Pedro León
CF Reading Fightin Phils| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26 | AAAHOU | 533 | .299/.375/.514 | 24 | 29 | 99 | — | .251/.312/.420 |
| 2024 | 26 | MLBHOU | 21 | .100/.143/.100 | 0 | 2 | -33 | -1.0 | |
| 2025 | 27 | AAAHOU | 94 | .241/.315/.422 | 3 | 5 | 71 | — | .221/.272/.360 |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA/AA/A+PHI | 418 | .282/.358/.470 | 16 | 26 | 75 | — | .231/.289/.374 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 29 | MLBPHI | 16 | .230/.287/.379 | 0 | 1 | 84 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 30 | MLBPHI | 74 | .227/.285/.372 | 2 | 3 | 81 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 27 / POW 46
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | AAA | Sugar Land Skeeters | — | 75 | 61 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 131 | 293 | 164 | 457 | 33 | 211 | 31 | 19 | 237 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 217 | 185 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 67 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 249 | 359 | 443 | 803 | 195 | 339 | 31 | 12 | 360 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 84 | 70 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 257 | 381 | 343 | 724 | 86 | 347 | 24 | 15 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 504 | 413 | 94 | 27 | 3 | 17 | 71 | 145 | 19 | 38 | 18 | 228 | 366 | 431 | 797 | 203 | 306 | 29 | 14 | 359 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | INTL | Cangrejeros de Santurce | — | 113 | 98 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 33 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 204 | 291 | 367 | 658 | 163 | 254 | 29 | 10 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 564 | 483 | 118 | 23 | 3 | 21 | 63 | 160 | 11 | 21 | 7 | 244 | 345 | 435 | 779 | 190 | 318 | 28 | 11 | 345 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | INTL | Criollos de Caguas | — | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 500 | 444 | 944 | 333 | 31 | 25 | 442 | 185 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB | Houston Astros | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 100 | 243 | 200 | 48 | 5 | 119 | -33 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +0 | -1.0 | |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 533 | 469 | 140 | 25 | 2 | 24 | 43 | 144 | 14 | 29 | 11 | 299 | 375 | 514 | 888 | 215 | 380 | 27 | 8 | 387 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 94 | 83 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 241 | 315 | 422 | 737 | 181 | 283 | 22 | 9 | 321 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 53 | 46 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 283 | 365 | 326 | 691 | 43 | 464 | 36 | 11 | 314 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 340 | 302 | 86 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 96 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 285 | 363 | 483 | 846 | 199 | 370 | 28 | 10 | 373 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 25 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 280 | 583 | 863 | 333 | 333 | 32 | 4 | 366 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 100 | 243 | 200 | 48 | 5 | 119 | -33 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +0 | -1.0 | |||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 23 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Skeeters | — | 75 | 65 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 123 | 240 | 154 | 394 | 31 | 209 | 37 | 13 | 196 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 217 | 193 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 85 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 207 | 295 | 342 | 637 | 135 | 326 | 39 | 8 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 504 | 431 | 83 | 23 | 3 | 13 | 53 | 176 | 19 | 38 | 18 | 193 | 308 | 350 | 658 | 158 | 287 | 35 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 564 | 503 | 111 | 22 | 3 | 17 | 43 | 192 | 11 | 21 | 7 | 221 | 296 | 378 | 674 | 157 | 311 | 34 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | MLB MLE | Houston Astros | — | 21 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 100 | 143 | 100 | 243 | 200 | 48 | 5 | 119 | -33 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +0 | -1.0 | |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 533 | 483 | 121 | 21 | 2 | 19 | 29 | 172 | 14 | 29 | 11 | 251 | 312 | 420 | 732 | 170 | 335 | 32 | 5 | 314 | 99 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 94 | 86 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 221 | 272 | 360 | 632 | 140 | 269 | 27 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AAA MLE | Lehigh Valley IronPigs | — | 53 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 250 | 308 | 292 | 599 | 42 | 429 | 43 | 8 | 264 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 340 | 313 | 72 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 117 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 230 | 289 | 377 | 666 | 147 | 320 | 34 | 7 | 284 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 25 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 240 | 500 | 740 | 292 | 254 | 40 | 4 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 376 | 333 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 145 | 8 | 21 | 11 | 183 | 277 | 291 | 568 | 108 | 294 | 39 | 9 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 376 | 316 | 72 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 52 | 110 | 8 | 21 | 11 | 228 | 351 | 367 | 718 | 139 | 316 | 29 | 14 | 331 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 617 | 528 | 101 | 28 | 4 | 16 | 65 | 216 | 20 | 41 | 19 | 191 | 303 | 350 | 654 | 159 | 284 | 35 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 617 | 511 | 114 | 29 | 4 | 21 | 82 | 178 | 20 | 41 | 19 | 223 | 352 | 419 | 771 | 196 | 295 | 29 | 13 | 346 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 580 | 514 | 114 | 23 | 3 | 17 | 45 | 197 | 14 | 21 | 7 | 222 | 302 | 377 | 679 | 156 | 320 | 34 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 580 | 492 | 119 | 23 | 3 | 22 | 67 | 165 | 14 | 21 | 7 | 242 | 349 | 435 | 784 | 193 | 315 | 28 | 12 | 347 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 554 | 503 | 123 | 21 | 2 | 19 | 30 | 182 | 14 | 31 | 11 | 245 | 305 | 408 | 713 | 163 | 340 | 33 | 5 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 554 | 489 | 142 | 25 | 2 | 24 | 44 | 154 | 14 | 31 | 11 | 290 | 366 | 497 | 863 | 207 | 375 | 28 | 8 | 377 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 94 | 86 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 221 | 272 | 360 | 632 | 140 | 283 | 27 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA RAW | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 94 | 83 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 241 | 315 | 422 | 737 | 181 | 283 | 22 | 9 | 321 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 418 | 385 | 87 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 150 | 3 | 26 | 8 | 226 | 284 | 364 | 647 | 138 | 333 | 36 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 418 | 372 | 105 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 41 | 123 | 3 | 26 | 8 | 282 | 358 | 470 | 829 | 188 | 379 | 29 | 10 | 365 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 23 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 376 | 330 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 145 | 8 | 21 | 11 | 185 | 277 | 294 | 571 | 109 | 296 | 39 | 9 | 259 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 617 | 527 | 101 | 28 | 4 | 16 | 65 | 216 | 20 | 41 | 19 | 192 | 303 | 351 | 654 | 159 | 287 | 35 | 11 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 25 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 580 | 516 | 114 | 23 | 3 | 17 | 45 | 197 | 14 | 21 | 7 | 221 | 302 | 376 | 678 | 155 | 311 | 34 | 8 | 293 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 554 | 505 | 123 | 21 | 2 | 19 | 30 | 182 | 14 | 31 | 11 | 244 | 305 | 406 | 711 | 162 | 330 | 33 | 5 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 94 | 88 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 216 | 272 | 352 | 624 | 136 | 269 | 27 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 418 | 384 | 87 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 150 | 3 | 26 | 8 | 227 | 284 | 365 | 648 | 138 | 330 | 36 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 554 | 505 | 123 | 21 | 2 | 19 | 30 | 182 | 14 | 31 | 11 | 244 | 305 | 406 | 711 | 162 | 330 | 33 | 5 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 27 | AAA MLE | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | — | 94 | 88 | 19 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 216 | 272 | 352 | 624 | 136 | 269 | 27 | 5 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 28 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 418 | 384 | 87 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 150 | 3 | 26 | 8 | 227 | 284 | 365 | 648 | 138 | 330 | 36 | 7 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB MLE | PHI | 10% | 380 | 349 | 80 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 124 | 4 | 16 | 5 | 228 | 285 | 371 | 656 | 143 | 316 | 33 | 6 | 292 | 84 | -7 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB CTX | PHI | 10% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 230 | 287 | 379 | 666 | 149 | 317 | 31 | 6 | 296 | 84 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 30 | MLB MLE | PHI | 27% | 272 | 250 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 88 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 225 | 283 | 364 | 647 | 139 | 311 | 32 | 6 | 288 | 81 | -6 | +1 | -2 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB CTX | PHI | 27% | 74 | 68 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 227 | 285 | 372 | 657 | 145 | 312 | 32 | 7 | 292 | 81 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +2 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 95 | 88 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 182 | 242 | 273 | 515 | 91 | 269 | 36 | 6 | 254 | 82 | -5 | +1 | -2 | -6 | +2 | -1.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 602 | 110 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 41 | 233 | 7 | 34 | 7 | 183 | 243 | 276 | 519 | 93 | 270 | 36 | 6 | 254 | 82 | -34 | +4 | -12 | -39 | +14 | -6.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3066 | 2741 | 594 | 111 | 17 | 86 | 235 | 1053 | 65 | 162 | 61 | 217 | 294 | 364 | 658 | 147 | 314 | 34 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -12 | +2 | -3 | -4 | +10 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 127 | 24 | 4 | 18 | 50 | 223 | 14 | 34 | 13 | 219 | 296 | 367 | 663 | 148 | 318 | 34 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -18 | +3 | -5 | -6 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAReading Fightin Phils · 340 PAwOBA .364 → .284 (−80)K% 28.2% → 34.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.24% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.45% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.968 | 6.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.88% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 0.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.953 | ×0.968 | 25.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×0.953 | ×0.968 | 3.46% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.46% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×0.953 | ×0.968 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 5.50% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.953.
Result: wOBA .364 → .284; ISO .199 → .147; BABIP .370 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 53 PAwOBA .313 → .264 (−49)K% 35.8% → 43.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.85% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 43.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.32% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 7.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 44.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 41.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.992 | 3.56% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .313 → .264; ISO .043 → .040; BABIP .464 → .429. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 25 PAwOBA .355 → .240 (−115)K% 32.0% → 41.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 41.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.948 | 2.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.948 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.948 | 5.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.948 | 13.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | — | ×0.948 | 5.04% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.948 | 5.21% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 22.8 → −5.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .355 → .240; ISO .333 → .230; BABIP .333 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 94 PAwOBA .316 → .273 (−43)K% 22.3% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.34% | ÷0.995 | ×1.200 | — | — | 26.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.51% | ÷1.056 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 5.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.06% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 1.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.74% | ÷1.012 | ×0.930 | ×1.039 | ×1.003 | 16.99% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.68% | ÷0.891 | ×0.830 | ×1.039 | ×1.003 | 9.40% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×1.039 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.84% | ÷0.961 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.53% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 102, 2B 78, 3B 80, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .316 → .273; ISO .181 → .151; BABIP .283 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 533 PAwOBA .378 → .314 (−64)K% 27.0% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.02% | ÷1.006 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.88% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.63% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 2.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.38% | ÷1.035 | ×0.930 | ×0.983 | ×1.018 | 24.62% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.953 | ×0.830 | ×0.983 | ×1.018 | 6.70% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.983 | ×1.018 | 0.66% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.38% | ÷0.903 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 5.83% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 81, 1B 107, 2B 91, 3B 80, K 101, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.983.
Result: wOBA .378 → .314; ISO .215 → .173; BABIP .380 → .335. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 564 PAwOBA .337 → .293 (−44)K% 28.4% → 34.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.37% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 34.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.17% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 7.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.95% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.98% | ÷0.981 | ×0.930 | ×1.014 | ×1.033 | 21.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.12% | ÷0.882 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×1.033 | 7.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.93% | ÷1.056 | ×0.970 | ×1.014 | ×1.033 | 0.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.50% | ÷0.896 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 5.25% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 96, 2B 76, 3B 111, K 100, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .337 → .293; ISO .190 → .161; BABIP .318 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAASugar Land Space Cowboys · 504 PAwOBA .350 → .295 (−55)K% 28.8% → 35.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.77% | ÷0.986 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.89% | ÷0.953 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 10.54% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.77% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 3.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.54% | ÷0.982 | ×0.930 | ×0.980 | ×1.048 | 17.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.07% | ÷0.952 | ×0.830 | ×0.980 | ×1.048 | 9.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.12% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.980 | ×1.048 | 1.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.34% | ÷0.917 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 5.07% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 96, 2B 90, 3B 80, K 97, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.980.
Result: wOBA .350 → .295; ISO .203 → .165; BABIP .306 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 217 PAwOBA .349 → .281 (−68)K% 30.9% → 39.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.88% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.06% | ÷0.990 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.027 | 7.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 2.82% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.58% | ÷1.002 | ×0.940 | ×1.032 | ×1.027 | 24.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.93% | ÷0.987 | ×0.870 | ×1.032 | ×1.027 | 5.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.85% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×1.032 | ×1.027 | 0.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.63% | ÷1.074 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 5.69% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 115, 1B 100, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 92, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .349 → .281; ISO .195 → .141; BABIP .339 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .