Will Benson

RF Louisville Bats

Age 29 L/L 6'4" / 230 lbs AAA HR +16%BB +6% Svc 3.540 · Ctrl thru 2029

Overview

AAAArb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	26	MLBCIN	388	.187/.275/.376	14	16	77	-1.0
2025	27	AAACIN	178	.275/.367/.458	7	6	84	—	.222/.288/.352
2025	27	MLBCIN	253	.226/.279/.435	12	2	86	-0.6
2026	28	AAACIN	244	.205/.296/.312	4	10	32	—	.166/.235/.247
2026	28	MLBCIN	114	.188/.307/.333	3	1	77	-0.5
2027PROJ10% MLB	29	MLBCIN	24	.219/.292/.393	1	1	88	0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	30	MLBCIN	81	.215/.287/.383	3	3	84	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR -2.0 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.540First FA2030

2027Arb-1$0.2M2028Arb-2$0.4M2029Ext$0.6M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Speed84

Barrel%82

Avg EV73

Bat Spd69

xwOBA42

CompsWeston Wilson (age 29) · Dylan Moore (age 29) · Brian O'Grady (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 7788vR 92

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .292 / .393

PA24

HR1

K%29

BB%8

BABIP275

ISO182

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 35 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT35

xAVG

100.207

POWER60

Barrel%

8213.0

Avg EV

7390.7

Bat Spd

6973.3

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

Sprint

8428.8

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 682 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

590

—

wRC+

▶▶R

wOBA

259

299

▶R

ISO

159

195

▶▶R

BABIP

167

287

▶▶R

29.4%

34.6%

◀◀L

BB%

13.0%

8.5%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.540 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$0.2M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2028	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2016	18	ROK	AZL Indians	—	184	158	33	10	3	6	22	60	4	10	2	209	321	424	745	215	293	33	12	332	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A	Lake County Captains	—	506	416	75	11	1	22	82	152	7	12	6	180	325	370	695	190	218	30	16	318	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	255	217	41	9	2	4	31	73	2	9	2	189	296	304	600	115	255	29	12	273	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A	Lake County Captains	—	259	217	59	12	3	18	37	78	0	18	2	272	378	604	982	332	325	30	14	413	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	107	93	15	5	1	3	14	42	0	0	2	161	271	333	604	172	250	39	13	275	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	332	262	58	13	5	14	60	104	5	14	3	221	374	469	843	248	301	31	18	370	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	61	55	10	1	0	0	3	19	2	0	0	182	250	200	450	18	278	31	5	213	30	-5	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.3
2022	24	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	401	316	88	20	3	17	75	91	7	16	4	278	427	522	949	244	340	23	19	416	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	329	287	79	15	8	11	40	103	1	19	3	275	366	498	864	223	391	31	12	378	137	+14	+3	-4	-5	+7	1.6
2023	25	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	133	97	20	6	2	3	32	35	2	11	1	206	412	402	814	196	279	26	24	369	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	388	343	64	19	2	14	40	154	2	16	7	187	275	376	651	190	282	40	10	290	77	-10	+0	-4	-4	+8	-1.0
2025	27	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	253	230	52	8	2	12	16	67	1	2	2	226	279	435	714	209	255	26	6	306	86	-4	-0	-2	-5	+5	-0.6
2025	27	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	178	153	42	5	1	7	22	49	1	6	0	275	367	458	825	183	357	28	12	365	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB	Cincinnati Reds	—	114	96	18	3	1	3	16	38	1	1	1	188	307	333	640	146	273	33	14	294	77	-3	-0	-0	-4	+2	-0.5
2026	28	AAA	Louisville Bats	—	244	215	44	11	0	4	26	51	2	10	0	205	296	312	608	107	248	21	11	280	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1145	1011	223	46	13	40	115	381	7	38	13	221	304	410	715	190	306	33	10	315	99	-1	+2	-11	-16	+25	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians	—	184	166	22	6	2	4	14	86	4	10	2	133	217	265	482	133	227	47	8	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	506	441	58	8	1	15	57	209	7	12	6	132	242	256	498	125	195	41	11	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+ MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	255	227	33	6	1	4	21	99	2	9	2	145	224	233	457	88	225	39	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	259	230	47	9	3	14	24	104	0	18	2	204	280	452	732	248	266	40	9	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	107	98	13	4	1	2	9	50	0	0	2	133	206	255	461	122	245	47	8	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	Akron RubberDucks	—	332	281	48	10	4	12	43	130	5	14	3	171	292	363	655	192	249	39	13	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	61	55	10	1	0	0	3	19	2	0	0	182	250	200	450	18	278	31	5	212	30	-5	+0	-1	+2	+1	-0.3
2022	24	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	401	335	85	17	4	13	56	105	7	16	4	254	372	445	817	191	327	26	14	357	128	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	329	287	78	15	8	10	40	103	1	19	3	272	363	484	847	213	391	31	12	371	137	+14	+3	-4	-5	+7	1.6
2023	25	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	133	106	19	6	2	2	23	42	2	11	1	179	336	330	666	151	247	32	17	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	388	343	63	19	2	13	40	154	2	16	7	184	273	364	637	181	282	40	10	283	77	-10	+0	-4	-4	+8	-1.0
2025	27	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	253	231	51	8	2	11	15	67	1	2	2	221	271	416	687	195	255	26	6	295	86	-4	-0	-2	-5	+5	-0.6
2025	27	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	178	162	36	4	1	5	14	60	1	6	0	222	288	352	640	130	321	34	8	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	114	98	18	3	1	3	15	38	1	1	1	184	298	327	625	143	273	33	13	282	77	-3	-0	-0	-4	+2	-0.5
2026	28	AAA MLE	Louisville Bats	—	244	223	37	9	0	3	18	61	2	10	0	166	235	247	481	81	211	25	7	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians	—	184	166	22	6	2	4	14	86	4	10	2	133	217	265	482	133	237	47	8	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK RAW	AZL Indians	—	184	158	33	10	3	6	22	60	4	10	2	209	321	424	745	215	293	33	12	332	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	506	441	58	8	1	15	57	209	7	12	6	132	242	256	498	125	197	41	11	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A RAW	Lake County Captains	—	506	416	75	11	1	22	82	152	7	12	6	180	325	370	695	190	218	30	16	318	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	514	456	80	15	4	18	46	203	2	27	4	175	254	344	598	169	253	39	9	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	514	434	100	21	5	22	68	151	2	27	4	230	337	454	791	224	288	29	13	344	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	439	379	61	14	5	14	52	180	5	14	5	161	271	335	606	174	251	41	12	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	439	355	73	18	6	17	74	146	5	14	5	206	349	434	782	228	289	33	17	347	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	462	390	95	18	4	13	59	124	9	16	4	244	356	410	766	167	323	27	13	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	462	371	98	21	3	17	78	110	9	16	4	264	404	474	878	210	331	24	17	389	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	462	393	97	21	10	12	63	145	3	30	4	247	355	443	798	196	356	31	14	351	123	+13	+4	-4	-5	+10	1.9
2023	25	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	462	384	99	21	10	14	72	138	3	30	4	258	379	474	853	216	362	30	16	376	123	+13	+4	-4	-5	+10	1.9
2024	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	388	343	63	19	2	13	40	154	2	16	7	184	273	364	637	181	281	40	10	283	77	-10	+0	-4	-4	+8	-1.0
2024	26	MLB RAW	Cincinnati Reds	—	388	343	64	19	2	14	40	154	2	16	7	187	275	376	651	190	282	40	10	290	77	-10	+0	-4	-4	+8	-1.0
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	431	393	87	12	3	16	29	127	2	8	2	221	278	389	668	168	276	29	7	294	85	-8	+1	-2	-5	+9	-0.4
2025	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	431	383	94	13	3	19	38	116	2	8	2	245	316	444	760	198	294	27	9	331	85	-8	+1	-2	-5	+9	-0.4
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	358	321	55	12	1	6	33	99	3	11	1	171	255	271	526	100	226	28	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	358	311	62	14	1	7	42	89	3	11	1	199	300	318	618	119	255	25	12	285	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK MLE	AZL Indians	—	184	164	22	6	2	4	14	86	4	10	2	134	217	268	486	134	227	47	8	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A MLE	Lake County Captains	—	506	437	58	8	1	15	57	209	7	12	6	133	242	259	500	126	195	41	11	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	514	461	80	15	4	18	46	203	2	27	4	174	254	341	595	167	246	39	9	262	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	439	379	61	14	5	14	52	180	5	14	5	161	271	335	606	174	248	41	12	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	462	391	95	18	4	13	59	124	9	16	4	243	356	409	765	166	321	27	13	338	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	462	393	97	21	10	12	63	145	3	30	4	247	355	443	798	196	349	31	14	351	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	388	343	63	19	2	13	40	154	2	16	7	184	273	364	637	181	282	40	10	283	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	431	397	87	12	3	16	29	127	2	8	2	219	278	385	664	166	282	29	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	358	319	55	12	1	6	33	99	3	11	1	172	255	273	528	100	231	28	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	MLB MLE	Cincinnati Reds	—	388	343	63	19	2	13	40	154	2	16	7	184	273	364	637	181	282	40	10	283	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	431	397	87	12	3	16	29	127	2	8	2	219	278	385	664	166	282	29	7	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	358	319	55	12	1	6	33	99	3	11	1	172	255	273	528	100	231	28	9	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	CIN	10%	405	364	78	14	2	14	35	118	3	20	4	215	289	381	670	165	274	29	9	298	88	-6	+2	+1	-4	+9	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	CIN	10%	24	22	5	1	0	1	2	7	0	1	0	219	292	393	684	174	275	29	8	303	88	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	CIN	27%	296	267	56	10	1	10	25	87	2	12	2	212	285	372	656	160	271	29	8	292	84	-6	+2	-1	-3	+6	-0.2
2028	30	MLB CTX	CIN	27%	81	73	16	3	0	3	7	24	1	3	1	215	287	383	671	168	272	30	9	298	84	-2	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1226	1084	239	49	13	43	122	405	8	41	14	220	304	409	712	188	304	33	10	314	77	-2	+3	-11	-17	+27	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	127	26	7	23	65	215	4	22	7	221	304	410	715	190	304	33	10	314	77	-1	+1	-6	-9	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4278	3763	719	143	34	129	438	1483	41	168	39	191	282	350	632	159	271	35	10	281	77	-10	+6	-12	-22	+36	-0.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	110	22	5	20	67	225	6	26	6	192	284	353	637	161	272	35	10	281	77	-4	+2	-4	-8	+14	-0.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAALouisville Bats · 244 PAwOBA .274 → .215 (−59)K% 20.9% → 25.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	20.90%	÷1.000	×1.200	—	—	25.08%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.66%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×0.992	7.29%
HBP% /PA	0.82%	—	×0.940	—	×0.992	0.76%
Singles /BIP	17.68%	÷1.000	×0.930	×0.954	×0.992	15.56%
Doubles /BIP	6.71%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.954	×0.992	5.27%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.970	×0.954	×0.992	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.44%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.992	1.69%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .274 → .215; ISO .107 → .079; BABIP .248 → .211. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAALouisville Bats · 178 PAwOBA .355 → .292 (−63)K% 27.5% → 33.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	27.53%	÷0.975	×1.200	—	—	33.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.80%	÷1.002	×0.690	—	×1.003	8.15%
HBP% /PA	0.56%	—	×0.940	—	×1.003	0.53%
Singles /BIP	27.88%	÷1.049	×0.930	×1.031	×1.003	25.55%
Doubles /BIP	4.81%	÷0.992	×0.830	×1.031	×1.003	4.16%
Triples /BIP	0.96%	÷0.900	×0.970	×1.031	×1.003	1.07%
Home runs /BIP	6.73%	÷0.901	×0.700	—	×1.003	5.24%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 110, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 95, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.031.

