Carlos Jimenez
RF Everett AquaSox| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A/ROK/INTL3 orgs | 399 | .308/.420/.491 | 8 | 22 | 89 | — | .241/.325/.383 |
| 2025 | 22 | AModesto Nuts | 489 | .258/.361/.419 | 14 | 30 | 77 | — | .211/.289/.348 |
| 2026 | 23 | A+SEA | 453 | .287/.395/.533 | 20 | 20 | 99 | — | .229/.313/.415 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBSEA | 1 | .215/.295/.369 | 0 | 0 | 89 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ28% MLB | 25 | MLBSEA | 125 | .217/.297/.373 | 4 | 3 | 91 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ43% MLB | 26 | MLBSEA | 209 | .218/.298/.374 | 6 | 6 | 92 | 0.0 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 152 | 120 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 36 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 192 | 345 | 342 | 686 | 150 | 226 | 24 | 16 | 312 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 126 | 94 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 34 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 255 | 435 | 564 | 999 | 309 | 321 | 27 | 22 | 427 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Mariners | — | 184 | 158 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 51 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 266 | 370 | 380 | 749 | 114 | 381 | 28 | 12 | 343 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 252 | 217 | 64 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 33 | 60 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 295 | 393 | 456 | 849 | 161 | 396 | 24 | 13 | 379 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | ACL Mariners | — | 131 | 104 | 38 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 33 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 365 | 492 | 615 | 1.108 | 250 | 493 | 25 | 18 | 478 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 16 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 77 | 250 | 77 | 327 | 100 | 19 | 19 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 489 | 418 | 108 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 60 | 116 | 7 | 30 | 13 | 258 | 361 | 419 | 779 | 160 | 322 | 24 | 12 | 349 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 453 | 383 | 110 | 24 | 5 | 20 | 66 | 95 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 287 | 395 | 533 | 927 | 245 | 333 | 21 | 15 | 404 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 152 | 128 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 117 | 236 | 188 | 424 | 70 | 145 | 29 | 11 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 126 | 103 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 42 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 146 | 290 | 301 | 591 | 155 | 186 | 33 | 15 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 184 | 166 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 74 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 175 | 255 | 235 | 490 | 60 | 314 | 40 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 252 | 227 | 54 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 82 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 238 | 313 | 361 | 675 | 123 | 359 | 33 | 9 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 131 | 113 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 48 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 248 | 346 | 425 | 771 | 177 | 373 | 37 | 11 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 489 | 437 | 92 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 151 | 7 | 30 | 13 | 211 | 289 | 348 | 636 | 137 | 279 | 31 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 453 | 402 | 92 | 19 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 128 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 229 | 313 | 415 | 728 | 187 | 288 | 28 | 10 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 152 | 128 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 117 | 236 | 188 | 424 | 70 | 151 | 29 | 11 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 152 | 120 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 36 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 192 | 345 | 342 | 686 | 150 | 226 | 24 | 16 | 312 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 126 | 103 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 42 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 146 | 290 | 301 | 591 | 155 | 200 | 33 | 15 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 126 | 94 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 34 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 255 | 435 | 564 | 999 | 309 | 321 | 27 | 22 | 427 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 184 | 166 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 74 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 175 | 255 | 235 | 490 | 60 | 308 | 40 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK RAW | ACL Mariners | — | 184 | 158 | 42 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 51 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 266 | 370 | 380 | 749 | 114 | 381 | 28 | 12 | 343 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 399 | 354 | 85 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 136 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 240 | 324 | 376 | 700 | 136 | 368 | 34 | 10 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 399 | 334 | 103 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 96 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 308 | 420 | 491 | 911 | 183 | 411 | 24 | 15 | 404 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 489 | 437 | 92 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 151 | 7 | 30 | 13 | 211 | 289 | 348 | 636 | 137 | 283 | 31 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | Modesto Nuts | — | 489 | 418 | 108 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 60 | 116 | 7 | 30 | 13 | 258 | 361 | 419 | 779 | 160 | 322 | 24 | 12 | 349 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 453 | 402 | 92 | 19 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 128 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 229 | 313 | 415 | 728 | 187 | 292 | 28 | 10 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | Everett AquaSox | — | 453 | 383 | 110 | 24 | 5 | 20 | 66 | 95 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 287 | 395 | 533 | 927 | 245 | 333 | 21 | 15 | 404 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 152 | 131 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 115 | 236 | 183 | 420 | 69 | 145 | 29 | 11 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 126 | 104 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 42 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 144 | 290 | 298 | 588 | 154 | 186 | 33 | 15 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 184 | 164 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 74 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 177 | 255 | 238 | 493 | 61 | 314 | 40 | 8 | 232 | 43 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 399 | 352 | 85 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 136 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 241 | 324 | 378 | 702 | 136 | 364 | 34 | 10 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 489 | 438 | 92 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 151 | 7 | 30 | 13 | 210 | 289 | 347 | 636 | 137 | 279 | 31 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 453 | 401 | 92 | 19 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 128 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 229 | 313 | 416 | 729 | 187 | 288 | 28 | 10 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 399 | 352 | 85 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 136 | 4 | 22 | 6 | 241 | 324 | 378 | 702 | 136 | 364 | 34 | 10 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 489 | 438 | 92 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 41 | 151 | 7 | 30 | 13 | 210 | 289 | 347 | 636 | 137 | 279 | 31 | 8 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 453 | 401 | 92 | 19 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 128 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 229 | 313 | 416 | 729 | 187 | 288 | 28 | 10 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | SEA | 0% | 380 | 338 | 73 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 108 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 217 | 297 | 375 | 672 | 158 | 279 | 28 | 9 | 300 | 89 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +8 | 0.4 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | SEA | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 215 | 295 | 369 | 664 | 154 | 277 | 0 | 0 | 297 | 89 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | SEA | 28% | 454 | 405 | 88 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 43 | 128 | 3 | 13 | 6 | 219 | 299 | 379 | 678 | 160 | 280 | 28 | 9 | 303 | 91 | -5 | +0 | +0 | -5 | +10 | 0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | SEA | 43% | 485 | 432 | 96 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 46 | 135 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 220 | 301 | 380 | 681 | 160 | 281 | 28 | 9 | 304 | 92 | -5 | -0 | +0 | -5 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | SEA | 50% | 490 | 437 | 95 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 46 | 136 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 221 | 301 | 379 | 680 | 158 | 281 | 28 | 9 | 303 | 91 | -5 | -0 | +0 | -5 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | SEA | 54% | 489 | 436 | 96 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 46 | 135 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 220 | 300 | 376 | 676 | 156 | 281 | 28 | 9 | 302 | 90 | -6 | -0 | -1 | -5 | +11 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | SEA | 55% | 321 | 286 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 89 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 219 | 298 | 372 | 670 | 153 | 280 | 28 | 9 | 299 | 89 | -4 | -0 | -1 | -3 | +7 | -0.3 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | SEA | 61% | 314 | 280 | 61 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 88 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 216 | 295 | 364 | 659 | 148 | 278 | 28 | 9 | 295 | 86 | -5 | -0 | -2 | -3 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | SEA | 28% | 125 | 111 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 217 | 297 | 373 | 670 | 156 | 277 | 28 | 10 | 299 | 91 | -1 | -0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | SEA | 43% | 209 | 185 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 58 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 218 | 298 | 374 | 672 | 156 | 278 | 28 | 10 | 300 | 92 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | SEA | 50% | 246 | 219 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 68 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 218 | 299 | 373 | 671 | 155 | 278 | 28 | 9 | 300 | 91 | -3 | +0 | +0 | -3 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | SEA | 54% | 266 | 237 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 73 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 218 | 298 | 370 | 668 | 152 | 278 | 27 | 9 | 299 | 90 | -3 | +0 | -0 | -3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | SEA | 55% | 178 | 158 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 49 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 217 | 296 | 366 | 662 | 149 | 277 | 28 | 10 | 296 | 89 | -2 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | SEA | 61% | 193 | 172 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 54 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 214 | 293 | 359 | 651 | 145 | 276 | 28 | 9 | 292 | 86 | -3 | -0 | -1 | -2 | +4 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1217 | 1082 | 235 | 42 | 8 | 35 | 115 | 337 | 9 | 27 | 15 | 217 | 298 | 368 | 666 | 151 | 279 | 28 | 9 | 298 | 85 | -15 | -1 | -2 | -13 | +26 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 125 | 22 | 4 | 19 | 61 | 180 | 5 | 14 | 8 | 216 | 297 | 367 | 663 | 151 | 277 | 28 | 9 | 298 | 85 | -8 | -0 | -1 | -7 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4566 | 4052 | 866 | 151 | 36 | 126 | 437 | 1346 | 44 | 170 | 78 | 214 | 297 | 362 | 659 | 148 | 284 | 29 | 10 | 294 | 85 | -33 | -1 | -4 | -30 | +60 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 123 | 21 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 192 | 6 | 24 | 11 | 213 | 296 | 360 | 657 | 147 | 283 | 30 | 10 | 294 | 85 | -8 | -0 | -1 | -7 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Everett AquaSox · 453 PAwOBA .396 → .314 (−82)K% 21.0% → 28.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.97% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 28.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 10.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.44% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 0.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 19.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 6.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.994 | ×0.998 | 1.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.94% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 5.75% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .396 → .314; ISO .245 → .194; BABIP .333 → .288. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AModesto Nuts · 489 PAwOBA .342 → .282 (−60)K% 23.7% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.72% | ÷1.045 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.07% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.43% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.17% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | — | 21.61% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.63% | ÷1.067 | ×0.830 | ×0.961 | — | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.097 | ×0.910 | ×0.961 | — | 1.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.64% | ÷0.759 | ×0.800 | — | — | 4.89% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 52, 1B 98, 2B 113, 3B 119, K 109, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .342 → .282; ISO .160 → .146; BABIP .322 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AModesto Nuts · 252 PAwOBA .369 → .293 (−76)K% 23.8% → 32.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.81% | ÷0.993 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.10% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 9.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.79% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.75% | ÷0.970 | ×0.920 | ×1.000 | ×1.015 | 25.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.64% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×1.000 | ×1.015 | 5.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.46% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.000 | ×1.015 | 3.58% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.91% | ÷0.897 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.73% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 94, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.
Result: wOBA .369 → .293; ISO .161 → .123; BABIP .396 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Mariners · 131 PAwOBA .470 → .330 (−139)K% 25.2% → 37.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.19% | ÷0.981 | ×1.440 | — | — | 36.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.32% | ÷0.966 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 11.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.53% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.39% | ÷0.962 | ×0.820 | ×0.951 | ×0.985 | 25.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.68% | ÷0.970 | ×0.720 | ×0.951 | ×0.985 | 8.82% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.41% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×0.951 | ×0.985 | 0.83% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.04% | ÷0.863 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 6.27% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 92, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .470 → .330; ISO .250 → .186; BABIP .493 → .373. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Mariners · 184 PAwOBA .335 → .232 (−103)K% 27.7% → 40.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.72% | ÷0.992 | ×1.440 | — | — | 40.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.96% | ÷0.989 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 7.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.17% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.04% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | ×1.034 | ×0.995 | 23.97% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.48% | ÷0.993 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×0.995 | 5.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.034 | ×0.995 | 1.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.87% | ÷0.945 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.53% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.034.
Result: wOBA .335 → .232; ISO .114 → .077; BABIP .381 → .314. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Mariners · 126 PAwOBA .424 → .260 (−164)K% 27.0% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.98% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.22% | ÷1.055 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 14.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.59% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 1.11% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.991 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 10.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.953 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 4.96% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.105 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 2.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.015 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 4.61% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 121, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .424 → .260; ISO .309 → .162; BABIP .321 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Mariners · 152 PAwOBA .313 → .204 (−109)K% 23.7% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.68% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 10.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.86% | ÷0.957 | ×0.680 | ×0.953 | ×1.008 | 12.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.38% | ÷1.177 | ×0.600 | ×0.953 | ×1.008 | 1.17% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.939 | ×0.600 | ×0.953 | ×1.008 | 1.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.004 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 2.25% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 91, 2B 135, 3B 88, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .313 → .204; ISO .150 → .080; BABIP .226 → .145. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .