Spencer Jones — OGILVIE

Spencer JonesCF New York Yankees

Age 25 L/L 6'7" / 240 lbs MLB HR +14% Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION476 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP342

ISO171

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$34M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 33 / POW 66

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT33

xAVG

460.248

POWER66

Barrel%

9015.4

Avg EV

9094.4

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED60

Sprint

8728.9

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%37%·36% over 99 PA (30d) · proj 37%

BB%8%▲9% over 148 PA (45d) · proj 8%

ISO.193▲.217 over 143 AB (60d) · proj .171

HR/BB7.0%·7.7% over 91 BBE (60d) · proj 6.4%

BABIP.335▲.393 over 84 BIP (60d) · proj .329

SLASH.230/.300/.423▲proj .223/.289/.394

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.5M	+$0.5M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$12M	+$11M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.7	$12M	+$11M
2029	Arb-1	$5M	+1.5	$10M	+$6M
2030	Arb-2	$8M	+1.3	$8M	+$2M
2031	Arb-3	$10M	+1.1	$6M	+$0.2M
Totals		$24M		$47M	+$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	95	83	27	5	0	3	10	18	2	10	0	325	411	494	905	169	387	19	11	403	159	+7	+2	—	—	+2	1.1
2023	22	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	78	69	18	1	0	3	7	22	1	8	3	261	338	406	743	145	333	28	9	331	110	+1	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	22	A+	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	459	411	110	28	4	13	42	133	2	35	9	268	337	450	787	182	363	29	9	347	121	+11	+3	—	—	+10	2.5
2024	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	544	482	125	30	6	17	54	200	4	25	9	259	339	452	791	193	401	37	10	348	122	+14	+1	—	—	+12	2.8
2025	24	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	298	263	72	15	1	19	26	109	4	19	4	274	348	555	903	281	379	37	9	386	147	+17	+2	—	—	+6	2.6
2025	24	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	208	175	48	8	0	16	32	70	1	10	2	274	389	594	984	320	360	34	15	425	174	+18	+1	—	—	+5	2.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	95	86	22	5	0	2	7	26	2	10	0	256	326	384	710	128	345	27	7	317	101	+0	+2	—	—	+2	0.4
2023	22	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	78	71	16	1	0	2	5	27	1	8	3	225	286	324	610	99	325	35	6	279	75	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2023	22	A+ MLE	Hudson Valley Renegades	—	459	430	92	21	4	10	25	177	2	35	9	214	260	351	612	137	330	39	5	263	64	-20	+3	—	—	+10	-0.6
2024	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	544	499	108	28	6	12	37	239	4	25	9	216	276	369	645	152	372	44	7	279	75	-16	+1	—	—	+12	-0.3
2025	24	AAA MLE	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	298	272	55	11	1	12	17	134	4	19	4	202	259	382	642	180	314	45	6	274	72	-10	+2	—	—	+6	-0.1
2025	24	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	208	184	39	7	0	11	23	88	1	10	2	212	303	429	732	217	326	42	11	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+5	0.6
2022	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	95	86	22	5	0	2	7	26	2	10	0	256	326	384	710	128	345	27	7	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	95	83	27	5	0	3	10	18	2	10	0	325	411	494	905	169	387	19	11	403	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	537	501	108	22	4	12	30	204	3	43	12	216	264	347	611	132	333	38	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	537	480	128	29	4	16	49	155	3	43	12	267	337	444	781	177	359	29	9	344	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	544	499	108	28	6	12	37	239	4	25	9	216	276	369	645	152	381	44	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Somerset Patriots	—	544	482	125	30	6	17	54	200	4	25	9	259	339	452	791	193	401	37	10	348	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	506	457	94	18	1	23	39	222	5	29	6	206	275	400	676	195	327	44	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	506	438	120	23	1	35	58	179	5	29	6	274	365	571	936	297	371	35	11	402	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	95	86	22	5	0	2	7	26	2	10	0	256	326	384	710	128	345	27	7	317	101	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	537	499	108	22	4	12	30	204	3	43	12	216	264	349	613	132	329	38	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	544	498	108	28	6	12	37	239	4	25	9	217	276	369	645	153	372	44	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	506	457	94	18	1	23	39	222	5	29	6	206	275	400	676	195	319	44	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	537	499	108	22	4	12	30	204	3	43	12	216	264	349	613	132	329	38	6	265	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	544	498	108	28	6	12	37	239	4	25	9	217	276	369	645	153	372	44	7	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	506	457	94	18	1	23	39	222	5	29	6	206	275	400	676	195	319	44	8	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	MLB MLE	NYY	—	476	423	99	22	1	18	45	173	6	19	6	234	316	418	735	184	346	36	9	320	103	+2	+1	+0	+2	+10	1.5
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	25	MLB RAW	NYY	—	243	216	57	12	1	9	24	87	1	9	3	264	339	454	793	190	397	36	10	349	103	+1	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.9
YTD	25	AAA RAW	NYY	—	233	194	53	13	0	14	31	72	5	10	3	273	384	557	940	284	358	31	13	406	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	25	MLB RAW	NYY	—	243	216	57	12	1	9	24	87	1	9	3	264	339	454	793	190	397	36	10	349	123	+7	+1	+0	+1	+5	1.4
ROS	25	MLB MLE	NYY	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		338	40	10	316	100	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
ROS	25	MLB CTX	NYY	100%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		342	40	10	314	100	+0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	25	MLB A+C	NYY	—	253	225	58	12	1	9	25	91	1	9	3	258	333	440	773	182	389	36	10	348	103	+1	+1	-0	+1	+5	0.8
TOT	25	MLB MLE	NYY	—	486	432	100	22	1	18	46	177	6	19	6	231	314	412	726	181	343	36	9	320	103	+2	+1	-0	+2	+11	1.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	NYY	92%	588	525	120	25	2	22	52	216	6	25	6	229	305	410	715	181	337	37	9	318	102	+1	+3	-1	+2	+13	1.8
2028	27	MLB MLE	NYY	92%	606	541	124	26	2	23	54	223	6	25	6	229	306	412	718	183	337	37	9	318	102	+1	+3	-1	+2	+13	1.9
2029	28	MLB MLE	NYY	92%	594	530	120	25	2	22	53	219	6	24	6	226	304	406	710	179	337	37	9	317	101	+1	+2	-2	+2	+13	1.7
2030	29	MLB MLE	NYY	92%	582	518	118	25	2	22	53	216	6	22	5	228	307	411	718	183	335	37	9	315	99	-1	+2	-2	+2	+13	1.5
2031	30	MLB MLE	NYY	92%	570	507	114	24	2	21	52	213	6	19	5	225	304	404	709	179	332	37	9	311	97	-2	+2	-3	+2	+12	1.1
2032	31	MLB MLE	NYY	92%	559	497	110	23	2	20	51	210	6	16	4	221	301	396	698	175	328	38	9	307	94	-4	+2	-4	+2	+12	0.8
2033	32	MLB MLE	NYY	92%	548	489	105	22	1	19	49	208	5	13	3	215	293	380	673	166	322	38	9	300	89	-7	+1	-4	+2	+12	0.4
2034	33	MLB MLE	NYY	92%	343	306	63	13	1	11	31	132	3	6	2	206	285	363	648	157	316	38	9	293	84	-6	+0	-5	+1	+7	-0.2
2027	26	MLB CTX	NYY	92%	541	483	113	24	2	22	47	198	6	23	6	234	310	429	738	195	341	37	9	317	102	+1	+2	-1	+2	+12	1.6
2028	27	MLB CTX	NYY	92%	558	497	116	25	2	22	50	205	6	23	6	233	311	425	736	191	341	37	9	317	102	+1	+2	-1	+2	+12	1.7
2029	28	MLB CTX	NYY	92%	546	486	114	24	2	22	49	201	6	22	6	235	312	428	740	193	340	37	9	316	101	+1	+2	-1	+2	+12	1.5
2030	29	MLB CTX	NYY	92%	535	476	110	23	2	21	48	198	6	20	5	231	309	420	730	189	338	37	9	313	99	-1	+2	-2	+2	+12	1.3
2031	30	MLB CTX	NYY	92%	524	467	106	22	2	20	47	196	5	17	4	227	304	411	716	184	335	37	9	310	97	-2	+2	-3	+2	+11	1.1
2032	31	MLB CTX	NYY	92%	514	458	102	21	1	20	46	193	5	15	4	223	301	404	705	181	331	38	9	305	94	-4	+1	-3	+2	+11	0.7
2033	32	MLB CTX	NYY	92%	504	449	98	20	1	19	45	192	5	12	3	218	297	394	691	176	325	38	9	299	89	-6	+1	-4	+2	+11	0.4
2034	33	MLB CTX	NYY	92%	316	282	59	12	1	11	28	122	3	6	2	209	288	376	663	167	319	39	9	291	84	-6	+0	-4	+1	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4048	3607	819	171	13	157	361	1509	42	138	36	227	305	412	717	185	337	37	9	310	91	-16	+13	-20	+14	+88	8.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	131	27	2	25	58	242	7	22	6	226	304	409	714	183	335	37	9	310	91	-3	+2	-3	+2	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	6082	5465	1207	256	25	209	509	2332	58	257	64	221	294	392	686	171	337	38	8	303	91	-17	+15	-21	+16	+95	8.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	129	27	3	22	54	249	6	27	7	221	293	390	684	170	338	38	8	303	91	-3	+2	-3	+2	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1B.J. Uptonlast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,858 PA	8.8	5,858	164	300	243	321	402	+14	+17	24.5	24.5
/162	664	19	34	+1.6	+2.0	2.8	pk7: 25
#2Chris Younglast yr '18 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,316 PA	8.0	5,316	191	142	235	314	428	-0	+3	21.3	20.7
/162	664	24	18	-0.0	+0.4	2.7	pk7: 20
#3Colby Rasmuslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,070 PA	6.1	4,070	165	35	242	311	438	-0	+8	16.7	16.2
/162	664	27	6	-0.0	+1.3	2.7	pk7: 16
#4Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	6.7	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
/162	664	27	11	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.0	4,632	168	164	226	300	403	+12	-3	14.4	13.3
/162	664	24	23	+1.7	-0.4	2.1	pk7: 12
#5Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Spencer Jones (OGILVIE)	25	27→33	62→66	60	47	227/303/404	177	338	13	15	37%	9%	100	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Oneil Cruz 2023 · MLB	24	44→53	56→60	54→60	43	233/294/428	195	302	24	20	31%	8%	101	+1.4	239/310/428	189	319	23	24	30%	9%	107	+1.8	243/326/440	197	329	25	34	32%	10%	110	+1.8
✕Derek Fisher 2019 · MLB	25	45→50	52→55	51→55	43	227/297/392	164	320	20	18	34%	8%	94	+0.9	222/303/388	166	312	20	14	33%	10%	95	+1.0	198/288/363	165	272	23	13	34%	10%	81	-0.0
●James Outman 2022 · AA	25	41→51	49→55	54→50	42	207/285/359	152	304	17	16	36%	8%	82	-0.0	231/317/417	186	329	22	14	34%	10%	107	+1.9	227/320/420	193	316	24	14	33%	10%	108	+1.7
✕Cade Marlowe 2023 · AAA	26	47→53	52→55	57→60	42	233/300/404	172	329	20	25	34%	8%	98	+1.2	213/284/345	132	321	14	34	35%	8%	78	-0.3	216/288/335	118	322	10	41	34%	8%	76	-0.3
●Will Benson 2023 · MLB	25	43→52	50→55	53→55	51	213/313/372	159	298	17	16	32%	12%	96	+1.0	221/311/395	174	315	18	23	33%	11%	100	+1.3	215/301/396	180	303	20	24	33%	10%	93	+0.6
✕Justin Maxwell 2009 · MLB	25	42→44	54→60	55→60	45	220/289/398	177	279	22	23	29%	8%	93	+0.8	215/295/355	140	316	16	29	34%	9%	85	+0.2	221/295/426	205	300	26	17	34%	9%	99	+0.6
✕Franchy Cordero 2020 · MLB	25	48→54	52→55	56→50	39	232/290/403	171	353	19	16	38%	7%	93	+0.8	229/298/385	156	326	16	14	32%	8%	93	+0.8	226/298/378	152	319	17	12	32%	8%	88	+0.3
✕Taylor Trammell 2023 · MLB	25	43→46	52→55	49→55	47	223/298/395	172	291	20	15	30%	9%	95	+1.0	212/301/381	169	289	20	19	32%	11%	94	+0.9	197/296/364	168	266	20	20	32%	11%	87	+0.2
●Josh Lowe 2022 · AAA	24	46→56	50→55	58→60	45	231/296/387	156	310	18	25	31%	8%	93	+0.8	249/306/414	165	353	17	28	32%	8%	102	+1.5	252/308/421	169	355	18	33	32%	7%	100	+1.1
✕Jonathan Van Every 2006 · AA	26	40→43	55	49→50	41	208/285/387	179	314	24	15	40%	9%	89	+0.5	223/287/388	165	342	18	11	37%	7%	89	+0.5	224/288/390	166	347	18	8	38%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Drew Robinson 2017 · AAA	25	38→42	51→55	52→50	44	199/272/360	161	278	18	14	34%	9%	78	-0.3	213/288/372	159	322	17	12	36%	9%	86	+0.3	208/288/362	155	321	16	12	38%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Jesse Franklin V 2023 · AA	24	38→28	55→60	53→55	36	206/267/389	183	296	23	15	38%	6%	83	+0.1	215/279/373	158	306	19	18	35%	6%	84	+0.1	199/267/366	167	276	22	24	35%	6%	75	-0.3
●Dominic Canzone 2023 · AAA	25	47→53	52→60	54→50	43	243/296/411	168	297	20	18	26%	6%	98	+1.2	249/303/429	180	291	23	8	22%	7%	105	+1.7	251/314/447	196	293	26	5	24%	8%	110	+1.4
✕Niko Hulsizer 2023 · AAA	26	43→29	55→60	52→50	37	210/278/391	181	351	23	16	44%	8%	87	+0.4	195/276/333	138	312	15	11	39%	9%	73	-0.6	157/253/276	119	248	13	8	39%	10%	51	-1.8
✕Jake Fraley 2020 · MLB	25	49→47	51→55	52→55	41	245/296/413	169	309	17	18	26%	6%	98	+1.2	238/320/403	165	307	19	18	27%	10%	105	+1.7	240/341/409	169	286	22	23	23%	12%	110	+1.1
●Jake McCarthy 2022 · MLB	25	43→53	48→50	63→60	42	213/277/366	153	297	14	30	32%	8%	80	-0.2	261/324/399	138	320	13	34	21%	7%	105	+1.7	274/338/400	126	325	12	37	18%	7%	108	+1.6
✕Blake Tekotte 2012 · MLB	25	45→47	50	53→55	46	226/294/381	155	287	17	24	27%	8%	90	+0.6	201/256/327	126	277	12	16	31%	6%	63	-1.3	193/256/309	117	259	9	10	28%	6%	57	-0.9
✕Austin Wells 2023 · AA	24	43	51→55	57→50	48	219/303/382	163	293	19	14	31%	10%	94	+0.9	215/289/381	166	264	20	8	26%	8%	88	+0.5	208/282/381	173	246	21	5	25%	8%	85	+0.2
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2022 · MLB	24	46→50	54→60	54→60	42	235/296/415	179	309	22	22	31%	7%	99	+1.2	254/316/462	208	317	27	28	28%	8%	118	+2.6	247/321/445	199	302	28	36	27%	9%	112	+1.9
✕Trey Cabbage 2023 · AA	26	49→44	56→55	53→55	37	228/292/416	188	379	24	14	44%	8%	98	+1.2	219/281/397	178	346	22	26	40%	7%	89	+0.5	208/271/387	180	323	22	32	41%	7%	81	-0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps