Warming Bernabel

Warming Bernabel3B Albuquerque Isotopes

Age 24 R/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AAA HR +30%H +12% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†vL 7883vR 95

AVG/OBP/SLG.240 / .275 / .358

PA250

HR5

K%15

BB%4

ISO119

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025

CONTACT60

Whiff%

5010.9%

xwOBA

200.273

POWER50

Barrel%

102.6

Avg EV

1085.4

Bat Spd

3069.2

EYE35

Chase%

1041.6%

SPEED45

Sprint

7328.4

Platoon Splits2025 · 146 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

117

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

287

310

▶R

ISO

103

173

▶▶R

BABIP

269

286

▶R

6.9%

19.7%

◀◀L

BB%

0.0%

6.0%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-1	$0.3M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-5M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	241	218	40	9	1	3	10	42	8	3	7	183	246	275	521	92	208	17	4	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	241	212	53	13	2	4	16	29	8	3	7	250	326	387	713	137	266	12	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	2 teams	—	180	163	38	8	0	5	6	38	5	9	2	233	282	374	656	141	262	21	3	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	A	2 teams	—	180	157	49	11	0	7	12	26	5	9	2	312	379	516	895	204	323	14	7	382	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	3 teams	—	467	432	111	24	0	14	24	93	5	24	8	257	304	410	713	153	293	20	5	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	3 teams	—	467	421	121	27	0	15	34	67	5	24	8	287	347	458	806	171	307	14	7	353	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	2 teams	—	358	340	63	14	1	6	11	88	6	2	0	185	224	285	509	100	231	25	3	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	2 teams	—	358	335	79	18	1	8	16	74	6	2	0	236	283	367	650	131	280	21	4	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	526	505	107	12	1	10	12	99	6	12	4	212	239	299	538	87	243	19	2	234	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	526	499	129	18	1	9	18	73	6	12	4	259	293	353	645	94	286	14	3	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	2 teams	—	462	429	98	20	1	9	23	82	4	6	2	228	274	343	617	114	259	18	5	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA	2 teams	—	462	421	120	26	1	12	30	64	4	6	2	285	338	437	775	152	308	14	6	340	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	24	MLB	COL	—	250	237	57	10	1	5	9	39	2	4	1	241	274	354	629	114	266	16	4	283	75	-7	+0	-0	-4	+7	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	COL	35%	575	540	132	24	2	14	25	92	5	9	2	244	284	374	658	130	268	16	4	291	81	-12	+1	-1	-10	+16	-0.6
2028	26	MLB	COL	46%	564	528	130	23	2	15	26	93	5	9	2	246	288	383	671	136	270	16	5	296	85	-10	+1	-1	-10	+16	-0.4
2029	27	MLB	COL	50%	552	514	127	23	2	15	28	93	5	8	2	247	293	387	680	140	271	17	5	298	86	-9	+1	-1	-10	+16	-0.3
2030	28	MLB	COL	52%	541	503	123	22	2	14	28	92	5	8	2	245	291	380	671	135	271	17	5	297	86	-9	+1	-1	-10	+15	-0.4
2031	29	MLB	COL	52%	531	493	121	22	2	14	28	92	5	7	2	245	293	383	676	138	270	17	5	295	84	-9	+1	-2	-9	+15	-0.6
2032	30	MLB	COL	52%	520	483	116	21	1	13	27	91	5	6	1	240	287	369	656	128	269	18	5	293	82	-11	+1	-3	-9	+15	-0.7
2033	31	MLB	COL	52%	510	473	112	20	1	12	27	91	5	5	1	237	285	359	645	123	267	18	5	288	79	-12	+1	-3	-9	+14	-1.0
2034	32	MLB	COL	52%	499	466	109	19	1	12	26	91	4	4	1	234	280	356	636	122	264	18	5	282	74	-15	+0	-4	-9	+14	-1.3
2027	25	MLB	COL	35%	200	187	50	9	1	6	9	32	2	3	1	267	308	422	731	155	289	16	4	307	93	-2	+0	-0	-4	+6	0.0
2028	26	MLB	COL	46%	261	244	65	12	1	8	12	43	3	4	1	266	309	422	731	156	291	16	5	313	97	-1	+0	-0	-5	+7	0.2
2029	27	MLB	COL	50%	277	258	68	13	1	8	14	47	3	4	1	264	309	415	724	151	292	17	5	314	98	-1	+0	-0	-5	+8	0.2
2030	28	MLB	COL	52%	282	262	70	13	1	9	15	48	3	4	1	267	314	427	742	160	292	17	5	313	98	-1	+0	-1	-5	+8	0.2
2031	29	MLB	COL	52%	275	256	66	12	1	8	14	48	3	4	1	258	304	406	710	148	291	17	5	311	96	-1	+0	-1	-5	+8	0.1
2032	30	MLB	COL	52%	269	250	65	12	1	8	14	47	3	3	1	260	307	412	719	152	290	17	5	308	94	-2	+0	-1	-5	+8	-0.0
2033	31	MLB	COL	52%	263	245	63	12	1	7	14	47	2	3	1	257	303	400	703	143	287	18	5	304	91	-3	+0	-2	-5	+7	-0.2
2034	32	MLB	COL	52%	257	240	61	11	1	7	13	47	2	2	0	254	298	396	694	142	283	18	5	297	85	-4	+0	-2	-5	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2230	2081	543	102	9	65	112	384	21	28	8	261	305	412	718	151	291	17	5	309	94	-14	+2	-11	-45	+63	-0.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	159	30	3	19	33	112	6	8	2	262	307	415	722	153	293	17	5	309	94	-4	+1	-3	-13	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	6776	6324	1484	271	18	161	310	1216	75	116	37	235	279	360	638	125	265	18	5	281	73	-203	+8	-19	-121	+192	-14.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	142	26	2	15	30	117	7	11	4	234	278	357	636	124	265	18	5	281	73	-19	+1	-2	-12	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	241	212	53	13	2	4	16	29	8	3	7	250	326	387	713	137	266	12	7	316	100	-0	-2	—	—	+7	0.5
2021	19	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	94	83	17	6	0	1	7	14	3	4	1	205	290	313	604	108	232	15	7	276	69	-3	+0	—	—	+3	-0.0
2021	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	86	74	32	5	0	6	5	12	2	5	1	432	481	743	1.225	311	426	14	6	498	240	+14	+1	—	—	+2	1.7
2022	20	A+	Spokane Indians	—	109	105	32	7	0	4	2	17	0	2	2	305	315	486	801	181	329	16	2	346	123	+3	-0	—	—	+3	0.6
2022	20	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	300	262	83	19	0	10	29	39	5	21	6	317	395	504	899	187	336	13	10	393	159	+20	+2	—	—	+8	3.1
2022	20	INTL	Salt River Rafters	—	58	54	6	1	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	111	158	185	343	74	116	19	5	157	-22	-8	+0	—	—	+2	-0.6
2023	21	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	322	302	68	14	1	6	15	68	4	2	0	225	271	338	609	113	271	21	5	273	67	-12	+0	—	—	+9	-0.2
2023	21	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	36	33	11	4	0	2	1	6	2	0	0	333	389	636	1.025	303	360	17	3	444	198	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2024	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	506	479	126	17	1	9	18	72	6	12	4	263	298	359	657	96	292	14	4	294	83	-10	+1	—	—	+14	0.6
2024	22	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	20	20	3	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	150	150	200	350	50	158	5	0	155	-23	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	23	MLB	Colorado Rockies	—	146	139	35	8	1	4	7	25	0	1	1	252	288	410	698	158	282	17	5	308	94	-1	-0	-2	-8	+4	-0.8
2025	23	AAA	Albuquerque Isotopes	—	316	282	85	18	0	8	23	39	4	5	1	301	361	450	812	149	320	12	7	355	130	+11	+1	—	—	+9	2.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	146	139	35	8	1	4	7	25	0	1	1	252	288	410	698	158	282	17	5	308	94	-1	-0	-2	-8	+4	-0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Trevor Plouffelast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,178 PA	7	3,178	103	12	243	306	411	+14	-18	8.4	8.4
	/162	664	22	3	243	306	411	+2.8	-3.8	1.8	pk7: 8
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,255	57	28	243	285	377	+4	-18	2.4	2.4
	/162	664	17	8	243	285	377	+1.3	-5.3	0.7	pk7: 2
#4Conor Gillaspielast yr '17 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA	5	1,503	32	1	252	305	394	+5	-14	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	14	0	252	305	394	+2.4	-6.1	1.0	pk7: 2
#5Jose Castillolast yr '08 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,059 PA	5	2,059	39	13	254	296	379	+7	-14	1.9	1.9
	/162	664	13	4	254	296	379	+2.4	-4.5	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Warming Bernabel (OGILVIE)	24	60	50	45	35	240/275/358	118	266	5	4	15%	4%	75	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brent Morel 2012 · MLB	25	51→57	46→50	46→50	44	252/289/381	129	285	13	10	17%	5%	85	+0.7	223/275/323	100	284	8	11	23%	6%	65	-0.7	236/292/353	117	305	10	12	25%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Ronny Cedeno 2007 · MLB	24	52→57	42→45	47→50	42	255/287/358	103	297	9	11	18%	4%	79	+0.3	254/297/375	121	300	13	10	19%	5%	88	+0.9	249/298/373	124	292	14	9	19%	6%	83	+0.3
●Jamie Westbrook 2019 · AAA	24	47→55	47→50	44→45	41	240/275/374	134	271	16	6	19%	4%	79	+0.3	241/294/390	149	277	18	4	20%	6%	91	+1.1	249/316/391	143	292	15	4	20%	7%	97	+1.2
✕Hanser Alberto 2018 · MLB	25	48→58	43→45	46→50	40	237/259/344	107	265	11	8	16%	3%	63	-0.8	278/301/386	108	298	11	5	11%	3%	92	+1.2	290/313/393	103	309	10	4	10%	2%	97	+1.0
✕Lorenzo Cedrola 2022 · AAA	24	54→58	43→45	49→50	43	263/302/378	115	293	10	12	15%	4%	90	+1.0	237/286/337	100	286	8	18	19%	4%	73	-0.1	228/280/316	88	281	6	23	20%	4%	62	-0.4
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2018 · MLB	24	54→59	45	49→50	45	264/299/393	129	299	11	8	16%	5%	93	+1.3	255/295/372	117	296	12	5	18%	5%	85	+0.7	241/282/350	109	278	11	3	17%	5%	70	-0.2
●Jose Lopez 2008 · MLB	24	53→59	44→55	43→45	45	258/294/375	116	279	11	5	12%	4%	86	+0.8	269/301/413	144	281	16	5	11%	4%	100	+1.7	268/299/413	145	277	16	4	10%	4%	94	+1.4
✕Willie Cabrera 2011 · AAA	24	51→53	44→50	43→45	46	248/294/374	125	277	10	9	15%	5%	86	+0.8	237/279/351	114	263	10	7	14%	5%	73	-0.1	239/274/348	109	258	9	2	11%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Christian Arroyo 2019 · MLB	24	48→54	43→45	41→45	42	235/279/347	112	283	10	6	21%	4%	72	-0.2	236/293/392	156	288	18	7	24%	6%	92	+1.2	250/302/398	148	300	16	7	22%	5%	93	+0.5
✕José Rondon 2018 · MLB	24	49→59	42→50	49→50	41	240/274/350	110	295	9	10	22%	4%	71	-0.3	211/255/343	132	271	15	8	27%	5%	63	-0.9	195/243/338	143	240	19	6	28%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Jordy Mercer 2012 · AAA	25	48→58	46→50	45	44	238/285/372	135	273	14	8	19%	5%	82	+0.5	251/301/386	135	296	12	7	19%	6%	92	+1.2	254/324/387	133	291	12	1	16%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Roberto Valenzuela 2019 · AAA	24	50→58	41→45	46→45	49	238/291/338	100	263	9	8	14%	6%	76	+0.0	262/308/370	108	300	11	10	16%	5%	91	+1.1	281/326/377	96	319	11	8	15%	5%	95	+1.2
✕Adan Velazquez 2014 · AAA	24	50→52	43→45	43→50	43	246/289/360	114	295	11	8	21%	5%	80	+0.4	236/271/329	93	288	9	6	21%	4%	64	-0.8	229/261/302	72	282	7	5	21%	3%	50	-0.9
✕Yeison Asencio 2015 · AAA	25	54→59	44→50	44→45	41	264/288/378	114	296	11	6	15%	3%	84	+0.6	274/296/399	125	301	13	7	14%	2%	93	+1.3	280/305/413	133	298	15	7	12%	2%	99	+1.3
✕German Duran 2009 · MLB	24	47→50	49→50	48→45	43	239/281/389	150	276	16	8	20%	5%	85	+0.7	214/257/311	97	256	9	6	20%	5%	54	-1.4	202/242/268	66	242	6	4	19%	4%	34	-1.2
✕Cheslor Cuthbert 2017 · MLB	24	52→57	47→50	46→45	46	256/301/391	135	296	14	5	19%	6%	93	+1.3	245/296/388	143	292	16	3	21%	6%	91	+1.1	233/285/373	140	282	16	1	23%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Yamaico Navarro 2012 · MLB	24	46→55	44→50	48→50	46	226/283/343	116	273	11	13	21%	7%	74	-0.1	231/291/358	127	279	13	12	21%	8%	82	+0.5	229/296/386	157	263	20	11	21%	8%	90	+0.8
✕Brian Rey 2022 · AAA	24	48	46→50	40→45	44	238/300/363	125	275	14	7	19%	5%	87	+0.8	222/278/326	104	275	10	9	23%	5%	68	-0.5	193/242/264	71	239	6	9	21%	2%	32	-0.8
✕Diego Goris 2016 · AAA	25	49→56	46→50	43→45	37	247/268/370	123	293	14	4	21%	2%	74	-0.1	223/253/323	100	283	10	5	24%	4%	55	-1.4	207/241/307	100	273	11	5	28%	4%	43	-1.3
●Thairo Estrada 2020 · MLB	24	47→57	44→55	48→55	41	231/270/350	119	274	12	10	20%	4%	69	-0.4	249/300/401	152	293	18	13	21%	5%	97	+1.5	280/334/443	164	322	19	21	19%	6%	118	+2.4