Connor Norby — OGILVIE

Connor Norby3B Miami Marlins

Age 26 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs MLB HR -4%BB +3% Svc 1.331 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 1.5 · 2027

wRC+†vL 77102vR 110

AVG/OBP/SLG.237 / .297 / .405

PA457

HR16

SB7

K%29

BB%7

MLB%100%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

55→55

SPD

60→60

EYE

47↘40

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.7peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.331 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.3	$10M	+$10M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$12M	+$12M
2028	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$11M	+$8M
2029	Arb-2	$4M	+1.1	$10M	+$6M
2030	Arb-3	$5M	+0.9	$4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$13M		$47M	+$35M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	2 teams	150	129	31	5	1	3	14	46	3	6	3	.240	.329	.364	.693	.124	.333	31	9	.293	83	-3	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.2
2022	22	AA	3 teams	547	495	116	18	4	23	37	148	9	16	6	.234	.299	.426	.726	.192	.282	27	7	.312	97	-2	+1	+0	+2	+15	1.7
2023	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	633	582	141	32	3	17	40	166	6	10	4	.242	.298	.395	.693	.153	.307	26	6	.303	90	-7	+0	+0	+2	+18	1.4
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	634	573	141	30	1	24	52	212	4	16	6	.246	.313	.428	.741	.182	.342	33	8	.320	103	+2	+1	-4	+2	+18	2.0
2025	25	MLB	2 teams	377	347	89	18	1	11	21	100	5	8	2	.256	.308	.409	.718	.153	.325	27	6	.312	97	-1	+1	-2	+1	+11	1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	MLB	Miami Marlins	85	73	18	5	0	2	7	24	4	0	0	.247	.345	.397	.742	.151	.333	28	8	.330	111	+1	+0	-0	-2	+2	0.2
ROS	26	MLB	MIA	372	336	81	17	1	13	27	107	6	7	1	.241	.309	.414	.723	.173	.310	29	7	.317	101	+0	+1	-2	+1	+11	1.1
TOT	26	MLB	MIA	457	409	99	22	1	15	34	131	10	7	1	.242	.316	.411	.726	.169	.316	29	7	.319	102	+1	+1	-3	-0	+13	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB	MIA	483	437	103	21	1	16	35	116	8	8	2	.236	.304	.398	.702	.162	.286	24	7	.317	101	+0	+1	-3	+2	+14	1.4
2028	28	MLB	MIA	476	430	102	21	1	16	35	115	8	8	1	.237	.307	.402	.709	.165	.285	24	7	.316	100	-0	+1	-4	+2	+13	1.3
2029	29	MLB	MIA	464	419	98	20	1	15	34	113	8	6	1	.234	.304	.394	.697	.160	.284	24	7	.314	98	-1	+1	-5	+2	+13	1.0
2030	30	MLB	MIA	452	408	96	20	1	15	34	112	7	5	0	.235	.305	.400	.705	.164	.283	25	8	.311	96	-2	+1	-5	+2	+13	0.8
2031	31	MLB	MIA	437	395	92	19	1	14	32	110	7	3	0	.233	.302	.392	.694	.159	.282	25	7	.307	93	-3	+1	-6	+2	+12	0.5
2032	32	MLB	MIA	418	377	86	17	1	13	31	107	7	1	0	.228	.299	.382	.681	.154	.280	26	7	.302	89	-5	+0	-6	+1	+12	0.2
2033	33	MLB	MIA	388	350	78	16	1	11	29	102	6	0	0	.223	.294	.369	.662	.146	.278	26	7	.296	84	-7	+0	-7	+1	+11	-0.1
2034	34	MLB	MIA	343	310	68	13	1	10	25	93	5	0	0	.219	.288	.365	.653	.145	.276	27	7	.289	79	-8	+0	-7	+1	+10	-0.4
2035	35	MLB	MIA	290	263	55	11	0	8	21	82	4	0	0	.209	.278	.342	.620	.133	.273	28	7	.280	73	-9	+0	-8	+1	+8	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			6464	5851	1377	278	19	209	467	1729	93	94	26	.235	.302	.397	.699	.161	.295	27	7	.308	94	-46	+8	-59	+23	+183	11.3
/ 162G	—			650	588	139	28	2	21	47	174	9	9	3	.236	.302	.398	.700	.162	.297	27	7	.308	94	-5	+1	-6	+2	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	126	99	28	4	1	3	21	28	3	5	3	.283	.423	.434	.857	.152	.352	22	17	.381	149	+7	-0	—	—	+4	1.1
2021	21	ROK	FCL Orioles Orange	24	22	4	2	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	.182	.217	.273	.490	.091	.250	29	4	.211	20	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	42	39	14	2	0	4	3	5	0	0	1	.359	.405	.718	1.123	.359	.333	12	7	.482	227	+6	-0	—	—	+1	0.7
2022	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	296	252	75	14	2	17	34	59	6	10	2	.298	.394	.571	.965	.274	.322	20	11	.415	175	+25	+1	—	—	+8	3.6
2022	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	209	186	44	7	2	8	18	50	3	6	3	.237	.314	.425	.739	.188	.277	24	9	.326	107	+2	+0	—	—	+6	0.8
2023	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	633	565	164	40	3	21	57	137	6	10	4	.290	.361	.483	.845	.193	.347	22	9	.371	142	+30	+0	—	—	+18	4.9
2024	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	194	178	42	9	0	9	15	64	0	3	3	.236	.295	.438	.734	.202	.311	33	8	.322	105	+1	-1	-4	+2	+5	0.5
2024	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	440	379	111	24	1	17	53	123	4	13	3	.293	.385	.496	.881	.203	.387	28	12	.387	154	+27	+1	—	—	+12	4.2
2025	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	337	311	78	17	1	8	18	90	5	8	2	.251	.302	.389	.691	.138	.324	27	5	.307	93	-3	+1	-2	+1	+10	0.7
2025	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	40	35	12	1	0	3	4	8	0	0	0	.343	.410	.629	1.039	.286	.360	20	10	.439	194	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			531	489	120	26	1	17	33	154	5	11	5	.245	.300	.407	.707	.162	.320	29	6	.312	97	-2	+0	-6	+4	+15	1.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Connor Norby (OGILVIE)	26	45	55	60	40	.238/.305/.404	.166	.286	15	8	24%	7%	101	+1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Joe Mather 2008 · AAA	26	42→45	53→60	53→50	43	.223/.279/.398	.175	.256	21	8	23%	5%	88	+0.9	.223/.286/.398	.175	.254	21	10	22%	7%	90	+1.0	.211/.275/.368	.157	.246	18	11	22%	7%	75	-0.0
●Jose Leon 2003 · MLB	26	48	50→55	50→30	45	.245/.297/.396	.151	.286	19	10	22%	6%	94	+1.3	.232/.281/.358	.126	.299	15	6	27%	6%	77	+0.1	.276/.328/.469	.192	.315	27	2	21%	6%	122	+1.2
✕Jeff Baker 2007 · MLB	26	49→51	52→55	52→45	42	.250/.295/.421	.171	.309	19	8	26%	6%	100	+1.7	.250/.304/.414	.164	.315	18	7	25%	7%	101	+1.8	.268/.327/.430	.162	.333	15	4	23%	8%	111	+1.2
●Chris Young 2010 · MLB	26	45→49	55→60	52→55	51	.236/.310/.434	.199	.281	21	16	24%	9%	109	+2.4	.238/.324/.417	.179	.286	19	18	23%	11%	111	+2.5	.235/.325/.411	.176	.276	19	21	22%	11%	106	+2.0
✕Nick Senzel 2021 · MLB	26	48→56	50	52→50	46	.241/.298/.399	.158	.298	16	17	25%	7%	95	+1.4	.231/.293/.343	.112	.274	11	12	19%	8%	78	+0.2	.209/.282/.339	.129	.252	16	9	23%	8%	71	-0.2
●Ha-Seong Kim 2022 · MLB	26	42→52	49→50	52→60	47	.218/.287/.369	.151	.262	17	12	24%	8%	83	+0.6	.243/.322/.379	.136	.286	14	20	19%	10%	100	+1.7	.245/.333/.377	.132	.285	13	26	18%	11%	100	+1.6
✕Scott Kingery 2020 · MLB	26	48→51	49→55	54→55	42	.239/.288/.396	.157	.302	16	17	26%	6%	90	+1.0	.212/.276/.348	.136	.298	13	15	31%	8%	72	-0.2	.172/.251/.279	.106	.266	8	18	36%	9%	41	-0.8
✕Josh VanMeter 2021 · MLB	26	45→49	52→55	50	48	.232/.299/.408	.176	.276	19	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	.219/.308/.379	.160	.279	18	9	26%	11%	95	+1.4	.202/.307/.353	.150	.259	16	7	27%	13%	84	+0.3
✕Michael Massey 2023 · MLB	25	46→49	53→55	52→50	42	.238/.291/.409	.171	.287	20	12	25%	6%	95	+1.4	.237/.282/.391	.154	.275	19	8	21%	5%	86	+0.8	.234/.274/.375	.141	.263	18	5	18%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Alex Castellanos 2013 · MLB	26	47→50	52→55	52→50	40	.235/.296/.408	.173	.308	18	15	29%	6%	97	+1.5	.210/.273/.358	.148	.291	16	15	32%	6%	75	-0.0	.208/.268/.348	.140	.303	14	8	34%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Sean Bouchard 2023 · MLB	27	44	54→55	52→50	48	.228/.308/.419	.191	.299	21	13	30%	10%	105	+2.1	.219/.307/.387	.168	.303	19	15	32%	10%	96	+1.5	.188/.286/.329	.140	.277	15	16	35%	11%	69	-0.2
✕Chris Heisey 2011 · MLB	26	49→52	49→55	54→55	46	.247/.307/.401	.153	.290	16	15	21%	6%	99	+1.7	.246/.299/.410	.164	.295	20	10	23%	6%	99	+1.7	.244/.294/.408	.164	.289	20	9	23%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Alan Espinoza 2017 · AAA	26	43	52→55	50→45	42	.227/.274/.392	.165	.260	20	7	22%	5%	84	+0.6	.246/.286/.399	.153	.283	18	6	20%	4%	90	+1.0	.266/.302/.415	.149	.301	19	2	19%	4%	99	+0.9
✕Chris Woodward 2003 · MLB	27	48	53→50	51→45	48	.247/.305/.426	.179	.284	20	7	21%	7%	105	+2.1	.253/.310/.394	.141	.304	13	4	20%	7%	98	+1.6	.254/.310/.374	.120	.312	8	1	20%	7%	91	+0.5
✕Aaron Altherr 2018 · MLB	27	49→51	52→55	51→50	48	.246/.318/.421	.175	.303	18	13	25%	8%	109	+2.4	.212/.295/.361	.149	.285	16	10	30%	9%	85	+0.7	.178/.270/.308	.130	.245	14	9	31%	10%	59	-0.5
✕Luke Hughes 2011 · AAA	26	46→52	49→55	52→45	42	.233/.285/.389	.156	.293	16	7	26%	6%	87	+0.8	.213/.271/.333	.120	.277	12	8	26%	7%	66	-0.6	.202/.265/.312	.110	.265	11	7	27%	7%	55	-0.8
✕Josh Fields 2009 · MLB	26	46→56	53→55	50	44	.234/.299/.409	.175	.317	21	13	32%	8%	98	+1.6	.238/.300/.397	.159	.311	19	9	28%	8%	95	+1.4	.241/.303/.378	.138	.317	15	9	28%	8%	90	+0.7
✕Mac Williamson 2016 · MLB	26	49→50	49→55	50→45	42	.246/.310/.399	.153	.315	17	7	27%	6%	101	+1.8	.226/.284/.381	.155	.293	19	6	29%	6%	85	+0.7	.213/.272/.382	.169	.269	23	4	30%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Chris Aguila 2005 · MLB	26	46→54	57→55	51→50	46	.245/.302/.443	.198	.284	25	9	24%	7%	108	+2.3	.254/.299/.399	.145	.308	15	12	22%	6%	95	+1.4	.240/.292/.387	.147	.298	18	11	25%	6%	86	+0.5
✕Ben Johnson 2007 · MLB	26	46	52→50	50→45	47	.235/.304/.402	.167	.295	19	10	27%	8%	99	+1.7	.229/.296/.347	.118	.297	12	10	25%	8%	81	+0.4	.225/.295/.287	.062	.296	4	6	23%	8%	62	-0.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)