Jacob NottinghamC Tacoma Rainiers
Age 31 R/R 6'2" / 220 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 8.000 · Ctrl thru 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 200 proj PA
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .260 / .312
PA200
HR4
K%30
BB%6
ISO121
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -9.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-10BATRUN: -0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: -0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-0FLDPOS: +3.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +5.7 runs (Replacement-level credit)+6REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.12627
Tools · Contract
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2019-2021
CONTACT
Whiff%
1019.2%
xwOBA
100.256
POWER
Barrel%
8513.4
Avg EV
1081.4
EYE
Chase%
2836.0%
SPEED
Sprint
1025.2
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   FA
MLB Debut   2018
Service   8.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2026
First FA Year   2027
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt / FA-deal$0.4M
Totals $0.4M $-0.0M -$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201318 ROKGCL Astros 173154 28711 13553 42 182259260519 78267 328 232 36
201318 ROKGCL Astros 173146 361021 21383 42 247353363716 116318 2212 323 105
201419 ROKGreeneville Astros 200181 31714 11773 32 171231287518 116260 386 217 24
201419 ROKGreeneville Astros 200174 401015 18543 32 230313385698 155294 279 307 93
201520 A+2 teams 511477 1222329 2113210 22 256301369670 113333 264 293 82
201520 A+2 teams 511465 14733217 339910 22 316374505879 189369 196 386 154
201621 AA2 teams 533503 951407 172088 93 189227258486 70301 393 218 25
201621 AA2 teams 533489 11217012 311628 93 229286337623 108313 306 280 73
201722 AABiloxi Shuckers 385341 571924 2112220 73 167257270526 103244 325 237 40
201722 AABiloxi Shuckers 385325 682129 378720 73 209327369696 160255 2310 317 101
201823 AAA2 teams 220202 34715 14984 21 168236287523 119293 456 231 35
201823 AAA2 teams 220198 5411210 18674 21 273345500845 227364 308 371 142
201924 AAASan Antonio Missions 332301 501404 171289 61 166232252485 86264 395 218 25
201924 AAASan Antonio Missions 332290 672105 28959 61 231318355673 124318 298 303 90
202025 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 5448 9104 5201 00 188278458736 271208 379 327 109 +1 +0 +2 +1 +2 0.5
202025 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 5448 9104 5201 00 188278458736 271208 379 323 105 +0 +0 +2 +1 +2 0.5
202126 MLBSeattle Mariners 4540 6103 2202 00 150227400627 250167 444 277 70 -2 +0 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
202126 MLBSeattle Mariners 4540 6103 2202 00 150227400627 250167 444 271 66 -2 +0 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
202227 AAA2 teams 373332 7111114 2512012 133 214293380672 166282 327 292 82
202227 AAA2 teams 373318 7413115 3910412 133 233339421760 189291 2810 339 117
202328 AAA2 teams 238217 33607 12869 11 152227276503 124210 365 233 37
202328 AAA2 teams 238214 4710010 15699 11 220298407705 187274 296 316 100
202530 AAATacoma Rainiers 6558 9500 3303 00 155234241476 86310 465 206 16
202530 AAATacoma Rainiers 6557 11600 4253 00 193281298579 105333 386 265 61
▸ 2026 Season
202631 MLBSEA 200182 35714 12594 31 192258308565 115257 306 261 58 -10 +0 -0 +4 +6 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202732 MLBSEA 27% 170153 30614 11504 21 196268327595 131258 296 262 59 -8 +0 -4 +3 +5 -0.4
202732 MLBSEA 27% 4642 8201 3141 10 190261310570 119255 307 244 45 -3 +0 -1 +1 +1 -0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career 169150 27508 14624 10 180268373641 193235 378 282 74 -5 +0 +2 +5 +5 0.7
/ 162G 650577 10419031 5423815 40 180268374642 194234 378 282 74 -19 +1 +8 +19 +18 2.7
Career 34993189 6101281070 184120592 5220 191256304559 112278 345 248 48 -205 +2 -1 +61 +99 -4.4
/ 162G 650592 11424213 3422417 104 193256306562 113281 345 248 48 -38 +0 -0 +11 +18 -0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201318 ROKGCL Astros 173146 361021 21383 42 247353363716 116318 2212 323 105 +1 +0 +5 0.6
201419 ROKGreeneville Astros 200174 401015 18543 32 230313385698 155294 279 307 93 -2 -0 +6 0.4
201520 A+Stockton Ports 258235 721517 15485 10 306361468829 162355 196 364 137 +11 +0 +7 1.9
201520 AQuad Cities River Bandits 253230 7518110 18515 12 326387543931 217385 207 409 171 +20 -1 +7 2.7
201621 AABiloxi Shuckers 456415 9714011 291388 92 234296347643 113320 306 290 80 -10 +1 +13 0.4
201621 INTLSalt River Rafters 7774 15301 2240 01 203224284507 81280 313 224 30 -6 -0 +2 -0.4
201722 AABiloxi Shuckers 385325 682129 378720 73 209327369696 160255 2310 317 101 +0 +0 +11 1.2
201823 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 2420 4100 480 00 200333250583 50333 3317 283 75 -1 +0 +1 +4 +1 0.5
201823 AAAColorado Springs Sky Sox 196178 5010210 14594 21 281347528875 247367 307 382 151 +11 +0 +6 1.7
201924 AAASan Antonio Missions 332290 672105 28959 61 231318355673 124318 298 303 90 -4 +1 +9 0.7
202025 MLBMilwaukee Brewers 5448 9104 5201 00 188278458736 271208 379 323 105 +0 +0 +2 +1 +2 0.5
202126 MLBSeattle Mariners 4540 6103 2202 00 150227400627 250167 444 271 66 -2 +0 -0 -1 +1 -0.1
202227 AAANorfolk Tides 354301 6912115 379812 123 229337425762 196281 2810 339 118 +7 +1 +10 1.9
202227 INTLTigres del Licey 1917 5100 260 10 294368353721 59455 3211 332 112 +0 +0 +1 0.1
202328 AAARochester Red Wings 221197 4310010 15649 11 218303421724 203268 297 324 106 +1 -0 +6 0.8
202328 INTLTigres del Licey 1717 4000 050 00 235235235471 333 290 213 21 -2 +0 +0 -0.1
202530 AAATacoma Rainiers 6557 11600 4253 00 193281298579 105333 386 265 61 -3 +0 +2 -0.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 123108 19307 11483 00 176270398669 222222 399 296 85 -2 +0 +3 +4 +3 0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jacob Nottingham (OGILVIE) 31 192/260/312 120257 43 30% 6% 58 -0.4
David Matranga
2007 · AAA
30 37 45 47→50 42 193/259/309 116250 139 28% 6% 56 -1.3 213/284/337 124283 1411 28% 7% 73 -0.1 212/294/33412228413928%8%75+0.0
Joe Hudson
2022 · MLB
31 36 43→45 47→40 38 185/235/289 104266 115 34% 6% 40 -2.4 203/284/350 147292 198 35% 9% 78 +0.2 184/288/33314926521837%11%73-0.0
Matt Pagnozzi
2015 · MLB
32 36 46→45 47→40 39 193/249/313 121249 164 30% 5% 53 -1.5 214/268/326 112275 136 26% 6% 63 -0.8 207/263/279722628023%7%48-0.7
Dustin Garneau
2019 · MLB
31 37 47→50 39→45 44 194/256/327 132239 154 26% 6% 59 -1.1 204/282/367 163265 194 29% 8% 81 +0.4 171/262/34717721422131%8%67-0.2
José Briceño
2023 · AAA
30 39 47→45 48→45 37 204/246/335 130263 157 29% 4% 56 -1.3 216/258/366 150273 207 29% 4% 70 -0.3 190/227/34215222126029%4%46-0.6
Dane Sardinha
2010 · MLB
31 33→32 43→45 48→30 36 177/217/283 106239 124 32% 4% 30 -3.1 189/246/294 105269 124 33% 6% 46 -2.0 167/231/2568923711033%6%26-1.2
Yamid Haad
2009 · AAA
31 42 41→45 48→40 41 206/252/295 89263 97 25% 5% 48 -1.9 228/267/335 107292 115 25% 5% 65 -0.7 237/274/34210530010224%5%67-0.2
Jett Bandy
2021 · MLB
31 39 49→50 44→45 37 207/267/349 142269 186 30% 4% 70 -0.3 215/276/333 118299 138 31% 6% 69 -0.4 175/246/242682548032%6%34-0.6
Ali Solis
2019 · AAA
31 40 42→45 47→30 34 202/236/305 103287 107 33% 4% 43 -2.2 208/245/354 146286 197 34% 4% 61 -1.0 188/222/33915124622334%4%44-1.3
Eric Stamets
2022 · MLB
30 36→46 43→45 54→50 41 184/246/294 109250 1113 30% 6% 46 -2.0 193/261/313 120273 1313 33% 6% 58 -1.2 153/230/258105221121635%6%28-1.2
Dusty Coleman
2018 · MLB
31 38→42 48→50 51→50 35 194/248/337 142295 1514 38% 6% 58 -1.2 170/225/296 126336 1412 51% 6% 38 -2.6 106/161/20397243121159%5%-16-3.5
Michael Pérez
2023 · MLB
30 33 49→50 45→40 46 184/255/323 140226 184 28% 8% 58 -1.2 193/267/322 129258 164 30% 8% 63 -0.8 168/248/28211422714032%8%43-0.9
Brett Hayes
2015 · MLB
31 37 51→45 50→40 35 203/237/357 154262 197 31% 4% 59 -1.1 182/223/291 109243 125 30% 4% 35 -2.8 151/193/229782088031%4%3-1.5
Jesus Alberto Vega
2013 · AAA
31 42 45→50 47→40 43 214/267/329 116260 138 23% 6% 64 -0.8 230/280/357 127295 157 26% 6% 76 +0.1 228/279/34311529813327%6%68-0.2
Ryan Budde
2010 · MLB
30 39 42→45 46→40 41 197/251/300 103268 106 30% 6% 49 -1.8 187/249/268 81292 76 36% 7% 40 -2.4 161/230/216552655438%8%18-1.4
Brandon Hicks
2016 · MLB
30 37→41 46→50 46→50 41 185/262/309 123286 145 38% 8% 57 -1.2 196/262/312 116334 1310 42% 7% 57 -1.2 165/231/25894300121246%7%28-1.7
Taylor Motter
2021 · MLB
31 34→44 47→55 46→55 44 185/251/315 130240 169 30% 8% 54 -1.4 225/300/405 180277 226 26% 10% 98 +1.6 214/291/39518126123527%9%90+0.6
Mike Rose
2007 · MLB
30 38 48→50 46→40 43 200/263/344 144268 165 31% 7% 66 -0.6 212/268/335 123287 136 29% 7% 66 -0.6 207/260/30710127711228%7%54-0.5
Seth Bynum
2012 · AAA
31 41→44 49→55 51→50 38 213/259/357 144287 1813 32% 5% 68 -0.5 205/257/329 124302 1410 35% 6% 59 -1.1 179/234/28710827212637%6%35-1.9
Sharlon Schoop
2018 · AAA
31 42→44 46→40 44→45 41 213/258/339 126263 144 25% 5% 63 -0.9 221/280/349 128290 147 28% 6% 74 -0.1 194/268/276822698029%7%49-0.4