Jeral Perez — OGILVIE

Jeral Perez3B Birmingham Barons

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 179 lbs AA HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION316 act + 210 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .268 / .322

PA210

HR5

K%30

BB%8

BABIP263

ISO127

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 47

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER47

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED42

scouting grade only

DEFENSE42

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.7M
2032	Arb-2	$5M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Arb-3	$7M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$12M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	205	183	38	9	2	6	17	47	3	5	2	208	286	377	663	169	242	23	8	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	205	176	49	11	2	8	24	34	3	5	2	278	374	500	874	222	301	17	12	382	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	248	215	39	7	1	8	26	81	5	9	2	181	285	335	619	153	242	33	10	275	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	—	248	200	51	11	1	11	41	57	5	9	2	255	394	485	879	230	299	23	17	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	481	423	90	16	1	16	43	159	10	4	3	213	300	369	669	156	292	33	9	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	481	404	106	25	2	12	62	110	10	4	3	262	374	423	797	161	328	23	13	357	131	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	537	492	101	18	3	19	32	165	8	10	3	205	265	370	635	165	262	31	6	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	537	480	117	24	4	22	44	112	8	10	3	244	318	448	766	204	271	21	8	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	AA	CWS	—	316	285	50	11	1	4	26	102	5	4	2	175	256	263	519	88	257	32	8	238	40	-21	+0	+0	+1	+9	-1.1
YTD	21	AA	CWS	—	316	273	58	14	1	5	38	79	5	4	2	212	320	326	646	114	280	25	12	299	87	-5	+0	+0	+1	+9	0.6
ROS	21	AA	CWS	2%	210	189	37	7	1	5	16	64	3	2	1	195	268	322	590	127	263	30	8	269	64	-9	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.3
ROS	21	MLB	CWS	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						264	25	0	260	57	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	AA	CWS	—	320	289	50	11	1	4	26	103	5	4	2	173	253	260	513	87	253	32	8	238	40	-22	+0	-0	+1	+9	-1.2
TOT	21	AA	CWS	—	526	474	87	18	2	9	42	166	8	6	3	183	261	287	548	103	259	32	8	250	50	-30	+0	-1	+2	+15	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	CWS	35%	570	512	106	21	2	16	46	166	7	6	2	207	281	350	631	143	268	29	8	282	74	-17	+0	-3	+2	+16	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	CWS	49%	597	535	113	22	2	18	49	168	8	7	3	211	287	361	648	150	270	28	8	291	81	-13	+0	-3	+2	+17	0.3
2029	24	MLB	CWS	53%	615	551	118	23	2	19	51	169	8	7	3	214	290	367	657	152	272	27	8	296	85	-10	+0	-3	+2	+17	0.7
2030	25	MLB	CWS	55%	627	561	123	24	3	20	53	171	8	7	3	219	296	380	675	160	273	27	8	300	87	-9	+0	-3	+2	+18	0.8
2031	26	MLB	CWS	56%	634	567	124	24	3	20	54	172	8	7	3	219	296	377	673	159	273	27	9	301	88	-8	+0	-3	+2	+18	0.9
2032	27	MLB	CWS	55%	634	566	123	24	2	20	55	173	8	7	3	217	296	373	668	155	273	27	9	301	88	-8	+0	-3	+2	+18	0.9
2033	28	MLB	CWS	55%	629	561	122	24	2	20	55	172	8	7	3	217	296	374	671	157	272	27	9	300	87	-9	+0	-4	+2	+18	0.8
2027	22	MLB	CWS	35%	201	180	38	7	1	6	16	58	3	2	1	211	286	361	648	150	269	29	8	274	68	-7	+0	-1	+1	+6	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	CWS	49%	291	261	56	11	1	9	24	82	4	3	1	215	291	368	658	153	271	28	8	283	75	-8	+0	-1	+1	+8	-0.0
2029	24	MLB	CWS	53%	325	291	62	12	1	10	27	89	4	4	1	213	289	364	653	151	273	27	8	289	79	-8	+0	-2	+1	+9	0.2
2030	25	MLB	CWS	55%	344	308	67	13	1	11	29	94	4	4	2	218	293	373	667	156	274	27	8	292	81	-7	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.2
2031	26	MLB	CWS	56%	353	315	70	14	1	12	30	96	5	4	2	222	300	387	687	165	274	27	8	293	82	-7	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.3
2032	27	MLB	CWS	55%	349	311	67	13	1	11	30	95	5	4	2	215	295	370	665	154	274	27	9	293	82	-7	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.2
2033	28	MLB	CWS	55%	344	307	66	13	1	11	30	94	4	4	2	215	293	371	665	156	273	27	9	292	81	-7	+0	-2	+1	+10	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2211	1977	426	83	7	70	186	609	29	25	11	215	292	371	663	155	272	28	8	289	79	-52	+1	-11	+8	+63	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	125	24	2	21	55	179	9	7	3	215	293	372	665	157	270	28	8	289	79	-15	+0	-3	+2	+18	0.2
Career	—			—	5987	5355	1134	219	24	187	497	1707	84	78	31	212	289	366	655	155	271	29	8	291	81	-128	+3	-23	+21	+170	4.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	123	24	3	20	54	185	9	8	3	212	289	367	655	155	271	28	8	291	81	-14	+0	-2	+2	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	205	176	49	11	2	8	24	34	3	5	2	278	374	500	874	222	301	17	12	382	150	+12	+0	—	—	+6	1.8
2023	18	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	—	27	21	5	2	0	0	5	6	1	0	0	238	407	333	741	95	333	22	19	352	128	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	—	221	179	46	9	1	11	36	51	4	9	2	257	393	503	895	246	294	23	16	392	159	+15	+1	—	—	+6	2.2
2024	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	—	481	404	106	25	2	12	62	110	10	4	3	262	374	423	797	161	328	23	13	357	131	+17	-0	—	—	+14	3.1
2025	20	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	—	537	480	117	24	4	22	44	112	8	10	3	244	318	448	766	204	271	21	8	336	115	+9	+1	—	—	+15	2.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Pedro Álvarezlast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,287 PA	8	3,287	161	15	235	309	447	+1	-40	10.0	10.2
	/162	664	33	3	235	309	447	+0.2	-8.0	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	9	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	1	244	293	414	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#5Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,213	69	25	217	290	373	+8	-12	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	21	7	217	290	373	+2.4	-3.5	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	5	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	13	4	254	296	379	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeral Perez (OGILVIE)	21	40→45	40→47	45→42	50	183/261/287	103	259	9	6	32%	8%	50	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Bryan Ramos 2023 · AA	21	41→43	49→50	46→50	42	216/273/357	141	268	18	5	27%	6%	74	-0.1	203/265/334	131	261	16	8	28%	6%	65	-0.7	183/252/305	121	235	15	10	28%	7%	49	-1.3
✕Carter Kieboom 2019 · AA	21	47→50	48→50	47→45	43	235/289/374	140	300	16	7	27%	6%	85	+0.7	228/311/352	124	302	14	5	27%	9%	89	+1.0	218/316/334	116	287	14	3	27%	10%	83	+0.3
✕Nick Yorke 2023 · A	21	46→55	48→50	46→55	43	231/285/365	134	293	16	9	27%	6%	81	+0.4	235/290/356	121	315	13	15	28%	6%	80	+0.4	241/294/357	116	322	12	18	28%	6%	79	+0.2
✕Marco Luciano 2023 · A	21	41→49	48→50	44→45	40	208/265/345	137	289	16	4	33%	6%	67	-0.5	209/286/350	141	307	17	7	35%	9%	78	+0.2	204/288/354	149	289	19	8	34%	10%	77	+0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A	22	44→47	48→55	44→50	42	222/291/369	146	290	16	5	28%	6%	85	+0.7	222/279/379	157	280	19	8	27%	5%	82	+0.5	216/269/391	176	255	23	12	26%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Miguel Palma 2023 · A	21	42	48→45	47→40	45	214/285/355	141	272	17	4	27%	7%	79	+0.3	214/273/313	99	291	10	4	28%	6%	63	-0.9	179/253/273	94	242	11	1	29%	8%	40	-0.7
●Christian Vázquez 2012 · A	21	42→52	47→50	46→45	41	214/266/345	131	276	14	3	28%	6%	67	-0.5	230/287/334	104	290	10	4	23%	7%	73	-0.1	256/308/402	145	293	18	8	19%	7%	96	+1.0
✕Noelvi Marte 2023 · A	21	44→53	49→50	49→55	46	224/295/363	140	285	17	16	27%	8%	85	+0.7	236/289/367	131	301	14	19	25%	6%	82	+0.5	242/290/380	137	303	15	21	25%	5%	84	+0.4
✕Brandon Laird 2009 · A	21	44→48	52→55	48→30	41	229/271/395	165	266	20	2	23%	5%	83	+0.6	237/277/391	154	280	19	2	22%	5%	84	+0.6	239/276/391	152	278	19	1	22%	4%	81	+0.4
✕Sebastian Valle 2011 · A	21	42→49	48→50	42→40	38	218/258/361	143	277	16	3	28%	4%	68	-0.5	206/233/315	109	291	11	2	32%	3%	45	-2.1	229/281/373	143	303	16	2	29%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Jamie Romak 2007 · A	21	40→48	50→55	47→45	43	204/282/364	160	284	17	4	33%	8%	80	+0.4	198/271/362	164	285	20	3	36%	8%	75	-0.0	216/274/355	139	264	17	5	25%	6%	71	-0.2
✕Clint Coulter 2015 · A	22	42	48→50	42→40	45	213/291/355	142	276	16	5	28%	8%	82	+0.5	209/273/335	126	268	12	4	26%	6%	69	-0.4	202/269/353	151	245	18	4	25%	5%	68	-0.1
✕Miguel Amaya 2021 · A	22	42	47→50	48→40	46	215/286/350	135	266	15	4	25%	7%	78	+0.2	219/309/349	130	303	13	6	30%	9%	88	+0.9	228/299/368	140	271	16	1	22%	7%	86	+0.3
✕Paul Franko 2006 · A	22	45	47→50	44→30	43	224/288/360	136	301	15	3	30%	7%	81	+0.4	210/283/306	96	301	8	3	31%	7%	66	-0.6	193/279/273	80	277	7	0	30%	8%	55	-0.3
✕Russell Mitchell 2006 · A	21	43→45	48→55	43→45	41	221/268/359	138	272	16	4	25%	5%	72	-0.2	216/255/366	150	267	17	4	26%	4%	69	-0.4	218/260/368	150	267	17	5	25%	5%	68	-0.4
✕Edinson Rincon 2012 · A	21	44→54	47→50	42→30	42	224/274/358	134	285	14	3	26%	6%	74	-0.1	243/277/351	108	304	10	3	23%	4%	72	-0.2	250/279/349	99	309	9	1	22%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Matthew Sweeney 2009 · A	21	43→40	48→50	44→45	42	221/269/364	143	270	15	6	24%	5%	73	-0.1	203/264/327	124	285	12	4	31%	7%	62	-0.9	175/244/291	116	253	12	2	34%	7%	42	-1.1
✕Yassel Pino 2023 · A	21	39	47→50	46→40	46	199/275/332	133	277	15	7	33%	9%	68	-0.5	196/260/304	108	263	11	6	28%	7%	55	-1.4	180/245/278	98	234	10	5	27%	7%	39	-1.1
✕Juan Portes 2006 · A	20	43→46	49→45	46→45	43	221/271/362	141	262	17	7	23%	6%	74	-0.1	215/261/318	103	273	10	7	24%	5%	58	-1.2	234/285/346	112	285	11	8	21%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Michael Choice 2012 · A	22	45→53	50	45→40	42	226/289/385	159	307	18	7	32%	7%	89	+0.9	231/294/360	129	308	15	5	28%	7%	83	+0.6	226/295/346	120	295	15	3	27%	7%	79	+0.2