Will BensonLF Cincinnati Reds
Age 28 L/L 6'4" / 230 lbs MLB HR +6% Svc 3.017 · Ctrl thru 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION153 act + 102 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 6791vR 100
AVG/OBP/SLG.233 / .317 / .433
PA102
HR4
K%31
BB%10
BABIP309
ISO200
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -1.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +1.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)-3POSREP: +7.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.81.60.21.10.9+$8M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 60
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT35
Whiff%
2214.2%
xwOBA
420.300
POWER60
Barrel%
8213.0
Avg EV
7390.7
Bat Spd
6973.3
EYE55
Chase%
8924.2%
SPEED60
Sprint
8428.8
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 682 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
92
590
wRC+
56
87
▶▶R
wOBA
259
299
R
ISO
159
195
▶▶R
BABIP
167
287
▶▶R
K%
29.4%
34.6%
◀◀L
BB%
13.0%
8.5%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Arb-1
MLB Debut   2022
Service   3.017 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2028
First FA Year   2029
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.7M+0.2$0.6M-$0.1M
2027Arb-2$4M+1.1$8M+$5M
2028Arb-3$5M+0.9$3M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $4M $12M +$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201618 ROKAZL Indians 184166 21624 14864 102 127212259471 133224 478 205 15
201618 ROKAZL Indians 184158 331036 22604 102 209321424745 215293 3312 332 112
201820 ALake County Captains 506442 567113 562127 126 127236235471 109197 4211 220 27
201820 ALake County Captains 506416 7511122 821527 126 180325370695 190218 3016 318 102
201921 A2 teams 514457 8114519 451982 274 177254354608 177248 399 266 62
201921 A2 teams 514434 10021522 681512 274 230337454791 224288 2913 344 121
202123 AA2 teams 439379 5812417 521915 145 153264340604 187237 4412 270 65
202123 AA2 teams 439355 7318617 741465 145 206349434782 228289 3317 347 124
202224 AAA2 teams 462388 9817415 611219 164 253367433800 180328 2613 348 124
202224 AAA2 teams 462371 9821317 781109 164 264404474878 210331 2417 389 156
202325 MLB2 teams 462394 96201013 621453 304 244351444795 201347 3113 348 125 +13 +4 -4 -5 +13 2.2
202325 MLB2 teams 462384 99211014 721383 304 258379474853 216362 3016 376 146 +24 +4 -4 -5 +13 3.3
202426 MLBCincinnati Reds 388343 6218213 401542 167 181270359629 178275 4010 279 72 -12 +0 -4 -4 +11 -0.9
202426 MLBCincinnati Reds 388343 6419214 401542 167 187275376651 190282 4010 290 80 -9 +0 -4 -4 +11 -0.6
202527 MLB2 teams 431392 8712318 301292 82 222281406686 184274 307 297 86 -7 +1 -2 -5 +12 -0.0
202527 MLB2 teams 431383 9413319 381162 82 245316444760 198294 279 331 111 +5 +1 -2 -5 +12 1.2
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD28 MLBCIN 153131 29513 18453 41 221329344672 122310 2912 296 85 -3 +0 -0 -2 +4 0.0
YTD28 MLBCIN 153129 29513 19443 41 225336349684 124313 2912 313 97 -0 +0 -0 -2 +4 0.3
ROS28 MLBCIN 100% 10290 21414 10321 41 233317433750 200309 3110 327 109 +1 +0 +0 -1 +3 0.3
ROS28 MLBCIN 100% 10290 21414 10321 41 233317433750 200312 3110 324 106 +1 +0 +0 -1 +3 0.3
FULL28 MLBCIN 255221 50927 28774 82 226324380704 154309 3011 307 93 -2 +1 +0 -3 +7 0.3
TOT28 MLBCIN 255221 50927 28774 82 226324380704 154309 3011 309 94 -2 +1 +0 -3 +7 0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202729 MLBCIN 82% 365323 7315413 361153 143 226309418727 192307 3210 325 107 +3 +2 -1 -4 +10 1.0
202830 MLBCIN 82% 370327 7415413 371173 133 226311416727 190305 3210 322 104 +2 +1 -2 -4 +10 0.8
202729 MLBCIN 82% 299264 6113311 30943 122 231316428745 197311 3110 322 104 +2 +2 -1 -3 +8 0.8
202830 MLBCIN 82% 303267 6113311 30963 112 228313423737 195308 3210 319 102 +1 +1 -1 -3 +9 0.6
▸ Career Totals
Career 17351536 348731963 16956513 6417 227308422730 195309 3310 319 102 +4 +6 -12 -20 +49 2.8
/ 162G 650575 13027724 632125 246 226307423730 197308 3310 319 102 +2 +2 -5 -7 +18 1.1
Career 42233701 72714040142 443150041 16441 196289371660 175280 3610 292 82 -87 +16 -13 -39 +120 -0.3
/ 162G 650570 11222622 682316 256 196289372661 175280 3610 292 82 -13 +3 -2 -6 +18 -0.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201618 ROKAZL Indians 184158 331036 22604 102 209321424745 215293 3312 332 112 +3 +1 +5 0.9
201820 ALake County Captains 506416 7511122 821527 126 180325370695 190218 3016 318 102 +1 +0 +14 1.6
201921 A+Lynchburg Hillcats 255217 41924 31732 92 189296304600 115255 2912 273 67 -9 +1 +7 -0.1
201921 ALake County Captains 259217 5912318 37780 182 272378604982 332325 3014 413 174 +22 +3 +7 3.3
202123 AAAColumbus Clippers 10793 15513 14420 02 161271333604 172250 3913 275 69 -4 -1 +3 -0.2
202123 AAAkron RubberDucks 332262 5813514 601045 143 221374469843 248301 3118 370 142 +16 +2 +9 2.7
202224 MLBCleveland Guardians 6155 10100 3192 00 182250200450 18278 315 213 21 -5 +0 -1 +2 +2 -0.3
202224 AAAColumbus Clippers 401316 8820317 75917 164 278427522949 244340 2319 416 176 +35 +2 +11 4.9
202325 MLBCincinnati Reds 329287 7915811 401031 193 275366498864 223391 3112 378 148 +18 +3 -4 -5 +9 2.1
202325 AAALouisville Bats 13397 20623 32352 111 206412402814 196279 2624 369 141 +6 +2 +4 1.2
202426 MLBCincinnati Reds 388343 6419214 401542 167 187275376651 190282 4010 290 80 -9 +0 -4 -4 +11 -0.6
202527 MLBCincinnati Reds 253230 528212 16671 22 226279435714 209255 266 306 93 -2 -0 -2 -5 +7 -0.2
202527 AAALouisville Bats 178153 42517 22491 60 275367458825 183357 2812 365 137 +8 +1 +5 1.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 1031915 205431237 993436 3712 224304419723 195309 3310 317 101 +1 +3 -10 -12 +29 1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Scott Hairstonlast yr '14
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,624 PA
92,62410636242297444-18-166.06.6
/162664279-4.5-4.11.5pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA
82,7118155233305399-12-134.14.5
/1626642013-2.9-3.21.0pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
81,9787171223303415-21-244.04.2
/1626642424-7.1-8.11.4pk7: 4
#3Chris Heiseylast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA
81,7586225238296413-18+33.03.2
/162664239-6.7+1.01.1pk7: 4
#4Travis Sniderlast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA
81,9715422244311399-21-171.41.8
/162664187-7.1-5.80.5pk7: 2
#5John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA
61,5065415234298417-6-181.71.7
/162664247-2.8-8.10.8pk7: 2
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA
71,5644513236292400-11-61.31.3
/162664196-4.5-2.50.6pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Will Benson (OGILVIE) 28 35 60 60 55 226/324/380 154309 78 30% 11% 94 +0.4
Justin Maxwell
2013 · MLB
29 43→44 58→60 52→60 45 225/302/428 203308 2619 35% 9% 105 +2.1 220/285/378 158318 1811 34% 7% 85 +0.7 209/274/34513630715835%7%69-0.2
Brian O'Grady
2021 · MLB
29 41→37 57→60 52→50 39 222/276/420 198292 2616 33% 6% 92 +1.2 211/277/371 160292 1814 33% 8% 79 +0.3 187/262/347160256171333%8%66-0.4
Sean Bouchard
2023 · MLB
27 43→41 54→55 52→50 50 221/307/408 188288 2113 30% 10% 102 +1.8 208/299/363 155294 1715 32% 10% 87 +0.8 177/275/304127268131636%10%59-0.5
Ryan Noda
2023 · AAA
27 39→49 56→55 50 45 209/300/396 187293 2513 36% 9% 97 +1.5 202/324/373 171301 208 36% 13% 102 +1.8 184/326/34916428020637%15%93+1.0
J.J. Matijevic
2023 · MLB
27 44→42 58→60 52→50 42 230/293/433 203313 2612 34% 8% 102 +1.9 226/286/400 174310 1911 32% 7% 90 +1.0 213/276/38817529018832%7%79+0.3
Derek Fisher
2021 · MLB
27 44→52 54→55 51→55 48 226/310/403 178315 2215 34% 10% 102 +1.8 209/277/349 140304 168 34% 8% 73 -0.1 124/197/24812518517043%8%11-0.8
Jake Fraley
2022 · MLB
27 47→50 55→60 53→55 54 242/338/431 188308 2321 28% 12% 120 +3.1 249/333/411 162299 2021 23% 10% 113 +2.6 255/330/403148300172620%9%106+1.3
Sam Hilliard
2022 · MLB
28 32→42 55 55 41 185/252/366 181256 2315 37% 8% 68 -0.5 203/278/364 161283 2016 34% 9% 79 +0.3 190/268/352162268181834%9%69-0.3
Dylan Moore
2022 · MLB
29 40→47 54→50 55→65 49 214/305/392 178271 2129 29% 10% 98 +1.6 219/328/394 175294 1833 30% 11% 108 +2.3 210/332/386176289164130%12%104+1.0
Corey Brown
2014 · MLB
28 43→49 55→60 50 39 225/281/413 187312 2414 35% 7% 92 +1.2 201/246/360 159289 2013 37% 5% 63 -0.8 207/262/398190289261737%7%78+0.2
Michael Helman
2023 · AAA
27 40→41 52→55 57→55 45 217/276/382 165258 2126 26% 7% 82 +0.5 223/280/386 163269 2022 25% 6% 85 +0.7 215/273/387171253202023%6%79+0.1
Mike Wilson
2011 · AAA
28 39→49 55→60 50 45 214/292/395 181273 2412 31% 8% 92 +1.2 235/302/398 163315 198 30% 8% 97 +1.5 236/302/39315632418431%7%92+0.6
John Rodriguez
2006 · MLB
28 48→47 57→55 52→40 45 249/317/444 195301 259 26% 7% 115 +2.8 245/320/409 164309 175 25% 8% 107 +2.2 239/321/38915030715125%9%99+0.7
Mark Contreras
2023 · MLB
28 37 51→50 55 36 198/257/358 160281 2020 36% 6% 69 -0.4 204/266/321 117295 1326 33% 6% 62 -0.9 196/263/28993286103233%7%48-1.2
Stone Garrett
2023 · MLB
27 38→37 56→55 53→50 35 214/252/400 187277 2517 33% 4% 77 +0.1 219/282/362 143318 1610 34% 7% 79 +0.3 222/301/34111833712534%9%79+0.1
Gregory Polanco
2021 · MLB
29 42→52 55→60 51→55 47 221/293/409 188279 2212 29% 9% 96 +1.5 225/294/394 169284 2118 27% 8% 93 +1.3 220/293/389169270222327%9%85+0.6
Brian Goodwin
2019 · MLB
28 46→53 52→60 50 44 234/294/402 168301 2012 29% 7% 95 +1.4 240/311/424 184314 2111 29% 9% 107 +2.2 234/310/41317930220928%9%100+1.0
Kirk Nieuwenhuis
2016 · MLB
28 42→50 53→60 49→50 42 219/282/399 179294 1910 32% 7% 89 +0.9 210/298/361 151314 1611 35% 11% 85 +0.7 193/291/326133302131037%11%72-0.1
Weston Wilson
2023 · AAA
28 41→43 50→55 51→55 40 215/269/364 149295 1917 33% 7% 74 -0.1 218/288/394 176284 2423 31% 9% 90 +1.0 212/291/397185265262530%9%90+0.7
Brewer Hicklen
2023 · AAA
27 39→43 53→55 61→60 37 196/272/363 168322 2232 44% 8% 76 +0.1 203/283/375 172293 2234 37% 8% 84 +0.6 219/291/395177297254034%7%90+0.7