .190 → .127 (−63)K% 20.0% → 28.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.00%	÷0.999	×1.440	—	—	28.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.007	×0.620	—	×0.940	0.00%
HBP% /PA	6.67%	—	×0.720	—	×0.940	4.51%
Singles /BIP	9.09%	÷0.988	×0.820	—	×0.940	7.09%
Doubles /BIP	9.09%	÷0.973	×0.720	—	×0.940	6.33%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.941	×0.720	—	×0.940	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×0.940	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 98, 2B 95, 3B 88, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .190 → .127; ISO .071 → .045; BABIP .182 → .134. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 119 PAwOBA .442 → .367 (−75)K% 25.2% → 33.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.21%	÷0.986	×1.290	—	—	32.99%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.61%	÷1.035	×0.710	—	×1.048	9.06%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.980	—	×1.048	0.00%
Singles /BIP	33.33%	÷1.014	×0.900	—	×1.048	31.02%
Doubles /BIP	6.94%	÷0.917	×0.810	—	×1.048	6.43%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.810	—	×1.048	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	9.72%	÷0.982	×0.780	—	×1.048	8.09%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 103, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .442 → .367; ISO .255 → .208; BABIP .439 → .401. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AASpringfield Cardinals · 61 PAwOBA .228 → .185 (−43)K% 27.9% → 34.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.87%	÷0.985	×1.220	—	—	34.53%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.56%	÷0.965	×0.700	—	×1.012	4.82%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.870	—	×1.012	0.00%
Singles /BIP	22.50%	÷0.974	×0.920	—	×1.012	21.50%
Doubles /BIP	2.50%	÷1.070	×0.840	—	×1.012	1.99%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.108	×0.940	—	×1.012	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.50%	÷1.108	×0.800	—	×1.012	1.83%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 95, 2B 114, 3B 122, K 97, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .228 → .185; ISO .070 → .048; BABIP .256 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 462 PAwOBA .299 → .265 (−34)K% 21.2% → 28.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.21%	÷0.975	×1.290	—	—	28.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.49%	÷0.960	×0.710	—	×1.050	5.04%
HBP% /PA	0.87%	—	×0.980	—	×1.050	0.89%
Singles /BIP	22.94%	÷0.984	×0.900	×1.045	×1.050	23.02%
Doubles /BIP	6.42%	÷0.957	×0.810	×1.045	×1.050	5.97%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.984	×0.810	×1.045	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.36%	÷0.909	×0.780	—	×1.050	3.03%

Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 97, 2B 91, 3B 97, K 95, BB 92 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.

Result: wOBA .299 → .265; ISO .127 → .108; BABIP .303 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2017 AAMontgomery Biscuits · 409 PAwOBA .365 → .336 (−30)K% 16.9% → 20.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.87%	÷0.994	×1.220	—	—	20.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.07%	÷1.018	×0.680	—	×1.042	5.62%
HBP% /PA	0.49%	—	×0.840	—	×1.042	0.43%
Singles /BIP	24.24%	÷1.013	×0.920	×1.050	×1.042	24.08%
Doubles /BIP	7.07%	÷0.986	×0.910	×1.050	×1.042	7.14%
Triples /BIP	1.01%	÷1.146	×0.880	×1.050	×1.042	0.85%
Home runs /BIP	4.71%	÷1.008	×0.800	—	×1.042	3.90%

Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 103, 2B 97, 3B 129, K 99, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .365 → .336; ISO .189 → .168; BABIP .334 → .329. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .