Yorger Bautista — OGILVIE

Yorger BautistaOF ACL Mariners

Age 18 L/L 6'1" / 176 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION224 act + 149 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .249 / .316

PA149

HR3

K%31

BB%5

BABIP277

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 57

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER57

scouting grade only

EYE42

scouting grade only

SPEED58

scouting grade only

DEFENSE53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$33M	+$26M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	225	202	31	5	2	5	13	96	9	10	0	153	237	272	509	119	255	43	6	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	225	193	43	8	3	7	21	67	9	10	0	223	326	404	730	181	300	30	9	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	SEA	—	224	212	40	7	2	5	11	82	0	9	2	189	229	311	540	123	278	37	5	235	38	-16	+1	+0	-1	+6	-1.0
YTD	18	ROK	SEA	—	224	205	56	11	3	7	18	57	0	9	2	273	332	459	790	185	345	25	8	347	124	+6	+1	+0	-1	+6	1.2
ROS	18	ROK	SEA	0%	149	139	28	5	1	3	8	47	1	4	1	201	249	316	565	115	278	31	5	260	57	-7	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.4
ROS	18	MLB	SEA	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	252	51	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	SEA	—	224	213	40	7	2	5	11	82	0	9	2	188	229	310	539	122	276	37	5	235	38	-16	+1	+0	-1	+6	-1.0
TOT	18	ROK	SEA	—	373	351	68	12	3	8	19	129	1	13	3	194	237	313	550	120	277	35	5	245	46	-23	+1	-0	-2	+11	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	SEA	34%	367	338	73	13	3	10	22	111	4	8	2	216	272	361	633	145	283	30	6	277	70	-12	+1	-0	-2	+10	-0.4
2028	20	MLB	SEA	48%	465	427	93	16	3	14	30	136	5	10	2	218	277	368	645	150	286	29	6	289	79	-11	+1	-0	-3	+13	0.0
2029	21	MLB	SEA	54%	535	489	110	19	4	17	35	153	6	12	3	225	285	384	669	160	288	29	7	297	85	-9	+1	-0	-3	+15	0.4
2030	22	MLB	SEA	57%	582	531	121	21	4	20	39	165	7	14	3	228	289	395	685	168	289	28	7	302	90	-7	+2	-1	-3	+16	0.7
2031	23	MLB	SEA	58%	615	562	130	22	5	22	41	173	7	14	3	231	292	406	697	174	290	28	7	306	92	-5	+2	-1	-4	+17	1.0
2032	24	MLB	SEA	57%	631	575	134	23	5	23	43	177	8	15	3	233	296	410	706	177	291	28	7	309	95	-4	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.2
2033	25	MLB	SEA	57%	637	581	136	23	5	24	43	178	8	15	4	234	296	415	711	181	291	28	7	311	96	-3	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.2
2034	26	MLB	SEA	57%	641	584	136	23	5	24	44	179	8	15	4	233	296	413	708	180	291	28	7	312	97	-2	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.3
2035	27	MLB	SEA	55%	638	581	136	23	5	24	44	179	8	15	4	234	297	415	712	181	290	28	7	312	97	-2	+1	-1	-4	+18	1.3
2036	28	MLB	SEA	55%	632	575	133	23	4	23	44	178	8	15	3	231	295	405	700	174	290	28	7	311	96	-3	+2	-1	-4	+18	1.2
2037	29	MLB	SEA	58%	621	564	130	22	4	23	44	176	8	14	3	230	295	406	701	176	289	28	7	309	95	-4	+2	-2	-4	+18	1.0
2038	30	MLB	SEA	60%	610	555	126	21	4	22	43	175	7	13	3	227	291	398	689	171	288	29	7	306	92	-5	+1	-3	-4	+17	0.7
2039	31	MLB	SEA	62%	595	541	121	20	4	21	42	172	7	12	3	224	288	392	680	168	285	29	7	302	89	-7	+1	-3	-4	+17	0.4
2040	32	MLB	SEA	63%	577	524	116	19	4	20	41	169	7	11	3	221	287	387	674	166	282	29	7	296	85	-10	+1	-4	-3	+16	0.0
2041	33	MLB	SEA	63%	547	498	107	17	3	18	38	163	6	10	2	215	279	369	648	155	277	30	7	289	80	-13	+1	-5	-3	+15	-0.4
2027	19	MLB	SEA	34%	126	116	24	4	1	3	8	38	1	3	1	207	264	336	600	129	281	30	6	267	62	-5	+0	-0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	20	MLB	SEA	48%	225	206	45	8	2	6	14	66	3	5	1	218	278	364	642	146	283	29	6	277	70	-8	+1	-0	-1	+6	-0.2
2029	21	MLB	SEA	54%	290	266	59	10	2	9	19	83	3	7	2	222	281	376	657	154	285	29	7	285	76	-8	+1	-0	-2	+8	-0.1
2030	22	MLB	SEA	57%	329	300	68	12	2	11	22	93	4	8	2	227	288	390	678	163	286	28	7	290	80	-7	+1	-0	-2	+9	0.1
2031	23	MLB	SEA	58%	354	323	74	13	3	12	24	100	4	8	2	229	291	399	690	170	287	28	7	294	83	-7	+1	-0	-2	+10	0.2
2032	24	MLB	SEA	57%	360	329	76	13	3	13	24	101	4	9	2	231	291	407	699	176	288	28	7	297	85	-6	+1	-0	-2	+10	0.3
2033	25	MLB	SEA	57%	361	329	76	13	3	13	25	101	4	9	2	231	293	407	701	176	288	28	7	298	86	-6	+1	-0	-2	+10	0.3
2034	26	MLB	SEA	57%	363	331	76	13	3	13	25	102	4	9	2	230	292	405	697	175	288	28	7	299	87	-5	+1	-0	-2	+10	0.4
2035	27	MLB	SEA	55%	354	322	74	12	3	13	25	99	4	8	2	230	293	407	700	177	288	28	7	299	87	-5	+1	-0	-2	+10	0.3
2036	28	MLB	SEA	55%	347	316	72	12	2	13	24	98	4	8	2	228	291	402	693	174	287	28	7	298	86	-5	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.3
2037	29	MLB	SEA	58%	361	328	75	13	2	13	26	103	4	8	2	229	293	399	693	171	286	29	7	297	85	-6	+1	-1	-2	+10	0.2
2038	30	MLB	SEA	60%	368	335	75	13	2	13	26	105	4	8	2	224	288	391	679	167	285	29	7	294	83	-7	+1	-2	-2	+10	0.0
2039	31	MLB	SEA	62%	367	334	74	12	2	13	26	106	4	8	2	222	286	386	672	165	282	29	7	290	80	-8	+1	-2	-2	+10	-0.1
2040	32	MLB	SEA	63%	362	329	72	12	2	12	26	106	4	7	2	219	284	377	661	158	279	29	7	285	76	-10	+1	-3	-2	+10	-0.4
2041	33	MLB	SEA	63%	347	316	67	11	2	11	24	104	4	7	2	212	276	364	640	152	275	30	7	278	71	-11	+1	-3	-2	+10	-0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4914	4481	1007	171	34	168	338	1405	55	112	28	225	287	391	678	166	286	29	7	291	81	-105	+11	-13	-29	+139	0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	133	23	4	22	45	186	7	15	4	224	287	388	675	164	285	29	7	291	81	-14	+1	-2	-4	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	9067	8266	1861	315	65	313	614	2627	114	207	46	225	288	393	680	167	288	29	7	301	88	-121	+23	-23	-54	+257	8.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	134	23	5	22	44	188	8	15	3	226	288	393	681	167	290	29	7	301	88	-9	+2	-2	-4	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	225	193	43	8	3	7	21	67	9	10	0	223	326	404	730	181	300	30	9	327	108	+2	+2	—	—	+6	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	11	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
	/162	664	35	4	227	287	459	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Tony Batistalast yr '07 career totals — 7 seasons, 3,601 PA	7	3,601	162	33	244	291	445	-9	-1	10.4	10.4
	/162	664	30	6	244	291	445	-1.6	-0.2	1.9	pk7: 10
#3Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	5,176	178	115	227	287	395	-31	+13	5.8	5.3
	/162	664	23	15	227	287	395	-4.0	+1.6	0.7	pk7: 5
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yorger Bautista (OGILVIE)	18	20→40	35→57	60→58	42	194/237/313	120	277	8	13	35%	5%	46	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→44	43→55	51→45	46	198/264/316	118	245	9	7	23%	7%	59	-1.1	188/250/298	110	251	9	7	28%	7%	49	-1.8	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Ronny Ugarte 2023 · A	18	41	43→50	47→40	43	202/274/320	118	277	9	6	29%	7%	65	-0.7	227/287/334	107	295	8	5	24%	7%	73	-0.1	248/308/368	120	321	11	2	25%	7%	88	+0.3
●Akil Baddoo 2017 · A	18	38→48	39→55	53→55	40	182/252/261	79	299	6	12	39%	8%	40	-2.4	204/278/316	112	294	7	12	30%	9%	65	-0.7	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	52→45	43	216/277/348	132	271	12	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	235/292/359	124	285	14	8	22%	5%	82	+0.5	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Estevan Florial 2016 · A	18	46→53	44→55	54→60	41	222/283/347	125	322	10	12	33%	7%	75	-0.0	211/270/330	119	351	11	13	40%	7%	65	-0.7	214/281/384	170	311	19	29	36%	8%	81	+0.4
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→48	44→55	48→45	40	209/264/317	108	283	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	232/286/390	158	298	19	7	28%	7%	88	+0.9	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Lewin Díaz 2016 · A	19	38→44	43→60	49→30	44	192/261/300	108	254	10	4	28%	7%	54	-1.4	210/250/331	121	266	12	3	26%	4%	56	-1.3	211/261/421	210	239	29	1	26%	5%	85	+0.6
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	40→50	40→50	51→50	43	198/259/283	85	277	8	16	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/320	103	296	8	14	28%	7%	63	-0.8	218/277/350	132	309	11	7	31%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	189/246/313	124	271	11	8	33%	7%	50	-1.7	218/311/403	185	271	23	12	27%	11%	99	+1.3
●Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A	20	45→55	43→60	57→50	42	218/277/333	115	296	10	13	29%	7%	69	-0.4	234/291/434	200	292	25	13	28%	7%	102	+1.9	227/288/440	213	276	26	14	28%	7%	100	+1.5
✕Jesus Vasquez 2011 · A	19	40	43→55	47→55	38	200/249/313	113	263	10	11	28%	4%	52	-1.6	215/279/346	131	293	14	14	30%	6%	74	-0.1	221/297/387	166	294	19	20	30%	8%	97	+0.7
●Jo Adell 2018 · A	19	46→44	42→65	55→50	36	223/264/339	116	318	8	9	32%	4%	64	-0.8	220/270/375	155	316	17	10	34%	5%	77	+0.1	218/285/448	231	251	34	12	29%	7%	102	+1.5