Estevan Florial — OGILVIE

Estevan FlorialLF Mexico Verde

Age 28 L/R 6'1" / 195 lbs INTL Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 350 proj PA

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .283 / .373

PA350

HR12

SB17

K%33

BB%9

ISO167

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2022-2024

CONTACT20

Whiff%

1019.4%

xwOBA

150.267

POWER48

Barrel%

417.0

Avg EV

2787.4

Bat Spd

6673.0

EYE57

Chase%

6329.1%

SPEED67

Sprint

8128.7

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2021

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2026

First FA Year 2027

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-3	$0.4M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	266	235	54	8	6	5	19	88	4	15	5	230	298	379	677	149	331	33	7	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	17	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	266	224	70	11	8	7	30	61	4	15	5	312	403	527	930	214	389	23	11	396	161	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	2 teams	—	291	267	46	7	2	6	19	117	3	10	2	172	235	281	516	109	276	40	7	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2016	18	ROK	2 teams	—	291	256	59	10	2	8	30	83	3	10	2	230	318	379	697	148	307	29	10	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	3 teams	—	557	514	116	19	8	12	36	257	3	25	10	226	280	364	644	138	418	46	6	277	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	19	A	3 teams	—	557	490	145	28	9	13	60	177	3	25	10	296	376	469	846	173	434	32	11	373	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	3 teams	—	459	418	99	25	4	5	40	159	1	18	11	237	305	352	657	115	370	35	9	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	20	A+	3 teams	—	459	398	105	21	6	6	60	121	1	18	11	264	362	392	754	128	365	26	13	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	301	282	43	8	2	6	16	142	0	9	5	152	198	259	457	106	272	47	5	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	21	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	301	274	65	10	3	8	24	98	0	9	5	237	299	383	682	146	335	33	8	302	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	59	50	14	2	1	1	8	17	0	3	1	280	379	420	799	140	394	29	14	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	22	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	59	50	14	2	1	1	8	17	0	3	1	280	379	420	799	140	394	29	14	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA	4 teams	—	458	408	78	22	1	13	41	165	3	15	9	191	270	346	615	154	279	36	9	267	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	AAA	4 teams	—	458	391	86	22	1	18	58	137	3	15	9	220	325	419	745	199	285	30	13	329	110	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	3 teams	—	523	482	105	28	2	13	36	191	2	41	11	218	275	365	640	147	330	37	7	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AAA	3 teams	—	523	457	118	31	2	15	61	162	2	41	11	258	348	433	781	175	367	31	12	347	124	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	553	496	117	27	4	23	47	194	3	28	10	236	306	446	751	210	329	35	8	323	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AAA	2 teams	—	553	470	130	26	5	28	73	164	3	28	10	277	377	532	909	255	358	30	13	393	159	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	342	306	51	9	2	9	30	139	3	24	5	167	248	297	545	131	263	41	9	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AAA	2 teams	—	342	295	59	10	2	12	41	113	3	24	5	200	304	369	673	169	273	33	12	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	INTL	Mexico Verde	—	270	212	59	12	0	8	50	52	1	14	3	278	418	448	866	170	329	19	19	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	INTL	Mexico Verde	—	270	212	59	12	0	8	50	52	1	14	3	278	418	448	866	170	329	19	19	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	28	MLB	CLE	—	350	313	65	12	2	12	31	114	3	17	3	208	285	374	659	166	282	33	9	295	84	-6	+2	+0	+1	+10	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	29	MLB	CLE	22%	380	341	71	13	2	13	33	125	3	18	3	208	284	372	656	164	281	33	9	293	82	-8	+2	-1	+1	+11	0.6
2027	29	MLB	CLE	22%	82	74	15	3	0	3	7	27	1	4	1	203	280	365	645	162	281	33	9	287	78	-2	+0	-0	+0	+2	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	324	284	55	14	3	7	33	107	5	12	2	194	289	338	627	144	281	33	10	283	75	-9	+2	+2	+2	+9	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	110	28	6	14	66	215	10	24	4	193	288	337	625	144	280	33	10	283	75	-18	+3	+3	+4	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	4809	4324	918	192	36	126	406	1760	29	237	78	212	284	361	645	148	320	37	8	257	55	-247	+16	+1	+12	+136	-8.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	124	26	5	17	55	238	4	32	11	212	285	361	646	149	320	37	8	257	55	-33	+2	+0	+2	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2015	17	ROK	DSL Yankees 1	—	266	224	70	11	8	7	30	61	4	15	5	312	403	527	930	214	389	23	11	396	161	+18	+1	—	—	+8	2.7
2016	18	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	23	20	6	0	1	1	2	5	0	0	0	300	364	550	914	250	333	22	9	379	148	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2016	18	ROK	Pulaski Yankees	—	268	236	53	10	1	7	28	78	3	10	2	225	315	364	679	140	305	29	10	308	94	-2	+1	—	—	+8	0.7
2017	19	A+	Tampa Yankees	—	87	76	23	2	2	2	9	24	0	6	1	303	376	461	837	158	404	28	10	363	136	+4	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2017	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	389	344	102	21	5	11	41	124	2	17	7	297	375	483	857	186	431	32	11	377	147	+21	+1	—	—	+11	3.3
2017	19	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	81	70	20	5	2	0	10	29	1	2	2	286	383	414	797	129	488	36	12	360	133	+3	-0	—	—	+2	0.5
2018	20	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	339	294	75	16	3	3	44	87	1	11	10	255	354	361	715	105	353	26	13	328	109	+3	-2	—	—	+10	1.1
2018	20	ROK	GCL Yankees East	—	35	31	17	3	1	3	4	5	0	5	0	548	600	1.000	1.600	452	609	14	11	673	373	+11	+1	—	—	+1	1.3
2018	20	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	85	73	13	2	2	0	12	29	0	2	1	178	294	260	554	82	295	34	14	263	59	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2019	21	A+	Tampa Tarpons	—	301	274	65	10	3	8	24	98	0	9	5	237	299	383	682	146	335	33	8	302	89	-4	-0	—	—	+9	0.5
2020	22	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	59	50	14	2	1	1	8	17	0	3	1	280	379	420	799	140	394	29	14	354	129	+2	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2021	23	MLB	New York Yankees	—	25	20	6	2	0	1	5	6	0	1	0	300	440	550	990	250	385	24	20	434	190	+3	+0	+1	+2	+1	0.6
2021	23	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	362	312	68	17	1	13	42	112	3	13	7	218	317	404	720	186	291	31	12	319	102	+1	-0	—	—	+10	1.1
2021	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	39	35	8	2	0	4	4	9	0	0	1	229	308	629	936	400	182	23	10	397	162	+3	-0	—	—	+1	0.4
2021	23	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	32	24	4	1	0	0	7	10	0	1	1	167	355	208	563	42	267	31	22	278	71	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	24	MLB	New York Yankees	—	35	31	3	0	0	0	3	13	1	2	0	97	200	97	297		167	37	9	158	-21	-5	+0	+0	+2	+1	-0.1
2022	24	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	461	403	114	31	2	15	54	140	1	39	10	283	369	481	850	199	398	30	12	374	144	+23	+4	—	—	+13	4.1
2022	24	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	27	23	1	0	0	0	4	9	0	0	1	43	185	43	229		71	33	15	137	-37	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2023	25	MLB	New York Yankees	—	71	61	14	3	1	0	7	20	2	3	0	230	329	311	640	82	333	28	10	294	83	-1	+1	+1	+2	+2	0.4
2023	25	AAA	Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders	—	482	409	116	23	4	28	66	144	1	25	10	284	384	565	949	281	362	30	14	407	170	+38	+1	—	—	+14	5.4
2024	26	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	111	98	17	6	2	3	11	41	1	2	1	173	264	367	631	194	259	37	10	279	72	-4	+0	+0	-4	+3	-0.4
2024	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	231	197	42	4	0	9	30	72	2	22	4	213	323	371	694	157	280	31	13	314	98	-0	+3	—	—	+7	0.9
2025	27	INTL	Mexico Verde	—	270	212	59	12	0	8	50	52	1	14	3	278	418	448	866	170	329	19	19	381	150	+15	+2	—	—	+8	2.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	242	210	40	11	3	4	26	80	4	8	1	190	292	329	620	138	283	33	11	282	74	-7	+1	+2	+2	+7	0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	614	18	26	206	284	368	+1	+1	0.4	0.4
	/162	664	19	28	206	284	368	+1.1	+1.4	0.4	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Estevan Florial (OGILVIE)	28	20	48	67	57	208/283/373	166	282	12	17	33%	9%	84	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕J.P. Martínez 2023 · AAA	27	45→44	48→50	63→65	43	215/292/362	146	324	15	31	36%	9%	83	+0.6	213/293/343	130	319	12	37	34%	9%	79	+0.3	204/289/324	120	306	11	45	34%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Mark Contreras 2023 · MLB	28	37	51→50	55	36	198/257/358	160	281	20	20	36%	6%	69	-0.4	204/266/321	117	295	13	26	33%	6%	62	-0.9	196/263/289	93	286	10	32	33%	7%	48	-1.2
✕Brewer Hicklen 2023 · AAA	27	39→43	53→55	61→60	37	196/272/363	168	322	22	32	44%	8%	76	+0.1	203/283/375	172	293	22	34	37%	8%	84	+0.6	219/291/395	177	297	25	40	34%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	41	47→40	57→55	48	204/301/338	134	290	15	26	32%	10%	82	+0.5	218/311/327	109	288	9	16	25%	10%	82	+0.5	212/323/302	89	272	5	13	21%	12%	80	+0.2
✕Mitch Longo 2022 · AAA	27	46→43	50	59→50	40	235/283/388	154	300	17	22	28%	6%	85	+0.7	225/272/372	147	297	17	14	29%	5%	77	+0.1	184/222/324	140	233	19	3	31%	4%	40	-0.6
✕Michael Helman 2023 · AAA	27	40→41	52→55	57→55	45	217/276/382	165	258	21	26	26%	7%	82	+0.5	223/280/386	163	269	20	22	25%	6%	85	+0.7	215/273/387	171	253	20	20	23%	6%	79	+0.1
✕Kyle Datres 2023 · AA	27	41→40	50	56→55	43	212/287/361	149	289	18	23	32%	8%	82	+0.5	205/283/343	138	285	17	21	32%	8%	76	+0.0	187/271/314	127	259	16	21	33%	9%	61	-0.4
✕Sam Hilliard 2022 · MLB	28	32→42	55	55	41	185/252/366	181	256	23	15	37%	8%	68	-0.5	203/278/364	161	283	20	16	34%	9%	79	+0.3	190/268/352	162	268	18	18	34%	9%	69	-0.3
✕Lane Adams 2018 · MLB	28	47→46	48→50	61→60	40	231/282/370	139	319	16	34	32%	6%	81	+0.4	198/264/334	136	314	15	23	39%	7%	64	-0.8	161/237/290	129	263	15	20	42%	8%	39	-1.2
✕Clete Thomas 2012 · MLB	28	45→52	47→50	58→55	40	220/282/355	135	326	15	24	36%	7%	77	+0.1	213/266/351	138	291	14	16	31%	6%	69	-0.4	209/265/341	133	277	13	14	28%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Justin Maxwell 2012 · MLB	28	44	52→60	55→60	45	219/299/387	168	324	21	27	37%	10%	93	+1.3	222/292/401	179	318	21	15	35%	8%	94	+1.3	212/281/377	165	309	19	12	36%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Brian O'Grady 2021 · MLB	29	41→37	57→60	52→50	39	222/276/420	198	292	26	16	33%	6%	92	+1.2	211/277/371	160	292	18	14	33%	8%	79	+0.3	187/262/347	160	256	17	13	33%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Keon Broxton 2019 · MLB	29	41→48	50→55	60	40	199/273/355	156	329	19	34	43%	9%	74	-0.1	188/261/317	129	343	16	24	46%	8%	59	-1.1	158/241/269	111	299	17	23	49%	9%	37	-1.1
✕George Lombard 2003 · MLB	27	47→44	45→50	58→55	44	232/292/362	130	311	12	23	28%	8%	82	+0.5	233/294/379	146	307	15	19	28%	7%	88	+0.9	220/293/373	153	305	17	27	32%	8%	84	+0.4
✕Eli White 2023 · MLB	29	44→49	48→50	55→60	46	219/294/353	134	297	16	24	30%	9%	82	+0.5	236/305/381	145	323	17	28	30%	8%	94	+1.3	238/302/384	146	318	18	31	30%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Stone Garrett 2023 · MLB	27	38→37	56→55	53→50	35	214/252/400	187	277	25	17	33%	4%	77	+0.1	219/282/362	143	318	16	10	34%	7%	79	+0.3	222/301/341	118	337	12	5	34%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Dylan Moore 2022 · MLB	29	40→47	54→50	55→65	49	214/305/392	178	271	21	29	29%	10%	98	+1.6	219/328/394	175	294	18	33	30%	11%	108	+2.3	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Jorge Mateo 2023 · MLB	28	44→46	47→50	60→65	40	221/269/365	144	285	13	32	27%	5%	74	-0.1	218/266/352	134	276	13	40	25%	6%	69	-0.4	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Weston Wilson 2023 · AAA	28	41→43	50→55	51→55	40	215/269/364	149	295	19	17	33%	7%	74	-0.1	218/288/394	176	284	24	23	31%	9%	90	+1.0	212/291/397	185	265	26	25	30%	9%	90	+0.7
✕Drew Stubbs 2013 · MLB	28	46→51	47→50	57→60	46	227/297/355	128	307	15	31	30%	9%	83	+0.6	230/297/362	132	323	14	24	31%	8%	85	+0.7	227/297/360	133	323	13	24	32%	9%	81	+0.3