Luke Waddell — OGILVIE

Luke WaddellSS Columbus Clingstones

Age 28 L/R 5'7" / 180 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION325 act + 216 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .284 / .303

PA216

HR3

SB6

K%15

BB%8

BABIP238

ISO92

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	A+	3 teams	—	182	169	39	1	0	11	10	40	1	5	2	231	278	432	710	201	233	22	5	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+	3 teams	—	182	161	45	6	0	6	18	25	1	5	2	280	356	429	784	149	295	14	10	348	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	187	169	40	8	0	2	16	28	1	3	2	237	306	320	626	83	271	15	9	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	187	162	44	10	0	2	23	22	1	3	2	272	366	370	736	99	302	12	12	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	577	498	129	16	3	13	64	86	5	29	10	259	349	382	731	122	284	15	11	324	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	2 teams	—	577	476	131	18	3	8	85	72	5	29	10	275	390	376	766	101	303	12	15	346	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	464	418	89	19	3	2	28	84	10	12	3	213	279	287	566	74	257	18	6	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	464	404	95	21	4	2	41	64	10	12	3	235	320	322	642	87	270	14	9	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	409	372	90	13	1	1	27	68	4	5	2	242	300	290	591	48	289	17	7	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA	2 teams	—	409	350	92	19	1	1	49	53	4	5	2	263	360	331	691	69	302	13	12	317	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	28	AA	ATL	—	325	287	52	9	1	6	28	43	4	11	4	181	263	282	546	101	189	13	9	246	46	-20	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.7
YTD	28	AA	ATL	—	325	274	57	11	1	6	41	33	4	11	4	208	320	321	641	113	212	10	13	293	82	-7	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.7
ROS	28	AA	ATL	2%	216	194	41	7	1	3	17	33	3	6	2	211	284	303	587	92	237	15	8	266	62	-9	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.0
ROS	28	MLB	ATL	2%	4	4	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	250	250	250	500		237	25	0	257	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	28	AA	ATL	—	329	291	53	9	1	6	28	44	4	11	4	182	263	282	545	100	190	13	9	246	47	-20	+1	+0	+4	+9	-0.7
TOT	28	AA	ATL	—	541	481	93	16	2	9	45	76	7	17	6	193	272	291	562	98	208	14	8	254	53	-29	+1	+0	+6	+15	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	ATL	28%	523	469	100	18	2	7	43	84	6	11	4	213	288	305	593	92	243	16	8	271	65	-20	+1	-1	+6	+15	-0.1
2028	30	MLB	ATL	43%	545	489	105	19	2	8	45	92	6	10	4	215	289	311	600	96	246	17	8	272	67	-21	+0	-2	+6	+15	-0.1
2027	29	MLB	ATL	28%	147	132	29	5	1	2	12	24	2	3	1	220	295	318	613	98	243	16	8	263	59	-7	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.1
2028	30	MLB	ATL	43%	235	211	45	8	1	3	19	39	3	4	2	213	288	303	591	90	246	17	8	264	61	-10	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	386	347	75	13	2	5	31	64	5	7	3	216	290	308	598	92	250	17	8	264	60	-17	+0	-1	+4	+11	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	126	22	3	8	52	108	8	12	5	216	288	305	593	89	251	17	8	264	60	-29	+0	-2	+7	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	3103	2778	633	101	12	47	250	515	36	81	29	228	300	324	623	96	261	17	8	280	72	-97	+5	-3	+33	+88	2.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	133	21	3	10	52	108	8	17	6	229	301	326	627	98	262	17	8	280	72	-20	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	33	31	5	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	1	161	212	161	373		185	12	6	179	-4	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	23	A+	Rome Braves	—	78	69	21	1	0	6	7	13	1	1	1	304	377	580	956	275	294	17	9	411	173	+6	-0	—	—	+2	0.9
2021	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	71	61	19	5	0	0	9	8	0	3	0	311	400	393	793	82	352	11	13	357	132	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	187	162	44	10	0	2	23	22	1	3	2	272	366	370	736	99	302	12	12	336	115	+3	-0	—	—	+5	0.8
2023	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	131	104	23	2	2	0	20	15	2	3	1	221	354	279	633	58	247	11	15	293	83	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2023	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	446	372	108	16	1	8	65	57	3	26	9	290	400	403	803	113	319	13	15	362	135	+18	+2	—	—	+13	3.3
2024	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	464	404	95	21	4	2	41	64	10	12	3	235	320	322	642	87	270	14	9	291	81	-10	+1	—	—	+13	0.4
2025	27	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	380	324	88	17	1	1	46	47	4	5	2	272	369	340	708	68	310	12	12	324	106	+3	+0	—	—	+11	1.4
2025	27	A+	Rome Emperors	—	29	26	4	2	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	154	241	231	472	77	200	21	10	223	29	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	6	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	11	3	231	311	345	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	387	5	8	215	286	309	+4	+3	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	9	13	215	286	309	+7.1	+5.1	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Waddell (OGILVIE)	28	60	30	45	55	193/272/291	98	208	9	17	14%	8%	53	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sergio Burruel 2019 · AAA	28	51	38→30	40→30	47	241/292/316	75	285	6	6	17%	6%	70	-0.3	237/314/388	151	310	17	8	27%	9%	99	+1.7	221/327/400	179	289	21	0	29%	12%	105	+0.6
✕Drew Meyer 2010 · AAA	28	51→57	39→40	49→50	48	244/297/330	87	297	5	7	19%	7%	76	+0.0	226/281/322	96	286	7	8	22%	7%	67	-0.5	198/257/278	80	253	5	7	23%	7%	43	-1.1
✕Rodrigo Aguirre 2012 · AAA	28	53	37→30	42→45	49	247/293/321	74	279	4	6	13%	6%	71	-0.3	254/288/320	66	295	4	7	15%	4%	68	-0.5	275/303/331	55	315	3	5	13%	3%	76	+0.0
✕Forrestt Allday 2018 · AAA	27	51→45	35→30	43→50	53	237/315/291	53	289	3	13	18%	9%	74	-0.1	222/297/292	70	281	5	12	21%	8%	67	-0.5	208/288/267	59	269	3	11	22%	7%	53	-1.2
✕Carlos Penuelas 2016 · AAA	28	55	37→30	45→50	44	259/303/325	66	316	4	13	19%	5%	76	+0.1	240/278/309	69	284	6	9	17%	5%	62	-0.9	236/271/285	49	275	4	4	15%	4%	49	-0.7
✕Carlos Leon 2007 · AAA	27	55→59	37→30	42→45	48	259/324/330	71	303	4	10	16%	6%	88	+0.9	229/297/298	69	273	4	7	17%	7%	68	-0.5	207/279/258	51	249	3	4	17%	7%	47	-0.7
✕Josh Labandeira 2007 · AAA	28	51→52	37→40	42→45	47	240/300/314	74	286	4	12	17%	6%	73	-0.1	232/288/311	79	295	6	7	22%	6%	67	-0.5	230/286/295	65	302	4	1	24%	6%	59	-0.5
✕Matt Tupman 2008 · AAA	28	54→53	36→30	41→30	53	253/317/314	62	292	3	4	14%	8%	80	+0.4	227/273/300	73	265	5	4	16%	6%	57	-1.2	217/256/277	59	253	5	0	16%	5%	42	-1.0
✕Brandon Fahey 2007 · MLB	26	53→59	37→40	48→50	50	251/309/325	74	293	4	12	16%	7%	79	+0.3	225/273/302	77	273	4	11	18%	6%	58	-1.2	217/260/286	69	266	2	10	18%	5%	46	-1.4
✕Hector Hernandez 2011 · AAA	28	52→51	38→40	46→50	45	247/281/329	82	275	5	7	13%	4%	68	-0.5	253/279/334	81	286	5	8	13%	3%	68	-0.5	269/304/329	60	304	4	3	13%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Brad Coon 2011 · AAA	28	50→57	38→40	50→60	46	236/292/315	79	297	6	17	22%	7%	69	-0.4	216/289/293	77	282	4	16	23%	9%	63	-0.8	204/292/266	62	268	1	18	22%	10%	56	-0.7
✕Yonathan Daza 2022 · MLB	28	51→56	39→40	47→50	46	243/291/325	82	293	6	8	19%	6%	72	-0.2	244/295/324	80	291	5	6	17%	6%	73	-0.1	250/300/318	69	296	3	4	16%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Corey Jones 2016 · AAA	28	52→57	39→40	39→45	43	248/289/335	88	300	5	5	19%	5%	74	-0.1	234/286/335	101	276	8	8	18%	5%	72	-0.2	231/287/330	100	266	8	8	16%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Angel Sanchez 2013 · MLB	29	55→60	37→40	48→45	51	259/308/327	69	286	5	8	12%	6%	79	+0.3	225/272/305	80	261	7	6	16%	6%	59	-1.1	194/237/251	57	232	4	0	18%	4%	28	-1.0
✕James Beresford 2016 · AAA	27	58→65	35→30	44→45	44	273/302/331	58	316	2	6	14%	4%	77	+0.1	259/299/316	57	315	3	5	18%	6%	72	-0.2	265/311/296	31	329	0	2	18%	6%	68	-0.4
✕Hainley Statia 2014 · AAA	28	47→57	38→40	45→50	50	222/281/293	72	267	5	9	19%	8%	59	-1.1	239/314/346	107	283	10	11	18%	9%	88	+0.9	265/356/376	112	303	10	10	15%	12%	109	+1.1
✕Melvin Dorta 2010 · AAA	28	50→53	39→40	45→55	47	238/277/323	85	265	6	14	13%	5%	65	-0.7	242/278/331	89	267	8	12	12%	5%	68	-0.5	257/285/331	74	275	7	11	9%	3%	68	-0.3
✕Carlos Alonso 2016 · AA	28	51→52	39→40	47→40	49	240/307/329	88	290	5	7	18%	7%	80	+0.4	217/280/317	100	285	8	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	168/232/247	80	227	5	4	27%	7%	24	-0.7
✕Andy Cannizaro 2007 · AAA	28	52→54	38→40	45	50	242/303/327	85	274	4	8	13%	6%	78	+0.2	239/295/324	85	274	6	5	14%	6%	74	-0.1	239/293/310	71	272	5	1	13%	6%	66	-0.3
✕Ray Olmedo 2009 · MLB	28	51→57	37→40	44→50	44	243/277/318	75	281	5	13	16%	4%	63	-0.8	239/271/317	78	288	5	10	18%	4%	60	-1.0	250/286/314	63	306	2	9	18%	4%	62	-0.7