Result: wOBA .355 → .292; ISO .183 → .147; BABIP .357 → .321. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAALouisville Bats · 133 PAwOBA .367 → .301 (−66)K% 26.3% → 31.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	26.32%	÷1.004	×1.200	—	—	31.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	24.06%	÷0.993	×0.690	—	×1.033	17.27%
HBP% /PA	1.50%	—	×0.940	—	×1.033	1.46%
Singles /BIP	14.52%	÷0.998	×0.930	×0.950	×1.033	13.28%
Doubles /BIP	9.68%	÷0.938	×0.830	×0.950	×1.033	8.40%
Triples /BIP	3.23%	÷1.042	×0.970	×0.950	×1.033	2.95%
Home runs /BIP	4.84%	÷1.054	×0.700	—	×1.033	3.32%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 88, 3B 108, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .367 → .301; ISO .196 → .166; BABIP .279 → .247. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAAColumbus Clippers · 401 PAwOBA .405 → .357 (−48)K% 22.7% → 26.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.69%	÷1.036	×1.200	—	—	26.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.96%	÷0.930	×0.690	—	×1.048	13.96%
HBP% /PA	1.75%	—	×0.940	—	×1.048	1.72%
Singles /BIP	21.33%	÷0.941	×0.930	×0.999	×1.048	22.08%
Doubles /BIP	8.89%	÷1.040	×0.830	×0.999	×1.048	7.43%
Triples /BIP	1.33%	÷0.900	×0.970	×0.999	×1.048	1.50%
Home runs /BIP	7.56%	÷1.001	×0.700	—	×1.048	5.54%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 88, 2B 108, 3B 80, K 107, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .405 → .357; ISO .244 → .199; BABIP .340 → .327. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAkron RubberDucks · 332 PAwOBA .363 → .290 (−73)K% 31.3% → 39.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	31.33%	÷0.977	×1.220	—	—	39.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.77%	÷0.967	×0.690	—	×1.027	13.02%
HBP% /PA	1.51%	—	×0.850	—	×1.027	1.31%
Singles /BIP	16.46%	÷1.042	×0.940	×0.950	×1.027	14.48%
Doubles /BIP	8.23%	÷1.129	×0.870	×0.950	×1.027	6.19%
Triples /BIP	3.16%	÷1.116	×0.920	×0.950	×1.027	2.55%
Home runs /BIP	8.86%	÷0.893	×0.780	—	×1.027	7.95%

Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 108, 2B 126, 3B 123, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .363 → .290; ISO .248 → .207; BABIP .301 → .249. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAColumbus Clippers · 107 PAwOBA .265 → .212 (−53)K% 39.3% → 47.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	39.25%	÷1.002	×1.200	—	—	47.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.15%	÷1.008	×0.690	—	×1.050	8.73%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Singles /BIP	11.76%	÷0.949	×0.930	×1.011	×1.050	12.24%
Doubles /BIP	9.80%	÷0.949	×0.830	×1.011	×1.050	9.11%
Triples /BIP	1.96%	÷0.900	×0.920	×1.011	×1.050	2.13%
Home runs /BIP	5.88%	÷1.034	×0.700	—	×1.050	4.18%

Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 90, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 100, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.011.

Result: wOBA .265 → .212; ISO .172 → .132; BABIP .250 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ALake County Captains · 259 PAwOBA .409 → .308 (−101)K% 30.1% → 40.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	30.12%	÷1.016	×1.360	—	—	40.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.90%	÷1.036	×0.690	—	×1.015	9.39%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	0.00%
Singles /BIP	18.71%	÷1.031	×0.920	×0.950	×1.015	16.09%
Doubles /BIP	8.63%	÷1.046	×0.830	×0.950	×1.015	6.61%
Triples /BIP	2.16%	÷0.900	×0.910	×0.950	×1.015	2.10%
Home runs /BIP	12.95%	÷0.990	×0.800	—	×1.015	10.63%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 106, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 103, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .409 → .308; ISO .332 → .256; BABIP .325 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 A+Lynchburg Hillcats · 255 PAwOBA .271 → .216 (−55)K% 28.6% → 38.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	28.63%	÷1.046	×1.420	—	—	38.84%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.76%	÷0.921	×0.630	—	×1.027	8.27%
HBP% /PA	0.78%	—	×0.860	—	×1.027	0.69%
Singles /BIP	18.06%	÷0.984	×0.940	×0.950	×1.027	16.84%
Doubles /BIP	6.25%	÷1.065	×0.830	×0.950	×1.027	4.75%
Triples /BIP	1.39%	÷0.999	×0.800	×0.950	×1.027	1.09%
Home runs /BIP	2.78%	÷0.850	×0.900	—	×1.027	3.02%

Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 70, 1B 97, 2B 113, 3B 100, K 109, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .271 → .216; ISO .115 → .098; BABIP .255 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Ricky Ledee'98-'07 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,307 PA	3.5	2,307	63	29	233*	311*	398*	-19	-6	2.4	3.1
/162	664	18	8	-5.5	-1.8	0.7	pk7: 4
#3Norm Miller'65-'74 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	24	16	238*	325*	391*	-14	-3	2.4	2.7
/162	664	10	7	-6.1	-1.3	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	1.9	1,250	44	43	220	300	408	-13	-15	2.1	2.1
/162	664	23	23	-7.1	-8.0	1.1	pk7: 2
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	2.3	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
/162	664	24	7	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Eric Anthony'89-'97 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,243 PA	3.4	2,243	78	24	225*	300*	410*	-22	-22	0.1	0.6
/162	664	23	7	-6.7	-6.6	0.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Benson (OGILVIE)	29	35	60	60	55	214/287/377	164	274	8	12	29%	9%	88	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Weston Wilson 2024 · MLB	29	39→42	50→55	55	44	207/276/355	148	279	19	24	32%	8%	78	-0.3	213/286/366	153	280	19	21	30%	9%	84	+0.1	207/282/354	147	267	19	21	29%	9%	79	-0.1
✕Dylan Moore 2022 · MLB	29	40→49	53→55	55→65	49	212/303/387	175	269	21	29	29%	10%	96	+1.0	217/323/387	170	291	18	33	30%	11%	103	+1.6	207/326/378	171	283	16	41	30%	12%	103	+0.8
✕Brian O'Grady 2021 · MLB	29	43→38	57→60	52→50	40	227/284/423	196	297	25	16	32%	6%	97	+1.1	214/281/373	159	294	17	14	31%	8%	84	+0.1	191/264/352	161	259	16	13	32%	8%	72	-0.5
✕George Lombard 2007 · MLB	31	44→43	50	59→55	43	222/292/377	155	300	17	25	31%	8%	88	+0.5	222/287/356	134	315	14	23	32%	7%	82	-0.0	210/274/313	104	298	12	32	32%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Sam Hilliard 2023 · MLB	29	37→47	53→55	54→55	46	203/278/374	171	267	22	14	32%	9%	83	+0.1	219/287/392	173	305	20	17	33%	9%	91	+0.6	212/277/398	186	292	19	20	33%	8%	87	+0.3
✕Justin Maxwell 2012 · MLB	28	44→45	52→60	55→60	45	219/299/386	167	323	20	27	36%	10%	94	+0.9	223/294/406	183	315	22	15	34%	8%	96	+1.0	213/283/382	169	304	20	12	35%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Daniel Johnson 2024 · MLB	29	41→51	48→55	52→55	42	212/269/354	143	269	17	18	28%	6%	74	-0.5	216/264/353	137	270	16	17	26%	5%	72	-0.7	214/258/353	140	266	17	17	26%	5%	68	-0.7
✕Jeremy Hazelbaker 2017 · MLB	29	47→53	51→55	58→60	42	235/290/403	168	310	17	19	30%	7%	93	+0.8	211/270/365	154	318	16	18	37%	7%	78	-0.3	185/247/329	144	292	15	21	40%	7%	58	-0.9
●Will Venable 2012 · MLB	29	47→55	50→55	63→60	45	238/298/398	160	299	17	28	26%	7%	95	+1.0	253/309/420	167	309	16	26	23%	7%	104	+1.6	253/308/416	163	306	16	24	22%	7%	104	+1.3
✕Clete Thomas 2013 · MLB	29	39→49	47→50	56→55	36	202/245/340	137	283	15	20	34%	5%	62	-1.4	215/274/338	123	292	12	14	29%	7%	72	-0.7	214/282/326	112	287	11	12	28%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Corey Julks 2024 · MLB	28	46→50	49→50	54→55	46	234/295/386	152	289	17	21	25%	7%	92	+0.7	229/289/353	124	290	13	18	25%	7%	82	-0.0	222/281/337	115	280	13	16	25%	7%	73	-0.5
✕Kyle Datres 2024 · AAA	28	43	47→50	57→55	45	216/296/351	134	292	16	24	30%	8%	84	+0.2	204/280/322	118	289	13	17	32%	8%	72	-0.7	173/254/274	102	244	13	16	33%	9%	50	-0.8
✕Michael Helman 2024 · AAA	28	43→42	49→50	58→55	45	221/279/369	148	262	17	25	23%	7%	82	-0.0	211/269/356	145	259	16	19	25%	6%	75	-0.5	193/252/335	142	235	16	18	25%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Jake Fraley 2024 · MLB	29	48→47	53→55	53→55	54	248/333/422	174	287	22	22	22%	10%	114	+2.4	249/318/386	137	300	14	21	21%	8%	100	+1.3	244/312/364	120	300	11	22	21%	8%	93	+0.3
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	44→53	47→50	55→60	46	218/293/346	128	298	15	24	31%	9%	82	-0.0	228/297/362	134	313	15	28	30%	8%	87	+0.4	239/292/380	141	304	16	27	26%	6%	88	+0.2
✕J.P. Martínez 2024 · MLB	28	46→48	48→50	64→65	47	222/305/370	147	315	14	37	32%	10%	92	+0.7	213/288/327	114	313	10	34	32%	9%	76	-0.4	191/267/275	85	292	6	43	34%	8%	53	-1.6
✕Keon Broxton 2019 · MLB	29	42→52	50→55	60	40	205/278/362	157	330	18	34	41%	9%	80	-0.1	187/259/311	124	338	15	24	45%	8%	61	-1.5	146/226/241	94	284	14	23	50%	8%	33	-1.6
✕Mark Contreras 2024 · MLB	29	41→39	46→50	54→55	38	208/266/332	124	298	14	24	34%	6%	69	-0.9	201/271/305	104	293	9	26	32%	7%	64	-1.3	165/247/249	84	248	5	34	33%	8%	40	-1.9
✕Brewer Hicklen 2024 · AAA	28	39→49	50	61→60	40	196/276/350	154	296	17	32	38%	8%	77	-0.3	207/284/357	150	293	18	34	34%	7%	82	-0.0	207/283/355	147	290	18	38	33%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2021 · AAA	29	47→51	49→55	57→55	43	235/288/388	153	308	16	19	29%	7%	89	+0.5	229/279/409	180	326	21	10	35%	6%	91	+0.7	212/258/426	214	296	26	4	37%	6%	84	+0.1

Will Benson

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps