Jefferson Rojas — OGILVIE

Jefferson RojasSS Knoxville Smokies

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 150 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION325 act + 216 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .293 / .374

PA216

HR6

SB7

K%20

BB%7

BABIP267

ISO142

MLB%6%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$13M	+$12M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+2.3	$15M	+$14M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.5	$15M	+$14M
2031	Arb-1	$5M	+2.6	$14M	+$11M
2032	Arb-2	$9M	+2.5	$13M	+$8M
2033	Arb-3	$12M	+2.4	$11M	+$5M
Totals		$29M		$81M	+$65M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	169	153	37	5	2	1	8	26	6	15	2	242	305	320	626	78	281	15	5	275	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	169	145	44	6	3	1	16	18	6	15	2	303	395	407	802	103	336	11	9	361	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	307	279	59	11	1	6	16	85	10	13	4	211	279	323	601	111	279	28	5	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	307	272	73	14	1	7	23	61	10	13	4	268	348	404	752	136	320	20	7	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	419	383	76	7	2	6	24	85	4	21	8	198	253	274	527	76	233	20	6	237	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	419	372	91	10	3	6	35	64	4	21	8	245	316	336	652	91	274	15	8	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	2 teams	—	471	418	84	17	4	8	39	102	9	19	3	201	283	318	601	117	243	22	8	267	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	2 teams	—	471	398	94	19	4	11	58	81	9	19	3	236	345	387	732	151	267	17	12	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	AA	CHC	—	325	299	72	11	1	13	21	67	2	14	5	241	295	415	710	174	266	21	6	306	92	-3	+1	+0	+3	+9	1.1
YTD	21	AA	CHC	—	325	286	78	13	1	14	31	52	2	14	5	273	345	472	817	199	287	16	10	356	131	+11	+1	+0	+3	+9	2.5
ROS	21	AA	CHC	6%	216	197	46	8	1	6	15	43	2	7	2	233	293	374	668	142	264	20	7	296	84	-4	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.5
ROS	21	MLB	CHC	6%	13	12	2	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	167	231	167	397		265	23	8	290	80	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	21	AA	CHC	—	338	311	74	11	1	13	22	70	2	14	5	238	293	405	698	167	264	21	7	305	92	-3	+1	-0	+4	+10	1.1
TOT	21	AA	CHC	—	541	496	118	19	2	19	36	110	4	21	7	238	294	399	693	161	266	20	7	302	89	-7	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CHC	46%	542	494	116	19	3	16	38	107	5	16	5	235	296	383	679	148	266	20	7	301	89	-7	+1	-1	+6	+15	1.4
2028	23	MLB	CHC	62%	583	530	126	21	3	18	42	114	6	16	5	238	301	391	692	153	269	20	7	308	94	-4	+1	-2	+6	+17	1.9
2029	24	MLB	CHC	67%	611	554	134	23	3	20	46	119	6	17	5	242	307	403	709	161	271	19	8	313	98	-2	+1	-2	+7	+17	2.3
2030	25	MLB	CHC	69%	627	568	138	23	3	21	48	121	6	17	5	243	309	405	714	162	271	19	8	316	100	-0	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.5
2031	26	MLB	CHC	70%	634	574	138	23	3	21	49	122	6	17	5	240	307	401	708	160	271	19	8	317	101	+1	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.6
2032	27	MLB	CHC	69%	634	574	138	23	3	21	49	123	6	16	5	240	307	401	708	160	271	19	8	317	101	+1	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.5
2033	28	MLB	CHC	69%	629	568	137	23	3	21	50	123	6	15	5	241	309	403	712	162	271	20	8	316	100	+0	+1	-2	+7	+18	2.4
2034	29	MLB	CHC	67%	619	559	135	23	3	20	49	122	6	14	4	242	309	401	710	159	270	20	8	315	99	-1	+1	-3	+7	+18	2.2
2035	30	MLB	CHC	66%	609	550	132	22	3	20	48	121	6	12	4	240	308	400	708	160	270	20	8	312	97	-2	+1	-4	+7	+17	1.9
2036	31	MLB	CHC	65%	595	537	127	21	3	19	47	120	6	10	3	236	305	393	698	156	268	20	8	308	94	-4	+1	-4	+6	+17	1.6
2037	32	MLB	CHC	65%	576	520	121	20	3	17	46	119	5	9	3	233	301	381	682	148	265	21	8	303	90	-7	+1	-5	+6	+16	1.2
2038	33	MLB	CHC	65%	546	493	112	18	2	16	43	116	5	7	2	227	296	369	665	142	261	21	8	296	85	-9	+1	-6	+6	+15	0.7
2027	22	MLB	CHC	46%	247	226	53	9	1	7	17	49	2	7	2	235	294	376	670	142	268	20	7	296	85	-4	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.5
2028	23	MLB	CHC	62%	361	329	78	13	2	11	26	71	3	10	3	237	299	389	688	152	270	20	7	303	90	-4	+1	-1	+4	+10	1.0
2029	24	MLB	CHC	67%	407	370	89	15	2	13	30	79	4	11	3	241	304	397	702	157	272	19	7	308	94	-3	+1	-1	+4	+12	1.3
2030	25	MLB	CHC	69%	432	392	95	16	2	14	33	83	4	12	4	242	308	401	708	158	273	19	8	310	96	-2	+1	-1	+5	+12	1.5
2031	26	MLB	CHC	70%	443	402	98	17	2	15	34	85	4	12	4	244	309	408	717	164	273	19	8	311	97	-2	+1	-1	+5	+13	1.5
2032	27	MLB	CHC	69%	437	396	96	16	2	15	34	85	4	11	4	242	309	407	715	164	272	19	8	312	97	-2	+1	-1	+5	+12	1.5
2033	28	MLB	CHC	69%	431	390	95	16	2	15	34	84	4	10	3	244	311	410	721	167	272	19	8	311	96	-2	+1	-2	+5	+12	1.4
2034	29	MLB	CHC	67%	413	373	90	15	2	14	33	81	4	9	3	241	310	405	715	164	272	20	8	309	95	-2	+1	-2	+4	+12	1.3
2035	30	MLB	CHC	66%	400	361	87	15	2	13	32	80	4	8	2	241	310	402	711	161	271	20	8	307	93	-3	+1	-2	+4	+11	1.1
2036	31	MLB	CHC	65%	387	349	83	14	2	12	31	78	4	7	2	238	307	393	700	155	269	20	8	303	90	-4	+1	-3	+4	+11	0.9
2037	32	MLB	CHC	65%	373	338	78	13	2	11	29	77	3	6	2	231	297	379	676	148	266	21	8	298	86	-6	+0	-3	+4	+11	0.6
2038	33	MLB	CHC	65%	353	319	73	12	2	10	28	75	3	4	1	229	297	373	670	144	262	21	8	291	81	-8	+0	-4	+4	+10	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4697	4257	1017	171	23	150	362	930	43	107	33	239	305	396	701	157	271	20	8	306	92	-43	+8	-22	+50	+133	13.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	141	24	3	21	50	129	6	15	5	239	305	397	703	158	271	20	8	306	92	-6	+1	-3	+7	+18	1.8
Career	—			—	8787	7951	1856	307	45	257	657	1768	100	241	70	233	300	380	680	147	267	20	7	302	89	-106	+20	-34	+94	+249	22.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	137	23	3	19	49	131	7	18	5	233	300	379	679	146	267	20	8	302	89	-8	+2	-3	+7	+18	1.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	169	145	44	6	3	1	16	18	6	15	2	303	395	407	802	103	336	11	9	361	134	+7	+2	—	—	+5	1.4
2023	18	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	307	272	73	14	1	7	23	61	10	13	4	268	348	404	752	136	320	20	7	338	117	+6	+1	—	—	+9	1.6
2024	19	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	419	372	91	10	3	6	35	64	4	21	8	245	316	336	652	91	274	15	8	293	82	-8	+1	—	—	+12	0.5
2025	20	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	172	146	24	6	0	0	20	34	4	5	0	164	282	205	488	41	211	20	12	238	40	-12	+1	—	—	+5	-0.6
2025	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	299	252	70	13	4	11	38	47	5	14	3	278	382	492	874	214	299	16	13	382	151	+17	+2	—	—	+8	2.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ian Desmondlast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,944 PA	11	5,944	181	181	263	315	427	+30	-4	25.8	24.9
	/162	664	20	20	263	315	427	+3.3	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 24
#2Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
	/162	664	21	6	256	308	421	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#3Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	9	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
#3Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	/162	664	23	11	249	308	437	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	9	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
	/162	664	23	1	235	308	414	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	4,704	150	108	239	303	397	+50	-3	16.6	14.3
	/162	664	21	15	239	303	397	+7.1	-0.4	2.3	pk7: 12
#6Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jefferson Rojas (OGILVIE)	21	39→53	41→48	50→51	45	238/294/399	161	266	19	21	20%	7%	89	+1.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Brett Lawrie 2010 · AA	20	45→55	45→55	47→55	43	227/277/351	125	282	13	12	24%	6%	73	-0.1	254/304/410	156	312	12	18	22%	6%	100	+1.7	265/317/429	165	317	13	20	20%	6%	106	+2.0
●Sean Rodríguez 2006 · A	21	43→49	45→60	49→50	52	213/296/343	130	256	12	15	22%	10%	80	+0.4	230/299/397	167	296	19	11	28%	7%	96	+1.5	237/310/439	202	292	25	12	27%	7%	107	+1.7
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2019 · AA	22	50→55	42→50	52→50	48	238/300/350	112	299	8	14	22%	8%	82	+0.5	248/307/389	141	308	12	12	22%	7%	96	+1.5	257/313/393	137	315	12	16	21%	7%	97	+1.3
✕Leo German 2015 · AAA	22	45→55	44→45	50→55	39	225/276/335	110	287	12	16	26%	4%	69	-0.4	241/285/337	96	314	8	26	25%	4%	72	-0.2	283/316/374	92	367	8	23	24%	3%	90	+0.6
✕Efrain Contreras 2008 · A	21	48	45	53→55	45	236/301/354	118	277	12	16	20%	6%	85	+0.7	212/270/304	92	278	8	10	25%	5%	59	-1.1	184/237/253	70	259	5	6	30%	5%	29	-1.1
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	51→55	44	215/274/342	127	287	12	11	29%	7%	70	-0.3	231/293/393	162	278	19	13	24%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
●Jamie Westbrook 2016 · A	21	47→55	46→50	49→45	41	236/274/367	130	279	13	8	21%	4%	76	+0.1	231/267/344	113	266	12	7	18%	4%	67	-0.5	249/316/391	143	292	15	4	20%	7%	97	+1.2
●Vinnie Catricala 2010 · A	21	46→55	46→55	51→45	43	229/278/357	128	271	13	7	21%	5%	76	+0.0	244/297/391	147	300	16	7	23%	6%	93	+1.3	242/296/389	147	293	16	7	23%	5%	89	+0.9
✕Darell Hernaiz 2023 · AA	21	48→57	42→45	55→50	42	234/281/335	101	294	10	21	23%	5%	71	-0.3	248/300/349	101	297	9	14	18%	6%	82	+0.5	251/308/343	93	292	7	12	16%	7%	81	+0.3
●Royce Lewis 2019 · A	20	47→49	42→60	53→50	44	231/283/337	106	284	10	17	22%	6%	72	-0.2	205/251/302	97	288	8	15	30%	5%	50	-1.8	261/322/478	218	301	31	14	24%	8%	123	+1.6
●Matt McLain 2022 · A	22	45→55	44→55	53→55	48	218/295/334	116	293	11	20	28%	9%	77	+0.1	236/317/422	186	323	21	22	31%	9%	109	+2.4	231/315/405	174	310	20	23	30%	9%	102	+1.7
✕Jake Marisnick 2013 · AA	22	46→52	44→60	56→55	41	224/281/349	125	285	10	19	25%	5%	75	-0.0	231/279/352	121	296	12	23	25%	4%	75	-0.0	226/290/423	196	302	25	18	33%	6%	96	+0.7
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
●Ramón Urías 2016 · AAA	22	51→57	42→50	45→50	41	249/296/354	105	296	10	12	20%	4%	82	+0.5	250/316/377	127	303	13	12	21%	5%	97	+1.5	249/317/382	133	319	14	3	25%	7%	96	+1.0
✕Enrique Osorio 2007 · AAA	22	46→56	40→50	47→50	50	220/302/309	89	263	7	14	18%	8%	74	-0.1	215/271/288	73	265	6	14	20%	6%	54	-1.4	279/334/412	134	307	15	10	14%	6%	110	+1.2
●Orlando Arcia 2016 · AA	21	53→56	41→55	54→55	43	253/289/364	111	300	6	19	18%	4%	80	+0.4	242/283/356	114	297	10	16	21%	5%	76	+0.1	245/305/406	162	273	21	3	19%	8%	97	+1.0
●Jahmai Jones 2019 · AA	21	46→53	43→55	55→50	46	225/287/340	115	289	10	16	25%	7%	75	-0.0	196/256/294	98	266	9	12	28%	7%	50	-1.8	263/358/462	199	338	20	18	26%	11%	131	+2.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2023 · A	21	50→55	41→45	50	49	236/301/346	110	285	6	12	19%	7%	82	+0.5	249/307/362	113	307	9	14	21%	7%	89	+0.9	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
●Cody Freeman 2022 · A	21	43→53	41→50	53→50	47	208/281/306	98	256	9	11	22%	7%	64	-0.8	203/257/317	114	247	12	9	23%	6%	56	-1.3	233/276/386	153	263	18	9	19%	5%	80	+0.3
✕Angel Martínez 2023 · AA	21	44→47	44→50	48→50	47	218/285/344	126	279	11	11	25%	8%	76	+0.0	225/282/355	130	283	13	10	24%	6%	76	+0.1	227/277/371	143	272	15	13	22%	5%	78	+0.1