Dérmis Garcia — OGILVIE

Dérmis Garcia3B Harrisburg Senators

Age 28 R/R 6'1" / 200 lbs AA Svc 4.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†80

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .277 / .371

PA250

HR8

K%31

BB%7

ISO157

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 64

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022

CONTACT20

Whiff%

1021.7%

xwOBA

100.245

POWER64

Barrel%

8313.1

Avg EV

1686.5

EYE48

Chase%

4233.2%

SPEED54

Sprint

4727.4

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-2

MLB Debut 2022

Service 4.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-2	$0.4M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	GCL Yankees2	—	78	72	7	1	0	0	6	36	0	0	1	97	167	111	278	14	194	46	8	134	-39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK	GCL Yankees2	—	78	69	11	2	0	0	9	25	0	0	1	159	256	188	445	29	250	32	12	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	230	206	26	5	0	9	20	112	3	0	2	126	214	282	496	155	198	49	9	218	25	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	230	194	40	9	0	13	32	79	3	0	2	206	328	454	781	247	262	34	14	345	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	ROK	2 teams	—	266	239	41	7	2	13	24	117	1	6	0	172	250	381	631	209	252	44	9	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	ROK	2 teams	—	266	225	56	11	2	17	38	81	1	6	0	249	360	542	902	293	302	30	14	389	156	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	363	340	65	13	1	18	20	151	2	3	2	191	240	394	634	203	273	42	6	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	363	324	78	17	2	15	36	111	2	3	2	241	320	444	765	204	317	31	10	338	117	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	2 teams	—	322	301	50	13	0	14	14	165	2	4	2	166	208	349	557	183	283	51	4	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	2 teams	—	322	292	71	15	0	17	23	112	2	4	2	243	303	469	772	226	321	35	7	334	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	443	404	68	11	1	24	33	207	3	10	2	168	236	379	615	210	250	47	7	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	443	385	81	11	1	31	52	168	3	10	2	210	309	486	795	275	265	38	12	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	—	403	364	73	16	1	14	31	160	3	4	1	201	269	365	634	165	303	40	8	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	2 teams	—	403	355	87	21	1	18	40	138	3	4	1	245	327	462	789	217	338	34	10	344	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	198	179	36	5	1	9	14	79	4	3	0	201	274	391	665	190	293	40	7	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	198	171	45	8	1	12	22	63	4	3	0	263	360	532	893	269	340	32	11	388	155	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	424	391	57	10	1	12	27	161	4	2	1	146	209	269	477	123	205	38	6	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	424	373	68	12	1	14	44	127	4	2	1	182	275	332	607	150	231	30	10	276	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	WSH	—	250	228	49	9	1	8	17	78	3	3	1	215	278	368	647	154	289	31	7	290	80	-6	+0	+1	-4	+7	0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	WSH	28%	380	346	76	14	2	12	27	117	4	5	1	220	284	376	660	156	288	31	7	292	82	-8	+1	-0	-7	+11	-0.4
2028	30	MLB	WSH	43%	380	346	76	14	2	12	27	115	4	4	1	220	284	376	660	156	287	30	7	291	81	-8	+0	-1	-7	+11	-0.5
2029	31	MLB	WSH	52%	365	332	71	13	1	11	26	110	4	4	1	214	279	358	637	145	285	30	7	289	79	-9	+0	-2	-7	+10	-0.6
2027	29	MLB	WSH	28%	106	97	20	4	0	3	7	33	1	1	0	206	267	340	607	134	288	31	7	284	75	-3	+0	-0	-2	+3	-0.2
2028	30	MLB	WSH	43%	164	149	33	6	1	5	12	50	2	2	0	221	288	376	664	154	287	30	7	283	75	-5	+0	-0	-3	+5	-0.3
2029	31	MLB	WSH	52%	190	172	38	7	1	6	14	58	2	2	0	221	287	378	665	157	285	31	7	281	73	-6	+0	-1	-3	+5	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	585	534	115	23	2	19	41	196	6	5	0	215	279	373	651	157	298	34	7	284	76	-16	+1	-0	-15	+17	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	128	26	2	21	46	218	7	6	0	216	280	373	653	157	300	34	7	284	76	-18	+1	-0	-17	+18	-1.6
Career	—			—	4102	3748	695	131	13	156	286	1608	37	48	15	185	250	352	602	167	268	39	7	263	60	-187	+4	-1	-73	+116	-14.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	111	21	2	25	45	255	6	8	2	187	251	355	606	168	270	39	7	263	60	-30	+1	-0	-12	+18	-2.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	GCL Yankees2	—	78	69	11	2	0	0	9	25	0	0	1	159	256	188	445	29	250	32	12	218	25	-7	-0	—	—	+2	-0.5
2016	18	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	230	194	40	9	0	13	32	79	3	0	2	206	328	454	781	247	262	34	14	345	122	+6	-1	—	—	+7	1.2
2017	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	125	110	25	6	1	8	14	42	0	0	0	227	315	518	833	291	279	34	11	358	132	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.8
2017	19	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	141	115	31	5	1	9	24	39	1	6	0	270	400	565	965	296	324	28	17	416	177	+12	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2018	20	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	363	324	78	17	2	15	36	111	2	3	2	241	320	444	765	204	317	31	10	338	117	+7	-0	—	—	+10	1.7
2019	21	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	297	271	67	15	0	17	19	105	2	4	2	247	301	491	792	244	325	35	6	340	119	+6	+0	—	—	+8	1.5
2019	21	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	25	21	4	0	0	0	4	7	0	0	0	190	320	190	510		286	28	16	256	54	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2021	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	443	385	81	11	1	31	52	168	3	10	2	210	309	486	795	275	265	38	12	346	123	+11	+1	—	—	+13	2.6
2022	24	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	125	116	24	6	0	5	8	55	1	0	0	207	264	388	652	181	339	44	6	290	80	-3	+0	+1	-7	+4	-0.6
2022	24	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	278	239	63	15	1	13	32	83	2	4	1	264	355	498	853	234	338	30	12	369	140	+13	+0	—	—	+8	2.1
2023	25	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	198	171	45	8	1	12	22	63	4	3	0	263	360	532	893	269	340	32	11	388	155	+12	+1	—	—	+6	1.9
2024	26	AA	Harrisburg Senators	—	424	373	68	12	1	14	44	127	4	2	1	182	275	332	607	150	231	30	10	276	69	-15	+0	—	—	+12	-0.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	125	116	24	6	0	5	8	55	1	0	0	207	264	388	652	181	339	44	6	290	80	-3	+0	+1	-7	+4	-0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	590	20	5	217	277	376	-1	+0	0.2	0.2
	/162	664	22	6	217	277	376	-0.8	+0.2	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dérmis Garcia (OGILVIE)	28	20	64	54	48	216/277/371	156	289	8	3	31%	7%	80	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drew Ellis 2023 · MLB	27	39→37	52→55	46→40	48	203/292/382	179	269	18	6	31%	10%	89	+1.0	195/284/360	165	248	20	6	29%	10%	81	+0.4	169/268/327	158	201	23	3	29%	11%	62	-0.4
✕Alex Jackson 2023 · MLB	27	40→35	51→60	50→30	39	203/279/366	163	298	19	6	37%	7%	80	+0.4	204/265/374	170	269	21	4	32%	6%	76	+0.0	186/246/363	177	237	23	1	32%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Johan Mieses 2022 · AAA	27	37→33	56→55	48→50	41	210/275/394	185	256	26	7	30%	6%	85	+0.7	229/303/422	193	298	25	11	31%	8%	104	+2.0	218/311/435	216	279	30	11	32%	10%	107	+0.8
✕Jakson Reetz 2023 · AAA	27	35→31	56→60	44→45	38	199/276/388	189	265	25	4	35%	6%	85	+0.7	204/280/379	175	262	21	6	30%	7%	84	+0.6	194/277/333	139	240	17	3	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo 2023 · MLB	27	37→40	50→55	52→50	39	199/251/350	152	268	19	13	33%	6%	63	-0.8	192/271/329	137	269	15	13	32%	9%	66	-0.6	170/265/300	130	236	14	13	33%	11%	56	-0.8
✕Peyton Burdick 2023 · MLB	26	35→32	51→55	50	44	187/277/350	163	274	19	12	37%	9%	75	-0.0	186/266/343	157	299	19	12	42%	8%	69	-0.4	165/248/320	156	268	21	12	44%	8%	53	-1.0
✕Ray Sadler 2009 · AAA	28	40→43	54→55	46→50	40	217/268/392	176	269	22	9	29%	6%	82	+0.5	203/255/347	144	259	18	8	29%	5%	64	-0.8	167/222/286	119	209	16	6	29%	5%	31	-2.1
✕Aaron Sisk 2007 · AA	28	39	50	48→45	42	207/264/358	151	266	19	10	30%	7%	70	-0.3	224/280/372	148	286	19	8	28%	7%	81	+0.4	227/285/382	154	278	22	3	26%	6%	84	+0.3
✕Rylan Bannon 2023 · MLB	27	37→42	49→50	52→50	48	196/278/340	144	250	18	12	29%	9%	72	-0.2	207/297/365	158	271	19	13	29%	11%	87	+0.8	195/295/355	161	251	20	12	30%	12%	82	+0.4
✕Zack Short 2022 · MLB	27	36→38	50	47→45	50	192/289/343	151	253	19	7	31%	10%	79	+0.3	193/288/320	127	267	14	10	30%	11%	72	-0.2	180/282/293	113	252	12	11	31%	12%	61	-0.6
✕Jake Rogers 2021 · MLB	26	38→40	52→60	49→45	43	202/278/367	165	273	21	5	33%	8%	79	+0.3	237/301/444	207	322	27	7	33%	8%	108	+2.3	221/284/435	214	280	29	2	32%	7%	97	+0.7
✕John-Ford Griffin 2008 · AAA	28	39	53→55	49→40	42	211/266/382	171	269	21	5	30%	7%	78	+0.2	223/281/367	144	289	15	6	27%	7%	79	+0.3	225/285/357	132	289	12	4	25%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	38→37	56→55	53→50	35	214/252/400	187	277	25	17	33%	4%	77	+0.1	219/282/362	143	318	16	10	34%	7%	79	+0.3	222/301/341	118	337	12	5	34%	9%	79	+0.1
✕René Rivera 2011 · AAA	28	44→32	50→55	45→30	37	231/264/385	154	287	19	4	27%	4%	77	+0.1	222/267/349	127	274	13	3	24%	5%	69	-0.4	242/294/386	143	293	15	0	22%	6%	85	+0.4
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	40	47→50	48→40	48	204/290/339	135	259	14	5	26%	9%	78	+0.2	218/297/342	124	289	13	7	27%	9%	81	+0.4	195/295/265	70	263	10	0	27%	12%	58	-0.2
●Mike Hessman 2005 · MLB	27	41→36	53→65	48→45	42	218/278/388	170	277	21	7	29%	7%	85	+0.7	184/254/370	186	239	27	6	35%	7%	71	-0.3	197/276/419	222	259	31	4	36%	8%	91	+1.0
✕Nick Dini 2021 · MLB	28	41	51→50	49→50	42	220/270/377	157	256	20	12	24%	5%	79	+0.3	219/286/373	154	263	20	9	24%	7%	84	+0.6	177/272/313	136	213	19	8	27%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Jason Vosler 2023 · MLB	29	42→43	53→55	49→40	45	223/288/393	170	274	22	6	27%	7%	90	+1.0	215/275/384	169	275	21	6	29%	7%	82	+0.5	205/266/377	172	258	22	4	30%	7%	73	-0.1
✕Wyatt Mathisen 2022 · MLB	28	38→48	51→50	47→40	46	200/299/357	158	263	19	4	30%	9%	87	+0.8	200/279/341	141	296	16	7	36%	8%	73	-0.1	123/213/244	121	196	16	0	44%	9%	23	-0.8
✕Brandon Waring 2014 · AAA	28	35→40	55	45→40	36	193/256/372	178	278	24	2	39%	6%	72	-0.2	191/251/343	152	332	18	5	45%	6%	62	-0.9	158/220/305	147	295	17	2	50%	5%	36	-1.8