Ramon Marquez — OGILVIE

Ramon Marquez P Eugene Emeralds

Age 20 RHP 6'2" / 182 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033 peak 1.9 · 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 115107vR 99

ERA4.31

FIP4.31

K%22.7%

BB%9.0%

K-BB%13.7%

ROS IP38

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 38 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$25M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF5055

CTRL—55

CMD3045

K†5565

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$2M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$3M	+$2M
2031	Arb-1	$3M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2032	Arb-2	$5M	+1.0	$5M	+$2M
2033	Arb-3	$9M	+1.2	$6M	+$1M
Totals		$20M		$23M	+$12M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	12	55	238	72	17	4	86%	3.9	21.1%	8.8%	12.3%	2.6%	4.42	3.84	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	12	55	238	72	17	4	86%	3.9	21.1%	8.8%	12.3%	2.6%	4.42	3.84	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	12	55	238	72	17	4	86%	3.9	30.3%	7.1%	23.1%	1.7%	4.42	2.35	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	14	13	69	261	105	20	4	93%	4.9	30.4%	8.9%	21.5%	2.0%	2.22	2.73	—
YTD	20	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	14	13	69	261	105	20	4	93%	4.9	30.4%	8.9%	21.5%	2.0%	2.22	2.73	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	A RAW	SF	6	5	29	116	47	10	2	83%	4.8	40.5%	8.6%	31.9%	1.7%	1.86	1.72	—
2026	20	A+ RAW	SF	8	8	40	145	58	10	2	100%	5.0	40.0%	6.9%	33.1%	1.4%	2.48	1.35	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	SF	14	14	71	300	69	27	9	100%	5.1	23.2%	8.9%	14.3%	2.9%	4.25	4.22	+0.6
2028	22	MLB MLE	SF	15	15	74	315	76	27	9	100%	5.0	24.1%	8.5%	15.6%	2.8%	4.14	4.06	+0.7
2029	23	MLB MLE	SF	14	14	77	326	81	27	9	100%	5.5	24.8%	8.2%	16.6%	2.8%	4.03	3.95	+0.9
2030	24	MLB MLE	SF	14	14	79	334	85	27	9	100%	5.7	25.4%	8.0%	17.3%	2.8%	3.94	3.87	+1.0
2031	25	MLB MLE	SF	14	14	80	339	87	27	9	100%	5.7	25.7%	7.9%	17.8%	2.7%	3.86	3.81	+1.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	SF	13	13	80	339	88	27	9	100%	6.2	25.9%	7.8%	18.1%	2.7%	3.82	3.79	+1.1
2033	27	MLB MLE	SF	13	13	79	334	93	24	9	100%	6.1	27.9%	7.1%	20.8%	2.8%	3.66	3.56	+1.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	SF	13	13	77	323	90	24	9	100%	5.9	27.8%	7.3%	20.5%	2.9%	3.65	3.64	+1.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	SF	12	12	73	309	85	23	9	100%	6.1	27.6%	7.5%	20.1%	3.0%	3.72	3.77	+1.0
2036	30	MLB MLE	SF	11	11	69	290	79	23	9	100%	6.3	27.2%	7.8%	19.4%	3.2%	3.86	3.95	+0.8
2037	31	MLB MLE	SF	11	11	64	271	73	22	9	100%	5.8	26.8%	8.2%	18.6%	3.5%	4.03	4.15	+0.6
2027	21	MLB CTX	SF	7	7	35	148	34	13	4	100%	5.0	23.2%	8.9%	14.3%	2.7%	4.13	4.10	+0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	SF	11	11	54	228	55	19	6	100%	4.9	24.1%	8.5%	15.6%	2.6%	4.02	3.94	+0.5
2029	23	MLB CTX	SF	12	12	65	274	68	23	7	100%	5.4	24.8%	8.2%	16.6%	2.6%	3.92	3.84	+0.7
2030	24	MLB CTX	SF	13	13	71	300	76	24	8	100%	5.5	25.4%	8.0%	17.3%	2.5%	3.83	3.76	+0.9
2031	25	MLB CTX	SF	13	13	74	312	80	25	8	100%	5.7	25.7%	7.9%	17.8%	2.5%	3.75	3.70	+1.0
2032	26	MLB CTX	SF	12	12	75	317	82	25	8	100%	6.2	25.9%	7.8%	18.1%	2.5%	3.71	3.68	+1.0
2033	27	MLB CTX	SF	12	12	75	317	88	23	8	100%	6.2	27.9%	7.1%	20.8%	2.6%	3.55	3.45	+1.2
2034	28	MLB CTX	SF	12	12	73	308	86	22	8	100%	6.1	27.8%	7.3%	20.5%	2.7%	3.53	3.52	+1.1
2035	29	MLB CTX	SF	12	12	70	296	81	22	8	100%	5.8	27.6%	7.5%	20.1%	2.8%	3.59	3.64	+1.0
2036	30	MLB CTX	SF	11	11	65	274	75	21	8	100%	5.9	27.2%	7.8%	19.4%	3.0%	3.73	3.82	+0.7
2037	31	MLB CTX	SF	10	10	61	258	69	21	8	100%	6.1	26.8%	8.2%	18.6%	3.2%	3.89	4.01	+0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		125	125	717	3029	794	238	82	100%	5.7	26.2%	7.9%	18.4%	2.7%	3.76	3.36	+13.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	221	66	23	100%	5.7	26.2%	7.9%	18.4%	2.7%	3.76	3.36	+3.8
Career	—	MLE		28	25	124	499	130	44	11	89%	4.4	26.0%	8.9%	17.1%	2.2%	3.19	3.26	+10.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		45	40	200	805	209	71	18	89%	4.4	26.0%	8.9%	17.1%	2.2%	3.19	3.26	+2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ramon Marquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.31	22.7%	9.0%	2.9%	—	4.07	24.1%	15.5%	223	-0.24	—	—	—
Andrew Hoffmann R 2021 · 3.17 FIP	21	SP	3.17	23.6%	8.1%	1.9%	.275	4.91	18.6%	8.8%	311	+1.74	3.17	421	86
Jimmy Joyce R 2021 · 3.78 FIP	22	SP	3.78	25.0%	9.0%	3.0%	.341	4.03	20.4%	9.7%	242	+0.25	3.39	259	84
Pat Gallagher R 2023 · 3.83 FIP	23	SP-	3.83	21.9%	8.3%	2.8%	.284	3.43	20.4%	11.2%	217	-0.40	3.07	280	83
Tanner Burns R 2021 · 4.34 FIP	22	SP	4.34	22.2%	10.6%	3.2%	.292	5.32	19.2%	6.3%	244	+0.98	4.34	382	82
José López R 2015 · 4.04 FIP	21	SP	4.04	19.1%	9.9%	2.3%	.329	3.77	17.9%	9.9%	436	-0.27	3.12	543	82
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	22	SP	3.76	21.9%	9.8%	2.3%	.175	4.18	18.0%	7.5%	168	+0.42	3.51	330	82
Cody Laweryson R 2021 · 4.06 FIP	23	SP	4.06	21.7%	8.4%	3.1%	.329	3.50	21.2%	12.6%	178	-0.56	2.48	298	82
Mike Vasil R 2022 · 3.63 FIP	22	SP	3.63	21.9%	10.5%	1.9%	.264	4.56	18.5%	9.7%	359	+0.93	3.63	429	81
Cody Stashak R 2015 · 4.07 FIP	21	SP	4.07	19.7%	7.5%	3.1%	.304	3.55	17.1%	9.8%	261	-0.52	1.99	467	81
Cristian Javier R 2017 · 3.87 FIP	20	SP	3.87	23.2%	11.8%	2.2%	.259	3.97	26.8%	14.2%	267	+0.10	2.69	954	81
Curtis Taylor R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	22	SP	3.95	19.3%	9.9%	2.2%	.305	3.40	23.5%	13.7%	96	-0.55	2.58	408	81
Chad Patrick R 2022 · 3.86 FIP	23	SP	3.86	20.3%	9.9%	2.2%	.315	4.22	21.7%	13.8%	422	+0.36	3.71	565	81
Drew Anderson R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	22	SP	3.37	21.1%	9.2%	1.6%	.295	4.71	16.3%	7.6%	273	+1.34	2.95	547	81
Owen Murphy R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	19	SP	4.20	22.0%	9.9%	3.1%	.325	4.03	22.8%	13.3%	186	-0.17	2.78	275	81
Chih-Jung Liu R 2021 · 4.41 FIP	22	SP	4.41	18.8%	10.5%	2.9%	.331	6.08	21.6%	9.0%	233	+1.67	4.41	283	80
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	80
Dualvert Gutierrez R 2021 · 3.22 FIP	20	SP-	3.22	23.5%	9.1%	1.7%	.352	4.29	15.9%	2.2%	78	+1.07	3.22	130	80
Logan Gragg R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	20	SP	4.14	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.343	5.20	15.2%	8.2%	202	+1.06	4.14	412	80
Caden Dana R 2023 · 3.64 FIP	19	SP	3.64	24.2%	12.3%	1.9%	.297	4.62	20.2%	9.5%	348	+0.98	3.64	417	79
Gilberto Batista R 2023 · 3.63 FIP	18	SP-	3.63	22.8%	6.2%	3.0%	.323	5.53	15.1%	5.0%	210	+1.90	3.63	250	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.3	72	25.9%	8.0%	1.13	3.92
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Joe Jiménez ('24)	1.9	53	29.8%	8.6%	1.11	4.06
Chris Devenski ('24)	1.9	62	26.0%	6.9%	1.25	3.61
Dominic Leone ('23)	1.6	46	24.2%	10.1%	1.33	3.81
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59