Jeremiah Jackson
2B Baltimore Orioles| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AANYM | 482 | .205/.247/.373 | 19 | 11 | 50 | — | .189/.220/.337 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA/AABAL | 360 | .313/.345/.537 | 15 | 11 | 109 | — | .284/.308/.449 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLBBAL | 183 | .276/.328/.447 | 5 | 0 | 114 | -0.1 | |
| 2026 | 26 | AAABAL | 69 | .209/.232/.403 | 4 | 2 | 30 | — | .179/.203/.328 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLBBAL | 293 | .217/.249/.365 | 10 | 2 | 63 | -0.6 | |
| 2027PROJ | 27 | MLBBAL | 312 | .238/.281/.409 | 12 | 4 | 87 | 0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 28 | MLBBAL | 311 | .236/.278/.405 | 11 | 3 | 85 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ82% MLB | 29 | MLBBAL | 298 | .233/.276/.398 | 11 | 2 | 83 | -0.0 |
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 191 | 173 | 44 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 254 | 317 | 491 | 809 | 237 | 339 | 31 | 8 | 349 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 196 | 167 | 44 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 65 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 263 | 359 | 527 | 886 | 263 | 367 | 33 | 12 | 378 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | ACL Angels | — | 22 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 381 | 409 | 714 | 1.123 | 333 | 500 | 32 | 5 | 485 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 61 | 56 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 161 | 217 | 339 | 556 | 179 | 194 | 38 | 3 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 351 | 307 | 66 | 16 | 0 | 14 | 38 | 77 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 215 | 309 | 404 | 713 | 189 | 239 | 22 | 11 | 318 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 500 | 440 | 111 | 19 | 1 | 22 | 48 | 144 | 5 | 27 | 9 | 252 | 333 | 450 | 783 | 198 | 317 | 29 | 10 | 343 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 482 | 453 | 93 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 23 | 123 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 205 | 247 | 373 | 620 | 168 | 235 | 26 | 5 | 272 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 183 | 170 | 47 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 276 | 328 | 447 | 775 | 171 | 365 | 27 | 6 | 343 | 114 | +3 | -1 | -1 | -6 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 171 | 162 | 61 | 15 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 377 | 400 | 673 | 1.073 | 296 | 379 | 12 | 4 | 461 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Chesapeake Baysox | — | 189 | 177 | 45 | 16 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 254 | 294 | 412 | 707 | 158 | 285 | 16 | 5 | 310 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Baltimore Orioles | — | 293 | 277 | 60 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 217 | 249 | 365 | 614 | 148 | 249 | 24 | 3 | 269 | 63 | -13 | -0 | -0 | +1 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 69 | 67 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 232 | 403 | 635 | 194 | 233 | 29 | 0 | 279 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 476 | 447 | 107 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 21 | 119 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 239 | 280 | 396 | 676 | 157 | 291 | 25 | 4 | 297 | 87 | -7 | -1 | -1 | -5 | +10 | -0.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 191 | 179 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 85 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 168 | 212 | 318 | 530 | 151 | 268 | 45 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 196 | 175 | 33 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 91 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 189 | 260 | 360 | 620 | 171 | 323 | 46 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Angels | — | 22 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 238 | 273 | 429 | 701 | 190 | 374 | 45 | 5 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 351 | 320 | 59 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 92 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 184 | 252 | 325 | 577 | 141 | 220 | 26 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 500 | 454 | 100 | 15 | 1 | 18 | 34 | 176 | 5 | 27 | 9 | 220 | 282 | 377 | 659 | 156 | 298 | 35 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 482 | 460 | 87 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 16 | 144 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 189 | 220 | 337 | 557 | 148 | 229 | 30 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 183 | 170 | 47 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 276 | 328 | 447 | 775 | 171 | 365 | 27 | 6 | 337 | 114 | +3 | -1 | -1 | -6 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 171 | 165 | 57 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 345 | 365 | 570 | 934 | 224 | 365 | 15 | 2 | 401 | 158 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Chesapeake Baysox | — | 189 | 180 | 41 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 228 | 257 | 339 | 596 | 111 | 269 | 19 | 3 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Baltimore Orioles | — | 293 | 278 | 60 | 11 | 0 | 10 | 9 | 69 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 216 | 246 | 363 | 609 | 147 | 249 | 24 | 3 | 261 | 63 | -13 | -0 | -0 | +1 | +6 | -0.6 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 69 | 67 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 179 | 203 | 328 | 531 | 149 | 216 | 35 | 0 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 191 | 179 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 85 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 168 | 212 | 318 | 530 | 151 | 275 | 45 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | Orem Owlz | — | 191 | 173 | 44 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 59 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 254 | 317 | 491 | 809 | 237 | 339 | 31 | 8 | 349 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 279 | 249 | 48 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 130 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 193 | 266 | 369 | 636 | 177 | 345 | 47 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 279 | 244 | 61 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 95 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 250 | 332 | 500 | 832 | 250 | 340 | 34 | 10 | 357 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 351 | 320 | 59 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 92 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 184 | 252 | 325 | 577 | 141 | 223 | 26 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA RAW | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 351 | 307 | 66 | 16 | 0 | 14 | 38 | 77 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 215 | 309 | 404 | 713 | 189 | 239 | 22 | 11 | 318 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 500 | 454 | 100 | 15 | 1 | 18 | 34 | 176 | 5 | 27 | 9 | 220 | 282 | 377 | 659 | 156 | 307 | 35 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 500 | 440 | 111 | 19 | 1 | 22 | 48 | 144 | 5 | 27 | 9 | 252 | 333 | 450 | 783 | 198 | 317 | 29 | 10 | 343 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 482 | 460 | 87 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 16 | 144 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 189 | 220 | 337 | 557 | 148 | 231 | 30 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 482 | 453 | 93 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 23 | 123 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 205 | 247 | 373 | 620 | 168 | 235 | 26 | 5 | 272 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 543 | 514 | 145 | 37 | 2 | 16 | 22 | 111 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 282 | 317 | 455 | 772 | 173 | 331 | 20 | 4 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 543 | 509 | 153 | 41 | 2 | 20 | 26 | 101 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 301 | 339 | 507 | 846 | 206 | 340 | 19 | 5 | 368 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 345 | 71 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 93 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 206 | 235 | 345 | 580 | 139 | 243 | 26 | 2 | 251 | 56 | -19 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +8 | -1.0 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 362 | 344 | 74 | 12 | 0 | 14 | 10 | 89 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 215 | 246 | 372 | 618 | 157 | 246 | 25 | 3 | 270 | 56 | -19 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +8 | -1.0 |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 191 | 179 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 85 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 168 | 212 | 318 | 530 | 151 | 268 | 45 | 5 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 279 | 252 | 48 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 130 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 190 | 266 | 365 | 632 | 175 | 328 | 47 | 8 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Rocket City Trash Pandas | — | 351 | 319 | 59 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 25 | 92 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 185 | 252 | 326 | 578 | 141 | 220 | 26 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 500 | 457 | 100 | 15 | 1 | 18 | 34 | 176 | 5 | 27 | 9 | 219 | 282 | 374 | 656 | 155 | 298 | 35 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 482 | 461 | 87 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 16 | 144 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 189 | 220 | 336 | 556 | 148 | 229 | 30 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 543 | 512 | 145 | 37 | 2 | 16 | 22 | 111 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 283 | 317 | 457 | 774 | 174 | 332 | 20 | 4 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 346 | 71 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 93 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 205 | 235 | 344 | 579 | 139 | 243 | 26 | 2 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | — | 482 | 461 | 87 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 16 | 144 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 189 | 220 | 336 | 556 | 148 | 229 | 30 | 3 | 242 | 50 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 543 | 512 | 145 | 37 | 2 | 16 | 22 | 111 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 283 | 317 | 457 | 774 | 174 | 332 | 20 | 4 | 332 | 111 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 362 | 346 | 71 | 12 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 93 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 205 | 235 | 344 | 579 | 139 | 243 | 26 | 2 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | BAL | 100% | 472 | 442 | 103 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 22 | 114 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 233 | 276 | 399 | 675 | 165 | 274 | 24 | 5 | 297 | 87 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +10 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | BAL | 100% | 312 | 292 | 70 | 13 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 75 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 238 | 281 | 409 | 690 | 172 | 279 | 24 | 4 | 303 | 87 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +7 | 0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | BAL | 82% | 379 | 355 | 81 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 17 | 93 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 232 | 274 | 394 | 668 | 162 | 273 | 25 | 4 | 294 | 85 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | BAL | 82% | 364 | 342 | 79 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 90 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 229 | 271 | 388 | 659 | 159 | 272 | 25 | 4 | 290 | 83 | -8 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB MLE | BAL | 82% | 351 | 329 | 75 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 16 | 88 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 226 | 268 | 380 | 648 | 154 | 270 | 25 | 5 | 286 | 79 | -9 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +8 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | BAL | 82% | 311 | 291 | 68 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 76 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 236 | 278 | 405 | 683 | 169 | 278 | 24 | 5 | 300 | 85 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | BAL | 82% | 298 | 280 | 65 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 13 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 233 | 276 | 398 | 674 | 165 | 276 | 25 | 4 | 296 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +6 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB CTX | BAL | 82% | 288 | 270 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 72 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 230 | 272 | 390 | 662 | 160 | 274 | 25 | 5 | 291 | 79 | -7 | -0 | -2 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1373 | 1288 | 303 | 58 | 5 | 47 | 61 | 341 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 235 | 277 | 398 | 674 | 162 | 282 | 25 | 4 | 296 | 76 | -26 | -1 | -6 | -1 | +30 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 610 | 142 | 27 | 2 | 22 | 29 | 161 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 233 | 274 | 392 | 666 | 159 | 279 | 25 | 4 | 296 | 76 | -12 | -1 | -3 | -1 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4114 | 3839 | 843 | 173 | 13 | 135 | 200 | 1177 | 36 | 94 | 36 | 220 | 265 | 377 | 642 | 157 | 276 | 29 | 5 | 280 | 76 | -35 | -1 | -8 | +0 | +41 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 607 | 132 | 27 | 2 | 21 | 32 | 186 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 217 | 264 | 372 | 636 | 155 | 274 | 29 | 5 | 280 | 76 | -12 | -0 | -3 | +0 | +14 | -0.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAANorfolk Tides · 69 PAwOBA .270 → .212 (−58)K% 29.0% → 34.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.99% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.78% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.90% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.77% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.019 | ×1.018 | 18.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.019 | ×1.018 | 1.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.019 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 6.06% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.019.
Result: wOBA .270 → .212; ISO .194 → .129; BABIP .233 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAChesapeake Baysox · 189 PAwOBA .304 → .264 (−40)K% 16.4% → 19.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.40% | ÷1.044 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.76% | ÷0.987 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 3.37% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.53% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.12% | ÷0.957 | ×0.970 | ×0.991 | ×0.998 | 17.17% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.96% | ÷0.970 | ×0.860 | ×0.991 | ×0.998 | 9.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.991 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.74% | ÷1.248 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.71% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 109, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .304 → .264; ISO .158 → .121; BABIP .285 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAANorfolk Tides · 171 PAwOBA .449 → .401 (−48)K% 11.7% → 14.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.70% | ÷0.967 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.51% | ÷1.063 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 2.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.58% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.57% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.65% | ÷0.959 | ×0.930 | ×1.021 | ×1.033 | 25.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.56% | ÷0.978 | ×0.830 | ×1.021 | ×1.033 | 9.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.021 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.75% | ÷0.945 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 5.93% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 92, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 93, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.021.
Result: wOBA .449 → .401; ISO .296 → .237; BABIP .379 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 482 PAwOBA .267 → .242 (−25)K% 25.5% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.52% | ÷1.046 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.77% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 3.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.992 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | ×1.012 | 16.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.76% | ÷0.954 | ×0.860 | ×1.008 | ×1.012 | 5.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.062 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.76% | ÷0.834 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 5.45% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 67, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 112, K 109, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.008.
Result: wOBA .267 → .242; ISO .168 → .153; BABIP .235 → .229. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies · 500 PAwOBA .338 → .288 (−51)K% 28.8% → 35.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.80% | ÷1.002 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.60% | ÷1.015 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 6.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.31% | ÷0.993 | ×0.970 | ×0.981 | ×1.027 | 22.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.42% | ÷1.032 | ×0.860 | ×0.981 | ×1.027 | 5.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.981 | ×1.027 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.43% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 6.44% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 99, 2B 106, 3B 130, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .338 → .288; ISO .198 → .164; BABIP .317 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AARocket City Trash Pandas · 351 PAwOBA .311 → .257 (−54)K% 21.9% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.94% | ÷1.023 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.54% | ÷1.041 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 7.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.14% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.65% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 14.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.96% | ÷0.978 | ×0.910 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.989 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.09% | ÷1.131 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 4.49% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 104, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 105, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .311 → .257; ISO .189 → .151; BABIP .239 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AInland Empire 66ers · 196 PAwOBA .374 → .275 (−99)K% 33.2% → 46.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.16% | ÷0.969 | ×1.360 | — | — | 46.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.73% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.63% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 17.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 13.73% | ÷0.940 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 12.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×1.015 | 2.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.84% | ÷1.023 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 6.23% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 94, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .374 → .275; ISO .263 → .187; BABIP .367 → .323. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Angels · 22 PAwOBA .470 → .278 (−192)K% 31.8% → 45.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.82% | ÷1.003 | ×1.440 | — | — | 45.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.55% | ÷0.952 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 2.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.71% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 29.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.081 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 4.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.024 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.179 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 9.31% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 136, 1B 97, 2B 116, 3B 105, K 101, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .470 → .278; ISO .333 → .176; BABIP .500 → .374. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .