Jeral Perez — OGILVIE

Jeral Perez3B Birmingham Barons

Age 21 R/R 5'10" / 179 lbs AA BB +6%HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 2.0 · 2031

wRC+†72

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .276 / .360

PA320

HR10

K%30

BB%7

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40↗45

PWR

40↗47

SPD

45↘42

FLD

40↗42

EYE

45↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.3peak

2031

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.6	$14M	+$13M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.8	$16M	+$15M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+2.0	$19M	+$18M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$4M	+2.0	$19M	+$15M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.8	$18M	+$11M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+1.6	$16M	+$8M
Totals		$21M		$102M	+$81M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	205	184	37	8	2	6	16	47	3	5	2	.201	.276	.364	.640	.163	.233	23	8	.275	69	-7	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
2023	18	ROK	2 teams	248	215	39	7	1	8	26	81	5	9	2	.181	.285	.335	.619	.153	.242	33	10	.273	67	-9	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.0
2024	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	481	425	88	17	1	13	41	158	10	4	3	.207	.292	.344	.636	.136	.290	33	9	.280	72	-15	-0	+0	+2	+14	-0.0
2025	20	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	537	497	96	17	3	20	27	152	8	10	3	.193	.246	.360	.606	.167	.230	28	5	.260	57	-26	+1	+0	+2	+15	-0.8
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	21	AA	Birmingham Barons	70	64	13	3	0	2	3	17	3	1	0	.203	.271	.344	.615	.141	.244	24	4	.261	58	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
ROS	21	MLB	CWS	250	226	47	9	1	8	17	73	5	3	1	.208	.278	.363	.641	.155	.267	29	7	.285	76	-7	+0	-1	+1	+7	0.0
TOT	21	MLB	CWS	320	290	60	12	1	10	20	90	8	4	1	.207	.277	.359	.635	.152	.262	28	6	.280	72	-10	+0	-1	+1	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	22	MLB 12%	CWS	583	524	114	22	2	19	44	157	10	8	2	.218	.291	.376	.667	.158	.268	27	8	.297	86	-9	+1	-3	+2	+17	0.7
2028	23	MLB 29%	CWS	630	564	124	24	2	21	50	164	11	9	2	.220	.296	.381	.677	.161	.270	26	8	.305	92	-6	+1	-3	+2	+18	1.2
2029	24	MLB 46%	CWS	660	589	133	25	3	23	55	169	11	10	2	.226	.304	.396	.699	.170	.272	26	8	.310	95	-3	+1	-3	+2	+19	1.6
2030	25	MLB 61%	CWS	677	603	137	26	3	24	57	171	12	10	2	.227	.307	.400	.706	.172	.273	25	8	.313	98	-1	+1	-3	+2	+19	1.8
2031	26	MLB 78%	CWS	685	609	139	26	3	25	59	173	12	10	2	.228	.309	.404	.713	.176	.274	25	9	.315	99	-0	+1	-3	+2	+19	2.0
2032	27	MLB 93%	CWS	685	608	139	26	3	25	60	174	12	10	2	.229	.310	.405	.715	.176	.273	25	9	.315	99	-0	+1	-3	+2	+19	2.0
2033	28	MLB	CWS	681	604	137	26	3	24	60	174	12	9	1	.227	.309	.399	.708	.172	.273	26	9	.314	99	-1	+1	-4	+2	+19	1.8
2034	29	MLB	CWS	671	595	133	25	2	24	60	174	11	8	1	.224	.306	.393	.700	.170	.272	26	9	.312	97	-2	+1	-5	+2	+19	1.6
2035	30	MLB	CWS	660	585	129	24	2	23	59	173	11	7	0	.221	.304	.386	.690	.166	.271	26	9	.309	95	-4	+1	-5	+2	+19	1.3
2036	31	MLB	CWS	646	572	125	23	2	22	58	172	11	4	0	.219	.303	.381	.684	.163	.269	27	9	.305	92	-6	+1	-6	+2	+18	1.0
2037	32	MLB	CWS	628	557	119	22	2	20	56	171	10	2	0	.214	.297	.368	.665	.154	.267	27	9	.300	88	-8	+0	-7	+2	+18	0.6
2038	33	MLB	CWS	598	530	113	21	2	19	53	167	10	1	0	.213	.297	.368	.665	.155	.266	28	9	.295	84	-11	+0	-7	+2	+17	0.1
2039	34	MLB	CWS	550	488	100	18	2	16	48	158	9	1	0	.205	.288	.348	.636	.143	.263	29	9	.288	79	-13	+0	-8	+2	+16	-0.3
2040	35	MLB	CWS	492	438	87	16	1	14	43	146	8	1	0	.199	.282	.336	.618	.137	.261	30	9	.280	73	-15	+0	-8	+2	+14	-0.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			10567	9413	2036	382	40	354	889	2854	181	121	25	.216	.296	.378	.674	.162	.269	27	8	.300	88	-147	+14	-69	+38	+299	13.8
/ 162G	—			650	579	125	23	2	22	55	176	11	7	2	.216	.296	.377	.673	.161	.268	27	8	.300	88	-9	+1	-4	+2	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	205	176	49	11	2	8	24	34	3	5	2	.278	.374	.500	.874	.222	.301	17	12	.382	150	+12	+0	—	—	+6	1.8
2023	18	A	Rancho Cucamonga Quakes	27	21	5	2	0	0	5	6	1	0	0	.238	.407	.333	.741	.095	.333	22	19	.352	128	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	18	ROK	ACL Dodgers	221	179	46	9	1	11	36	51	4	9	2	.257	.393	.503	.895	.246	.294	23	16	.392	159	+15	+1	—	—	+6	2.2
2024	19	A	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	481	404	106	25	2	12	62	110	10	4	3	.262	.374	.423	.797	.161	.328	23	13	.357	131	+17	-0	—	—	+14	3.1
2025	20	A+	Winston-Salem Dash	537	480	117	24	4	22	44	112	8	10	3	.244	.318	.448	.766	.204	.271	21	8	.336	115	+9	+1	—	—	+15	2.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeral Perez (OGILVIE)	21	40→45	40→47	45→42	50	.207/.276/.360	.152	.271	10	4	30%	7%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carter Kieboom 2019 · AA	21	46→54	48→50	46→45	43	.232/.287/.371	.139	.299	15	6	27%	6%	83	+0.6	.229/.309/.355	.126	.300	14	5	27%	9%	89	+1.0	.217/.316/.333	.116	.283	14	3	26%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Nick Yorke 2023 · A	21	45→55	48→50	46→55	43	.230/.283/.366	.136	.290	16	9	26%	6%	80	+0.4	.237/.292/.360	.123	.316	13	15	28%	7%	82	+0.5	.246/.301/.362	.116	.327	12	18	27%	7%	82	+0.5
✕Bryan Ramos 2023 · AA	21	41→40	49→50	47→50	42	.214/.271/.360	.146	.261	18	5	26%	6%	74	-0.1	.207/.268/.345	.138	.261	18	7	27%	6%	69	-0.4	.189/.256/.317	.128	.239	16	10	28%	6%	54	-1.0
●Christian Vázquez 2012 · A	21	42→52	46→50	46→45	41	.215/.263/.344	.130	.271	14	3	27%	5%	66	-0.6	.230/.286/.337	.107	.289	10	4	23%	7%	74	-0.1	.263/.314/.411	.148	.301	18	8	19%	7%	101	+1.2
✕Marco Luciano 2023 · A	21	41→46	49→50	44→45	40	.210/.268/.357	.147	.290	18	5	34%	7%	72	-0.2	.204/.281/.341	.137	.304	17	7	36%	9%	74	-0.1	.187/.277/.320	.133	.282	17	8	37%	11%	64	-0.6
✕Max Stassi 2013 · A	22	41→43	47→55	43→40	40	.210/.270/.343	.133	.290	15	4	32%	6%	69	-0.4	.216/.264/.358	.142	.286	17	3	30%	5%	70	-0.3	.208/.295/.359	.151	.271	20	0	30%	10%	81	+0.2
✕Nick Weglarz 2009 · A	21	44→47	49→50	45	48	.224/.300/.370	.146	.291	16	5	28%	9%	89	+0.9	.223/.312/.380	.157	.280	17	5	25%	10%	96	+1.5	.212/.313/.377	.165	.261	18	2	25%	11%	95	+0.7
●Andy Pages 2021 · A	20	41→51	47→60	46→45	46	.210/.298/.347	.138	.263	15	10	26%	8%	83	+0.6	.215/.301/.412	.197	.284	25	6	32%	9%	101	+1.8	.261/.318/.433	.172	.316	21	10	23%	6%	110	+1.8
✕Eddys Leonard 2023 · A	22	45→46	49→50	45	42	.226/.293/.375	.150	.293	16	5	28%	6%	88	+0.9	.220/.279/.369	.149	.281	17	7	27%	6%	79	+0.3	.212/.267/.368	.155	.262	19	9	27%	5%	72	-0.2
✕Heriberto Hernández 2021 · A	21	45	52→55	45	47	.227/.308/.406	.179	.310	19	6	31%	9%	102	+1.8	.208/.286/.362	.154	.324	18	6	39%	9%	81	+0.4	.213/.297/.387	.174	.298	22	7	34%	10%	90	+0.8
✕Aaron Luna 2009 · A	22	43	50	50→45	45	.215/.318/.372	.157	.292	18	8	31%	8%	98	+1.6	.214/.320/.369	.155	.268	17	7	26%	8%	98	+1.6	.212/.320/.363	.151	.264	17	7	25%	8%	94	+0.8
●Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	48→56	49→55	42→30	44	.244/.289/.392	.148	.290	17	5	22%	6%	89	+1.0	.259/.299/.417	.158	.302	19	2	21%	5%	100	+1.7	.260/.302/.420	.160	.301	21	0	21%	5%	99	+1.3
✕Brendan Rodgers 2018 · AA	21	46→54	47→50	42→45	38	.230/.270/.361	.131	.292	15	5	26%	4%	73	-0.1	.235/.280/.371	.136	.296	15	7	25%	4%	80	+0.4	.253/.308/.383	.131	.298	13	0	19%	6%	93	+0.8
✕Anthony García 2013 · A	21	44→46	51→55	43→45	41	.228/.288/.398	.169	.286	18	4	27%	6%	91	+1.1	.204/.267/.353	.149	.265	16	5	29%	6%	71	-0.3	.218/.290/.362	.145	.263	18	4	24%	7%	81	+0.3
●Renato Núñez 2015 · A	21	41→51	50→60	47→30	37	.214/.258/.362	.148	.273	18	3	29%	4%	69	-0.4	.208/.251/.370	.162	.254	22	3	28%	4%	68	-0.5	.238/.308/.452	.215	.278	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	42→52	52→55	45→50	47	.217/.293/.381	.164	.280	20	5	29%	9%	89	+0.9	.205/.301/.370	.165	.275	20	8	31%	11%	90	+1.0	.254/.332/.403	.149	.311	15	5	22%	10%	106	+1.6
✕Miguel Palma 2023 · A	21	42	48→45	47→40	45	.215/.285/.354	.140	.269	17	4	26%	7%	79	+0.3	.211/.270/.316	.105	.281	11	4	28%	6%	62	-0.9	.195/.255/.276	.081	.265	8	3	28%	6%	43	-0.8
✕Noelvi Marte 2023 · A	21	45→53	49→50	49→55	46	.228/.296/.370	.142	.291	17	15	27%	8%	87	+0.8	.236/.291/.369	.133	.300	14	19	25%	6%	84	+0.6	.241/.288/.377	.137	.301	14	21	24%	5%	83	+0.4
✕Clint Coulter 2015 · A	22	43	48→50	42→40	46	.217/.297/.357	.140	.276	15	5	27%	8%	85	+0.7	.209/.276/.336	.127	.266	13	4	26%	6%	70	-0.3	.205/.273/.359	.153	.249	19	4	25%	5%	71	-0.1
●Juan Apodaca 2006 · A	20	41→51	48→45	46→40	40	.217/.257/.353	.136	.263	17	5	25%	5%	66	-0.6	.219/.272/.323	.104	.274	12	5	24%	6%	64	-0.8	.281/.346/.393	.113	.343	10	3	20%	8%	110	+1.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)