Hao-Yu Lee — OGILVIE

Hao-Yu Lee2B Detroit Tigers

Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 190 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION366 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†99

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP299

ISO149

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$33M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 49 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT49

xAVG

240.230

POWER49

Barrel%

518.3

Avg EV

6089.8

Bat Spd

2869.0

EYE53

scouting grade only

SPEED48

Sprint

6828.2

DEFENSE44

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%24%▼24% over 90 PA (30d) · proj 23%

BB%10%▲▲12% over 146 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.164▲.183 over 126 AB (60d) · proj .149

HR/BB3.9%·4.2% over 95 BBE (60d) · proj 3.6%

BABIP.298·.330 over 91 BIP (60d) · proj .295

SLASH.240/.326/.404▲proj .242/.307/.390

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$10M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.5	$10M	+$10M
2029	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$10M	+$6M
2030	Arb-2	$8M	+1.5	$9M	+$3M
2031	Arb-3	$12M	+1.4	$8M	+$0.9M
Totals		$26M		$47M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	FCL Phillies	—	25	22	8	2	2	1	3	5	0	0	0	364	440	773	1.213	409	438	20	12	507	230	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2022	19	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	40	35	9	3	1	1	5	9	0	3	0	257	350	486	836	229	320	22	12	366	134	+2	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	19	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	302	258	73	11	1	7	36	57	7	10	7	283	385	415	800	132	338	19	12	362	131	+11	-1	—	—	+7	1.7
2023	20	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	317	275	76	13	2	6	32	62	8	16	5	276	368	404	772	127	335	20	10	348	122	+8	+1	—	—	+7	1.7
2023	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	59	49	13	2	0	1	9	12	0	1	1	265	379	367	747	102	324	20	15	339	115	+1	-0	—	—	+1	0.2
2024	21	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	386	342	102	19	5	12	33	69	5	16	1	298	368	488	857	190	337	18	9	373	138	+18	+3	—	—	+8	2.9
2025	22	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	579	497	121	23	8	14	65	121	12	22	5	243	345	406	751	163	292	21	11	336	114	+9	+2	—	—	+13	2.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	25	23	5	1	1	1	2	7	0	0	0	217	280	478	758	261	329	28	8	343	118	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	19	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	40	37	7	2	1	1	3	12	0	3	0	189	250	378	628	189	279	30	8	285	79	-1	+1	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	19	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	—	302	269	64	10	1	6	25	81	7	10	7	238	319	349	668	112	311	27	8	296	86	-5	-1	—	—	+7	0.1
2023	20	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	317	284	63	10	1	5	23	83	8	16	5	222	298	317	615	95	291	26	7	278	74	-10	+1	—	—	+7	-0.2
2024	21	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	386	354	95	16	5	10	21	83	5	16	1	268	318	427	745	158	314	22	5	323	105	+2	+3	—	—	+8	1.4
2025	22	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	579	517	114	21	8	12	45	135	12	22	5	221	298	362	660	141	268	23	8	289	82	-13	+2	—	—	+13	0.2
