Jefferson Rojas — OGILVIE

Jefferson RojasSS Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 150 lbs AA H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION525 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†88

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA1

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP256

ISO134

MLB%6%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$43M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 54 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT54

scouting grade only

POWER50

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.1	$8M	+$7M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$8M	+$8M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$9M	+$8M
2031	Arb-1	$6M	+1.6	$9M	+$5M
2032	Arb-2	$9M	+1.6	$8M	+$3M
2033	Arb-3	$13M	+1.5	$7M	+$0.7M
Totals		$31M		$49M	+$32M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	169	145	44	6	3	1	16	18	6	15	2	303	395	407	802	103	336	11	9	361	130	+6	+2	—	—	+4	1.2
2023	18	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	307	272	73	14	1	7	23	61	10	13	4	268	348	404	752	136	320	20	7	338	115	+5	+1	—	—	+7	1.3
2024	19	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	419	372	91	10	3	6	35	64	4	21	8	245	316	336	652	91	274	15	8	293	84	-8	+1	—	—	+9	0.2
2025	20	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	172	146	24	6	0	0	20	34	4	5	0	164	282	205	488	41	211	20	12	238	47	-11	+1	—	—	+4	-0.6
2025	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	299	252	70	13	4	11	38	47	5	14	3	278	382	492	874	214	299	16	13	382	145	+16	+2	—	—	+6	2.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	169	153	37	5	2	1	8	26	6	15	2	242	305	320	626	78	270	15	5	272	70	-6	+2	—	—	+4	-0.0
2023	18	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	307	280	61	11	1	6	15	86	10	13	4	218	282	329	611	111	281	28	5	266	66	-12	+1	—	—	+7	-0.5
2024	19	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	419	383	76	8	2	5	24	86	4	21	8	198	253	269	522	70	231	21	6	236	46	-27	+1	—	—	+9	-1.7
2025	20	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	172	152	23	6	0	0	14	42	4	5	0	151	241	191	432	39	201	24	8	203	24	-16	+1	—	—	+4	-1.1
2025	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	299	265	61	11	4	8	26	60	5	14	3	230	311	392	703	162	258	20	9	305	93	-3	+2	—	—	+6	0.6
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	169	153	37	5	2	1	8	26	6	15	2	242	305	320	626	78	281	15	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	169	145	44	6	3	1	16	18	6	15	2	303	395	407	802	103	336	11	9	361	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	307	280	61	11	1	6	15	86	10	13	4	218	282	329	611	111	289	28	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	307	272	73	14	1	7	23	61	10	13	4	268	348	404	752	136	320	20	7	338	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	419	383	76	8	2	5	24	86	4	21	8	198	253	269	522	70	237	21	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	419	372	91	10	3	6	35	64	4	21	8	245	316	336	652	91	274	15	8	293	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	471	417	84	17	4	8	40	102	9	19	3	201	285	319	604	118	244	22	8	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	471	398	94	19	4	11	58	81	9	19	3	236	345	387	732	151	267	17	12	329	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	169	153	37	5	2	1	8	26	6	15	2	242	305	320	626	78	270	15	5	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	307	279	61	11	1	6	15	86	10	13	4	219	282	330	612	111	281	28	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	419	388	76	8	2	5	24	86	4	21	8	196	253	265	519	70	231	21	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	471	419	84	17	4	8	40	102	9	19	3	200	285	317	603	117	237	22	8	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	307	279	61	11	1	6	15	86	10	13	4	219	282	330	612	111	281	28	5	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	419	388	76	8	2	5	24	86	4	21	8	196	253	265	519	70	231	21	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	471	419	84	17	4	8	40	102	9	19	3	200	285	317	603	117	237	22	8	268	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	AA MLE	NYM	—	525	485	115	24	2	19	31	107	3	20	7	237	287	412	699	175	263	20	6	301	90	-6	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	AA RAW	NYM	—	525	463	126	27	2	24	46	88	3	20	7	272	337	495	832	222	286	17	9	358	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	AA MLE	NYM	6%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		263	20	10	298	88	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ 2026 season — projected rest
ROS	21	MLB CTX	NYM	6%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						256	0	0	287	88	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	21	MLB A+C	NYM	—	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0	0	287	90	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	21	AA MLE	NYM	—	535	494	116	24	2	19	32	109	3	20	7	235	285	407	692	172	261	20	6	301	90	-6	+1	-0	+6	+12	1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	NYM	46%	567	520	123	24	3	18	37	112	5	16	5	237	294	398	692	162	264	20	7	303	91	-6	+1	-1	+6	+12	1.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	NYM	62%	587	537	128	25	3	19	40	114	5	16	5	238	297	402	699	164	267	19	7	310	96	-3	+1	-1	+6	+13	1.7
2029	24	MLB MLE	NYM	67%	611	558	135	26	3	21	43	118	5	17	5	242	302	412	714	170	269	19	7	315	99	-1	+1	-1	+7	+13	2.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	NYM	69%	627	572	139	27	3	22	45	120	5	17	5	243	304	416	720	173	270	19	7	318	101	+1	+1	-1	+7	+14	2.2
2031	26	MLB MLE	NYM	70%	634	577	140	27	3	22	46	122	6	17	6	243	305	414	719	172	270	19	7	319	102	+1	+1	-1	+7	+14	2.3
2032	27	MLB MLE	NYM	69%	634	577	140	27	3	22	46	122	6	17	5	243	305	414	719	172	269	19	7	319	102	+2	+1	-1	+7	+14	2.3
2033	28	MLB MLE	NYM	69%	629	572	139	27	3	22	47	122	5	16	5	243	306	416	722	173	269	19	7	318	101	+1	+1	-1	+7	+14	2.2
2034	29	MLB MLE	NYM	67%	619	563	135	26	3	21	46	121	5	15	5	240	303	409	711	169	269	20	7	316	100	+0	+1	-2	+7	+13	2.0
2035	30	MLB MLE	NYM	66%	609	553	133	25	3	21	46	121	5	13	4	241	305	410	715	170	268	20	8	314	99	-1	+1	-3	+7	+13	1.7
2036	31	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	595	541	128	25	2	20	44	120	5	11	4	237	300	401	701	165	266	20	7	310	96	-3	+1	-3	+6	+13	1.4
2037	32	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	576	523	122	23	2	19	43	118	5	9	3	233	298	394	692	161	263	20	7	305	92	-5	+1	-4	+6	+12	1.0
2038	33	MLB MLE	NYM	65%	546	497	113	21	2	17	40	115	4	7	2	227	290	380	670	153	259	21	7	298	88	-8	+1	-5	+6	+12	0.6
2039	34	MLB MLE	NYM	60%	499	455	101	18	2	15	37	108	4	5	1	222	286	369	656	147	254	22	7	289	81	-11	+1	-5	+5	+11	0.0
2027	22	MLB CTX	NYM	46%	259	238	55	11	1	8	17	51	2	7	2	231	288	387	674	155	257	20	7	292	91	-3	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.6
2028	23	MLB CTX	NYM	62%	363	332	78	15	2	12	25	71	3	10	3	235	294	401	695	166	260	20	7	299	96	-2	+1	-0	+4	+8	1.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	NYM	67%	407	373	88	17	2	14	28	78	3	11	4	236	295	405	699	169	262	19	7	303	99	-0	+1	-0	+4	+9	1.3
2030	25	MLB CTX	NYM	69%	432	394	94	18	2	15	31	83	4	12	4	239	301	409	709	170	262	19	7	306	101	+1	+1	-0	+5	+9	1.5
2031	26	MLB CTX	NYM	70%	443	404	96	18	2	16	32	85	4	12	4	238	300	411	711	173	262	19	7	307	102	+1	+1	-0	+5	+10	1.6
2032	27	MLB CTX	NYM	69%	437	398	94	18	2	15	32	84	4	12	4	236	300	405	704	168	262	19	7	307	102	+1	+1	-0	+5	+9	1.6
2033	28	MLB CTX	NYM	69%	431	392	93	18	2	15	32	84	4	11	4	237	301	408	710	171	262	19	7	307	101	+1	+1	-1	+5	+9	1.5
2034	29	MLB CTX	NYM	67%	413	375	88	17	2	14	31	81	4	10	3	235	300	403	703	168	261	20	8	305	100	+0	+1	-1	+4	+9	1.3
2035	30	MLB CTX	NYM	66%	400	364	86	16	2	14	30	79	3	8	3	236	300	407	706	170	261	20	8	303	99	-1	+0	-2	+4	+9	1.1
2036	31	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	387	352	81	15	2	13	29	78	3	7	2	230	294	395	689	165	259	20	7	299	96	-2	+1	-2	+4	+8	0.9
2037	32	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	373	339	76	14	1	12	28	77	3	6	2	224	289	378	667	153	256	21	8	294	92	-3	+0	-3	+4	+8	0.7
2038	33	MLB CTX	NYM	65%	353	321	71	13	1	11	26	74	3	4	1	221	286	371	656	150	252	21	7	287	88	-5	+0	-3	+4	+8	0.4
2039	34	MLB CTX	NYM	60%	300	273	58	10	1	9	22	65	2	3	1	212	276	355	631	143	247	22	7	278	81	-7	+0	-3	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4999	4556	1058	200	22	168	363	990	42	113	37	232	295	396	691	164	260	20	7	300	91	-19	+8	-18	+54	+108	13.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	138	26	3	22	47	129	5	15	5	233	295	399	693	166	261	20	7	300	91	-2	+1	-2	+7	+14	1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	9109	8287	1935	362	44	279	648	1835	94	244	72	233	296	389	685	155	266	20	7	303	91	-32	+13	-28	+83	+168	20.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	138	26	3	20	46	131	7	17	5	234	297	389	686	156	266	20	7	303	91	-3	+1	-2	+7	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Todd Frazierlast yr '20 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,909 PA	7.4	4,909	218	73	242	319	448	+18	+35	27.6	26.2
/162	664	29	10	+2.4	+4.7	3.7	pk7: 25
#2Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	9.0	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	25.0
/162	664	20	20	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#3Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#4Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	7.6	5,018	169	113	239	298	406	+52	+0	17.8	15.1
/162	664	22	15	+6.8	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 12
#5Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	4.3	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jefferson Rojas (OGILVIE)	21	45→54	45→50	51	43	230/285/384	154	263	10	11	20%	6%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Addison Russell 2015 · AA	21	47→53	50→55	53→50	44	238/298/398	160	301	17	13	26%	7%	95	+1.0	240/306/401	161	301	18	7	25%	8%	99	+1.3	239/310/406	168	295	19	5	25%	8%	97	+0.9
●Miguel Vargas 2022 · AA	22	50→52	49→55	51→50	45	253/303/401	148	297	17	9	21%	6%	98	+1.2	227/306/381	154	270	16	12	22%	9%	95	+0.9	224/326/406	183	249	21	12	19%	12%	105	+1.6
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	43→49	45→60	49→50	52	213/296/343	130	256	12	15	22%	10%	82	+0.0	230/299/393	163	295	19	11	27%	7%	95	+1.0	234/307/425	191	291	23	12	27%	7%	102	+1.1
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2023 · MLB	21	48→49	48→55	54→50	41	243/285/387	143	288	16	18	22%	5%	88	+0.4	241/276/389	148	310	15	10	27%	4%	85	+0.2	237/272/384	147	306	15	8	27%	4%	81	-0.1
●Brett Lawrie 2010 · AA	20	46→56	45→55	47→55	43	227/277/352	125	282	13	12	24%	6%	76	-0.4	255/304/410	155	311	13	18	21%	6%	100	+1.3	266/325/431	165	300	17	16	17%	7%	110	+1.7
✕Luis Juarez 2012 · AAA	22	48→57	47→45	46→40	44	241/282/371	130	269	15	9	17%	5%	83	+0.1	241/282/355	114	278	11	7	17%	5%	79	-0.2	262/309/380	118	281	13	3	12%	6%	93	+0.5
✕Efrain Contreras 2008 · A	21	48	45	53→55	45	236/301/354	118	277	12	16	20%	6%	87	+0.4	212/271/305	93	277	8	10	25%	5%	63	-1.3	184/239/256	71	258	6	6	29%	5%	38	-1.1
●Elijah Dukes 2006 · AA	22	51→52	49→55	51→50	45	254/303/403	149	298	16	16	21%	6%	98	+1.2	245/329/409	164	289	18	14	21%	10%	109	+2.0	235/343/409	174	277	18	13	21%	13%	112	+1.4
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	49→48	46→60	49→55	42	243/302/374	131	307	13	12	25%	5%	92	+0.7	246/317/424	178	299	21	19	25%	6%	109	+2.0	246/317/445	199	306	24	25	27%	7%	110	+2.1
✕Alberto Carreon 2010 · AAA	22	45→55	45	43→50	47	223/293/345	122	251	13	10	17%	6%	82	-0.0	236/287/316	80	290	5	9	19%	5%	72	-0.7	266/322/370	104	333	7	11	21%	5%	94	+0.6
✕José Rodríguez 2022 · A	21	48→52	47→50	53→55	39	244/272/377	133	290	14	18	22%	4%	80	-0.1	236/270/360	124	285	13	27	22%	4%	76	-0.4	230/266/352	122	275	13	33	22%	4%	69	-0.6
●Vinnie Catricala 2010 · A	21	46→56	46→55	51→45	43	229/278/357	128	271	13	7	21%	5%	78	-0.3	246/301/392	146	303	15	7	23%	6%	95	+1.0	243/300/389	146	296	15	7	23%	6%	92	+0.7
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→55	41→45	50	49	236/301/348	112	284	7	12	19%	7%	84	+0.2	250/311/362	112	306	9	14	20%	7%	91	+0.7	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Carter Kieboom 2019 · AA	21	47→53	47→50	47→45	44	235/291/371	136	301	15	7	26%	7%	86	+0.3	227/310/349	122	298	13	5	27%	9%	89	+0.5	216/314/329	113	281	13	3	26%	10%	83	+0.1
✕Brendan Rodgers 2019 · AAA	22	46→54	47→50	47→45	39	233/276/368	135	287	14	8	24%	4%	80	-0.1	241/287/377	136	299	15	6	24%	5%	86	+0.3	256/311/394	138	303	15	0	20%	6%	98	+0.8
✕Jake Marisnick 2013 · AA	22	47→54	43→60	56→55	41	227/284/350	123	289	10	19	24%	5%	79	-0.2	231/278/351	120	296	11	23	25%	4%	77	-0.3	231/295/439	208	305	27	18	33%	6%	102	+0.7
✕Jamie Westbrook 2016 · A	21	48→52	45→50	49→45	41	239/277/367	128	283	12	8	21%	4%	80	-0.2	235/271/346	111	270	11	7	17%	4%	73	-0.6	240/311/368	128	286	13	4	20%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Chris Nelson 2008 · A	22	46→56	47→50	53→50	42	228/277/370	142	282	13	13	24%	6%	81	-0.1	229/282/356	127	285	12	12	23%	6%	80	-0.2	257/301/390	133	311	13	7	21%	5%	91	+0.5
✕Nick Senzel 2017 · A	22	48→57	45→50	51→50	46	230/295/364	133	302	10	16	26%	8%	86	+0.3	251/305/391	140	330	12	14	26%	7%	96	+1.0	256/310/402	146	332	13	16	26%	7%	97	+0.7
●Gabriel Moreno 2021 · A	21	47→57	46→50	52→45	43	232/276/370	138	262	13	7	18%	4%	80	-0.1	274/327/405	131	326	13	8	19%	6%	107	+1.9	279/361/425	146	316	15	5	16%	11%	121	+1.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps