Yusniel DíazCF Sacramento River Cats
Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 215 lbs AAA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA
wRC+†94
AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .307 / .378
PA170
HR5
K%24
BB%9
ISO149
MLB%10%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -1.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.51.00.00.50.3+$6M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022
CONTACT—
Whiff%
1025.0%
EYE—
Chase%
1066.7%
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.3$1M+$0.4M
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.8M $1M +$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201619 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes — 348326 69747 19991 78 212257322579 110279 285 252 51 — — — — — —
201619 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes — 348316 86878 29711 78 272335418753 146326 208 334 114 — — — — — —
201720 A+3 teams — 565525 1201929 311621 1117 229273324597 95307 295 262 58 — — — — — —
201720 A+3 teams — 565505 14825412 511111 1117 293359430789 137350 209 348 125 — — — — — —
201821 AABowie Baysox — 416372 901359 41943 1213 242322376698 134301 2310 308 94 — — — — — —
201821 AABowie Baysox — 416354 10115511 59673 1213 285392449841 164326 1614 377 147 — — — — — —
201922 AA3 teams — 408377 7417311 271271 43 196252345597 149260 317 263 59 — — — — — —
201922 AA3 teams — 408360 9020411 44841 43 250333419753 169295 2111 334 114 — — — — — —
202124 AAA3 teams — 287269 35614 141173 22 130182204386 74208 415 176 -7 — — — — — —
202124 AAA3 teams — 287257 431016 26923 22 167252284536 117231 329 247 47 — — — — — —
202225 AAA2 teams — 304276 66906 24821 94 239302337639 98314 278 285 77 — — — — — —
202225 AAA2 teams — 304261 661007 39701 94 253352372724 119316 2313 328 109 — — — — — —
202326 AATulsa Drillers — 406360 9021113 41960 74 250327422749 172301 2410 323 105 — — — — — —
202326 AATulsa Drillers — 406345 9621116 56780 74 278379484863 206312 1914 378 147 — — — — — —
202427 AAASacramento River Cats — 6756 9103 10160 40 161288339627 179158 2415 269 64 — — — — — —
202427 AAASacramento River Cats — 6751 9103 15140 40 176364373736 196171 2122 336 115 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season
202629 MLBSF — 170151 36715 16411 41 238315397713 159284 249 309 94 -1 +0 +0 +1 +5 0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202730 MLBSF 33% 243217 511017 23591 51 235311387698 152284 249 308 94 -2 +1 -2 +1 +7 0.5
202831 MLBSF 46% 245219 511017 23601 41 233309384692 151283 249 305 92 -2 +0 -3 +1 +7 0.3
202730 MLBSF 33% 7972 15302 7190 20 208278333612 125279 249 298 86 -1 +0 -1 +0 +2 0.1
202831 MLBSF 46% 112100 22403 10271 20 220297350647 130278 249 295 84 -2 +0 -1 +0 +3 0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 191172 37705 17461 40 215289343632 128262 249 297 85 -3 +1 -2 +1 +5 0.2
/ 162G— — 650585 12624017 581573 140 215289344633 128263 249 297 85 -11 +3 -7 +2 +18 0.6
Career— — 34593148 6911201981 26995313 6954 220284347631 127285 288 277 70 -116 -8 -5 +8 +98 -2.3
/ 162G— — 650592 13123415 511792 1310 221286350635 128288 288 277 70 -22 -1 -1 +2 +18 -0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201619 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes — 348316 86878 29711 78 272335418753 146326 208 334 114 +5 -2 — — +10 1.4
201720 AATulsa Drillers — 118108 36803 10290 25 333390491881 157434 258 391 157 +8 -2 — — +3 1.0
201720 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes — 374331 921538 35731 79 278349414763 136328 209 336 115 +6 -2 — — +11 1.5
201720 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs — 7366 20211 690 23 303361409770 106333 128 341 120 +2 -1 — — +2 0.3
201821 AABowie Baysox — 416354 10115511 59673 1213 285392449841 164326 1614 377 147 +22 -3 — — +12 3.2
201922 AABowie Baysox — 322286 7519411 32671 03 262339472811 210303 2110 354 129 +11 -1 — — +9 1.9
201922 A+Frederick Keys — 2522 6000 370 00 273360273633 400 2812 301 88 -0 +0 — — +1 0.0
201922 INTLLeones del Escogido — 6152 9100 9100 40 173295192487 19214 1615 243 44 -4 +1 — — +2 -0.1
202124 AAANorfolk Tides — 209191 30414 15692 12 157226251477 94218 337 220 27 -17 -1 — — +6 -1.2
202124 AABowie Baysox — 4439 7301 4131 10 179273333606 154240 309 277 70 -1 +0 — — +1 -0.0
202124 INTLMesa Solar Sox — 3427 6301 7100 00 222382444827 222312 2921 371 142 +2 +0 — — +1 0.3
202225 AAANorfolk Tides — 286247 62906 36661 94 251349360709 109316 2313 323 105 +2 +0 — — +8 1.0
202225 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 1814 4101 340 00 286412571983 286300 2217 404 167 +1 +0 — — +1 0.2
202326 AATulsa Drillers — 406345 9621116 56780 74 278379484863 206312 1914 378 147 +22 -0 — — +12 3.4
202427 AAASacramento River Cats — 6751 9103 15140 40 176364373736 196171 2122 336 115 +1 +1 — — +2 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Ian Stewartlast yr '14
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA
61,6466017230317416+6+26.26.2
/162664247+2.4+0.92.5pk7: 6
#2Guillermo Heredialast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA
61,530256231311345+3+173.53.5
/162664113+1.2+7.61.5pk7: 3
#3Jason Phillipslast yr '07
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA
51,508290248314368+11-102.72.7
/162664130+4.7-4.41.2pk7: 3
#4Conor Gillaspielast yr '17
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,503 PA
51,503321252305394+5-142.22.2
/162664140+2.4-6.11.0pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA
61,6334033232299363+6-140.90.9
/1626641613+2.4-5.80.4pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons
120964232306379+1+00.50.5
/1626641812+2.4+0.01.5pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Yusniel Díaz (OGILVIE) 29 — — — — 230/307/378 148284 54 24% 9% 94 +0.4 ————————— —————————
✕John Mayberry Jr.
2013 · MLB 		29 48 51→55 49→50 46 245/298/407 162287 199 22% 7% 97 +1.5 223/287/385 162268 186 23% 8% 87 +0.8 203/272/36416124217524%8%73-0.0
✕Michael McKenry
2014 · MLB 		29 45→47 51→55 45→40 48 232/299/392 160279 194 24% 8% 94 +1.3 231/315/383 152289 177 24% 10% 98 +1.6 214/312/35814427615526%11%87+0.3
✕Mike Brosseau
2023 · MLB 		29 46→56 51→55 52→45 47 233/318/393 159306 208 29% 9% 102 +1.9 215/286/355 140273 196 28% 7% 79 +0.3 191/261/30811723917527%7%54-0.7
✕Anthony Recker
2013 · MLB 		29 43→48 51→55 44→45 47 223/298/385 162285 207 28% 9% 92 +1.2 210/278/372 162283 216 32% 8% 80 +0.4 196/276/34014426018331%9%67-0.2
✕Pedro Severino
2022 · MLB 		29 48 48→50 47→45 48 241/306/377 137298 164 24% 8% 93 +1.3 234/292/369 135299 159 26% 7% 85 +0.7 224/277/350126286141126%6%69-0.2
✕David Bote
2022 · MLB 		29 42→48 49→55 47→45 51 215/300/363 148259 175 24% 10% 88 +0.9 225/293/375 150288 168 27% 7% 87 +0.8 225/292/38015528917827%7%85+0.4
✕Jayson Nix
2011 · MLB 		28 43→49 54→55 46→55 46 230/296/403 173266 2210 23% 7% 96 +1.5 216/281/350 134275 1413 26% 7% 76 +0.0 207/276/316109275101827%7%61-0.5
✕Josh Fields
2012 · MLB 		29 50→56 52→55 51→50 44 255/310/428 173317 2012 26% 7% 108 +2.3 239/287/355 116334 1111 30% 6% 78 +0.2 250/287/3501003407928%5%74-0.0
✕Brandon Larson
2005 · MLB 		29 42 47→50 46→45 52 212/300/344 133268 159 26% 10% 82 +0.5 229/286/389 160293 206 28% 6% 88 +0.9 222/268/38115928022429%5%75+0.0
✕Cameron Rupp
2018 · MLB 		29 45→48 54→60 47→30 45 233/300/416 183301 223 30% 8% 101 +1.8 206/276/375 169295 213 36% 8% 80 +0.4 174/245/33215824821038%7%54-0.7
✕Garrett Stubbs
2023 · MLB 		30 48 48→45 53→50 55 239/325/383 144296 1611 24% 11% 102 +1.9 225/298/335 110290 1112 25% 8% 79 +0.3 217/287/3079028191125%7%65-0.2
✕Chris Herrmann
2017 · MLB 		29 47→48 47→50 57→50 46 230/294/372 142295 1311 26% 8% 86 +0.8 221/302/378 157287 198 28% 10% 92 +1.2 209/296/36115227219429%11%83+0.2
✕Adam Heether
2011 · AAA 		29 44→54 47→50 48→45 49 220/302/358 138267 159 23% 8% 87 +0.8 198/278/319 121243 149 24% 7% 67 -0.5 174/261/28310921114725%7%48-1.2
✕Gerald Laird
2009 · MLB 		29 51→47 45→50 42→50 46 248/303/377 129294 126 20% 6% 91 +1.1 227/295/337 110264 97 17% 7% 78 +0.2 268/338/3691013106314%8%97+0.4
✕John Hicks
2019 · MLB 		29 51→50 50→60 43→50 41 256/300/409 153326 186 27% 6% 98 +1.6 243/282/426 183316 246 30% 5% 95 +1.4 230/264/43220229827933%4%87+0.5
✕Dwight Smith Jr.
2021 · MLB 		28 47→53 49→50 50 49 238/303/392 154278 179 21% 8% 95 +1.4 217/278/325 108290 118 27% 7% 67 -0.5 186/249/234482743331%8%27-0.8
✕Scott Kingery
2021 · MLB 		27 45→51 50→55 51→55 43 229/285/393 164294 1713 28% 7% 89 +0.9 197/266/322 125295 1218 35% 8% 62 -0.9 198/239/341143265191733%5%52-0.8
✕Josh Phegley
2017 · MLB 		29 48→47 51→60 46→40 45 244/296/415 171280 183 20% 6% 98 +1.6 228/286/377 149268 153 21% 6% 85 +0.7 221/276/37615525516020%5%80+0.1
✕Hernán Pérez
2021 · MLB 		30 46→55 50→55 52→55 43 238/282/393 155288 1916 25% 6% 86 +0.8 240/286/377 137303 1620 26% 6% 84 +0.6 239/283/364126302162426%5%78+0.1
✕Christian Lopes
2022 · AAA 		29 43→50 49→45 48→50 46 218/300/366 148293 1611 30% 8% 88 +0.9 213/285/328 115309 1111 32% 8% 72 -0.2 186/263/260742844933%8%43-0.8