Luke Waddell — OGILVIE

Luke WaddellSS Columbus Clingstones

Age 28 L/R 5'7" / 180 lbs AA BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.7 · 2027

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.236 / .306 / .317

PA250

HR2

SB12

K%16

BB%8

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

30→30

SPD

45→45

EYE

46↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.8peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.5M
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$0.1M	-$2M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	3 teams	182	169	38	1	0	10	10	39	1	5	2	.225	.272	.408	.681	.183	.230	21	5	.298	87	-3	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.5
2022	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	187	170	41	9	0	2	15	29	1	3	2	.241	.306	.329	.636	.088	.279	16	8	.285	76	-5	-0	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2023	25	AA	2 teams	577	501	125	17	3	10	61	89	5	29	10	.250	.337	.355	.692	.106	.279	15	11	.310	95	-3	+2	+0	+6	+16	2.2
2024	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	464	418	86	18	2	2	28	79	10	12	3	.206	.272	.273	.545	.067	.245	17	6	.243	44	-29	+1	+0	+5	+13	-1.0
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	409	370	89	14	1	1	29	66	4	5	2	.241	.303	.292	.595	.051	.286	16	7	.268	64	-17	+0	+0	+4	+12	-0.1
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	28	AA	Columbus Clingstones	70	62	14	3	0	2	8	8	0	6	2	.226	.314	.371	.685	.145	.231	11	11	.306	92	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.3
ROS	28	MLB	ATL	180	161	38	7	1	2	15	28	2	6	2	.236	.309	.329	.638	.093	.271	16	8	.289	79	-4	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.3
TOT	28	MLB	ATL	250	223	52	10	1	4	23	36	2	12	4	.233	.310	.341	.651	.108	.261	14	9	.294	83	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	29	MLB 9%	ATL	323	288	69	13	1	4	29	49	3	9	3	.240	.316	.333	.649	.094	.274	15	9	.298	87	-5	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.7
2028	30	MLB 19%	ATL	343	305	73	13	1	5	31	55	4	9	3	.239	.318	.338	.655	.098	.275	16	9	.297	86	-6	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.7
2029	31	MLB 29%	ATL	342	305	72	13	1	5	31	57	3	7	2	.236	.313	.334	.647	.098	.275	17	9	.295	84	-6	+1	-3	+4	+10	0.5
2030	32	MLB 40%	ATL	332	296	69	13	1	4	30	58	3	6	2	.233	.310	.324	.634	.091	.274	17	9	.292	81	-7	+0	-4	+4	+9	0.3
2031	33	MLB 49%	ATL	308	274	63	11	1	4	28	56	3	4	1	.230	.308	.321	.629	.091	.273	18	9	.287	78	-8	+0	-4	+3	+9	0.0
2032	34	MLB 57%	ATL	268	240	55	10	1	3	24	51	2	3	1	.229	.305	.317	.621	.087	.272	19	9	.281	73	-8	+0	-5	+3	+8	-0.2
2033	35	MLB 68%	ATL	218	195	44	8	1	2	19	44	2	2	0	.226	.301	.308	.609	.082	.271	20	9	.274	68	-8	+0	-6	+2	+6	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4133	3692	862	147	14	54	350	700	43	100	33	.233	.307	.325	.632	.091	.272	17	8	.286	77	-108	+7	-24	+44	+117	3.6
/ 162G	—			650	581	135	23	2	8	55	110	7	16	5	.232	.307	.320	.627	.088	.271	17	8	.286	77	-17	+1	-4	+7	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	33	31	5	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	1	.161	.212	.161	.373	.000	.185	12	6	.179	-4	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	23	A+	Rome Braves	78	69	21	1	0	6	7	13	1	1	1	.304	.377	.580	.956	.275	.294	17	9	.411	173	+6	-0	—	—	+2	0.9
2021	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	71	61	19	5	0	0	9	8	0	3	0	.311	.400	.393	.793	.082	.352	11	13	.357	132	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	187	162	44	10	0	2	23	22	1	3	2	.272	.366	.370	.736	.099	.302	12	12	.336	115	+3	-0	—	—	+5	0.8
2023	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	131	104	23	2	2	0	20	15	2	3	1	.221	.354	.279	.633	.058	.247	11	15	.293	83	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2023	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	446	372	108	16	1	8	65	57	3	26	9	.290	.400	.403	.803	.113	.319	13	15	.362	135	+18	+2	—	—	+13	3.3
2024	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	464	404	95	21	4	2	41	64	10	12	3	.235	.320	.322	.642	.087	.270	14	9	.291	81	-10	+1	—	—	+13	0.4
2025	27	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	380	324	88	17	1	1	46	47	4	5	2	.272	.369	.340	.708	.068	.310	12	12	.324	106	+3	+0	—	—	+11	1.4
2025	27	A+	Rome Emperors	29	26	4	2	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	.154	.241	.231	.472	.077	.200	21	10	.223	29	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Waddell (OGILVIE)	28	60	30	45	55	.236/.306/.317	.081	.279	2	6	16%	8%	77	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rodrigo Aguirre 2012 · AAA	28	53	37→30	41→45	49	.248/.296/.322	.074	.281	4	6	13%	6%	72	-0.2	.253/.288/.319	.066	.295	4	7	15%	5%	69	-0.4	.275/.304/.332	.057	.316	4	5	14%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Jamie Johnson 2014 · AAA	27	54→56	36→40	50	55	.251/.327/.322	.070	.303	3	15	17%	10%	86	+0.8	.238/.310/.324	.086	.277	5	13	15%	9%	80	+0.4	.231/.299/.318	.087	.260	5	9	12%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Brad Coon 2011 · AAA	28	51→57	38→40	49→60	47	.241/.301/.316	.075	.300	6	17	21%	7%	74	-0.1	.221/.291/.298	.077	.287	4	16	22%	9%	66	-0.6	.209/.294/.272	.063	.274	1	18	22%	10%	59	-0.6
✕Alden Carrithers 2013 · AA	28	57→61	35→30	52→55	56	.268/.338/.331	.064	.308	2	17	13%	9%	93	+1.3	.251/.320/.320	.069	.288	4	18	13%	9%	83	+0.6	.251/.325/.310	.059	.286	3	18	12%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Nicky Lopez 2022 · MLB	27	55→61	38→40	52→55	53	.258/.320/.342	.084	.295	5	15	14%	8%	89	+0.9	.237/.303/.303	.066	.277	3	15	14%	8%	72	-0.2	.231/.307/.288	.057	.275	1	10	15%	9%	69	-0.2
✕JB Shuck 2015 · MLB	28	55→61	38→40	48→50	50	.257/.301/.339	.082	.279	5	11	10%	6%	79	+0.3	.240/.287/.335	.095	.260	6	11	10%	6%	72	-0.2	.226/.282/.316	.090	.254	5	11	13%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Roy Morales 2022 · AA	27	55	36→30	45	49	.256/.314/.323	.067	.308	4	8	18%	7%	81	+0.4	.257/.322/.350	.093	.304	8	9	17%	8%	92	+1.2	.280/.353/.374	.094	.319	11	9	15%	9%	109	+0.9
✕Justin Henry 2014 · AAA	29	53→63	36→40	50→55	50	.245/.301/.315	.071	.290	2	17	16%	7%	73	-0.1	.226/.283/.308	.082	.277	5	12	19%	7%	64	-0.8	.237/.298/.308	.072	.295	2	10	19%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Will Rhymes 2012 · MLB	29	55→61	38→40	52→55	51	.260/.311/.346	.086	.291	4	16	12%	7%	85	+0.7	.247/.303/.332	.085	.273	5	9	11%	7%	79	+0.3	.235/.292/.318	.083	.259	5	6	11%	7%	68	-0.3
✕Hernan Iribarren 2012 · AAA	28	49→59	40	47→55	43	.236/.276/.326	.091	.285	7	12	20%	5%	66	-0.6	.238/.287/.311	.073	.300	4	16	21%	6%	66	-0.6	.270/.303/.345	.075	.327	3	3	18%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Greg Garcia 2017 · MLB	27	52→53	39→40	48→50	51	.245/.325/.333	.087	.312	6	11	22%	9%	89	+1.0	.245/.340/.339	.094	.310	7	7	21%	11%	98	+1.6	.241/.350/.334	.093	.308	6	3	21%	13%	99	+0.8
✕Matt Tupman 2008 · AAA	28	53→52	36→30	41→30	53	.249/.315/.311	.062	.291	3	4	15%	8%	79	+0.3	.228/.276/.299	.071	.266	5	4	16%	6%	59	-1.1	.216/.255/.276	.060	.252	5	0	16%	5%	42	-1.0
✕Domingo Castro 2008 · AAA	28	55→62	35→40	45→50	48	.257/.299/.312	.055	.288	3	13	12%	5%	71	-0.3	.259/.289/.321	.062	.294	3	10	12%	4%	69	-0.4	.290/.324/.357	.067	.322	2	5	10%	4%	89	+0.6
✕Tim Fedroff 2014 · AAA	27	53→61	39→40	49→50	49	.254/.313/.343	.089	.313	7	14	20%	8%	85	+0.7	.223/.291/.303	.080	.302	6	12	26%	9%	67	-0.5	.205/.284/.265	.060	.292	3	6	28%	10%	53	-1.0
✕Dustin Delucchi 2006 · AAA	28	52→55	39→40	51→50	54	.246/.326/.334	.088	.301	5	15	19%	10%	89	+1.0	.231/.305/.308	.077	.291	5	12	20%	9%	74	-0.1	.214/.291/.244	.030	.276	0	6	20%	9%	47	-0.7
✕Forrestt Allday 2018 · AAA	27	51→47	35→30	43→50	52	.236/.314/.290	.054	.290	3	12	19%	9%	73	-0.1	.227/.302/.296	.069	.287	4	12	21%	8%	70	-0.3	.216/.295/.278	.062	.279	3	11	22%	7%	59	-0.9
✕Isaac Rodriguez 2019 · AAA	28	54→58	39→40	50→55	46	.259/.307/.343	.084	.299	6	17	16%	5%	83	+0.6	.258/.314/.358	.100	.296	9	20	15%	6%	91	+1.1	.274/.332/.364	.090	.312	8	23	14%	6%	97	+1.3
✕Sergio Burruel 2019 · AAA	28	51	38→30	40→30	47	.242/.292/.314	.071	.287	6	5	18%	6%	69	-0.4	.239/.315/.389	.150	.308	17	7	26%	9%	100	+1.7	.224/.328/.407	.183	.288	22	0	28%	12%	107	+0.6
✕Mike Freeman 2016 · AAA	28	51→60	38→45	54→55	47	.240/.290/.322	.082	.289	5	15	18%	6%	70	-0.3	.253/.300/.343	.090	.325	6	12	23%	6%	80	+0.4	.251/.300/.336	.086	.331	6	12	25%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Sergio Perez 2019 · AAA	29	51	37→40	45→50	45	.240/.284/.316	.076	.294	4	10	20%	6%	66	-0.6	.247/.280/.361	.114	.297	11	8	20%	4%	76	+0.1	.270/.291/.375	.106	.318	11	2	19%	2%	85	+0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)