Connor Norby — OGILVIE

Connor Norby1B Colorado Rockies

Age 26 R/R 5'10" / 180 lbs MLB HR +30%H +12% Svc 1.331 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION462 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 9797vR 94

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .333

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP318

ISO111

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

609.9%

xAVG

200.227

POWER55

Barrel%

629.9

Avg EV

2687.2

Bat Spd

3870.1

EYE40

Chase%

9022.3%

SPEED60

Sprint

6628.1

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%28%·29% over 101 PA (30d) · proj 28%

BB%10%▲▲12% over 108 PA (60d) · proj 8%

ISO.163·.170 over 94 AB (60d) · proj .158xISO .141 vs .194 prior

HR/BB4.9%·4.8% over 63 BBE (60d) · proj 5.0%barrel% 7.7% vs 11.4% prior

BABIP.309▲.400 over 60 BIP (60d) · proj .302xBABIP .240 vs .288 prior — approach does NOT back the move

SLASH.235/.318/.398▲proj .235/.302/.393

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 625 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

193

432

—

wRC+

109

▶▶R

wOBA

276

330

▶▶R

ISO

121

179

▶▶R

BABIP

257

340

▶▶R

29.5%

28.2%

▶R

BB%

9.8%

5.3%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.331 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-3	$3M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.9M		$4M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	126	99	28	4	1	3	21	28	3	5	3	283	423	434	857	152	352	22	17	381	144	+7	-0	—	—	+3	0.9
2021	21	ROK	FCL Orioles Orange	—	24	22	4	2	0	0	1	7	0	1	0	182	217	273	490	91	250	29	4	211	29	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	22	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	42	39	14	2	0	4	3	5	0	0	1	359	405	718	1.123	359	333	12	7	482	212	+6	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2022	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	296	252	75	14	2	17	34	59	6	10	2	298	394	571	965	274	322	20	11	415	167	+23	+1	—	—	+6	3.2
2022	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	209	186	44	7	2	8	18	50	3	6	3	237	314	425	739	188	277	24	9	326	107	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2023	23	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	633	565	164	40	3	21	57	137	6	10	4	290	361	483	845	193	347	22	9	371	137	+28	+0	—	—	+14	4.3
2024	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	194	178	42	9	0	9	15	64	0	3	3	236	295	438	734	202	311	33	8	322	104	+1	-1	-4	+2	+4	0.3
2024	24	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	440	379	111	24	1	17	53	123	4	13	3	293	385	496	881	203	387	28	12	387	148	+25	+1	—	—	+10	3.7
2025	25	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	337	311	78	17	1	8	18	90	5	8	2	251	302	389	691	138	324	27	5	307	94	-3	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.5
2025	25	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	40	35	12	1	0	3	4	8	0	0	0	343	410	629	1.039	286	360	20	10	439	183	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	531	489	120	26	1	17	33	154	5	11	5	245	300	407	707	162	320	29	6	312	98	-2	+0	-6	+4	+12	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	126	106	26	3	1	2	14	37	3	5	3	245	350	349	699	104	329	29	11	318	101	+0	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2021	21	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles Orange	—	24	22	2	1	0	0	1	10	0	1	0	91	130	136	267	45	191	42	4	143	-17	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	22	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	42	40	13	2	0	3	2	6	0	0	1	325	357	600	957	275	304	14	5	384	146	+2	-0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	22	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	296	263	65	12	2	11	23	73	6	10	2	247	322	433	755	186	285	25	8	327	107	+3	+1	—	—	+6	1.0
2022	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	209	192	37	6	2	6	12	68	3	6	3	193	251	339	590	146	251	33	6	254	58	-10	+0	—	—	+5	-0.6
2023	23	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	633	581	137	32	3	14	41	168	6	10	4	236	293	373	666	138	301	27	6	292	84	-12	+0	—	—	+14	0.2
2024	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	194	178	43	10	0	9	15	64	0	3	3	242	301	449	750	208	311	33	8	330	109	+2	-1	-4	+2	+4	0.4
2024	24	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	440	395	96	20	1	13	37	148	4	13	3	243	314	397	712	154	340	34	8	308	95	-3	+1	—	—	+10	0.8
2025	25	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	337	311	80	18	1	8	18	90	5	8	2	257	308	399	707	141	324	27	5	313	98	-1	+1	-2	+1	+7	0.7
2025	25	AAA MLE	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	40	36	10	1	0	2	3	10	0	0	0	278	333	472	806	194	307	25	8	358	128	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	150	128	29	5	1	2	15	47	3	6	3	227	322	328	650	102	325	31	10	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	150	121	32	6	1	3	22	35	3	6	3	264	390	405	795	140	333	23	15	354	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	547	494	114	19	4	20	38	146	9	16	6	231	298	407	704	176	281	27	7	303	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	547	477	133	23	4	29	55	114	9	16	6	279	364	526	890	247	306	21	10	386	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	633	581	137	32	3	14	41	168	6	10	4	236	293	373	666	138	304	27	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA RAW	Norfolk Tides	—	633	565	164	40	3	21	57	137	6	10	4	290	361	483	845	193	347	22	9	371	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	634	573	139	30	1	22	52	212	4	16	6	243	310	414	724	171	340	33	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	634	557	153	33	1	26	68	187	4	16	6	275	358	478	835	203	364	29	11	367	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	377	347	91	19	1	11	21	100	5	8	2	262	314	418	732	156	333	27	6	318	101	+1	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.9
2025	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	377	346	90	18	1	11	22	98	5	8	2	260	314	413	727	153	328	26	6	321	101	+1	+1	-2	+1	+8	0.9
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	150	131	29	5	1	2	15	47	3	6	3	221	322	321	643	99	307	31	10	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	547	495	114	19	4	20	38	146	9	16	6	230	298	406	704	176	273	27	7	303	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	633	581	137	32	3	14	41	168	6	10	4	236	293	373	666	138	301	27	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	634	573	139	30	1	22	52	212	4	16	6	243	310	414	724	171	331	33	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	377	348	91	19	1	11	21	100	5	8	2	261	314	417	730	155	322	27	6	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	AAA MLE	Norfolk Tides	—	633	581	137	32	3	14	41	168	6	10	4	236	293	373	666	138	301	27	6	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	634	573	139	30	1	22	52	212	4	16	6	243	310	414	724	171	331	33	8	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	377	348	91	19	1	11	21	100	5	8	2	261	314	417	730	155	322	27	6	318	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	MLB MLE	COL	—	462	402	89	24	0	11	49	131	10	12	3	221	321	363	684	142	299	28	11	307	94	-3	+1	-0	-8	+10	-0.0
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	COL	—	341	294	68	19	0	7	37	101	9	8	3	231	335	367	703	136	326	30	11	321	94	-2	+0	-0	-8	+7	-0.3
YTD	26	AAA RAW	COL	—	121	103	30	8	0	6	17	23	1	4	0	291	397	544	940	252	324	19	14	412	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	26	MLB RAW	COL	—	341	294	68	19	0	7	37	101	9	8	3	231	335	367	703	136	326	30	11	321	103	+1	+0	-0	-6	+7	0.3
ROS	26	MLB MLE	COL	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		301	30	10	312	97	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	26	MLB CTX	COL	100%	10	9	2	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	222	300	333	633	111	318	30	10	316	97	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	26	MLB A+C	COL	—	351	303	70	20	0	7	38	104	9	8	3	231	334	366	701	135	326	30	11	321	94	-2	+0	+0	-6	+8	-0.1
TOT	26	MLB MLE	COL	—	472	411	90	24	0	11	50	134	10	12	3	219	318	358	676	139	296	28	11	307	94	-3	+1	+0	-8	+10	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	COL	92%	656	578	132	31	1	18	61	185	12	22	5	228	315	379	694	151	300	28	9	311	97	-3	+2	+3	-12	+14	0.5
2028	28	MLB MLE	COL	92%	643	566	128	30	1	17	61	182	11	20	5	226	313	373	686	147	299	28	9	310	96	-3	+2	+2	-11	+14	0.4
2029	29	MLB MLE	COL	92%	630	554	124	29	0	17	60	180	11	18	4	224	312	368	680	144	298	29	10	308	95	-4	+2	+2	-11	+14	0.2
2030	30	MLB MLE	COL	92%	617	542	120	28	0	16	59	178	11	16	4	221	310	362	672	140	296	29	10	305	92	-6	+2	+1	-11	+13	-0.1
2031	31	MLB MLE	COL	92%	605	533	116	27	0	15	57	176	10	14	3	218	305	353	658	135	293	29	9	300	89	-8	+2	-0	-11	+13	-0.4
2032	32	MLB MLE	COL	92%	418	368	78	18	0	10	40	123	7	8	2	212	301	342	644	130	288	29	10	294	85	-8	+1	-2	-7	+9	-0.7
2033	33	MLB MLE	COL	92%	388	342	71	16	0	9	37	116	6	6	1	208	296	333	629	126	282	30	10	286	79	-9	+1	-2	-7	+8	-1.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	COL	92%	604	531	129	31	1	19	57	170	11	20	5	243	329	412	741	169	317	28	9	315	97	-2	+2	+3	-11	+13	0.5
2028	28	MLB CTX	COL	92%	592	521	125	30	1	18	56	168	10	18	4	240	325	405	730	165	316	28	9	314	96	-3	+2	+2	-11	+13	0.4
2029	29	MLB CTX	COL	92%	580	510	122	30	1	17	55	166	10	17	4	239	325	402	727	163	315	29	9	312	95	-4	+2	+1	-10	+13	0.2
2030	30	MLB CTX	COL	92%	568	499	118	29	0	17	54	164	10	15	3	236	323	397	720	160	312	29	10	308	92	-5	+2	+1	-10	+12	-0.0
2031	31	MLB CTX	COL	92%	557	489	114	28	0	16	53	162	10	13	3	233	321	389	709	155	309	29	10	303	89	-7	+1	-0	-10	+12	-0.4
2032	32	MLB CTX	COL	92%	385	339	77	18	0	11	36	114	7	7	2	227	314	378	692	150	303	30	9	296	85	-7	+1	-1	-7	+8	-0.6
2033	33	MLB CTX	COL	92%	357	314	69	16	0	9	34	107	6	5	1	220	308	357	665	137	297	30	10	288	79	-9	+1	-2	-6	+8	-0.9
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4184	3701	876	209	4	124	379	1208	69	106	27	237	319	396	715	159	314	29	9	308	92	-38	+10	-2	-62	+91	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	136	32	1	19	59	188	11	16	4	237	320	395	715	158	315	29	9	308	92	-6	+2	-0	-10	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6308	5615	1280	284	12	171	543	1816	95	160	45	228	307	374	681	146	302	29	9	304	92	-42	+11	-2	-67	+97	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	132	29	1	18	56	187	10	16	5	228	307	375	682	147	302	29	9	304	92	-6	+2	-0	-10	+14	-0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	8.0	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
/162	664	24	18	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	7.5	4,969	133	133	227	307	373	-11	-18	10.3	9.9
/162	664	18	18	-1.4	-2.4	1.4	pk7: 10
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Connor Norby (OGILVIE)	26	45	55	60	40	227/312/377	150	301	13	15	28%	9%	97	+0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Scott Kingery 2020 · MLB	26	48→51	50→55	53→55	42	241/291/405	164	306	17	16	27%	6%	95	+0.9	209/274/346	137	296	13	15	32%	8%	75	-0.5	167/245/265	98	259	8	18	36%	9%	44	-0.9
