Ceddanne RafaelaCF Boston Red Sox
Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs MLB HR -5%K -4% Svc 2.203S2 · Ctrl thru 2033 ILInjured 10-Day (D10)
2026 ROS PROJECTION569 act + 5 ros · stats below = ROS only
showingROS
wRC+†vL 9694vR 87
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .200 / .200
PA5
HR0
K%20
BB%4
BABIP302
ISO151
MLB%100%
Value2026 · WAR
2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)
BAT so far: +8.4 runs (569 MLB PA)BAT projected ROS: -0.1 runs (5 MLB PA, park-applied)+8BATRUN so far: -0.2 runs (569 MLB PA)RUN projected ROS: +0.0 runs (5 MLB PA, park-applied)-0RUNFLD so far: +0.5 runs (569 MLB PA)FLD projected ROS: +0.1 runs (5 MLB PA, park-applied)+1FLDPOS so far: +2.0 runs (569 MLB PA)POS projected ROS: +0.0 runs (5 MLB PA, park-applied)+2POSREP so far: +12.3 runs (569 MLB PA)REP projected ROS: +0.1 runs (5 MLB PA, park-applied)+12REP2026 MLB WAR (so far + projected ROS): +2.37so far: +2.4 WAR+2.4WAR
0.01.53.00.22.72.72.52.32.01.726272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit option yr post-control+$75M ctrl surplus
Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026
CONTACT45
Whiff%
4911.1%
xAVG
350.239
POWER50
Barrel%
437.3
Avg EV
2387.1
Bat Spd
3369.5
EYE20
Chase%
5031.7%
SPEED60
Sprint
9029.0
Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ
K%23%·22% over 80 PA (30d) · proj 23%
BB%3%2% over 146 PA (45d) · proj 4%
ISO.165.176 over 193 AB (60d) · proj .151xISO .111 vs .161 prior — approach does NOT back the move
HR/BB4.6%5.2% over 154 BBE (60d) · proj 3.8%barrel% 5.2% vs 8.4% prior — approach does NOT back the move
BABIP.298.322 over 146 BIP (60d) · proj .293xBABIP .284 vs .297 prior — approach does NOT back the move
SLASH.254/.284/.419proj .245/.283/.396
Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1251 PA
vs LHP
vs RHP
Edge
PA
338
913
wRC+
84
92
R
wOBA
293
305
R
ISO
169
143
◀◀L
BABIP
299
305
K%
28.1%
21.0%
▶▶R
BB%
3.8%
3.8%
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   Pre-Arb SUPER-2
MLB Debut   2023
Service   2.203 yrs.days
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
OPT
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026ROSExt$0.5M+0.2$0.6M+$0.1M
2027Ext$6M+2.7$21M+$15M
2028Ext$6M+2.7$19M+$14M
2029Ext$6M+2.5$16M+$11M
2030Ext$6M+2.3$14M+$9M
2031Ext$6M+2.0$11M+$7M
Totals $32M $82M +$58M
Options · projected decision
2032CLUB OPT$6.2M / $0.0M buyoutEXERCISE
2033CLUB OPT$16.0M / $4.0M buyoutDECLINE

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
201817 ROKDSL Red Sox 1 225203 55923 14394 197 271330379710 108317 176 315 99 -0 +1 +5 0.6
201918 ROKGCL Red Sox 176153 38146 14285 92 248331425756 176267 168 330 110 +2 +1 +4 0.7
202120 ASalem Red Sox 432394 9920910 25797 233 251308424731 173288 186 319 102 +1 +3 +9 1.4
202221 AAPortland Sea Dogs 313284 7915612 16626 145 278330500830 222310 205 355 126 +10 +1 +7 1.8
202221 A+Greenville Drive 209197 651749 10512 142 330368594962 264409 245 417 168 +17 +2 +5 2.4
202221 INTLCriollos de Caguas 7665 17401 9162 52 262368369738 108333 2112 340 116 +1 +0 +2 0.3
202322 MLBBoston Red Sox 8983 20602 4281 31 241284386670 145333 314 295 86 -2 +0 +1 +2 +2 0.3
202322 AAAWorcester Red Sox 219199 6213314 12487 65 312372618990 307348 225 425 174 +19 -1 +5 2.4
202322 AAPortland Sea Dogs 266245 721806 14552 308 294337441778 147351 215 339 116 +5 +3 +6 1.4
202423 MLBBoston Red Sox 571544 13423515 151517 1910 246276390665 143312 263 292 84 -11 -0 +1 +6 +12 0.9
202524 MLBBoston Red Sox 587546 13634416 281178 205 249296414709 165289 205 312 97 -2 +2 +18 +2 +13 3.3
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career 12471173 29063933 4729616 4216 247286401686 153302 244 302 90 -14 +2 +20 +10 +27 4.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
201817 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox 1 225208 41612 9564 197 197244264509 67247 254 226 39 -16 +1 +5 -1.1
201918 ROK MLEGCL Red Sox 176158 30135 9405 92 190256329585 139202 235 235 45 -11 +1 +4 -0.7
202120 A MLESalem Red Sox 432403 861589 161107 233 213256357613 144263 254 263 64 -18 +3 +9 -0.6
202221 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs 313289 691259 11766 145 239281408689 170277 244 295 86 -5 +1 +7 0.2
202221 A+ MLEGreenville Drive 209200 521337 7652 142 260292460752 200348 313 315 99 -0 +2 +5 0.6
202322 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 8983 20602 4281 31 241284386670 145333 314 286 80 -2 +0 +1 +2 +2 0.3
202322 AAA MLEWorcester Red Sox 219203 508310 8567 65 246298463761 217286 264 319 102 +1 -1 +5 0.5
202322 AA MLEPortland Sea Dogs 266250 641404 9672 308 256287360647 104319 253 283 78 -7 +3 +6 0.2
202423 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 571544 13322615 151517 1910 244274390664 145312 263 286 80 -14 -0 +1 +6 +12 0.6
202524 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 587546 13432516 281178 205 245292410702 165289 205 306 93 -5 +2 +18 +2 +13 3.0
201817 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox 1 225208 41612 9564 197 197244264509 67255 254 226 39
201817 ROK RAWDSL Red Sox 1 225203 55923 14394 197 271330379710 108317 176 315 39
201918 ROK MLEGCL Red Sox 176158 30135 9405 92 190256329585 139219 235 235 45
201918 ROK RAWGCL Red Sox 176153 38146 14285 92 248331425756 176267 168 330 45
202120 A MLESalem Red Sox 432403 861589 161107 233 213256357613 144267 254 263 64
202120 A RAWSalem Red Sox 432394 9920910 25797 233 251308424731 173288 186 319 64
202221 AA MLE3 teams 598561 13928919 2016110 339 248286431717 184310 273 303 91
202221 AA RAW3 teams 598546 161361022 3512910 339 295349518867 223347 226 375 91
202322 AA MLE3 teams 574536 13327316 2115110 3914 248289399688 151312 264 297 87
202322 AA RAW3 teams 574527 15437322 3013110 3914 292342499841 207347 235 365 87
202423 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 571544 13322615 151517 1910 244274390664 145310 263 286 80 -14 -0 +1 +6 +12 0.6
202423 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox 571544 13423515 151517 1910 246276390665 143312 263 292 80 -14 -0 +1 +6 +12 0.6
202524 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 587546 13432516 281178 205 245292410702 165284 205 306 93 -5 +2 +18 +2 +13 3.0
202524 MLB RAWBoston Red Sox 587546 13634416 281178 205 249296414709 165289 205 312 93 -5 +2 +18 +2 +13 3.0
201817 ROK MLEDSL Red Sox 1 225210 41612 9564 197 195244262506 67247 254 226 39
201918 ROK MLEGCL Red Sox 176160 30135 9405 92 188256325581 138202 235 235 45
202120 A MLESalem Red Sox 432406 861589 161107 233 212256355611 143263 254 263 64
202221 AA MLE3 teams 598563 13928919 2016110 339 247286430716 183305 273 303 91
202322 AA MLE3 teams 574538 13327316 2115110 3914 247289398687 151309 264 297 87
202423 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 571544 13322615 151517 1910 244274390664 145312 263 286 80
202524 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 587546 13432516 281178 205 245292410702 165289 205 306 93
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
202322 AA MLE3 teams 574538 13327316 2115110 3914 247289398687 151309 264 297 87
202423 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 571544 13322615 151517 1910 244274390664 145312 263 286 80
202524 MLB MLEBoston Red Sox 587546 13432516 281178 205 245292410702 165289 205 306 93
YTD25 MLB MLEBOS 569535 14830316 211158 179 277314434747 157324 204 326 107 +5 -0 +0 +2 +12 2.0
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR25 MLB RAWBOS 569535 15132316 211158 179 282319443762 161332 204 334 107 +5 -0 +0 +2 +12 2.0
YTD25 MLB RAWBOS 569535 15132316 211158 179 282319443762 161332 204 334 112 +8 -0 +0 +2 +12 2.4
ROS25 MLB MLEBOS 100% 55 1000 010 00 200200200400 296 200 307 94 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
ROS25 MLB CTXBOS 100% 55 1000 010 00 200200200400 302 200 300 94 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
FULL25 MLB A+CBOS 574540 15232316 211168 179 281318441759 159331 204 334 107 +5 -0 +1 +2 +12 2.0
TOT25 MLB MLEBOS 574540 14930316 211168 179 276313431744 156324 204 326 107 +5 -0 +1 +2 +12 2.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202726 MLB MLEBOS 100% 607570 14631417 241298 238 256296414710 158302 214 314 99 -1 +1 +11 +2 +13 2.7
202827 MLB MLEBOS 100% 595558 14431417 241278 238 258298419718 161302 214 314 99 -1 +1 +11 +2 +13 2.7
202928 MLB MLEBOS 100% 583546 14030416 241258 217 256298414711 158302 214 313 98 -1 +1 +10 +2 +13 2.5
203029 MLB MLEBOS 100% 571534 13729416 241248 197 257299416714 159301 224 312 97 -2 +1 +9 +2 +12 2.3
203130 MLB MLEBOS 100% 560524 13328415 231238 176 254295408704 155300 224 309 95 -3 +1 +8 +2 +12 2.0
203231 MLB MLEBOS 100% 548513 12727314 231227 145 248289394683 146298 224 305 92 -5 +1 +7 +2 +12 1.7
203332 MLB MLEBOS 100% 516483 11825313 211177 114 244286389675 145294 234 298 88 -7 +1 +6 +2 +11 1.2
203433 MLB MLEBOS 100% 486457 10922312 201126 83 239280379658 140289 234 291 83 -10 +0 +4 +2 +11 0.7
202726 MLB CTXBOS 100% 607570 14933417 241298 238 261301423723 161308 214 307 99 -1 +1 +11 +2 +13 2.7
202827 MLB CTXBOS 100% 595558 14632417 241278 238 262302425726 163308 214 307 99 -1 +1 +11 +2 +13 2.7
202928 MLB CTXBOS 100% 583546 14232316 241258 217 260301418719 158308 214 306 98 -1 +1 +10 +2 +13 2.5
203029 MLB CTXBOS 100% 571534 13831315 241248 197 258300412712 154307 224 305 97 -2 +1 +9 +2 +12 2.3
203130 MLB CTXBOS 100% 560524 13530315 231238 176 258299412711 155306 224 302 95 -3 +1 +8 +2 +12 2.0
203231 MLB CTXBOS 100% 548513 13029314 231227 145 253295404698 150304 224 298 92 -5 +1 +7 +2 +12 1.7
203332 MLB CTXBOS 100% 516483 12126313 211177 114 251292398689 147300 234 292 88 -7 +1 +6 +2 +11 1.2
203433 MLB CTXBOS 100% 486457 11024211 201126 83 241282374656 133295 234 284 83 -10 +0 +4 +2 +11 0.7
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career A+C 57185363 136230034151 230127676 17864 254294407701 153305 224 301 88 -45 +10 +85 +26 +124 20.4
/ 162G A+C 650610 15534417 261459 207 254295407701 152306 224 301 88 -5 +1 +10 +3 +14 2.3
Career MLE 76347146 175135464202 3011766111 29898 245286397683 152296 234 298 88 -45 +10 +85 +26 +124 20.4
/ 162G MLE 650608 14830517 261509 258 243284393677 150294 234 298 88 -5 +1 +10 +3 +14 2.3