Luis Vázquez — OGILVIE

Luis VázquezSS Norfolk Tides

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs AAA HR +8% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION127 act + 123 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .270 / .327

PA123

HR3

K%30

BB%6

BABIP284

ISO115

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2025

CONTACT55

Whiff%

1019.9%

xwOBA

100.256

POWER50

Barrel%

548.8

Avg EV

4288.5

Bat Spd

6072.4

EYE40

Chase%

1044.6%

SPEED50

Sprint

6027.9

Platoon Splits2025 · 53 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

-1

▶▶R

wOBA

184

223

▶▶R

ISO

115

042

◀◀L

BABIP

176

222

▶▶R

30.8%

22.2%

▶▶R

BB%

0.0%

11.1%

—

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.0M
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	111	105	15	3	0	0	4	33	0	4	1	143	174	171	346	29	208	30	4	149	-28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	17	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	111	103	19	4	0	0	6	23	0	4	1	184	229	223	453	39	237	21	5	206	16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	AA	3 teams	—	149	140	26	4	1	1	3	36	2	4	0	186	214	250	464	64	243	24	2	195	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	AA	3 teams	—	149	137	31	5	1	1	6	27	2	4	0	226	269	299	568	73	275	18	4	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	17	14	3	0	0	1	2	3	0	1	1	214	312	429	741	214	182	18	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	17	14	3	0	0	1	2	3	0	1	1	214	312	429	741	214	182	18	12	311	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	INTL	3 teams	—	243	218	50	3	0	3	18	86	7	9	2	229	309	284	593	55	364	35	7	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	INTL	3 teams	—	243	210	48	5	1	3	26	69	7	9	2	229	333	305	638	76	326	28	11	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	3 teams	—	478	438	90	18	2	8	22	144	6	11	7	205	253	311	564	105	280	30	5	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	3 teams	—	478	432	97	19	2	9	28	104	6	11	7	225	281	340	621	116	270	22	6	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	3 teams	—	625	562	132	23	0	20	41	174	14	12	13	235	303	383	686	148	299	28	7	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AAA	3 teams	—	625	537	138	28	0	22	66	141	14	12	13	257	353	432	785	175	305	23	11	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	404	358	85	22	0	9	28	107	7	9	4	237	305	374	680	137	310	26	7	292	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AAA	2 teams	—	404	355	87	24	1	9	31	91	7	9	4	245	318	394	712	149	302	23	8	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	3 teams	—	378	348	83	9	2	9	18	102	6	14	2	239	288	353	641	115	311	27	5	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	3 teams	—	378	344	85	10	1	12	22	83	6	14	2	247	304	387	690	140	292	22	6	305	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	BAL	—	127	121	23	4	0	2	5	46	1	6	2	190	228	273	501	83	288	36	4	216	23	-11	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.6
YTD	26	AAA	BAL	—	127	119	27	6	0	2	7	37	1	6	2	227	276	328	603	101	312	29	6	273	67	-5	+0	+0	+1	+4	0.1
ROS	26	AAA	BAL	10%	123	113	24	4	0	3	7	37	2	3	1	212	270	327	598	115	287	30	6	269	64	-5	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.0
ROS	26	MLB	BAL	10%	12	11	2	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	182	250	182	432		291	33	8	262	59	-1	+0	-0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AAA	BAL	—	139	132	25	4	0	2	6	50	1	6	2	189	230	265	495	76	287	36	4	220	27	-12	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.6
TOT	26	AAA	BAL	—	250	234	47	8	0	5	12	83	3	9	3	201	249	299	548	98	286	33	5	242	44	-16	+1	-0	+3	+7	-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	BAL	31%	336	308	67	12	1	8	20	100	5	7	2	218	276	341	617	123	288	30	6	274	68	-12	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.1
2027	27	MLB	BAL	31%	104	95	21	4	0	3	6	31	2	2	1	221	282	358	639	137	293	30	6	268	63	-4	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	169	156	31	5	0	4	10	49	2	4	1	199	256	308	564	109	260	29	6	248	48	-10	+0	-0	+5	+5	0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	600	119	19	0	15	38	188	8	15	4	198	255	305	560	107	259	29	6	248	48	-38	+1	-1	+20	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	2864	2604	575	98	6	62	163	822	49	74	33	221	279	334	614	114	295	29	6	265	61	-125	+2	-0	+31	+81	-1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	130	22	1	14	37	187	11	17	7	220	279	332	610	112	294	29	6	265	61	-28	+1	-0	+7	+18	-0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2017	17	ROK	AZL Cubs	—	111	103	19	4	0	0	6	23	0	4	1	184	229	223	453	39	237	21	5	206	16	-11	+0	—	—	+3	-0.7
2019	19	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	30	29	7	1	1	1	1	9	0	1	0	241	267	448	715	207	316	30	3	310	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2019	19	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	89	82	17	1	0	0	4	17	1	3	0	207	253	220	472	12	262	19	4	217	24	-8	+1	—	—	+3	-0.5
2019	19	A	South Bend Cubs	—	30	26	7	3	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	269	321	385	706	115	280	3	3	297	85	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2020	20	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	17	14	3	0	0	1	2	3	0	1	1	214	312	429	741	214	182	18	12	311	96	-0	-0	—	—	+0	0.0
2021	21	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	30	29	7	1	0	0	1	8	0	0	0	241	267	276	543	34	333	27	3	247	47	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	21	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	100	85	24	1	0	2	12	27	3	5	1	282	390	365	755	82	393	27	12	350	126	+3	+1	—	—	+3	0.7
2021	21	INTL	Puerto Rico	—	113	96	17	3	1	1	13	34	4	4	1	177	301	260	561	83	262	30	12	269	64	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.1
2022	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	92	84	15	4	0	1	4	21	0	2	0	179	216	262	478	83	219	23	4	207	17	-9	+0	—	—	+3	-0.6
2022	22	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	358	325	77	14	2	8	23	78	4	7	7	237	295	366	662	129	285	22	6	293	82	-7	-1	—	—	+10	0.2
2022	22	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	28	23	5	1	0	0	1	5	2	2	0	217	308	261	569	43	250	18	4	253	51	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	270	222	57	11	0	9	38	56	8	6	3	257	384	428	812	171	302	21	14	366	138	+12	+0	—	—	+8	2.0
2023	23	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	258	232	66	13	0	11	16	65	5	4	7	284	344	483	827	198	346	25	6	358	132	+9	-2	—	—	+7	1.5
2023	23	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	97	83	15	4	0	2	12	20	1	2	3	181	292	301	593	120	210	21	12	274	68	-4	-1	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	24	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	273	236	62	16	0	8	25	60	6	1	2	263	348	432	781	169	320	22	9	342	120	+6	-1	—	—	+8	1.4
2024	24	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	131	119	25	8	1	1	6	31	1	8	2	210	254	319	573	109	270	24	5	248	48	-8	+1	—	—	+4	-0.3
2025	25	MLB	Baltimore Orioles	—	53	50	8	1	0	1	3	14	0	2	0	160	208	240	448	80	200	26	6	205	15	-5	+0	-0	+4	+2	0.1
2025	25	AAA	Norfolk Tides	—	174	155	42	5	1	5	13	37	4	4	2	271	343	413	756	142	327	21	7	336	115	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2025	25	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	151	139	35	4	0	6	6	32	2	8	0	252	293	410	703	158	284	21	4	304	91	-2	+2	—	—	+4	0.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	53	50	8	1	0	1	3	14	0	2	0	160	208	240	448	80	200	26	6	205	15	-5	+0	-0	+4	+2	0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Vázquez (OGILVIE)	26	55	50	50	40	201/249/299	98	286	5	9	33%	5%	44	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Tim Beckham 2016 · MLB	26	46→55	47→55	50	40	230/278/369	138	300	13	12	27%	6%	79	+0.3	243/294/404	161	323	18	7	29%	6%	95	+1.4	246/300/417	171	316	22	4	28%	6%	99	+1.2
✕Chris Nelson 2012 · MLB	26	47→52	46→50	47→50	42	237/277/369	132	280	14	9	21%	5%	78	+0.2	241/288/359	118	306	11	7	24%	6%	80	+0.4	240/293/344	104	309	10	4	24%	6%	74	-0.1
✕Scott Kingery 2021 · MLB	27	45→51	50→55	51→55	43	229/285/393	164	294	17	13	28%	7%	89	+0.9	197/266/322	125	295	12	18	35%	8%	62	-0.9	198/239/341	143	265	19	17	33%	5%	52	-0.8
✕Nelson Maldonado 2023 · AAA	26	50→48	47→50	51→40	40	245/287/384	139	315	13	7	26%	5%	86	+0.8	218/278/347	129	279	13	7	26%	7%	73	-0.1	185/259/301	117	229	12	1	24%	8%	51	-0.9
✕Angel Chavez 2007 · MLB	26	47→53	46→45	52→50	39	236/266/364	127	283	13	12	22%	4%	72	-0.2	245/277/354	109	287	10	8	18%	4%	73	-0.1	233/286/314	82	273	9	6	18%	7%	64	-0.3
✕Yu Chang 2021 · MLB	25	44→46	46→50	48→45	42	219/276/347	128	296	13	7	30%	7%	72	-0.2	223/278/382	159	290	19	7	29%	6%	82	+0.5	212/267/370	158	269	20	6	29%	6%	73	-0.1
✕Tommy Field 2013 · MLB	26	44→53	44→45	49→45	44	218/282/337	119	281	12	7	26%	7%	72	-0.2	222/287/347	125	282	12	7	25%	7%	77	+0.1	219/289/348	130	274	13	7	24%	8%	76	+0.1
✕John Hester 2010 · MLB	26	49	48→55	51→50	39	244/280/397	153	311	14	12	26%	4%	87	+0.8	226/280/353	127	303	12	7	28%	6%	76	+0.0	204/268/316	112	278	12	2	29%	7%	58	-0.6
✕Lucas May 2011 · MLB	26	44→43	47→55	45	40	224/275/362	139	294	15	6	29%	6%	76	+0.0	197/242/314	117	276	12	6	32%	5%	49	-1.8	172/214/272	100	245	10	3	33%	4%	24	-1.5
✕TJ Hopkins 2023 · AAA	26	43→53	49→50	48→45	39	218/275/368	150	306	17	7	33%	6%	78	+0.2	235/303/379	144	328	16	7	31%	8%	92	+1.2	263/338/406	144	362	17	4	30%	9%	109	+1.7
✕Andruw Monasterio 2023 · AAA	26	47→55	44→45	48→55	44	228/294/350	122	313	12	13	30%	8%	81	+0.4	241/315/351	110	315	10	19	25%	9%	90	+1.0	246/325/351	106	317	10	23	24%	9%	92	+0.6
✕Choo Freeman 2006 · MLB	26	47→49	44→45	48→45	43	232/280/348	116	295	11	7	25%	6%	73	-0.1	232/286/340	108	301	10	9	25%	7%	74	-0.1	230/290/327	97	301	8	8	25%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Colton Welker 2023 · MLB	25	43→53	46→40	48→45	45	217/284/343	126	280	14	6	27%	8%	75	-0.0	224/314/317	93	296	8	9	24%	10%	81	+0.4	209/330/239	30	289	0	6	23%	13%	67	-0.2
✕Coco Montes 2023 · AAA	26	39→43	47→50	51→50	41	200/265/338	138	281	14	10	33%	7%	66	-0.6	219/284/347	128	316	13	10	33%	8%	76	+0.0	220/284/337	117	317	11	9	32%	7%	71	-0.2
✕Jake Noll 2020 · AAA	26	47→50	44→50	47→45	39	233/268/340	107	288	12	7	24%	4%	66	-0.6	240/277/367	127	292	14	7	22%	4%	78	+0.2	230/271/370	140	270	14	5	21%	4%	73	-0.1
✕Emmanuel Rivera 2022 · MLB	26	44→54	50→55	51→45	43	230/276/385	156	272	19	8	23%	6%	82	+0.5	240/298/389	149	292	16	5	23%	7%	92	+1.2	237/301/370	133	289	14	3	22%	7%	87	+0.5
✕Luke Hughes 2011 · AAA	26	45→51	49→55	52→45	42	228/280/382	154	285	16	8	26%	6%	83	+0.6	212/271/329	117	279	12	8	27%	7%	66	-0.6	202/265/310	108	266	11	7	27%	7%	57	-0.8
✕Brandon Larson 2002 · MLB	26	44→42	46→50	49→45	46	221/285/353	131	281	13	9	26%	8%	78	+0.2	220/303/372	152	269	18	10	24%	10%	91	+1.1	224/283/379	156	290	20	4	29%	6%	81	+0.2
✕Danny Mendick 2021 · MLB	27	44→49	46→45	47→50	46	221/280/349	128	266	14	13	23%	7%	74	-0.1	234/295/346	112	291	12	9	23%	7%	79	+0.3	230/289/365	135	277	15	15	22%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Connor Wong 2023 · MLB	27	43→53	50→55	48→50	40	226/272/373	147	286	19	11	28%	5%	78	+0.2	235/289/371	136	309	14	11	28%	6%	84	+0.6	247/314/357	109	313	10	10	23%	7%	89	+0.4