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	25	23	5	1	1	1	2	7	0	0	0	217	280	478	758	261	267	28	8	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	—	25	22	8	2	2	1	3	5	0	0	0	364	440	773	1.213	409	438	20	12	507	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	342	306	71	12	2	7	28	93	7	13	7	232	311	353	664	121	309	27	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	342	293	82	14	2	8	41	66	7	13	7	280	381	423	804	143	336	19	12	363	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	376	338	76	12	2	6	27	99	8	17	6	225	298	325	623	101	297	26	7	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	376	324	89	15	2	7	41	74	8	17	6	275	370	398	768	123	333	20	11	347	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	386	354	95	16	5	10	21	83	5	16	1	268	318	427	745	158	318	22	5	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	—	386	342	102	19	5	12	33	69	5	16	1	298	368	488	857	190	337	18	9	373	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	579	517	114	21	8	12	45	135	12	22	5	221	298	362	660	141	272	23	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA RAW	Toledo Mud Hens	—	579	497	121	23	8	14	65	121	12	22	5	243	345	406	751	163	292	21	11	336	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	—	25	23	5	1	1	1	2	7	0	0	0	217	280	478	758	261	329	28	8	343	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	342	304	71	12	2	7	28	93	7	13	7	234	311	355	666	122	307	27	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	376	338	76	12	2	6	27	99	8	17	6	225	298	325	623	101	291	26	7	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	386	357	95	16	5	10	21	83	5	16	1	266	318	423	741	157	314	22	5	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	579	517	114	21	8	12	45	135	12	22	5	221	298	362	660	141	268	23	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	376	338	76	12	2	6	27	99	8	17	6	225	298	325	623	101	291	26	7	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	386	357	95	16	5	10	21	83	5	16	1	266	318	423	741	157	314	22	5	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	AAA MLE	Toledo Mud Hens	—	579	517	114	21	8	12	45	135	12	22	5	221	298	362	660	141	268	23	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	MLB MLE	DET	—	366	333	84	17	2	10	29	90	1	2	3	252	314	405	719	153	315	25	8	315	99	-0	-1	-2	+1	+8	0.7
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	23	MLB RAW	DET	—	303	275	72	15	2	8	25	74	0	2	2	262	323	418	742	156	328	24	8	327	99	-0	-0	-2	+1	+7	0.6
YTD	23	AAA RAW	DET	—	63	56	13	2	0	3	6	13	1	0	1	232	317	429	746	196	250	21	10	333	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	MLB RAW	DET	—	303	275	72	15	2	8	25	74	0	2	2	262	323	418	742	156	328	24	8	327	108	+3	-0	-2	+1	+7	0.9
ROS	23	MLB MLE	DET	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		304	20	10	314	99	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	23	MLB CTX	DET	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		299	20	10	303	99	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	23	MLB A+C	DET	—	313	284	73	15	2	8	26	76	0	2	2	257	319	408	728	151	322	24	8	326	99	-0	-0	-2	+1	+7	0.6
TOT	23	MLB MLE	DET	—	376	342	85	17	2	10	30	92	1	2	3	249	311	398	709	149	310	24	8	315	99	-0	-1	-2	+1	+8	0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	DET	92%	613	555	138	26	5	17	48	144	5	11	4	249	314	405	720	157	304	23	8	318	102	+1	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	DET	92%	601	544	137	26	5	17	47	140	5	11	4	252	317	412	729	160	304	23	8	321	104	+3	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.6
2029	26	MLB MLE	DET	92%	598	541	135	25	5	17	47	140	5	11	4	250	315	409	724	159	304	23	8	323	104	+3	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.7
2030	27	MLB MLE	DET	92%	593	535	134	25	5	17	48	139	5	11	4	250	318	411	729	161	304	23	8	323	104	+3	+1	-2	+2	+13	1.7
2031	28	MLB MLE	DET	92%	585	527	132	25	5	17	48	138	5	10	4	250	319	414	733	163	304	24	8	322	104	+3	+0	-3	+2	+13	1.5
2032	29	MLB MLE	DET	92%	573	516	128	24	5	16	47	136	5	9	4	248	317	407	724	159	303	24	8	320	102	+2	+0	-4	+2	+12	1.3
2033	30	MLB MLE	DET	92%	561	505	123	23	4	15	46	135	5	8	3	244	313	394	707	150	302	24	8	317	101	+0	+0	-4	+2	+12	1.1
2034	31	MLB MLE	DET	92%	546	492	119	22	4	15	45	133	4	7	3	242	311	394	705	152	299	24	8	313	98	-1	+0	-5	+2	+12	0.8
2035	32	MLB MLE	DET	92%	527	475	112	20	4	13	43	130	4	5	2	236	305	377	681	141	296	25	8	306	94	-4	+0	-5	+2	+11	0.4
2036	33	MLB MLE	DET	92%	497	450	104	18	4	12	40	125	4	4	2	231	300	369	668	138	291	25	8	299	88	-7	+0	-6	+2	+11	-0.0
2037	34	MLB MLE	DET	88%	450	408	90	15	3	10	36	116	3	3	1	221	289	346	634	125	285	26	8	290	82	-10	+0	-7	+2	+10	-0.5
2027	24	MLB CTX	DET	92%	564	510	125	23	5	15	44	133	5	10	4	245	311	398	709	153	299	24	8	307	102	+1	+0	-2	+2	+12	1.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	DET	92%	553	500	123	23	5	15	43	129	5	10	4	246	312	402	714	156	299	23	8	310	104	+2	+0	-2	+2	+12	1.5
2029	26	MLB CTX	DET	92%	550	496	123	23	5	15	44	128	5	10	4	248	316	405	721	157	299	23	8	311	104	+3	+0	-2	+2	+12	1.5
2030	27	MLB CTX	DET	92%	546	492	121	22	5	15	44	128	5	10	4	246	314	402	717	157	299	23	8	311	104	+3	+0	-2	+2	+12	1.5
2031	28	MLB CTX	DET	92%	538	484	119	22	4	15	44	127	5	9	4	246	315	401	716	155	299	24	8	310	104	+2	+0	-3	+2	+12	1.4
2032	29	MLB CTX	DET	92%	527	475	115	21	4	14	43	125	4	8	3	242	310	392	702	149	298	24	8	308	102	+2	+0	-3	+2	+11	1.2
2033	30	MLB CTX	DET	92%	516	465	113	21	4	14	42	124	4	7	3	243	311	396	707	153	297	24	8	305	101	+0	+0	-4	+2	+11	1.0
2034	31	MLB CTX	DET	92%	502	452	108	20	4	13	41	122	4	6	2	239	308	387	695	148	294	24	8	301	98	-1	+0	-4	+2	+11	0.7
2035	32	MLB CTX	DET	92%	485	438	102	18	4	12	40	120	4	5	2	233	303	374	677	142	291	25	8	296	94	-4	+0	-5	+2	+11	0.4
2036	33	MLB CTX	DET	92%	457	414	94	16	3	11	37	115	3	4	1	227	295	360	655	133	286	25	8	288	88	-6	+0	-6	+2	+10	0.0
2037	34	MLB CTX	DET	88%	394	356	79	13	3	9	32	102	3	2	1	222	292	351	643	129	280	26	8	280	82	-8	+0	-6	+1	+9	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5642	5091	1223	222	46	148	455	1355	47	81	32	240	308	389	698	149	297	24	8	303	96	-6	+3	-39	+20	+122	10.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	141	26	5	17	52	156	5	9	4	240	307	388	695	148	297	24	8	303	96	-1	+0	-4	+2	+14	1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	7862	7095	1714	311	67	202	619	1895	82	158	54	242	310	390	699	148	300	24	8	311	96	-7	+4	-43	+22	+133	11.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	143	26	6	17	51	157	7	13	4	244	312	395	707	152	302	24	8	311	96	-1	+0	-5	+2	+14	1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Moustakaslast yr '23 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,577 PA	8.4	5,577	215	21	247	307	431	+14	+18	22.8	22.1
/162	664	26	3	+1.6	+2.1	2.7	pk7: 21
#2Kelly Johnsonlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,139 PA	7.7	5,139	155	87	251	330	422	+8	-3	22.3	21.3
/162	664	20	11	+1.0	-0.4	2.9	pk7: 20
#3Eduardo Escobarlast yr '23 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,114 PA	7.7	5,114	164	23	253	305	430	+29	+16	21.1	21.1
/162	664	21	3	+3.7	+2.0	2.7	pk7: 21
#4Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	8.0	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
/162	664	24	18	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
#5Didi Gregoriuslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	134	37	256	308	421	+45	-10	17.0	17.2
/162	664	21	6	+7.1	-1.5	2.7	pk7: 18
#6Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	9.5	6,285	169	94	246	310	399	+22	-20	19.1	16.4
/162	664	18	10	+2.4	-2.1	2.0	pk7: 14

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hao-Yu Lee (OGILVIE)	23	45→49	47→49	45→48	53	245/309/394	149	304	9	6	24%	8%	99	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Miguel Vargas 2023 · MLB	23	48→52	50→55	51→50	48	244/305/399	156	281	17	13	20%	7%	98	+1.2	219/308/375	156	260	16	11	22%	10%	95	+0.9	224/326/406	183	249	21	12	19%	12%	105	+1.6
●Luis Urías 2020 · MLB	23	49→59	46→55	47→45	49	240/318/375	135	298	13	6	23%	8%	98	+1.2	239/324/394	155	290	17	6	23%	10%	105	+1.7	237/332/395	158	281	19	4	21%	10%	105	+1.1
✕Connor Norby 2023 · AAA	23	45→49	51→55	49→50	44	231/295/391	160	292	19	12	28%	7%	93	+0.8	239/298/393	154	317	17	11	29%	7%	94	+0.9	239/312/395	156	325	18	14	30%	8%	98	+1.0
✕Logan O'Hoppe 2023 · MLB	23	44→48	52→55	45	50	232/308/392	160	264	21	7	21%	8%	98	+1.2	235/298/411	176	286	24	5	26%	7%	99	+1.3	229/284/404	175	286	26	2	29%	6%	91	+0.4
●Elijah Dukes 2007 · AAA	23	52	48→55	51→50	49	256/318/405	149	297	15	15	19%	7%	104	+1.6	241/336/411	170	286	18	13	21%	11%	113	+2.3	235/343/409	174	277	18	13	21%	13%	112	+1.4
●Sean Rodríguez 2008 · AA	23	45→49	49→60	47→50	44	227/296/379	152	293	17	12	28%	7%	91	+0.7	233/304/413	180	294	21	11	27%	7%	101	+1.4	234/307/425	191	291	23	12	27%	7%	102	+1.1
✕Jordan Westburg 2023 · AAA	24	45→50	49→60	50	44	227/296/380	153	305	16	11	30%	8%	91	+0.7	245/301/424	179	302	20	9	25%	6%	103	+1.5	253/305/444	191	300	23	7	24%	6%	107	+1.4
✕Vinnie Catricala 2012 · AA	23	53→57	51→55	49→45	44	263/319/429	167	315	17	9	22%	6%	111	+2.1	218/267/330	112	273	11	7	24%	5%	68	-1.0	193/239/278	85	243	9	4	24%	5%	43	-2.3
●Jeremy Peña 2022 · AAA	24	47→57	48→55	52→55	40	235/295/380	144	312	16	14	29%	6%	90	+0.6	253/299/401	148	305	18	13	23%	5%	97	+1.1	276/328/432	157	317	19	18	19%	5%	112	+2.0
●Omar Infante 2005 · MLB	23	51→61	47→55	50	49	251/306/398	147	292	14	13	19%	7%	97	+1.1	246/291/386	140	284	12	11	18%	6%	89	+0.5	285/318/411	126	305	11	9	10%	4%	103	+1.5
✕Jonathan India 2022 · MLB	25	51→53	50	49→50	53	250/350/411	161	312	17	11	24%	10%	118	+2.7	246/340/392	146	297	16	11	21%	10%	110	+2.1	237/339/372	134	283	14	9	20%	11%	103	+1.5
✕Henry Davis 2023 · AA	23	46	48→50	52→50	42	230/313/379	148	298	16	13	27%	6%	98	+1.2	221/305/368	147	284	17	12	27%	8%	93	+0.8	208/293/349	141	265	17	11	27%	8%	80	-0.1
●Dansby Swanson 2017 · MLB	23	50→55	43→55	53→55	47	243/304/362	119	301	10	12	22%	7%	88	+0.5	238/308/365	127	297	12	9	22%	9%	91	+0.7	255/323/435	180	314	23	11	25%	8%	111	+2.3
●Khalil Greene 2004 · MLB	24	47→54	51→60	45	45	237/300/403	166	294	18	8	26%	7%	97	+1.1	257/325/430	173	294	18	6	18%	8%	113	+2.3	255/324/430	175	290	18	6	18%	8%	107	+1.5
●Zach Neto 2023 · AA	22	49→48	46→60	49→55	42	243/302/374	131	307	13	12	25%	5%	92	+0.7	246/317/424	178	299	21	19	25%	6%	109	+2.0	246/317/445	199	306	24	25	27%	7%	110	+2.1
✕Nick Senzel 2018 · AA	23	53→57	45→50	49→50	45	252/307/390	138	330	10	13	26%	7%	97	+1.1	245/300/387	142	318	13	16	26%	7%	93	+0.8	247/305/383	135	308	13	17	23%	7%	92	+0.3
●Zack Gelof 2023 · AAA	23	45→50	51→55	52→55	43	228/290/387	159	317	20	13	33%	8%	90	+0.6	230/295/403	173	322	21	23	33%	8%	96	+1.0	223/292/397	174	309	22	27	34%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Brendan Rodgers 2020 · MLB	23	48→54	47→50	47→45	40	238/284/372	134	295	15	7	25%	5%	84	+0.2	246/296/385	139	298	15	4	22%	6%	92	+0.7	255/310/391	136	299	14	0	19%	6%	97	+0.7
✕Lewis Brinson 2017 · AAA	23	47→53	50→55	52→50	40	237/280/396	159	303	17	15	28%	5%	88	+0.4	217/268/361	144	284	16	12	28%	5%	76	-0.4	230/272/404	174	301	22	8	31%	5%	85	+0.1
●Alec Bohm 2020 · AA	23	48→56	49→50	46→45	49	242/298/391	149	273	16	6	18%	7%	94	+0.9	259/314/382	123	318	12	6	21%	7%	97	+1.1	271/324/416	145	301	15	4	15%	6%	106	+1.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps