Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 12 | 55 | 238 | 72 | 17 | 4 | 86% | 3.9 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 4.42 | 3.98 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 12 | 55 | 238 | 72 | 17 | 4 | 86% | 3.9 | 30.3% | 7.1% | 23.1% | 1.7% | 4.42 | 2.35 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 10 | 9 | 49 | 188 | 76 | 17 | 3 | 90% | 4.9 | 30.4% | 10.6% | 19.8% | 2.0% | 2.02 | 3.00 | +0.9 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | PHI | 7 | 7 | 38 | 163 | 37 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.35 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 88 | 351 | 113 | 32 | 8 | — | — | 32.2% | 9.1% | 23.1% | 2.2% | 3.05 | 3.59 | +1.6 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | PHI | 8 | 8 | 40 | 171 | 40 | 15 | 5 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | PHI | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 4.25 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 3.87 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 40 | 40 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.2% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.29 | 3.87 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 24 | 21 | 104 | 426 | 107 | 41 | 11 | 88% | 4.3 | 25.2% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 2.5% | 3.29 | 3.54 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 46 | 40 | 200 | 819 | 207 | 78 | 20 | 88% | 4.3 | 25.2% | 9.6% | 15.6% | 2.5% | 3.29 | 3.54 | +4.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ramon Marquez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 22.7% | 9.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.25 | 23.2% | 14.1% | 40 | -0.10 | — | — | — |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.06 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .268 | 5.93 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 47 | +1.87 | 4.06 | 101 | 84 |
| Jimmy Joyce R 2028 · 3.67 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.67 | 25.0% | 9.0% | 2.8% | .341 | 3.99 | 20.4% | 9.7% | 242 | +0.32 | 3.44 | 259 | 83 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2028 · 4.00 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.00 | 21.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% | .175 | 4.15 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 168 | +0.15 | 3.59 | 307 | 83 |
| José López R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.32 | 3.08 | 543 | 83 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2029 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 82 |
| Tanner Burns R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .292 | 5.42 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.35 | 4.07 | 378 | 82 |
| Christian Zazueta R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | .277 | 3.55 | 28.6% | 22.7% | 66 | -0.25 | 3.55 | 276 | 82 |
| Mike Vasil R 2028 · 3.71 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.71 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .264 | 4.60 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 359 | +0.89 | 3.71 | 429 | 82 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2029 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 81 |
| Dylan Wilson R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.60 | 20.6% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 139 | 81 |
| Drew Anderson R 2028 · 3.54 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.54 | 21.1% | 9.2% | 1.9% | .295 | 4.74 | 16.3% | 7.6% | 273 | +1.20 | 3.11 | 506 | 81 |
| Chad Patrick R 2029 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.92 | 20.3% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .315 | 4.36 | 22.3% | 13.8% | 422 | +0.44 | 3.76 | 537 | 81 |
| Dylan DeLucia R 2029 · 3.65 FIP | 23 | SP | 3.65 | 21.6% | 7.4% | 2.6% | .241 | 5.26 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 176 | +1.61 | 3.65 | 211 | 81 |
| Silvano Hechavarria R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.23 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .212 | 4.80 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 120 | +0.57 | 3.80 | 169 | 81 |
| Curtis Taylor R 2028 · 4.10 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.10 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.42 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 96 | -0.68 | 2.58 | 408 | 81 |
| Cristian Javier R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.73 | 23.2% | 11.8% | 2.0% | .259 | 3.93 | 26.8% | 14.2% | 267 | +0.20 | 2.69 | 914 | 80 |
| Cody Stashak R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.07 | 19.7% | 7.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 3.55 | 17.1% | 9.8% | 261 | -0.52 | 1.99 | 467 | 80 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 80 |
| Chih-Jung Liu R 2028 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 18.8% | 10.5% | 3.4% | .331 | 6.04 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 233 | +1.32 | 4.72 | 283 | 80 |
| Logan Gragg R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.02 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .343 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 202 | +1.02 | 4.02 | 412 | 80 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 39 | 23.0% | 9.2% | 1.12 | 4.32 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |