Jefferson Rojas — OGILVIE

Jefferson RojasSS Knoxville Smokies

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 150 lbs AA BB +5%HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 2.2 · 2031

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.220 / .287 / .333

PA320

HR6

SB7

K%21

BB%7

MLB%6%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30↗53

PWR

38↗47

SPD

51↗52

FLD

40↗50

EYE

47↘44

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.4peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$12M	+$11M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.8	$16M	+$15M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+2.1	$19M	+$18M
2031	Arb-3	$5M	+2.2	$20M	+$16M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+2.2	$21M	+$13M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$10M	+2.0	$20M	+$9M
Totals		$25M		$108M	+$82M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	169	153	37	5	2	1	8	26	6	15	2	.242	.305	.320	.626	.078	.281	15	5	.275	69	-6	+2	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2023	18	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	307	280	60	11	1	6	15	86	10	13	4	.214	.279	.325	.604	.111	.284	28	5	.266	62	-13	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.0
2024	19	A+	South Bend Cubs	419	383	78	8	2	5	24	81	4	21	8	.204	.258	.274	.532	.070	.239	19	6	.239	41	-28	+1	+0	+4	+12	-1.1
2025	20	A+	2 teams	471	418	84	17	4	8	39	101	9	19	3	.201	.283	.318	.601	.117	.242	21	8	.269	64	-19	+3	+0	+5	+13	0.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	AA	Knoxville Smokies	37	35	8	2	0	2	2	14	0	0	1	.229	.270	.457	.727	.229	.316	38	5	.327	108	+0	-0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
ROS	21	MLB	CHC	283	257	57	10	2	6	20	64	4	7	2	.222	.288	.346	.635	.125	.270	23	7	.283	75	-8	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.3
TOT	21	MLB	CHC	320	292	65	12	2	8	22	78	4	7	3	.223	.286	.360	.646	.137	.275	24	7	.289	79	-8	+0	-1	+3	+9	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 24%	CHC	539	486	110	19	3	12	41	109	7	13	5	.226	.296	.352	.648	.126	.266	20	8	.291	81	-12	+1	-2	+6	+15	0.9
2028	23	MLB 45%	CHC	583	524	122	21	4	15	47	116	7	14	5	.233	.304	.374	.679	.141	.268	20	8	.301	88	-8	+1	-2	+6	+17	1.4
2029	24	MLB 60%	CHC	611	547	128	22	4	16	51	121	8	15	5	.234	.309	.377	.685	.143	.270	20	8	.306	92	-5	+1	-2	+7	+17	1.8
2030	25	MLB 77%	CHC	628	562	133	23	4	17	53	123	8	15	5	.237	.311	.383	.694	.146	.271	20	8	.310	95	-3	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.1
2031	26	MLB 92%	CHC	635	567	135	23	4	18	55	125	8	15	5	.238	.314	.388	.702	.150	.271	20	9	.311	97	-2	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.2
2032	27	MLB	CHC	635	566	134	23	4	18	56	125	8	14	4	.237	.314	.387	.701	.150	.271	20	9	.312	97	-2	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.2
2033	28	MLB	CHC	630	561	132	23	4	17	56	126	8	13	4	.235	.314	.381	.695	.146	.271	20	9	.311	96	-3	+1	-3	+7	+18	2.0
2034	29	MLB	CHC	620	552	130	22	4	17	55	125	8	12	3	.236	.314	.382	.696	.147	.270	20	9	.309	94	-4	+1	-3	+7	+18	1.8
2035	30	MLB	CHC	610	543	125	21	3	16	55	125	7	11	3	.230	.309	.368	.677	.138	.269	20	9	.305	92	-6	+1	-4	+7	+17	1.6
2036	31	MLB	CHC	596	531	121	21	3	15	53	125	7	8	2	.228	.306	.363	.670	.136	.268	21	9	.302	89	-7	+1	-5	+6	+17	1.2
2037	32	MLB	CHC	577	514	115	19	3	14	51	124	7	6	1	.224	.302	.354	.657	.130	.267	21	9	.297	86	-9	+1	-5	+6	+16	0.9
2038	33	MLB	CHC	547	488	108	18	3	13	48	121	6	5	0	.221	.299	.350	.649	.129	.265	22	9	.292	82	-11	+1	-6	+6	+15	0.5
2039	34	MLB	CHC	500	446	97	16	3	11	44	115	6	4	0	.217	.296	.341	.637	.123	.264	23	9	.286	77	-13	+1	-7	+5	+14	0.1
2040	35	MLB	CHC	444	397	83	13	2	9	39	107	5	4	0	.209	.288	.320	.608	.111	.262	24	9	.278	71	-14	+1	-7	+5	+13	-0.3
2041	36	MLB	CHC	383	343	70	11	2	7	33	96	4	3	0	.204	.282	.309	.591	.105	.259	25	9	.270	65	-15	+1	-8	+4	+11	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10187	9118	2059	346	61	241	843	2141	137	227	61	.226	.301	.356	.657	.131	.268	21	8	.294	83	-191	+21	-60	+109	+289	17.2
/ 162G	—			650	582	131	22	4	15	54	137	9	14	4	.225	.301	.354	.655	.129	.267	21	8	.294	83	-12	+1	-4	+7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	169	145	44	6	3	1	16	18	6	15	2	.303	.395	.407	.802	.103	.336	11	9	.361	134	+7	+2	—	—	+5	1.4
2023	18	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	307	272	73	14	1	7	23	61	10	13	4	.268	.348	.404	.752	.136	.320	20	7	.338	117	+6	+1	—	—	+9	1.6
2024	19	A+	South Bend Cubs	419	372	91	10	3	6	35	64	4	21	8	.245	.316	.336	.652	.091	.274	15	8	.293	82	-8	+1	—	—	+12	0.5
2025	20	AA	Knoxville Smokies	172	146	24	6	0	0	20	34	4	5	0	.164	.282	.205	.488	.041	.211	20	12	.238	40	-12	+1	—	—	+5	-0.6
2025	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	299	252	70	13	4	11	38	47	5	14	3	.278	.382	.492	.874	.214	.299	16	13	.382	151	+17	+2	—	—	+8	2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jefferson Rojas (OGILVIE)	21	30→53	38→47	51→52	44	.220/.287/.333	.113	.267	6	8	21%	7%	74	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leo German 2015 · AAA	22	45→55	43→45	50→55	39	.225/.276/.334	.110	.287	11	16	26%	4%	69	-0.4	.239/.285/.336	.097	.309	8	25	24%	4%	72	-0.2	.282/.316/.373	.091	.363	7	23	23%	4%	90	+0.6
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	50	43	.213/.273/.339	.126	.289	12	10	30%	7%	69	-0.4	.229/.292/.389	.160	.276	19	13	24%	8%	90	+1.0	.230/.293/.405	.176	.264	22	16	22%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Darell Hernaiz 2023 · AA	21	46→56	42→45	55→50	41	.228/.273/.331	.102	.284	10	20	23%	5%	66	-0.6	.247/.297/.349	.102	.297	9	14	19%	6%	81	+0.4	.252/.309/.345	.093	.294	7	12	16%	7%	81	+0.4
●Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	43→53	41→50	52→50	48	.209/.284/.307	.097	.260	8	12	22%	8%	66	-0.6	.202/.255/.318	.116	.243	13	9	22%	6%	56	-1.3	.230/.273/.378	.148	.260	18	9	19%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Samad Taylor 2019 · A	21	39→49	41→50	54→65	45	.193/.257/.297	.104	.249	7	21	25%	7%	51	-1.7	.189/.265/.305	.116	.284	10	24	35%	8%	57	-1.2	.236/.312/.377	.141	.324	16	46	30%	9%	94	+0.8
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	.209/.289/.316	.107	.254	9	14	21%	8%	70	-0.3	.226/.290/.341	.115	.304	10	11	28%	6%	77	+0.1	.220/.277/.325	.105	.292	10	8	27%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Felix Valerio 2023 · AA	22	43→48	45	53→55	48	.215/.283/.338	.123	.254	13	22	21%	8%	73	-0.1	.205/.267/.312	.107	.264	10	16	25%	7%	59	-1.1	.191/.253/.282	.091	.256	8	13	27%	6%	42	-1.0
✕Angel Martínez 2023 · AA	21	44→48	45→50	48→50	46	.219/.283/.344	.126	.277	12	11	25%	8%	75	-0.0	.225/.282/.353	.128	.282	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.1	.224/.278/.351	.127	.277	13	10	23%	6%	72	-0.2
✕Johan Rojas 2022 · A	21	45→55	44→45	55→65	43	.221/.274/.341	.120	.281	11	21	25%	6%	69	-0.4	.232/.276/.342	.110	.293	9	36	23%	5%	70	-0.3	.258/.299/.360	.102	.324	7	41	22%	5%	80	+0.3
✕Efrain Contreras 2008 · A	21	47	44→45	53→55	45	.232/.297/.346	.114	.275	12	15	20%	6%	82	+0.5	.215/.274/.310	.095	.277	8	11	24%	5%	62	-0.9	.185/.240/.257	.072	.258	6	6	29%	5%	31	-1.1
✕Enrique Osorio 2007 · AAA	22	46→56	40→45	47→50	49	.221/.301/.314	.093	.264	8	14	19%	8%	75	-0.0	.216/.273/.288	.072	.266	6	14	20%	6%	55	-1.4	.272/.329/.400	.129	.301	14	10	15%	6%	105	+1.1
●Tyler Nevin 2018 · A	21	46→54	41→50	45	43	.225/.276/.329	.104	.286	8	9	24%	6%	67	-0.5	.231/.283/.339	.108	.294	10	6	24%	6%	72	-0.2	.240/.318/.386	.146	.290	17	4	22%	8%	98	+1.1
●Jahmai Jones 2019 · AA	21	46→50	43→55	54→50	45	.224/.284/.338	.114	.286	10	16	25%	7%	72	-0.2	.200/.260/.299	.099	.269	9	12	27%	7%	53	-1.5	.250/.346/.432	.182	.322	17	18	26%	11%	119	+1.6
✕Jared Serna 2023 · A	21	42→48	42→50	54→50	49	.203/.293/.309	.106	.264	9	21	25%	9%	70	-0.3	.218/.276/.338	.120	.270	12	16	23%	6%	70	-0.3	.211/.267/.320	.108	.258	11	16	22%	6%	58	-1.0
✕Jeter Downs 2019 · A	21	42→41	43→50	52→55	44	.207/.272/.315	.108	.262	11	18	25%	7%	63	-0.9	.208/.274/.359	.151	.269	18	18	29%	7%	75	-0.0	.178/.268/.330	.152	.242	18	26	33%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Steve Tolleson 2006 · A	22	43→53	44→45	50	51	.212/.294/.332	.120	.250	12	9	20%	9%	77	+0.1	.236/.310/.339	.103	.299	8	12	22%	9%	84	+0.6	.254/.312/.373	.119	.302	10	12	19%	7%	90	+0.8
●Dilson Herrera 2014 · A	20	43→53	45→50	49→50	40	.213/.264/.339	.126	.281	12	11	28%	6%	65	-0.7	.248/.297/.383	.135	.313	14	13	24%	6%	90	+1.0	.257/.307/.397	.140	.313	15	13	22%	6%	94	+1.2
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	49→56	41→45	50	49	.234/.299/.341	.107	.285	6	12	20%	7%	80	+0.4	.247/.308/.361	.114	.302	10	14	20%	7%	89	+0.9	.254/.316/.360	.106	.307	10	16	19%	7%	89	+0.7
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2019 · AA	22	50→54	41→50	52→50	46	.238/.295/.341	.103	.299	7	14	22%	7%	78	+0.2	.244/.303/.376	.132	.304	11	12	22%	7%	91	+1.1	.256/.313/.394	.138	.313	12	16	21%	7%	95	+1.2
✕Ramon Soto 2009 · AAA	21	44	42→30	51→45	44	.220/.275/.323	.103	.279	11	12	25%	6%	66	-0.6	.233/.277/.301	.068	.286	5	8	19%	5%	59	-1.1	.272/.316/.326	.054	.333	2	7	18%	5%	78	+0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)