Dustin Harris — OGILVIE

Dustin HarrisLF Charlotte Knights

Age 27 L/R 6'2" / 185 lbs AAA BB +6%HR -6% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030 peak 1.0 · 2027

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.242 / .312 / .401

PA250

HR8

SB16

K%25

BB%8

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

60→60

PWR

50→50

SPD

60→60

EYE

47↗50

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.1peak

2027

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2027

DEF 10%

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.5	$2M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.0	$8M	+$7M
2028	Arb-1	$2M	+0.9	$4M	+$2M
2029	Arb-2	$3M	+0.7	$3M	+$0.5M
2030	Arb-3	$3M	+0.4	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$19M	+$12M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	20	ROK	AZL Athletics Green	140	131	32	7	1	1	8	29	1	9	4	.244	.293	.336	.629	.092	.307	21	6	.272	66	-5	+0	+0	-2	+4	-0.3
2021	22	A	2 teams	466	420	116	16	3	19	31	98	8	25	2	.276	.338	.464	.802	.188	.313	21	7	.341	119	+10	+4	+0	-5	+13	2.3
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	382	344	74	12	2	17	29	95	5	19	5	.215	.286	.410	.696	.195	.242	25	8	.300	88	-5	+2	+0	-4	+11	0.3
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	566	497	101	21	6	11	58	168	8	41	5	.203	.297	.336	.633	.133	.280	30	10	.281	74	-17	+6	+0	-6	+16	-0.1
2024	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	564	508	116	18	2	9	39	148	8	35	10	.228	.294	.325	.618	.096	.299	26	7	.273	67	-21	+3	+0	-6	+16	-0.8
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	468	424	98	20	2	11	35	100	6	34	5	.231	.299	.366	.664	.134	.277	21	7	.289	79	-11	+5	+0	-5	+13	0.2
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	27	MLB	3 teams	71	59	12	3	0	0	10	12	2	5	0	.203	.338	.254	.592	.051	.255	17	14	.287	78	-2	+1	+1	-1	+2	0.1
ROS	27	MLB	CWS	179	158	38	7	1	5	16	42	3	11	2	.241	.322	.392	.714	.152	.292	23	9	.316	100	+0	+1	-1	-2	+5	0.4
TOT	27	MLB	CWS	250	217	50	10	1	5	26	54	5	16	2	.230	.327	.355	.681	.124	.283	22	10	.308	94	-2	+2	+0	-3	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	28	MLB 20%	CWS	392	347	84	15	2	11	36	84	6	23	4	.242	.324	.392	.716	.150	.285	21	9	.319	103	+1	+3	-2	-4	+11	0.9
2028	29	MLB 33%	CWS	390	345	84	15	2	11	36	85	6	22	3	.243	.326	.394	.720	.151	.285	22	9	.318	101	+1	+3	-3	-4	+11	0.8
2029	30	MLB 43%	CWS	388	344	82	15	1	11	35	86	6	21	3	.238	.319	.384	.703	.145	.285	22	9	.315	99	-0	+3	-4	-4	+11	0.6
2030	31	MLB 52%	CWS	373	331	78	14	1	10	34	84	5	18	2	.236	.316	.375	.691	.139	.284	23	9	.312	97	-1	+3	-4	-4	+11	0.4
2031	32	MLB 64%	CWS	354	314	73	13	1	9	32	82	5	16	2	.232	.313	.366	.680	.134	.283	23	9	.307	93	-3	+2	-5	-4	+10	0.1
2032	33	MLB 73%	CWS	324	288	65	11	1	8	29	77	4	13	1	.226	.305	.354	.659	.128	.281	24	9	.301	88	-4	+2	-5	-3	+9	-0.2
2033	34	MLB 81%	CWS	280	249	55	9	1	6	25	69	4	11	1	.221	.302	.337	.640	.116	.280	25	9	.294	83	-5	+2	-6	-3	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5266	4700	1096	193	26	139	443	1247	75	298	49	.233	.309	.374	.683	.141	.286	24	8	.303	90	-61	+40	-29	-56	+149	4.3
/ 162G	—			650	580	135	24	3	17	55	154	9	37	6	.233	.309	.372	.681	.140	.286	24	8	.303	90	-8	+5	-4	-7	+18	0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	20	ROK	AZL Athletics Green	140	125	41	10	1	1	14	20	1	9	4	.328	.400	.448	.848	.120	.385	14	10	.381	149	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2021	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	160	145	54	10	0	10	13	25	1	5	1	.372	.428	.648	1.076	.276	.396	16	8	.464	213	+20	+1	—	—	+5	2.6
2021	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	306	259	78	11	3	10	34	48	7	20	1	.301	.397	.483	.879	.181	.329	16	11	.384	152	+18	+4	—	—	+9	3.1
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	382	331	85	16	2	17	42	74	5	19	5	.257	.349	.471	.821	.215	.279	19	11	.360	133	+14	+2	—	—	+11	2.8
2023	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	288	242	66	11	3	9	40	63	4	17	3	.273	.385	.455	.839	.182	.331	22	14	.373	144	+14	+2	—	—	+8	2.5
2023	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	278	229	56	14	4	5	44	65	4	24	2	.245	.375	.406	.782	.162	.319	23	16	.354	129	+9	+4	—	—	+8	2.1
2024	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	564	486	132	22	3	10	61	123	8	35	10	.272	.362	.391	.753	.119	.339	22	11	.337	116	+10	+3	—	—	+16	3.0
2025	26	MLB	Texas Rangers	43	40	8	3	0	1	3	13	0	1	1	.200	.256	.350	.606	.150	.269	30	7	.271	65	-2	-0	+0	-5	+1	-0.6
2025	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	425	372	106	19	2	11	44	74	6	33	4	.285	.370	.435	.805	.151	.330	17	10	.359	133	+16	+5	—	—	+12	3.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			43	40	8	3	0	1	3	13	0	1	1	.200	.256	.350	.606	.150	.269	30	7	.271	65	-2	-0	+0	-5	+1	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dustin Harris (OGILVIE)	27	60	50	60	50	.239/.320/.393	.154	.287	8	15	23%	9%	104	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake McCarthy 2023 · MLB	26	51→60	49→50	62→60	45	.251/.315/.410	.159	.320	16	32	26%	7%	105	+2.1	.258/.320/.384	.126	.310	11	32	20%	7%	100	+1.7	.252/.316/.362	.110	.298	9	32	18%	6%	89	+0.8
✕Eric Patterson 2010 · MLB	27	50→56	44→50	61→60	47	.245/.298/.372	.128	.299	11	30	22%	7%	87	+0.8	.223/.281/.354	.131	.284	11	28	24%	7%	76	+0.0	.201/.266/.320	.119	.261	9	26	26%	8%	58	-0.5
●Nate McLouth 2008 · MLB	26	51→55	49→60	59→60	49	.252/.320/.406	.154	.289	15	27	19%	7%	106	+2.2	.254/.339/.443	.189	.278	20	20	17%	10%	124	+3.4	.244/.335/.425	.181	.264	20	19	16%	10%	112	+2.4
✕Chris Dickerson 2009 · MLB	27	50→55	49→50	59→60	44	.238/.308/.394	.157	.343	15	25	33%	8%	98	+1.6	.251/.326/.378	.127	.351	10	26	28%	10%	101	+1.8	.246/.321/.390	.144	.339	13	22	29%	9%	100	+1.0
✕Roger Bernadina 2011 · MLB	27	55→64	45	59→60	48	.266/.322/.395	.130	.323	12	26	21%	7%	103	+1.9	.242/.306/.370	.128	.296	13	26	22%	7%	91	+1.1	.228/.296/.347	.119	.323	12	20	31%	8%	78	+0.1
●Scott Podsednik 2004 · MLB	28	60→65	44→45	61→65	55	.291/.358/.422	.131	.332	10	33	15%	9%	125	+3.5	.267/.333/.374	.107	.308	7	48	15%	9%	102	+1.9	.287/.340/.379	.092	.327	6	34	13%	7%	102	+1.5
✕Flavio Romero 2007 · AAA	27	51→57	45	54→60	53	.248/.324/.367	.119	.293	12	31	20%	9%	98	+1.6	.237/.324/.332	.095	.292	8	24	20%	11%	89	+0.9	.240/.335/.317	.078	.296	5	20	19%	12%	88	+0.6
✕Josh Rojas 2021 · MLB	27	47→55	47→50	54→55	50	.232/.300/.371	.140	.278	13	25	22%	8%	89	+0.9	.252/.325/.380	.128	.318	12	17	23%	10%	101	+1.8	.254/.328/.372	.118	.320	10	18	22%	10%	95	+1.1
✕Desmond Jennings 2014 · MLB	27	51→59	49→50	58→60	53	.253/.329/.406	.154	.299	15	25	20%	9%	109	+2.4	.243/.316/.384	.141	.292	13	17	20%	9%	98	+1.6	.233/.306/.368	.136	.280	13	15	21%	9%	86	+0.4
✕Drew Stubbs 2012 · MLB	27	50→57	46→50	59→60	47	.243/.314/.372	.130	.326	14	33	28%	9%	95	+1.4	.232/.300/.361	.129	.321	14	28	30%	8%	85	+0.7	.235/.305/.374	.139	.336	14	24	32%	9%	88	+0.6
✕Corey Patterson 2007 · MLB	27	49→55	51→55	59→60	43	.251/.295/.412	.161	.296	19	32	22%	5%	97	+1.5	.242/.279/.376	.134	.277	14	33	18%	4%	80	+0.4	.237/.273/.360	.123	.296	11	28	23%	4%	70	-0.2
✕Roger Cedeno 2001 · MLB	26	54→60	46→45	58→65	62	.266/.359/.395	.129	.302	13	34	16%	13%	119	+3.1	.272/.330/.377	.105	.316	9	37	16%	8%	102	+1.8	.270/.323/.368	.099	.314	7	34	16%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Jake Fraley 2022 · MLB	27	46	53→55	53→55	51	.234/.321/.411	.177	.299	21	21	28%	10%	108	+2.3	.248/.334/.408	.160	.301	20	21	23%	11%	113	+2.6	.257/.332/.404	.146	.303	17	26	20%	9%	104	+1.2
●Jonathan Villar 2018 · MLB	27	54→58	47→50	59→65	48	.260/.325/.400	.140	.347	14	41	28%	9%	106	+2.2	.263/.327/.404	.141	.344	16	35	26%	8%	108	+2.3	.257/.327/.411	.153	.327	18	29	25%	9%	107	+1.7
●Will Venable 2012 · MLB	29	48→56	51→55	61→60	47	.241/.308/.410	.169	.303	18	26	26%	8%	102	+1.9	.250/.311/.412	.162	.306	16	26	23%	8%	104	+2.0	.247/.307/.401	.154	.299	16	24	22%	7%	93	+1.0
●Cameron Maybin 2014 · MLB	27	50→59	45→50	58→55	50	.244/.307/.369	.125	.291	12	29	20%	8%	91	+1.1	.246/.308/.356	.110	.297	10	19	19%	8%	88	+0.9	.257/.331/.375	.118	.309	11	30	19%	9%	99	+1.4
●Jason Kipnis 2014 · MLB	27	54→60	48→55	58→55	54	.263/.339/.415	.152	.312	14	24	20%	10%	115	+2.8	.264/.338/.398	.134	.317	11	19	19%	9%	111	+2.5	.258/.327/.418	.161	.303	15	11	19%	8%	105	+2.0
✕Cedric Mullins 2022 · MLB	27	49→56	50→55	57→60	49	.249/.310/.408	.159	.285	17	25	20%	7%	102	+1.9	.251/.316/.417	.166	.291	18	27	20%	8%	107	+2.2	.237/.305/.396	.159	.274	18	31	20%	8%	94	+1.2
✕Kevin Thompson 2007 · MLB	27	50→53	46→50	56→60	49	.244/.311/.388	.144	.294	12	25	21%	8%	98	+1.6	.236/.300/.359	.123	.292	10	28	21%	8%	85	+0.7	.238/.305/.351	.112	.298	8	38	21%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Tyler Greene 2012 · MLB	28	49→51	48→50	59→55	44	.239/.309/.382	.143	.320	15	26	29%	7%	95	+1.4	.231/.286/.369	.138	.322	14	19	31%	6%	82	+0.5	.224/.268/.346	.121	.323	11	13	33%	5%	64	-0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)