Dérmis Garcia
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 24 | AAAOAK | 278 | .264/.355/.498 | 13 | 4 | 83 | — | .218/.289/.383 | |
| 2022 | 24 | MLBOakland Athle… | 125 | .207/.264/.388 | 5 | 0 | 87 | -0.6 | ||
| 2023 | 25 | AAAOAK | 198 | .263/.360/.532 | 12 | 3 | 91 | — | .213/.289/.393 | |
| 2024 | 26 | AAWSH | 424 | .182/.275/.332 | 14 | 2 | 29 | — | .149/.213/.264 | |
| 2025 | 27 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK | GCL Yankees2 | — | 78 | 69 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 159 | 256 | 188 | 445 | 29 | 250 | 32 | 12 | 218 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | — | 230 | 194 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 32 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 206 | 328 | 454 | 781 | 247 | 262 | 34 | 14 | 345 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 125 | 110 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 315 | 518 | 833 | 291 | 279 | 34 | 11 | 358 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK | Pulaski Yankees | — | 141 | 115 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 39 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 270 | 400 | 565 | 965 | 296 | 324 | 28 | 17 | 416 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 363 | 324 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 111 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 241 | 320 | 444 | 765 | 204 | 317 | 31 | 10 | 338 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ | Tampa Tarpons | — | 297 | 271 | 67 | 15 | 0 | 17 | 19 | 105 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 247 | 301 | 491 | 792 | 244 | 325 | 35 | 6 | 340 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 25 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 320 | 190 | 510 | 286 | 28 | 16 | 256 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 443 | 385 | 81 | 11 | 1 | 31 | 52 | 168 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 210 | 309 | 486 | 795 | 275 | 265 | 38 | 12 | 346 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB | Oakland Athletics | — | 125 | 116 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 264 | 388 | 652 | 181 | 339 | 44 | 6 | 290 | 87 | -2 | +0 | +1 | -7 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 278 | 239 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 83 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 264 | 355 | 498 | 853 | 234 | 338 | 30 | 12 | 369 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 198 | 171 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 63 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 263 | 360 | 532 | 893 | 269 | 340 | 32 | 11 | 388 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 424 | 373 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 127 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 182 | 275 | 332 | 607 | 150 | 231 | 30 | 10 | 276 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 125 | 116 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 264 | 388 | 652 | 181 | 339 | 44 | 6 | 290 | 82 | -3 | +0 | +1 | -7 | +3 | -0.6 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees2 | — | 78 | 72 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 167 | 111 | 278 | 14 | 199 | 46 | 8 | 138 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 230 | 206 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 112 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 126 | 214 | 282 | 496 | 155 | 200 | 49 | 9 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 125 | 115 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 226 | 374 | 600 | 209 | 245 | 47 | 7 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 141 | 123 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 187 | 286 | 398 | 684 | 211 | 246 | 39 | 11 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 363 | 338 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 150 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 186 | 240 | 355 | 595 | 169 | 278 | 41 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 297 | 276 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 13 | 14 | 151 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 174 | 219 | 359 | 578 | 185 | 282 | 51 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 443 | 402 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 22 | 35 | 200 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 167 | 239 | 361 | 599 | 194 | 243 | 45 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MLB MLE | Oakland Athletics | — | 125 | 116 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 264 | 388 | 652 | 181 | 339 | 44 | 6 | 296 | 87 | -2 | +0 | +1 | -7 | +3 | -0.6 |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 278 | 248 | 54 | 12 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 99 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 218 | 289 | 383 | 672 | 165 | 298 | 36 | 8 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 198 | 178 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 74 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 213 | 289 | 393 | 683 | 180 | 311 | 37 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 424 | 390 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 153 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 149 | 213 | 264 | 477 | 115 | 205 | 36 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees2 | — | 78 | 72 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 167 | 111 | 278 | 14 | 194 | 46 | 8 | 138 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Yankees2 | — | 78 | 69 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 159 | 256 | 188 | 445 | 29 | 250 | 32 | 12 | 218 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 230 | 206 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 112 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 126 | 214 | 282 | 496 | 155 | 198 | 49 | 9 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK RAW | Pulaski Yankees | — | 230 | 194 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 32 | 79 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 206 | 328 | 454 | 781 | 247 | 262 | 34 | 14 | 345 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 266 | 238 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 25 | 114 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 176 | 258 | 387 | 644 | 210 | 257 | 43 | 9 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 266 | 225 | 56 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 81 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 249 | 360 | 542 | 902 | 293 | 302 | 30 | 14 | 389 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 363 | 338 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 150 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 186 | 240 | 355 | 595 | 169 | 280 | 41 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A RAW | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 363 | 324 | 78 | 17 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 111 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 241 | 320 | 444 | 765 | 204 | 317 | 31 | 10 | 338 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 322 | 300 | 52 | 13 | 0 | 14 | 15 | 164 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 173 | 218 | 357 | 574 | 183 | 299 | 51 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 322 | 292 | 71 | 15 | 0 | 17 | 23 | 112 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 243 | 303 | 469 | 772 | 226 | 321 | 35 | 7 | 334 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 443 | 402 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 22 | 35 | 200 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 167 | 239 | 361 | 599 | 194 | 246 | 45 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | Somerset Patriots | — | 443 | 385 | 81 | 11 | 1 | 31 | 52 | 168 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 210 | 309 | 486 | 795 | 275 | 265 | 38 | 12 | 346 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 403 | 364 | 77 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 154 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 212 | 279 | 379 | 658 | 168 | 313 | 38 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 403 | 355 | 87 | 21 | 1 | 18 | 40 | 138 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 245 | 327 | 462 | 789 | 217 | 338 | 34 | 10 | 344 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 198 | 178 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 74 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 213 | 289 | 393 | 683 | 180 | 309 | 37 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA RAW | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 198 | 171 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 63 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 263 | 360 | 532 | 893 | 269 | 340 | 32 | 11 | 388 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 424 | 390 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 153 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 149 | 213 | 264 | 477 | 115 | 206 | 36 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA RAW | Harrisburg Senators | — | 424 | 373 | 68 | 12 | 1 | 14 | 44 | 127 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 182 | 275 | 332 | 607 | 150 | 231 | 30 | 10 | 276 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees2 | — | 78 | 72 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 97 | 167 | 111 | 278 | 14 | 199 | 46 | 8 | 138 | -20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 18 | ROK MLE | Pulaski Yankees | — | 230 | 205 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 112 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 127 | 214 | 283 | 497 | 156 | 200 | 49 | 9 | 222 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 266 | 238 | 42 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 25 | 114 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 176 | 258 | 387 | 644 | 210 | 246 | 43 | 9 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 20 | A MLE | Charleston RiverDogs | — | 363 | 336 | 63 | 13 | 1 | 14 | 22 | 150 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 188 | 240 | 357 | 597 | 170 | 278 | 41 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 322 | 302 | 52 | 13 | 0 | 14 | 15 | 164 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 172 | 218 | 354 | 572 | 182 | 282 | 51 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 443 | 402 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 22 | 35 | 200 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 167 | 239 | 361 | 599 | 194 | 243 | 45 | 8 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 403 | 366 | 77 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 31 | 154 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 210 | 279 | 377 | 656 | 167 | 311 | 38 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Las Vegas Aviators | — | 198 | 177 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 74 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 215 | 289 | 395 | 685 | 181 | 311 | 37 | 8 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 424 | 389 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 153 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 149 | 213 | 265 | 478 | 116 | 205 | 36 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 424 | 389 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 153 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 149 | 213 | 265 | 478 | 116 | 205 | 36 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 125 | 116 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 264 | 388 | 652 | 181 | 339 | 44 | 6 | 290 | 57 | -3 | +0 | +1 | -7 | +3 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 603 | 125 | 31 | 0 | 26 | 42 | 286 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 265 | 388 | 653 | 181 | 340 | 44 | 6 | 290 | 57 | -14 | +0 | +5 | -37 | +14 | -3.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2727 | 2488 | 430 | 82 | 7 | 105 | 197 | 1157 | 22 | 32 | 11 | 173 | 240 | 338 | 578 | 165 | 261 | 42 | 7 | 253 | 57 | -3 | +0 | +1 | -7 | +3 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 593 | 103 | 20 | 2 | 25 | 47 | 276 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 174 | 240 | 341 | 581 | 167 | 263 | 42 | 7 | 253 | 57 | -14 | +0 | +5 | -37 | +14 | -3.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AAHarrisburg Senators · 424 PAwOBA .269 → .211 (−57)K% 30.0% → 36.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.95% | ÷1.008 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.14% | ÷1.051 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.94% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.010 | ×0.970 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 15.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.88% | ÷0.964 | ×0.860 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 4.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.41% | ÷0.915 | ×0.950 | ×0.965 | ×0.988 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.69% | ÷0.990 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 4.43% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 102, 2B 93, 3B 83, K 102, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .269 → .211; ISO .150 → .117; BABIP .231 → .205. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 198 PAwOBA .380 → .302 (−77)K% 31.8% → 37.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.82% | ÷1.017 | ×1.200 | — | — | 37.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.02% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.96% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷0.993 | ×0.930 | ×1.033 | ×1.033 | 22.22% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×1.033 | 5.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.133 | ×0.970 | ×1.033 | ×1.033 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.996 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 8.07% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 99, 2B 125, 3B 127, K 103, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .380 → .302; ISO .269 → .195; BABIP .340 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAALas Vegas Aviators · 278 PAwOBA .365 → .291 (−74)K% 29.9% → 35.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.86% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.51% | ÷0.992 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 8.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.72% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.79% | ÷0.995 | ×0.930 | ×0.977 | ×1.048 | 20.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.62% | ÷1.088 | ×0.830 | ×0.977 | ×1.048 | 7.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.64% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.977 | ×1.048 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.075 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 5.69% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 99, 2B 118, 3B 80, K 102, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .365 → .291; ISO .234 → .167; BABIP .338 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AASomerset Patriots · 443 PAwOBA .338 → .262 (−76)K% 37.9% → 45.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.92% | ÷1.024 | ×1.220 | — | — | 45.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.51% | ÷1.036 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 7.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.68% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.51% | ÷1.008 | ×0.940 | ×0.991 | ×1.027 | 16.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.07% | ÷0.905 | ×0.870 | ×0.991 | ×1.027 | 4.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.46% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×0.991 | ×1.027 | 0.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.053 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 10.86% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 102, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 105, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.991.
Result: wOBA .338 → .262; ISO .275 → .205; BABIP .265 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Tampa Tarpons · 297 PAwOBA .336 → .243 (−93)K% 35.4% → 50.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.35% | ÷0.989 | ×1.420 | — | — | 50.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.40% | ÷1.055 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 4.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.67% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.64% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.08% | ÷1.072 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 17.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.04% | ÷0.954 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 8.88% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.24% | ÷0.960 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 9.64% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 114, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 98, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .336 → .243; ISO .244 → .182; BABIP .325 → .282. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ACharleston RiverDogs · 363 PAwOBA .329 → .257 (−71)K% 30.6% → 41.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.58% | ÷0.991 | ×1.340 | — | — | 41.35% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.64% | ÷1.092 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 6.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.44% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.66% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.960 | ×1.030 | 18.42% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.98% | ÷0.961 | ×0.820 | ×0.960 | ×1.030 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.94% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.960 | ×1.030 | 0.76% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.04% | ÷0.811 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 7.33% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 62, 1B 104, 2B 92, 3B 130, K 98, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .329 → .257; ISO .204 → .177; BABIP .317 → .278. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ROKPulaski Yankees · 141 PAwOBA .409 → .285 (−124)K% 27.7% → 39.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.66% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 39.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.02% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×1.008 | 10.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×1.008 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.952 | ×1.008 | 16.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.952 | ×1.008 | 4.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.952 | ×1.008 | 0.93% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.008 | 9.54% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.952.
Result: wOBA .409 → .285; ISO .296 → .212; BABIP .324 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ACharleston RiverDogs · 125 PAwOBA .351 → .257 (−94)K% 33.6% → 47.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.60% | ÷0.958 | ×1.340 | — | — | 46.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.20% | ÷1.051 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.045 | 7.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.71% | ÷0.978 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 13.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.010 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 7.11% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.47% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×1.045 | 1.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 11.76% | ÷0.945 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.045 | 10.67% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 96, 2B 102, 3B 80, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .351 → .257; ISO .291 → .219; BABIP .279 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .