Joey Loperfido — OGILVIE

Joey LoperfidoLF Houston Astros

Age 27 L/R 6'3" / 220 lbs MLB HR +6% Svc 1.122 · Ctrl thru 2030 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION188 act + 125 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 6988vR 96

AVG/OBP/SLG.229 / .298 / .371

PA125

HR3

K%28

BB%7

BABIP301

ISO141

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

3812.4%

xwOBA

250.279

POWER40

Barrel%

265.1

Avg EV

3988.3

Bat Spd

6072.4

EYE40

Chase%

6928.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

7128.3

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 423 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

350

—

wRC+

101

▶▶R

wOBA

276

318

▶R

ISO

061

154

▶▶R

BABIP

315

386

▶▶R

28.8%

34.0%

◀◀L

BB%

8.2%

4.9%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2024

Service 1.122 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.8M
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$1M		$1M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	87	71	6	3	0	1	6	42	8	1	0	85	235	169	404	85	167	48	7	177	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	87	69	8	4	0	2	8	31	8	1	0	116	282	261	543	145	158	36	9	259	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	2 teams	—	461	410	106	20	3	11	35	153	11	32	11	259	333	402	736	144	378	33	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	2 teams	—	461	392	124	25	4	12	53	101	11	32	11	316	412	492	905	176	394	22	11	398	163	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	3 teams	—	540	490	115	26	3	16	42	165	5	27	4	235	302	398	700	163	317	31	8	302	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	3 teams	—	540	467	130	27	3	25	65	134	5	27	4	278	372	510	882	231	338	25	12	386	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	451	413	90	19	5	16	26	163	8	13	3	218	277	404	682	186	312	36	6	297	85	-7	+1	-0	-5	+13	0.2
2024	25	MLB	2 teams	—	451	405	96	20	5	17	34	148	8	13	3	237	309	437	746	200	325	33	8	327	109	+4	+1	-0	-5	+13	1.4
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	477	434	107	19	1	12	24	125	13	12	3	247	306	378	684	131	319	26	5	300	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	477	425	119	26	1	11	33	107	13	12	3	280	350	424	774	144	351	22	7	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	MLB	HOU	—	188	166	38	10	1	2	19	49	1	3	1	229	312	337	649	108	310	26	10	283	75	-5	+0	-0	-2	+5	-0.2
YTD	27	MLB	HOU	—	188	163	41	11	1	2	21	45	1	3	1	252	339	368	707	117	333	24	11	318	101	+0	+0	-0	-2	+5	0.4
ROS	27	MLB	HOU	100%	125	113	26	5	1	3	9	35	2	4	1	229	298	371	668	141	303	28	7	301	89	-2	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.1
ROS	27	MLB	HOU	100%	125	113	27	6	1	3	9	35	2	4	1	239	306	389	696	150	306	28	7	294	83	-2	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.1
FULL	27	MLB	HOU	—	313	279	65	16	2	5	28	84	3	7	2	233	310	358	668	125	312	27	9	288	78	-8	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.1
TOT	27	MLB	HOU	—	313	279	64	15	2	5	28	84	3	7	2	229	306	351	657	122	307	27	9	290	80	-7	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	HOU	65%	392	354	82	17	2	10	29	111	6	12	3	232	301	376	676	144	301	28	7	299	87	-6	+1	+1	-4	+11	0.3
2027	28	MLB	HOU	65%	255	230	52	11	1	6	19	72	4	8	2	226	296	361	657	135	304	28	7	291	81	-5	+1	+0	-3	+7	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	746	682	163	34	6	17	45	229	13	17	7	239	299	381	680	142	333	31	6	299	87	-11	+1	-0	-14	+21	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	142	30	5	15	39	200	11	15	6	239	298	382	680	143	332	31	6	299	87	-10	+1	-0	-12	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	2533	2285	532	109	15	69	171	794	53	101	25	233	301	384	685	151	322	31	7	299	87	-37	+10	-0	-27	+72	1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	137	28	4	18	44	204	14	26	6	234	303	387	690	154	323	31	7	299	87	-10	+3	-0	-7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	87	69	8	4	0	2	8	31	8	1	0	116	282	261	543	145	158	36	9	259	57	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2022	23	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	113	96	34	8	1	3	13	25	2	2	2	354	441	552	994	198	443	22	12	430	187	+11	-0	—	—	+3	1.4
2022	23	A	Fayetteville Woodpeckers	—	348	296	90	17	3	9	40	76	9	30	9	304	403	473	876	169	379	22	11	388	155	+22	+2	—	—	+10	3.5
2023	24	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	138	119	28	5	0	5	16	45	2	4	1	235	336	403	739	168	329	33	12	332	112	+2	+0	—	—	+4	0.6
2023	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	365	314	93	20	1	19	47	81	3	20	3	296	393	548	941	252	344	22	13	410	172	+30	+3	—	—	+10	4.4
2023	24	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	37	34	9	2	2	1	2	8	0	3	0	265	306	529	835	265	308	22	5	348	125	+1	+1	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	25	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	262	243	52	13	4	4	13	95	4	4	2	214	265	350	615	136	331	36	5	273	67	-10	+0	-0	-5	+7	-0.7
2024	25	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	189	162	44	7	1	13	21	53	4	9	1	272	369	568	937	296	316	28	11	402	166	+14	+1	—	—	+5	2.1
2025	26	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	104	96	32	4	0	4	4	27	3	1	2	333	379	500	879	167	431	26	4	386	154	+6	-1	-1	-5	+3	0.3
2025	26	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	373	329	87	22	1	7	29	80	10	11	1	264	342	401	744	137	329	21	8	331	112	+5	+2	—	—	+11	1.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	366	339	84	17	4	8	17	122	7	5	4	248	298	392	690	145	362	33	5	305	92	-3	-1	-1	-10	+10	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Chris Woodwardlast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,835 PA	9	1,835	33	9	242	299	370	+2	-0	2.2	2.7
	/162	664	12	3	242	299	370	+0.6	-0.0	0.8	pk7: 3
#3Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#4John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#5John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	7	1,560	54	2	243	309	416	-15	-16	1.6	1.6
#5John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	/162	664	23	1	243	309	416	-6.5	-6.7	0.7	pk7: 2
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#6Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	888	20	20	236	296	378	-10	-4	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	15	15	236	296	378	-7.1	-2.6	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joey Loperfido (OGILVIE)	27	40	40	60	40	229/306/351	122	307	5	7	27%	9%	80	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Mitch Longo 2022 · AAA	27	46→43	50	59→50	40	235/283/388	154	300	17	22	28%	6%	85	+0.7	225/272/372	147	297	17	14	29%	5%	77	+0.1	184/222/324	140	233	19	3	31%	4%	40	-0.6
✕George Lombard 2003 · MLB	27	47→44	45→50	58→55	44	232/292/362	130	311	12	23	28%	8%	82	+0.5	233/294/379	146	307	15	19	28%	7%	88	+0.9	220/293/373	153	305	17	27	32%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Jason Conti 2002 · MLB	27	49→41	47→45	56→50	46	237/304/380	143	315	13	13	28%	8%	92	+1.2	239/298/371	132	310	11	9	25%	7%	87	+0.8	220/270/333	113	288	10	6	27%	6%	63	-0.4
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	41	47→40	57→55	48	204/301/338	134	290	15	26	32%	10%	82	+0.5	218/311/327	109	288	9	16	25%	10%	82	+0.5	212/323/302	89	272	5	13	21%	12%	80	+0.2
✕Ryan Boldt 2022 · AAA	27	48	47→50	55	40	236/289/376	140	333	15	16	32%	6%	85	+0.7	218/267/341	123	312	13	15	33%	5%	67	-0.5	191/238/291	100	276	12	15	34%	4%	37	-1.2
✕Luis González 2023 · MLB	27	49→52	46→45	52→50	49	242/315/369	128	306	14	18	25%	9%	95	+1.4	239/311/356	117	315	10	17	25%	8%	89	+1.0	225/307/310	85	284	4	28	20%	9%	73	-0.0
✕Bradley Zimmer 2020 · MLB	27	50→51	47→50	58→60	40	239/296/381	143	343	14	23	33%	7%	89	+1.0	224/319/350	126	332	14	20	34%	8%	93	+1.3	193/288/298	105	316	12	27	39%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Hoy Park 2023 · MLB	27	41→49	47→45	53→55	48	209/284/337	128	275	15	16	29%	9%	73	-0.1	224/308/335	111	306	11	17	28%	10%	82	+0.5	227/321/326	100	311	9	19	27%	11%	83	+0.4
✕Thomas Milone 2022 · AAA	27	51→44	45	52→55	44	243/305/377	134	339	12	18	30%	8%	92	+1.2	219/288/341	122	342	12	15	36%	8%	76	+0.0	199/274/311	112	322	11	15	38%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Clete Thomas 2011 · MLB	27	47→52	46→50	58→55	48	226/303/363	137	309	12	26	29%	9%	88	+0.9	214/268/356	142	303	16	19	33%	6%	71	-0.3	209/265/341	133	277	13	14	28%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Matt Long 2014 · AAA	27	46→53	47→50	54→55	46	229/287/369	140	287	14	19	25%	7%	82	+0.5	204/258/312	108	272	10	17	27%	7%	55	-1.4	187/241/280	93	250	9	18	28%	7%	39	-2.1
✕J.P. Martínez 2023 · AAA	27	45→44	48→50	63→65	43	215/292/362	146	324	15	31	36%	9%	83	+0.6	213/293/343	130	319	12	37	34%	9%	79	+0.3	204/289/324	120	306	11	45	34%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Phillip Ervin 2019 · MLB	27	46→50	47→50	54→55	46	227/294/362	135	282	14	23	24%	7%	84	+0.6	225/296/365	140	291	14	15	26%	8%	85	+0.7	214/283/361	147	278	16	16	28%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2022 · AAA	26	45	46→45	55→65	43	216/291/340	124	330	15	25	36%	9%	77	+0.1	221/296/343	122	326	14	24	34%	9%	80	+0.4	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Jordan Danks 2014 · MLB	27	49	48→50	51→50	47	241/311/380	139	325	15	14	29%	9%	95	+1.4	229/288/344	115	324	13	9	31%	7%	76	+0.1	223/279/323	100	318	12	7	32%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Scott Cousins 2012 · MLB	27	47→51	47→50	53→55	44	233/283/374	141	291	14	15	25%	6%	82	+0.5	224/277/335	111	302	10	17	28%	6%	69	-0.4	220/272/320	101	299	8	20	28%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Kyle Isbel 2023 · MLB	26	45→53	47→50	53→55	44	225/286/367	142	286	14	19	26%	6%	82	+0.5	237/289/375	138	287	12	14	21%	6%	85	+0.7	242/292/371	130	288	10	11	19%	6%	83	+0.4
✕Jeff Duncan 2006 · MLB	27	45→46	42→45	53→60	46	219/283/325	106	289	9	15	26%	8%	69	-0.4	233/299/319	86	303	8	21	24%	7%	74	-0.1	238/309/298	60	308	6	28	23%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	42→45	48→45	53→55	48	215/291/358	143	260	16	16	24%	8%	82	+0.5	217/288/337	120	273	13	24	24%	8%	76	+0.0	211/282/316	105	266	12	28	24%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Max Schuemann 2023 · AAA	26	46→47	46→45	59→60	46	223/313/356	133	303	14	29	29%	9%	92	+1.2	222/312/331	109	296	11	21	26%	10%	85	+0.7	215/311/310	95	283	9	20	25%	10%	77	+0.1