Lewin Díaz
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | AAAMIA | 312 | .248/.328/.518 | 20 | 2 | 89 | — | .209/.270/.422 | |
| 2021 | 24 | MLBMIA | 128 | .205/.242/.451 | 8 | 0 | 94 | -0.4 | ||
| 2022 | 25 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 431 | .240/.319/.451 | 19 | 0 | 66 | — | .201/.262/.374 | |
| 2022 | 25 | MLBMIA | 174 | .169/.227/.288 | 5 | 1 | 48 | -1.7 | ||
| 2023 | 26 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 624 | .255/.345/.404 | 18 | 2 | 71 | — | .213/.291/.334 | |
| 2024 | 27 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 28 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 17 | ROK | DSL Twins | — | 174 | 144 | 37 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 385 | 451 | 836 | 194 | 278 | 14 | 15 | 376 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | — | 180 | 159 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 322 | 371 | 693 | 138 | 289 | 23 | 9 | 315 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK | Elizabethton Twins | — | 187 | 174 | 54 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 310 | 355 | 575 | 930 | 264 | 344 | 19 | 6 | 401 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 508 | 466 | 136 | 33 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 80 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 292 | 336 | 444 | 780 | 152 | 322 | 16 | 5 | 339 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 310 | 294 | 66 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 257 | 344 | 601 | 119 | 255 | 18 | 3 | 265 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 267 | 241 | 61 | 22 | 1 | 14 | 19 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 253 | 316 | 527 | 843 | 274 | 261 | 19 | 7 | 360 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 234 | 214 | 62 | 11 | 1 | 13 | 14 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 339 | 533 | 872 | 243 | 297 | 17 | 6 | 374 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 127 | 116 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 276 | 333 | 422 | 756 | 147 | 315 | 17 | 7 | 335 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 41 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 195 | 205 | 400 | 51 | 222 | 29 | 5 | 185 | 16 | -4 | +0 | +1 | -2 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 93 | 82 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 207 | 301 | 354 | 655 | 146 | 222 | 17 | 11 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 128 | 122 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 205 | 242 | 451 | 693 | 246 | 210 | 26 | 5 | 300 | 94 | -1 | +0 | +2 | -8 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 312 | 278 | 69 | 15 | 0 | 20 | 26 | 60 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 248 | 328 | 518 | 846 | 270 | 246 | 19 | 8 | 368 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 174 | 160 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 169 | 227 | 287 | 514 | 119 | 214 | 31 | 6 | 231 | 48 | -11 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +4 | -1.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 368 | 325 | 82 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 32 | 75 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 252 | 329 | 492 | 821 | 240 | 266 | 20 | 9 | 355 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 63 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 262 | 204 | 466 | 37 | 188 | 13 | 11 | 219 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Norfolk Tides | — | 483 | 414 | 111 | 21 | 0 | 17 | 60 | 95 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 268 | 366 | 442 | 808 | 174 | 306 | 20 | 12 | 359 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 141 | 128 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 211 | 273 | 281 | 555 | 70 | 250 | 18 | 7 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 343 | 321 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 99 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 181 | 229 | 340 | 568 | 159 | 213 | 29 | 6 | 252 | 56 | -18 | +0 | +3 | -21 | +7 | -2.9 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Twins | — | 174 | 152 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 259 | 243 | 502 | 92 | 175 | 17 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 180 | 165 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 58 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 164 | 233 | 261 | 494 | 97 | 224 | 32 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 187 | 178 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 258 | 410 | 668 | 185 | 269 | 27 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 508 | 474 | 111 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 111 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 234 | 270 | 352 | 622 | 118 | 268 | 22 | 3 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 310 | 297 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 79 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 185 | 212 | 279 | 491 | 94 | 227 | 25 | 2 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 267 | 250 | 56 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 10 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 224 | 262 | 468 | 730 | 244 | 234 | 23 | 4 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 234 | 218 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 270 | 394 | 664 | 165 | 265 | 26 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 41 | 39 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 195 | 205 | 400 | 51 | 222 | 29 | 5 | 192 | 16 | -4 | +0 | +1 | -2 | +1 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 24 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 128 | 123 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 203 | 234 | 447 | 682 | 244 | 210 | 26 | 4 | 308 | 94 | -1 | +0 | +2 | -8 | +3 | -0.4 |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 312 | 287 | 60 | 13 | 0 | 16 | 17 | 73 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 209 | 270 | 422 | 692 | 213 | 222 | 23 | 5 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 174 | 160 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 169 | 227 | 287 | 514 | 119 | 214 | 31 | 6 | 239 | 48 | -11 | +0 | +1 | -11 | +4 | -1.7 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp | — | 368 | 334 | 67 | 17 | 1 | 13 | 23 | 93 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 262 | 374 | 637 | 174 | 225 | 25 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | Norfolk Tides | — | 483 | 431 | 92 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 43 | 116 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 213 | 291 | 334 | 625 | 121 | 256 | 24 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Twins | — | 174 | 152 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 259 | 243 | 502 | 92 | 174 | 17 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Twins | — | 174 | 144 | 37 | 13 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 257 | 385 | 451 | 836 | 194 | 278 | 14 | 15 | 376 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 180 | 165 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 58 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 164 | 233 | 261 | 494 | 97 | 231 | 32 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK RAW | Elizabethton Twins | — | 180 | 159 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 41 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 233 | 322 | 371 | 693 | 138 | 289 | 23 | 9 | 315 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 187 | 178 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 258 | 410 | 668 | 185 | 270 | 27 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK RAW | Elizabethton Twins | — | 187 | 174 | 54 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 310 | 355 | 575 | 930 | 264 | 344 | 19 | 6 | 401 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 508 | 474 | 111 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 111 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 234 | 270 | 352 | 622 | 118 | 277 | 22 | 3 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A RAW | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 508 | 466 | 136 | 33 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 80 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 292 | 336 | 444 | 780 | 152 | 322 | 16 | 5 | 339 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 310 | 297 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 79 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 185 | 212 | 279 | 491 | 94 | 231 | 25 | 2 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ RAW | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 310 | 294 | 66 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 257 | 344 | 601 | 119 | 255 | 18 | 3 | 265 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 628 | 588 | 132 | 38 | 2 | 26 | 25 | 153 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 224 | 263 | 429 | 692 | 204 | 254 | 24 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA RAW | 3 teams | — | 628 | 571 | 155 | 39 | 3 | 30 | 42 | 113 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 271 | 328 | 508 | 836 | 236 | 286 | 18 | 7 | 360 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 134 | 126 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 159 | 209 | 214 | 423 | 56 | 230 | 29 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 134 | 121 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 269 | 306 | 574 | 116 | 222 | 21 | 9 | 263 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 440 | 410 | 87 | 17 | 1 | 25 | 22 | 106 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 212 | 264 | 441 | 706 | 229 | 221 | 24 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 440 | 400 | 94 | 19 | 1 | 28 | 32 | 93 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 235 | 303 | 497 | 800 | 263 | 236 | 21 | 7 | 349 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 605 | 551 | 106 | 24 | 1 | 20 | 38 | 164 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 252 | 348 | 601 | 156 | 228 | 27 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 605 | 539 | 118 | 25 | 1 | 24 | 50 | 137 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 219 | 292 | 403 | 695 | 184 | 242 | 23 | 8 | 305 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 624 | 556 | 119 | 21 | 0 | 16 | 56 | 150 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 292 | 338 | 630 | 124 | 259 | 24 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 624 | 542 | 138 | 25 | 1 | 18 | 70 | 120 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 255 | 345 | 404 | 749 | 149 | 292 | 19 | 11 | 335 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Twins | — | 174 | 150 | 23 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 153 | 259 | 247 | 505 | 93 | 175 | 17 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 18 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 180 | 163 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 58 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 166 | 233 | 264 | 497 | 98 | 224 | 32 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 19 | ROK MLE | Elizabethton Twins | — | 187 | 177 | 40 | 10 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 226 | 258 | 412 | 670 | 186 | 269 | 27 | 4 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 20 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 508 | 480 | 111 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 111 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 231 | 270 | 348 | 618 | 117 | 268 | 22 | 3 | 268 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 21 | A+ MLE | Fort Myers Miracle | — | 310 | 297 | 55 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 79 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 185 | 212 | 279 | 491 | 94 | 227 | 25 | 2 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 22 | AA MLE | 3 teams | — | 628 | 592 | 132 | 38 | 2 | 26 | 25 | 153 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 263 | 426 | 689 | 203 | 248 | 24 | 4 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 23 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 134 | 125 | 20 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 160 | 209 | 216 | 425 | 56 | 222 | 29 | 5 | 192 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 440 | 408 | 87 | 17 | 1 | 25 | 22 | 106 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 213 | 264 | 444 | 708 | 230 | 218 | 24 | 5 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 605 | 556 | 106 | 24 | 1 | 20 | 38 | 164 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 191 | 252 | 345 | 597 | 155 | 221 | 27 | 6 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 624 | 558 | 119 | 21 | 0 | 16 | 56 | 150 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 213 | 292 | 337 | 629 | 124 | 256 | 24 | 9 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 343 | 321 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 99 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 181 | 229 | 340 | 568 | 159 | 213 | 29 | 6 | 252 | 67 | -18 | +0 | +3 | -21 | +7 | -2.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 608 | 110 | 19 | 2 | 25 | 36 | 188 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 181 | 229 | 342 | 571 | 161 | 213 | 29 | 6 | 252 | 67 | -34 | +0 | +6 | -40 | +14 | -5.4 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 3790 | 3497 | 720 | 163 | 9 | 114 | 209 | 939 | 42 | 11 | 3 | 206 | 259 | 355 | 615 | 150 | 244 | 25 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -18 | +0 | +3 | -21 | +7 | -2.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 600 | 124 | 28 | 2 | 20 | 36 | 161 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 207 | 260 | 360 | 620 | 153 | 244 | 25 | 6 | 267 | 67 | -34 | +0 | +6 | -40 | +14 | -5.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2023 AAANorfolk Tides · 483 PAwOBA .352 → .279 (−74)K% 19.7% → 24.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.67% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 24.08% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.22% | ÷0.948 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.003 | 8.92% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.83% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.003 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.88% | ÷1.019 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 19.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.58% | ÷1.015 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 5.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.003 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.33% | ÷0.995 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.003 | 3.76% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 104, 2B 103, 3B 80, K 96, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .352 → .279; ISO .174 → .127; BABIP .306 → .256. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 368 PAwOBA .350 → .275 (−75)K% 20.4% → 25.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.38% | ÷0.966 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷0.978 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.20% | ÷1.054 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 14.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.60% | ÷0.898 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 6.79% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷0.930 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.60% | ÷1.032 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 5.25% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 111, 2B 80, 3B 86, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .350 → .275; ISO .240 → .177; BABIP .266 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 312 PAwOBA .357 → .300 (−57)K% 19.2% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.23% | ÷0.985 | ×1.200 | — | — | 23.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷0.994 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 5.52% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 2.18% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.60% | ÷0.971 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 14.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.88% | ÷0.933 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 6.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.109 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.17% | ÷0.886 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 7.49% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 94, 2B 87, 3B 122, K 97, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .357 → .300; ISO .270 → .220; BABIP .246 → .222. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 267 PAwOBA .349 → .310 (−39)K% 19.1% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.10% | ÷1.007 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.24% | ÷1.015 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 3.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.97% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.63% | ÷1.008 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 11.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.58% | ÷0.975 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 10.55% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.37% | ÷0.918 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 6.59% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 101, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .349 → .310; ISO .274 → .251; BABIP .261 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 234 PAwOBA .369 → .283 (−87)K% 17.1% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.09% | ÷0.939 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.98% | ÷1.019 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 4.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 0.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.26% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 19.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.32% | ÷0.908 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 6.34% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.57% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.49% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.47% | ÷1.362 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 4.82% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 95, 2B 82, 3B 80, K 88, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .369 → .283; ISO .243 → .164; BABIP .297 → .265. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Fort Myers Miracle · 310 PAwOBA .259 → .213 (−46)K% 18.1% → 25.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.06% | ÷1.011 | ×1.420 | — | — | 25.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 2.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.97% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.33% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 17.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.62% | ÷1.036 | ×0.960 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 4.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.26% | ÷0.949 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 1.03% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.52% | ÷1.059 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 2.12% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 112, 1B 97, 2B 107, 3B 90, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .259 → .213; ISO .119 → .095; BABIP .255 → .227. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 508 PAwOBA .335 → .268 (−67)K% 15.7% → 21.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.75% | ÷0.977 | ×1.360 | — | — | 21.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.33% | ÷0.925 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 3.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.32% | ÷1.016 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 20.36% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.55% | ÷1.086 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.26% | ÷1.012 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 0.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.11% | ÷0.984 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.56% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 117, 3B 102, K 95, BB 85 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .335 → .268; ISO .152 → .116; BABIP .322 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKElizabethton Twins · 187 PAwOBA .391 → .283 (−108)K% 18.7% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.72% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 26.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.995 | 4.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.995 | ×0.995 | 16.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.995 | ×0.995 | 7.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.995 | ×0.995 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.47% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.995 | 5.15% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .391 → .283; ISO .264 → .190; BABIP .344 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .