Juan VillavicencioSS Clearwater Threshers
Age 21 L/R 5'10" / 155 lbs A HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 ROS PROJECTION272 act + 181 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .273 / .324
PA181
HR3
SB8
K%31
BB%8
BABIP285
ISO122
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -12.7 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: +4.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+4RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +4.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+5POSREP: +12.8 runs (Replacement-level credit)+13REPTotal WAR: +0.90+0.9WAR
0.00.81.60.30.70.91.11.11.11.00.8+$51M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 32 / POW 43
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT32
scouting grade only
POWER43
scouting grade only
EYE56
scouting grade only
SPEED60
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$5M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$5M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.0$5M+$4M
2034Arb-1$2M+0.8$2M+$1.0M
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $5M $18M +$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Phillies White — 167152 28512 12551 131 184248270518 86271 337 235 38 — — — — — —
202217 ROKDSL Phillies White — 167143 38822 20351 131 266358392749 126336 2112 335 114 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Phillies White — 205178 30534 17645 95 169260298558 129228 318 239 41 — — — — — —
202318 ROKDSL Phillies White — 205169 35643 26415 95 207330343673 136248 2013 303 90 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Phillies — 187167 30521 14594 53 180259251511 72266 327 230 34 — — — — — —
202419 ROKFCL Phillies — 187159 42731 22444 53 264368365732 101353 2412 333 113 — — — — — —
202520 A2 teams — 126107 14301 14482 111 131244187431 56213 3811 215 22 — — — — — —
202520 A2 teams — 126103 18402 18372 111 175309272581 97239 2914 271 66 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD21 APHI — 272250 581237 20920 183 232289388677 156336 347 294 83 -5 +2 +0 +3 +8 0.8
YTD21 APHI — 272242 701449 28650 183 289363492855 202361 2410 374 144 +14 +2 +0 +3 +8 2.7
ROS21 APHI 0% 181163 33723 15561 81 202273324598 122279 318 268 63 -7 +1 +0 +2 +5 0.1
ROS21 MLBPHI 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 281 —— 265 61 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL21 APHI — 272251 581237 20920 183 231289386675 155333 347 294 83 -5 +2 +0 +3 +8 0.8
TOT21 APHI — 453413 9119510 351481 264 220283363646 143315 338 284 75 -13 +4 +0 +5 +13 0.9
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBPHI 34% 367331 691438 301103 112 208280341622 133280 308 277 70 -12 +1 +0 +4 +10 0.3
202823 MLBPHI 48% 437394 8216310 371273 133 208281340621 132282 298 284 76 -12 +1 +0 +5 +12 0.7
202924 MLBPHI 53% 478430 9318412 411374 153 216291360651 144283 299 289 79 -11 +2 +0 +5 +14 0.9
203025 MLBPHI 55% 495446 9719413 421404 153 217291365656 148283 288 291 81 -10 +2 +0 +5 +14 1.1
203126 MLBPHI 56% 503451 9819413 431424 153 217291364655 146283 289 292 82 -10 +2 +0 +5 +14 1.1
203227 MLBPHI 55% 502449 9819413 441424 153 218294365659 147283 289 292 82 -10 +2 +0 +5 +14 1.1
203328 MLBPHI 55% 496445 9719413 441414 143 218294366660 148283 289 291 81 -11 +2 -1 +5 +14 1.0
203429 MLBPHI 53% 486436 9218312 431394 133 211288349636 138282 299 290 80 -11 +1 -1 +5 +14 0.8
202722 MLBPHI 34% 126114 24513 10381 41 211280351631 140282 308 274 68 -5 +0 +0 +1 +4 0.1
202823 MLBPHI 48% 212190 41825 18622 71 216290358648 142284 298 281 73 -6 +1 +0 +2 +6 0.3
202924 MLBPHI 53% 252227 491026 21722 82 216288357645 141285 298 285 77 -7 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.4
203025 MLBPHI 55% 271244 541127 23772 82 221294369663 148286 288 288 78 -7 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.5
203126 MLBPHI 56% 280252 551127 24792 92 218291361652 143285 289 288 79 -7 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.5
203227 MLBPHI 55% 276248 541127 24782 82 218292363655 145285 289 288 79 -7 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.5
203328 MLBPHI 55% 271243 521027 24772 82 214290358648 144285 289 288 78 -7 +1 -0 +3 +8 0.4
203429 MLBPHI 53% 259232 511027 23742 71 220296371666 151284 299 286 77 -7 +1 -1 +3 +7 0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 19471751 380761549 16755715 5913 217291362652 144287 299 286 77 -51 +7 -1 +21 +55 3.1
/ 162G— — 650585 12625516 561865 204 215290357647 142285 299 286 77 -17 +2 -0 +7 +18 1.1
Career— — 46304149 86116737105 396136043 15734 208283342625 134279 299 280 72 -146 +18 -2 +50 +131 5.2
/ 162G— — 650582 12023515 561916 225 206283340623 134276 299 280 72 -20 +2 -0 +7 +18 0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Phillies White — 167143 38822 20351 131 266358392749 126336 2112 335 114 +3 +2 — — +5 1.0
202318 ROKDSL Phillies White — 205169 35643 26415 95 207330343673 136248 2013 303 90 -2 -0 — — +6 0.3
202419 ROKFCL Phillies — 187159 42731 22444 53 264368365732 101353 2412 333 113 +3 -0 — — +5 0.8
202520 AClearwater Threshers — 10482 12201 17302 90 146307207514 61204 2916 251 50 -6 +2 — — +3 -0.1
202520 ROKFCL Phillies — 2221 6201 170 21 286318524842 238385 325 366 139 +1 +0 — — +1 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#3Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA
62,4383130244299357+9+265.45.4
/16266488+2.4+7.21.5pk7: 5
#6Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons
52,1555264212284351+23+153.53.6
/1626641620+7.1+4.61.1pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Juan Villavicencio (OGILVIE) 21 27→32 38→43 55→60 56 220/283/363 143315 1026 33% 8% 75 +0.9 ————————— —————————
✕Hoy Park
2017 · A 		21 41→49 39→45 60→55 46 193/267/285 92274 517 29% 8% 53 -1.5 216/290/303 87291 617 26% 9% 67 -0.5 227/314/3259830081725%10%79+0.2
✕Iverson Leonardo
2023 · A 		21 37 44→50 49→50 39 187/256/305 118276 129 35% 7% 54 -1.4 197/279/292 95352 78 42% 9% 60 -1.0 146/272/221753593452%12%39-0.5
✕Jeter Downs
2019 · A 		21 41→40 42→50 52→55 42 203/265/309 106263 1018 26% 6% 58 -1.2 207/272/357 150272 1718 30% 7% 74 -0.1 175/266/324149236182633%9%63-0.4
✕Cole Roederer
2021 · A 		21 38→31 43→45 51→50 41 190/257/298 109284 1112 35% 8% 52 -1.6 205/269/317 112309 1112 35% 7% 62 -0.9 180/254/293113270131136%8%49-1.0
✕Estee Harris
2006 · A 		21 36→31 43→50 50 37 187/233/300 113268 1114 34% 5% 41 -2.3 188/238/287 99315 913 41% 6% 40 -2.4 172/224/2639131881346%6%25-1.1
✕Juan Mora
2021 · A 		21 43 42→45 53→55 49 209/289/317 108255 914 21% 8% 71 -0.3 228/292/345 117310 1010 28% 6% 79 +0.3 224/280/33311029810827%5%68-0.2
✕Johan Mieses
2016 · A 		21 40→33 46→55 52→50 39 205/249/339 134269 1414 29% 5% 59 -1.1 183/230/341 158264 204 38% 5% 52 -1.6 195/270/37718223727730%7%75-0.0
✕Sean Coyle
2013 · A 		21 36→34 45→50 54→50 37 187/249/310 124268 1213 34% 6% 52 -1.6 201/258/355 154293 1914 37% 6% 68 -0.5 192/251/359168278231539%7%64-0.4
✕Luis Valenzuela
2015 · A 		21 41 37→45 55→45 39 197/236/272 76265 47 27% 5% 34 -2.8 241/267/333 92304 57 22% 3% 63 -0.9 257/280/3581003165720%2%71-0.1
✕Livan Soto
2022 · AA 		22 36→46 40 50 41 181/235/274 93246 811 29% 6% 36 -2.7 225/291/315 90302 79 26% 8% 70 -0.3 236/307/320843107824%9%76+0.0
✕Chris Roller
2018 · A 		21 37 37→50 53→55 45 178/254/255 77243 412 27% 8% 40 -2.4 208/276/322 114297 811 31% 7% 66 -0.6 179/262/313134284161640%8%57-0.7
✕Jefry Puente
2012 · A 		20 35 37→45 55→50 47 170/258/247 77249 311 30% 9% 40 -2.4 192/268/269 77260 314 25% 8% 49 -1.8 163/244/2195620902720%7%23-0.9
✕Ryan Mount
2008 · A 		21 43 42→50 51→50 41 211/265/313 102289 1013 30% 6% 59 -1.1 227/266/359 132290 1510 26% 5% 70 -0.3 251/293/41016030619824%5%95+0.5
✕Francisco Santana
2010 · A 		22 43 42→50 57→55 43 212/261/324 112266 913 24% 6% 59 -1.1 198/235/292 94282 78 31% 4% 39 -2.5 164/182/259962306632%2%4-1.5
✕Kelvin Duran
2012 · A 		21 42 38→45 53→55 42 201/253/285 83276 515 28% 6% 45 -2.1 194/240/266 72292 59 33% 5% 35 -2.8 146/176/1833621841234%3%-17-1.3
✕David Calabrese
2023 · A 		20 38→37 41→45 56→50 41 186/249/288 102279 815 35% 7% 45 -2.1 184/254/304 120272 1313 35% 8% 53 -1.5 166/230/26296226111331%7%28-1.4
✕Cayden Wallace
2023 · A 		21 45→42 42→50 56→50 40 218/268/331 113302 815 30% 6% 64 -0.8 215/273/337 122287 1112 27% 6% 68 -0.5 225/274/377152279181326%5%77+0.1
✕Stephen Chapman
2007 · A 		21 42→37 42→50 52→50 40 208/261/318 110283 913 29% 6% 58 -1.2 190/241/330 140285 1511 37% 5% 53 -1.5 171/222/315143259171240%5%40-1.6
✕Addison Barger
2021 · A 		21 41→45 39→55 49→45 44 198/267/288 90270 65 28% 7% 53 -1.5 217/280/375 158316 197 36% 7% 82 +0.5 220/290/39217226920626%8%86+0.6
✕Ricardo Méndez
2021 · A 		21 43 39→45 54→50 39 204/264/292 88314 713 35% 7% 53 -1.5 217/259/315 98324 613 33% 5% 56 -1.3 213/255/3079431351432%5%48-1.1