Tommy Troy — OGILVIE

Tommy TroySS Reno Aces

Age 24 R/R 5'9" / 197 lbs AAA HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.9 · 2029

wRC+†98

AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .302 / .351

PA320

HR7

SB10

K%25

BB%8

MLB%10%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

40↗47

PWR

40↗48

SPD

60→60

FLD

43↗46

EYE

48↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

2.0peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$15M	+$14M
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+1.9	$17M	+$16M
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	+1.8	$16M	+$15M
2031	Arb-3	$3M	+1.6	$15M	+$11M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$5M	+1.4	$13M	+$8M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$6M	+1.1	$11M	+$5M
Totals		$17M		$87M	+$70M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A+	2 teams	115	102	22	4	1	3	10	40	1	9	0	.216	.292	.363	.655	.147	.311	35	9	.282	74	-3	+2	+0	+1	+3	0.3
2024	22	A+	3 teams	422	383	64	14	2	6	24	140	9	20	6	.167	.233	.261	.494	.094	.239	33	6	.215	23	-37	+2	+0	+5	+12	-1.9
2025	23	AA	2 teams	581	519	121	21	4	10	47	129	10	24	5	.233	.309	.347	.656	.114	.290	22	8	.291	81	-13	+3	+0	+6	+16	1.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	24	AAA	Reno Aces	108	95	26	3	2	2	10	36	1	4	1	.274	.349	.411	.760	.137	.414	33	9	.330	111	+1	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.6
ROS	24	MLB	ARI	212	189	46	8	2	4	18	56	3	6	1	.243	.319	.370	.689	.127	.311	26	8	.305	91	-2	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.6
TOT	24	MLB	ARI	320	284	72	11	4	6	28	92	4	10	2	.254	.329	.384	.713	.130	.351	29	9	.313	98	-1	+1	-1	+3	+9	1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	25	MLB 25%	ARI	370	329	81	14	3	8	33	80	5	11	2	.246	.324	.380	.704	.134	.301	22	9	.318	102	+1	+1	-1	+4	+10	1.6
2028	26	MLB 43%	ARI	407	362	90	15	4	10	37	89	5	11	2	.249	.327	.395	.722	.146	.301	22	9	.322	105	+2	+1	-1	+4	+12	1.8
2029	27	MLB 58%	ARI	420	374	93	16	4	10	38	92	5	11	2	.249	.326	.393	.719	.144	.301	22	9	.322	105	+2	+1	-2	+4	+12	1.9
2030	28	MLB 68%	ARI	425	378	93	16	4	10	39	94	5	11	2	.246	.325	.389	.714	.143	.301	22	9	.321	104	+2	+1	-2	+5	+12	1.8
2031	29	MLB 77%	ARI	420	373	91	16	3	10	39	94	5	10	2	.244	.324	.383	.707	.139	.300	22	9	.319	102	+1	+1	-3	+4	+12	1.6
2032	30	MLB 84%	ARI	414	368	89	15	3	10	38	94	5	9	1	.242	.321	.380	.702	.139	.299	23	9	.316	100	-0	+1	-4	+4	+12	1.4
2033	31	MLB 91%	ARI	401	356	86	15	3	9	37	93	5	8	1	.242	.322	.376	.698	.135	.297	23	9	.312	97	-1	+1	-4	+4	+11	1.1
2034	32	MLB	ARI	384	341	81	14	3	8	35	91	5	7	0	.238	.318	.367	.684	.129	.296	24	9	.307	93	-3	+1	-5	+4	+11	0.9
2035	33	MLB	ARI	355	316	73	12	3	7	32	86	4	6	0	.231	.310	.354	.664	.123	.295	24	9	.302	89	-4	+1	-5	+4	+10	0.5
2036	34	MLB	ARI	311	276	62	10	2	6	28	78	4	5	0	.225	.305	.341	.646	.116	.293	25	9	.296	84	-5	+1	-6	+3	+9	0.2
2037	35	MLB	ARI	259	231	51	8	2	5	23	68	3	4	0	.221	.300	.338	.637	.117	.291	26	9	.288	79	-6	+1	-7	+3	+7	-0.2
2038	36	MLB	ARI	202	180	39	6	2	3	18	55	2	3	0	.217	.295	.322	.617	.106	.288	27	9	.280	72	-6	+1	-7	+2	+6	-0.5
2039	37	MLB	ARI	141	126	26	4	1	2	12	40	2	2	0	.206	.286	.302	.587	.095	.285	28	9	.270	65	-6	+0	-8	+2	+4	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5839	5203	1208	208	46	121	508	1419	78	157	24	.232	.310	.360	.669	.127	.294	24	9	.300	88	-79	+22	-55	+63	+165	11.8
/ 162G	—			650	579	134	23	5	13	57	158	9	17	3	.231	.311	.356	.666	.124	.294	24	9	.300	88	-9	+2	-6	+7	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A+	Hillsboro Hops	99	85	21	5	0	4	12	26	1	8	0	.247	.347	.447	.794	.200	.304	26	12	.351	126	+3	+2	—	—	+3	0.8
2023	21	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	16	11	5	0	1	0	4	2	0	1	0	.455	.600	.636	1.236	.182	.500	12	25	.502	242	+3	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2024	22	A+	Hillsboro Hops	288	251	57	13	1	5	30	64	5	16	5	.227	.322	.347	.668	.120	.283	22	10	.305	91	-3	+1	—	—	+8	0.7
2024	22	ROK	ACL D-backs	26	22	7	3	1	0	1	7	0	0	0	.318	.348	.545	.893	.227	.389	27	4	.342	120	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2024	22	INTL	Salt River Rafters	108	93	27	7	1	3	10	27	4	4	1	.290	.383	.484	.867	.194	.375	25	9	.382	150	+6	+0	—	—	+3	1.0
2025	23	AAA	Reno Aces	182	156	46	8	2	3	18	28	5	3	1	.295	.385	.429	.815	.135	.339	15	10	.362	135	+7	+0	—	—	+5	1.3
2025	23	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	399	343	98	20	2	12	49	70	5	21	4	.286	.383	.461	.844	.175	.328	18	12	.375	145	+20	+3	—	—	+11	3.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Tommy Troy (OGILVIE)	24	40→47	40→48	60	55	.227/.302/.351	.124	.290	7	9	25%	8%	85	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joey Ortiz 2022 · AA	24	45→55	44→50	53→50	44	.219/.285/.340	.121	.291	11	11	28%	7%	74	-0.1	.246/.301/.390	.144	.301	13	10	22%	7%	93	+1.3	.250/.313/.398	.148	.304	13	11	21%	7%	97	+1.3
●Jeremy Peña 2022 · AAA	24	47→57	47→50	51→50	41	.233/.294/.365	.132	.308	14	14	28%	6%	85	+0.7	.251/.297/.399	.148	.305	18	13	23%	5%	95	+1.4	.274/.329/.411	.137	.319	14	17	18%	6%	107	+2.3
✕Mark Mathias 2020 · AAA	25	45→46	45→50	53→50	46	.220/.290/.350	.130	.280	12	13	25%	8%	79	+0.3	.239/.302/.384	.145	.307	15	16	26%	7%	93	+1.3	.255/.341/.389	.134	.350	16	20	29%	10%	109	+1.2
✕Scott Kingery 2018 · AAA	24	48→51	45→55	56→55	41	.237/.280/.363	.126	.288	12	19	22%	4%	78	+0.2	.234/.282/.376	.142	.301	14	16	26%	6%	82	+0.5	.226/.279/.370	.144	.297	14	14	28%	6%	76	+0.0
●Scott Sizemore 2010 · AAA	25	51→55	45→50	53→50	50	.246/.312/.377	.130	.294	11	15	20%	8%	95	+1.4	.250/.324/.394	.144	.320	14	10	24%	9%	105	+2.1	.243/.318/.383	.141	.327	13	5	28%	9%	95	+1.1
●Aledmys Díaz 2015 · AA	24	47→57	46→55	51→45	40	.232/.282/.364	.132	.298	13	14	26%	5%	79	+0.3	.249/.301/.395	.146	.287	15	8	18%	6%	95	+1.4	.262/.314/.431	.169	.281	19	6	14%	6%	105	+1.6
✕Lastings Milledge 2009 · MLB	24	52→58	48→50	50→55	47	.257/.325/.401	.144	.300	15	19	19%	7%	107	+2.2	.263/.318/.377	.114	.306	11	18	17%	6%	98	+1.6	.264/.316/.363	.099	.305	8	19	16%	6%	88	+0.7
✕Tyler Saladino 2013 · AAA	24	44→46	43→45	53→55	47	.215/.289/.328	.113	.286	9	18	27%	8%	72	-0.2	.221/.282/.318	.097	.282	8	22	23%	7%	67	-0.5	.253/.299/.369	.116	.300	11	25	19%	5%	84	+0.4
✕Victor Robles 2021 · MLB	24	49→50	46→50	53→60	44	.243/.314/.376	.133	.300	13	23	23%	6%	96	+1.5	.225/.299/.335	.110	.291	9	19	25%	7%	79	+0.3	.280/.351/.382	.102	.349	6	51	20%	6%	110	+0.8
●Ke'Bryan Hayes 2020 · AAA	23	49→54	42→50	53→50	47	.236/.294/.349	.114	.293	8	14	22%	7%	79	+0.3	.250/.311/.387	.137	.311	12	13	22%	8%	97	+1.5	.256/.313/.394	.138	.313	12	16	21%	7%	95	+1.2
✕Chris Nelson 2010 · AA	24	45→55	46→50	52→50	45	.227/.283/.365	.138	.280	13	13	24%	7%	79	+0.3	.244/.289/.371	.127	.297	13	9	22%	5%	84	+0.6	.257/.301/.387	.130	.311	13	7	21%	5%	87	+0.6
✕Corey Toups 2017 · AA	24	46→47	44→45	56→50	43	.224/.285/.348	.124	.297	10	16	27%	7%	76	+0.1	.204/.266/.311	.107	.308	9	15	35%	7%	59	-1.1	.184/.250/.275	.091	.296	8	16	38%	7%	40	-1.4
●Omar Infante 2006 · MLB	24	48→58	47→55	52→50	46	.237/.283/.382	.145	.270	13	13	18%	6%	84	+0.6	.257/.302/.388	.131	.297	11	10	17%	6%	93	+1.3	.299/.346/.396	.097	.334	7	5	12%	7%	110	+1.5
✕Nick Senzel 2019 · AAA	24	52→56	47→50	50	45	.253/.308/.400	.147	.326	13	15	26%	7%	99	+1.7	.243/.299/.388	.145	.306	14	15	24%	7%	92	+1.2	.236/.298/.346	.109	.286	11	14	20%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Matt Vierling 2022 · MLB	25	45→55	43→50	53→50	43	.222/.279/.333	.111	.287	11	15	26%	6%	70	-0.3	.249/.307/.377	.128	.304	13	12	21%	7%	92	+1.2	.252/.313/.388	.135	.304	13	10	21%	7%	95	+1.2
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	45→55	45	52→55	45	.222/.283/.349	.127	.289	12	18	27%	7%	76	+0.0	.248/.317/.362	.114	.326	10	18	25%	9%	93	+1.3	.253/.327/.352	.099	.328	8	18	23%	9%	91	+1.0
●Luis Rengifo 2021 · MLB	24	49→55	43→50	50→55	52	.235/.310/.354	.119	.287	10	16	21%	9%	89	+0.9	.239/.292/.381	.142	.276	17	11	20%	6%	88	+0.9	.267/.318/.414	.147	.301	17	16	17%	6%	105	+1.6
●Maicer Izturis 2005 · MLB	24	46→56	45	56→55	52	.227/.301/.356	.129	.262	11	15	18%	8%	85	+0.7	.261/.329/.376	.115	.289	7	19	12%	9%	102	+1.8	.282/.346/.393	.111	.303	9	16	10%	8%	109	+1.6
✕Jared Triolo 2023 · AA	25	50→60	43→45	53→55	46	.242/.301/.357	.115	.310	11	19	25%	7%	85	+0.7	.238/.315/.347	.109	.322	10	17	27%	10%	89	+0.9	.230/.317/.337	.107	.307	10	17	26%	10%	83	+0.4
✕Nick Loftin 2023 · AAA	24	45→52	47→50	53→50	47	.226/.286/.360	.134	.264	15	17	21%	7%	80	+0.4	.237/.305/.365	.128	.272	14	13	18%	8%	89	+1.0	.238/.318/.362	.124	.267	13	11	16%	9%	91	+0.8

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)