Gabriel Arias
SS Chicago Cubs| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 296 | .308/.361/.546 | 12 | 13 | 132 | — | .294/.326/.488 |
| 2024 | 24 | MLBCLE | 161 | .222/.256/.353 | 3 | 5 | 69 | -0.2 | |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 196 | .284/.376/.515 | 10 | 7 | 143 | — | .286/.375/.500 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLBCLE | 471 | .220/.277/.363 | 11 | 8 | 77 | 1.0 | |
| 2026 | 26 | MLBCHC | 149 | .243/.284/.371 | 5 | 4 | 81 | 0.4 | |
| 2027PROJ | 27 | MLBCHC | 219 | .217/.269/.389 | 8 | 5 | 82 | 0.4 | |
| 2028PROJ82% MLB | 28 | MLBCHC | 203 | .215/.267/.384 | 7 | 4 | 80 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ82% MLB | 29 | MLBCHC | 209 | .213/.264/.379 | 7 | 3 | 78 | 0.1 |
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 64 | 62 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 242 | 266 | 258 | 524 | 16 | 326 | 25 | 3 | 240 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | AZL Padres 2 | — | 168 | 153 | 42 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 51 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 275 | 331 | 353 | 684 | 78 | 408 | 30 | 6 | 307 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | INTL | Canberra Cavalry | — | 114 | 107 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 271 | 310 | 486 | 796 | 215 | 348 | 29 | 4 | 345 | 120 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | A | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 504 | 455 | 109 | 27 | 3 | 6 | 41 | 149 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 240 | 304 | 352 | 655 | 112 | 340 | 30 | 8 | 292 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 66 | 59 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 254 | 323 | 288 | 611 | 34 | 341 | 23 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 511 | 477 | 144 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 25 | 128 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 302 | 342 | 470 | 811 | 168 | 378 | 25 | 5 | 355 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 483 | 436 | 124 | 29 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 110 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 284 | 350 | 454 | 804 | 170 | 351 | 23 | 8 | 355 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 57 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 191 | 321 | 319 | 641 | 128 | 267 | 28 | 14 | 293 | 88 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 22 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 323 | 288 | 69 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 25 | 78 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 240 | 313 | 406 | 720 | 167 | 279 | 24 | 8 | 319 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | ACL Guardians | — | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 231 | 412 | 308 | 719 | 77 | 500 | 41 | 18 | 348 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 110 | 104 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 202 | 245 | 269 | 515 | 67 | 267 | 25 | 5 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 345 | 315 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 113 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 210 | 276 | 352 | 629 | 143 | 290 | 33 | 8 | 282 | 77 | -10 | -1 | +4 | +5 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 118 | 112 | 24 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 214 | 248 | 295 | 543 | 80 | 279 | 22 | 3 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 161 | 153 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 53 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 222 | 256 | 353 | 609 | 131 | 316 | 33 | 4 | 269 | 69 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 178 | 167 | 53 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 317 | 360 | 545 | 904 | 228 | 388 | 22 | 4 | 394 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 118 | 106 | 31 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 292 | 364 | 547 | 912 | 255 | 321 | 19 | 8 | 398 | 156 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB | Cleveland Guardians | — | 471 | 432 | 95 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 162 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 220 | 277 | 363 | 640 | 144 | 319 | 34 | 6 | 284 | 77 | -13 | +0 | +5 | +7 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 16 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 308 | 438 | 538 | 976 | 231 | 333 | 19 | 19 | 431 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 180 | 156 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 282 | 371 | 513 | 884 | 231 | 350 | 27 | 11 | 384 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | Chicago Cubs | — | 149 | 140 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 60 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 243 | 284 | 371 | 655 | 129 | 382 | 40 | 5 | 291 | 81 | -3 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Columbus Clippers | — | 18 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 444 | 933 | 1.378 | 600 | 222 | 17 | 11 | 566 | 173 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 1183 | 1087 | 238 | 53 | 4 | 30 | 77 | 404 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 219 | 277 | 358 | 635 | 139 | 315 | 34 | 7 | 283 | 78 | -32 | +0 | +6 | +17 | +26 | 1.8 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2017 | 17 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 64 | 63 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 234 | 238 | 472 | 16 | 333 | 34 | 2 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Padres 2 | — | 168 | 157 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 73 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 197 | 241 | 248 | 489 | 51 | 354 | 43 | 4 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | A MLE | Fort Wayne TinCaps | — | 504 | 467 | 94 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 203 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 201 | 249 | 285 | 534 | 84 | 330 | 40 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 511 | 485 | 122 | 17 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 174 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 252 | 283 | 404 | 687 | 153 | 344 | 34 | 3 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 483 | 447 | 121 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 132 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 271 | 321 | 405 | 726 | 134 | 359 | 27 | 6 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 57 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 191 | 321 | 319 | 641 | 128 | 267 | 28 | 14 | 298 | 88 | -1 | +0 | -3 | +2 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2022 | 22 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 323 | 294 | 67 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 90 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 228 | 288 | 347 | 635 | 119 | 286 | 28 | 6 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Guardians | — | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 294 | 214 | 508 | 71 | 376 | 59 | 12 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 345 | 315 | 66 | 15 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 113 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 210 | 276 | 352 | 629 | 143 | 290 | 33 | 8 | 281 | 77 | -10 | -1 | +4 | +5 | +7 | 0.6 |
| 2024 | 24 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 161 | 153 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 53 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 222 | 256 | 353 | 609 | 131 | 316 | 33 | 4 | 270 | 69 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 178 | 170 | 50 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 51 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 294 | 326 | 488 | 814 | 194 | 393 | 29 | 3 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | Cleveland Guardians | — | 471 | 433 | 95 | 25 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 162 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 219 | 275 | 363 | 637 | 143 | 319 | 34 | 6 | 283 | 77 | -13 | +0 | +5 | +7 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 16 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 286 | 375 | 500 | 875 | 214 | 310 | 25 | 12 | 336 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | Chicago Cubs | — | 149 | 141 | 34 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 241 | 277 | 369 | 646 | 128 | 382 | 40 | 5 | 288 | 81 | -3 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 18 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 333 | 625 | 958 | 375 | 192 | 22 | 6 | 424 | 173 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 346 | 328 | 66 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 143 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 201 | 236 | 241 | 477 | 40 | 355 | 41 | 3 | 212 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK RAW | 3 teams | — | 346 | 322 | 86 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 100 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 267 | 312 | 379 | 691 | 112 | 372 | 29 | 5 | 307 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 570 | 528 | 104 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 230 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 197 | 246 | 275 | 520 | 78 | 337 | 40 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 570 | 514 | 124 | 29 | 3 | 6 | 47 | 164 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 241 | 306 | 344 | 650 | 103 | 340 | 29 | 8 | 291 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 511 | 485 | 122 | 17 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 174 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 252 | 283 | 404 | 687 | 153 | 352 | 34 | 3 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A+ RAW | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 511 | 477 | 144 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 25 | 128 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 302 | 342 | 470 | 811 | 168 | 378 | 25 | 5 | 355 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 483 | 447 | 121 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 132 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 271 | 321 | 405 | 726 | 134 | 362 | 27 | 6 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AAA RAW | Columbus Clippers | — | 483 | 436 | 124 | 29 | 3 | 13 | 39 | 110 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 284 | 350 | 454 | 804 | 170 | 351 | 23 | 8 | 355 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 507 | 456 | 100 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 149 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 219 | 291 | 340 | 631 | 121 | 292 | 29 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AAA RAW | 4 teams | — | 507 | 452 | 102 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 41 | 129 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 226 | 303 | 363 | 666 | 137 | 279 | 25 | 8 | 299 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 463 | 420 | 88 | 20 | 0 | 13 | 38 | 152 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 210 | 280 | 350 | 630 | 140 | 293 | 33 | 8 | 281 | 77 | -13 | -1 | +4 | +5 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 463 | 427 | 90 | 24 | 0 | 10 | 31 | 139 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 211 | 269 | 337 | 606 | 126 | 287 | 30 | 7 | 272 | 77 | -13 | -1 | +4 | +5 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 457 | 435 | 112 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 140 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 257 | 292 | 416 | 708 | 159 | 359 | 31 | 3 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 457 | 426 | 118 | 28 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 115 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 277 | 325 | 477 | 801 | 200 | 347 | 25 | 5 | 351 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 667 | 612 | 135 | 34 | 3 | 16 | 39 | 227 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 221 | 277 | 364 | 642 | 144 | 317 | 34 | 6 | 284 | 79 | -17 | +0 | +5 | +7 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB RAW | 3 teams | — | 667 | 601 | 143 | 32 | 3 | 21 | 50 | 214 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 238 | 306 | 406 | 712 | 168 | 328 | 32 | 7 | 315 | 79 | -17 | +0 | +5 | +7 | +14 | 1.0 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 167 | 157 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 64 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 242 | 283 | 395 | 678 | 153 | 356 | 38 | 5 | 303 | 91 | -2 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +4 | 0.6 |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 167 | 155 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 252 | 301 | 426 | 727 | 174 | 365 | 38 | 6 | 321 | 91 | -2 | +1 | +2 | +2 | +4 | 0.6 |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK MLE | 3 teams | — | 346 | 328 | 66 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 143 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 201 | 236 | 241 | 477 | 40 | 348 | 41 | 3 | 212 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 570 | 531 | 104 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 230 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 196 | 246 | 273 | 519 | 77 | 330 | 40 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | A+ MLE | Lake Elsinore Storm | — | 511 | 485 | 122 | 17 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 174 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 252 | 283 | 404 | 687 | 153 | 344 | 34 | 3 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | AAA MLE | Columbus Clippers | — | 483 | 447 | 121 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 132 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 271 | 321 | 405 | 726 | 134 | 359 | 27 | 6 | 316 | 100 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AAA MLE | 4 teams | — | 507 | 456 | 100 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 37 | 149 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 219 | 291 | 340 | 631 | 121 | 287 | 29 | 7 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 463 | 419 | 88 | 20 | 0 | 13 | 38 | 152 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 210 | 280 | 351 | 631 | 141 | 290 | 33 | 8 | 281 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 457 | 433 | 112 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 140 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 259 | 292 | 418 | 710 | 159 | 357 | 31 | 3 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 667 | 614 | 135 | 34 | 3 | 16 | 39 | 227 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 220 | 277 | 363 | 640 | 143 | 319 | 34 | 6 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 167 | 156 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 64 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 244 | 283 | 397 | 681 | 154 | 361 | 38 | 5 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 457 | 433 | 112 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 140 | 6 | 18 | 3 | 259 | 292 | 418 | 710 | 159 | 357 | 31 | 3 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MLB MLE | 3 teams | — | 667 | 614 | 135 | 34 | 3 | 16 | 39 | 227 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 220 | 277 | 363 | 640 | 143 | 319 | 34 | 6 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 167 | 156 | 38 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 64 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 244 | 283 | 397 | 681 | 154 | 361 | 38 | 5 | 303 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | CHC | 100% | 330 | 305 | 67 | 12 | 2 | 13 | 18 | 115 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 216 | 268 | 389 | 657 | 173 | 296 | 35 | 5 | 289 | 82 | -7 | +1 | +1 | +4 | +7 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | CHC | 100% | 219 | 202 | 44 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 76 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 217 | 269 | 389 | 657 | 172 | 299 | 35 | 5 | 289 | 82 | -5 | +1 | +1 | +2 | +5 | 0.4 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | CHC | 82% | 248 | 230 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 13 | 87 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 214 | 266 | 385 | 651 | 171 | 295 | 35 | 5 | 287 | 80 | -6 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | CHC | 82% | 255 | 236 | 50 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 90 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 212 | 263 | 379 | 642 | 167 | 294 | 35 | 5 | 283 | 78 | -7 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | CHC | 82% | 203 | 188 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 71 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 215 | 267 | 384 | 651 | 169 | 298 | 35 | 5 | 287 | 80 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | CHC | 82% | 209 | 194 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 74 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 213 | 264 | 379 | 643 | 166 | 297 | 35 | 5 | 283 | 78 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +5 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1595 | 1469 | 318 | 67 | 6 | 44 | 99 | 549 | 14 | 28 | 12 | 216 | 272 | 360 | 633 | 144 | 310 | 34 | 6 | 283 | 75 | -42 | +1 | +6 | +22 | +35 | 2.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 599 | 129 | 27 | 2 | 18 | 40 | 224 | 6 | 11 | 5 | 215 | 272 | 357 | 629 | 142 | 307 | 34 | 6 | 283 | 75 | -17 | +0 | +2 | +9 | +14 | 0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4893 | 4536 | 1029 | 193 | 29 | 114 | 265 | 1664 | 51 | 88 | 35 | 227 | 277 | 358 | 635 | 131 | 329 | 34 | 5 | 280 | 75 | -49 | +2 | +7 | +25 | +41 | 2.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 603 | 137 | 26 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 221 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 227 | 278 | 358 | 636 | 131 | 329 | 34 | 5 | 280 | 75 | -17 | +1 | +2 | +9 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAAColumbus Clippers · 18 PAwOBA .549 → .424 (−125)K% 16.7% → 20.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.56% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 5.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 15.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 17.82% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .549 → .424; ISO .600 → .429; BABIP .222 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAAColumbus Clippers · 16 PAwOBA .420 → .336 (−84)K% 18.8% → 23.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷0.956 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.54% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 13.19% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.033 | 28.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.064 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.093 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 6.62% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 118, 1B 99, 2B 113, 3B 108, K 91, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .420 → .336; ISO .231 → .155; BABIP .333 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAColumbus Clippers · 178 PAwOBA .381 → .339 (−42)K% 22.5% → 28.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.47% | ÷0.939 | ×1.200 | — | — | 28.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.93% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 2.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.66% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.20% | ÷0.977 | ×0.930 | ×1.041 | ×1.048 | 26.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.87% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×1.041 | ×1.048 | 7.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.94% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.041 | ×1.048 | 4.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.72% | ÷1.060 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.27% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 95, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 88, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.041.
Result: wOBA .381 → .339; ISO .228 → .187; BABIP .388 → .393. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAColumbus Clippers · 323 PAwOBA .314 → .283 (−31)K% 24.1% → 28.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.15% | ÷1.036 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.74% | ÷0.930 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.86% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.83% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.38% | ÷0.941 | ×0.930 | ×1.040 | ×1.050 | 24.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.29% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×1.040 | ×1.050 | 3.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.040 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.19% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 4.55% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 88, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 107, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .314 → .283; ISO .167 → .125; BABIP .279 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Guardians · 17 PAwOBA .341 → .203 (−138)K% 41.2% → 58.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 41.18% | ÷1.019 | ×1.440 | — | — | 58.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.013 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 10.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.88% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 4.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷0.998 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 26.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.076 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 10.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.915 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 100, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 104, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .341 → .203; ISO .077 → .039; BABIP .500 → .376. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAColumbus Clippers · 483 PAwOBA .348 → .316 (−32)K% 22.8% → 27.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.77% | ÷1.002 | ×1.200 | — | — | 27.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.07% | ÷1.008 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.04% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.23% | ÷0.949 | ×0.930 | ×1.032 | ×1.050 | 25.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.90% | ÷0.949 | ×0.830 | ×1.032 | ×1.050 | 8.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.92% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.032 | ×1.050 | 1.02% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.99% | ÷1.034 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.83% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 90, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (6.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .348 → .316; ISO .170 → .139; BABIP .351 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Lake Elsinore Storm · 511 PAwOBA .347 → .292 (−54)K% 25.0% → 34.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.05% | ÷0.987 | ×1.340 | — | — | 34.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.50% | ÷0.977 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.050 | 3.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.78% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.050 | 0.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.23% | ÷0.990 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 26.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.02% | ÷0.940 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 5.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷0.900 | ×0.760 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | 0.97% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.87% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.050 | 5.23% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 97, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .347 → .292; ISO .168 → .152; BABIP .378 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AFort Wayne TinCaps · 504 PAwOBA .286 → .233 (−53)K% 29.6% → 40.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.56% | ÷0.998 | ×1.360 | — | — | 40.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.94% | ÷0.987 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 5.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.20% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.050 | 0.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.86% | ÷0.994 | ×0.920 | ×1.044 | ×1.050 | 24.21% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.054 | ×0.830 | ×1.044 | ×1.050 | 7.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.98% | ÷0.910 | ×0.910 | ×1.044 | ×1.050 | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.176 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.40% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 99, 2B 111, 3B 82, K 100, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .286 → .233; ISO .112 → .083; BABIP .340 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .