Noelvi Marte — OGILVIE

Noelvi MarteOF Louisville Bats

Age 24 R/R 6'2" / 216 lbs MLB HR +6% Svc 1.808 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION313 act + 208 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 7181vR 107

AVG/OBP/SLG.263 / .310 / .429

PA208

HR7

SB10

K%23

BB%6

BABIP315

ISO165

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

4711.2%

xwOBA

310.286

POWER50

Barrel%

477.8

Avg EV

3487.9

Bat Spd

5071.3

EYE40

Chase%

5231.4%

SPEED60

Sprint

9029.1

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 602 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

149

453

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

260

304

▶R

ISO

065

174

▶▶R

BABIP

329

296

◀L

31.5%

24.9%

▶▶R

BB%

7.4%

3.1%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.808 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.9	$14M	+$13M
2028	Arb-1	$4M	+1.9	$13M	+$10M
2029	Arb-2	$7M	+1.9	$12M	+$7M
2030	Arb-3	$10M	+1.7	$10M	+$4M
Totals		$22M		$52M	+$37M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	299	273	60	12	3	7	18	79	1	17	7	220	271	363	633	143	273	26	6	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	299	262	81	18	4	9	29	55	1	17	7	309	380	511	892	202	351	18	10	383	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	3 teams	—	527	479	109	22	2	19	41	159	6	27	7	228	297	401	697	173	298	30	8	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	3 teams	—	527	459	126	29	2	17	61	122	6	27	7	275	367	458	824	183	340	23	12	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	2 teams	—	604	538	116	15	0	16	52	153	9	24	9	216	295	333	628	117	267	25	9	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	2 teams	—	604	519	140	24	0	21	71	121	9	24	9	270	367	437	805	168	312	20	12	359	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	4 teams	—	529	484	127	26	3	13	36	119	4	25	6	262	319	409	728	147	319	22	7	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	4 teams	—	529	470	138	28	4	14	50	96	4	25	6	294	366	460	826	166	340	18	9	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	MLB	3 teams	—	404	385	74	13	0	5	12	127	5	15	4	192	226	265	491	73	271	31	3	219	26	-34	+1	-7	+1	+11	-2.7
2024	22	MLB	3 teams	—	404	379	78	14	1	6	18	112	5	15	4	206	251	296	547	90	274	28	4	247	47	-24	+1	-7	+1	+11	-1.7
2025	23	MLB	3 teams	—	430	400	104	22	3	14	22	95	5	13	4	260	307	435	742	175	306	22	5	322	104	+2	+1	-3	-5	+12	0.8
2025	23	MLB	3 teams	—	430	397	107	23	3	15	25	93	5	13	4	270	321	456	777	186	315	22	6	341	119	+9	+1	-3	-5	+12	1.5
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	CIN	—	313	292	80	11	1	13	17	66	1	13	2	274	316	452	768	178	310	21	5	332	112	+4	+2	-0	-3	+9	1.2
YTD	24	AAA	CIN	—	313	288	84	12	1	14	21	61	1	13	2	292	342	486	828	194	324	19	7	361	135	+12	+2	-0	-3	+9	2.0
ROS	24	AAA	CIN	100%	208	193	51	9	1	7	12	48	1	10	2	263	310	429	738	165	316	23	6	326	108	+2	+1	-3	+1	+6	0.7
ROS	24	MLB	CIN	100%	209	194	52	9	1	7	12	48	1	10	2	268	314	433	747	165	319	23	6	325	107	+2	+1	-3	+1	+6	0.7
FULL	24	AAA	CIN	—	522	486	132	20	2	20	29	114	2	23	4	272	315	444	760	173	315	22	6	329	110	+6	+3	-3	-3	+15	1.8
TOT	24	AAA	CIN	—	521	485	131	20	2	20	29	114	2	23	4	270	314	443	756	173	312	22	6	330	111	+6	+3	-3	-3	+15	1.9
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CIN	92%	511	473	127	23	1	18	29	118	4	23	4	268	316	436	752	167	317	23	6	328	109	+5	+3	-8	+2	+14	1.7
2028	26	MLB	CIN	92%	514	476	127	23	1	18	29	118	4	23	4	267	314	433	747	166	317	23	6	329	110	+6	+3	-8	+2	+15	1.8
2029	27	MLB	CIN	92%	509	470	125	22	1	18	30	118	4	23	4	266	315	432	747	166	317	23	6	329	110	+6	+3	-7	+2	+14	1.8
2030	28	MLB	CIN	92%	501	462	123	22	1	17	30	116	4	21	4	266	317	429	745	162	317	23	6	328	109	+5	+3	-8	+2	+14	1.6
2031	29	MLB	CIN	92%	489	454	119	21	1	17	29	115	3	19	3	262	311	425	736	163	316	24	6	326	108	+4	+3	-9	+2	+14	1.4
2032	30	MLB	CIN	92%	477	442	115	20	1	16	29	113	3	17	3	260	310	419	729	158	315	24	6	323	105	+3	+2	-9	+2	+14	1.1
2033	31	MLB	CIN	92%	462	428	110	19	1	15	28	111	3	14	3	257	307	411	718	154	312	24	6	319	102	+1	+2	-10	+2	+13	0.8
2034	32	MLB	CIN	92%	443	411	104	18	1	14	26	108	3	11	2	253	302	404	706	151	308	24	6	312	97	-1	+1	-10	+2	+13	0.4
2027	25	MLB	CIN	92%	470	437	117	21	1	17	27	108	3	21	4	268	315	437	752	169	320	23	6	327	108	+4	+3	-7	+2	+13	1.5
2028	26	MLB	CIN	92%	473	440	118	21	1	17	27	109	3	21	4	268	315	436	751	168	320	23	6	328	109	+5	+3	-7	+2	+13	1.6
2029	27	MLB	CIN	92%	468	435	117	21	1	17	27	108	3	21	4	269	316	439	755	170	320	23	6	328	109	+5	+3	-7	+2	+13	1.6
2030	28	MLB	CIN	92%	461	428	114	21	1	16	27	107	3	19	3	266	314	432	747	166	320	23	6	327	108	+4	+3	-7	+2	+13	1.4
2031	29	MLB	CIN	92%	450	417	111	20	1	16	27	106	3	18	3	266	315	434	749	168	319	24	6	325	107	+3	+2	-8	+2	+13	1.3
2032	30	MLB	CIN	92%	439	407	107	19	1	15	26	104	3	15	3	263	312	425	737	162	318	24	6	322	105	+2	+2	-8	+2	+12	1.0
2033	31	MLB	CIN	92%	425	394	102	18	1	14	25	102	3	13	2	259	308	416	724	157	315	24	6	317	101	+1	+2	-9	+2	+12	0.7
2034	32	MLB	CIN	92%	408	378	97	17	1	13	24	100	3	10	2	257	306	410	716	153	311	25	6	311	96	-2	+1	-9	+1	+12	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4528	4212	1108	200	11	153	255	1077	32	173	35	263	310	425	735	162	318	24	6	321	104	+20	+21	-77	+12	+128	10.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	605	160	29	2	22	37	155	5	25	5	264	313	428	741	164	320	24	6	321	104	+3	+3	-11	+2	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	6907	6368	1591	287	20	214	423	1697	59	282	66	250	303	402	705	152	306	25	6	310	95	-37	+30	-83	+19	+196	12.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	599	150	27	2	20	40	160	6	27	6	250	304	402	706	152	307	25	6	310	95	-4	+3	-8	+2	+18	1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	299	262	81	18	4	9	29	55	1	17	7	309	380	511	892	202	351	18	10	383	151	+17	+1	—	—	+8	2.7
2021	19	A+	Everett AquaSox	—	33	31	9	4	0	0	2	11	0	1	0	290	333	419	753	129	450	33	6	335	115	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2021	19	A	Modesto Nuts	—	478	413	112	24	2	17	58	106	6	23	7	271	369	462	831	191	326	22	12	370	141	+22	+2	—	—	+14	3.8
2021	19	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	16	15	5	1	0	0	1	5	0	3	0	333	375	400	775	67	500	31	6	350	126	+0	+1	—	—	+0	0.2
2022	20	A+	Dayton Dragons	—	520	448	125	23	0	19	59	107	9	23	9	279	374	458	832	179	325	21	11	369	141	+24	+1	—	—	+15	4.0
2022	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	84	71	15	1	0	2	12	14	0	1	0	211	325	310	635	99	232	17	14	294	83	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.1
2023	21	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	123	114	36	7	0	3	8	25	1	6	2	316	366	456	822	140	384	20	7	366	139	+5	+0	-1	+2	+3	1.0
