Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 9 | 7 | 37 | 132 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 78% | 4.1 | 21.1% | 2.8% | 18.3% | 1.5% | 0.25 | 2.48 | — |
| 2025 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 9 | 7 | 37 | 132 | 41 | 3 | 1 | 78% | 4.1 | 31.1% | 2.3% | 28.8% | 0.8% | 0.25 | 1.46 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 18 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 2 | 2 | 6 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 3.0 | — | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | COL | 4 | 4 | 22 | 92 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.2% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 18 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.2% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 2.9% | 4.23 | 4.23 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 18 | MLB | COL | — | — | 28 | 113 | 30 | 9 | 3 | — | — | 26.9% | 7.9% | 18.9% | 2.4% | 3.32 | 3.32 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | COL | 5 | 5 | 23 | 97 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 4.14 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 19 | MLB | COL | 2 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.5 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 4.14 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 11 | 48 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 3.76 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 44 | 44 | 200 | 844 | 195 | 71 | 18 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.6% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.18 | 3.76 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 11 | 9 | 43 | 153 | 37 | 5 | 2 | 82% | 3.9 | 24.1% | 3.1% | 21.0% | 1.3% | 0.21 | 2.15 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 52 | 42 | 200 | 717 | 173 | 22 | 9 | 82% | 3.9 | 24.1% | 3.1% | 21.0% | 1.3% | 0.21 | 2.15 | +7.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Roberto Salas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.23 | 23.2% | 8.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.14 | 23.6% | 15.2% | 23 | -0.09 | — | — | — |
| Luis Arejula R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .318 | 4.42 | 15.7% | 3.5% | 71 | +0.96 | 3.46 | 115 | 88 |
| Gilberto Batista R 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.97 | 22.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | .323 | 5.20 | 15.0% | 4.5% | 187 | +1.23 | 3.97 | 227 | 86 |
| Ramon Marquez R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.98 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .331 | 3.00 | 30.4% | 19.8% | 49 | -0.98 | 3.00 | 104 | 84 |
| Kyle Glogoski R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 19.9% | 8.5% | 1.7% | .277 | 3.92 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 93 | +0.46 | 3.43 | 206 | 84 |
| Juan Bello R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.83 | 18.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .256 | 3.93 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 155 | +0.10 | 3.83 | 187 | 83 |
| Jose Montero R 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.77 | 20.8% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .377 | 3.97 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 234 | +0.20 | 3.77 | 342 | 83 |
| Sheng-En Lin R 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .223 | 4.19 | 17.8% | 3.4% | 61 | +0.61 | 3.58 | 108 | 82 |
| Dahian Santos R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.91 | 24.2% | 10.1% | 4.7% | .316 | 4.73 | 25.1% | 10.2% | 161 | -0.18 | 4.35 | 197 | 82 |
| Shawndrick Oduber R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.21 | 22.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% | .337 | 5.35 | 15.2% | 3.4% | 72 | +1.14 | 4.21 | 104 | 82 |
| Andry Rondon R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 1.8% | .283 | 3.98 | 15.6% | 1.1% | 49 | +0.52 | 3.26 | 105 | 82 |
| Jordy Vargas R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 18 | SP | 4.46 | 22.1% | 10.0% | 3.6% | .239 | 4.56 | 19.8% | 6.3% | 95 | +0.10 | 3.02 | 257 | 80 |
| Carlos Naveda R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.77 | 19.9% | 10.5% | 1.9% | .297 | 2.63 | 16.9% | 11.7% | 64 | -1.14 | 2.63 | 120 | 80 |
| Marco Raya R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.77 | 21.4% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .250 | 4.47 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 254 | -0.30 | 3.83 | 358 | 79 |
| Jordarlin Mendoza R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.21 | 23.3% | 10.6% | 1.3% | .325 | 5.17 | 19.7% | -2.2% | 54 | +1.96 | 3.21 | 133 | 79 |
| Dualvert Gutierrez R 2028 · 3.14 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.14 | 23.5% | 9.1% | 1.6% | .352 | 4.24 | 15.9% | 2.2% | 78 | +1.10 | 3.14 | 130 | 78 |
| Dario Gardea R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 18.6% | 8.7% | 1.5% | .250 | 3.51 | 19.5% | 12.4% | 50 | +0.05 | 3.12 | 205 | 78 |
| Matt Manning R 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.10 | 25.6% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .373 | 3.10 | 23.4% | 13.1% | 258 | +0.00 | 2.71 | 714 | 77 |
| Andry Lara R 2026 · 4.94 FIP | 18 | SP- | 4.94 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 4.1% | .294 | 4.81 | 16.6% | 6.7% | 334 | -0.13 | 4.48 | 504 | 77 |
| Jorge Marcheco R 2027 · 3.17 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.17 | 25.0% | 7.2% | 2.3% | .336 | 5.09 | 17.7% | 9.9% | 280 | +1.92 | 3.17 | 353 | 77 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2029 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 77 |