Luke Waddell — OGILVIE

Luke WaddellSS Columbus Clingstones

Age 28 L/R 5'7" / 180 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION507 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%11

BB%11

BABIP239

ISO82

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	33	31	5	0	0	0	2	4	0	1	1	161	212	161	373		185	12	6	179	8	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	23	A+	Rome Braves	—	78	69	21	1	0	6	7	13	1	1	1	304	377	580	956	275	294	17	9	411	164	+6	-0	—	—	+2	0.8
2021	23	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	71	61	19	5	0	0	9	8	0	3	0	311	400	393	793	82	352	11	13	357	128	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2022	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	187	162	44	10	0	2	23	22	1	3	2	272	366	370	736	99	302	12	12	336	113	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.7
2023	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	131	104	23	2	2	0	20	15	2	3	1	221	354	279	633	58	247	11	15	293	85	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2023	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	446	372	108	16	1	8	65	57	3	26	9	290	400	403	803	113	319	13	15	362	131	+17	+2	—	—	+10	2.8
2024	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	464	404	95	21	4	2	41	64	10	12	3	235	320	322	642	87	270	14	9	291	83	-9	+1	—	—	+10	0.2
2025	27	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	380	324	88	17	1	1	46	47	4	5	2	272	369	340	708	68	310	12	12	324	105	+2	+0	—	—	+8	1.1
2025	27	A+	Rome Emperors	—	29	26	4	2	0	0	3	6	0	0	0	154	241	231	472	77	200	21	10	223	37	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	33	32	5	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	1	156	182	156	338		170	15	3	148	-14	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2021	23	A+ MLE	Rome Braves	—	78	71	19	1	0	6	5	18	1	1	1	268	325	535	860	268	267	23	6	351	124	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2022	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	187	170	42	9	0	2	15	27	1	3	2	247	312	335	647	88	275	14	8	284	78	-5	-0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2023	25	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	131	111	24	2	2	0	14	18	2	3	1	216	315	270	585	54	237	14	11	269	68	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2023	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	446	389	101	14	1	8	48	67	3	26	9	260	345	362	708	103	286	15	11	316	100	+0	+2	—	—	+10	1.1
2024	26	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	464	418	86	18	3	1	28	80	10	12	3	206	272	270	542	65	244	17	6	247	53	-26	+1	—	—	+10	-1.5
2025	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	380	342	86	13	1	1	28	58	4	5	2	251	316	304	620	53	289	15	7	277	74	-12	+0	—	—	+8	-0.4
2025	27	A+ MLE	Rome Emperors	—	29	27	3	1	0	0	2	8	0	0	0	111	172	148	321	37	154	28	7	151	-12	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	182	169	38	1	0	9	10	38	1	5	2	225	272	391	663	166	234	21	5	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	182	161	45	6	0	6	18	25	1	5	2	280	356	429	784	149	295	14	10	348	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	187	170	42	9	0	2	15	27	1	3	2	247	312	335	647	88	282	14	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA RAW	Mississippi Braves	—	187	162	44	10	0	2	23	22	1	3	2	272	366	370	736	99	302	12	12	336	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	577	500	125	16	3	8	62	85	5	29	10	250	339	342	681	92	281	15	11	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	577	476	131	18	3	8	85	72	5	29	10	275	390	376	766	101	303	12	15	346	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	464	418	86	18	3	1	28	80	10	12	3	206	272	270	542	65	248	17	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA RAW	Gwinnett Stripers	—	464	404	95	21	4	2	41	64	10	12	3	235	320	322	642	87	270	14	9	291	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	409	369	89	14	1	1	30	66	4	5	2	241	305	293	598	51	287	16	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	409	350	92	19	1	1	49	53	4	5	2	263	360	331	691	69	302	13	12	317	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	182	169	38	1	0	9	10	38	1	5	2	225	272	391	663	166	238	21	5	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	187	169	42	9	0	2	15	27	1	3	2	249	312	337	649	89	275	14	8	284	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	577	505	125	16	3	8	62	85	5	29	10	248	339	339	677	91	275	15	11	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	464	423	86	18	3	1	28	80	10	12	3	203	272	267	539	64	244	17	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	409	372	89	14	1	1	30	66	4	5	2	239	305	290	596	51	279	16	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	577	505	125	16	3	8	62	85	5	29	10	248	339	339	677	91	275	15	11	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	464	423	86	18	3	1	28	80	10	12	3	203	272	267	539	64	244	17	6	247	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	409	372	89	14	1	1	30	66	4	5	2	239	305	290	596	51	279	16	7	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	28	AA MLE	ATL	—	507	460	92	19	1	8	33	63	6	11	5	200	263	298	560	98	212	12	7	248	54	-28	+0	+0	+5	+11	-1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	28	AA RAW	ATL	—	507	444	101	22	1	10	49	52	6	11	5	227	313	349	662	122	233	10	10	297	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	28	AA MLE	ATL	2%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		239	11	11	265	65	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	28	AA MLE	ATL	—	516	468	93	19	1	8	34	64	6	11	5	199	262	295	557	96	210	12	7	248	54	-28	+0	+0	+6	+11	-1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ATL	28%	323	294	64	13	1	4	23	48	3	5	2	218	281	310	591	92	242	15	7	268	68	-12	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.3
2028	30	MLB MLE	ATL	43%	343	311	67	13	1	5	25	54	4	5	2	215	282	312	594	96	245	16	7	270	69	-13	+0	-2	+4	+7	-0.4
2027	29	MLB CTX	ATL	28%	91	84	18	4	0	1	6	14	1	1	1	214	275	298	572	83	242	15	7	260	68	-4	-0	-0	+1	+2	-0.1
2028	30	MLB CTX	ATL	43%	148	134	29	6	0	2	11	23	2	2	1	216	286	306	592	90	245	16	7	262	69	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	239	218	47	10	0	3	17	37	3	3	2	216	282	303	584	87	246	15	7	261	73	-9	-0	-1	+3	+5	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	127	27	0	8	46	101	8	8	5	214	280	300	580	86	244	16	7	261	73	-24	-1	-4	+7	+14	-0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2494	2239	512	84	9	30	194	399	28	64	23	229	298	314	613	86	262	16	8	276	73	-26	+0	-3	+7	+15	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	133	22	2	8	51	104	7	17	6	228	298	313	611	86	261	16	8	276	73	-25	+0	-3	+7	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Guillermo Heredialast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,530 PA	2.3	1,530	25	6	231	311	345	+3	+17	3.5	3.5
/162	664	11	3	+1.2	+7.6	1.5	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	244	3	4	218	279	314	+3	+3	0.0	0.0
/162	664	9	10	+7.1	+8.2	0.0	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Waddell (OGILVIE)	28	60	30	45	55	213/276/301	88	239	3	5	14%	7%	65	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sergio Burruel 2019 · AAA	28	51	38→30	40→30	48	243/295/316	73	288	5	6	17%	6%	75	-0.5	237/317/382	145	311	15	8	27%	10%	99	+1.2	219/323/384	165	287	18	0	28%	12%	99	+0.3
✕Rodrigo Aguirre 2012 · AAA	28	53	37→30	42→45	50	249/298/323	74	282	4	6	13%	6%	76	-0.4	254/290/320	66	297	4	7	15%	5%	73	-0.6	274/302/329	55	316	3	5	14%	4%	77	-0.1
✕Drew Meyer 2010 · AAA	28	52→58	38→40	49→50	48	245/298/330	85	296	5	7	19%	7%	78	-0.3	230/286/326	96	290	7	8	22%	7%	74	-0.6	207/267/288	81	264	5	7	22%	8%	55	-1.0
✕Richy Pedroza 2019 · AAA	28	48→55	37→30	46→50	51	225/293/295	70	270	4	15	18%	8%	70	-0.9	242/320/332	90	292	5	19	17%	10%	88	+0.4	250/334/327	77	301	2	23	16%	11%	90	+0.5
✕Forrestt Allday 2018 · AAA	27	52→48	35→30	43→50	53	242/319/294	52	292	3	13	17%	9%	79	-0.2	230/304/303	73	289	5	12	21%	8%	76	-0.4	221/300/285	64	283	3	11	21%	7%	67	-0.9
✕Carlos Leon 2007 · AAA	27	55→59	36→30	42→45	49	260/325/329	69	303	4	10	15%	6%	89	+0.5	230/298/297	67	273	4	7	16%	7%	72	-0.7	208/279/258	50	249	2	4	16%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Matt Tupman 2008 · AAA	28	54→53	35→30	41→30	53	254/318/315	61	293	3	4	14%	8%	83	+0.1	228/275/300	72	266	5	4	16%	6%	63	-1.4	217/256/276	58	253	4	0	15%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Hector Hernandez 2011 · AAA	28	52→50	38→40	46→50	45	244/279/323	78	274	5	7	13%	4%	70	-0.9	249/276/326	77	283	5	8	13%	3%	69	-0.9	267/302/318	51	304	3	3	13%	4%	76	-0.2
✕Carlos Penuelas 2016 · AAA	28	55	37→30	45→50	44	260/305/327	67	319	4	13	19%	5%	80	-0.1	239/280/305	66	285	5	9	17%	5%	66	-1.1	233/270/277	44	273	3	4	15%	4%	53	-0.8
✕Tony Wolters 2020 · MLB	28	48→54	38→40	44→45	55	226/314/305	79	272	5	3	18%	10%	80	-0.1	219/295/302	83	289	6	4	24%	8%	72	-0.7	198/284/266	68	280	5	1	29%	9%	58	-0.7
✕Hainley Statia 2014 · AAA	28	48→57	37→40	45→50	51	225/287/296	71	269	5	9	18%	8%	67	-1.1	238/313/342	104	280	9	11	17%	9%	88	+0.4	257/345/360	103	293	9	10	14%	11%	101	+0.6
✕Jose Salazar 2012 · AAA	28	49	38→40	43→45	46	233/274/311	78	269	6	8	16%	5%	65	-1.2	235/271/317	82	297	5	7	22%	5%	65	-1.2	234/267/301	67	302	3	5	23%	4%	57	-0.8
✕James Beresford 2016 · AAA	27	58→63	35→30	44→45	44	271/302/329	57	315	2	6	15%	4%	78	-0.3	254/296/313	59	310	3	5	18%	6%	73	-0.6	256/301/290	34	318	0	2	18%	6%	66	-1.0
✕Andy Cannizaro 2007 · AAA	28	52→54	37→40	45	50	241/304/325	83	274	3	8	13%	6%	80	-0.1	239/296/320	81	275	5	5	14%	6%	76	-0.4	238/292/304	67	272	4	1	13%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Josh Labandeira 2007 · AAA	28	51→52	37→40	42→45	48	241/301/314	73	286	4	12	17%	6%	77	-0.3	233/289/312	79	297	6	7	22%	6%	72	-0.7	230/286/295	65	302	4	1	24%	6%	64	-0.6
✕Corey Jones 2016 · AAA	28	53→58	38→40	39→45	44	249/292/333	84	302	5	5	19%	5%	77	-0.3	238/291/336	98	280	8	8	17%	6%	78	-0.3	238/294/335	97	273	7	8	15%	6%	76	-0.3
✕Humberto Castro 2019 · AAA	28	52	40→30	46→45	47	249/309/337	89	281	7	9	14%	5%	86	+0.3	233/287/310	77	270	5	9	15%	5%	71	-0.8	234/284/278	44	272	0	5	13%	3%	59	-0.9
✕Michel Hernandez 2007 · AAA	28	52	37→40	47→40	51	245/297/314	70	276	5	5	14%	7%	75	-0.5	239/286/320	81	269	7	5	14%	6%	72	-0.7	239/300/301	62	271	4	4	13%	7%	73	-0.2
✕Kenny Perez 2010 · AAA	28	53→54	40	47→45	47	254/299/356	101	295	6	6	16%	6%	84	+0.2	237/286/335	98	286	8	8	19%	6%	76	-0.4	227/264/270	43	271	3	0	17%	5%	49	-0.5
✕Bengie González 2018 · AAA	28	50→58	37→40	47→50	47	233/279/312	79	278	3	10	17%	6%	68	-1.0	212/265/289	77	271	5	11	22%	6%	57	-1.8	202/256/263	61	260	3	13	22%	6%	46	-1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps