Dylan Beavers

RF Baltimore Orioles
Age 25 L/R 6'5" / 220 lbs MLB HR +9% Svc 1.256 · Ctrl thru 2031
Overview
MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202422AAA/AA2 orgs531.242/.346/.408153163—.202/.281/.316
202523AAABAL418.304/.424/.5151823120—.269/.356/.429
202523MLBBAL137.227/.375/.40042120-0.1
202624MLBBAL363.228/.307/.3739588-0.6
2027PROJ25MLBBAL387.227/.316/.3761120930.2
2028PROJ82% MLB26MLBBAL420.227/.316/.3761221930.2
2029PROJ82% MLB27MLBBAL408.225/.315/.3731120920.1
Last 3 seasons WAR -0.7  ·  Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2031Service1.256First FA2032
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$1M2030Arb-2$2M2031Arb-3$2M
Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026
Speed90
Barrel%53
Bat Spd51
xwOBA50
Avg EV36
Form.210/.286/.358 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .222/.310/.367
CompsDustin Harris (age 25) · Akil Baddoo (age 25) · Elijah Dunham (age 25)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†vL 8093vR 98
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .316 / .376
PA387
HR11
SB20
K%25
BB%11
BABIP282
ISO150
MLB%100%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -3.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-3BATRUN: +3.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+3RUNFLD: -1.7 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-2FLDPOS: -4.1 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +8.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+8REPTotal WAR: +0.50+0.5WAR
0.00.51.00.50.20.10.00.027282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$1M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · Contract
ToolsStatcast %ile · 2025-2026
CONTACT
xAVG
100.217
POWER
Barrel%
538.6
Avg EV
3688.1
Bat Spd
5171.5
SPEED
Sprint
9029.1
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%29%▼▼32% over 98 PA (60d) · proj 25%
BB%9%▼▼7% over 98 PA (60d) · proj 11%
ISO.148·.154 over 91 AB (60d) · proj .144
HR/BB4.5%·5.0% over 60 BBE (60d) · proj 4.2%
BABIP.274·.228 over 57 BIP (60d) · proj .277
SLASH.210/.286/.358▼proj .222/.310/.367
Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 202 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
25
177
—
wRC+
95
114
▶▶R
wOBA
308
337
▶R
ISO
200
161
◀◀L
BABIP
133
315
▶▶R
K%
16.0%
26.6%
◀◀L
BB%
20.0%
15.3%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   1.256 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.5$2M+$1M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.7M+$0.0M
2029Arb-1$1M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2030Arb-2$2M———
2031Arb-3$2M———
Totals $2M $2M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202220 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 1614 4000 250 00 286375286661 444 3112 313 46 — — — — — —
202220 ADelmarva Shorebirds — 7764 23720 12111 61 359468531999 172434 1416 441 143 — — — — — —
202321 AABowie Baysox — 157134 43932 20322 54 321414478892 157410 2013 396 113 — — — — — —
202321 A+Aberdeen IronBirds — 369311 852639 50841 226 273376463839 190338 2314 366 78 — — — — — —
202422 AAANorfolk Tides — 2220 5100 1101 00 250318300618 50500 455 288 53 — — — — — —
202422 AABowie Baysox — 509431 10419515 671153 313 241347413760 172290 2313 337 63 — — — — — —
202523 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 137110 25514 26360 22 227375400775 173300 2619 351 120 +3 -0 -1 -6 +3 -0.1
202523 AAANorfolk Tides — 418342 10414218 68763 235 304424515938 211341 1816 411 120 — — — — — —
202624 MLBBaltimore Orioles — 363324 742009 35992 55 228307373681 145300 2710 306 88 -5 -1 -4 -4 +8 -0.6
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career— — 500434 9925113 611352 77 228326380706 152300 2712 318 101 +1 -1 -5 -10 +11 -0.4
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202220 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 1615 3000 170 00 200250200450 405 446 236 46 — — — — — —
202220 A MLEDelmarva Shorebirds — 7767 22620 9141 61 328416478893 149411 1812 380 143 — — — — — —
202321 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 157140 40731 15402 54 286363400763 114388 2510 335 113 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLEAberdeen IronBirds — 369331 712039 301111 226 215282375656 160275 308 284 78 — — — — — —
202422 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 2220 5100 1111 00 250318300618 50493 505 247 53 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLEBowie Baysox — 509451 9015410 471453 313 200279317597 118257 289 262 63 — — — — — —
202523 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 137110 25514 26360 22 227375400775 173300 2619 346 120 +3 -0 -1 -6 +3 -0.1
202523 AAA MLENorfolk Tides — 418364 9812214 46943 235 269356429785 159319 2211 346 120 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 363325 731909 34992 55 225302366668 142300 279 299 88 -5 -1 -4 -4 +8 -0.6
202220 A MLE2 teams — 9382 25620 10211 61 305387427814 122410 2311 355 127 — — — — — —
202220 A RAW2 teams — 9378 27720 14161 61 346452487939 141435 1715 419 127 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLE2 teams — 526472 11128610 441513 2710 235304383688 148318 298 299 89 — — — — — —
202321 A+ RAW2 teams — 526445 12835611 701163 2710 288387467855 180360 2213 375 89 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 531471 9516410 481564 313 202281316597 115273 299 261 63 — — — — — —
202422 AA RAW2 teams — 531451 10920515 681254 313 242346408754 166297 2413 335 63 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLE2 teams — 555474 12317318 721303 257 259361422783 162318 2313 346 120 — — — — — —
202523 AAA RAW2 teams — 555452 12919322 941123 257 285412487898 201332 2017 396 120 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 363325 731909 34992 55 225302366668 142294 279 299 88 -5 -1 -4 -4 +8 -0.6
202624 MLB RAWBaltimore Orioles — 363324 742009 35992 55 228307373681 145300 2710 306 88 -5 -1 -4 -4 +8 -0.6
202220 A MLE2 teams — 9382 25620 10211 61 305387427814 122410 2311 355 127 — — — — — —
202321 A+ MLE2 teams — 526474 11128610 441513 2710 234304382686 148309 298 299 89 — — — — — —
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 531474 9516410 481564 313 200281314595 114267 299 261 63 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLE2 teams — 555475 12317318 721303 257 259361421782 162314 2313 346 120 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 363324 731909 34992 55 225302367669 142300 279 299 88 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202422 AA MLE2 teams — 531474 9516410 481564 313 200281314595 114267 299 261 63 — — — — — —
202523 AAA MLE2 teams — 555475 12317318 721303 257 259361421782 162314 2313 346 120 — — — — — —
202624 MLB MLEBaltimore Orioles — 363324 731909 34992 55 225302367669 142300 279 299 88 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202725 MLB MLEBAL 100% 473416 9319213 511183 245 223312367679 144277 2511 306 93 -4 +3 -2 -5 +10 0.5
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202725 MLB CTXBAL 100% 387340 7716111 42972 204 227316376692 150282 2511 311 93 -3 +2 -2 -4 +8 0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202826 MLB MLEBAL 82% 512449 10020214 551283 265 222312367679 144277 2511 306 93 -4 +3 -2 -5 +11 0.2
202927 MLB MLEBAL 82% 498438 9720213 541253 255 221311364675 142276 2511 304 92 -5 +3 -2 -5 +11 0.2
203028 MLB MLEBAL 82% 485427 9219112 521233 224 219309358667 139274 2511 301 90 -6 +3 -3 -5 +11 -0.1
203129 MLB MLEBAL 82% 369324 701419 40942 143 216306351657 135272 2511 297 87 -6 +2 -3 -4 +8 -0.3
203230 MLB MLEBAL 82% 356313 681419 38922 122 212301342643 130269 2611 292 83 -7 +2 -4 -4 +8 -0.5
202826 MLB CTXBAL 82% 420369 8317112 451053 214 227316376692 149281 2511 311 93 -4 +3 -2 -4 +9 0.2
202927 MLB CTXBAL 82% 408358 8017111 441023 204 225315373687 148280 2511 309 92 -4 +2 -2 -4 +9 0.1
203028 MLB CTXBAL 82% 398350 7816111 431012 183 223312367680 144279 2511 306 90 -5 +2 -2 -4 +9 -0.0
203129 MLB CTXBAL 82% 303265 591218 33782 122 220309360669 140277 2611 302 87 -5 +2 -2 -3 +7 -0.2
203230 MLB CTXBAL 82% 292257 551117 31762 92 216305351655 134274 2611 296 83 -6 +1 -3 -3 +6 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 23212033 45498662 25759714 8722 223315369684 146283 2611 308 91 -22 +9 -16 -29 +50 -0.8
/ 162G— A+C — 650569 12727217 721674 246 223315367682 144284 2611 308 91 -6 +2 -4 -8 +14 -0.2
Career— MLE — 46754115 92918823114 489121628 21349 226312366678 140289 2610 303 91 -30 +13 -20 -38 +67 -0.7
/ 162G— MLE — 650572 12926316 681694 307 226312365677 140289 2610 303 91 -6 +3 -4 -8 +14 -0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAANorfolk Tides · 418 PAwOBA .403 → .346 (−58)K% 18.2% → 22.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA18.18%÷0.967×1.200——22.56%
BB% (unintentional) /PA16.03%÷1.063×0.690—×1.04810.91%
HBP% /PA0.72%—×0.940—×1.0480.71%
Singles /BIP26.32%÷0.959×0.930×0.950×1.04825.40%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷0.978×0.830×0.950×1.0484.45%
Triples /BIP0.75%÷0.900×0.970×0.950×1.0480.81%
Home runs /BIP6.77%÷0.945×0.700—×1.0485.25%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 92, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 93, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .403 → .346; ISO .211 → .176; BABIP .341 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AABowie Baysox · 509 PAwOBA .332 → .262 (−70)K% 22.6% → 28.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.59%÷0.970×1.220——28.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.16%÷1.028×0.700—×1.0279.21%
HBP% /PA0.59%—×0.850—×1.0270.51%
Singles /BIP20.57%÷1.008×0.970×0.950×1.02719.32%
Doubles /BIP6.01%÷1.062×0.860×0.950×1.0274.75%
Triples /BIP1.58%÷1.135×0.950×0.950×1.0271.29%
Home runs /BIP4.75%÷1.249×0.780—×1.0273.05%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 150, 1B 102, 2B 112, 3B 127, K 94, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .332 → .262; ISO .172 → .120; BABIP .290 → .257. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAANorfolk Tides · 22 PAwOBA .281 → .247 (−34)K% 45.5% → 51.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA45.45%÷1.070×1.200——50.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA4.55%÷0.987×0.690—×1.0503.34%
HBP% /PA4.55%—×0.940—×1.0504.49%
Singles /BIP40.00%÷0.962×0.930—×1.05040.60%
Doubles /BIP10.00%÷1.006×0.830—×1.0508.66%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.900×0.970—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷0.996×0.700—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 92, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 114, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .281 → .247; ISO .050 → .039; BABIP .500 → .493. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 369 PAwOBA .362 → .284 (−78)K% 22.8% → 30.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.76%÷0.986×1.310——30.25%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.01%÷0.982×0.600—×1.0128.04%
HBP% /PA0.27%—×0.770—×1.0120.21%
Singles /BIP20.70%÷1.037×0.870×0.971×1.01217.06%
Doubles /BIP11.45%÷0.980×0.780×0.971×1.0128.96%
Triples /BIP1.32%÷0.900×0.850×0.971×1.0121.23%
Home runs /BIP3.96%÷0.912×0.880—×1.0123.87%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 107, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 97, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .362 → .284; ISO .190 → .168; BABIP .338 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AABowie Baysox · 157 PAwOBA .387 → .335 (−51)K% 20.4% → 25.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.38%÷0.988×1.220——25.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.74%÷0.989×0.700—×1.0429.39%
HBP% /PA1.27%—×0.850—×1.0421.13%
Singles /BIP28.43%÷0.965×0.970×0.950×1.04228.29%
Doubles /BIP8.82%÷1.046×0.860×0.950×1.0427.18%
Triples /BIP2.94%÷0.998×0.950×0.950×1.0422.77%
Home runs /BIP1.96%÷1.208×0.780—×1.0421.32%

Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 93, 2B 109, 3B 100, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .387 → .335; ISO .157 → .126; BABIP .410 → .388. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 77 PAwOBA .431 → .380 (−50)K% 14.3% → 18.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA14.29%÷1.061×1.360——18.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.58%÷0.979×0.690—×1.01511.15%
HBP% /PA1.30%—×0.780—×1.0151.03%
Singles /BIP26.42%÷0.955×0.920×1.022×1.01526.40%
Doubles /BIP13.21%÷0.976×0.830×1.022×1.01511.65%
Triples /BIP3.77%÷1.150×0.910×1.022×1.0153.10%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.128×0.800—×1.0150.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 126, 1B 91, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 112, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.

Result: wOBA .431 → .380; ISO .172 → .149; BABIP .434 → .411. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 A+Aberdeen IronBirds · 16 PAwOBA .306 → .236 (−70)K% 31.2% → 41.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.25%÷0.991×1.310——41.32%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.50%÷0.966×0.600—×1.0277.97%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.770—×1.0270.00%
Singles /BIP44.44%÷0.980×0.870—×1.02740.54%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.955×0.780—×1.0270.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.964×0.850—×1.0270.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.029×0.880—×1.0270.00%

Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 96, 2B 91, 3B 93, K 98, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .306 → .236; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .444 → .405. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).