2023	21	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	167	143	40	10	3	3	20	31	1	8	2	280	372	455	826	175	330	19	12	361	135	+7	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2023	21	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	222	196	55	10	1	8	22	38	2	10	2	281	359	464	823	184	309	17	10	363	136	+9	+1	—	—	+6	1.7
2023	21	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	17	17	7	1	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	412	412	471	882	59	467	12	0	395	160	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.2
2024	22	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	242	229	48	9	0	4	9	75	3	9	3	210	249	301	550	92	291	31	4	248	48	-14	+1	-7	+1	+7	-1.3
2024	22	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	53	53	8	1	0	0	0	15	0	1	0	151	151	170	321	19	211	28	0	144	-32	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2024	22	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	109	97	22	4	1	2	9	22	2	5	1	227	306	351	656	124	270	20	8	296	85	-2	+1	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	23	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	360	339	89	17	2	14	16	85	3	10	3	263	302	448	750	186	310	24	4	328	110	+4	+1	-3	-5	+10	0.7
2025	23	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	53	43	14	6	0	1	8	7	1	3	1	326	442	535	977	209	361	13	15	423	182	+5	+0	—	—	+2	0.7
2025	23	AA	Chattanooga Lookouts	—	17	15	4	0	1	0	1	1	1	0	0	267	353	400	753	133	286	6	6	339	118	+0	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	725	682	173	33	2	21	33	185	7	25	8	254	295	400	695	147	317	26	5	308	94	-5	+2	-12	-1	+21	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Gary Matthews Jr.last yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,572 PA	11	4,572	108	93	258	331	407	-5	-10	16.2	17.2
	/162	664	16	14	258	331	407	-0.7	-1.4	2.3	pk7: 18
#2Eric Byrneslast yr '09 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,440 PA	8	3,440	106	125	260	321	441	-21	+3	14.9	15.2
	/162	664	20	24	260	321	441	-4.1	+0.6	2.9	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	12	4,936	163	191	259	304	419	-17	-34	15.0	13.4
	/162	664	22	26	259	304	419	-2.3	-4.5	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Nate McLouthlast yr '14 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,737 PA	10	3,737	101	133	247	332	410	-2	-53	11.0	11.9
	/162	664	18	24	247	332	410	-0.3	-9.4	2.0	pk7: 13
#4Aaron Boonelast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,540 PA	8	3,540	110	83	260	326	427	-12	-30	11.3	11.4
	/162	664	21	16	260	326	427	-2.2	-5.6	2.1	pk7: 11
#5Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	11	4,290	156	107	252	326	437	-47	-45	10.7	10.7
#5Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	/162	664	24	17	252	326	437	-7.3	-6.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#6Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Noelvi Marte (OGILVIE)	24	45	50	60	40	270/314/443	173	312	20	23	22%	6%	111	+1.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Oswald Peraza 2023 · MLB	23	45→52	50	57→60	41	234/284/381	148	293	18	31	27%	5%	85	+0.7	215/279/345	130	270	16	25	26%	6%	73	-0.1	206/267/320	115	269	15	25	28%	6%	60	-0.6
●Royce Lewis 2023 · MLB	24	50→49	54→60	55→50	45	256/314/439	183	307	21	23	24%	7%	112	+2.6	258/314/460	202	301	28	14	24%	7%	118	+3.0	245/301/434	189	280	27	12	23%	7%	103	+1.2
✕Justin Maxwell 2009 · MLB	25	42→44	54→60	55→60	44	221/289/403	182	280	23	23	30%	8%	93	+1.3	218/297/368	150	319	17	29	34%	9%	87	+0.8	223/297/433	210	304	27	17	34%	9%	101	+0.9
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	42→43	52→55	56→55	41	217/280/383	166	298	20	23	34%	7%	84	+0.6	203/276/341	138	281	16	17	32%	8%	72	-0.2	188/269/315	127	256	15	16	31%	9%	59	-0.7
●Victor Robles 2021 · MLB	24	49→54	47→50	53→60	44	242/314/383	141	299	14	22	23%	6%	98	+1.6	225/298/334	109	291	9	19	25%	7%	79	+0.3	283/353/387	105	352	6	51	20%	6%	113	+0.9
●Josh Lowe 2022 · AAA	24	47→57	53→55	58→60	45	239/303/408	169	318	21	25	31%	8%	100	+1.7	251/307/423	172	352	19	28	32%	7%	105	+2.1	252/308/426	174	353	19	33	32%	7%	102	+1.5
✕Lewis Brinson 2018 · MLB	24	44→52	51→55	52→50	42	229/280/393	163	285	19	16	27%	6%	86	+0.8	205/257/335	130	282	14	12	31%	5%	61	-1.0	233/275/409	176	307	23	8	31%	5%	85	+0.3
●Chris Young 2007 · MLB	23	43→49	55→60	54→55	48	226/294/418	192	263	22	20	24%	8%	99	+1.7	235/302/435	200	276	23	18	23%	8%	107	+2.2	239/321/428	189	289	20	17	24%	10%	109	+2.5
●Jake McCarthy 2022 · MLB	25	41→51	49→50	63→60	42	207/272/361	154	294	15	30	34%	8%	75	-0.0	258/320/395	137	318	13	34	22%	7%	103	+1.9	272/336/397	125	324	11	37	18%	7%	107	+1.9
✕Samad Taylor 2023 · AAA	25	46→55	51→50	58→65	42	234/296/390	156	317	20	33	32%	7%	92	+1.2	235/305/350	115	323	11	40	28%	8%	85	+0.7	233/305/335	103	318	8	43	27%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Nick Loftin 2023 · AAA	24	44→53	48→50	53→50	46	225/285/363	138	263	16	18	21%	7%	81	+0.4	240/309/371	131	275	15	13	18%	8%	92	+1.2	240/320/368	128	270	14	11	16%	9%	94	+0.9
✕Daulton Varsho 2021 · MLB	25	46→49	52→60	55→50	47	239/304/408	170	277	19	18	22%	7%	100	+1.7	233/299/427	194	270	24	14	23%	8%	103	+1.9	227/294/419	192	260	25	15	23%	8%	96	+1.3
●Luis Robert Jr. 2021 · MLB	23	46→56	54→60	56→60	38	236/289/415	179	317	21	24	32%	6%	96	+1.5	275/322/467	192	335	24	17	25%	5%	124	+3.4	280/327/492	212	333	28	17	24%	5%	128	+2.7
●Dominic Canzone 2023 · AAA	25	46→53	53→60	54→50	42	238/290/407	169	291	21	18	26%	6%	94	+1.3	246/298/424	178	288	23	8	23%	7%	102	+1.9	249/304/429	180	288	24	5	22%	7%	104	+1.4
✕Daz Cameron 2022 · MLB	25	43→45	49→55	53→55	42	219/285/370	151	290	16	19	30%	7%	82	+0.5	213/277/349	136	287	15	21	30%	7%	73	-0.1	217/290/380	163	271	19	25	27%	8%	86	+0.5
●Trevor Story 2017 · MLB	24	41→49	54→60	53→55	42	215/282/399	184	296	21	15	34%	8%	89	+1.0	229/296/423	194	298	23	16	30%	8%	101	+1.8	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3
●Matt McLain 2023 · AA	23	40→50	51→55	59→55	46	204/291/370	166	288	19	24	34%	10%	85	+0.7	246/324/427	181	328	21	21	29%	9%	113	+2.6	236/320/399	164	307	19	21	28%	10%	103	+1.6
✕Brett Wisely 2023 · AAA	24	47→51	49→50	55	46	237/301/388	152	305	17	24	28%	8%	94	+1.3	230/296/357	127	295	12	15	25%	8%	83	+0.6	231/293/342	111	293	10	15	23%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Ryan Kalish 2012 · MLB	24	47→51	48→50	56→55	47	236/293/378	142	284	15	24	22%	7%	87	+0.8	220/270/320	100	293	9	19	27%	6%	62	-0.9	212/256/305	93	285	8	20	28%	5%	48	-1.0
●Esteury Ruiz 2022 · AA	23	43→53	49→50	59→70	38	218/273/363	145	295	16	35	31%	6%	76	+0.0	260/330/406	146	323	15	60	23%	6%	111	+2.5	268/342/410	142	331	14	74	22%	7%	114	+1.8