✕Nick Senzel 2021 · MLB	26	47→57	49→50	51→50	46	236/295/389	153	292	15	17	25%	7%	92	+0.7	232/294/343	111	274	11	12	19%	8%	81	-0.1	211/283/342	131	253	16	9	23%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Keon Broxton 2016 · AAA	26	48→50	46→55	58→60	41	229/286/367	138	333	12	25	33%	7%	83	+0.1	220/293/381	161	342	17	35	38%	9%	90	+0.6	204/284/369	164	326	19	40	40%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Alex Castellanos 2013 · MLB	26	47→51	51→55	52→50	41	238/300/409	171	310	17	15	28%	6%	99	+1.3	211/275/359	148	292	16	15	32%	6%	78	-0.3	207/266/345	139	303	13	8	34%	6%	69	-0.5
✕Danny Espinosa 2013 · MLB	26	48→51	51→55	51→50	45	242/312/406	165	310	18	17	27%	7%	103	+1.5	216/278/346	130	301	13	12	31%	6%	76	-0.4	219/300/377	158	286	20	10	29%	8%	83	+0.1
✕Tyler Greene 2010 · MLB	26	45→51	47→50	58→55	39	226/278/359	132	301	15	24	30%	5%	79	-0.2	236/302/379	143	318	15	23	29%	7%	93	+0.8	235/305/385	150	317	15	24	29%	7%	90	+0.4
●Sean Rodríguez 2011 · MLB	26	47→49	54→60	53→50	44	241/309/422	181	302	21	14	27%	7%	105	+1.7	226/304/364	138	279	14	12	23%	8%	91	+0.6	243/301/448	205	299	26	4	27%	6%	106	+0.8
✕Jake Slaughter 2023 · AA	26	46→47	47→50	54→55	40	225/294/356	130	314	15	24	32%	6%	85	+0.2	218/287/358	140	305	16	20	32%	7%	82	+0.0	207/277/344	136	292	16	20	33%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Peter Bourjos 2013 · MLB	26	50→55	46→50	57→60	44	244/299/387	143	299	12	20	22%	6%	93	+0.8	232/298/357	125	303	11	15	26%	7%	86	+0.3	237/279/373	137	305	9	8	25%	5%	79	-0.1
✕Gerald Laird 2006 · MLB	26	47	49→50	53→50	45	238/295/390	152	283	17	12	23%	6%	93	+0.8	249/300/393	144	301	14	9	21%	6%	95	+0.9	251/304/383	132	302	12	6	20%	6%	91	+0.4
●Harrison Bader 2020 · MLB	26	46→56	52→55	52→55	46	233/316/402	169	303	20	17	29%	9%	103	+1.6	247/321/425	178	305	20	17	25%	8%	110	+2.1	255/315/422	167	304	19	21	22%	7%	103	+0.7
✕Stuart Fairchild 2022 · MLB	26	45→42	49→50	52→55	46	225/296/377	152	281	16	12	25%	8%	90	+0.6	223/302/373	150	297	16	17	29%	8%	92	+0.7	218/314/364	146	281	15	27	26%	9%	91	+0.4
✕Bradley Zimmer 2020 · MLB	27	49→51	47→50	57→60	41	237/296/377	140	341	14	23	33%	7%	90	+0.6	223/320/348	125	331	13	20	34%	9%	93	+0.8	190/285/291	101	316	11	27	39%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Sean Bouchard 2023 · MLB	27	44	54→55	52→50	50	228/313/419	191	297	21	13	30%	10%	106	+1.8	217/307/382	165	302	18	15	32%	10%	96	+1.0	189/286/327	139	279	15	16	35%	11%	73	-0.3
✕Drew Stubbs 2011 · MLB	26	50→57	47→50	59→60	47	242/311/382	139	321	14	32	28%	9%	97	+1.1	232/303/359	127	319	14	30	30%	9%	88	+0.4	235/304/374	140	334	14	24	32%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Max Schuemann 2023 · AAA	26	47→48	43→45	59→60	47	226/314/340	114	309	10	29	28%	8%	89	+0.5	223/314/328	105	298	10	21	26%	10%	86	+0.3	215/312/312	97	283	9	20	25%	10%	80	-0.1
●Ha-Seong Kim 2022 · MLB	26	42→52	49→50	52→60	47	218/286/368	150	261	16	12	24%	8%	84	+0.2	246/326/383	137	289	14	21	19%	10%	103	+1.5	248/335/380	132	288	14	26	18%	11%	102	+1.4
✕Derek Hill 2022 · MLB	26	50→52	44→55	52→60	38	237/286/355	119	337	11	17	32%	6%	80	-0.1	238/286/368	130	324	12	18	29%	6%	83	+0.1	242/294/410	167	331	20	27	32%	6%	94	+0.4
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	51→49	51→60	55→50	46	254/314/422	168	308	18	23	23%	7%	107	+1.8	257/315/455	198	301	27	14	24%	8%	115	+2.4	244/301/432	187	279	27	12	23%	7%	102	+0.9
✕Chip Ambres 2006 · MLB	26	49	47→50	53→50	51	240/317/383	143	291	14	20	22%	9%	99	+1.2	216/290/355	139	271	15	11	25%	9%	82	+0.0	204/280/350	146	253	17	7	26%	9%	76	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps