Dylan BeaversRF Baltimore Orioles
Age 24 L/R 6'5" / 220 lbs MLB HR +8% Svc 0.256 · Ctrl thru 2031
2026 ROS PROJECTION148 act + 202 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†vL 90119vR 130
AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .330 / .398
PA202
HR6
SB8
K%25
BB%11
BABIP298
ISO159
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -1.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-1BATRUN: +1.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -2.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-3FLDPOS: -3.8 runs (Positional adjustment)-4POSREP: +9.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.01.32.60.12.12.12.11.91.6+$56M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit post-control
Tools · Splits · ContractCON 52 / POW 49
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026
CONTACT52
Whiff%
903.7%
xwOBA
590.319
POWER49
Barrel%
437.2
Avg EV
3688.1
Bat Spd
5171.5
EYE55
Chase%
909.5%
SPEED59
Sprint
9029.0
DEFENSE49
scouting grade only
Platoon Splits2025-2026 · 202 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
25
177
wRC+
94
116
▶▶R
wOBA
308
337
R
ISO
200
161
◀◀L
BABIP
133
315
▶▶R
K%
16.0%
26.6%
◀◀L
BB%
20.0%
15.3%
◀◀L
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb
MLB Debut   2025
Service   0.256 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2031
First FA Year   2032
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.3M+0.1$0.5M+$0.2M
2027Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.1$16M+$15M
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M+2.1$14M+$14M
2029Arb-1$5M+2.1$13M+$10M
2030Arb-2$7M+1.9$11M+$7M
2031Arb-3$9M+1.6$9M+$3M
Totals $23M $64M +$49M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202220 A2 teams 9383 25610 9211 61 301376398774 96403 2310 358 132
202220 A2 teams 9378 27720 14161 61 346452487939 141435 1715 419 179
202321 A+2 teams 526469 10827610 471583 2710 230304377682 147318 309 299 87
202321 A+2 teams 526445 12835611 701163 2710 288387467855 180360 2213 375 145
202422 AA2 teams 531475 851439 441684 313 179254278532 99250 328 240 42
202422 AA2 teams 531451 10920515 681254 313 242346408754 166297 2413 335 114
202523 AAA2 teams 555479 12617321 671343 257 263357443800 180320 2412 349 126
202523 AAA2 teams 555452 12919322 941123 257 285412487898 201332 2017 396 161
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD24 MLBBAL 148129 30902 16351 32 233322349671 116301 2411 299 87 -2 -0 -4 -2 +4 -0.3
YTD24 MLBBAL 148129 30902 16351 32 233322349671 116301 2411 303 90 -2 -0 -4 -2 +4 -0.3
ROS24 MLBBAL 100% 202176 42816 23501 82 239330398728 159294 2511 322 104 +1 +1 +1 -2 +6 0.6
ROS24 MLBBAL 100% 202176 42816 23501 82 239330398728 159299 2511 321 104 +1 +1 +1 -2 +6 0.6
FULL24 MLBBAL 350305 721718 39852 114 236327377704 141299 2411 312 97 -1 +1 -3 -4 +10 0.3
TOT24 MLBBAL 350305 721718 39852 114 236327377704 141299 2411 312 97 -1 +1 -3 -4 +10 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBBAL 92% 602523 12423317 701474 256 237332390722 153293 2412 324 106 +4 +3 +2 -6 +17 2.0
202826 MLBBAL 92% 590512 12223317 691444 246 238333395728 156293 2412 325 107 +5 +2 +2 -6 +17 2.0
202927 MLBBAL 92% 578500 11822217 691414 246 236333390723 154292 2412 325 107 +4 +2 +2 -6 +16 1.9
203028 MLBBAL 92% 567490 11522216 681394 226 235333386718 151292 2512 324 106 +4 +2 +1 -6 +16 1.7
203129 MLBBAL 92% 555479 11221216 671384 205 234333386719 152290 2512 321 104 +3 +2 +0 -6 +16 1.5
203230 MLBBAL 92% 544470 10820215 651364 185 230328377705 147289 2512 318 102 +1 +2 -0 -6 +15 1.2
203331 MLBBAL 92% 533460 10419214 641354 154 226326367693 141286 2512 314 98 -1 +1 -1 -6 +15 0.9
203432 MLBBAL 92% 523452 10118214 631353 123 223322365687 142282 2612 308 94 -4 +1 -2 -6 +15 0.5
203533 MLBBAL 92% 451391 8415111 541183 82 215315343657 128277 2612 301 89 -6 +1 -3 -5 +13 0.0
202725 MLBBAL 92% 554480 11522216 651354 236 240335394729 154297 2412 323 105 +3 +2 +2 -6 +16 1.8
202826 MLBBAL 92% 543470 11322216 641324 226 240336398734 157297 2412 324 106 +4 +2 +2 -6 +15 1.8
202927 MLBBAL 92% 532460 11121216 631304 226 241338400738 159297 2412 324 106 +4 +2 +2 -6 +15 1.7
203028 MLBBAL 92% 522451 10820216 621284 215 239337399736 160296 2512 323 106 +3 +2 +1 -6 +15 1.6
203129 MLBBAL 92% 511441 10520215 611274 195 238336395731 156295 2512 321 104 +2 +2 +0 -5 +14 1.4
203230 MLBBAL 92% 500433 10119214 601253 164 233331383714 150293 2512 318 102 +1 +2 -0 -5 +14 1.1
203331 MLBBAL 92% 490425 9818214 591243 144 231329381710 151290 2512 314 98 -1 +1 -1 -5 +14 0.8
203432 MLBBAL 92% 481417 9417113 581243 113 225324365689 139286 2612 308 94 -3 +1 -2 -5 +14 0.5
203533 MLBBAL 92% 415359 7914111 501093 82 220320357677 136281 2612 301 88 -5 +1 -2 -4 +12 0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 48874222 99118618141 591122033 16645 235333387721 153295 2512 319 102 +13 +15 +2 -57 +138 11.4
/ 162G 650562 13225219 791624 226 235333388721 153294 2512 319 102 +2 +2 +0 -8 +18 1.5
Career 68505959 137425533183 779176446 26566 231324377701 146294 2611 314 98 -12 +27 +2 -73 +194 14.0
/ 162G 650565 13024317 741674 256 230323373696 143294 2611 314 98 -1 +3 +0 -7 +18 1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202220 A+Aberdeen IronBirds 1614 4000 250 00 286375286661 444 3112 313 98 -0 +0 +0 0.0
202220 ADelmarva Shorebirds 7764 23720 12111 61 359468531999 172434 1416 441 196 +8 +1 +2 1.2
202321 AABowie Baysox 157134 43932 20322 54 321414478892 157410 2013 396 161 +11 -1 +4 1.5
202321 A+Aberdeen IronBirds 369311 852639 50841 226 273376463839 190338 2314 366 138 +16 +2 +10 2.9
202422 AAANorfolk Tides 2220 5100 1101 00 250318300618 50500 455 288 79 -1 +0 +1 0.0
202422 AABowie Baysox 509431 10419515 671153 313 241347413760 172290 2313 337 116 +9 +5 +14 2.9
202523 MLBBaltimore Orioles 137110 25514 26360 22 227375400775 173300 2619 351 127 +4 -0 -1 -6 +4 0.1
202523 AAANorfolk Tides 418342 10414218 68763 235 304424515938 211341 1816 411 172 +34 +3 +12 5.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 137110 25514 26360 22 227375400775 173300 2619 351 127 +4 -0 -1 -6 +4 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Wil Myerslast yr '23
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA
114,290156107252326437-47-4510.710.7
/1626642417-7.3-6.91.7pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 11 projected seasons
115,183143179232327381-56-3111.510.6
/1626641823-7.1-3.91.5pk7: 10
#2Kole Calhounlast yr '23
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA
114,96317933242316418-54-338.39.6
/162664244-7.3-4.41.1pk7: 11
#3Will Venablelast yr '15
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA
83,12781135251317406-20-48.98.7
/1626641729-4.2-0.81.9pk7: 9
#4Michael Tuckerlast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,732 PA
72,7327171253340419-23-267.27.2
/1626641717-5.5-6.31.8pk7: 7
#5Robbie Grossmanlast yr '24
career totals — 12 seasons, 4,561 PA
124,5619367242345374-49-625.06.1
/1626641410-7.1-9.00.7pk7: 7
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA
83,2209698241309409-34-283.84.4
/1626642020-7.1-5.80.8pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Dylan Beavers (OGILVIE) 24 46→52 50→49 56→59 55 236/327/377 141299 811 24% 11% 97 +0.3
Akil Baddoo
2023 · MLB
24 50→54 47→55 54→55 51 244/320/385 140320 1322 26% 10% 100 +1.7 226/304/394 168290 1825 27% 10% 97 +1.5 222/303/408186279212827%10%96+1.1
Josh Lowe
2022 · AAA
24 47→57 53→55 58→60 45 239/303/408 169318 2125 31% 8% 100 +1.7 251/307/423 172352 1928 32% 7% 105 +2.1 252/308/426174353193332%7%102+1.5
Domonic Brown
2012 · MLB
24 50→54 49→55 52→55 50 247/316/397 150302 1619 23% 9% 102 +1.9 250/307/404 154288 1710 19% 7% 100 +1.7 249/302/40215328117718%7%92+1.0
Ryan Kalish
2012 · MLB
24 47→51 48→50 56→55 47 236/293/378 142284 1524 22% 7% 87 +0.8 220/270/320 100293 919 27% 6% 62 -0.9 212/256/3059328582028%5%48-1.0
Richie Palacios
2022 · AAA
25 51→52 46→50 56→55 52 245/324/385 140302 1120 22% 9% 102 +1.9 240/321/368 128287 1118 19% 10% 97 +1.5 232/324/354122273112018%11%91+0.8
Brett Wisely
2023 · AAA
24 47→51 49→50 55 46 237/301/388 152305 1724 28% 8% 94 +1.3 230/296/357 127295 1215 25% 8% 83 +0.6 231/293/342111293101523%7%76+0.0
Gregory Polanco
2016 · MLB
24 52→55 45→60 54→55 50 254/313/386 133300 1224 19% 8% 98 +1.6 255/321/432 177293 1917 19% 9% 113 +2.6 254/325/453200285221419%9%113+2.3
Daulton Varsho
2021 · MLB
25 46→49 52→60 55→50 47 239/304/408 170277 1918 22% 7% 100 +1.7 233/299/427 194270 2414 23% 8% 103 +1.9 227/294/419192260251523%8%96+1.3
Leo Heras
2014 · AAA
24 50→60 47→55 54→55 46 248/303/387 139297 1418 21% 7% 94 +1.3 220/288/338 118288 918 25% 8% 75 -0.0 250/325/413162319161825%9%107+1.3
Will Benson
2023 · MLB
25 44→52 53→55 53→55 52 220/324/398 178307 2016 33% 12% 106 +2.2 224/314/406 182318 2023 33% 11% 104 +2.0 216/301/403188301212433%10%95+1.0
Josh Smith
2022 · AA
24 49→52 51→45 56→50 48 247/333/412 165303 1823 24% 8% 114 +2.7 229/320/355 126286 1213 23% 9% 94 +1.3 238/326/362125285121020%9%95+1.1
Derek Fisher
2018 · MLB
24 48→52 52→55 50→55 45 241/309/406 165323 2019 30% 8% 102 +1.8 228/304/400 172325 2116 34% 9% 98 +1.6 199/282/365166291221537%10%77+0.1
Josh Rojas
2020 · MLB
26 46→54 47→50 55 49 230/296/376 146276 1425 22% 8% 89 +0.9 243/316/375 132305 1219 23% 10% 96 +1.5 251/325/369118318101823%10%95+1.2
Jake McCarthy
2022 · MLB
25 41→51 49→50 63→60 42 207/272/361 154294 1530 34% 8% 75 -0.0 258/320/395 137318 1334 22% 7% 103 +1.9 272/336/397125324113718%7%107+1.9
Royce Lewis
2023 · MLB
24 50→49 54→60 55→50 45 256/314/439 183307 2123 24% 7% 112 +2.6 258/314/460 202301 2814 24% 7% 118 +3.0 245/301/434189280271223%7%103+1.2
DJ Stewart
2018 · AA
24 46→47 49→60 52→50 47 230/301/375 145284 1616 25% 8% 91 +1.1 224/300/390 166270 2011 24% 8% 94 +1.3 212/319/41420225329228%11%105+1.0
Victor Robles
2021 · MLB
24 49→54 47→50 53→60 44 242/314/383 141299 1422 23% 6% 98 +1.6 225/298/334 109291 919 25% 7% 79 +0.3 283/353/38710535265120%6%113+0.9
Andrew Benintendi
2018 · MLB
24 51→61 48→55 52→50 54 254/325/405 151284 1516 16% 9% 108 +2.3 258/337/414 156306 1415 19% 10% 115 +2.7 268/340/434166315161319%9%119+3.1
Andrés Giménez
2022 · MLB
23 48→58 48→50 55 40 239/294/384 145300 1523 26% 5% 90 +1.0 262/324/407 145309 1524 20% 5% 108 +2.3 261/323/392131302142718%5%100+1.7
Corey Patterson
2004 · MLB
24 53→54 51→55 57→60 40 265/300/432 166317 1820 22% 4% 105 +2.1 255/299/422 167308 1927 23% 5% 102 +1.8 250/295/411161298193323%5%91+1.1