Trey Cabbage — OGILVIE

Trey Cabbage3B Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 29 L/R 6'2" / 204 lbs AAA HR +6% Svc 3.000 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .260 / .369

PA250

HR9

SB12

K%37

BB%7

ISO176

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 61

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2024

CONTACT20

Whiff%

1024.5%

xwOBA

100.231

POWER61

Barrel%

7712.2

Avg EV

7090.5

Bat Spd

9075.9

EYE27

Chase%

1043.9%

SPEED59

Sprint

6027.9

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2023

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	+0.0	$0.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2027	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	18	ROK	GCL Twins	—	129	122	20	1	0	0	4	53	2	1	5	164	203	172	375	8	286	41	3	177	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK	GCL Twins	—	129	119	30	2	0	0	7	37	2	1	5	252	305	269	574	17	361	29	5	266	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	111	102	13	3	1	1	7	54	2	2	1	127	198	206	404	78	255	49	6	186	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	19	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	111	98	20	5	1	2	11	38	2	2	1	204	297	337	634	133	310	34	10	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A	2 teams	—	239	218	33	6	1	3	19	104	0	1	2	151	219	229	449	78	265	44	8	207	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A	2 teams	—	239	211	48	10	2	4	26	73	0	1	2	227	312	351	663	123	324	31	11	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	375	352	59	14	3	4	16	168	4	3	0	168	212	259	471	91	301	45	4	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	375	340	83	22	4	8	28	119	4	3	0	244	309	403	712	159	347	32	7	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	2 teams	—	386	361	59	16	3	8	20	186	4	7	1	163	216	291	506	127	304	48	5	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	2 teams	—	386	351	84	20	4	15	30	117	4	7	1	239	306	447	754	208	314	30	8	331	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	2 teams	—	439	401	77	14	2	19	33	212	3	6	0	192	259	379	638	187	337	48	8	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	2 teams	—	439	387	102	20	2	27	47	160	3	6	0	264	348	535	883	271	371	36	11	383	151	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	213	189	51	9	2	11	19	91	3	12	5	270	346	513	859	243	455	43	9	364	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	2 teams	—	213	185	50	8	1	12	23	83	3	12	5	270	360	519	879	249	418	39	11	382	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	530	485	109	23	3	23	33	206	6	33	4	225	282	427	709	202	331	39	6	301	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	2 teams	—	530	471	139	28	3	31	47	168	6	33	4	295	366	565	931	270	391	32	9	400	165	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	382	346	65	17	3	12	32	161	2	23	6	188	261	358	619	171	303	42	8	274	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	2 teams	—	382	333	78	20	3	14	45	134	2	23	6	234	329	438	767	204	342	35	12	339	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	29	MLB	HOU	—	250	228	44	10	1	9	18	93	2	12	3	193	258	364	622	171	279	37	7	281	73	-8	+1	+0	-3	+7	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	HOU	27%	380	345	70	15	2	14	29	137	3	16	4	203	271	380	650	177	279	36	8	282	74	-11	+2	-2	-4	+11	-0.5
2028	31	MLB	HOU	37%	365	331	67	14	2	13	28	129	3	13	3	202	271	375	645	172	278	35	8	281	74	-11	+1	-3	-4	+10	-0.6
2029	32	MLB	HOU	43%	346	314	63	13	2	12	26	121	3	10	2	201	268	369	638	169	274	35	8	278	71	-11	+1	-3	-4	+10	-0.8
2027	30	MLB	HOU	27%	104	94	20	4	1	4	8	37	1	4	1	213	282	404	686	191	282	36	8	280	73	-3	+0	-1	-1	+3	-0.2
2028	31	MLB	HOU	37%	137	125	25	5	1	5	10	48	1	5	1	200	265	376	641	176	281	35	7	279	72	-4	+1	-1	-1	+4	-0.2
2029	32	MLB	HOU	43%	150	137	28	6	1	5	11	53	1	5	1	204	268	372	641	168	278	35	7	276	69	-5	+1	-1	-2	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	538	495	102	26	3	16	35	198	4	16	5	206	264	368	632	162	302	37	7	272	66	-20	+1	-3	-18	+15	-2.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	598	123	31	4	19	42	239	5	19	6	206	264	366	630	161	301	37	6	272	66	-25	+1	-4	-21	+18	-3.1
Career	—			—	4145	3794	730	155	25	129	284	1715	37	139	36	192	255	348	604	156	305	41	7	264	60	-186	+13	-8	-48	+117	-11.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	114	24	4	20	45	269	6	22	6	192	256	346	602	155	303	41	7	264	60	-29	+2	-1	-8	+18	-1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	18	ROK	GCL Twins	—	129	119	30	2	0	0	7	37	2	1	5	252	305	269	574	17	361	29	5	266	61	-6	-2	—	—	+4	-0.4
2016	19	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	111	98	20	5	1	2	11	38	2	2	1	204	297	337	634	133	310	34	10	290	80	-2	+0	—	—	+3	0.1
2017	20	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	178	161	36	7	1	2	15	57	0	0	2	224	290	317	607	93	327	32	8	274	68	-6	-1	—	—	+5	-0.2
2017	20	ROK	Elizabethton Twins	—	61	50	12	3	1	2	11	16	0	1	0	240	377	460	837	220	312	26	18	373	143	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2018	21	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	375	340	83	22	4	8	28	119	4	3	0	244	309	403	712	159	347	32	7	315	99	-0	+1	—	—	+11	1.1
2019	22	A+	Fort Myers Miracle	—	309	284	63	19	3	9	21	97	3	5	1	222	282	405	687	183	302	31	7	304	90	-3	+1	—	—	+9	0.6
2019	22	A	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	77	67	21	1	1	6	9	20	1	2	0	313	403	627	1.029	313	366	26	12	444	198	+8	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2021	24	AA	Wichita Wind Surge	—	278	244	64	10	1	18	31	110	2	2	0	262	350	533	883	270	393	40	11	384	152	+16	+0	—	—	+8	2.5
2021	24	A+	Cedar Rapids Kernels	—	161	143	38	10	1	9	16	50	1	4	0	266	344	538	882	273	341	31	10	381	150	+9	+1	—	—	+5	1.5
2022	25	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	136	113	37	6	1	10	20	47	2	10	2	327	437	664	1.101	336	474	35	15	468	216	+18	+1	—	—	+4	2.3
2022	25	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	77	72	13	2	0	2	3	36	1	2	3	181	224	292	515	111	324	47	4	230	34	-6	-1	—	—	+2	-0.4
2023	26	MLB	Los Angeles Angels	—	56	53	11	3	0	1	2	26	0	1	1	208	236	321	557	113	370	46	4	244	45	-3	-0	+0	-9	+2	-1.2
2023	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	474	418	128	25	3	30	45	142	6	32	3	306	382	596	977	289	394	30	9	419	179	+42	+5	—	—	+13	6.2
2024	27	MLB	Houston Astros	—	91	86	18	8	0	1	4	34	1	1	1	209	253	337	590	128	333	37	4	264	60	-4	-0	-1	-4	+3	-0.6
2024	27	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	291	247	60	12	3	13	41	100	1	22	5	243	353	474	827	231	346	34	14	363	136	+12	+2	—	—	+8	2.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	147	139	29	11	0	2	6	60	1	2	2	209	247	331	578	122	346	41	4	256	54	-8	-0	-0	-14	+4	-1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	562	16	17	202	259	358	-0	-2	-0.5	-0.5
	/162	664	19	20	202	259	358	-0.5	-2.2	-0.6	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Trey Cabbage (OGILVIE)	29	20	61	59	27	195/260/369	175	279	9	12	37%	7%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mark Contreras 2023 · MLB	28	37	51→50	55	36	198/257/358	160	281	20	20	36%	6%	69	-0.4	204/266/321	117	295	13	26	33%	6%	62	-0.9	196/263/289	93	286	10	32	33%	7%	48	-1.2
✕Brian O'Grady 2021 · MLB	29	41→37	57→60	52→50	39	222/276/420	198	292	26	16	33%	6%	92	+1.2	211/277/371	160	292	18	14	33%	8%	79	+0.3	187/262/347	160	256	17	13	33%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Sam Hilliard 2022 · MLB	28	32→42	55	55	41	185/252/366	181	256	23	15	37%	8%	68	-0.5	203/278/364	161	283	20	16	34%	9%	79	+0.3	190/268/352	162	268	18	18	34%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Jim Haley 2023 · AAA	28	35→44	50	55	34	191/244/342	151	278	19	19	38%	5%	58	-1.2	209/264/336	127	285	14	21	31%	5%	64	-0.8	207/263/321	115	277	12	24	29%	5%	57	-0.8
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	38→37	56→55	53→50	35	214/252/400	187	277	25	17	33%	4%	77	+0.1	219/282/362	143	318	16	10	34%	7%	79	+0.3	222/301/341	118	337	12	5	34%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Brewer Hicklen 2023 · AAA	27	39→43	53→55	61→60	37	196/272/363	168	322	22	32	44%	8%	76	+0.1	203/283/375	172	293	22	34	37%	8%	84	+0.6	219/291/395	177	297	25	40	34%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Julio Ramirez 2006 · AAA	28	36→31	52→55	52→55	34	202/239/358	156	269	22	23	34%	4%	60	-1.0	199/234/315	116	286	14	17	35%	4%	46	-2.0	160/188/215	55	257	6	12	39%	3%	-3	-1.5
✕Jordan Qsar 2023 · AAA	27	39→38	54→55	52→50	38	197/272/375	177	325	22	13	44%	8%	79	+0.3	206/287/357	151	334	18	15	40%	9%	81	+0.4	181/285/326	145	286	18	20	40%	11%	72	-0.1
✕Charlton Jimerson 2008 · AAA	28	43→44	52→55	57→60	30	212/252/380	168	339	21	29	43%	4%	72	-0.2	213/247/385	172	321	22	26	40%	4%	70	-0.3	190/211/369	179	263	24	28	38%	2%	47	-0.6
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA	27	41→40	50	56→55	43	212/287/361	149	289	18	23	32%	8%	82	+0.5	205/283/343	138	285	17	21	32%	8%	76	+0.0	187/271/314	127	259	16	21	33%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Keon Broxton 2019 · MLB	29	41→48	50→55	60	40	199/273/355	156	329	19	34	43%	9%	74	-0.1	188/261/317	129	343	16	24	46%	8%	59	-1.1	158/241/269	111	299	17	23	49%	9%	37	-1.1
✕Clete Thomas 2013 · MLB	29	40→50	48→50	56→55	36	207/249/352	145	287	16	20	33%	5%	62	-0.9	220/279/347	127	296	13	14	28%	7%	73	-0.1	219/290/337	118	293	12	12	28%	9%	71	-0.1
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	40→41	52→55	57→55	45	217/276/382	165	258	21	26	26%	7%	82	+0.5	223/280/386	163	269	20	22	25%	6%	85	+0.7	215/273/387	171	253	20	20	23%	6%	79	+0.1
●Corey Brown 2016 · MLB	30	37→47	51→60	52→50	36	201/245/354	153	275	19	14	34%	5%	61	-1.0	217/271/407	190	313	25	15	37%	7%	86	+0.8	213/274/422	209	307	28	16	39%	7%	90	+0.8
✕George Lombard 2006 · MLB	30	45→44	50	56→55	42	225/291/386	161	312	17	19	32%	7%	89	+1.0	226/295/373	147	313	16	25	31%	8%	87	+0.8	222/298/356	134	300	16	37	30%	8%	82	+0.2
✕Jason Smith 2007 · MLB	30	44→35	49→55	53→50	39	226/270/375	150	295	16	14	29%	5%	77	+0.1	205/241/351	146	290	17	8	35%	4%	58	-1.2	178/208/309	131	254	16	7	37%	3%	31	-1.7
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA	28	41→43	50→55	51→55	40	215/269/364	149	295	19	17	33%	7%	74	-0.1	218/288/394	176	284	24	23	31%	9%	90	+1.0	212/291/397	185	265	26	25	30%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Mitch Longo 2022 · AAA	27	46→43	50	59→50	40	235/283/388	154	300	17	22	28%	6%	85	+0.7	225/272/372	147	297	17	14	29%	5%	77	+0.1	184/222/324	140	233	19	3	31%	4%	40	-0.6
✕Kevin Padlo 2023 · MLB	27	37→40	50→55	52→50	39	199/251/350	152	268	19	13	33%	6%	63	-0.8	192/271/329	137	269	15	13	32%	9%	66	-0.6	170/265/300	130	236	14	13	33%	11%	56	-0.8
✕Reggie Abercrombie 2009 · MLB	28	45→48	49→55	59→60	31	228/262/378	150	324	17	34	35%	3%	75	-0.0	214/250/329	115	325	11	23	36%	4%	56	-1.3	219/262/360	141	323	17	25	37%	3%	68	-0.3