Warming Bernabel

Warming Bernabel1B Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 8381vR 73

AVG/OBP/SLG—

PA2

HR0

K%14

BB%5

BABIP284

ISO48

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT60

Whiff%

5010.9%

xAVG

450.247

POWER50

Barrel%

102.6

Avg EV

1085.4

Bat Spd

3069.2

EYE35

Chase%

1041.6%

SPEED45

Sprint

7328.4

Platoon Splits2025 · 146 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

117

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

287

310

▶R

ISO

103

173

▶▶R

BABIP

269

286

▶R

6.9%

19.7%

◀◀L

BB%

0.0%

6.0%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.3M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	241	212	53	13	2	4	16	29	8	3	7	250	326	387	713	137	266	12	7	316	100	-0	-2	—	—	+5	0.3
2021	19	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	94	83	17	6	0	1	7	14	3	4	1	205	290	313	604	108	232	15	7	276	73	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2021	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	86	74	32	5	0	6	5	12	2	5	1	432	481	743	1.225	311	426	14	6	498	223	+13	+1	—	—	+2	1.5
2022	20	A+	Spokane Indians	—	109	105	32	7	0	4	2	17	0	2	2	305	315	486	801	181	329	16	2	346	120	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	20	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	300	262	83	19	0	10	29	39	5	21	6	317	395	504	899	187	336	13	10	393	152	+19	+2	—	—	+6	2.8
2022	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	58	54	6	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	111	158	185	343	74	116	19	5	157	-8	-7	+0	—	—	+1	-0.6
2023	21	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	322	302	68	14	1	6	15	68	4	2	0	225	271	338	609	113	271	21	5	273	71	-11	+0	—	—	+7	-0.4
2023	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	36	33	11	4	0	2	1	6	2	0	0	333	389	636	1.025	303	360	17	3	444	187	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	506	479	126	17	1	9	18	72	6	12	4	263	298	359	657	96	292	14	4	294	85	-9	+1	—	—	+11	0.3
2024	22	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	20	20	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	150	150	200	350	50	158	5	0	155	-9	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	146	139	35	8	1	4	7	25	0	1	1	252	288	410	698	158	282	17	5	308	95	-1	-0	-2	-8	+3	-0.9
2025	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	316	282	85	18	0	8	23	39	4	5	1	301	361	450	812	149	320	12	7	355	126	+10	+1	—	—	+7	1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	146	139	35	8	1	4	7	25	0	1	1	252	288	410	698	158	282	17	5	308	95	-1	-0	-2	-8	+3	-0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	241	218	40	9	1	3	10	42	8	3	7	183	246	275	521	92	199	17	4	228	40	-17	-2	—	—	+5	-1.4
2021	19	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	94	85	14	4	0	1	5	20	3	4	1	165	237	247	484	82	195	21	5	209	28	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	86	77	26	4	0	5	2	17	2	5	1	338	370	584	955	247	309	20	2	393	152	+5	+1	—	—	+2	0.8
2022	20	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	109	107	24	5	0	2	1	24	0	2	2	224	231	327	559	103	265	22	1	246	53	-6	-0	—	—	+2	-0.4
2022	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	300	271	73	15	0	10	20	54	5	21	6	269	331	435	767	166	294	18	7	330	109	+3	+2	—	—	+6	1.2
2023	21	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	322	307	57	12	1	4	10	79	4	2	0	186	221	270	492	85	234	25	3	217	33	-26	+0	—	—	+7	-1.9
2023	21	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	36	33	8	3	0	1	1	9	2	0	0	242	306	424	730	182	277	25	3	308	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	22	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	506	485	107	13	1	8	12	89	6	12	4	221	249	301	550	80	249	18	2	237	47	-32	+1	—	—	+11	-2.1
2025	23	MLB MLE	Colorado Rockies	—	146	139	33	7	1	4	7	25	0	1	1	237	274	388	662	151	282	17	5	287	80	-3	-0	-2	-8	+3	-1.1
2025	23	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	316	290	71	14	0	6	16	53	4	5	1	245	294	355	649	110	267	17	5	285	79	-8	+1	—	—	+7	-0.0
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	241	218	40	9	1	3	10	42	8	3	7	183	246	275	521	92	208	17	4	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	241	212	53	13	2	4	16	29	8	3	7	250	326	387	713	137	266	12	7	316	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	180	162	39	8	0	5	7	37	5	9	2	241	293	383	676	142	270	21	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	180	157	49	11	0	7	12	26	5	9	2	312	379	516	895	204	323	14	7	382	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	467	431	111	23	0	14	25	90	5	24	8	258	306	408	714	151	291	19	5	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	467	421	121	27	0	15	34	67	5	24	8	287	347	458	806	171	307	14	7	353	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	358	340	65	14	1	6	11	88	6	2	0	191	230	291	521	100	239	25	3	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA RAW	2 teams	—	358	335	79	18	1	8	16	74	6	2	0	236	283	367	650	131	280	21	4	291	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	526	505	110	13	1	8	12	93	6	12	4	218	245	295	540	77	251	18	2	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	526	499	129	18	1	9	18	73	6	12	4	259	293	353	645	94	286	14	3	289	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	462	429	104	21	1	10	23	78	4	6	2	242	287	366	653	124	271	17	5	286	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	462	421	120	26	1	12	30	64	4	6	2	285	338	437	775	152	308	14	6	340	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	241	221	40	9	1	3	10	42	8	3	7	181	246	271	517	90	199	17	4	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	180	166	39	8	0	5	7	37	5	9	2	235	293	373	667	139	249	21	4	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	467	434	111	23	0	14	25	90	5	24	8	256	306	406	711	150	286	19	5	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	358	338	65	14	1	6	11	88	6	2	0	192	230	293	523	101	238	25	3	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	526	503	110	13	1	8	12	93	6	12	4	219	245	296	541	78	249	18	2	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	462	432	104	21	1	10	23	78	4	6	2	241	287	363	651	123	272	17	5	286	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	AA MLE	2 teams	—	358	338	65	14	1	6	11	88	6	2	0	192	230	293	523	101	238	25	3	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	526	503	110	13	1	8	12	93	6	12	4	219	245	296	541	78	249	18	2	237	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	462	432	104	21	1	10	23	78	4	6	2	241	287	363	651	123	272	17	5	286	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	24	MLB MLE	COL	10%	22	21	5	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	238	273	286	558	48	271	14	5	288	81	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	0.3
▸ 2026 — real world (MLB)
2026	24	MLB CTX	COL	10%	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						284	0	0	298	81	-0	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	42%	420	395	98	18	1	10	18	65	4	6	1	248	288	375	662	127	273	15	4	296	87	-7	+1	-1	-8	+9	-0.5
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	58%	564	527	132	24	2	15	27	90	5	9	2	250	293	389	682	139	274	16	5	301	90	-7	+1	-1	-10	+12	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	62%	552	514	129	23	2	15	28	90	5	8	2	251	296	391	687	140	275	16	5	302	91	-6	+1	-1	-10	+12	-0.4
2030	28	MLB MLE	COL	65%	541	503	125	23	2	14	28	90	5	8	2	249	295	386	680	137	275	17	5	302	90	-6	+1	-1	-10	+12	-0.5
2031	29	MLB MLE	COL	65%	429	399	98	18	1	11	23	72	4	6	1	246	293	378	672	133	274	17	5	300	89	-6	+1	-2	-8	+9	-0.5
2032	30	MLB MLE	COL	65%	420	391	96	17	1	11	22	72	4	5	1	246	293	379	671	133	273	17	5	297	87	-6	+1	-3	-8	+9	-0.7
2033	31	MLB MLE	COL	64%	405	377	91	16	1	10	21	70	4	4	1	241	289	369	657	127	270	17	5	293	84	-8	+0	-3	-7	+9	-0.9
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	42%	178	166	44	8	1	5	8	27	2	3	1	265	307	416	722	151	287	15	4	307	87	-3	+0	-0	-3	+4	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	58%	325	304	80	15	1	10	15	52	3	5	1	263	304	418	722	155	288	16	5	312	90	-4	+1	-0	-6	+7	-0.3
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	62%	345	321	84	16	1	10	18	56	3	5	1	262	307	411	718	150	289	16	5	313	91	-4	+1	-0	-6	+7	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	COL	65%	352	328	85	16	1	10	18	58	3	5	1	259	304	405	709	146	289	16	5	313	90	-4	+1	-1	-6	+8	-0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	COL	65%	278	258	68	13	1	8	15	47	3	4	1	264	312	415	726	151	288	17	5	310	89	-4	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.4
2032	30	MLB CTX	COL	65%	271	252	65	12	1	8	14	46	3	3	1	258	305	409	714	151	287	17	5	307	87	-4	+0	-2	-5	+6	-0.5
2033	31	MLB CTX	COL	64%	261	243	61	11	1	7	14	45	2	3	1	251	297	391	688	140	284	17	5	303	84	-5	+0	-2	-5	+6	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2156	2011	522	99	8	62	109	356	19	29	8	260	304	409	713	150	287	17	5	310	79	-28	+3	-10	-44	+47	-3.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	606	157	30	2	19	33	107	6	9	2	259	304	409	713	150	286	16	5	310	79	-9	+1	-3	-13	+14	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5587	5212	1243	228	14	132	256	980	65	102	33	238	283	364	646	125	268	18	5	285	79	-47	+5	-14	-68	+76	-4.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	606	145	27	2	15	30	114	8	12	4	239	284	365	649	125	270	18	5	285	79	-9	+1	-3	-13	+14	-0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Maikel Francolast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,573 PA	5.4	3,573	130	5	244	293	414	+13	-5	9.3	9.6
/162	664	24	1	+2.4	-1.0	1.7	pk7: 10
#2Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	4.8	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
/162	664	22	3	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.3	2,181	56	29	249	290	385	+4	-18	3.8	3.8
/162	664	17	9	+1.3	-5.5	1.2	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	2.3	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
/162	664	14	0	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2
#6Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
/162	664	13	4	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Warming Bernabel (OGILVIE)	24	60	50	45	35	245/280/363	118	271	5	4	15%	4%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brent Morel 2012 · MLB	25	51→57	45→50	46→50	44	252/289/380	128	285	13	10	17%	5%	87	+0.4	223/273/317	94	285	7	11	23%	6%	67	-1.1	231/285/337	105	303	8	12	25%	6%	73	-0.5
✕Jamie Westbrook 2019 · AAA	24	48→52	46→50	45	42	240/276/367	126	270	14	6	17%	4%	80	-0.2	238/291/374	136	275	15	4	19%	6%	87	+0.4	240/311/368	128	286	13	4	20%	8%	91	+0.5
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2018 · MLB	24	54→59	45	49→50	45	265/299/393	128	299	12	8	16%	5%	94	+0.9	256/297/376	120	297	12	5	18%	5%	89	+0.5	243/283/352	109	279	12	3	17%	5%	75	-0.3
✕Jose Lopez 2008 · MLB	24	53→59	44→55	43→45	45	258/294/375	116	279	11	5	12%	4%	88	+0.4	269/301/412	143	281	16	5	11%	4%	99	+1.3	267/298/411	145	277	16	4	10%	4%	94	+1.0
✕Chin-Lung Hu 2008 · MLB	24	55→61	43→45	49→50	46	268/302/389	121	294	10	12	13%	4%	94	+0.9	252/285/348	96	285	7	12	14%	4%	77	-0.3	251/281/326	75	284	5	13	13%	3%	66	-0.7
✕Ronny Cedeno 2007 · MLB	24	52→57	42→45	47→50	42	255/287/358	103	297	9	11	18%	4%	81	-0.1	254/297/375	121	299	13	10	19%	6%	89	+0.5	249/298/373	124	292	14	9	19%	6%	85	+0.1
✕Willie Cabrera 2011 · AAA	24	53→55	43→50	43→45	46	254/299/375	121	283	9	9	14%	5%	90	+0.6	239/280/342	103	267	8	7	13%	5%	74	-0.5	239/273/330	91	260	7	2	11%	4%	66	-0.8
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2017 · MLB	24	51→56	47→50	45	47	255/301/391	136	293	15	5	19%	6%	95	+0.9	243/295/387	144	290	16	3	21%	7%	92	+0.7	232/285/372	140	281	17	1	23%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Yairo Muñoz 2019 · MLB	24	51→55	47→45	47→55	43	252/297/384	133	305	14	13	22%	6%	92	+0.7	262/302/381	119	319	11	18	21%	5%	93	+0.8	268/295/366	98	320	9	23	19%	3%	82	+0.0
✕Jordy Mercer 2012 · AAA	25	47→57	44→50	45	44	232/278/353	121	267	11	8	18%	5%	77	-0.3	249/299/379	130	293	12	7	19%	6%	91	+0.7	255/325/392	137	290	13	1	16%	8%	93	+0.7
✕C.J. Retherford 2010 · AA	24	50→53	47→50	43→50	43	249/287/392	143	289	13	5	19%	4%	89	+0.5	217/258/331	114	258	11	4	20%	4%	65	-1.2	232/274/393	160	250	20	8	17%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2022 · AAA	24	54→59	42→40	49→50	43	262/300/369	107	294	9	12	14%	4%	88	+0.5	236/284/330	94	283	7	18	18%	4%	74	-0.6	226/278/308	83	276	5	23	19%	4%	63	-0.6
✕Orlando Arcia 2019 · MLB	24	51→57	43→50	48→55	44	248/291/354	106	303	10	14	22%	6%	82	-0.0	236/291/365	129	274	15	10	19%	7%	85	+0.2	243/304/399	156	273	20	3	19%	8%	96	+0.7
✕Yeison Asencio 2015 · AAA	25	54→58	43→45	44→45	42	261/285/372	111	290	10	6	14%	3%	84	+0.1	266/289/378	112	292	11	7	13%	2%	86	+0.3	270/296/387	116	291	12	7	12%	2%	90	+0.4
✕Grant Green 2013 · AAA	25	51→58	44→45	43→45	41	253/287/374	121	306	12	9	22%	4%	85	+0.2	259/295/377	118	325	10	7	22%	4%	88	+0.5	264/299/379	115	336	8	4	23%	4%	87	+0.3
✕Christian Arroyo 2019 · MLB	24	49→54	42→45	41→45	42	237/282/346	109	286	9	6	20%	5%	76	-0.4	238/295/391	153	293	18	7	24%	6%	93	+0.8	253/305/403	150	305	16	7	22%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Diego Castillo 2022 · AAA	24	45→55	48→45	46→50	48	230/283/372	142	250	16	10	16%	6%	84	+0.1	231/297/354	123	280	12	9	21%	8%	84	+0.2	234/312/321	87	289	6	10	20%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Luis Juarez 2013 · AAA	23	49→57	45	46→40	44	240/288/360	120	280	12	8	19%	5%	83	+0.1	238/279/344	106	270	9	6	15%	5%	75	-0.5	262/309/380	118	281	13	3	12%	6%	93	+0.5
✕Dilson Herrera 2018 · MLB	24	45→55	45→50	41→50	42	228/274/350	122	282	13	9	24%	5%	75	-0.5	213/270/361	148	286	18	8	31%	6%	77	-0.3	191/253/342	151	259	19	6	34%	6%	64	-0.8
✕Thairo Estrada 2020 · MLB	24	47→57	43→55	48→55	41	232/271/345	114	275	11	10	20%	4%	73	-0.6	246/299/392	146	291	17	13	21%	5%	95	+0.9	275/329/432	158	317	18	21	19%	5%	112	+1.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps