Dustin Harris — OGILVIE

Dustin HarrisLF El Paso Chihuahuas

Age 27 L/R 6'2" / 185 lbs MLB HR +5% Svc 1.000 · Ctrl thru 2030

2026 ROS PROJECTION409 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†106

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .300 / .222

PA10

HR0

K%20

BB%10

BABIP297

ISO161

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$18M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

904.4%

xAVG

350.239

POWER50

Barrel%

102.0

Avg EV

1081.7

Bat Spd

1067.0

EYE50

Chase%

9013.0%

SPEED60

Sprint

8428.8

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%19%▲▲13% over 39 PA (60d) · proj 23%

BB%7%▼5% over 39 PA (60d) · proj 8%

ISO.148▼.086 over 35 AB (60d) · proj .162

HR/BB3.8%▼0.0% over 31 BBE (60d) · proj 4.9%

BABIP.293·.387 over 31 BIP (60d) · proj .289

SLASH.254/.315/.402·proj .242/.309/.404

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 1.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2030

First FA Year 2031

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.3M
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.4	$10M	+$10M
2028	Arb-1	$4M	+1.2	$8M	+$5M
2029	Arb-2	$6M	+1.0	$6M	+$2M
2030	Arb-3	$7M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$10M		$27M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	20	ROK	AZL Athletics Green	—	140	125	41	10	1	1	14	20	1	9	4	328	400	448	848	120	385	14	10	381	144	+7	+0	—	—	+3	1.1
2021	22	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	160	145	54	10	0	10	13	25	1	5	1	372	428	648	1.076	276	396	16	8	464	200	+19	+1	—	—	+3	2.4
2021	22	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	306	259	78	11	3	10	34	48	7	20	1	301	397	483	879	181	329	16	11	384	146	+17	+4	—	—	+7	2.8
2022	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	382	331	85	16	2	17	42	74	5	19	5	257	349	471	821	215	279	19	11	360	130	+13	+2	—	—	+8	2.4
2023	24	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	288	242	66	11	3	9	40	63	4	17	3	273	385	455	839	182	331	22	14	373	139	+13	+2	—	—	+6	2.2
2023	24	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	278	229	56	14	4	5	44	65	4	24	2	245	375	406	782	162	319	23	16	354	126	+8	+4	—	—	+6	1.9
2024	25	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	564	486	132	22	3	10	61	123	8	35	10	272	362	391	753	119	339	22	11	337	114	+10	+3	—	—	+12	2.5
2025	26	MLB	Texas Rangers	—	43	40	8	3	0	1	3	13	0	1	1	200	256	350	606	150	269	30	7	271	69	-2	-0	+0	-5	+1	-0.6
2025	26	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	425	372	106	19	2	11	44	74	6	33	4	285	370	435	805	151	330	17	10	359	129	+15	+5	—	—	+9	3.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	43	40	8	3	0	1	3	13	0	1	1	200	256	350	606	150	269	30	7	271	69	-2	-0	+0	-5	+1	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics Green	—	140	131	32	7	1	1	8	29	1	9	4	244	293	336	629	92	304	21	6	272	70	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2021	22	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	160	148	46	7	0	9	10	34	1	5	1	311	358	541	899	230	346	21	6	383	145	+9	+1	—	—	+3	1.3
2021	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	306	271	68	9	3	8	22	64	7	20	1	251	323	395	718	144	279	21	7	309	95	-2	+4	—	—	+7	0.9
2022	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	382	344	75	13	2	15	29	89	5	19	5	218	288	398	687	180	241	23	8	294	85	-7	+2	—	—	+8	0.3
2023	24	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	288	254	53	8	2	7	28	84	4	17	3	209	297	339	636	130	275	29	10	281	76	-8	+2	—	—	+6	0.0
2023	24	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	278	244	49	13	3	4	29	79	4	24	2	201	296	328	624	127	280	28	10	285	79	-7	+4	—	—	+6	0.3
2024	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	564	508	116	18	2	9	39	148	8	35	10	228	294	325	618	96	290	26	7	274	72	-19	+3	—	—	+12	-0.4
2025	26	MLB MLE	Texas Rangers	—	43	40	8	3	0	1	3	13	0	1	1	200	256	350	606	150	269	30	7	262	64	-2	-0	+0	-5	+1	-0.6
2025	26	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	425	384	89	17	2	9	32	88	6	33	4	232	301	357	658	125	273	21	8	289	82	-9	+5	—	—	+9	0.5
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics Green	—	140	131	32	7	1	1	8	29	1	9	4	244	293	336	629	92	307	21	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	AZL Athletics Green	—	140	125	41	10	1	1	14	20	1	9	4	328	400	448	848	120	385	14	10	381	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	466	420	114	16	3	17	31	98	8	25	2	271	333	445	779	174	311	21	7	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	466	404	132	21	3	20	47	73	8	25	2	327	407	542	949	215	352	16	10	411	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	382	344	75	13	2	15	29	89	5	19	5	218	288	398	687	180	246	23	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Frisco RoughRiders	—	382	331	85	16	2	17	42	74	5	19	5	257	349	471	821	215	279	19	11	360	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	566	498	103	21	6	11	57	163	8	41	5	207	298	339	638	133	281	29	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	566	471	122	25	7	14	84	128	8	41	5	259	380	431	811	172	325	23	15	364	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	564	508	116	18	2	9	39	148	8	35	10	228	294	325	618	96	299	26	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	Round Rock Express	—	564	486	132	22	3	10	61	123	8	35	10	272	362	391	753	119	339	22	11	337	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	468	424	97	20	2	10	35	101	6	34	5	229	297	356	653	127	277	22	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	468	412	114	22	2	12	47	87	6	34	5	277	359	427	786	150	325	19	10	351	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	AZL Athletics Green	—	140	130	32	7	1	1	8	29	1	9	4	246	293	338	631	92	304	21	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	466	424	114	16	3	17	31	98	8	25	2	269	333	441	774	172	302	21	7	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	382	345	75	13	2	15	29	89	5	19	5	217	288	397	685	180	241	23	8	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	566	496	103	21	6	11	57	163	8	41	5	208	298	341	639	133	277	29	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	564	512	116	18	2	9	39	148	8	35	10	227	294	322	616	96	290	26	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	468	424	97	20	2	10	35	101	6	34	5	229	297	356	653	127	273	22	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	566	496	103	21	6	11	57	163	8	41	5	208	298	341	639	133	277	29	10	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	564	512	116	18	2	9	39	148	8	35	10	227	294	322	616	96	290	26	7	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	468	424	97	20	2	10	35	101	6	34	5	229	297	356	653	127	273	22	7	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	SD	—	409	364	98	13	6	9	32	73	6	25	6	269	338	412	750	143	311	18	8	324	106	+3	+3	+1	-4	+9	1.1
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	SD	—	91	78	22	2	2	0	8	12	1	6	1	282	356	359	715	77	324	13	9	312	106	+1	+1	+1	-4	+2	-0.0
YTD	27	AAA RAW	SD	—	318	277	91	14	5	12	33	47	5	19	5	329	410	545	955	217	359	15	10	415	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	MLB RAW	SD	—	91	78	22	2	2	0	8	12	1	6	1	282	356	359	715	77	324	13	9	312	97	-0	+1	+1	-1	+2	0.2
ROS	27	AAA MLE	SD	100%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		299	20	10	325	106	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	SD	100%	10	9	2	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	222	300	222	522		297	20	10	314	106	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	SD	—	101	87	24	2	2	0	9	14	1	7	1	276	351	345	695	69	320	14	9	312	106	+1	+1	+1	-1	+2	0.4
TOT	27	AAA MLE	SD	—	419	373	100	13	6	9	33	75	6	26	6	268	337	408	745	139	311	18	8	324	106	+3	+3	+1	-4	+9	1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SD	92%	597	537	135	20	5	17	47	125	8	32	7	251	321	402	723	151	297	21	8	323	105	+4	+4	+1	-6	+13	1.5
2028	29	MLB MLE	SD	92%	585	525	133	20	5	17	47	124	8	29	6	253	324	408	732	154	296	21	8	321	104	+3	+3	+1	-6	+13	1.3
2029	30	MLB MLE	SD	92%	573	515	128	19	5	16	46	123	7	26	6	249	319	398	717	150	294	21	8	319	102	+1	+3	-0	-6	+12	1.0
2030	31	MLB MLE	SD	92%	562	505	124	19	4	15	45	123	7	22	5	246	316	388	704	143	292	22	8	314	99	-1	+2	-1	-6	+12	0.7
2031	32	MLB MLE	SD	92%	551	495	118	17	4	14	44	122	7	18	4	238	310	374	683	135	288	22	8	308	94	-4	+2	-2	-6	+12	0.3
2032	33	MLB MLE	SD	92%	324	291	67	9	2	8	26	74	4	8	2	230	302	357	660	127	283	23	8	300	89	-4	+1	-3	-3	+7	-0.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	SD	92%	549	494	124	18	5	16	43	115	7	30	6	251	320	405	725	154	294	21	8	313	105	+3	+4	+1	-6	+12	1.4
2028	29	MLB CTX	SD	92%	538	483	122	18	5	16	43	114	7	27	6	253	323	410	733	157	293	21	8	311	104	+2	+3	+0	-6	+12	1.2
2029	30	MLB CTX	SD	92%	527	473	116	17	4	15	42	113	7	24	5	245	316	393	709	148	291	21	8	308	102	+1	+3	-0	-6	+11	1.0
2030	31	MLB CTX	SD	92%	517	464	113	17	4	14	41	113	7	20	4	244	314	388	702	144	289	22	8	304	99	-1	+2	-1	-6	+11	0.7
2031	32	MLB CTX	SD	92%	507	456	108	15	4	13	40	113	6	17	4	237	307	373	680	136	285	22	8	298	94	-3	+2	-2	-5	+11	0.2
2032	33	MLB CTX	SD	92%	298	268	61	8	2	7	24	68	4	8	2	228	301	351	651	123	281	23	8	290	89	-4	+1	-3	-3	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2989	2687	654	96	24	82	237	651	38	128	28	243	314	389	702	145	290	22	8	305	93	-3	+14	-4	-37	+65	3.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	142	21	5	18	52	142	8	28	6	243	313	389	702	146	290	22	8	305	93	-1	+3	-1	-8	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5788	5202	1244	199	41	150	455	1321	77	299	61	239	310	380	689	141	290	23	8	305	93	-3	+15	-4	-39	+70	4.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	140	22	5	17	51	148	9	34	7	240	311	382	692	142	291	23	8	305	93	-1	+3	-1	-8	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Wil Myerslast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,290 PA	6.5	4,290	156	107	252	326	437	-47	-45	10.7	10.8
/162	664	24	17	-7.3	-6.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#2Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	4.8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
/162	664	12	20	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#4Desmond Jenningslast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,327 PA	3.5	2,327	55	93	245	323	394	-9	+10	8.1	8.1
/162	664	16	27	-2.5	+2.7	2.3	pk7: 8
#5Alejandro De Azalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,819 PA	4.2	2,819	51	89	259	325	396	-6	-12	7.0	7.2
/162	664	12	21	-1.4	-2.8	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.0	3,308	89	147	248	314	393	-35	+4	6.6	6.6
/162	664	18	30	-7.1	+0.8	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dustin Harris (OGILVIE)	27	60	50	60	50	253/321/405	152	299	8	17	21%	8%	106	+0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake McCarthy 2023 · MLB	26	52→59	49→50	62→60	46	255/319/412	157	320	15	33	24%	7%	106	+1.8	259/322/385	126	309	11	32	19%	7%	101	+1.4	260/317/390	130	299	11	28	16%	6%	98	+1.0
✕Corey Patterson 2008 · MLB	28	51→55	47→55	61→60	44	255/294/391	136	287	14	39	17%	5%	92	+0.7	235/272/365	130	277	13	28	20%	4%	78	-0.3	237/274/358	120	298	11	28	23%	4%	73	-0.4
✕Desmond Jennings 2013 · MLB	26	49→59	47→50	62→60	50	242/314/384	142	289	14	31	21%	8%	98	+1.2	243/318/387	144	290	13	20	20%	9%	100	+1.3	241/319/381	139	287	12	19	19%	10%	98	+0.8
●Jonathan Villar 2018 · MLB	27	55→60	47→50	59→65	48	262/327/405	143	349	14	39	28%	9%	107	+1.9	257/322/395	138	335	16	34	26%	8%	103	+1.6	255/325/406	151	324	18	29	25%	9%	104	+1.3
✕Eric Patterson 2010 · MLB	27	50→55	44→50	62→60	47	245/300/374	129	301	11	32	22%	7%	90	+0.6	221/280/350	129	283	11	27	24%	7%	77	-0.3	200/265/318	119	261	9	26	26%	8%	63	-0.6
✕Drew Stubbs 2012 · MLB	27	50→57	47→50	59→60	47	242/315/375	133	326	15	33	29%	9%	97	+1.1	233/300/365	132	322	15	27	30%	8%	88	+0.5	235/304/374	140	334	14	24	32%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Leonys Martin 2014 · MLB	26	52→56	46→50	58→60	45	255/307/393	137	302	12	31	20%	6%	97	+1.1	249/301/360	111	306	11	28	21%	7%	87	+0.4	242/298/385	142	308	16	24	25%	7%	90	+0.5
✕Roger Bernadina 2011 · MLB	27	53→63	45	58→60	48	260/318/390	130	311	12	25	20%	7%	100	+1.3	241/306/366	125	296	13	25	22%	8%	91	+0.6	229/297/347	119	324	11	20	31%	8%	81	-0.0
●Scott Podsednik 2004 · MLB	28	61→65	44→45	61→65	55	294/360/424	130	335	10	34	15%	9%	123	+3.0	266/332/371	105	308	7	48	15%	8%	101	+1.4	289/342/382	92	330	6	34	13%	7%	105	+1.3
✕Cedric Mullins 2023 · MLB	28	52→55	51→55	56→60	50	263/327/431	168	301	18	27	19%	8%	114	+2.3	236/306/404	168	273	19	27	21%	9%	100	+1.3	222/298/393	171	256	20	30	22%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Roman Quinn 2020 · MLB	27	51→55	46→45	63→65	45	245/304/380	135	327	12	32	28%	8%	93	+0.8	228/301/357	129	327	12	30	31%	8%	87	+0.4	183/274/285	103	312	8	41	40%	9%	60	-0.4
✕Cameron Maybin 2014 · MLB	27	49→59	45→50	57→55	50	240/305/364	124	286	12	28	20%	8%	90	+0.6	251/313/363	112	304	9	18	19%	8%	93	+0.8	259/333/376	117	311	11	30	19%	9%	100	+1.1
✕Josh Rojas 2021 · MLB	27	47→54	46→50	54→55	51	233/302/370	137	279	13	24	21%	9%	91	+0.6	250/324/378	128	315	12	17	23%	10%	100	+1.3	251/326/371	120	316	11	18	22%	10%	96	+0.9
●Will Venable 2012 · MLB	29	48→55	50→55	62→60	47	239/307/399	160	302	17	28	26%	8%	99	+1.2	253/313/418	165	309	16	26	23%	8%	105	+1.7	252/311/413	161	306	16	24	22%	7%	99	+1.0
●Carl Crawford 2009 · MLB	27	59→65	46→55	66→65	48	289/333/434	145	323	12	38	15%	6%	116	+2.5	287/338/444	157	325	14	38	16%	7%	120	+2.8	284/335/445	161	323	15	40	16%	6%	116	+2.6
✕B.J. Upton 2012 · MLB	27	48→58	52→60	58→60	53	240/323/419	178	299	19	34	26%	11%	109	+2.0	225/297/393	168	291	20	24	28%	9%	94	+0.9	226/293/373	146	300	17	25	29%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Chris Dickerson 2009 · MLB	27	51→55	47→50	59→60	45	240/311/388	149	344	14	26	32%	9%	98	+1.2	249/324/367	118	349	9	26	28%	10%	97	+1.1	241/317/376	135	334	12	22	29%	9%	95	+0.5
✕Roger Cedeno 2001 · MLB	26	55→60	46→45	59→65	63	267/361/395	128	303	13	36	16%	13%	118	+2.6	271/328/376	105	315	8	36	16%	8%	100	+1.3	270/323/368	99	314	7	34	16%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Flavio Romero 2007 · AAA	27	50→56	42→45	55→60	53	242/321/348	105	292	10	31	20%	9%	93	+0.8	235/324/322	87	292	6	23	20%	11%	88	+0.4	257/350/302	45	319	1	22	17%	12%	92	+0.4
●Carlos Gómez 2013 · MLB	27	48→57	52→60	63→65	43	245/294/416	171	288	20	38	23%	5%	99	+1.2	271/330/462	191	327	21	33	23%	6%	122	+3.0	273/337/460	187	330	20	32	23%	7%	121	+2.7

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps