Dustin Harris — OGILVIE

Dustin HarrisLF El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 27 L/R 6'2" / 185 lbs MLB HR -7% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION438 act + 262 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†102

AVG/OBP/SLG.248 / .323 / .402

PA262

HR8

SB15

K%23

BB%8

BABIP298

ISO154

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

906.0%

xwOBA

150.268

POWER50

Barrel%

101.6

Avg EV

1079.3

Bat Spd

1067.0

EYE50

Chase%

9018.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

7928.6

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.3M	+0.6	$2M	+$2M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$13M	+$13M
2028	Arb-1	$4M	+1.6	$11M	+$8M
2029	Arb-2	$5M	+1.4	$9M	+$5M
2030	Arb-3	$6M	+1.0	$6M	+$2M
Totals		$15M		$42M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	20	ROK	AZL Athletics Green	—	140	131	32	7	1	1	8	29	1	9	4	244	293	336	629	92	307	21	6	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK	AZL Athletics Green	—	140	125	41	10	1	1	14	20	1	9	4	328	400	448	848	120	385	14	10	381	149	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	466	420	113	16	2	19	31	97	8	25	2	269	331	452	784	183	302	21	7	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A	2 teams	—	466	404	132	21	3	20	47	73	8	25	2	327	407	542	949	215	352	16	10	411	173	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	382	345	77	12	2	19	28	94	5	19	5	223	291	435	726	212	246	25	7	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	382	331	85	16	2	17	42	74	5	19	5	257	349	471	821	215	279	19	11	360	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	566	497	103	23	6	11	58	170	8	41	5	207	300	344	644	137	288	30	10	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA	2 teams	—	566	471	122	25	7	14	84	128	8	41	5	259	380	431	811	172	325	23	15	364	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	564	510	121	19	2	10	37	139	8	35	10	237	299	341	640	104	302	25	7	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	564	486	132	22	3	10	61	123	8	35	10	272	362	391	753	119	339	22	11	337	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	468	423	100	23	2	12	36	95	6	34	5	236	305	385	691	149	278	20	8	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	2 teams	—	468	412	114	22	2	12	47	87	6	34	5	277	359	427	786	150	325	19	10	351	127	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	SD	—	438	384	96	11	4	10	37	96	9	24	8	250	330	378	708	128	304	22	8	311	96	-2	+2	+1	-5	+12	0.8
YTD	27	AAA	SD	—	438	372	111	14	5	12	49	79	9	24	8	298	393	460	853	161	346	18	11	375	145	+22	+2	+1	-5	+12	3.3
ROS	27	AAA	SD	100%	262	234	58	8	2	8	21	59	5	15	4	248	323	402	725	154	295	23	8	319	102	+1	+1	+0	-3	+7	0.7
ROS	27	MLB	SD	100%	262	234	57	8	2	7	21	59	5	15	4	244	319	385	704	141	291	23	8	302	89	-3	+1	+0	-3	+7	0.3
FULL	27	AAA	SD	—	700	618	153	19	6	17	58	155	14	39	12	248	326	380	706	133	301	22	8	308	94	-5	+3	+1	-7	+20	1.1
TOT	27	AAA	SD	—	700	618	154	19	6	18	58	155	14	39	12	249	328	387	714	138	302	22	8	314	98	-1	+3	+1	-7	+20	1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	SD	92%	660	590	145	21	5	19	54	150	11	33	9	246	321	395	716	149	296	23	8	319	102	+2	+3	+0	-7	+19	1.7
2028	29	MLB	SD	92%	660	590	143	21	4	19	55	152	10	31	8	242	318	388	706	146	295	23	8	317	101	+1	+3	-0	-7	+19	1.5
2029	30	MLB	SD	92%	660	590	142	21	4	18	55	153	10	28	7	241	316	381	697	141	293	23	8	314	99	-1	+3	-1	-7	+19	1.3
2030	31	MLB	SD	92%	660	590	141	21	4	18	55	155	10	24	6	239	315	380	694	141	291	23	8	310	96	-3	+2	-2	-7	+19	0.9
2031	32	MLB	SD	92%	651	582	137	20	4	17	54	155	10	20	5	235	311	371	682	136	287	24	8	304	91	-7	+2	-3	-7	+18	0.4
2032	33	MLB	SD	92%	561	502	114	16	3	14	46	137	8	13	3	227	302	355	657	127	282	24	8	296	85	-10	+1	-3	-6	+16	-0.2
2027	28	MLB	SD	92%	607	542	131	19	4	17	50	138	10	31	8	242	317	386	703	144	292	23	8	303	90	-7	+3	+0	-7	+17	0.7
2028	29	MLB	SD	92%	607	541	131	19	4	17	51	139	10	29	7	242	319	386	705	144	291	23	8	301	89	-8	+3	-0	-7	+17	0.6
2029	30	MLB	SD	92%	607	542	129	19	4	16	51	141	9	26	7	238	314	376	690	138	290	23	8	299	87	-9	+2	-1	-7	+17	0.3
2030	31	MLB	SD	92%	607	542	128	19	4	16	51	143	9	22	6	236	312	375	687	138	287	24	8	295	84	-11	+2	-2	-7	+17	-0.0
2031	32	MLB	SD	92%	599	535	123	18	3	15	50	143	9	18	5	230	306	359	665	129	283	24	8	289	79	-14	+2	-2	-6	+17	-0.4
2032	33	MLB	SD	92%	516	460	103	14	3	12	43	126	8	12	3	224	301	346	647	122	279	24	8	282	74	-15	+1	-3	-6	+15	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3848	3436	810	119	24	101	320	902	60	154	41	236	312	373	684	137	289	23	8	295	84	-69	+14	-8	-46	+109	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	137	20	4	17	54	152	10	26	7	236	312	372	684	136	290	23	8	295	84	-12	+2	-1	-8	+18	0.0
Career	—			—	6700	6004	1426	228	41	185	538	1585	100	327	73	238	311	382	692	144	290	24	8	306	93	-55	+36	-9	-72	+190	9.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	138	22	4	18	52	154	10	32	7	237	311	381	692	144	290	24	8	306	93	-5	+4	-1	-7	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	20	ROK	AZL Athletics Green	—	140	125	41	10	1	1	14	20	1	9	4	328	400	448	848	120	385	14	10	381	149	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2021	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	160	145	54	10	0	10	13	25	1	5	1	372	428	648	1.076	276	396	16	8	464	213	+20	+1	—	—	+5	2.6
2021	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	306	259	78	11	3	10	34	48	7	20	1	301	397	483	879	181	329	16	11	384	152	+18	+4	—	—	+9	3.1
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	382	331	85	16	2	17	42	74	5	19	5	257	349	471	821	215	279	19	11	360	133	+14	+2	—	—	+11	2.8
2023	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	288	242	66	11	3	9	40	63	4	17	3	273	385	455	839	182	331	22	14	373	144	+14	+2	—	—	+8	2.5
2023	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	278	229	56	14	4	5	44	65	4	24	2	245	375	406	782	162	319	23	16	354	129	+9	+4	—	—	+8	2.1
2024	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	564	486	132	22	3	10	61	123	8	35	10	272	362	391	753	119	339	22	11	337	116	+10	+3	—	—	+16	3.0
2025	26	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	43	40	8	3	0	1	3	13	0	1	1	200	256	350	606	150	269	30	7	271	65	-2	-0	+0	-5	+1	-0.6
2025	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	425	372	106	19	2	11	44	74	6	33	4	285	370	435	805	151	330	17	10	359	133	+16	+5	—	—	+12	3.4
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	43	40	8	3	0	1	3	13	0	1	1	200	256	350	606	150	269	30	7	271	65	-2	-0	+0	-5	+1	-0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	6	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
	/162	664	16	27	245	323	394	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,876	106	158	240	312	381	-42	+4	5.6	5.7
	/162	664	18	27	240	312	381	-7.1	+0.7	1.0	pk7: 6
#3Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#3Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dustin Harris (OGILVIE)	27	60	50	60	50	249/328/387	138	302	18	39	22%	8%	98	+1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jake McCarthy 2023 · MLB	26	51→59	49→50	62→60	46	251/315/408	156	318	15	33	25%	7%	105	+2.1	257/320/382	125	308	11	32	19%	7%	99	+1.7	263/323/401	137	306	11	27	17%	6%	102	+1.3
✕Eric Patterson 2010 · MLB	27	50→55	44→50	62→60	47	245/299/374	129	301	11	32	22%	7%	88	+0.9	218/277/348	130	280	11	27	25%	7%	72	-0.2	195/260/315	121	257	9	26	27%	8%	55	-0.6
✕Flavio Romero 2007 · AAA	27	50→57	44→45	55→60	53	245/323/359	114	293	12	31	20%	9%	95	+1.4	236/324/329	93	292	7	23	20%	11%	88	+0.9	240/335/317	78	296	5	20	19%	12%	88	+0.6
✕Drew Stubbs 2012 · MLB	27	50→51	47→50	59→60	47	242/315/376	134	325	15	33	29%	9%	96	+1.5	229/296/359	130	316	15	27	30%	8%	84	+0.6	227/297/360	133	323	13	24	32%	9%	81	+0.3
●Desmond Jennings 2013 · MLB	26	49→59	48→50	62→60	50	243/315/390	147	288	15	31	21%	8%	100	+1.7	242/316/389	147	288	14	20	20%	9%	100	+1.7	240/318/381	142	284	12	19	19%	9%	97	+1.1
●Nate McLouth 2008 · MLB	26	50→55	50→60	60	50	251/323/413	162	289	16	27	19%	8%	109	+2.4	253/338/441	188	277	20	20	16%	10%	123	+3.3	244/335/426	182	264	20	19	16%	10%	111	+2.4
✕Chris Dickerson 2009 · MLB	27	51→55	49→50	59→60	45	241/312/399	158	346	15	26	33%	9%	101	+1.8	251/325/374	123	352	10	26	28%	10%	99	+1.7	241/318/390	149	333	14	22	30%	9%	99	+0.9
●Jonathan Villar 2019 · MLB	28	53→60	48→50	59→65	47	260/324/398	138	341	16	37	27%	8%	105	+2.1	254/320/400	146	326	17	30	26%	9%	105	+2.1	252/322/404	151	319	18	29	25%	9%	103	+1.5
●Cameron Maybin 2014 · MLB	27	49→59	46→50	57→55	50	243/308/374	131	289	13	28	20%	8%	92	+1.2	252/314/365	113	305	10	18	19%	8%	92	+1.2	259/332/373	114	311	10	30	19%	9%	99	+1.4
✕Cedric Mullins 2022 · MLB	27	50→54	53→55	57→60	49	255/318/432	178	288	20	25	20%	8%	112	+2.6	244/310/405	161	282	18	27	20%	8%	102	+1.8	231/299/380	150	267	17	31	20%	8%	88	+0.8
✕Josh Rojas 2021 · MLB	27	46→54	46→50	54→55	50	229/298/365	136	276	13	24	22%	8%	86	+0.8	249/323/375	126	316	11	17	23%	10%	98	+1.6	251/325/369	118	318	10	18	23%	10%	95	+1.2
✕Roger Cedeno 2001 · MLB	26	55→60	46→45	59→65	63	267/361/395	128	304	13	36	16%	13%	120	+3.1	271/328/376	105	315	8	36	16%	8%	100	+1.7	270/323/368	99	314	7	34	16%	7%	92	+1.1
✕Corey Patterson 2008 · MLB	28	51→54	47→55	61→60	44	255/294/391	136	287	14	39	17%	5%	91	+1.1	235/271/365	130	277	13	28	20%	4%	74	-0.1	236/273/356	120	296	11	28	23%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Roger Bernadina 2011 · MLB	27	53→63	46→45	58→60	48	259/317/390	131	311	13	25	21%	7%	100	+1.7	241/306/369	128	295	14	25	22%	8%	90	+1.0	231/300/351	120	288	13	28	23%	7%	79	+0.2
●Scott Podsednik 2004 · MLB	28	61→65	44→45	61→65	55	294/360/424	130	335	10	34	15%	9%	126	+3.5	266/332/371	105	308	7	48	15%	8%	101	+1.8	290/343/382	92	331	6	34	13%	7%	105	+1.7
●B.J. Upton 2012 · MLB	27	47→57	53→60	58→60	53	240/323/421	181	297	19	34	26%	11%	111	+2.5	224/296/392	168	290	20	24	28%	9%	92	+1.2	226/293/371	145	300	16	25	29%	8%	81	+0.3
✕Leonys Martin 2014 · MLB	26	53→56	47→50	58→60	45	259/310/403	144	304	13	31	20%	6%	101	+1.8	250/302/363	113	307	11	28	21%	7%	87	+0.8	246/302/391	145	311	16	24	25%	7%	91	+0.9
✕Roman Quinn 2020 · MLB	27	50→53	46→45	63→65	45	243/302/380	138	325	13	32	28%	8%	91	+1.1	227/299/359	132	324	12	30	31%	8%	85	+0.7	178/270/282	103	310	9	41	41%	9%	52	-0.4
●Jason Kipnis 2014 · MLB	27	53→63	48→55	57→55	55	262/340/413	151	311	15	24	20%	10%	116	+2.8	268/340/409	141	321	12	18	19%	9%	115	+2.7	267/336/438	171	315	15	11	19%	8%	117	+2.8
✕Kevin Thompson 2006 · AAA	26	51→52	47→50	57→60	49	248/320/397	149	309	13	29	23%	8%	104	+2.0	239/304/371	132	293	11	27	21%	8%	90	+1.0	237/302/360	123	287	10	31	20%	8%	82	+0.3