Victor Labrada
CF Tacoma Rainiers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 570 | .278/.363/.450 | 14 | 62 | 95 | — | .223/.296/.371 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA/AA/INTL2 orgs | 639 | .265/.385/.387 | 8 | 48 | 98 | — | .262/.357/.376 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 546 | .266/.369/.420 | 14 | 21 | 87 | — | .230/.312/.339 |
| 2027PROJ10% MLB | 27 | MLBSEA | 16 | .227/.312/.337 | 0 | 1 | 88 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ38% MLB | 28 | MLBSEA | 83 | .226/.311/.336 | 1 | 4 | 87 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ49% MLB | 29 | MLBSEA | 117 | .225/.308/.333 | 2 | 4 | 86 | 0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 227 | 203 | 50 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 63 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 246 | 316 | 399 | 715 | 153 | 324 | 28 | 8 | 316 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 243 | 201 | 59 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 60 | 6 | 22 | 9 | 294 | 411 | 418 | 829 | 124 | 408 | 25 | 14 | 374 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 463 | 401 | 93 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 134 | 8 | 27 | 8 | 232 | 325 | 374 | 699 | 142 | 323 | 29 | 11 | 315 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 61 | 50 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 400 | 500 | 620 | 1.120 | 220 | 439 | 13 | 15 | 481 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 226 | 201 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 46 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 259 | 330 | 294 | 624 | 35 | 331 | 20 | 8 | 288 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 218 | 193 | 45 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 67 | 5 | 25 | 7 | 233 | 313 | 383 | 697 | 150 | 331 | 31 | 8 | 312 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 185 | 156 | 48 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 34 | 3 | 24 | 4 | 308 | 411 | 532 | 943 | 224 | 368 | 18 | 14 | 413 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | INTL | Sultanes de Monterrey | — | 167 | 147 | 45 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 306 | 374 | 449 | 823 | 143 | 402 | 25 | 8 | 359 | 129 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 236 | 189 | 50 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 42 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 265 | 399 | 376 | 775 | 111 | 331 | 18 | 16 | 353 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 295 | 241 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 42 | 48 | 5 | 30 | 9 | 295 | 405 | 427 | 833 | 133 | 344 | 16 | 14 | 371 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 108 | 87 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 184 | 290 | 299 | 589 | 115 | 234 | 23 | 9 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 501 | 424 | 113 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 53 | 99 | 16 | 21 | 6 | 267 | 369 | 410 | 780 | 144 | 319 | 20 | 11 | 348 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | INTL | Algodoneros de Guasave | — | 45 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 263 | 364 | 526 | 890 | 263 | 259 | 20 | 9 | 383 | 145 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 227 | 211 | 41 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 86 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 194 | 244 | 294 | 538 | 100 | 300 | 38 | 5 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 243 | 211 | 51 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 80 | 6 | 22 | 9 | 242 | 336 | 346 | 682 | 104 | 367 | 33 | 10 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 463 | 420 | 73 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 180 | 8 | 27 | 8 | 174 | 247 | 267 | 514 | 93 | 281 | 39 | 7 | 230 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 61 | 53 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 340 | 417 | 528 | 945 | 189 | 373 | 18 | 10 | 397 | 155 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 226 | 207 | 46 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 222 | 281 | 251 | 532 | 29 | 300 | 26 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 218 | 198 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 78 | 5 | 25 | 7 | 197 | 267 | 333 | 601 | 136 | 289 | 36 | 6 | 257 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 185 | 166 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 46 | 3 | 24 | 4 | 253 | 330 | 416 | 745 | 163 | 331 | 25 | 9 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 236 | 202 | 49 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 49 | 6 | 14 | 2 | 243 | 343 | 342 | 685 | 99 | 306 | 21 | 11 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 295 | 255 | 71 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 55 | 5 | 30 | 9 | 278 | 368 | 404 | 772 | 125 | 324 | 19 | 11 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 501 | 440 | 101 | 20 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 119 | 16 | 21 | 6 | 230 | 312 | 339 | 651 | 109 | 284 | 24 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 470 | 422 | 92 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 166 | 8 | 32 | 15 | 218 | 292 | 320 | 612 | 102 | 341 | 35 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 470 | 404 | 109 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 123 | 8 | 32 | 15 | 270 | 365 | 408 | 773 | 139 | 367 | 26 | 11 | 346 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 524 | 473 | 91 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 191 | 9 | 30 | 9 | 192 | 267 | 296 | 563 | 104 | 302 | 36 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 524 | 451 | 113 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 58 | 142 | 9 | 30 | 9 | 251 | 345 | 401 | 747 | 151 | 339 | 27 | 11 | 335 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 226 | 207 | 46 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 222 | 281 | 251 | 532 | 29 | 307 | 26 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | Everett AquaSox | — | 226 | 201 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 46 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 259 | 330 | 294 | 624 | 35 | 331 | 20 | 8 | 288 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 570 | 512 | 114 | 25 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 175 | 11 | 62 | 14 | 223 | 296 | 369 | 665 | 146 | 314 | 31 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 570 | 496 | 138 | 27 | 8 | 14 | 56 | 142 | 11 | 62 | 14 | 278 | 363 | 450 | 812 | 171 | 365 | 25 | 10 | 359 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 639 | 543 | 144 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 67 | 125 | 14 | 48 | 13 | 265 | 361 | 379 | 740 | 114 | 326 | 20 | 10 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 639 | 517 | 137 | 27 | 6 | 8 | 89 | 115 | 14 | 48 | 13 | 265 | 385 | 387 | 771 | 122 | 322 | 18 | 14 | 345 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 546 | 479 | 110 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 129 | 18 | 21 | 6 | 230 | 313 | 340 | 653 | 111 | 290 | 24 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 546 | 462 | 123 | 25 | 2 | 14 | 57 | 108 | 18 | 21 | 6 | 266 | 369 | 420 | 789 | 154 | 314 | 20 | 10 | 351 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 470 | 423 | 92 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 166 | 8 | 32 | 15 | 217 | 292 | 319 | 611 | 102 | 335 | 35 | 8 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 524 | 471 | 91 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 191 | 9 | 30 | 9 | 193 | 267 | 297 | 564 | 104 | 292 | 36 | 7 | 249 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 226 | 207 | 46 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 3 | 16 | 4 | 222 | 281 | 251 | 532 | 29 | 300 | 26 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 570 | 512 | 114 | 25 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 175 | 11 | 62 | 14 | 223 | 296 | 369 | 665 | 146 | 308 | 31 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 639 | 553 | 144 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 67 | 125 | 14 | 48 | 13 | 260 | 361 | 373 | 733 | 112 | 316 | 20 | 10 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 546 | 483 | 110 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 129 | 18 | 21 | 6 | 228 | 313 | 337 | 650 | 110 | 284 | 24 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 570 | 512 | 114 | 25 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 175 | 11 | 62 | 14 | 223 | 296 | 369 | 665 | 146 | 308 | 31 | 7 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 639 | 553 | 144 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 67 | 125 | 14 | 48 | 13 | 260 | 361 | 373 | 733 | 112 | 316 | 20 | 10 | 325 | 106 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 546 | 483 | 110 | 22 | 2 | 9 | 40 | 129 | 18 | 21 | 6 | 228 | 313 | 337 | 650 | 110 | 284 | 24 | 7 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | SEA | 10% | 380 | 336 | 76 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 88 | 9 | 18 | 5 | 229 | 314 | 341 | 655 | 112 | 289 | 23 | 8 | 298 | 88 | -5 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | SEA | 10% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 312 | 337 | 649 | 110 | 286 | 25 | 6 | 296 | 88 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | SEA | 38% | 222 | 196 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 52 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 228 | 312 | 340 | 653 | 112 | 288 | 23 | 9 | 297 | 87 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB MLE | SEA | 49% | 240 | 213 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 56 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 227 | 310 | 338 | 648 | 111 | 288 | 23 | 8 | 295 | 86 | -4 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | SEA | 38% | 83 | 74 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 226 | 311 | 336 | 646 | 110 | 286 | 23 | 8 | 294 | 87 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB CTX | SEA | 49% | 117 | 103 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 225 | 308 | 333 | 642 | 109 | 285 | 23 | 9 | 292 | 86 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +0 | +3 | 0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 200 | 177 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 46 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 226 | 312 | 333 | 645 | 107 | 287 | 23 | 8 | 293 | 79 | -3 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 575 | 130 | 26 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 150 | 16 | 26 | 6 | 226 | 311 | 334 | 645 | 108 | 287 | 23 | 8 | 293 | 79 | -11 | +3 | -3 | +2 | +14 | 0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3592 | 3182 | 722 | 137 | 28 | 52 | 290 | 989 | 77 | 234 | 68 | 227 | 307 | 337 | 643 | 110 | 309 | 28 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -10 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +13 | 0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 130 | 25 | 5 | 9 | 52 | 179 | 14 | 42 | 12 | 226 | 305 | 333 | 638 | 108 | 309 | 28 | 8 | 285 | 79 | -10 | +2 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAATacoma Rainiers · 501 PAwOBA .344 → .289 (−54)K% 19.8% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.76% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 7.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.19% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 3.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 21.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 6.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.973 | ×1.018 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.41% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .344 → .289; ISO .144 → .113; BABIP .319 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAArkansas Travelers · 295 PAwOBA .365 → .339 (−26)K% 16.3% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.27% | ÷1.061 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.24% | ÷0.950 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 10.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.94% | ÷0.998 | ×0.920 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 25.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.22% | ÷0.914 | ×0.840 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 5.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.018 | ×0.940 | ×1.023 | ×0.998 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.11% | ÷0.800 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.10% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 60, 1B 100, 2B 83, 3B 104, K 112, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .365 → .339; ISO .133 → .137; BABIP .344 → .324. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAATacoma Rainiers · 236 PAwOBA .347 → .307 (−39)K% 17.8% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.80% | ÷1.035 | ×1.200 | — | — | 20.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.25% | ÷1.023 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 10.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.54% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.13% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 21.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.16% | ÷0.985 | ×0.830 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 7.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.04% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | ×0.999 | ×1.033 | 2.01% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.204 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 0.41% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 141, 1B 104, 2B 97, 3B 103, K 107, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .347 → .307; ISO .111 → .102; BABIP .331 → .306. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAArkansas Travelers · 218 PAwOBA .304 → .257 (−47)K% 30.7% → 35.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.73% | ÷1.046 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.26% | ÷0.928 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.29% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 2.02% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.020 | ×0.920 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 19.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.94% | ÷0.977 | ×0.840 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 6.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.975 | ×1.012 | 1.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.97% | ÷0.820 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.92% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 104, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 109, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.
Result: wOBA .304 → .257; ISO .150 → .133; BABIP .331 → .289. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Everett AquaSox · 185 PAwOBA .402 → .325 (−77)K% 18.4% → 24.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.38% | ÷1.003 | ×1.350 | — | — | 24.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.51% | ÷1.082 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 8.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.988 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.13% | ÷0.992 | ×0.910 | ×1.046 | ×0.988 | 20.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.84% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×1.046 | ×0.988 | 8.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.28% | ÷0.904 | ×0.820 | ×1.046 | ×0.988 | 3.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.10% | ÷1.175 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.988 | 2.86% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 135, 1B 98, 2B 108, 3B 81, K 101, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.046.
Result: wOBA .402 → .325; ISO .224 → .177; BABIP .368 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Everett AquaSox · 226 PAwOBA .284 → .240 (−44)K% 20.4% → 26.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.35% | ÷1.046 | ×1.350 | — | — | 26.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.41% | ÷0.953 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 1.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.68% | ÷1.018 | ×0.910 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 27.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.040 | ×0.830 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 2.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.65% | ÷1.023 | ×0.820 | ×1.030 | ×0.998 | 0.53% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 104, 2B 108, 3B 105, K 109, BB 91 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.
Result: wOBA .284 → .240; ISO .035 → .028; BABIP .331 → .300. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Everett AquaSox · 463 PAwOBA .306 → .230 (−76)K% 28.9% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.94% | ÷1.007 | ×1.350 | — | — | 38.79% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.37% | ÷1.039 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.73% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.22% | ÷1.021 | ×0.910 | ×0.996 | ×1.012 | 20.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.62% | ÷1.048 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×1.012 | 4.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.25% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.996 | ×1.012 | 2.06% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.75% | ÷1.237 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 2.54% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 104, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 101, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .306 → .230; ISO .142 → .099; BABIP .323 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AModesto Nuts · 61 PAwOBA .477 → .397 (−79)K% 13.1% → 18.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.11% | ÷0.971 | ×1.360 | — | — | 18.37% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.75% | ÷1.024 | ×0.690 | — | — | 9.94% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.64% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.95% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | — | — | 27.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.90% | ÷1.060 | ×0.830 | — | — | 9.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.855 | ×0.800 | — | — | 4.46% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 71, 1B 109, 2B 112, 3B 112, K 94, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .477 → .397; ISO .220 → .195; BABIP .439 → .373. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .