Spencer Jones — OGILVIE

Spencer JonesCF Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 25 L/L 6'7" / 240 lbs AAA HR +8%BB +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032 peak 0.8 · 2028

wRC+†76

AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .261 / .365

PA320

HR12

SB13

K%43

BB%7

MLB%34%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

27↗33

PWR

64↗66

SPD

60→60

FLD

44↗49

EYE

47↗48

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.8peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2027

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$3M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2030	Arb-2	$1M	+0.6	$3M	+$1M
2031	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.2M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$1M	+0.2	$1.0M	-$0.5M
Totals		$7M		$15M	+$8M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	95	86	23	5	0	2	7	26	2	10	0	.267	.337	.395	.732	.128	.362	27	7	.320	103	+0	+2	+0	+0	+3	0.5
2023	22	A+	2 teams	537	503	106	21	4	13	28	202	3	43	12	.211	.257	.346	.602	.135	.320	38	5	.264	60	-24	+4	+0	+2	+15	-0.3
2024	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	544	499	104	25	5	13	37	252	4	25	9	.208	.269	.357	.625	.148	.382	46	7	.276	69	-19	+1	+0	+2	+15	-0.0
2025	24	AAA	2 teams	506	456	97	17	1	27	40	224	5	29	6	.213	.283	.432	.715	.219	.333	44	8	.306	92	-4	+3	+0	+2	+14	1.5
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	25	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	94	82	15	5	0	4	8	42	3	4	2	.183	.280	.390	.670	.207	.297	45	9	.291	81	-2	+0	+0	+0	+3	0.1
ROS	25	MLB	NYY	226	204	40	9	1	8	17	99	3	9	3	.196	.268	.368	.636	.172	.315	44	8	.282	74	-7	+1	-0	+1	+6	0.1
TOT	25	MLB	NYY	320	286	55	14	1	12	25	141	6	13	5	.192	.271	.374	.645	.182	.319	44	8	.285	76	-9	+1	-0	+1	+9	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 50%	NYY	365	327	68	14	2	15	30	134	5	14	4	.208	.285	.401	.685	.193	.290	37	8	.298	86	-6	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.7
2028	27	MLB 69%	NYY	388	348	73	15	2	15	32	138	5	15	5	.210	.286	.394	.679	.184	.291	36	8	.300	88	-5	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.8
2029	28	MLB 78%	NYY	401	359	75	16	2	15	34	141	5	14	4	.209	.286	.390	.676	.181	.290	35	8	.300	88	-5	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.7
2030	29	MLB 85%	NYY	400	358	75	16	2	15	34	141	5	13	4	.209	.287	.391	.678	.182	.289	35	8	.299	87	-6	+1	-2	+1	+11	0.6
2031	30	MLB 91%	NYY	398	356	73	15	1	15	34	141	5	12	4	.205	.284	.379	.663	.174	.288	35	9	.296	84	-7	+1	-3	+1	+11	0.4
2032	31	MLB	NYY	387	346	70	15	1	14	33	139	5	10	3	.202	.281	.373	.654	.171	.286	36	9	.292	81	-8	+1	-3	+1	+11	0.2
2033	32	MLB	NYY	370	332	66	14	1	13	31	135	4	8	2	.199	.275	.364	.640	.166	.284	36	8	.287	78	-9	+1	-4	+1	+10	-0.1
2034	33	MLB	NYY	341	305	60	12	1	12	29	127	4	6	2	.197	.275	.361	.636	.164	.282	37	9	.281	73	-10	+0	-5	+1	+10	-0.4
2035	34	MLB	NYY	298	268	51	10	1	10	25	113	3	5	1	.190	.267	.347	.614	.157	.280	38	8	.274	68	-11	+1	-5	+1	+8	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5256	4747	981	204	24	187	411	2012	58	213	59	.207	.278	.378	.656	.171	.308	38	8	.289	80	-122	+19	-25	+19	+149	4.1
/ 162G	—			650	587	121	25	3	23	51	249	7	26	7	.206	.278	.376	.654	.170	.307	38	8	.289	80	-15	+2	-3	+2	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	95	83	27	5	0	3	10	18	2	10	0	.325	.411	.494	.905	.169	.387	19	11	.403	167	+7	+2	—	—	+3	1.2
2023	22	AA	Somerset Patriots	78	69	18	1	0	3	7	22	1	8	3	.261	.338	.406	.743	.145	.333	28	9	.331	111	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	459	411	110	28	4	13	42	133	2	35	9	.268	.337	.450	.787	.182	.363	29	9	.347	123	+12	+3	—	—	+13	2.9
2024	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	544	482	125	30	6	17	54	200	4	25	9	.259	.339	.452	.791	.193	.401	37	10	.348	125	+15	+1	—	—	+15	3.3
2025	24	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	298	263	72	15	1	19	26	109	4	19	4	.274	.348	.555	.903	.281	.379	37	9	.386	153	+18	+2	—	—	+8	2.9
2025	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	208	175	48	8	0	16	32	70	1	10	2	.274	.389	.594	.984	.320	.360	34	15	.425	183	+20	+1	—	—	+6	2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Spencer Jones (OGILVIE)	25	27→33	64→66	60	48	.196/.261/.365	.169	.320	12	12	43%	7%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesse Franklin V 2023 · AA	24	39→29	57→65	53→55	36	.209/.270/.405	.196	.300	26	15	39%	6%	86	+0.8	.216/.280/.397	.181	.310	23	19	37%	6%	89	+0.9	.202/.269/.396	.194	.280	27	24	37%	6%	80	+0.2
✕Drew Robinson 2017 · AAA	25	36→41	51→55	51→50	43	.193/.267/.354	.161	.275	19	14	36%	9%	71	-0.3	.212/.286/.373	.161	.316	18	12	36%	9%	84	+0.6	.207/.288/.362	.155	.320	17	12	37%	10%	78	+0.1
✕Nelson Velázquez 2023 · MLB	24	40→38	54→60	52→50	37	.208/.266/.387	.178	.310	23	17	39%	7%	79	+0.3	.209/.272/.395	.186	.271	26	12	32%	7%	84	+0.6	.200/.266/.385	.185	.241	27	10	30%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Daniel Palka 2017 · AAA	25	39→43	55→60	49→50	38	.207/.262/.389	.182	.297	24	10	38%	7%	78	+0.2	.219/.270/.394	.175	.296	24	6	33%	6%	82	+0.5	.212/.281/.401	.189	.265	26	4	30%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Zac Cook 2023 · AA	25	39	49→55	50	33	.186/.279/.331	.145	.324	17	15	44%	6%	72	-0.2	.191/.273/.321	.130	.335	15	17	45%	5%	66	-0.6	.139/.224/.249	.110	.261	17	29	50%	4%	25	-0.8
●Will Benson 2022 · AAA	24	35→45	52→55	53→55	44	.184/.270/.354	.170	.283	20	15	40%	10%	73	-0.1	.220/.318/.395	.175	.317	18	21	33%	12%	102	+1.9	.221/.322/.401	.180	.313	18	26	32%	12%	102	+1.4
✕Cade Marlowe 2023 · AAA	26	46→49	54→55	57→60	41	.230/.297/.412	.182	.326	22	24	35%	8%	98	+1.6	.214/.284/.354	.140	.321	15	34	35%	8%	78	+0.2	.199/.275/.320	.121	.305	12	42	36%	9%	64	-0.5
✕John Rave 2023 · AAA	25	43	49→50	54→50	43	.216/.286/.357	.142	.309	18	17	35%	8%	79	+0.3	.217/.284/.358	.141	.299	15	15	31%	8%	79	+0.3	.214/.283/.361	.147	.282	16	17	29%	8%	76	+0.0
✕Matt Gorski 2023 · AA	25	38→34	52→60	55	36	.201/.255/.362	.161	.296	21	19	39%	6%	68	-0.5	.202/.249/.372	.170	.277	22	19	35%	6%	68	-0.5	.192/.237/.369	.177	.251	24	19	34%	5%	61	-0.6
●Corey Brown 2011 · AAA	25	44→49	51→60	56→50	41	.223/.283/.385	.162	.315	18	14	34%	7%	85	+0.7	.224/.282/.388	.164	.315	19	12	33%	7%	85	+0.7	.218/.277/.395	.177	.303	22	12	34%	7%	83	+0.5
✕Joseph Dunigan 2011 · AA	25	41→44	52→55	52→50	35	.210/.257/.374	.164	.314	20	16	39%	6%	72	-0.2	.192/.245/.357	.165	.355	22	12	49%	6%	63	-0.9	.170/.224/.341	.170	.326	24	11	53%	6%	46	-1.0
✕Kyle Russell 2011 · AA	25	43→44	55→60	52→45	37	.211/.277/.401	.190	.338	22	9	42%	7%	88	+0.9	.204/.270/.373	.169	.315	20	7	39%	8%	77	+0.1	.183/.254/.335	.152	.276	18	6	38%	8%	59	-0.6
●Tyler Fitzgerald 2023 · AA	25	38→48	51→55	53→55	34	.195/.259/.352	.157	.307	20	14	41%	6%	67	-0.5	.227/.286/.397	.170	.317	20	21	33%	6%	90	+1.0	.234/.294/.402	.168	.313	20	23	31%	7%	93	+1.0
✕Joey Wiemer 2023 · AAA	24	43→44	54→55	56→55	42	.224/.287/.400	.176	.302	22	22	33%	7%	92	+1.2	.204/.276/.344	.140	.280	16	17	31%	8%	72	-0.2	.184/.266/.306	.121	.251	14	16	31%	9%	55	-0.9
✕Brewer Hicklen 2023 · AAA	27	40→41	53→55	61→60	37	.201/.277/.372	.170	.324	21	32	42%	8%	80	+0.4	.204/.283/.375	.171	.295	21	34	36%	8%	84	+0.6	.194/.278/.362	.168	.266	21	39	34%	8%	76	+0.1
●James Outman 2022 · AA	25	40→49	50→60	53→50	42	.203/.280/.356	.152	.292	18	15	35%	8%	77	+0.1	.227/.313/.417	.190	.325	23	14	35%	9%	107	+2.2	.223/.317/.418	.195	.310	25	14	34%	10%	107	+2.0
✕Kameron Misner 2023 · AA	25	43→42	47→50	55	44	.205/.290/.346	.141	.322	15	23	38%	10%	79	+0.3	.199/.286/.348	.149	.313	16	23	38%	10%	78	+0.2	.189/.277/.340	.150	.286	16	25	37%	10%	69	-0.3
●Estevan Florial 2023 · MLB	25	43→51	49→55	54→60	41	.214/.277/.365	.151	.314	17	28	36%	8%	78	+0.2	.219/.287/.390	.171	.322	20	28	36%	8%	89	+0.9	.209/.285/.389	.180	.302	22	30	36%	9%	86	+0.6
✕Trey Cabbage 2022 · AA	25	41→45	52→55	52→55	34	.198/.256/.362	.164	.342	21	7	46%	7%	68	-0.5	.222/.285/.411	.189	.365	24	21	43%	7%	93	+1.3	.216/.281/.406	.190	.339	24	32	41%	7%	88	+0.5
✕Niko Hulsizer 2022 · AA	25	41→30	55→60	50	37	.200/.274/.383	.183	.347	23	9	46%	8%	82	+0.5	.200/.275/.373	.173	.332	22	13	43%	9%	80	+0.4	.183/.267/.351	.168	.284	22	13	41%	9%	68	-0.3

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)