Ryan Murphy
P
Memphis Redbirds
Age 26
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.2 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION40 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 123114vR 105
ERA4.60
FIP4.60
K%20.9%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%11.4%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 59 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 107 | 417 | 164 | 26 | 12 | 100% | 5.1 | 29.4% | 7.3% | 22.1% | 3.7% | 2.52 | 3.54 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 21 | 21 | 107 | 417 | 164 | 26 | 12 | 100% | 5.1 | 39.3% | 6.2% | 33.1% | 2.9% | 2.52 | 2.22 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 11 | 9 | 42 | 184 | 57 | 23 | 5 | 82% | 3.8 | 29.0% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 0.8% | 4.68 | 2.50 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 4 levels | 11 | 9 | 42 | 184 | 57 | 23 | 5 | 82% | 3.8 | 31.0% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 2.7% | 4.68 | 3.57 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 29 | 27 | 107 | 465 | 107 | 51 | 15 | 93% | 3.7 | 18.6% | 12.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.36 | 5.67 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 29 | 27 | 107 | 465 | 107 | 51 | 15 | 93% | 3.7 | 23.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 3.2% | 4.36 | 4.35 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 11 | 11 | 43 | 180 | 46 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 3.9 | 20.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 2.4% | 3.35 | 3.74 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Richmond Flying Squirrels | 11 | 11 | 43 | 180 | 46 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 3.9 | 25.6% | 7.8% | 17.8% | 2.2% | 3.35 | 3.15 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 3 | 19 | 90 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 38% | 2.4 | 10.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.59 | 4.90 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 3 | 19 | 90 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 38% | 2.4 | 14.4% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 5.59 | 4.50 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 29 | 1 | 40 | 182 | 49 | 22 | 7 | 3% | 1.4 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 4.4% | 6.30 | 5.20 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | STL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 81 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | STL | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | STL | — | — | 59 | 263 | 66 | 30 | 9 | — | — | 25.1% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 3.6% | 5.75 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | STL | — | — | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 20.9% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 3.1% | 4.60 | 4.22 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | STL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | STL | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.23 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 173 | 77 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 4.59 | 4.23 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 109 | 72 | 359 | 1518 | 351 | 154 | 54 | 66% | 3.3 | 23.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 4.01 | 4.37 | +4.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 61 | 40 | 200 | 845 | 195 | 85 | 30 | 66% | 3.3 | 23.1% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 4.01 | 4.37 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Murphy (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.60 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 3.1% | — | 4.61 | 21.1% | 11.6% | 20 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 82 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 79 |
| Dawson Netz R 2025 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 78 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 78 |
| Chris Kachmar R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.65 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 4.2% | .319 | 4.96 | 18.4% | 6.6% | 242 | +0.31 | 4.39 | 353 | 74 |
| Colby Morris R 2025 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 74 |
| Preston Johnson R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 74 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 73 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 72 |
| Noah Bremer R 2025 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.24 | 18.0% | 9.4% | 2.7% | .292 | 5.88 | 13.1% | 1.2% | 46 | +1.64 | 3.14 | 271 | 72 |
| Chase Centala R 2024 · 4.16 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.16 | 17.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 124 | 72 |
| Phil Klein R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.83 | 18.1% | 11.0% | 1.6% | .280 | 3.17 | 24.5% | 17.9% | 97 | -0.66 | 3.17 | 178 | 72 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 71 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.52 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.52 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 1.1% | .341 | 3.55 | 23.0% | 13.0% | 41 | +0.03 | 3.06 | 222 | 71 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 71 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 4.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.41 | 16.7% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .323 | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.2% | 48 | -0.98 | 2.10 | 224 | 71 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2027 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 71 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.93 | 19.3% | 8.2% | 2.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 268 | 71 |
| Josh Roeder R 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 70 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 70 |