Zach Kokoska
OF Hartford Yard Goats| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25 | AACOL | 398 | .216/.314/.461 | 20 | 15 | 59 | — | .165/.240/.350 |
| 2025 | 26 | AACOL | 280 | .187/.281/.382 | 12 | 12 | 29 | — | .138/.216/.261 |
| 2026 | 27 | AACOL | 294 | .248/.336/.481 | 13 | 14 | 72 | — | .195/.267/.361 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 28 | MLBCOL | 3 | .199/.266/.375 | 0 | 0 | 68 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 29 | MLBCOL | 34 | .200/.266/.371 | 1 | 1 | 67 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 55
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rockies | — | 48 | 43 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 395 | 458 | 535 | 993 | 140 | 444 | 12 | 6 | 442 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 358 | 309 | 77 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 73 | 10 | 17 | 2 | 249 | 343 | 447 | 789 | 197 | 284 | 20 | 9 | 347 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Spokane Indians | — | 322 | 274 | 83 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 35 | 74 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 303 | 401 | 562 | 963 | 259 | 360 | 23 | 11 | 417 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 398 | 343 | 74 | 22 | 1 | 20 | 35 | 122 | 14 | 15 | 4 | 216 | 314 | 461 | 774 | 245 | 262 | 31 | 9 | 337 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 280 | 246 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 27 | 101 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 187 | 281 | 382 | 663 | 195 | 252 | 36 | 10 | 296 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 294 | 258 | 64 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 83 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 248 | 336 | 481 | 816 | 233 | 313 | 28 | 9 | 357 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 48 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 318 | 375 | 455 | 830 | 136 | 331 | 19 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 358 | 321 | 65 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 103 | 10 | 17 | 2 | 202 | 275 | 355 | 630 | 153 | 252 | 29 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 322 | 286 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 102 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 220 | 301 | 406 | 707 | 185 | 285 | 32 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 398 | 357 | 59 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 21 | 151 | 14 | 15 | 4 | 165 | 240 | 350 | 590 | 185 | 212 | 38 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 280 | 253 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 120 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 138 | 216 | 261 | 477 | 123 | 215 | 43 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 294 | 266 | 52 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 101 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 195 | 267 | 361 | 628 | 165 | 272 | 34 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 48 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 318 | 375 | 455 | 830 | 136 | 382 | 19 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK RAW | ACL Rockies | — | 48 | 43 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 395 | 458 | 535 | 993 | 140 | 444 | 12 | 6 | 442 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 358 | 321 | 65 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 103 | 10 | 17 | 2 | 202 | 275 | 355 | 630 | 153 | 262 | 29 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A RAW | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 358 | 309 | 77 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 34 | 73 | 10 | 17 | 2 | 249 | 343 | 447 | 789 | 197 | 284 | 20 | 9 | 347 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 322 | 286 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 102 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 220 | 301 | 406 | 707 | 185 | 293 | 32 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ RAW | Spokane Indians | — | 322 | 274 | 83 | 21 | 1 | 16 | 35 | 74 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 303 | 401 | 562 | 963 | 259 | 360 | 23 | 11 | 417 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 398 | 357 | 59 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 21 | 151 | 14 | 15 | 4 | 165 | 240 | 350 | 590 | 185 | 221 | 38 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 398 | 343 | 74 | 22 | 1 | 20 | 35 | 122 | 14 | 15 | 4 | 216 | 314 | 461 | 774 | 245 | 262 | 31 | 9 | 337 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 280 | 253 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 120 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 138 | 216 | 261 | 477 | 123 | 219 | 43 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 280 | 246 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 12 | 27 | 101 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 187 | 281 | 382 | 663 | 195 | 252 | 36 | 10 | 296 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 294 | 266 | 52 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 101 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 195 | 267 | 361 | 628 | 165 | 274 | 34 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA RAW | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 294 | 258 | 64 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 83 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 248 | 336 | 481 | 816 | 233 | 313 | 28 | 9 | 357 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Rockies | — | 48 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 318 | 375 | 455 | 830 | 136 | 331 | 19 | 4 | 305 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A MLE | Fresno Grizzlies | — | 358 | 323 | 65 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 103 | 10 | 17 | 2 | 201 | 275 | 353 | 628 | 152 | 252 | 29 | 6 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ MLE | Spokane Indians | — | 322 | 286 | 63 | 15 | 1 | 12 | 23 | 102 | 10 | 18 | 7 | 220 | 301 | 406 | 707 | 185 | 285 | 32 | 7 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 398 | 360 | 59 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 21 | 151 | 14 | 15 | 4 | 164 | 240 | 347 | 587 | 183 | 212 | 38 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 280 | 253 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 120 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 138 | 216 | 261 | 477 | 123 | 215 | 43 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 294 | 266 | 52 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 101 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 195 | 267 | 361 | 628 | 165 | 272 | 34 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 25 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 398 | 360 | 59 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 21 | 151 | 14 | 15 | 4 | 164 | 240 | 347 | 587 | 183 | 212 | 38 | 5 | 256 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 280 | 253 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 120 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 138 | 216 | 261 | 477 | 123 | 215 | 43 | 7 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | Hartford Yard Goats | — | 294 | 266 | 52 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 101 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 195 | 267 | 361 | 628 | 165 | 272 | 34 | 6 | 274 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | COL | 2% | 344 | 313 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 120 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 188 | 255 | 345 | 600 | 157 | 260 | 35 | 6 | 268 | 68 | -13 | +1 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | COL | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 266 | 375 | 641 | 176 | 274 | 33 | 0 | 284 | 68 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | COL | 23% | 149 | 136 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 188 | 256 | 342 | 597 | 153 | 260 | 35 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -6 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | COL | 23% | 34 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 200 | 266 | 371 | 637 | 172 | 274 | 35 | 6 | 283 | 67 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 34 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 161 | 235 | 290 | 526 | 129 | 222 | 35 | 6 | 283 | 65 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 95 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 38 | 229 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 160 | 234 | 288 | 522 | 128 | 220 | 35 | 6 | 283 | 65 | -26 | +4 | -6 | -4 | +14 | -1.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1994 | 1795 | 340 | 76 | 12 | 65 | 124 | 689 | 55 | 92 | 21 | 189 | 263 | 354 | 617 | 164 | 261 | 35 | 6 | 265 | 65 | -11 | +1 | -1 | -2 | +6 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 111 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 40 | 225 | 18 | 30 | 7 | 190 | 263 | 354 | 617 | 164 | 262 | 35 | 6 | 265 | 65 | -25 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +14 | -1.7 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAHartford Yard Goats · 294 PAwOBA .349 → .274 (−75)K% 28.2% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.23% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.84% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 5.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.72% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 2.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | ×0.968 | 16.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.980 | ×0.968 | 7.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.980 | ×0.968 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 5.61% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .349 → .274; ISO .233 → .175; BABIP .313 → .272. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAHartford Yard Goats · 280 PAwOBA .290 → .211 (−79)K% 36.1% → 42.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.07% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.64% | ÷0.940 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.978 | 7.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.79% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.978 | 1.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.86% | ÷1.008 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 14.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷0.913 | ×0.860 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 6.03% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.69% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×0.950 | ×0.978 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.28% | ÷1.255 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.978 | 5.03% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 102, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 105, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 24.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .290 → .211; ISO .195 → .123; BABIP .252 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAHartford Yard Goats · 398 PAwOBA .330 → .256 (−74)K% 30.7% → 37.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.65% | ÷0.987 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.29% | ÷1.066 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 5.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.52% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.95% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.03% | ÷1.041 | ×0.970 | ×0.954 | ×0.988 | 12.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.95% | ÷1.102 | ×0.860 | ×0.954 | ×0.988 | 7.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.45% | ÷0.900 | ×0.950 | ×0.954 | ×0.988 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.05% | ÷0.916 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 7.61% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 108, 2B 120, 3B 80, K 97, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.
Result: wOBA .330 → .256; ISO .245 → .194; BABIP .262 → .212. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Spokane Indians · 322 PAwOBA .409 → .300 (−108)K% 23.0% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.98% | ÷0.983 | ×1.350 | — | — | 31.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.87% | ÷1.075 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 7.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.11% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 2.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.50% | ÷1.019 | ×0.910 | ×0.951 | ×0.978 | 18.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.50% | ÷1.026 | ×0.830 | ×0.951 | ×0.978 | 7.90% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.50% | ÷0.936 | ×0.820 | ×0.951 | ×0.978 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.047 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 6.20% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 104, 2B 105, 3B 87, K 97, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .409 → .300; ISO .259 → .189; BABIP .360 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AFresno Grizzlies · 358 PAwOBA .339 → .270 (−69)K% 20.4% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.39% | ÷0.961 | ×1.360 | — | — | 28.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.22% | ÷1.011 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 6.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.79% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 2.14% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.49% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×0.993 | ×0.980 | 17.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.93% | ÷0.974 | ×0.830 | ×0.993 | ×0.980 | 4.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.69% | ÷0.937 | ×0.910 | ×0.993 | ×0.980 | 1.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.51% | ÷0.947 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 4.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 87, K 92, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .339 → .270; ISO .197 → .159; BABIP .284 → .252. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Rockies · 48 PAwOBA .430 → .305 (−126)K% 12.5% → 18.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.997 | ×1.440 | — | — | 18.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.25% | ÷1.061 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 3.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 2.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 37.84% | ÷1.033 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 28.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.009 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 1.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 1.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.70% | ÷1.029 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 1.98% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 107, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 99, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .430 → .305; ISO .140 → .093; BABIP .444 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).