Angel Ortiz
CF Amarillo Sod Poodles| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A/INTL2 orgs | 443 | .296/.383/.470 | 10 | 4 | 98 | — | .251/.320/.388 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 539 | .261/.333/.408 | 11 | 3 | 67 | — | .221/.276/.346 |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 502 | .273/.348/.491 | 19 | 19 | 91 | — | .233/.293/.414 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBARI | 4 | .233/.291/.396 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ39% MLB | 25 | MLBARI | 101 | .235/.294/.399 | 3 | 2 | 88 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ56% MLB | 26 | MLBARI | 170 | .236/.296/.400 | 5 | 4 | 89 | 0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | ACL D-backs | — | 129 | 111 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 22 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 234 | 325 | 333 | 659 | 99 | 258 | 17 | 12 | 297 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL D-backs Black | — | 179 | 166 | 41 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 247 | 302 | 373 | 675 | 127 | 302 | 20 | 7 | 302 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Visalia Rawhide | — | 376 | 327 | 98 | 22 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 70 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 300 | 384 | 471 | 855 | 171 | 357 | 19 | 10 | 377 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 67 | 58 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 373 | 466 | 839 | 190 | 368 | 27 | 12 | 373 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Hillsboro Hops | — | 494 | 433 | 115 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 96 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 266 | 340 | 420 | 761 | 155 | 308 | 19 | 9 | 332 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 45 | 42 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 214 | 250 | 286 | 536 | 71 | 281 | 24 | 4 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA | Reno Aces | — | 150 | 131 | 35 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 267 | 347 | 473 | 820 | 206 | 296 | 19 | 11 | 355 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 335 | 292 | 79 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 33 | 82 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 271 | 349 | 503 | 852 | 233 | 325 | 24 | 10 | 364 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | INTL | Tigres del Licey | — | 17 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 353 | 353 | 412 | 765 | 59 | 545 | 35 | 0 | 342 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 129 | 117 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 188 | 246 | 256 | 502 | 68 | 219 | 25 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Black | — | 179 | 171 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 175 | 212 | 269 | 481 | 94 | 233 | 28 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | — | 376 | 338 | 85 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 94 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 251 | 320 | 388 | 707 | 136 | 318 | 25 | 7 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Hillsboro Hops | — | 494 | 448 | 99 | 23 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 129 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 221 | 276 | 346 | 622 | 125 | 266 | 26 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AAA MLE | Reno Aces | — | 150 | 135 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 34 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 230 | 293 | 378 | 670 | 148 | 275 | 23 | 8 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | Amarillo Sod Poodles | — | 335 | 302 | 71 | 18 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 100 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 235 | 294 | 430 | 724 | 195 | 288 | 30 | 7 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 129 | 117 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 188 | 246 | 256 | 502 | 68 | 233 | 25 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL D-backs | — | 129 | 111 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 22 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 234 | 325 | 333 | 659 | 99 | 258 | 17 | 12 | 297 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Black | — | 179 | 171 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 175 | 212 | 269 | 481 | 94 | 237 | 28 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL D-backs Black | — | 179 | 166 | 41 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 247 | 302 | 373 | 675 | 127 | 302 | 20 | 7 | 302 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 443 | 399 | 99 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 111 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 248 | 317 | 381 | 698 | 133 | 324 | 25 | 7 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 443 | 385 | 114 | 25 | 6 | 10 | 45 | 88 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 296 | 383 | 470 | 853 | 174 | 359 | 20 | 10 | 376 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 539 | 489 | 107 | 25 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 141 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 219 | 274 | 344 | 617 | 125 | 276 | 26 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 539 | 475 | 124 | 29 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 107 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 261 | 333 | 408 | 741 | 147 | 305 | 20 | 9 | 324 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 502 | 453 | 106 | 23 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 138 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 234 | 293 | 417 | 710 | 183 | 294 | 27 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 502 | 440 | 120 | 27 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 116 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 273 | 348 | 491 | 839 | 218 | 324 | 23 | 10 | 361 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | — | 129 | 119 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 185 | 246 | 252 | 498 | 67 | 219 | 25 | 7 | 227 | 40 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs Black | — | 179 | 169 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 51 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 178 | 212 | 272 | 484 | 95 | 233 | 28 | 4 | 202 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 443 | 400 | 99 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 111 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 247 | 317 | 380 | 697 | 133 | 318 | 25 | 7 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 539 | 497 | 107 | 25 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 141 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 215 | 274 | 338 | 612 | 123 | 266 | 26 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 502 | 459 | 106 | 23 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 138 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 231 | 293 | 412 | 705 | 181 | 284 | 27 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 443 | 400 | 99 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 111 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 247 | 317 | 380 | 697 | 133 | 318 | 25 | 7 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 539 | 497 | 107 | 25 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 141 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 215 | 274 | 338 | 612 | 123 | 266 | 26 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 502 | 459 | 106 | 23 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 138 | 2 | 19 | 4 | 231 | 293 | 412 | 705 | 181 | 284 | 27 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | ARI | 2% | 380 | 348 | 78 | 17 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 98 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 226 | 284 | 383 | 667 | 157 | 281 | 26 | 7 | 295 | 86 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | ARI | 2% | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 291 | 396 | 687 | 163 | 294 | 25 | 0 | 303 | 86 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | ARI | 39% | 260 | 238 | 54 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 67 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 227 | 287 | 386 | 673 | 159 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 298 | 88 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.4 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | ARI | 56% | 305 | 278 | 64 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 78 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 228 | 289 | 387 | 676 | 159 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 299 | 89 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | ARI | 62% | 321 | 292 | 67 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 82 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 228 | 289 | 386 | 675 | 158 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 299 | 89 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | ARI | 65% | 328 | 299 | 68 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 84 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 227 | 289 | 383 | 672 | 155 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 298 | 88 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | ARI | 64% | 321 | 292 | 66 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 82 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 226 | 288 | 378 | 666 | 152 | 282 | 26 | 7 | 296 | 86 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | ARI | 64% | 314 | 286 | 63 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 81 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 285 | 371 | 656 | 148 | 280 | 26 | 7 | 291 | 83 | -6 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | ARI | 39% | 101 | 92 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 235 | 294 | 399 | 693 | 164 | 294 | 26 | 7 | 306 | 88 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | ARI | 56% | 170 | 155 | 37 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 43 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 236 | 296 | 400 | 696 | 164 | 294 | 25 | 7 | 307 | 89 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | ARI | 62% | 198 | 180 | 43 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 50 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 235 | 296 | 398 | 695 | 163 | 294 | 25 | 8 | 307 | 89 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | ARI | 65% | 212 | 193 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 54 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 235 | 296 | 395 | 691 | 161 | 294 | 25 | 8 | 305 | 88 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | ARI | 64% | 207 | 189 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 53 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 233 | 294 | 390 | 685 | 157 | 293 | 26 | 7 | 303 | 86 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | ARI | 64% | 202 | 184 | 43 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 52 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 230 | 291 | 383 | 674 | 153 | 292 | 26 | 7 | 299 | 83 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1090 | 993 | 233 | 53 | 11 | 28 | 80 | 278 | 6 | 19 | 6 | 235 | 296 | 395 | 690 | 160 | 296 | 26 | 7 | 304 | 81 | -17 | +1 | -3 | +4 | +24 | 0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 592 | 140 | 32 | 7 | 17 | 48 | 166 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 236 | 299 | 400 | 699 | 164 | 298 | 26 | 7 | 304 | 81 | -10 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3851 | 3506 | 790 | 167 | 33 | 94 | 269 | 1001 | 26 | 73 | 29 | 225 | 285 | 372 | 658 | 147 | 284 | 26 | 7 | 287 | 81 | -32 | +4 | -4 | +7 | +45 | 2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 134 | 28 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 169 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 226 | 285 | 375 | 660 | 149 | 286 | 26 | 7 | 287 | 81 | -10 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 335 PAwOBA .361 → .303 (−58)K% 24.5% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.48% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×1.012 | 18.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.991 | ×1.012 | 8.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.991 | ×1.012 | 1.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 5.01% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .361 → .303; ISO .233 → .194; BABIP .325 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAAReno Aces · 150 PAwOBA .348 → .298 (−49)K% 18.7% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 22.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 7.71% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.984 | ×1.048 | 20.48% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.984 | ×1.048 | 4.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.984 | ×1.048 | 1.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 4.27% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .348 → .298; ISO .206 → .167; BABIP .296 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Hillsboro Hops · 494 PAwOBA .331 → .270 (−61)K% 19.4% → 26.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.43% | ÷1.002 | ×1.350 | — | — | 26.17% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.31% | ÷1.044 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.61% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.49% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.96% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | ×0.974 | ×0.998 | 19.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.72% | ÷0.908 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×0.998 | 6.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.19% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×0.974 | ×0.998 | 0.82% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.26% | ÷0.968 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 2.79% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 102, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 100, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .331 → .270; ISO .155 → .129; BABIP .308 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AVisalia Rawhide · 376 PAwOBA .370 → .302 (−68)K% 18.6% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.62% | ÷1.009 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.84% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.13% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.51% | ÷1.010 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | — | 22.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.56% | ÷0.964 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | — | 7.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.95% | ÷0.965 | ×0.910 | ×0.997 | — | 1.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.11% | ÷1.102 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.26% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 93, K 102, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .370 → .302; ISO .171 → .136; BABIP .357 → .318. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL D-backs Black · 179 PAwOBA .294 → .202 (−92)K% 19.6% → 28.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.55% | ÷0.988 | ×1.440 | — | — | 28.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.26% | ÷1.016 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 4.41% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.61% | ÷0.996 | ×0.820 | ×0.985 | ×0.995 | 16.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.87% | ÷1.043 | ×0.720 | ×0.985 | ×0.995 | 4.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.29% | ÷0.958 | ×0.720 | ×0.985 | ×0.995 | 1.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.53% | ÷0.948 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.25% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 99, 2B 109, 3B 92, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .294 → .202; ISO .127 → .085; BABIP .302 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL D-backs · 129 PAwOBA .293 → .227 (−66)K% 17.1% → 24.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.05% | ÷0.985 | ×1.440 | — | — | 24.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.85% | ÷1.008 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.60% | ÷1.010 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 20.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.25% | ÷0.950 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 1.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.941 | ×0.720 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.37% | ÷0.986 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 2.69% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 102, 2B 90, 3B 88, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .293 → .227; ISO .099 → .078; BABIP .258 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .