Gabriel AriasSS Chicago Cubs
Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 217 lbs MLB HR -8% Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION165 act + 22 ros · stats below = ROS only
showingROS
wRC+†vL 8987vR 80
AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .273 / .429
PA22
HR1
K%36
BB%5
BABIP314
ISO190
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)
BAT so far: -2.5 runs (147 MLB PA)BAT projected ROS: -0.5 runs (22 MLB PA, park-applied)-3BATRUN so far: +0.8 runs (147 MLB PA)RUN projected ROS: +0.0 runs (22 MLB PA, park-applied)+1RUNFLD so far: +1.8 runs (147 MLB PA)FLD projected ROS: +0.1 runs (22 MLB PA, park-applied)+2FLDPOS so far: +1.6 runs (147 MLB PA)POS projected ROS: +0.2 runs (22 MLB PA, park-applied)+2POSREP so far: +3.2 runs (147 MLB PA)REP projected ROS: +0.5 runs (22 MLB PA, park-applied)+4REP2026 MLB WAR (so far + projected ROS): +0.53so far: +0.5 WAR+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.10.926272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control+$0M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 55
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT35
Whiff%
1017.5%
xAVG
100.216
POWER55
Barrel%
6510.4
Avg EV
6390.0
Bat Spd
9076.3
EYE30
Chase%
3634.4%
SPEED50
Sprint
3626.8
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%36%▼▼40% over 50 PA (60d) · proj 33%
BB%6%·6% over 50 PA (60d) · proj 6%
ISO.138▼▼.021 over 47 AB (60d) · proj .172xISO .152 vs .168 prior — approach backs the move
BABIP.303.444 over 27 BIP (60d) · proj .298xBABIP .251 vs .274 prior — approach does NOT back the move
SLASH.207/.261/.344▼▼proj .221/.273/.392
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 657 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
200
457
wRC+
84
73
L
wOBA
292
277
L
ISO
184
129
◀◀L
BABIP
332
315
L
K%
36.5%
33.3%
R
BB%
4.5%
5.5%
▶▶R
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-2
MLB Debut   2022
Service   4.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2027
First FA Year   2028
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSArb-2$0.4M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2027Arb-3$7M+0.9$3M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $0.0M $4M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201717 AFort Wayne TinCaps 6462 15100 2160 10 242266258524 16326 253 240 48 -4 +0 +1 -0.2
201717 ROKAZL Padres 2 168153 42630 10513 46 275331353684 78408 306 307 94 -1 -2 +4 0.1
201717 INTLCanberra Cavalry 114107 29615 5331 10 271310486796 215348 294 345 120 +3 +0 +2 0.5
201818 AFort Wayne TinCaps 504455 1092736 411491 33 240304352655 112340 308 292 84 -10 -1 +11 0.1
201818 INTLTiburones de La Guaira 6659 15200 6150 20 254323288611 34341 239 281 76 -2 +0 +1 -0.0
201919 A+Lake Elsinore Storm 511477 14421417 251284 84 302342470811 168378 255 355 126 +16 +0 +11 2.8
202121 AAAColumbus Clippers 483436 12429313 391105 51 284350454804 170351 238 355 126 +15 +1 +10 2.7
202222 MLBCleveland Guardians 5747 9111 8161 10 191321319641 128267 2814 293 85 -1 +0 -3 +2 +1 -0.1
202222 AAAColumbus Clippers 323288 699013 25786 51 240313406720 167279 248 319 102 +1 +1 +7 0.9
202222 ROKACL Guardians 1713 3100 371 10 231412308719 77500 4118 348 122 +0 +0 +0 0.1
202222 INTLCangrejeros de Santurce 110104 21401 5281 11 202245269515 67267 255 236 46 -7 -0 +2 -0.5
202323 MLBCleveland Guardians 345315 6615010 281131 34 210276352629 143290 338 282 77 -9 -1 +4 +5 +7 0.6
202323 INTLCangrejeros de Santurce 118112 24900 3262 22 214248295543 80279 223 243 51 -7 -0 +3 -0.5
202424 MLBCleveland Guardians 161153 34913 6531 52 222256353609 131316 334 269 68 -6 +0 -1 +2 +3 -0.2
202424 AAAColumbus Clippers 178167 531056 8403 110 317360545904 228388 224 394 153 +11 +2 +4 1.8
202424 INTLTiburones de La Guaira 118106 31906 10222 21 292364547912 255321 198 398 156 +8 +0 +3 1.1
202525 MLBCleveland Guardians 471432 9525211 271627 84 220277363640 144319 346 284 78 -12 +0 +5 +7 +10 1.0
202525 AAAColumbus Clippers 1613 4001 330 01 308438538976 231333 1919 431 178 +1 -0 +0 0.1
202525 INTLTiburones de La Guaira 180156 44719 20492 72 282371513884 231350 2711 384 146 +10 +1 +4 1.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 1034947 20450425 6934410 1710 215276356632 140307 337 282 77 -29 -1 +4 +16 +22 1.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201717 A MLEFort Wayne TinCaps 6463 13100 1220 10 206219222441 16317 342 194 17 -6 +0 +1 -0.5
201717 ROK MLEAZL Padres 2 168157 30420 6733 46 191235242477 51341 434 208 27 -15 -2 +4 -1.3
201818 A MLEFort Wayne TinCaps 504468 902034 282031 33 192239274513 81314 406 223 37 -38 -1 +11 -2.8
201919 A+ MLELake Elsinore Storm 511485 11616316 171744 84 239271384654 144326 343 279 75 -15 +0 +11 -0.4
202121 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers 483448 1162639 271325 51 259308391699 132341 276 302 91 -5 +1 +10 0.6
202222 MLB MLECleveland Guardians 5747 9111 8161 10 191321319641 128267 2814 295 86 -1 +0 -3 +2 +1 -0.1
202222 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers 323295 64709 18906 51 217276332608 115272 286 271 70 -12 +1 +7 -0.4
202222 ROK MLEACL Guardians 1714 2100 2101 10 143294214508 71386 5912 207 26 -1 +0 +0 -0.1
202323 MLB MLECleveland Guardians 345315 6615010 281131 34 210276352629 143290 338 279 75 -10 -1 +4 +5 +7 0.5
202424 MLB MLECleveland Guardians 161153 34913 6531 52 222256353609 131316 334 268 67 -6 +0 -1 +2 +3 -0.2
202424 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers 178170 47854 5513 110 276309453762 176372 293 322 104 +1 +2 +4 0.7
202525 MLB MLECleveland Guardians 471432 9525211 271627 84 220277363640 144319 346 281 76 -13 +0 +5 +7 +10 0.9
202525 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers 1614 4001 240 01 286375500875 214299 2512 327 107 +0 -0 +0 0.0
201717 ROK MLE3 teams 346328 64730 111434 66 195230235465 40344 413 204 24
201717 ROK RAW3 teams 346322 861345 171004 66 267312379691 112372 295 307 24
201818 A MLE2 teams 570530 1002234 312301 53 189235264499 75321 405 223 37
201818 A RAW2 teams 570514 1242936 471641 53 241306344650 103340 298 291 37
201919 A+ MLELake Elsinore Storm 511485 11616316 171744 84 239271384654 144334 343 279 75
201919 A+ RAWLake Elsinore Storm 511477 14421417 251284 84 302342470811 168378 255 355 75
202121 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers 483448 1162639 271325 51 259308391699 132345 276 302 91
202121 AAA RAWColumbus Clippers 483436 12429313 391105 51 284350454804 170351 238 355 91
202222 AAA MLE4 teams 507457 9611213 361499 82 210281328609 118278 297 272 70
202222 AAA RAW4 teams 507452 10215115 411299 82 226303363666 137279 258 299 70
202323 MLB MLE2 teams 463420 8820013 381523 56 210280350630 140293 338 279 75 -14 -1 +4 +5 +10 0.4
202323 MLB RAW2 teams 463427 9024010 311393 56 211269337606 126287 307 272 75 -14 -1 +4 +5 +10 0.4
202424 AAA MLE3 teams 457436 1082389 141406 183 248281399680 151344 313 296 87
202424 AAA RAW3 teams 457426 11828615 241156 183 277325477801 200347 255 351 87
202525 MLB MLE3 teams 667611 13534316 402279 157 221279365644 144318 346 282 77 -18 +0 +5 +7 +14 0.9
202525 MLB RAW3 teams 667601 14332321 502149 157 238306406712 168328 327 315 77 -18 +0 +5 +7 +14 0.9
201717 ROK MLE3 teams 346328 64730 111434 66 195230235465 40334 413 204 24
201818 A MLE2 teams 570533 1002234 312301 53 188235263498 75314 405 223 37
201919 A+ MLELake Elsinore Storm 511485 11616316 171744 84 239271384654 144326 343 279 75
202121 AAA MLEColumbus Clippers 483448 1162639 271325 51 259308391699 132341 276 302 91
202222 AAA MLE4 teams 507457 9611213 361499 82 210281328609 118276 297 272 70
202323 MLB MLE2 teams 463419 8820013 381523 56 210280351631 141290 338 279 75
202424 AAA MLE3 teams 457434 1082389 141406 183 249281401682 152346 313 296 87
202525 MLB MLE3 teams 667613 13534316 402279 157 220279364643 144319 346 282 77
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
202323 MLB MLE2 teams 463419 8820013 381523 56 210280351631 141290 338 279 75
202424 AAA MLE3 teams 457434 1082389 141406 183 249281401682 152346 313 296 87
202525 MLB MLE3 teams 667613 13534316 402279 157 220279364643 144319 346 282 77
YTD26 MLB MLECHC 165155 38307 9641 40 245291400691 155369 395 303 91 -2 +1 +2 +2 +4 0.6
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR26 MLB RAWCHC 147139 34305 8600 40 245286374660 129392 415 295 91 -2 +1 +2 +2 +3 0.6
YTD26 AAA RAWCHC 1815 5003 231 00 3334449331.378 600222 1711 566 91
YTD26 MLB RAWCHC 147139 34305 8600 40 245286374660 129392 415 295 86 -2 +1 +2 +2 +3 0.5
ROS26 MLB MLECHC 100% 2221 5101 180 00 238273429701 190313 365 297 87 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
ROS26 MLB CTXCHC 100% 2221 5101 180 00 238273429701 190314 365 288 87 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL26 MLB A+CCHC 169160 39406 9680 40 244284381665 137384 405 294 91 -2 +1 +2 +2 +4 0.6
TOT26 MLB MLECHC 187176 43408 10721 40 244289403692 159365 395 302 91 -2 +1 +2 +2 +4 0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202727 MLB MLECHC 92% 465431 9521217 271614 102 220273397669 176303 356 295 86 -8 +1 +1 +5 +10 1.0
202828 MLB MLECHC 92% 459425 9220117 271594 92 216270388658 172303 356 294 85 -8 +1 +1 +5 +10 0.9
202929 MLB MLECHC 92% 448414 9020116 271564 81 217272386658 169302 356 292 84 -9 +1 -0 +5 +10 0.7
203030 MLB MLECHC 92% 437404 8719116 261544 71 215270386656 171301 356 290 82 -9 +1 -1 +5 +9 0.5
203131 MLB MLECHC 92% 422390 8318115 251504 61 213267379647 167298 366 286 79 -10 +1 -1 +5 +9 0.3
203232 MLB MLECHC 92% 403372 7817114 241444 51 210265374639 164294 366 280 76 -12 +1 -2 +4 +9 -0.0
202727 MLB CTXCHC 92% 428396 8719215 251484 92 220273391664 172305 356 287 86 -7 +1 +1 +5 +9 0.9
202828 MLB CTXCHC 92% 422390 8619215 251464 81 221274395669 174304 356 286 85 -7 +1 +1 +5 +9 0.8
202929 MLB CTXCHC 92% 412380 8218114 251444 81 216271379650 163304 356 284 84 -8 +1 -0 +4 +9 0.7
203030 MLB CTXCHC 92% 402371 8018114 241414 71 216271383653 167302 356 282 82 -9 +1 -1 +4 +9 0.5
203131 MLB CTXCHC 92% 388358 7617113 231384 61 212268374642 162300 366 278 79 -9 +1 -1 +4 +8 0.3
203232 MLB CTXCHC 92% 371343 7115112 221333 51 207261362622 155296 366 272 76 -11 +1 -2 +4 +8 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career A+C 34793206 69115712109 214120233 6017 216272374646 158304 356 282 74 -80 +5 +2 +42 +75 4.6
/ 162G A+C 650599 12829220 402256 113 214269369638 155303 356 282 74 -15 +1 +0 +8 +14 0.9
Career MLE 66606172 135327532176 371227965 11540 219271360630 140314 346 277 74 -85 +5 +2 +44 +80 4.8
/ 162G MLE 650602 13227317 362226 114 219270359629 140314 346 277 74 -15 +1 +0 +8 +14 0.8