Korey Lee
C Charlotte Knights| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | MLBCWS | 394 | .210/.244/.347 | 12 | 6 | 63 | -0.3 | |
| 2025 | 27 | AAACWS | 240 | .255/.314/.405 | 8 | 5 | 55 | — | .213/.259/.302 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLBCWS | 40 | .257/.333/.429 | 1 | 0 | 109 | 0.7 | |
| 2026 | 28 | AAACWS | 402 | .230/.311/.437 | 17 | 17 | 56 | — | .183/.248/.324 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 29 | MLBCWS | 24 | .212/.272/.356 | 1 | 1 | 75 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 30 | MLBCWS | 77 | .209/.268/.348 | 2 | 2 | 71 | -0.0 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 45
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | AAA | Sugar Land Skeeters | — | 38 | 35 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 270 | 343 | 613 | 114 | 296 | 24 | 5 | 267 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 203 | 185 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 254 | 320 | 443 | 763 | 189 | 275 | 17 | 8 | 338 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | — | 121 | 109 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 330 | 397 | 459 | 855 | 128 | 402 | 20 | 10 | 383 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 71 | 62 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 258 | 352 | 339 | 691 | 81 | 357 | 27 | 13 | 320 | 102 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 26 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 192 | 240 | 432 | 80 | 250 | 35 | 4 | 195 | 14 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +8 | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 446 | 404 | 96 | 20 | 2 | 25 | 36 | 127 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 238 | 308 | 483 | 791 | 245 | 281 | 28 | 8 | 345 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 70 | 65 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 143 | 138 | 281 | 62 | 91 | 29 | 7 | 137 | -22 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 357 | 334 | 93 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 97 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 278 | 325 | 386 | 711 | 108 | 379 | 27 | 6 | 320 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 394 | 377 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 122 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 210 | 244 | 347 | 591 | 138 | 276 | 31 | 4 | 263 | 63 | -17 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB | Chicago White Sox | — | 40 | 35 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 333 | 429 | 762 | 171 | 296 | 18 | 10 | 331 | 109 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +1 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 240 | 220 | 56 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 255 | 314 | 405 | 718 | 150 | 304 | 23 | 7 | 320 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 402 | 357 | 82 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 32 | 116 | 10 | 17 | 6 | 230 | 311 | 437 | 748 | 207 | 288 | 29 | 8 | 330 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 530 | 502 | 97 | 20 | 1 | 14 | 27 | 158 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 193 | 234 | 321 | 555 | 127 | 252 | 30 | 5 | 248 | 54 | -29 | +0 | -3 | +28 | +11 | 0.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Skeeters | — | 38 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 243 | 333 | 577 | 111 | 281 | 29 | 3 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 203 | 191 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 44 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 220 | 266 | 366 | 633 | 147 | 251 | 22 | 5 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | A+ MLE | Asheville Tourists | — | 121 | 113 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 314 | 354 | 668 | 88 | 355 | 27 | 7 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 26 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 192 | 240 | 432 | 80 | 250 | 35 | 4 | 189 | 14 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +8 | +1 | 0.4 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 446 | 413 | 83 | 17 | 2 | 19 | 27 | 154 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 201 | 258 | 390 | 648 | 189 | 264 | 35 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 70 | 65 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 143 | 138 | 281 | 62 | 91 | 29 | 7 | 136 | -22 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 357 | 341 | 81 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 119 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 238 | 272 | 314 | 585 | 76 | 357 | 33 | 4 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 394 | 377 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 122 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 210 | 244 | 347 | 591 | 138 | 276 | 31 | 4 | 261 | 63 | -17 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 40 | 35 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 333 | 429 | 762 | 171 | 296 | 18 | 10 | 329 | 109 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +1 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 240 | 225 | 48 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 66 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 213 | 259 | 302 | 562 | 89 | 281 | 28 | 5 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 402 | 367 | 67 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 139 | 10 | 17 | 6 | 183 | 248 | 324 | 572 | 142 | 251 | 35 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 433 | 407 | 94 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 105 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 231 | 275 | 346 | 622 | 115 | 289 | 24 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | 4 teams | — | 433 | 391 | 107 | 20 | 1 | 12 | 40 | 87 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 274 | 343 | 422 | 765 | 148 | 324 | 20 | 9 | 342 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 472 | 438 | 87 | 19 | 2 | 19 | 28 | 163 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 199 | 255 | 381 | 636 | 183 | 265 | 35 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 472 | 429 | 100 | 22 | 2 | 25 | 37 | 136 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 233 | 301 | 469 | 770 | 235 | 279 | 29 | 8 | 337 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 427 | 406 | 86 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 139 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 212 | 251 | 286 | 536 | 74 | 312 | 33 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 427 | 399 | 98 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 117 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 246 | 295 | 346 | 641 | 100 | 333 | 27 | 6 | 290 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 394 | 377 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 122 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 210 | 244 | 347 | 591 | 138 | 276 | 31 | 4 | 261 | 63 | -17 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB RAW | Chicago White Sox | — | 394 | 377 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 122 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 210 | 244 | 347 | 591 | 138 | 276 | 31 | 4 | 263 | 63 | -17 | +0 | -1 | +7 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 280 | 260 | 57 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 73 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 219 | 270 | 319 | 589 | 100 | 284 | 26 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 280 | 255 | 65 | 12 | 0 | 9 | 21 | 62 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 255 | 317 | 408 | 724 | 153 | 303 | 22 | 8 | 322 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 402 | 367 | 67 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 139 | 10 | 17 | 6 | 183 | 248 | 324 | 572 | 142 | 256 | 35 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA RAW | Charlotte Knights | — | 402 | 357 | 82 | 19 | 2 | 17 | 32 | 116 | 10 | 17 | 6 | 230 | 311 | 437 | 748 | 207 | 288 | 29 | 8 | 330 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 4 teams | — | 433 | 405 | 94 | 18 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 105 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 232 | 275 | 348 | 624 | 116 | 289 | 24 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 472 | 436 | 87 | 19 | 2 | 19 | 28 | 163 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 200 | 255 | 383 | 638 | 183 | 263 | 35 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 427 | 403 | 86 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 139 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 213 | 251 | 288 | 538 | 74 | 313 | 33 | 4 | 238 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 394 | 374 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 122 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 211 | 244 | 350 | 594 | 139 | 276 | 31 | 4 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 280 | 260 | 57 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 73 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 219 | 270 | 319 | 589 | 100 | 283 | 26 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 402 | 367 | 67 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 139 | 10 | 17 | 6 | 183 | 248 | 324 | 572 | 142 | 251 | 35 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Chicago White Sox | — | 394 | 374 | 79 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 122 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 211 | 244 | 350 | 594 | 139 | 276 | 31 | 4 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 280 | 260 | 57 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 73 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 219 | 270 | 319 | 589 | 100 | 283 | 26 | 6 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 402 | 367 | 67 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 139 | 10 | 17 | 6 | 183 | 248 | 324 | 572 | 142 | 251 | 35 | 5 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | CWS | 10% | 390 | 358 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 111 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 211 | 271 | 353 | 624 | 142 | 270 | 28 | 6 | 279 | 75 | -12 | +1 | -3 | +7 | +8 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | CWS | 10% | 24 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 272 | 356 | 628 | 144 | 271 | 29 | 4 | 280 | 75 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | CWS | 27% | 281 | 258 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 81 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 208 | 268 | 345 | 612 | 137 | 268 | 29 | 6 | 274 | 71 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | CWS | 27% | 77 | 71 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 268 | 348 | 616 | 139 | 269 | 29 | 6 | 275 | 71 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 607 | 573 | 111 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 32 | 180 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 194 | 238 | 321 | 559 | 127 | 252 | 30 | 5 | 251 | 64 | -32 | +0 | -4 | +29 | +13 | 0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 614 | 119 | 25 | 1 | 17 | 34 | 193 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 194 | 237 | 321 | 558 | 127 | 252 | 30 | 5 | 251 | 64 | -34 | +0 | -4 | +32 | +14 | 0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2927 | 2731 | 570 | 112 | 9 | 75 | 157 | 890 | 28 | 70 | 19 | 209 | 259 | 339 | 598 | 130 | 279 | 30 | 5 | 263 | 64 | -46 | +1 | -9 | +37 | +23 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 606 | 127 | 25 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 198 | 6 | 16 | 4 | 210 | 260 | 342 | 601 | 132 | 280 | 30 | 5 | 263 | 64 | -28 | +0 | -5 | +23 | +14 | 0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAACharlotte Knights · 402 PAwOBA .322 → .251 (−71)K% 28.9% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.86% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 5.45% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.49% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 2.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×0.992 | 16.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×0.992 | 6.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×0.992 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 4.90% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .322 → .251; ISO .207 → .148; BABIP .288 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAACharlotte Knights · 240 PAwOBA .313 → .249 (−64)K% 22.9% → 27.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.92% | ÷0.996 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.08% | ÷0.984 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 4.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.64% | ÷1.002 | ×0.930 | ×1.035 | ×1.003 | 22.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.45% | ÷0.980 | ×0.830 | ×1.035 | ×1.003 | 4.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.961 | ×0.970 | ×1.035 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.320 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 2.58% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 164, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 92, K 99, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.035.
Result: wOBA .313 → .249; ISO .150 → .091; BABIP .304 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAACharlotte Knights · 357 PAwOBA .311 → .258 (−53)K% 27.2% → 33.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.17% | ÷0.978 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.60% | ÷1.078 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 3.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.84% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.69% | ÷0.967 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 27.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.02% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 6.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.42% | ÷0.996 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.11% | ÷1.152 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 1.32% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 130, 1B 93, 2B 94, 3B 99, K 96, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .311 → .258; ISO .108 → .078; BABIP .379 → .357. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 446 PAwOBA .336 → .278 (−58)K% 28.5% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.48% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.07% | ÷0.953 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.10% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.69% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | ×0.987 | ×1.048 | 17.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.22% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | ×0.987 | ×1.048 | 6.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.72% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.987 | ×1.048 | 0.80% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.03% | ÷0.917 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 7.22% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 97, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.987.
Result: wOBA .336 → .278; ISO .245 → .191; BABIP .281 → .264. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 203 PAwOBA .325 → .270 (−55)K% 17.2% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.24% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 21.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.39% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 5.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.49% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.33% | ÷1.002 | ×0.940 | ×0.978 | ×1.027 | 18.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.00% | ÷0.987 | ×0.870 | ×0.978 | ×1.027 | 5.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.67% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.978 | ×1.027 | 0.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.33% | ÷1.074 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 3.98% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 100, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .325 → .270; ISO .189 → .145; BABIP .275 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 A+Asheville Tourists · 121 PAwOBA .373 → .293 (−80)K% 19.8% → 26.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.83% | ÷0.995 | ×1.350 | — | — | 26.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.92% | ÷1.044 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.94% | ÷0.983 | ×0.910 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 30.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.111 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 4.36% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.910 | ×0.820 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.53% | ÷1.131 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 2.59% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 97, 2B 122, 3B 82, K 99, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .373 → .293; ISO .128 → .089; BABIP .402 → .355. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAASugar Land Skeeters · 38 PAwOBA .267 → .243 (−24)K% 23.7% → 28.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.68% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.26% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 3.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.023 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.050 | 14.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.050 | 14.52% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.935 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 87, 1B 105, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .267 → .243; ISO .114 → .107; BABIP .296 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .